Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
JR Due
Systems Engineering Manager SP Sales
Mar 2015
Market Trends
Defining P-OTS
Packet-Optimized Transport
Market Outlook for P-OTS
Industry Trends
Significant Traffic Growth, Driven by Video Emergence of M2M and Internet of Everything
140.0 Web/Data (24.2%, 18.9%)
File Sharing (15.7%, 8.1%) 50 Billion Connected Things
120.0 Managed IP Video (21.8%, 21.0%)
Connected Things Growing 5X
Exabytes per Month
+
Virtualized
Software 4K Video + +
Acquires 45%
of Verizon
Wireless from +
LTE Cloud-based +
NFV + SDN +
100 years ago, the cost of a 3-minute
New York San Francisco phone call?
350 euros / US$440 (inflation adjusted)
Innovation
Definition: Cheaper, better, or both
Mervin Kelly
Bell Labs (19181959)
per month
Exabytes
$1,500 Consumer IPTV/CATV
30
$1,000
$500
$- 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Convergence
Revenue Traffic
Profitability
Optical WAN Capacity Deployed
Optical components are a
good way to measure
deployed telecom capacity
Graph shows total transmission capacity of
long reach optical modules shipped in a
given year
Total 10G modules shipped x 10
Total 40G modules shipped x 40
Total 100G modules shipped x 100
Includes in-house builds, MSAs and pluggables
60%
$20
40%
$10
20%
$0 0%
CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18
WDM SONET/SDH Router/CES % Router/CES
Contrary to popular belief, routers are not taking over the world
SONET/SDH Routers and P-OTS at the metro/edge
SONET/SDH WDM/OTN switching in the regional/core
Source: Infonetics
Market Trends
Defining P-OTS
Packet-Optimized Transport
Market Outlook for P-OTS
P-OTS market defined
Infonetics surveyed service providers for several years now to better understand how
they define packet-optical transport systems
May 2014 survey of shows that 86% of respondents think this is a good definition
Platforms with support for card level Ethernet switching and optical Platforms with support for non-blocking chassis level Ethernet
networking features including OTN transport and WDM switching and circuit switching (SONET/SDH and/or OTN);
Connection oriented Ethernet (COE) support (e.g., MPLS-TP, PBB-TE, T-MPLS, switched VLANs) with a complete suite of carrier grade
layer 2 per flow classification, service differentiation, traffic management, and verification (Y.1731)
Support for in-skin WDM, no ROADM support required WDM and ROADM at a system level with a single control plane
BTI Systems 7000 series 7800, 8000 series Ethernet switching and optical networking,
Ciena 6500 w/eMOTR 5430 including OTN transport and WDM
Cisco NCS2000 NCS4000 + NCS2000
Must support optical and L2 restoration and
Coriant 7100 OTS (Tellabs), mTera connection oriented Ethernet (COE)
protocols with a deep set of carrier grade
Cyan Z series (Z33 and Z77) per-flow features
ECI NPT Apollo OPT
Ericsson SPO1410 SPO 1460 Metro regional P-OTS
Fujitsu FLASHWAVE 4100ES/9100 FLASHWAVE 9500 Ethernet switching and circuit switching
Hitachi AMN6400 across the chassis, with COE protocols
similar to metro edge P-OTS
Huawei OSN 1800 II/V OSN 1800V, 8800, 9800
EMEA
24%
Competitive
19% North
Incumbent America
66% 33%
Cable Asia Pacific
operator 24%
10%
Independent
wireless
Independent 5%
wireless
5%
Respondents represented 24% of global capex and 20% of service provider revenue
38%
packet and P-OTS are the
P-OTS are good match for
38%
transitioning Ethernet over
Converged equipment is seen
Effective multi-layer management
software now available
29% as reducing network complexity
Our internal organization is
29% and meeting new service and
prepared to deal with
Standards for Ethernet service
application requirements
14%
delivery have finally completed
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Percent of Respondents Rating 6 or 7
Scale: 1 = not important; 7 = critical
Converging multiple IP
52%
data networks onto single
Equipment should
begin appearing in
2015
Packet-Optimized
TDM+OTN P-OTS Transport MetroE Ethernet
Circuit EM Fabric
TDM Circuit EM Circuit EM
MPLS
G.8032 MPLS MPLS
OTN Agnostic
Switching
OTN OTN Wrapper Transponder Transponder
ROADM ROADM ROADM ROADM
ROADM
PDH-CEM over MPLS o All Clients Ethernet
o No Packet 100% Merchant Silicon 100% Packet & Agnostic TDM-CEM over MPLS Ethernet over MPLS
o TDM Poor Fit to OTN PDH-CEM over Packet 100% Merchant Silicon Ethernet over MPLS 100% Merchant Silicon
o TDM not Merchant Ethernet over G.8032 PDH-CEM over Packet Fabric Scale to 100Tb+ o Transponder $$ & Space
o Large Footprint o VLANs cannot scale to TDM-CEM over MPLS o Transponder $$ & Space o DC Fabric = More Transport
o OTN Fabric cannot scale match 10Ks circuits Ethernet over MPLS o Not Carrier Class-Router o Not Carrier Class-Router
o Network is Throw Away o OTN Fabric cannot scale Fabric Scale to 100Tb+
Evolves to 100% Ethernet
Packet-Optimized Transport vs Routing
NCS ASR
4000 Multicast
9000
L3VPN
Series Series
BNG
IPv6
IPv4 / IPv6 / MPLS
BGP
Forwarding Full MPLS, Bridging
SR-TE
Bridging Subscriber
L2VPN
ISIS
Spectrum Management
Packet L2VPN
(VPWS/VPLS) MPLS Routing at (BNG)
OTN/DWDM Optical Full L3VPN
OSPF Scale
Legacy TDM Limited QoS Provider Edge
Transport Opex L3 Scale
Y.1731
Full Internet Table
CFM
Model EFM Routing
Hard Carrier Class OTN Router Opex Model
DWDM Service Edge
L3 Scale
OTN not enough in the future as L2 becomes required
$400
56%
plan to more than double usage
of P-OTS equipment by 2016
40%
27%
20%
21%
0%
Metro-edge nodes Metro-regional nodes