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Investor Relations Unit (IRU) of the Republic of Indonesia has been established as a joint effort between Coordinating Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance and Bank Indonesia since 2005. The main objective of IRU is to actively communicate Indonesian
economic policy and to address concerns of investors, especially financial market investors.
As an important part of its communication measures, IRU maintains a website under Bank Indonesia website which is administered by
International Department of Bank Indonesia. However, day-to-day activities of IRU are supported by all relevant government agencies,
among others: Bank Indonesia, Ministry of Finance, Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs, Investment Coordinating Board, Ministry of
Trade, Ministry of State Owned Enterprises, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources and Financial Services Authority.
IRU also convenes an investor conference call on a quarterly basis, answers questions through email, telephone and may arrange direct
visit of banks/financial institutions to Bank Indonesia and other relevant government offices.
1
Overview
2
Section 1
Institutional and Government Effectiveness:
Accelerated Reforms Agenda with
Institutional Improvement
Positive Global Perception
Indonesia India Brazil Philippines Turkey Indonesia India Brazil Philippines Turkey
55
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 52
30 47
Higher rank is better 39 45 46
41
45 40
35 38
55
60 57
25 25
75
Higher rank is better
81 15
90 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Indonesia India Brazil Phillipines Turkey
Voice and Accountability Political Stability/Absence of Violence
Regulatory Quality Government Effectiveness
1. Source: World Bank Doing Business 2017 Report; Control of Corruption Rule of Law
2. Source: Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index 2016 Report;
3. Source: World Economic Forum The Global Competitiveness Report 2016 2017
4. Source: World Bank
4
Investment Grade Status From Rating Agencies
April 2017, BBB-, Outlook Revised to Positive March 2017, BBB-, Outlook Revised to Positive
Indonesia's macroeconomics stability has been maintained for several JCR has changed the rating outlook from Stable to Positive, based
years. Its external position is also improving,. fiscal deficits have been on the recent improvement on the investment climate promoted by a
reined in and government debt is low. In light of such factors, coupled series of Economic Policy Packages & the containment of private
with improved policy management, R&I has changed the rating outlook to external debt brought by Bank Indonesias prudential regulations on
Positive. external borrowing.
5
Indonesia Remains the Investment Destination of Choice
32,75
31,42
31,43
34,17
34,29
34,30
25,09
26,06
25,48
20,55
23,60
25,41
22,25
22,01
24,30
27,58
26,58
27,18
Singapore 18,9 5
Taiwan 18
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 India Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam
UNCTAD: Indonesia is listed as the top 5 prospective investment destination JBIC: Amongst ASEAN countries, Indonesia is the most preferred place for
in the world (June 2017)3 business investment (December 2016)4
1. Source: The Economist Asia Business Outlook Survey 2017 3. Source: United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) World Investment Report 2017
2. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, Database April 2017 4. Source: JBIC Outlook for Japanese Foreign Direct Investment (28th Annual Survey)
6
National Strategic Development Plan (Nawa Cita)
Priority Sector
Human Development Development Equitable Development
Necessary Condition
Legal Certainty & Politic & Democracy Governance
Security & Order
Law Enforcement
7
Equitable Economy Policy
The Economic Equalization Policy announced in April 2017 embodies national economic transformation to successfully overcome
the middle income trap and achieve the status of a developed country in the long-term
The Ministry of Environment and Forestry (KLHK) will distribute access to social forest management covering an area of
Social Forestry 211,522 ha for 48,911 families with total permits of 134
Initial focus will be on 11 villages with a total area of 15.576 ha for 9,411 households
Transmigration land of 220,000 ha and 3,800 ha under the National Agrarian Operation Project (PRONA) is ready to be
Agrarian Reform legalized from a total of 4.5 million ha, while 23,000 ha of displaced land and 707,000 ha of forest disposal are also
and Transmigration
Land
Committed to housing development within urban areas that are well connected to the center of activity, economic
Affordable Housing resources and public transportation for the urban poor
for the Urban Poor Core housing policies, among others, include provision of land for affordable housing (land availability), implementation of
Housing Scheme for MBR (social housing), and the Housing Financing Scheme
Targeted
Oppor
-tunity
Focused on addressing issues related to the tax system, development of manufacturing and IT industries and retail sector
Development
Improve the competitiveness of the retail sector and strengthen synergies between traditional and modern retail
of Key Sectors
Human Capital
Vocational and labor policies structured for capacity building of human resources, especially to align with industry needs
and to support government priority programs
Vocational Training Policy steps will be taken by the government to draft and improve on the road map for vocational education and
and Labour Markets training, through reclassification and prioritization of business fields and positions
Job matching program that will focus on strengthening vocational programs for industries
Vocational schemes in place for the automotive, tourism and transportation sectors
To improve national industry competitiveness, export and investment to generate significant economic growth
4 2,000 sailors
Provide Market Opportunities Improve the Regional Governments role
for Shipping Companies,
5 in development of Regional Logistics
Marine Insurance, and National
Ship Maintenance Businesses
System to control inflation and reduce
post-harvest product damage up to 30%
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs
10
Thematic Policy Issues on Deregulation
Education and
Logistics Agrarian reform Energy
Vocational Training
Industry, Manufacture,
Invention, Innovation and
Tourism, Fishery & Service Food
Creative Economy
sector
TOTAL INITIAL
REGULATIONS 233 IXV
IXII
Initially, there are 233 regulations which need to be
deregulated
11 IXV
Based on the further assessment, 11 regulations has been
IXII
REVOKED
REGULATIONS revoked from deregulation process
TOTAL
REGULATIONS 222 IXV
IXII
Total regulation subject to be deregulated: 222
regulations
96%
PRESIDENTIAL LEVEL
PRESIDENTIAL
52 finished (97%), comprising 50 regulations at Presidential
47 TOTAL 42 50 FINISHED
SELESAI
level and 165 regulations at Ministrial/Institutional level
MINISTRIAL/INSTITUTIONAL LEVEL
170
TOTAL 165 FINISHED 97%
Unfinished regulations: Proposed Policy on Development
ON GOING
DISCUSSION 7 3% of Business and competitiveness of National Logistics
Service Providers
*as of July 5th, 2017
Export-Oriented Deregulation on
Business Credit (KURBE) Logistics Sector
North Sulawesi has sucessfully exported
State-owned train manufacturer PT Industri
coconut product through SOEs joint
Kereta Api (INKA) in Madiun, East Java, has
program
begun its first passenger train exports by
30 Bonded Logistic Center has been
shipping 15 train wagon to Bangladesh.
launched to support various industries
13
Improving Investment Climate
implement 3-hour investment licensing service to complement the One Stop Service (OSS)
BKPM
Arrive at OSS at BKPM directly from the airport Wait at the lounge while documents are Obtain eight documents & letter of
Consult with Director of Investment Service processed by BKPM, in-house notary, ministries, land availability within three hours to
Submit the required documents & data & other government institutions start the business
Until March 2017, 313 projects* have utilized the 3 hours services
Source: Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM) * Since January 2016, including 12 projects in EMR sector
14
Improving Investment Climate
implement 3-hour investment licensing service for Energy and Mineral Resources Sector
Obtain investment licence at Survey a land within selected Start the construction of your
OSS at national or regional industrial estates. project. No other permits are
level. Acquire the land for your required.
industry. Apply for building construction permit
& environmental permit, in parallel
with construction process.
1
North Sumatera 1
(1 IE; 100 ha) KLIK 1st Stage (14 IE) 1 7
2
Medan Industrial Estate/KIM
(100 ha)
KLIK 2nd Stage (18 IE)
2 3
6
2 3
Banten 5 4
(3 IE; 3,150 ha)
4
Central Java 1 4
5 6
18
Improving Investment Climate
revising the Negative Investment List
Strengthen implementation of
negative investment law through
active roles from ministries, agencies 49% 67% 55% 67% 67%
65%
and regional governments
EODB 2017 EODB 2016 Change in EODB 2017 EODB 2016 Change in
Rank Rank Rank Points Points Points
23
Indonesias Strong GDP
-1,0 (0,17) (0,40) (1,77) (0,34) -1,0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018*
(1,70)
(2,07)
-3,0 -3,0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
-5,0 Brazil India Indonesia Malaysia
2014 2015 2016 2017 Philippines Singapore Thailand Turkey
24
Strong and Stable GDP Performance
Java
GDP Growth
Q1 2017: 5.7%
Java: 58.5%
25
Section 3
External Factor:
Improved External Resilience
A Narrower, Structurally-Stronger Current Account Deficit
121.8 4 5.7
10 120
7.9 0.8
0
4.5
(2.4)
0 80
-4
(2.4) (7.5)
-8 (1.4)
-10 40
Current Account Capital & Financial Account
Overall Balance Reserve Assets (RHS) -12
-20 0 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1* Q3* Q1*
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1* Q3* Q1* 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017**
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017** Goods Service Income Secondary Inc. Current Account
Trade Balance Surplus Continues Supported by Substantial FX Reserves to Mitigate External Challenges
US$bn 2012: 2013: 2014: 2015: 2016: 2017: FX Reserves as of June 2017: US$123.09bn
Deficit Deficit Deficit Surplus Surplus Surplus US$bn
(US$1.79bn) (US$4.10bn) (US$2.37bn) US$7.59bn US$8.83bn US$7,63bn* (Equiv. to 8.5 months of imports + servicing of government debt) Month
3,0 140 15
FX Reserves (LHS) Month of Import & Debt Service (RHS)
120
2,0 1,96
12
1,63 100
1,0
9
80
0,0
-0,33 60
6
-1,0
40
-2,0 3
OG Non-OG Total 20
-3,0 - -
1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
13.450 IDR/USD Monthly Average Quarterly Average Point-to-point, the rupiah strengthened 1.08%
13.400
(ptp) to close at a level of Rp13,328/USD. The
appreciation was bolstered by the ongoing FX
13338 13345
13.350
13361 13309 13321 13328 sales by corporations and a considerably large
13348
13.300 influx of foreign capital into the domestic
13304 13298 market, and also in line with the appreciation in
13.250 the regional currencies.
13.200
12-Jun
20-Jun
3-Jan
11-Jan
19-Jan
27-Jan
1-Apr
9-Apr
16-Mar
24-Mar
4-Jun
11-May
19-May
27-May
12-Feb
20-Feb
28-Feb
8-Mar
3-May
4-Feb
17-Apr
25-Apr
Rupiah Exchange Rate Fared Relatively Well Compared to Peers
-20,0 -15,0 -10,0 -5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 -3,5 -2,5 -1,5 -0,5 0,5 1,5 2,5 3,5
28
Ample Lines of Defense Against External Shocks
Ample Reserves
Swap Arrangement
The size of the swap line was increased from US$12 bn in December 2013
South Korea Renewed a 3 year KRW/IDR swap arrangement with the size of up to 10.7 tn KRW/IDR115 tn in March 2017
Australia Established a 3 year A$/IDR swap arrangement with the size of up to A$10 bn or IDR100 tn in Dec. 2015
Chiang Mai Entitled to a maximum swap amount of US$ 22.76 bn under the ASEAN+3 (Japan, China, and Korea) FX
Regional
IMF Global
Global
Indonesia is entitled to access IMF facilities for crisis prevention to address potential (actual) BOP problem
Financial Safety
Such facilities include Flexible Credit Line (FCL) and Precautionary and Liquidity Line (PLL)
Net - GSFN
Private External Debt is Stabilizing and Trending Down Debt Burden Indicator (External Debt / GDP) Remains Comparable to Peers
(US$bn) (US$bn)
Total Ext. Debt: External Debt / GDP (%)
300 US$334bn 400
47,1
350 Turkey 46,1
250
Private Sector 300 34
200 Ext. Debt: Brazil 37,4
US$165bn 250
150 200 34,1
Indonesia 36,1
150
100 36,4
Thailand 33,3
100
50
50 Philippines
24,6
26,5
0 0
26
2013 2015 Feb Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr India 26,2 2016 2015
2016* 2016* 2016* 2016* 2016* 2016* 2017* 2017* (%)
Public (Govt. & BI) Private Total (RHS) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Source: External Debt Statistics of Indonesia, July 2017 Source: Moodys Statistical Handbook, May 2017
Affiliation
US$168.4bn US$118.8bn US$19.9bn
or or or
50.5% 71.9% 12.0% US$11.9bn
of Total Ext. of Private Ext. of Private or
Debt Debt Ext. Debt 7.2%
External Debt of Private
Position Ext. Debt
Private
Non-Bank US$14.7bn
Short-Term1 or
8.9%
Private of Private
Ext. Debt
External Debt Position as of May 2017
1 Based on remaining maturity
Non Affiliation
Source: External Debt Statistics of Indonesia, July 2017
32
Section 4
Fiscal Performance and Flexibility:
More Fiscal Stimulus with Prudent Fiscal Policy
Integrated Reform to Provide Higher Quality of Economic Growth
...synergy between authorities to drive economy navigating the challenges
Fiscal
Synergy in reform to
boost the more
sustainable
and
inclusive
Monetary &
Real Sector growth Inflation management
Policy to maintain Financial
Monetary policy to ensure
consumption and improve Sector
macroeconomic and
investment climate financial system stability
Economic policy packages Macro-prudential policies
35
Long Term Strategies to Achieve Sustainable Growth
stimuli to promote investments
Licensing Incentives Tax Incentives Business and Infrastructure Incentives Other Incentives
Permit & Income tax relief Incentives for Simplification of Accelerating Water One map
licensing for labor footwear and import licensing for infrastructure management policy
simplfication intensive apparel industries drugs and raw food development and
industries regulation
Relaxation of Tax incentives Dwelling time Oil refinery Aviation Downstream Debt To Expansion of
entry visa for REITS optimization development sector industries equity ratio coverage and
policies incentives interest subsidy for
MSME
Special Tax incentives Integrated CPO Support for Village-city Acceleration Relaxation of
economic on property logistics zones fund export-oriented logistics of power negative foreign
zones industries improvement infrastructure investment list
36
Building a Credible and Realistic Budget
providing more certainty to all stakeholders
Macroeconomic Assumption for 2017 R- Budget Credible and realistic budget with 2016 outlook numbers
2016 2017 used as the basis for the 2017 State Budget
Indicator
Realization Budget June Real. R-Budget4 Q1 2017 realization has been on track with the budget,
Economic growth (%, yoy) 5.1 5.012 5.2
relative to Q1 2016
5.02
Inflation (%, yoy) 4.0 4.37 4.3
Tax revenue in 2016 grew 3.6%, which includes IDR
3.02
103.1 trn from the tax amnesty program, which has
3-Month Treasury Bill (SPN) (%) 5.7 5.3 5.1 5.2
further increased to IDR 134.8 trn as of Q1 2017
Exchange Rate (Average, IDR/USD, Avg. YTD) 13,307 13,300 13,331 13,400
Budget prioritizes efficiency in terms of operational
ICP (USD/barrel) 40 45 48.9 50.0 spending, without compromising capital spending
Oil Production (thousand barrel/day) 829 815 784.23 815.0 Exemplifies discipline in maintaining budget deficit at
Gas Production (thousand barrel oil equivalent/day) 1,180 1,150 1,0943 1,150 reasonable levels
2016 2017
Description (IDR Trillion) Audited R-Budget to % Realization
Budget R-Budget 1H Realization
Realization Budget to Budget
A. Revenues and Grants 1,555.9 1,750.3 1,736.1 (14.2) 718.2 41.0%
I. Domestic Revenue 1,546.9 1,748.9 1,733.0 (15.9) 718.0 41.0%
1. Tax Revenue 1,284.9 1,498.9 1,472.7 (26.2) 571.9 38.2%
2. Non Tax Revenue 262.0 250.0 260.2 10.2 146.1 58.4%
II. Grants 9.0 1.4 3.1 1.7 0.2 15.5%
B. Expenditure 1,864.3 2,080.5 2,133.3 52.8 893.3 42.9%
I. Central Government Expenditure 1,154.0 1,315.5 1,367.0 51.5 498.6 37.9%
1. Ministerial Spending 684.2 763.6 773.1 9.5 263.9 34.6%
2. Non Ministerial Spending 469.8 552.0 593.9 41.9 234.6 42.5%
II. Transfer to Region and Village Fund 710.3 764.9 766.3 1.4 394.8 51.6%
1. Regional Transfer 663.6 704.9 706.3 1.4 360.4 51.1%
2. Village Fund 46.7 60.0 60.0 - 34.4 7.3%
C. Primary Balance (125.6) (109.0) (178.0) (69.0) (68.2) 62.6%
D. Surplus (Deficit) (308.3) (330.2) (397.2) (67.0) (175.1) 53.0%
% of GDP (2.49) (2.41) (2.92) (0.51) (1.29)
E. Financing 334.9 330.2 397.2 67.0 209.4 63.4%
Budget 2017:
1,472.7
1,498.9 IDR 26,2 trillion lower than 2017 budget
14,6
2016:
1,285.0
16,0 IDR 1.241,8 T
2015:
IDR 29,9 T (-2,4%)
1,240.5
2014:
1,146.8 3,6 IDR 41,8
TIDR 5,8 T (16,2%)
8,2
Tax Collection Growth (yoy, %) Comparison between 2017 R-Budget with 2017 Budget
Source: Ministry of Finance
38
Indonesias Tax Amnesty Program A Success Story
With more than 965,000 taxpayers participating in the program
Preliminary Repatriation
Evidence Payment 3% SMEs
1% 2%
Tax Arrears Offshore Companies
Payment 147,1 12%
14% 1,7 Declaration 85,59
21%
18,8 1,036 594,99
Individual
SMEs
18% 861,81
Onshore 3.323,36
114,2 3,698 Declaration
Individuals
Redemption 76% 68%
Money
85%
39,3
1,10
% of GDP
% of GDP
0,62 0,58
8,3
0,20 0,17 5,2
0,15 0,12 3,9 3,6
0,04 0,04 2,1
0,3
Germany Belgium Italy Chile Indonesia India South Spain Australia India Spain Chile Indonesia Italy South Australia
(2004) (2004) (2009) (2015) (2016) (1997) Africa (2012) (2014) (1997) (2012) (2015) (2016) (2009) Africa (2014)
(2003) (2003)
15
11,4 11,5
11,2 11,3 10,8 10,7 10,4
Regulation IT Support
10
40 64%
62.3% Human Business
60.4%
30 59.2% Resources Process
59%
Notes:
1. Average data 2014 - 2016
2. Revenue amount collected from certain region for central government budget
3. Expenditure amount spent for certain region from central government budget Source: Ministry of Finance
4. Figure in IDR trillion 41
Maintaining Productive and Effective Spending
Policies
Continue the efficiency of operational expense and increase the priority expenditures
2017 R-Budget
Ministerial Spending Non Ministerial Spending
798.6 T
IDR 35.0 T from 2017 Budget
568.4 T
IDR 17.4 from 2017 Budget
Operational
% 219.2 T
Preparation for Regional Interest Payment
Expense
Election and 2019 General
Efficiency Election
Rp2,0 T from 2017 Budget
16.0 T Land Certification
Energy Subsidy
Additional
Priority
UN Mission to Center
Africa 89.9T
Rp12,5 T from 2017 Budget
Spending
Asian Games 2018
48.2 T
Development program Non Energy Subsidy
of agriculture and
horticulture
79.0T
Rp3.7 T from 2017 Budget
42
2016 Budget Realization Did Not Impede Priority Projects
Although deficit was capped at manageable level, infrastructure development continued to
accelerate
200
Airport
100 Target: 15 (up to 2019)
Realization: 3
0
Budget Realization Budget Realization
Bridge (km)
Ministerial Spending Non Ministerial Spending Regional Transfer Financing Target: 12.9
Realization: 10.6
Food Security Realization
IDR tn Railway2 (km)
200
2015: 87.5% of budget 2016: 84.3% of budget
Target: 114.9
Achievement: 114.9
150
125.9 117.9
110.3
99.3
100 Dam
Target: 37
Achievement: 37
50
0
Budget Realization Budget Realization Irrigation (km)
Target: 4,889
Ministerial Spending Non Ministerial Spending Regional Transfer Financing Achievement: 1,025
200 40
100 20
0 0
Budget Realization Budget Realization Budget Realization Budget Realization
Ministerial Spending Non Ministerial Spending Regional Transfer Financing Ministerial Spending Non Ministerial Spending Regional Transfer Financing
Vaccine availability in
University scholarships for School Operational Immunization for infants
Community Health Centre
underprivileged students (Bidikmisi) Assistance (BOS) between 0 11 months
(Puskesmas)
Realization: 324 thousand college Realization: 8.0 million Realization: 4 million infants
students Realization: 81.5% Target 4 million infants
students
Target: 332 thousand college Target 80.0%
Target: 8.2 million students
students
Health Insurance Subsidy
Malaria Eradication
(PBI)
School Rehabilitation Indonesia Smart Card (KIP) Realization: 247 cities
Realization: 91.1 million
Realization: 20.7 million Target 245 cities
Realization: 28,400 rooms people
students Target 92.4 million people
Target: 30,300 rooms
Target: 19.5 million
students Accredited Regional Hospital
Realization: 201 hospitals
Target 190 hospitals
IDR tn IDR tn %
450 416.1 200 6,0
Budget % of R-Budget 5,0 5,0
400
5,0
350 150 3,8
300 3,3 4,0
3,0 2,8
250 2,7 2,8 2,7
100 3,0
200
150 2,0
50
100
1,0
50
0 0 0,0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Budget Budget
8.5 million students 41,128 rooms 107 700 regencies 6.7 million people
Colleges/Universities
45
Improved Budget Allocation Between Central & Local Government
promoting better allocation of budget spending to local government
2017 Transfer to Regions and Village Funds (R-Budget) Transfer to Regions/Village Funds & Ministerial Spending
Special Autonomy &
D.I Yogyakarta - DIY (IDR20.2 tn) Village Fund (IDR60.0 tn) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2017
IDRtn
Gradually increasing Audited Audited Audited Audited Budget R-Budget
Improving efficiency and
effectiveness of Special Village Fund allocation
Average allocation of Transfer to
Autonomy & DIY Fund. 513.3 573.7 602.4 663.6 704.9 697.7
IDR800.5 million per Region
village
Incentive Fund
(IDR7.5 tn) 0.98% 7.85% Total
Intergovernmental 513.3 573.7 623.2 710.3 764.9 755.9
Incentive Fund allocation Transfer
has been increased (317
regions were awarded an 2.65%
incentive ranging Ministerial
Spending 582.9 577.2 732.1 677.6 763.6 769.2
between IDR 7.5bn and
IDR 65. 3bn)
22.67%
65.85%
Special Transfer Fund
Implementation of policy to allocate spending to regions
(IDR184.6 tn)
Special Transfer Minimum 25% of general transfer fund has to be used for
Fund allocation is
based on each public service infrastructure
regions proposal General Transfer Fund (IDR494.0 tn)
and national Minimum of 25% (IDR125.9 tn)
priorities earmarked for public service
facility development acceleration.
It provides revenue sharing fund
to promote equal opportunity for
natural resource producers & high
Source: Ministry of Finance tax earners
46
Policy of Infrastructure Spending and Transfer to Regions
developing the nation through targeted spending
Infrastructure Budget Allocation 2017 Infrastructure Budget Allocation (IDR billion) and
2016 realization
IDR tn %
500 Infrastructure budget
Anggaran Infrastruktur 18,6 20
Java Maluku & Papua
%%ofthd
total stateNegara
Belanja expenditure
(RHS) (RHS)
15,2
400 14,2
15 2016 : 3,229.4 2016 : 3,749.1
2017 : 3,257.8 2017 : 3.686.3
300 9,8 10,2
8,1 8,3 8,8 8,7 10
200 2016 : 461,1 2016 : 1,680.2
2017 : 1,147.5 2017 : 1,941.7
5
100
168,5
154,1
256,1
317,1
387,3
114.2
145.5
76
86
Kalimantan Sulawesi
0 0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2016 : 2,889.9 2016 : 2,694.4
In 2017, minimum 25% of general transfer fund has to be used for public service infrastructure
2017 : 3,641.6 2017 : 4,117.1
To
To meet financing manage
debt-to-
needs at optimum GDP ratio
cost and tolerable
risk
To support market
General
To optimize
the use of
issuance
currency
optimize
domestic
external
mix of
development
loans
To
and
Policy
To enhance public
accountability as
part of transparent To
conduct
Government debt active
management debt
portfolio
Redemption
IDR350.9tn
Breakdown of budget financing IDR tn USD bn
(eq. USD 26.3bn)
Budget
Domestic Bonds
Instruments
Indicative Target Indicative Target Weekly Auction:
(IDR trn) (USD bn)*
Conventional securities 24 x
Government Securities (Net) 399.99 30.03 Islamic securities 24 x
Non-Auction:
Government Securities (Gross) 684.83 51.42
Retail bonds
Composition Private Placement Based on request
Domestic 79%
Government Issuance Targets International Bonds
Auction 93%
Issuance of international
Non-Auction 7% Sukuk bonds as a complement to
29% avoid crowding out the
International Bond 21%
domestic market;
Debt
International bond issuance
Securities
can be maximized up to
Front Loading Issuance For Budget Financing 25% from gross target,
71%
depends on financing need
Pre-funding to optimize cost ahead of potential Fed rate hike
Anticipate developments in global environment Average Tenor Maturity (ATM) for Government Securities:
Government Securities target for 1st semester 2017 is 57.4 % from 6-8 years
gross issuance target
Government Securities target in Rupiah for 1st semester 2017 is
42.7% from gross issuancce target
Stable Debt to GDP Ratio Over the Years Remarkable Debt Reduction Initiative Over the Past 10 Years
US$ bn Government Debt / GDP (%) Change in Debt to GDP Ratio (2007 2017) (%)
300 27,4 28,3 28,1 30 Philippines-27,07
24,9 24,7 Turkey -21,94
250 23 54,65 25
54,37 Indonesia -12,88
200 54,74 20 India -8,43
63,76 54,47 Argentina -2,75
56,61
150 15 Thailand 16,18
Brazil 27,32
100 206,95 220,98 10
174,7 Malaysia 40,31
140,76 136,27 155,24 Mexico 52,33
50 5
Vietnam 55,08
0 0 South Africa 93,46
Russia 113,56
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* May 2017
Securities (LHS) Loans (LHS) Gross Debt/GDP (%) (RHS) -40,00 10,00 60,00 110,00
Source: Ministry of Finance Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April 2017
Weighted Average Debt Maturity of ~8.9 Years** (As of June 2017) Well Diversified Across Different Currencies
8,8
56% 53% 57% 56% 58% 59%
8,5
8,3
8,0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jun-17
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jun-17 IDR USD JPY EUR Others***
Source: Ministry of Finance
Source: Ministry of Finance
*Based on 2016 realization, ** Using GDP assumption in 2016 R-Budget, ***SDR, AUD, and other
51
Well Balanced Maturity Profile With Strong Resilience
Against External Shocks
Declining Interest Rate Risks Declining Exchange Rate Risks
% %
25 22,5 23,2 50 46,7
44,4 43,4 44,5
21,0 20,7 41,8
19,3 40,8
20 17,8 40
16,2 16,0
14,8
15 13,7
12,3 30
11,2
10 20
11,7 10,7 12,2 11,7 11,0
10,2
5 10
0 0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* Jun-17 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* Jun-17
Variable Rate Ratio Refixing Rate FX Debt to GDP Ratio** FX Debt to Total Debt Ratio
200 30,0
112
23,0 23,5
128
88
71
20,0
18
44
21
116
189
201
100
5
12
9,1
168
66 17
10,0
126
124
116
52 16
107
101
100
100
50
22 28
28 28
98
97
23 31
90
20 21
22 23
29 20
26 1
5 29
53
45
0 27
39
151
0 0,0
72
32,6 30,5
40
20 38,1 38,2 38,9 39,1 37,5 37,8 37,5 38,2 39,0 39,1 39,5
30,8 33,0 32,5
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan-16 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17
(IDR tn)
Description Dec-14 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17
Banks* 375.55 31.04% 350.07 23.95% 361.54 21.95% 399.46 22.53% 399.19 20.45%
Govt Institutions (Bank
41.63 3.44% 148.91 10.19% 150.13 9.12% 134.25 7.57% 175.89 9.01%
Indonesia**)
Bank Indonesia (gross) 149.07 9.05% 157.88 8.90% 180.28 9.23%
GS used for Monetary
-1.05 -0.06% 23.63 1.33% 4.39 0.22%
Operation
Non-Banks 792.78 65.52% 962.86 65.87% 1135.18 68.93% 1239.57 69.90% 1377.15 70.54%
Mutual Funds 45.79 3.78% 61.60 4.21% 76.44 4.64% 85.66 4.83% 91.56 4.69%
Insurance Company 150.60 12.45% 171.62 11.74% 214.47 13.02% 238.24 13.43% 254.21 13.02%
Foreign Holders 461.35 38.13% 558.52 38.21% 643.99 39.10% 665.81 37.55% 770.55 39.47%
Foreign Govt's&Central
103.42 8.55% 110.32 7.55% 118.53 7.20% 120.84 6.81% 131.94 6.76%
Banks
Pension Fund 43.30 3.58% 49.83 3.41% 3.93% 4.92% 89.11 4.56%
64.67 87.28
Individual 30.41 2.51% 42.53 2.91% 48.90 2.97% 57.75 3.26% 60.49 3.10%
Others 60.51 5.00% 78.50 5.37% 86.72 5.27% 104.84 5.91% 111.23 5.70%
Total 1,209.96 100% 1,461.85 100% 1,646.85 100% 1,773.28 100% 1,952.23 100.00%
1) Non Resident consists of Private Bank, Fund/Asset Manager, Securities Company, Insurance Company and Pension Fund.
2) Others such as Securities Company, Corporation, and Foundation.
*) Including the Government Securities used in monetary operation with Bank Indonesia.
**) net, excluding Government Securities used in monetary operation with Banks.
(IDR mn)
55
Positive Response of Government Securities Issuance in 2016
Tenure 10 yr 30 yr 5 yr 10yr 7 yr 12 yr 3 yr 5 yr
th th th st ,
Pricing Date December 8 , 2015 March 29 , 2016 June 14 , 2016 June 21 2016
US$ 1.25
Nominal US$ 2.25 bn US$0.75 bn US$1.75 bn EUR 1.5 bn EUR 1.5 bn JPY62 bn JPY38 bn
bn
Coupon Rate 4.75% 5.95% 3.40% 4.55% 2.625% 3.750% 0.83% 1.16%
Yield 4.80% 6.00% 3.40% 4.55% 2.772% 3.906% 0.83% 1.16%
Incoming Bid US$8.1 bn US$8.6 bn EUR 8.4 bn JPY100 bn
IDR bn
Incoming Bid 2016 Awarded Bid 2016 Bid to Cover Ratio 2016 (RHS)
The BI Board of Governors agreed on 19th and 20th July 2017 to hold the BI 7-days Repo Rate at
4.75%, as well as the Deposit Facility at 4.00% and Lending Facility at 5.50%
58
Bank Indonesia Policy Mix: 2015-2017
16 Jun 2016
Cut BI Rate 25 bps to 6.5%, DF
14 Jan 2016 & LF Rate at 4.5% & 7.0%
Cut BI Rate 25 respectively
bps to 7.25%, DF Relaxed the loan-to-value ratio 19 Aug 2016 20 Oct 2016
26 Jun 2015 18 Mar 2016 19 Jan 20 July
& LF Rate at (LTV) and financing-to-value Held BI 7- Cut BI 7-day
RR-LDR Cut BI Rate 2017
5.25% & 7.75% ratio (FTV) on housing day RR Rate RR Rate to
RR-LFR 25 bps to Held BI 7-day RR
BI lower its loans/financing and DF Rate 4.75%, DF and
Accomodate 6.75%, DF & Rate at 4.75%,
monetary Relaxed partially prepaid at 5.25% LF Rate to
banks SMEs LF Rate at DF Rate at 4.00%
operation rates loans/financing and 4.5% 4.00% and
loan in RR 4.75% & and LF Rate at
even further, Raised the floor on the Reserve Cut LF Rate 5.50%
calculation 7.25% 5.5 %
ranging from Requirement - Loan to Funding to 6.00%.
25bps to 45bps Ratio (RR-LFR) from 78% to
(O/N to 1Y) 80%, with the ceiling maintained
at 92%. The change was
effective on Aug. 2016
Rupiah Exchange Rate Remains Comparable to Peers Credit Growth Supported by Macroprudential Policy
YTD 2017* vs. 2016 (YoY) Total Growth Working Capital loans
40% Consumption Loans Investment Loans
0,08
TRY
-16,85
4,51 35%
MYR
-5,57
PHP -1,72 30%
-4,88
EUR 7,96 25%
-2,19
1,08
IDR
-0,19 20%
5,39
KRW 15%
1,60 8,3%
5,61
THB 9,4%
1,62 10%
5,18 8,5%
INR Point to Point Average 2,14
5% 8,7%
-1,60
BRL
9,60
*data as of June 30th, 2017 5,09 0%
ZAR
11,17 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5
%
-20,0 -15,0 -10,0 -5,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Source: Bank Indonesia
60
6 Measures to Control Inflation in 2017
On January 25th, 2017, the Government and Bank Indonesia agreed on six strategic measures to control inflation in 2017 within the target
corridor of 41% (as well as in 2018 at 3.51%), while also setting the inflation targets for 2019-2021 at 3.51%, 31% and 31%
respectively.
1 2 3
Dampening the Introducing
Maintaining volatile food (VF) second-round effect of Administered Price
inflation at 4-5% by: Administered Price Sequencing
adjustments Including the planned conversion of
Example: several direct subsidies to cash transfers
Controlling transportation fares (fertilizer, rice for the poor and 3kg LPG)
Strengthening Developing a Utilising fiscal
infrastructure for food commodity flow data instruments and
logistics in local system, specifically incentives to extend 3kg
areas, particularly for food commodity the local governments
warehousing for role in price stability
4 5 6
storage
Those measures are needed to address several onerous domestic and external challenges that demand vigilance and early mitigations.
The external challenges mainly stem from rising international commodity prices, while the domestic challenges stem from ongoing
energy reform through adjustments of electricity tariffs for 900VA subscribers as well as fuel prices as the global oil prices continues to
rise. The current aforementioned reform is warranted to ensure equitable development and to create more healthy fiscal space.
Source: Bank Indonesia
61
Improving the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission
Bank Indonesia has instituted a Reformulation of Monetary Policy Operations Framework which consists of 3 pillars;
(1) implementation of BI 7day Reverse Repo Rate; (2) implementation of reserve requirement averaging; and
(3) continue to implement money market deepening program.
Reformulation of
Monetary Policy Operational Framework
Implementation of Implementation of
Implementation of Reserve
BI 7 Day Reverse Money Market
Requirement (RR) Deepening Program
Repo Rate Averaging
Enhancement of
Enhancement of monetary Enhancement of banking instruments
policy signal liquidity management and transactions
O/N 1W 2W 3W 1M 3M 6M 12M
JIBOR IBMM Repo FX Swap MO
IBMM: Interbank Money Market MO: Monetary Operation
PREVIOUS JIBOR
Can be traded among contributor banks for 10
minutes.
Up to the amount of Rp10 billion.
Up to 1-month tenor.
Previously, RR ratio is set at 6.5% (fixed) of the TPF (Third Party Fund) and to be maintain on daily basis.
From 1 July 2017, the fulfilment method of RR has been adjusted to daily RR of 5% of TPF and average RR of 1.5% of TPF within
a fixed period
1 2 3
The growth of banking loans has improved from the previous year and is expected to further expand by 9-12% this year. In the
domestic capital markets, capital raising by corporations (particularly right issues and corporate bond issuance) remained strong.
IDR tn
25%
3000 15% 250
8.71%
2000 10% 9.24% 15%
150
1000 5% 5%
50
0 0%
-50 -5%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17
Capital raising through rights issues & corporate bond issuance in H1 Gross premium revenue in the domestic insurance industry is also
- 2017 increased from the same period last year countinuously growing
250
IDR mn
80 67.1
53.8 200
60 147
150
40
100
20 12.1
4.1 50
0 0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-Jun 2017 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-May17
Domestic financial institutions exhibit generally robust condition. Capital adequacy is maintained well above the minimum requirements.
Profitability and leverage are maintained at a sufficient level. Further, gearing (debt-to-equity) ratio of multifinance companies provides
ample room for future growth.
Banking sectors capital adequacy ratio (CAR) was maintained at a high level. Risk-based capital (RBC) of the insurance industry also remains high,
As of May 2017, CAR & Tier 1 Capital was 22.86% & 20.08% respectively well above the minimum threshold (120%)
450% 180%
5,0 RBC - Life Insurance RBC - General Insurance (rhs)
400% 150%
0,0
May-16
Jun-16
Aug-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
May-17
Sep-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jul-16
Mar-17
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17
Gearing ratio of multifinance companies was 3.03 times (well below the
Profitability of the banking sector is relatively stable maximum requirement of 10 times), providing ample room for future growth
%
Net Interest Margin Return on Assets 4
6
5.36
5 3.03
3
4
3 2.46
2 2
0 1
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) 66
Adequate Liquidity, Manageable Credit Risks
Banks are equipped with adequate liquid assets to anticipate depositors withdrawal. Insurance industry also demonstrates an enhanced
level of investment adequacy ratio. The non-performing loan/financing (NPL/NPF) ratio is also maintained below the threshold.
The ratio of liquid assets to deposits in the banking sector was well Investment adequacy ratio in the insurance industry is maintained
maintained at a high level. above 100%
130 125.10
100 18.58 22
120
90 18
88.85 110 116.80
80 14
100
70 10 90
Aug-16
May-16
Jun-16
Nov-16
May-17
Sep-16
Jan-17
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Oct-16
Jul-16
Mar-17
60 6
Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17
As of May 2017, the gross & net NPL ratios of the banking sector NPF ratio in the multifinance industry was 3.45% as of May 2017,
were 3.07% & 1.33% respectively, maintained below the threshold maintained well below the 5% threshold
% 4%
NPL Net NPL Gross
4 3.45%
3.07 3%
3
2 2%
1.33
1 1%
0 0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) 67
Manageable Market Risk Amidst Fluctuations
Being exposed to market fluctuations, financial institutions demonstrated resiliency in dealing with such risks. Net open position of
the banking sector remains low, while the investment value of domestic institutional investors (mutual funds, insurers, and pension
funds) continues to increase.
Net open position in the banking sector was kept far below the The movement of mutual funds net asset value (NAV) is in line
maximum limit (20%) with that of market index, but with much lower volatility
% IDR tn
NAV of Mutual Funds (lhs) IDX Stock Composite Index (rhs)
5
400 6.000
380 5.800
4
360 5.600
3 340 5.400
2.12 320 5.200
2 300 5.000
280 4.800
1
260 4.600
Aug-16
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
May-17
Jun-17
Sep-16
Dec-16
Oct-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jul-16
Jul-17
Mar-17
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17
The investment value of insurers & pension funds remained in an Multifinance companies exposures to foreign debt have generally been
increasing trend mitigated through hedging measures
IDR tn IDR tn IDR tn
Domestic Debt Foreign Debt 162
900 Investment of Insurers Investment of Pension Funds (rhs) 300
160
850 868
800 250 140
750 244
200 120
700
100
650 150
600 80
85
550 100
60
May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17
May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) 68
Capital Market Demonstrate Strengthening Trend
In the middle of unfavorable global environment, the domestic capital markets continues its strengthening trend. The volatility of the
markets is relatively low.
The IDX Stock Composite Index continues to strengthen and is among Both the stock & bond markets are in a strengthening trend in
the best-performing indices in the region (as of July 14th, 2017, ytd) July 2017, with a low level of volatility
WORLD 11,24
230 6.200
THAI 2,26 Comp Bond Index Comp Stock Index (rhs)
KOREA 19,16
INDO 10,10 220
5.700
HKN 19,95
SIN 14,12 210
PHIL 15,28
5.200
CHIN 3,83
MAL 6,90 200
JPN 5,26
4.700
EURO 5,24 190
AS 9,49
RUS -12,18
BRAZ 8,65 180 4.200
May-16
Jun-16
Aug-16
Nov-16
May-17
Jun-17
Jan-16
Sep-16
Jan-17
Apr-16
Apr-17
Feb-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Mar-16
Jul-16
Mar-17
Jul-17
TURK 34,60
% -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40
Despite FFR hike, the equity and government debt markets still In line with the stabilizing IDR and improving domestic prospects, the
attract nonresident inflows government bond yields continued to decline
IDR tn Yield (%)
5-yr Yield 10-yr Yield 20-yr Yield
120
100 Gov't Debt Securities Equity 10
80
60 9
40
20 8
-9
0
-20 7
-5
-40
2015
Aug-16
Jan-16
May-16
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
May-17
Jun-17
Sep-16
Dec-16
Apr-16
Apr-17
Feb-16
Oct-16
Feb-17
Jul-16
Jul-17
Mar-16
Mar-17
Aug-16
Jan-16
May-16
Jun-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
May-17
Jun-17
Sep-16
Dec-16
Apr-16
Apr-17
Feb-16
Oct-16
Feb-17
Jul-16
Jul-17
Mar-16
Mar-17
Source: Bloomberg, IBPA, Indonesia Stock Exchange, Ministry of Finance
69
Maintaining Financial System Stability
maintaining resilience in confronting possible shocks and enhancing financial system stability
First Priority:
Continuous Basis
Market Development Coordination
Money Market
Encourage well-functioning money market (deep and efficient, risk mitigation, and market integrity), through:
Bank Indonesia Regulation (PBI) on Negotiable Certificate of Deposit (NCD) Corporate
Enriching money market instruments, encourage banks to raise long term funding, and acts as an alternative Bonds
investment for investors Government
Monitoring, match Bank Indonesia Regulation (PBI) on Commercial Paper Bonds
making, and Alternative sources of financing for non-bank corporations, as well as an investment outlet for investors
Medium term
solution:
notes
Repo FX Market
Development roadmap of Indonesia CCP in OTC Derivatives Other
Hedging
To support FX market development and reduce market segmentation. instruments
Establish Local Currency Settlement Framework Infrastructure
Reducing dependency on USD payment for international trade. (ETP, etc)
Encourage product development to increase hedging Supply in domestic market
To provide hedging instrument alternative for corporations to manage their risk exposure
Supporting Regulations
Strengthening JISDOR Money Broker Certification of Dealer and Code of Conduct
Inter-agency Cooperation
On April 2016, the Minister of Finance, the Governor of Bank Indonesia, and the Chairman of the Board of Commissioners
of the Financial Services Authority have launched a Coordination Forum for the Development Financing through Financial
Market (FK-PPPK). The three authorities have agreed to formulate The National Strategy to Develop Indonesian Financial
Market Towards 2025 which is expected to be concluded by the end of 2017/early 2018.
4 Banks 74 Banks
Transaction
4 Banks 47 Banks
Daily Volume
1
Effective from August 24th, 2016, Bank Indonesia raised the lower limit of the primary reserve requirements loan financing ratio
(GWM LFR) from 78% to 80% with the upper limit unchanged at 92%, in order to support credit growth.
2
Effective from August 29th, 2016, Bank Indonesia relaxed the Loan to Value Ratio (LTV) and Financing to Value Ratio (FTV) on
housing loans at 85-90% for the first mortgage lending facility, 80-85% for the second mortgage lending facility, and 75-80% for
the third mortgage lending facility. The relaxation is only applicable to banks with nett NPL for total loan below 5% and gross
NPL for property loan/financing below 5%.
The rationale is to stimulate domestic demand in order to drive domestic economic growth momentum while maintaining
compliance to prudential principles.
House House
<21 m2 - - - <21 m2 - - -
Apartment Apartment
Expansion of the distribution channels for financial Strengthening the capital of Islamic financial
products & services institutions
Development of sustainable finance regulations Spin-off of the Islamic business units of commercial
Utilization of KYC information from third parties banks
Facilitating access to capital market as a source of Development of Islamic financial product regulations
funding (e.g. simplification of public offering (sukuk, mutual funds, asset-backed securities)
procedures) Continuous education & socialization on Islamic
Capital market deepening initiatives financial products & services
NCSA Programs
Pilot Project
2016-2020
9876543210
XXYYZZ
12345678
Full
Implementation
Non Cash
Food Assistance
LPG
Subsidy
Interconnected &
interoperable
payment system
76
Progress of NCSA Programs
77
Stronger Fundamentals Facing the Headwinds
Inflation Rate (%) IDR Movement (%) Foreign Reserves (USD bn)
Significantly higher than 1998 & 2008, ample to cover
Inflation controlled within the target range IDR still appreciated in H1 - 2017
8.6 months of import and external debt repayment
Sep-15
June 17 4.37 (yoy)
6,8 Sep 16
June 17 5,62
1.1 (ytd) Sep-15
June 17 123.09
Agu-15
May 17 3.07
2,8
1998 2008 June 17
Jul-15
2016
5.02% 3.02% 1.8% 7.9%
(Realization)
Challenges Further FFR hikes Ongoing consolidation in the corporate and banking
Feds plan to shed its large balance sheet sectors
Uncertainties in the US fiscal policy
Government of Indonesia
Project Viability
Guarantee Availability Land
Development Funding Tax Facilities
Fund Payment Acquisition
Facility (PDF) Gap (VGF)
On December 12th, 2016, Indonesia Asset Management Agency (Lembaga Manajemen Aset Negara/LMAN) has been launched
to optimize the use of state assets. LMAN should plan for funding and utilization of land banks as well as pay compensation
for land acquisition to support the governments infrastructure development program
Mandate
Legal Basis
1. Property Management
2. Land Funding for
1. Government Regulation
National Strategic Project
No.27/2014 on the Management
of State/Region Property
2. Finance Minister Regulation
No.219/PMK/2015 on the Portfolio Assets
Governance and Organization of
State Asset Management 1. Asset of ex-Pertamina: LNG Badak
Bontang, LNG Arun, and
3. Finance Minister Regulation Tarogong Land
No.1319/KMK.05/2015 on the
Appointment of Indonesia Asset 2. Asset of ex-Indonesian Bank
Management Agency as Restructuring Agency (BPPN)
Government Agency to Implement Other portfolio: Asset of ex-Asset
Financial Management of Public Management Company (PPA) and ex-
Service Agency Contractor Cooperation Contract
(KKKS)
93
Projects 1
2 Programs
National
10
12 Projects
Proyek Projects
US$100 Bn
US$81.9 Bn
Projects 15
US$0.8 Bn
74 23 10 30 54 7 4 6 12 1 1
TION
1 1
Small-
Electricity PROGRAM Medium PROGRAM
Airplane
Exchange rate: US$ 1 = IDR 13,000
85
PSN may receive privileges as stipulated in the Presidential Reg.
No. 3/2016 j.o. the Presidential Reg. No. 58/2017
11 02
Accelerate Goods and
Spatial Planning
Service Procurement
10 03
08 05
SOEs Assignment 07 06 Local Content
Utilization
Existing Facilities
86
Progress on 245 National Strategic Projects
IDR 4,197 tn
6. Maluku & Papua 13 calculated for 245 NSP.
3. Kalimantan 24 Excluding cost of 16 NSP with
SOE unknown investment cost.
4. Sulawesi 27 7. National 12
(IDR1,258 tn)
SECTORS
Private
(IDR2,414 tn)
Communi National Economic
Road Irrigation
-cation Borders Zones
Progress of National Strategic Projects (as of June 2017)
74 4 3 30 7
2%
Housin Fisheries/ Water Sea
g
Energy Maritime Supply
Airport
dike
5 projects are completed
40% 130 projects are under construction1
3 12 1 9 8 1
53% 12 projects are during transaction
Aircraft
Seapor Smelte
Railway Dams Power industr 100 projects are in preparation
t r
y
5% 1Including one electricity program under construction
category (39% of electricity program has reached
10 23 54 6 1 1 construction per April 2017)
From the National Strategic Projects, the Government has selected a list of 30 Priority Project to be the focus of
infrastructure delivery in the beginning of 2016.
4
8
4 9
1 29
2 29
4 4
30 26
20 29 29
25 29
29
24 29
4
14 4 29 29
5 16 7 29
4
4 17 13 27
Construction 6
3 15 23 22 21
Transaction 18 28
10 12
Preparation 11 19
Reassessed
Private
(IDR770 tn) 1
5 projects reassessed include HVDC; Mine Mouth South Sumatera 8,9,10 Plant;
Karangkates IV & V, Kesamben and Lodoyo Plants.
Cabinet Meeting
Theres electricity crisis in The progress so far: June17
Indonesia, requires construction
of large capacity plant " 35,000 MW Program Distribution
Kalimantan Sulawesi No Phase MW %
PLN: 900 MW PLN: 2,000 MW
Papua
Private: 1,735 MW Private: 1,470 MW
PLN : 220 MW 1 Operating 758 2
Transmission: 5,604 ckt.km Transmission: 5,275 ckt.km
Private: 0 MW
Substation: 3,500 MVA Substation: 4,390 MVA
Transmission: 364 ckt.km 2 Construction 14,593 41
Substation: 460 MVA
Sumatera 3 Signed Power-purchase Agreement 8,150 23
PLN: 1,100 MW
Private: 8,990 MW 4 Procurement 5,355 15
Transmission: 18,729 ckt.km
Substation: 35,521 MVA 5 Planning 6,970 19
Maluku
Nusa Tenggara PLN: 260 MW
Jawa & Bali Source: KPPIP
PLN: 670 MW Private: 12 MW
PLN: 5,000 MW
Private: 0 MW Transmission: 653 ckt.km
Private: 13,697 MW
Transmission: 2,347 ckt.km Substation: 620 MVA
Transmission: 9,185 ckt.km
Substation: 1,410 MVA
Substation: 66,265 MVA
Source: PLN
90
Acceleration of 35.000 MW Program
The Government has issued Presidential Regulation No. 4/2016 on Electricity Infrastructure Acceleration to accelerate power projects
PT PLN
Provision of Electricity
1 2A 2B
Strengthen Equity
Strengthen PLNs Balance Sheet
Loan from Equity Injection by PT PLNs divident
independent lenders the Government allocation
Refinancing Hedging
Bond issuance Asset Direct Company
by PT PLN Revaluation Lending Tax Holiday *)SJKU=Surat Jaminan
Financial Asset Optimization Kelayakan Usaha/
Direct Other types Business Viability
Lending of funding Guarantee Letter
Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP) 91
Significant Progress on Infrastructure Projects
Roads Improving Monitoring System on Infrastructure Projects1
Trans-Sumatra Toll Road Merah Putih Bridge, Ambon Database Platform data outlook
Dams Drinking Water Processing
Project information that is efficient and
such as map, track, functional using a
existing study and user-friendly
latest project status. framework.
Jatigede Dam (Operational) Umbulan Drinking Water Provision System, East Java
Transportation
Investment
No. Company Product Input Capacity (ton) Progress Completion Date
(US$ mn)
PT Indonesia Chemical
1 Chemical Grade Alumina 851.725 0,49 100% 2013
Alumina
Financing Govt Financing SOE Private PPP scheme and facilities provided to PPP Projects
Needs Budget Gap
Source: Ministry of Finance
95
95
Management of Contingent Liabilities
Government Guarantee Program and Portfolios 2008 - Present Guarantee Program Based on Guarantee Classification
Committed
Exposure/
Power (Electricity) Full credit guarantee for Central Government Guarantee Guarantee Guarantee
No. Outstanding
for Infrastructure Programs Documents Amount
PLNs default on its payment obligation (FTP (USD bn)1
(USD bn)1
1 10,000 MW, 35GW)
Water 70% guarantee of PDAMs principal
Coal Power Plant 10,000MW Fast
payment obligation 1 36 6,98 3,47
Track Program (FTP 1)
Credit Infrastructure - Full credit guarantee on
Guarantee SOEs default (for lending from international
2 Clean Water Supply Program 10 0,02 0,01
financial institution) & guarantee for PT SMI
(local infrastructure financing)
Direct Lending from International
Toll road Full credit guarantee on Hutama 3 2 1,10 0,23
Financial Institution to SOEs
Karyas payment obligation (Sumatra Toll
Road Development) 4 Sumatra Toll Road Development 3 0,20 0,07
For the period 2017 2020, the Maximum Guarantee Limit is set at 6% of GDP
In compliance with the guarantee limit, with projected 2020 GDP of IDR 18,000tn (eq. USD 1,349bn),
the capacity for guarantee issuance during 2017-2020 is IDR 1,083tn (eq. USD 81bn) cumulative
96
Government Financial Facilities for PPP Projects
Financial Facilities to Attract More Private Participation More Funding Schemes are on the Pipelines
Those financial facilities were instrumental in supporting the execution of Scheme Characteristics
PPP projects, indicated by the signing of financial close
of the following PPP projects: Asset is owned by private sector
Greenfield / brownfield / operating projects
97
Progress of PPP Infrastructure Projects
Project Cost
No Project Name Financial Facilities Status
(IDR tn)
1 Central Java Power Plant 40 Guarantee (MoF & IIGF) FC on June 6th, 2016; Construction 30%; COD Target: May 2020
2 Palapa Ring West Package 1.28 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on August 11th, 2016; COD target: February 2018
3 Palapa Ring Central Package 1.38 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on September 29th, 2016; COD target: March 2018
4 Palapa Ring East Package 5.13 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on March 29th, 2017; COD target: September 2018
5 Umbulan Water 2.1 PDF, VGF & IIGF Guarantee FC on August 30th, 2016; COD target: July 2019
Project Cost
No Project Name Financial Facilities Status
(IDR tn)
1 BatangSemarang Toll Road 11 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on April 27th, 2016
2 ManadoBitung Toll Road 5.1 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
3 SamarindaBalikpapan Toll Road 9.9 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
4 PandaanMalang Toll Road 5.9 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
5 SerpongBalaraja Toll Road 6.0 - PPP contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
6 JakartaCikampek Elevated Toll Road 14.8 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts both signed on December 5th,
2016 and February 22nd, 2017
7 KrianLegundi-Krian Toll Road 9.0 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts both signed on December 5th,
2016 and February 22nd, 2017
8 SerangPanimbang Toll Road 5.3 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts signed on February 22nd, 2017
9 CileunyiSumedang-Dawuan Toll 8.2 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts signed on February 22nd, 2017
Road
Source: Ministry of Finance, as of July 2017 98
New Guarantee Schemes for Non-PPP Projects
The Government had issued Presidential Regulation No 82/2015 and Ministry of Finance Regulation No 189/2015 to provide
guarantee for SOE Direct Lending from IFIs for the Development of Infrastructure Projects.
The objective of this guarantee is to provide credit enhancement in terms of low interest rate and long tenor financing,
with 3 main principles:
The Government issued government guarantees to loans of PT. Hutama Karya in the development of Trans-Sumatera Toll Road, as
comprise as follow:
100
Progress of SOEs Projects
Project Cost
No Project Name Lender SOE Status
(IDR mn)
1 Sumatera Power Transmission and 600 ADB PT. PLN Guarantee is effective
Distribution
2 Sumatera Power Distribution 500 World Bank PT. PLN Guarantee is effective
3 The Enhancement of Electricity Grid 330 IDB PT. PLN Preparation of guarantee issuance
(recommendation to the Minister of
Minister for Approval)
Guarantee Commited
No Program SOE Number of Guarantees
(IDR bn)
1 Fast Track Program 1 6.98 PT. PLN 36
101