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Tabla 4-4: Analisis de doble masa de datos de precipitacion

Valores de Precipitacin Anual Valores de Precipitacin Anual Acumulado


Ao
Quiulla Casaracra La Cima La Oroya Promedio Quiulla Casaracra
1985 675.4 637.7 452.0 889.8 663.7 675.4 637.7
1986 673.6 736.5 558.5 1076.0 1424.9 1349.0 1374.2
1987 542.3 590.0 500.8 1083.7 2104.1 1891.3 1964.2
1988 651.3 588.3 606.7 1002.5 2816.3 2542.6 2552.5
1989 598.8 700.6 607.8 635.7 3452.0 3141.4 3253.1
1990 459.1 639.9 714.8 713.6 4083.9 3600.5 3893.0
1991 602.1 729.6 722.0 507.8 4724.2 4202.6 4622.6
1992 802.8 845.2 868.8 485.2 5474.7 5005.4 5467.8
1993 637.8 976.5 742.3 668.5 6231.0 5643.2 6444.3
1994 618.3 886.8 584.0 568.2 6895.3 6261.5 7331.1
1995 719.0 816.5 716.4 502.8 7584.0 6980.5 8147.6
1996 511.1 663.9 646.3 349.4 8126.7 7491.6 8811.5
1997 565.4 712.6 688.2 514.9 8747.0 8057.0 9524.1
1998 750.3 914.8 947.1 407.9 9502.0 8807.3 10438.9
1999 507.6 469.1 645.3 687.6 10079.4 9314.9 10908.0
on

P re cip itacio n an u al acu m .(m m )


pitacin Anual Acumulado
La Cima La Oroya
452.0 889.8
1010.5 1965.8
1511.3 3049.5 Figura 4-2: Diagrama de doble masa referido al promedio
2118.0 4052.0
12000.0
2725.8 4687.7
3440.6 5401.3 10000.0

4162.6 5909.1 8000.0


5031.4 6394.3 6000.0
5773.7 7062.8
4000.0
6357.7 7631.0
7074.1 8133.8 2000.0

7720.4 8483.2 0.0


8408.6 8998.1 0.0 2000.0 4000.0 6000.0 8000.0 10000.0 12000

9355.7 9406.0 Quiulla Promedio


Casaracra La Cima
de precipitacion anual acumuladaLa Oroya
(mm)
10001.0 10093.6
P re cip itacio n an u al acu m . (m m )

Figura 4-3: Diagrama de doble masa referido a la estacion Indice

12000.0

10000.0

8000.0

6000.0

4000.0

2000.0

0.0
0.0 1000.0 2000.0 3000.0 4000.0 5000.0 6000.0 7000.0 8000.0 9000.010000.

Casaracra anual acumulada


Precipitacion La Ci ma EstacionLa Oroya
Quiulla(mm)
al promedio

8000.0 10000.0 12000.0

lma
acumuladaLa Oroya
(mm)

erido a la estacion Indice

0.0 7000.0 8000.0 9000.010000.0

acionLa Oroya
Quiulla(mm)
TABLA 1: PRECIPITACION TOTAL MENSUAL (mm) ESTACION LA OROYA

DEPARTAMENTO: JUNIN PROVINCIA: YAULI DISTRITO: LA OROYA


LATITUD: 11 31' LONGITUD: 75 54' ALTITUD: 3160 msnm

Ao Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Set. Oct.

1985 149.7 133.4 106.1 66.0 17.6 36.7 13.4 8.0 50.9 47.2
1986 179.4 193.0 192.1 153.3 35.3 0.6 25.4 57.2 72.3 51.7
1987 185.6 126.6 85.1 25.9 37.2 22.7 50.2 29.4 55.8 78.2
1988 198.9 139.9 96.4 107.5 12.4 0.0 2.2 0.0 45.2 102.1
1989 94.5 89.3 88.7 43.3 6.9 4.2 1.5 39.1 41.4 55.1
1990 162.0 38.6 33.5 33.5 33 31.9 11.9 39.2 45.4 116.0
1991 50.2 49.5 99.8 29.1 27.1 29.0 2.4 0.0 69.9 48.8
1992 45.6 43.9 31.1 25.9 18.9 30.8 7.9 8.7 52.5 64.1
1993 79.4 72.9 83.5 34.6 10.7 32.6 13.3 17.3 35.1 79.4
1994 88.1 100.8 64.6 80.1 19.8 1.6 0.0 8.4 34.3 42.6
1995 106.2 96.7 62.8 48.3 7.1 0.0 10.5 2.8 19.6 30.2
1996 52.9 68.2 51.3 52.6 8.6 0.0 0.0 5.4 9.8 26.7
1997 75.6 104.0 45.5 26.6 8.0 0.7 1.5 26.2 62.6 44.0
1998 95.7 70.3 48.6 28.9 7.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 47.5
1999 112.9 125.6 90.2 61.8 10.7 3.7 18.4 4.9 42.6 44.1
MAX. 198.9 193.0 192.1 153.3 37.2 36.7 50.2 57.2 72.3 116.0
MED. 111.8 96.8 78.6 54.5 17.4 13.0 10.6 16.4 42.6 58.5
MIN. 45.6 38.6 31.1 25.9 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 26.7
D.EST 52.3 40.9 39.1 35.8 11.1 14.8 16.5 17.6 20.2 28.9

Aos Precip. P. Correg. Periodo Periodo2 Figura 1 : Serie historica de pre


Precipitacion (mm)

1985 1 149.7 81.6 n 61 119 250


2 133.4 72.89 Media A 79.5 44.1
3 106.1 58.31 Desv. Es 61.4 32.8
4 66.0 36.89 200
5 17.6 11.03
6 36.7 21.24
150
7 13.4 8.789
8 8.0 5.905
9 50.9 28.82 100
10 47.2 26.85
11 86.7 47.95
12 174.1 50
94.64
1986 13 179.4 97.47
14 193.0 104.7 0
15 192.1 104.3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
T
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
T
16 153.3 83.52
17 35.3 20.49
18 0.6 1.951
19 25.4 15.2
20 57.2 32.19
21

Precipitacion (mm)
72.3 40.25 Figura 2: Serie historica de precip
22 51.7 29.25
23 40.9 23.48 250
24 74.7 41.54
1987.0 25 185.6 100.8 200
26 126.6 69.26
27 85.1 47.09 150
28 25.9 15.47
29 37.2 21.5
30 100
22.7 13.76
31 50.2 28.45
32 29.4 17.34 50
33 55.8 31.44
34 78.2 43.41 0
35 192.4 104.4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
36 194.6 105.6
1988.0 37 198.9 107.9 Datos Origina
38 139.9 76.37
39 96.4 53.13
40 107.5 59.06
41 12.4 8.255
42 0.0 1.631
43 2.2 2.806
44 0.0 1.631
45 45.2 25.78
46 102.1 56.17
47 133.1 72.73
48 164.9 89.72
1989.0 49 94.5 52.11
50 89.3 49.34
51 88.7 49.01
52 43.3 24.76
53 6.9 5.317
54 4.2 3.875
55 1.5 2.432
56 39.1 22.52
57 41.4 23.75
58 55.1 31.07
59 116.4 63.81
60 55.3 31.17
1990.0 61 162.0 88.17
62 38.6 38.6
63 33.5 33.5
64 33.5 33.5
65 33 33
66 31.9 31.9
67 11.9 11.9
68 39.2 39.2
69 45.4 45.4
70 116.0 116.0
71 99.7 99.7
72 68.9 68.9
1991.0 73 50.2 50.2
74 49.5 49.5
75 99.8 99.8
76 29.1 29.1
77 27.1 27.1
78 29.0 29.0
79 2.4 2.4
80 0.0 0.0
81 69.9 69.9
82 48.8 48.8
83 52.9 52.9
84 49.1 49.1
1992.0 85 45.6 45.6
86 43.9 43.9
87 31.1 31.1
88 25.9 25.9
89 18.9 18.9
90 30.8 30.8
91 7.9 7.9
92 8.7 8.7
93 52.5 52.5
94 64.1 64.1
95 89.3 89.3
96 66.6 66.6
1993.0 97 79.4 79.4
98 72.9 72.9
99 83.5 83.5
100 34.6 34.6
101 10.7 10.7
102 32.6 32.6
103 13.3 13.3
104 17.3 17.3
105 35.1 35.1
106 79.4 79.4
107 125.6 125.6
108 84.1 84.1
1994.0 109 88.1 88.1
110 100.8 100.8
111 64.6 64.6
112 80.1 80.1
113 19.8 19.8
114 1.6 1.6
115 0.0 0.0
116 8.4 8.4
117 34.3 34.3
118 42.6 42.6
119 38.2 38.2
120 89.7 89.7
1995.0 121 106.2 106.2
122 96.7 96.7
123 62.8 62.8
124 48.3 48.3
125 7.1 7.1
126 0.0 0.0
127 10.5 10.5
128 2.8 2.8
129 19.6 19.6
130 30.2 30.2
131 41.9 41.9
132 76.7 76.7
1996.0 133 52.9 52.9
134 68.2 68.2
135 51.3 51.3
136 52.6 52.6
137 8.6 8.6
138 0.0 0.0
139 0.0 0.0
140 5.4 5.4
141 9.8 9.8
142 26.7 26.7
143 35.7 35.7
144 38.2 38.2
1997.0 145 75.6 75.6
146 104.0 104.0
147 45.5 45.5
148 26.6 26.6
149 8.0 8.0
150 0.7 0.7
151 1.5 1.5
152 26.2 26.2
153 62.6 62.6
154 44.0 44.0
155 48.8 48.8
156 71.4 71.4
1998.0 157 95.7 95.7
158 70.3 70.3
159 48.6 48.6
160 28.9 28.9
161 7.3 7.3
162 0.5 0.5
163 0.0 0.0
164 0.0 0.0
165 2.0 2.0
166 47.5 47.5
167 57.8 57.8
168 49.3 49.3
1999.0 169 112.9 112.9
170 125.6 125.6
171 90.2 90.2
172 61.8 61.8
173 10.7 10.7
174 3.7 3.7
175 18.4 18.4
176 4.9 4.9
177 42.6 42.6
178 44.1 44.1
179 82.8 82.8
180 89.8 89.8
N LA OROYA

DISTRITO: LA OROYA DEPARTAMENTO: JUNIN PROVINCIA: YAULI


ALTITUD: 3160 msnm LATITUD: 11 31' LONGITUD: 75 54'

Nov. Dic. Tot. Ao Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago.

86.7 174.1 889.8 1985 81.6 72.9 58.3 36.9 11.0 21.2 8.8 5.9
40.9 74.7 1075.9 1986 97.5 104.7 104.3 83.5 20.5 2.0 15.2 32.2
192.4 194.6 1083.7 1987 100.8 69.3 47.1 15.5 21.5 13.8 28.4 17.3
133.1 164.9 1002.6 1988 107.9 76.4 53.1 59.1 8.3 1.6 2.8 1.6
116.4 55.3 635.7 1989 52.1 49.3 49.0 24.8 5.3 3.9 2.4 22.5
99.7 68.9 713.6 1990 88.2 38.6 33.5 33.5 33 31.9 11.9 39.2
52.9 49.1 507.8 1991 50.2 49.5 99.8 29.1 27.1 29.0 2.4 0.0
89.3 66.6 485.3 1992 45.6 43.9 31.1 25.9 18.9 30.8 7.9 8.7
125.6 84.1 668.5 1993 79.4 72.9 83.5 34.6 10.7 32.6 13.3 17.3
38.2 89.7 568.2 1994 88.1 100.8 64.6 80.1 19.8 1.6 0.0 8.4
41.9 76.7 502.8 1995 106.2 96.7 62.8 48.3 7.1 0.0 10.5 2.8
35.7 38.2 349.4 1996 52.9 68.2 51.3 52.6 8.6 0.0 0.0 5.4
48.8 71.4 514.9 1997 75.6 104.0 45.5 26.6 8.0 0.7 1.5 26.2
57.8 49.3 407.9 1998 95.7 70.3 48.6 28.9 7.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
82.8 89.8 687.5 1999 112.9 125.6 90.2 61.8 10.7 3.7 18.4 4.9
192.4 194.6 1083.7 MAX. 112.9 125.6 104.3 83.5 33.0 32.6 28.4 39.2
82.8 89.8 672.9 MED. 82.3 76.2 61.5 42.7 14.5 11.6 8.2 12.8
35.7 38.2 349.4 MIN. 45.6 38.6 31.1 15.5 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
51.4 50.8 231.3 D.EST 23.7 27.6 22.8 20.6 9.5 14.1 9.6 13.1

Figura 1 : Serie historica de precipitacion - Estacion La Oroya

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180


Tiempo (aos)
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
Tiempo (aos)

Figura 2: Serie historica de precipitacion corregida - Estacion La Oroya

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180

Tiempo (aos)Datos corregidos


Datos Originales
DISTRITO: LA OROYA
ALTITUD: 3160 msnm

Set. Oct. Nov. Dic. Tot.


28.8 26.8 47.9 94.6 494.9
40.3 29.2 23.5 41.5 594.3
31.4 43.4 104.4 105.6 598.5
25.8 56.2 72.7 89.7 555.2
23.7 31.1 63.8 31.2 359.2
45.4 116.0 99.7 68.9 639.8
69.9 48.8 52.9 49.1 507.8
52.5 64.1 89.3 66.6 485.3
35.1 79.4 125.6 84.1 668.5
34.3 42.6 38.2 89.7 568.2
19.6 30.2 41.9 76.7 502.8
9.8 26.7 35.7 38.2 349.4
62.6 44.0 48.8 71.4 514.9
2.0 47.5 57.8 49.3 407.9
42.6 44.1 82.8 89.8 687.5
69.9 116.0 125.6 105.6 687.5
34.9 48.7 65.7 69.8 528.9
2.0 26.7 23.5 31.2 349.4
20.3 27.7 29.9 22.8 109.2
ANALISIS ESTADISTICO
PRUEBA t:

1er. Periodo: N1 = 61 P1 = 79,5 S1 = 61,4

2do. Periodo: N2 = 119 P2 = 44,1 S2 = 32,8 5.04993

alfa = 0,05 G.L = 178 Sp = 44.5 Sd = 7,01 Tc = 5,05


44.5417819253 0.5517 Tt = 1.97

Como Tc > Tt, existe salto en la Media

PRUEBA: F
Como S1>S2 alfa = 0,05 G.L.N 60 G.L.D 118 Fc = 3,50

Ft = 1,43
Como Fc > Ft, existe salto en la des
Tc > Tt, existe salto en la Media

3.5042013682

#VALUE!
o Fc > Ft, existe salto en la desv. Estandar

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