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9
LEARNING OUTCOMES
By the end of this topic, you should be able to:
1. Define decision-making;
By the end of this topic, you should be able to:
2. Compare and contrast the classical, administrative, incremental
INTRODUCTION
The success of any organisation often lies in its administrators possessing effective
decision-making skills. This may involve taking risks and making a courageous decision
which can make or break the organisation. Decision making is one of the most important
activities that requires daily engagement of the school administrator. March (2010),
suggested that administration is decision making, as it significantly impacts a schools
operation. Effective decisions help organisations like schools achieve their objectives,
increase efficiency, facilitate
innovation and motivate employees to face problems and challenges. Lunenburg (2010)
highlighted that it is a fallacy to think that only leaders and administrators make
decisions. In todays schools, decisions are being made at all levels of the hierarchy
structure including teachers and the non-administrative personnel. Hence, Lunenburg
views decision making as a people process and the way forward for organisations is
shared decision making. Nonetheless, Hoy and Miskel (2013) note that sometimes
decision making remains as good intentions until decisions are converted into actions.
Your ability to solve problems and make good decisions is the true measure of your
skill as a leader.
Every day, all of us are often inundated with having to make decisions. At the personal
level, we often have to decide what to have for lunch, what to wear for an evening out,
where to go for a holiday and how much to spend on a collectors item. At the
workplace, decision making is a basic task of management at all levels and everyday both
leaders and employees make big and small yet important decisions throughout the day.
Great leaders are often effective decision makers as they need to make decisions that can
take the "team" forward.
A wise leader often opts for participative and collaborative approach in making important
decisions. Nonetheless, these approaches do not apply in all situations. Hence, as depicted
in Figure 9.2, leaders must weigh all alternatives and factors before deciding on the level
of employee involvement in shared decision making
Figure 9.2: Alternatives and factors before deciding on the level of employee involvement in
shared decision-making
As follows are the elaborations on each of the points illustrated in Figure 9.2:
(a) Time
If time is short, the leader has to make a decision without consulting others due to
urgency. Usually, collaborative decisions that involve collaboration from others
require more time compared to a decision made alone. Similarly, any at stake,
decisions also require the leader to schedule more time for involvement. This is true
if other members are not available or not in town due to other work commitments.
Even if everyone else is present, the time taken to deliberate before a final decision
is made is a luxury which many schools cannot afford.
ACTIVITY 9.1
The classical model is often referred to as the traditional model of decision making and it
employs an optimising strategy. It implies that decisions have to be completely rational
by searching for the best possible alternatives. This is crucial in maximising the
achievement of goals and objectives. It begins with one asking the right questions
followed by seeking a number of alternatives and choosing the best solution to make the
decision. The decision-making process follows the following sequential steps (see Figure
9.3):
This is so because identifying the root of the main problem is often rather challenging.
Sometimes it is rather difficult to identify a problem especially if it is ambiguous and not
well-defined. More importantly, decision makers do not always have access to all the
relevant information to make a rational decision. Furthermore, ones ability to generate
all possible alternatives and understanding
the consequences of each alternative before reaching the best solution is rather
impossible.
SELF-CHECK 9.1
In your opinion, why do scholars consider the classical model an unrealistically
ideal and naive model?
Before we proceed to discuss the model in detail, we first need to keep in mind the
following assumptions about administrative decision making:
Figure 9.5: Question to be asked to ensure the problem is not defined too
narrowly or broadly and reflect on the short-term and long-term problem
According to Lunenberg (2010), the final step in this process is to search for cause-effect
relationships. Kepner and Tregoe (2005) summarise their method of problem analysis as
follows: Begin with problem identification followed by the definition of what the
problem is and is not. Then prioritise the problem and finally test for the cause-effect
relationships.
(a) Generic
Generic problems are problems or issues that arise from established practices, rules,
regulations and policies. Some recurring problems are common every time a new
set of procedure or policy is set in place. For example, the Ministry of Education
has implemented a new assessment policy (for example, formative school based
assessment) and for most school leaders, problems will arise. The usually recurring
generic problems will most probably be a slow or negative uptake of the policy or
teachers lack of knowledge and understanding leading to poor implementation of
the policy. In most cases, such recurring problems are regularly handled by leaders
putting in place or emphasising standard rules and regulations to ensure teachers
uptake of the policy is positive which can then lead to effective implementation.
(b) Unique.
Unique problems are problems or issues that are new and need a creative solution.
Such problems cannot be responded to by employing a generic source or rule. The
administrator may need to sit with the management team to resolve or discover all
applicable ideas to a problem. The solution may sometimes call for an adjustment
to the existing procedures or structural organisation. In most cases, experiencing
unique events are rare but administrators need to ensure that a distinction is made
between generic and unique problems. At this point, it is important that
administrators keep their guard against two common mistakes: Firstly, do not fall
into the trap of identifying a routine problem as a new problem and conversely, do
not treat a new problem as a routine one.
Once the problem has been categorised, the administrator needs to gather information and
address questions such as (see Figure 9.6):
Figure 9.6: Examples of information and address questions the administrator needs to gather
Rather than rushing to solve the problem, the administrator at this stage needs to spend
some time to establish criteria for a satisfactory outcome. Questions that needed to be
asked include (see Figure 9.7):
Figure 9.7: Questions that needed to be asked to establish criteria for a satisfactory outcome
All questions need to be reflected and debated upon before a final decision is made. It is
advisable that at this stage the administrator rates potential consequences laterally on a
continuum ranging from the least satisficing to the highest satisficing outcome. It is also
pertinent to establish what is satisfactory in the short and long-term basis for the
organisation.
contingences. So in discussion, always begin with the first option and then move on
to the second, third and fourth if possible. Remember to think ahead and if the best
solution cannot be obtained, you need to accept the best satisfying option even
though it may require you to lower your level or criteria of satisfaction. When
selecting the best option keep the following questions in mind (see Figure 9.9):
Upon deciding the best plan of action, be prepared to rethink your entire plan or strategy
chosen. Then develop a suitable plan of action.
SELF-CHECK 9.2
Lindblom and Cohen (1979) were among the pioneers of the incremental model for
decision making. According to them, this decision-making approach is the science of
muddling through because this approach is only feasible when the issues are complicated,
uncertain, and riddled with conflict. The whole process of the Incremental Model is best
described as a successive limited comparisons approach in which the decision makers
only consider a limited set of alternatives by continuously comparing their consequences
until they come to an agreement on a course of action.
The Incremental Model has several distinctive features. First and foremost, this model
does not separate the activity of setting the objectives and generating the alternatives.
Goals and objectives will not be established before analysis of decision. Instead, a
reasonable action course will emerge as possible alternatives and action consequences are
being explored in depth. The greater the problems, the more frequent the objectives will
change according to the evolvement of decisions. Hence, the minimal differences in value
among alternative action courses will serve as the basis for the decision-making process.
Besides that, this model also greatly decreases the number of alternatives. This is because,
it only deliberates alternatives that are similar to the existing situation, only investigates
discrepancies between the present state and anticipated outcomes, and takes no notice of
all outcomes that are outside the interest of the decision makers. This approach also
highlights the reduction of decision-making complexity since it is made manageable. In
educational context, administrators
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354 TOPIC 9 DECISION-MAKING IN SCHOOLS
who only choose a reasonable and narrow set of alternatives will greatly save their time
and energy and avoid possible paralysis as they can make predictions of consequences
with confidence and accuracy.
Last but not least, continual comparison of alternatives in this approach is often an
alternative to theory. In the Classical Model, theory is seen as a pivotal way to bring
relevant knowledge in order to get through particular problems. However, when problems
get more complex, those existing theories which are supposed to guide decisions are
deemed inadequate. Therefore, decision makers are suggested to successively compare
concrete practical alternatives in complex situations, rather than emphasise more
theoretical analyses.
To conclude, the incremental model of decision making has the following important
features:
SELF-CHECK 9.3
What are the major differences between the Incremental Model and the
Classical Model of decision-making?
(b) What decisions move the organisation towards its mission and policy?
Since administrators do not often have time to examine all the information available to
make decisions, the mixed model takes into account the limited capacity and employs
partial information to provide a satisfying solution.
This model has its roots in medicine and hence, like a doctor treating a patient, the doctor
often surveys the symptoms, analyses the difficulties and prescribes the treatment. So in
using the Mixed Scanning Model, administrators need to focus only on the relevant
information, diagnose the symptoms and prescribe the treatment. When doctors fail, they
will try alternative prescriptions and likewise, when administrators fail they too need to
look into alternative solutions.
Therefore, this model uses partial information to reach a satisfactory solution without
getting inundated by examining all the information provided. According to Etzioni,
(1989), this mixed scanning adaptive satisficing model is a mixture of both shallow and
deep examination of relevant and related data and consequently, conducting a detailed
examination of a focused subset of facts and choices. Then further decisions are made if
the result is good or beneficial progress is seen. He further stressed that the model
combines higher order fundamental policy making processes (for example, mission or
policy decisions) with lower order incremental, decisions that evolve from higher order
ones. Hoy and Miskel (2013) further add that the Mixed Scanning Model unites the
rationalism and comprehensiveness of the administrative model with the flexibility and
utility of the incremental model (p. 342).
Etzioni, (1989), put forward seven basic rules or principles underlying the Mixed
Scanning Model. These principles were further fine-tuned by Hoy and Tarter (2003) and
presented as follows:
Figure 9.11: Seven basic rules or principles underlying the Mixed Scanning Model
Source: Hoy and Tarter (2003)
Now, let us look at each one of the basic rules or basic principles:
To sum up, the Mixed Scanning Model is guided by broad organisational goals, policy or
mission and decisions are made incrementally with broad goals in mind. The decisions
are based on relevant and partial information and the search for alternatives is limited to
the problem at hand. The plan of action chosen is usually implemented in stages to ensure
satisfactory outcomes. Further small decisions are made if the progress is good.
The above three questions will guide the decision maker along eight paths each with a
corresponding decision-making strategy such as satisficing, adaptive satisficing or
truncated versions of each and muddling. The final decision to be taken is based on the
three guiding questions and eight paths presented in Figure 9.12.
Grandori (1984) emphasised that the decision strategies are possibly ordered based on
their level of complexity as well as the increasing conflict and uncertainty. This implies
that when decisions are plainly simple with no conflict existing and the attained
information is complete, then an optimising strategy in the Classical Model is seen to be
the most appropriate. Nevertheless, in most organisations, problems are never simple and
without conflict; hence, an optimising strategy is often not a choice.
However, when uncertainty and conflict prevails with insufficient information and the
decision is important, then an administrative decision-making satisficing solution may be
the best choice. The Administrative Model offers flexibility as a decision is made based
on comparing a list of options until a satisfactory solution is discovered due to time
constraints.
On the other hand, if information is insufficient but one has sufficient time then one has
to consider other alternative decision-making models. When alternatives are difficult and
impossible to discern and the consequences are rather complex
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TOPIC 9 DECISION-MAKING IN SCHOOLS 359
that they elude prediction, then even a satisficing strategy may be limiting and not suffice.
In such a case, a muddling through or incremental strategy may be the answer. The
Incremental Model is a short-run strategy that can help administrators deal with
inconsistencies and conflict of interest. Furthermore, it requires only small incremental
changes that will not produce large negative consequences.
When faced with a situation with only partial information and time constraints and the
decision to be made is complex with outcomes difficult to predict, then incrementalism
may be rather limiting, conservative and self-defeating. In such a case, making small
incremental changes without proper guidelines and direction that is based on the
organisational mission, goals and policy may end up in chaos. Instead, a mixed scanning
or adaptive decision-making strategy will be the most appropriate as it is a synthesis of
both the satisficing and incremental models. It offers one the option of working and
muddling through partial scanning of a set of satisfactory alternatives where decisions are
made based on incremental decisions that are guided by the organisational goals and
policy. Furthermore, there is flexibility in decisions made as they can be tentative,
reversible and implementation may be staggered so that resources will not go to waste.
In brief, the suitable or most appropriate strategy that administrators need to employ will
finally rest on the three questions listed in the Contingency Model above which primarily
depends on the information attained, the complexity of the situation and amount of time
available.
ACTIVITY 9.3
2. Discuss the decision strategy that was employed and highlight the challenges
faced by administrators in reaching a satisfying solution.
Now, let us go into depth on each of the nine swift and smart decision-making principles.
(b) Framing Rule: For positive results, frame problems in positive terms
This rule requires decision makers to frame or define the problem in a positive way.
This is crucial in order to guarantee that the initial options become constructive
actions rather than defensive reactions. In simpler words, positive framing leads to
optimism and efficacy while negative framing hinders positive thinking.
(e) Uncertainty Rule: Trust your intuition because uncertain situations often
require ignoring information
This rule requires decision makers to know or sense only the key elements in the
past and ignore the rest. Often times, intuition comes from the experience of
looking at patterns in behaviour. Therefore, intuitive decision making knows what
to value and what to ignore. Trust your intuition whenever the attained information
is uncertain.
(i) Participation Rule: Include others in decisions when they have relevant
knowledge, a personal stake, and are trustworthy
This requires decision makers to consider including teachers and subordinates in
decision making only if the teachers have the expertise to contribute in the
decision-making process, have a personal stake in the outcome and are willing to
set aside their own personal preferences for the sake of the school. This quick
procedure will greatly improve the quality as well as the acceptance of decisions.
First, rational decision makers will need to identify the problem before they can collect
and investigate the crucial facts of the case. After that, they will decide the criteria for
satisfaction before they engage in the development of comprehensive alternatives. The
plan will then be initiated and the outcomes will be evaluated. Here are several more
ideas put forward by Hoy and Tarter (2010) which help improve and facilitate good
decisions (see Figure 9.15).
Figure 9.15: Several ideas to help improve and facilitate good decisions
Source: Hoy & Tarter (2010)
SELF-CHECK 9.5
Teacher participation may enhance the decision-making process and the question that
often concerns administrators is when and how to empower teachers in the decision-
making process. . It is however, crucial to bear in mind that the process of decision
making is the same whether performed by an individual, group or team.
A model of shared decision making was first proposed by Victor Vroom and Philip Yetton
in 1973. Later, Vroom and his colleagues, Yetton and Jago refined the model in 1988 and
presented in Figure 9.15 is the Vroom-Jago Model (1988). The Vroom model is a
powerful tool that facilitates participation of followers or subordinates in the decision-
making process. Today the Vroom Model is seen as one of the most valid and useful
models of shared decision making in the field of management and leadership. The
following sections further illustrate various aspects of this model.
Figure 9.15: Four rules to improve the quality and acceptance of the decisions made based on the
vroom model
Once administrators have enhanced the decisions quality, the next important step is
getting their employees to embrace and accept the decision made. Given as follows
(Figure 9.16) are four rules that can help subordinates accept decisions.
Figure 9.16: Four rules that can help subordinates accept decisions
(a) Time Constraints: In the decision-making process, time constraints are always an
issue of concern. Therefore, involving subordinates can further impede the
decision-making process not to mention cost constraints and less attention be given
to more pressing issues in the organisation.
The outcomes from the responses the Vroom-Jago Model identify three main decision-
making styles that is, autocratic, consultative and collaborative. Then, based on the
model in Figure 9.18 the following decision-making styles can be identified:
(a) A1 and A2 reflect an autocratic decision-making style where the leader does not
consult the subordinates and merely informs the team of the decision made.
(i) A1: Based on available information the leader makes the final decision.
(ii) A2: The leader obtains the relevant information from the team members and
like an informed autocratic decision maker, the leader announces the final
decision to the team.
(b) C1 and C2 are reflective of a consultative decision-making style where the leader
gathers information from the team members before making the final decision.
(i) C1: The leader consults the team or individuals but the group is not
consulted when the final decision is made.
(ii) C2: The leader consults the team and plays a facilitative role to discuss the
problem at hand. The leader is also willing to listen and support the views of
the team members and announces the final decision which is agreeable to all.
The Vroom-Yetton-Jago Model is based on the assumption that there is no one decision-
making style that can fit all given situations. For instance, an autocratic decision-making
style may be more efficient when a leader is faced with time constraints and is more
skilled and knowledgeable than his team members. The leader may also have the
confidence to act alone knowing that the team members will most likely accept and buy-
in to the decision made.
ACTIVITY 9.4
1. Surf the Internet and read further on the Hoy-Tarter Model on shared
decision making.
2. Compare and contrast the Vroom-Yetton-Jago Model and the Hoy-Tarter
Model of shared decision making.
(a) Group Consensus: This is a collective group decision which every member is
willing to accept. The leader involves all participants in the decision-making
process. The leader accepts and supports the decision made by the group.
Nevertheless, the total group consensus is required before a decision can be
announced.
(b) Group Majority: In group consensus, the agreement is based on the entire group
members but in group majority the decision is based on majority vote of the team
members. Here again the leaders involve all participants in the decision-making
process and the final decision is based on majority rule. While group majority
works well in minor issues, it is not always the best approach as it could leave a
minority unhappy with the decision.
(c) Group Minority: In this situation, the leader puts together a small steering team
and the few members together with the leader make the final decision that will
affect the team or organisation. Even though the entire team is not involved, the
expertise and talent of this subgroup may be adequate for the task.
(d) Group Advisory: The leader involves the team members to gather information,
their opinions, suggestions and advice on the problem identified. Nevertheless the
final decision may or may not reflect the subordinates decision or outcomes.
(e) Individual Advisory: The leader consults with a few team members individually
based on their expertise and then makes the final decision. The decision may or
may not reflect the decision articulated by the individual(s) consulted.
(f) Unilateral Decision: This is also referred to as authority rule where the leader
makes the final decision without consulting the subordinates.
Each decision-making structure listed above has its pros and cons. The choice however
depends on several factors such as time constraints, how important is the decision, the
personal relationship among the members and the amount of information available.
Figure 9.19: Five roles that a leader may be seen embracing in the shared
decision-making process
Source: Hoy & Mikel (2013)
Janis first coined the term "groupthink" in 1972 and published a book with the same title.
Groupthink refers to a phenomenon when the desire of group members to push for a
consensus and the need for group cohesion overrides their own common sense to make a
good decision and they may end up with making a disastrous decision. One well-known
world example of groupthink was the disaster suffered by the Challenger Space Shuttle.
Here, the engineers were aware of some faulty parts months before take-off but refused to
voice out their concern due to a fear of negative press publicity.
Groupthink remains a contemporary issue and has been around for some time. Therefore,
leaders need to look out for symptoms of groupthink that can undervalue the decision-
making process. Groupthink can occur when the team comprises a strong, influential and
persuasive group member or a charismatic leader who everyone wants to please.
Furthermore, lack of norms of effective methodological procedures, homogeneity of
group members social background, similar ideologies and beliefs can lead to like-
mindedness and bad decisions. A high level of group cohesion combined with intense
pressure from external threats may also lead the team members to groupthink. Besides
that, members with low self-esteem due to recent failures, problems and moral dilemmas
can also leading to "groupthink behaviour". Groupthink can also stifle team work,
creativity and free flow of innovative ideas.
Finally, leaders need to keep in mind that groupthink can severely affect the value of
decision-making process and need to ensure the team does not fall into the trap of
groupthink. Therefore, appropriate steps need to be taken to ensure the team members are
well equipped with the skills, knowledge and expertise so that effective shared decisions
can be made for the organisation.
ACTIVITY 9.5
You have been appointed the principal of a new school. Prepare a 10 minute
speech on how you intend to empower teachers in your school through shared
decision-making.
Decision making is a process of selecting and deciding upon the best satisficing
solution to a problem based on alternatives generated. All decision-making models
include the concepts of rational activity.
Decision making is an ongoing process that not only solves problems but can
sometimes create new ones.
Values are an integral part of making decisions and effective leaders are effective
decision makers.
The Classical or Traditional Model is often criticised for its limitations in identifying
the problem, lack of information and time constraints.
The Administrative Model is a popular model as it offers the best satisficing solution
given the limitations of time and available information.
An Incremental Model requires muddling through issues that are complicated and
riddled with conflict. Though popular, it has a limited framework for organisational
decision-making.
There is no one best decision-making strategy or model but the Contingency Model
postulates that the appropriate decision strategy depends upon relevant and sufficient
information, sufficient time and the importance of the decision.
Use swift and smart decision-making principles to improve the quality of decisions.
The two main models used by leaders to guide shared decision makers are the Vroom
and the Hoy-Tarter Models.
The Vroom Model is built upon a criterion which can help determine the leadership
style employed to making shared decisions (that is, autocratic, consultative or
collaborative).
Groupthink can severely affect decision-making and leaders need to look out for the
symptoms and take appropriate steps to avoid groupthink.
Amitai, E. (1986). Mixed scanning revisited. Public Administration Review, 46(1): 8-15.
Cole, G. A. (2004). Management theory and practice (6th ed.). London, England:
Thomson.
Drucker, P. F. (1966). The Effective Executive. New York, NY: Harper & Row.
Hoy, W. K., & Miskel, C.G. (2013). Educational administration: Theory, research
and practice (9th ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education.
Hoy, W. K., & Tarter, C. J. (2003). Administrators solving the problems of practice:
Decision-making concepts, cases, and consequences. Boston, MA: Allyn and
Bacon.
Hoy, W. K., & Tarter, C. J. (2010). Swift and smart decision-making: Heuristics that
work. International Journal of Educational Management, 24(4), 351-358.
Kepner, C. H., & Tregoe, B. B. (2005). The new rational manager (Revised ed.).
New York, NY: Kepner-Tregoe.
Vroom, V. H., & Jago, A. G. (1988). On the validity of the Vroom-Yetton Model.
Journal of Applied Psychology, 63(2), 151-162.