EIA Drilling Activities Report Dpr-Full 14mar17

Independent Statistics & Analysis
U.S. Energy Information March 2017

Administration
Drilling Productivity Report

For key tight oil and shale gas regions
Bakken
Marcellus
Utica
Niobrara
Permian
Haynesville
Eagle Ford
The seven regions analyzed in this report accounted for 92% of domestic oil production growth
and all domestic natural gas production growth during 2011-14.
Contents
Year-over-year summary 2
Bakken Region 3
Eagle Ford Region 4
Haynesville Region 5
Marcellus Region 6
Niobrara Region 7
Permian Region 8
Utica Region 9
Explanatory notes 10
Sources 11
Year-over-year summary March 2017
drilling data through February
Drilling Productivity Report projected production through April
New-well oil production per rig New-well gas production per rig
barrels/day thousand cubic feet/day
April-2016 April-2017 April-2016 April-2017

2,500 15,000
2,000 12,000
1,500 9,000
1,000 6,000
500 3,000
0 0
Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Marcellus Niobrara Permian Utica
Legacy oil production change Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day million cubic feet/day
0 0
(25) (100)
(200)
(50)
(300)
(75)
(400)
(100)
(500)
(125) (600)
(150) (700)
Indicated monthly change in oil production (Apr vs. Mar) Indicated monthly change in gas production (Apr vs. Mar)
100 200
80 150
60 100
40 50
20 0
0 -50
-20 -100
-40 -150
-60 -200
-80 -250
Oil production Natural gas production


3,500 21,000
3,000 18,000
2,500 15,000
2,000 12,000
1,500 9,000
1,000 6,000
500 3,000
0 0
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 2

Bakken Region March 2017
Monthly
Oil 1,001 April
additions April 1,447 Gas
+7 994 March from one March 1,427 +20
month over month barrels/day average rig thousand cubic feet/day month over month
Bakken Region Bakken Region

New-well oil production per rig Rig count New-well gas production per rig Rig count
barrels/day rigs thousand cubic feet/day rigs
1,000 250 6,000 250
new-well oil production per rig new-well gas production per rig
800 200 5,000 200
rig count rig count
4,000
600 150 150
3,000
400 100 100
2,000
200 50 1,000 50
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(10) (10)
(20) (20)
(30)
(30)
(40)
(40)
(50)
(50) (60)
(60) (70)
(70) (80)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Indicated change in oil production (Apr vs. Mar) Indicated change in natural gas production (Apr vs. Mar)
+36 -46 -10 +52 -48 +4
50 75
25 50
0 25
-25 0
-50 -25
Mar Production Legacy Net Apr Mar Production Legacy Net Apr
974 from production change 964 1,579 from production change 1,583
Mbbl/d new wells change Mbbl/d MMcf/d new wells change MMcf/d

Oil production Oil -10 Natural gas production Gas +4
thousand barrels/day month over month million cubic feet/day month over month
1,400
8,000
1,200 7,000
1,000 6,000
800 5,000
4,000
600
3,000
400
2,000
200 1,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Eagle Ford Region March 2017
Monthly
Oil 1,442 April
+2 1,440 March from one March 4,527 +15
Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

1,500 350 9,000 350
300 7,500 300
1,200 rig count
rig count 250 250
6,000
900 200 200
4,500
600 150 150
3,000
100 100
300 1,500
50 50
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(20) (50)
(40) (100)
(150)
(60)
(200)
(80)
(250)
(100)
(300)
(120) (350)
(140) (400)
(160) (450)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+99 -71 +28 +313 -270 +43
100 400
300
50
200
0
100
-50 0
1,116 from production change 1,144 5,714 from production change 5,757

Oil production Oil +28 Natural gas production Gas +43
1,800 10,000
1,500 8,000
1,200
6,000
900
4,000
600
300 2,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Haynesville Region March 2017
Monthly
Oil 32 April
0 32 March from one March 7,159 +56
Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

1,200 300 7,200 300
1,000 250 6,000 rig count 250
rig count
800 200 4,800 200
600 150 3,600 150
400 100 2,400 100
200 50 1,200 50
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(100)
(200)
(1)
(300)
(400)
(2)
(500)
(600)
(3) (700)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+1 -1 +0 +267 -159 +108
2.0 300
1.5 200
1.0 100
0.5 0
0.0 -100

2,000 12,000
1,600 10,000
8,000
1,200
6,000
800
4,000
400 2,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Marcellus Region March 2017
Monthly
Oil 70 April
additions 13,233
April Gas
Marcellus Region Marcellus Region

2,400 150 14,000 150
rig count rig count
2,000 12,000
120 120
10,000
1,600
90 8,000 90
1,200
60 6,000 60
800
4,000
400 30 30
2,000
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(100)
(1)
(200)
(2) (300)
(3) (400)
(500)
(4)
(600)
(5) (700)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+3 -2 +1 +572 -405 +167
4.0 600
3.0 400
2.0
200
1.0
0.0 0
-1.0 -200

3,000 25,000
2,500 20,000
2,000
15,000
1,500
10,000
1,000
500 5,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Niobrara Region March 2017
Monthly
Oil 1,300 April
+6 1,294 March from one March 4,285 +121
Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

1,400 140 8,400 140
1,200 120 7,200 120
rig count rig count
1,000 100 6,000 100
800 80 4,800 80
600 60 3,600 60
400 40 2,400 40
200 20 1,200 20
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(30)
(10)
(60)
(20) (90)
(120)
(30)
(150)
(40) (180)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+46 -35 +11 +158 -106 +52
50 200
40 150
30
100
20
10 50
0 0

1,000 6,000
800 5,000
4,000
600
3,000
400
2,000
200 1,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Permian Region March 2017
Monthly
Oil 662 April
Permian Region Permian Region

new-well oil production per rig
800 600 4,800 new-well gas production per rig 600
700
rig count rig count
500 4,000 500
600
400 3,200 400
500
400 300 2,400 300
300
200 1,600 200
200
100 800 100
100
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(20)
(20)
(40)
(40) (60)
(60) (80)
(100)
(80) (120)
(100) (140)
(160)
(120)
(180)
(140) (200)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+198 -119 +79 +334 -180 +154
200 400
350
150 300
250
100 200
150
50 100
50
0 0
2,207 from production change 2,286 7,791 from production change 7,945

2,600
2,400 12,000
2,200
2,000 10,000
1,800
1,600 8,000
1,400
1,200 6,000
1,000
800 4,000
600
400 2,000
200
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Utica Region March 2017
Monthly
Oil 207 April
Utica Region Utica Region

2,000 50 12,000 50
1,750
rig count 40 10,000 40
1,500 rig count
8,000
1,250 30 30
1,000 6,000
750 20 20
4,000
500
10 2,000 10
250
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(1) (40)
(2)
(80)
(3)
(120)
(4)
(5) (160)
(6) (200)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+4 -4 +0 +204 -170 +34
6.0 300
4.0 200
2.0 100
0.0 0

700 4,800
600 4,200
500 3,600
3,000
400
2,400
300
1,800
200 1,200
100 600
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Explanatory notes March 2017
The Drilling Productivity Report uses recent data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along
with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in production from existing oil and natural
gas wells to provide estimated changes in oil1 and natural gas2 production for seven key regions. EIAs
approach does not distinguish between oil-directed rigs and gas-directed rigs because once a well is
completed it may produce both oil and gas; more than half of the wells do that.
Monthly additions from one average rig

Monthly additions from one average rig represent EIAs estimate of an average rigs3 contribution to
production of oil and natural gas from new wells.4 The estimation of new-well production per rig uses
several months of recent historical data on total production from new wells for each field divided by the
region's monthly rig count, lagged by two months.5 Current- and next-month values are listed on the top
header. The month-over-month change is listed alongside, with +/- signs and color-coded arrows to
highlight the growth or decline in oil (brown) or natural gas (blue).
New-well oil/gas production per rig

Charts present historical estimated monthly additions from one average rig coupled with the number of
total drilling rigs as reported by Baker Hughes.
Legacy oil and natural gas production change

Charts present EIAs estimates of total oil and gas production changes from all the wells other than the
new wells. The trend is dominated by the well depletion rates, but other circumstances can influence the
direction of the change. For example, well freeze-offs or hurricanes can cause production to significantly
decline in any given month, resulting in a production increase the next month when production simply
returns to normal levels.
Projected change in monthly oil/gas production

Charts present the combined effects of new-well production and changes to legacy production. Total
new-well production is offset by the anticipated change in legacy production to derive the net change in
production. The estimated change in production does not reflect external circumstances that can affect
the actual rates, such as infrastructure constraints, bad weather, or shut-ins based on environmental or
economic issues.
Oil/gas production
Charts present all oil and natural gas production from both new and legacy wells since 2007. This
production is based on all wells reported to the state oil and gas agencies. Where state data are not
immediately available, EIA estimates the production based on estimated changes in new-well oil/gas
production and the corresponding legacy change.
Footnotes:
1. Oil production represents both crude and condensate production from all formations in the region. Production is
not limited to tight formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include areas outside of
tight oil formations.
2. Gas production represents gross (before processing) gas production from all formations in the region.
Production is not limited to shale formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include
areas outside of shale formations.
3. The monthly average rig count used in this report is calculated from weekly data on total oil and gas rigs
reported by Baker Hughes.
4. A new well is defined as one that began producing for the first time in the previous month. Each well belongs to
the new-well category for only one month. Reworked and recompleted wells are excluded from the calculation.
5. Rig count data lag production data because EIA has observed that the best predictor of the number of new
wells beginning production in a given month is the count of rigs in operation two months earlier.

Sources March 2017
The data used in the preparation of this report come from the following sources. EIA is solely
responsible for the analysis, calculations, and conclusions.
Drilling Info (http://www.drillinginfo.com) Source of production, permit, and spud data for counties
associated with this report. Source of real-time rig location to estimate new wells spudded and completed
throughout the United States.
Baker Hughes (http://www.bakerhughes.com) Source of rig and well counts by county, state, and basin.
North Dakota Oil and Gas Division (https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas) Source of well production, permit,
and completion data in the counties associated with this report in North Dakota
Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and

completion data in the counties associated with this report in Texas
Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection

(https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx) Source
of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in
Pennsylvania
West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-and-

gas/Pages/default.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties
associated with this report in West Virginia
Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (http://cogcc.state.co.us) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Colorado
Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us) Source of well production,

permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Wyoming
Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production,

permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Louisiana
Ohio Department of Natural Resources (http://oilandgas.ohiodnr.gov) Source of well production,

permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Ohio

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Independent Statistics & Analysis

U.S. Energy Information March 2017

Drilling Productivity Report

April-2016 April-2017 April-2016 April-2017

Legacy oil production change Legacy gas production change

April-2016 April-2017 April-2016 April-2017

Oil production Natural gas production

April-2016 April-2017 April-2016 April-2017

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 2

Bakken Region Bakken Region

Bakken Region Bakken Region

Bakken Region Bakken Region

Bakken Region Bakken Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 3

Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 4

Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

600 150 3,600 150

400 100 2,400 100

Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 5

Marcellus Region Marcellus Region

Marcellus Region Marcellus Region

Marcellus Region Marcellus Region

Marcellus Region Marcellus Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 6

Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 7

Permian Region Permian Region

Permian Region Permian Region

Permian Region Permian Region

Permian Region Permian Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 8

Utica Region Utica Region

Utica Region Utica Region

Utica Region Utica Region

Utica Region Utica Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 9

Monthly additions from one average rig

New-well oil/gas production per rig

Legacy oil and natural gas production change

Projected change in monthly oil/gas production

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 10

Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and

Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection

West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-and-

Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us) Source of well production,

Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production,

Ohio Department of Natural Resources (http://oilandgas.ohiodnr.gov) Source of well production,

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 11

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