Documenti di Didattica
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Major Commodities
7,500 5,000
Performance
Commodity Last price
w-o-w YTD
5,500 -
Copper $/t 9,650 2.69% 31.44%
Feb-10
Apr-10
Sep-10
May-10
Aug-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Jan-10
Mar-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Oct-10
www.eurasiac.com
Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
Montsame reported on December 24 that National Statistics Committee concluded preliminary results
of livestock census, the final results of which will be announced on January 10, 2011. According to the
results, Mongolia has 31,828,900 heads of livestock by the end of 2010 which decreased by 12,191,000
heads or 27.7% compared with the year end data of 2009. The main factors of the losses were extremely
cold winter and animal diseases. The most suffered provinces are Zavkhan, Dundgobi and Arkhangai
according to the report. Sukhbaatar province has become the only province that could increase all five
types of animals for the previous year.
Russia, Japan and South Korea to Jointly Bid for Mongolias Coal Mine
Bloomberg reported on December 27 that Korea Resources Corp, a state-run mineral explorer will bid
for a coal mine development project in Mongolia in cooperation with Russian and Japanese companies.
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
Japanese companies are Itochu Corp., Sumitomo Corp. and two trading firms while Russian company is
state-owned railway corporation RZD, according to Nihon Keizai Shimbun.
The investments in the project could reach US$2bn and the consortium will own less than 50% of the
project while the Government of Mongolia will own the remainder. The consortium is planning to
transport coal from the mine by rail to Russias east seaport. Rival companies from Japan and China are
expected to make a joint bid with U.S. coal company Peabody Energy.
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
Taylor, Asia Pacific Capital Markets Department head of JP Morgan and Stefan Heinzelman, coordinator
of GTZ Mongolia office.
Batbayar Bat-Erdene
batbayar.bat-erdene@eurasiac.com
FINANCIAL MARKETS
INDUSTRY FOCUS
CONSTRUCTION
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
M&A MONITOR
Batbayar Bat-Erdene
batbayar.bat-erdene@eurasiac.com
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE
Indicator 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e
Population and income
Population, mn 2.50 2.53 2.56 2.59 2.63 2.68 2.74 2.79
GDP per capita, US$ 581.7 720.1 905.3 1223.8 1502.9 1939.7 1560.2 2026.6
National accounts
Nominal GDP, MNTbn 1660 2152 2780 3715 4599.5 6020 6056 7500
Nominal GDP, US$bn 1.4 1.8 2.3 3.2 3.9 5.1 4.0 5.5
Nominal GDP at PPP, US$bn 5.4 6.1 6.7 7.5 8.5 9.4 9.4 10.1
Real GDP growth, Y-o-y, % 7.0 10.6 7.2 8.6 10.2 8.9 -1.6 7.2
Monetary indicators and inflation
M2 growth, Y-o-y, % 49.6 20.4 34.6 34.8 56.3 -5.5 26.9
CPI, Y-o-y, % 4.7 11 9.2 4.8 14.1 22.1 4.2 7.5
Exchange rate, MNT/US$, annual 1168 1209 1221 1165 1170 1166 1438
average
Gross foreign reserves, US$mn, - 208 333 718 1001 657 822 1200
eop
Government finance
Revenue, % of GDP - 33.1 30.1 36.6 40.9 35.4 32.9 40.2
Expenditure, % of GDP - 35.0 27.5 28.5 38.0 40.2 38.3 44.2
Budget balance, % of GDP -4.2 -2.1 3.2 3.9 2.2 -5.0 -5.4 -4.0
Balance of payments
Exports, US$mn 615.9 872 1069 1545 1952 2539 1903
Imports, US$mn 801 1021 1224 1516 2170 3616 2131
Exports, Y-o-y, % 17.5 41.2 22.4 44.9 22.5 30.3 -24.9
Imports, Y-o-y, % 16.0 27.5 16.0 25.4 36.1 66.6 -34.3
Trade balance, US$mn -185.1 -149 -155 30 -218 -1077 -229
FDI, US$mn 131.5 92.9 182.3 367 500 709 801
Source: National Statistics Office of Mongolia, the Bank of Mongolia, the IMF, the World Bank, Eurasia Capital
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
Selected Non-MSE TOP-20 Member Leading Market Cap Companies (December 27-31, 2010)
Daily Turnover 1Wk
Price Market Cap Performance
Code Name (52Wk Avg) turnover
MNT US$ MNTmn US$000 w-o-w y-t-d MNT US$ (MNT)
524 Mongolia Development Resources 1,300 1.03 17,875.0 14,218.3 4.0% 31.3% 12,956,434 10,306 546,000
530 Remicon 72 0.06 9,190.3 7,310.2 0.0% -4.0% 496,344 395 1,267,276
509 Mongol Em Impex 210 0.17 8,402.2 6,683.4 0.0% 0.0% 0 0 0
517 Hotel Mongolia 560 0.45 5,600.0 4,454.4 0.0% -7.0% 396,077 315 0
17 Atar Urguu 18,000 14.32 3,134.4 2,493.2 -2.2% 16.1% 67,101 53 360,000
Source: MSE
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
Resources
484 State Department Store 430 620 350 3.61% 13.2% 15,827 12,590 2,032,901 1,617
521 Genco Tour Bureau 94 123 88 4.44% -1.1% 10,340 8,225 3,765,920 2,996
13 Bayangol Hotel 23,900 29,990 17,000 0.00% 32.8% 10,111 8,043 1,179,337 938
191 Eermel 2,875 2,875 1,151 17.35% 121.2% 10,003 7,957 250,349 199
444 Mogoin Gol 11,800 11,800 1,970 0.00% 499.0% 9,790 7,787 1,896,181 1,508
3 UB Hotel 27,500 30,475 19,000 3.77% 41.0% 9,221 7,334 5,951,944 4,734
530 Remicon 72 80 39 0.00% -4.0% 9,190 7,310 496,344 395
208 Makh Impex 1,800 2,080 1,000 -1.64% 56.5% 6,841 5,442 598,520 476
71 Darkhan Nekhii 4,900 5,199 1,900 -2.00% 133.3% 5,417 4,309 791,928 630
195 UB BUK 4,545 4,545 370 32.51% 1128.4% 5,128 4,079 10,057 8
528 Hermes 54 75 37 0.00% -28.0% 4,241 3,374 1,467,740 1,167
531 Nako Tulsh 325 352 190 0.00% 64.1% 4,100 3,261 4,807,342 3,824
44 Takhi Co 3,270 3,270 1,580 14.74% 107.0% 3,891 3,095 11,225 9
22 Talkh Chikher 3,700 3,700 1,840 1.37% 85.0% 3,788 3,013 186,429 148
38 Mon-It Buligaar 8,700 8,700 2,150 17.57% 304.7% 3,482 2,770 130,131 104
17 Atar Urguu 18,000 22,000 12,000 -2.17% 16.1% 3,134 2,493 67,101 53
450 Zoos Goyol 790 1,080 501 -1.25% 42.3% 2,966 2,360 200,582 160
142 Tumriin Zavod 27,000 27,000 27,000 0.00% 0.0% 2,007 1,596 32,088 26
25 Moninjbar 115 125 95 0.88% 17.3% 1,825 1,452 219,207 174
525 HBOil 180 241 160 5.88% -10.0% 1,662 1,322 1,842,068 1,465
527 Olloo 150 178 58 0.00% 100.0% 1,455 1,157 625,105 497
264 Bishrelt Industrial 1,999 2,200 700 -9.14% 185.6% 1,400 1,114 16,813 13
2 Mongol Savkhi 550 640 420 3.38% 22.2% 1,361 1,083 36,904 29
34 Gazar Suljmel 4,500 4,500 2,365 0.00% 114.1% 815 649 15,545 12
97 Sor 750 1,040 300 -6.25% 89.4% 669 532 121,465 97
67 Nekheesgui Edlel 500 500 250 11.11% 100.0% 644 512 2,818 2
9 Mongol Nekhmel 1,300 1,300 781 8.33% 36.8% 616 490 7,141 6
236 Mongol Shevro 551 575 400 0.00% 22.4% 507 403 5,056 4
263 Guril Tejeel Bulga 610 632 400 1.67% 52.5% 348 277 5,577 4
333 Almaas 350 690 350 -4.11% -49.3% 180 143 1,821 1
455 Khar Tarvagatai 377 377 144 14.94% 161.8% 125 99 10 0
254 Erdes Khuvun 762 762 577 14.93% 32.1% 42 33 19,322 15
389 Undurkhaan 135 135 118 14.41% 14.4% 15 12 7,788 6
Source: MSE, Eurasia Capital
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
UB BUK BUK 4,545 4,079 5,128 nm 5.74 2.2 -3.3% -10.7% 34.4% -9.1%
Hermes HRM 54 3,374 4,241 59.40 0.53 0.0 0.9% 0.9% 100.0% 10.7%
Mongol Securities MSC 140 3,341 4,200 nm 5.75 0.0 -0.2% -0.2% 94.2% -4.8%
Nako Tulsh NKT 325 3,261 4,100 nm 4.34 0.4 -1.9% -2.6% nm nm
Takhi Co TAH 3,270 3,095 3,891 12.93 3.60 0.0 26.8% 27.9% 100.0% 30.8%
Talkh Chikher TCK 3,700 3,013 3,788 3.79 1.67 3.2 10.5% 44.0% 23.0% 6.3%
Mon-It Buligaar MBG 8,700 2,770 3,482 nm 0.75 1.8 -12.5% -34.6% -46.7% -90.2%
Material Impex MIE 2,500 2,721 3,421 24.09 3.48 4.0 2.9% 14.4% 10.5% 1.9%
Atar Urguu ATR 18,000 2,493 3,134 3.90 0.65 0.1 15.2% 16.6% 26.2% 10.4%
Zoos Goyol ZOO 790 2,360 2,966 53.73 2.39 0.0 4.3% 4.5% 37.6% 8.1%
Berkh Uul BEU 150 2,274 2,859 nm 3.24 1.1 -5.6% -12.0% 3.3% -60.0%
Khyalganat HLG 5,000 1,662 2,089 nm 14.68 0.1 0.4% 0.5% 32.1% 5.3%
Tumriin Zavod TMZ 27,000 1,596 2,007 nm nm 31.6 -10.7% -349.7% 100.0% -37.0%
Moninjbar MIB 115 1,452 1,825 144.82 1.10 0.9 0.4% 0.8% 21.8% 0.8%
UB Carpet UBH 4,460 1,436 1,806 nm 0.38 0.2 -0.6% -0.7% 12.6% -2.1%
Bayanteeg BTG 7,001 1,407 1,769 nm 1.69 0.9 -2.1% -4.0% 100.0% -7.5%
HB Oil HBO 180 1,322 1,662 nm 2.12 0.7 -8.5% -14.6% 27.1% -2329.0%
Auto Impex AOI 710 1,306 1,642 26.85 nm nm 2.2% -2.6% -14.8% 312.1%
Olloo OLL 150 1,157 1,455 nm 1.80 0.0 -19.0% -19.2% 100.0% -127.5%
Bishrelt Industrial HHC 1,999 1,114 1,400 266.59 2.28 0.5 0.6% 0.9% 100.0% 48.2%
Mongol Savkhi UYN 550 1,083 1,361 717.79 0.86 0.0 0.1% 0.1% 100.0% 0.5%
Gutal GTL 750 966 1,214 4.62 0.26 0.0 5.6% 5.7% 24.3% 86.2%
Niislel Urguu NUR 2,600 901 1,133 nm nm nm -0.3% 25.9% 14.9% -2.0%
Technikh Import TEX 601 692 869 3.01 0.48 0.9 8.4% 16.0% 14.1% 4.8%
Gazar Suljmel SUL 4,500 649 815 55.04 1.84 0.7 2.0% 3.3% 40.5% 1.9%
Sor SOR 750 532 669 nm 0.66 0.0 -8.0% -8.1% nm nm
Tsagaan Nuur TSN 480 527 662 nm 10.21 0.4 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
Nekheesgui Edlel NXE 500 512 644 nm 0.44 0.0 -3.0% -3.0% -2.3% -25.1%
Mongol Nekhmel MNH 1,300 490 616 445.33 2.30 2.7 0.1% 0.5% 32.6% 0.7%
Buunii Khudaldaa BHL 450 455 573 nm 0.47 0.2 -3.2% -3.8% 12.9% -340.9%
Mongol Shevro MVO 551 403 507 27.05 0.40 1.1 0.7% 1.5% 23.1% 0.9%
Agro Tech Impex ATI 330 397 499 nm 0.5 1.7 -2.0% -5.2% 53.5% -34.7%
Sonsgolon Barmat SSG 256 393 494 nm 4.0 4.6 -19.0% -105.3% 60.4% -219.4%
Tulga TLG 3,680 385 484 15.9 0.7 0.0 4.0% 4.1% 87.6% 22.2%
Source: MSE, Eurasia Capital
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
Rentsendorj Yondon
rentsendorj.yondon@eurasiac.com
Sherzod Rakhimov
sherzod.rakhimov@eurasiac.com
www.eurasiac.com 10
Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
PROPERTY PRICES
Residential Property Prices in Ulaanbaatar
860
840
820
800
US$/sqm
780
760
740
720
700
Buyer Announce
Target Company (TC) Buyer TC Listing TC Sector TC Reserves Stake, % Deal Terms
Country Date
SWFs Deals
Iron Mining China Investment Corp. CHN N/A Iron ore N/A N/A US$700mn 29.10.09
Iron Mining Temasek Holdings/ Hopu SG/ CHN N/A Iron ore N/A N/A US$300mn 01.04.08
Investment Management
SouthGobi Resources China Investment Corp. CHN N/A Coal 122.3mn tn N/A US$500mn 26.10.09
SouthGobi Resources China Investment Corp., CHN/SG N/A Coal 122.3mn tn N/A US$50mn each in 29.01.10
Temasek Holdings HK IPO
Recent EBRD Deals
Energy Resources EBRD Int-l N/A Coal N/A N/A US$180mn loan 19.02.10
APU EBRD Int-l MSE Food & N/A N/A US$25mn 22.01.10
Beverages convertible loan
Petro Matad EBRD Int-l AIM Oil & Gas 638mn bbls 17 US$6mn 18.12.09
resources convertible
Leighton Mongolia EBRD Int-l N/A Mining N/A N/A US$35mn loan 10.11.09
Private Equity Deals
Well Delight Holdings Ming Hing Waterworks HK HKSE Coal, Copper, N/A 100 US$245mn 30.05.10
Ltd/ Tugrugnuuriin Holdings Ltd gold
Energy LLC
North Asia Resources Green Global Resources CHN HKSE Iron ore 148.9mn tn 100 US$227mn 16.12.09
Group iron, 180,000
tn copper*
Ikh Shijir Erdene LLC/ Solartech International CHN HKSE Gopper, gold, 1.44mn tn N/A US$192mn 04.05.10
Sun Progress Holdings silver copper, 4 tn
gold, 196 tn
silver
Two Tungsten mines Bestway International HK N/A Tungsten N/A 100 US$122mn 03.07.09
Holdings
Winsway Coking Coal Hopu Investment/ two CHN N/A Coal N/A 20 US$110mn 02.04.10
Chinese firms
Millennium Hong Kong Mongolia Energy Corp Ltd HK N/A Ferrous 504mn tn 100 US$35mn 24.06.09
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
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Mongolia Weekly (December 27-31, 2010) January 3, 2011 (Monday)
CONTACTS
Research:
Sardor Koshnazarov Head of Research, Oil & Gas sardor.koshnazarov@eurasiac.com
Dosbergen Musaev Analyst, Strategy dosbergen.musaev@eurasiac.com
Neal Detert Analyst, Strategy neal.detert@eurasiac.com
Akmal Aminov Analyst, Metals & Mining akmal.aminov@eurasiac.com
Batbayar Bat-Erdene Analyst, Metals & Mining batbayar.bat-erdene@eurasiac.com
Rentsendorj Yondon Analyst, Mongolia Equities rentsendorj.yondon@eurasiac.com
Zultsetseg Chuluunbat Analyst, Mongolia zultsetseg.chunluunbat@eurasiac.com
Bahadir Uskenbaev Analyst, Kazakhstan bahadir.uskenbaev@eurasiac.com
Hoosniddin Hakimov Analyst hoosniddin.hakimov@eurasiac.com
Sales and Trading:
Dima Orazimbetov Director dima.orazimbetov@eurasiac.com
Zhyldyz Sadyralieva Associate zhyldyz.sadyralieva@eurasiac.com
Sherzod Rakhimov Analyst sherzod.rakhimov@eurasiac.com
Bolor Ulziisaikhan Broker bolor.ulziisaikhan@eurasiac.com
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st
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Fax: +976 7013 0078
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the Firm offers cross border M&A and advisory, capital raising, sales & trading and research services to its international and
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