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DepartmentofStatistics

COURSESTATS330

Assignment5,2007

Instructions:HandinyourcompletedassignmenttotheStudentResourceCentreby4pmon
Thursday11October.

Q1.ThedatainTable1relatetomotorvehicleaccidentsinFloridain1988.Allpersons
injuredinmotoraccidentsinFloridain1988areclassifiedaccordingtothreefactors,namely

Injury:eitherNonfatalorFatal;

Seatbelt:eitherYesifaseatbeltwasworn,orNoifaseatbeltwasnotworn;

Ejected:eitherYesifthepersonwasejectedfromthevehicle,orNoifnot.

Table1.Floridamotorvehicleaccidentdata.

Injury
Seatbelt Ejected Nonfatal Fatal

Yes Yes 1,105 14
No 411,111 483

No Yes 4,624 497
No 157,342 1,008

1. TypethedataintoRandconstructadataframesuitableforfittingloglinearmodels.
Printoutthedataframe.[5marks]

2. Fitasuitableloglinearmodeltothedata.Arethereanycellsthatarenotfittedwell
bythemodel?[10marks]

3. Usingthemodelyoufittedin2,computetheconditionaloddsratiobetweenseatbelt
useandinjury,conditionalonEjected.Dotheseoddsratiosdependonbeingejected
fromthecar?Computea95%confidenceintervalfortheconditionaloddsratio.What
effectdoesseatbeltusehaveonthetypeofinjury?[10marks]

PTO

1
Q2.ThedatainTable2refertosuicidesinEnglandandWalesovertheperiod19821996.
Thepersonscommittingsuicideinthatperiodareclassifiedaccordingtogenderandthe
monthinwhichthesuicidetookplace.

Table2.SuicidesinEnglandandWales,19821996.

Gender Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Male 3755 3251 3777 3706 3717 3660 3669 3626 3481 3590 3650 3392
Female 1362 1244 1496 1452 1448 1376 1370 1301 1337 1351 1416 1226

TypethedataintoRandmakeabarplotshowingtherelativefrequenciesofsuicidesacross
themonths,separatelyformalesandfemales.Commentontheplot.

Doyouthinkthedistributionacrossthemonthsisthesameforeachmonth(i.e.arethe
observeddifferencesduetochance,oristhereasystematicdifferencebetweenthemonths?
Ifthereisadifference,isthepatternthesameformalesandfemales?Fitasuitableloglinear
modelormodelstoanswerthispart.[15marks]

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