CASOS oil_ DWOC_VAR1

32 2.65E+07 7625
33 2.65E+07 7625
34 2.59E+07 7625
35 1.94E+07 7621
36 2.22E+07 7625
37 2.41E+07 7617
38 2.57E+07 7617
39 2.18E+07 7617
40 2.01E+07 7617
41 2.01E+07 7617
42 2.20E+07 7625
43 2.40E+07 7621
44 2.41E+07 7617
45 1.94E+07 7625
46 2.43E+07 7621
47 2.33E+07 7617
48 2.10E+07 7621
49 2.59E+07 7625
50 2.22E+07 7621
51 1.75E+07 7617
52 2.85E+07 7625
53 2.65E+07 7621
54 2.33E+07 7617
55 1.96E+07 7617
56 2.40E+07 7621
57 2.20E+07 7625
58 2.01E+07 7617
59 2.59E+07 7621
60 2.10E+07 7625
61 2.85E+07 7621
62 2.10E+07 7621
63 2.59E+07 7621
64 2.65E+07 7625
65 2.59E+07 7621
66 1.88E+07 7617
67 1.88E+07 7617
68 1.94E+07 7625
69 1.94E+07 7625
70 2.65E+07 7621
 RESULTS_RE RESULTS_RE
PERMH_VAR1 POR_VAR1 LPERMCOR LPERMCOR
R_VAR1 R_VAR2
93 0.43 3.75 3
93 0.43 2.25 5
116.25 0.35 2.25 4
69.7 0.26 3 4
69.7 0.35 3 5
93 0.43 3.75 3
116.25 0.43 2.25 3
69.7 0.43 3.75 4
69.7 0.35 3 3
69.7 0.35 2.25 4
116.25 0.26 3 4
69.7 0.43 3.75 3
93 0.43 2.25 5
69.7 0.26 3 5
93 0.35 3.75 5
116.25 0.35 3.75 4
93 0.26 2.25 4
116.25 0.35 3.75 5
69.7 0.35 3.75 4
69.7 0.26 2.25 5
116.25 0.43 3 3
93 0.43 2.25 3
116.25 0.35 3 5
116.25 0.26 3 5
69.7 0.43 3 5
116.25 0.26 2.25 3
69.7 0.35 2.25 5
116.25 0.35 3.75 5
93 0.26 3 4
116.25 0.43 3.75 3
93 0.26 3.75 4
116.25 0.35 3 5
93 0.43 3 4
116.25 0.35 3 4
93 0.26 3.75 3
93 0.26 2.25 3
69.7 0.26 2.25 3
69.7 0.26 3.75 3
93 0.43 2.25 4
 oil_ DWOC_VAR1PERMH_VAR1 POR_VAR1
RESULTS_RELPERMCORR_VAR1
RESULTS_RELPERMCORR_VAR2
oil_ 1
DWOC_VAR1 0.2994068 1
PERMH_VAR10.56198423 0.07692306 1
POR_VAR1 0.77313714 -0.0829887 0.08303642 1
RESULTS_RE 0.16397463 0.03924389 0.03923057 0.12491069 1
RESULTS_RE -0.0398071 -0.0384615 -8.2624E-05 -0.0645468 -0.0784878 1
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de correlacin mltiple 0.97499887
Coeficiente de determinacin R^2 0.9506228
R^2 ajustado 0.94676521
Error tpico 680934.207
Observaciones 70

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 5 5.7131E+14 1.1426E+14 246.428959 2.0888E-40
Residuos 64 2.9675E+13 4.6367E+11
Total 69 6.0099E+14

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepcin -2.185E+09 190753060 -11.454536 3.8214E-17 -2.566E+09
Variable X 1 287222.917 25025.1594 11.4773661 3.5053E-17 237229.414
Variable X 2 74378.4239 4381.99425 16.9736471 2.2056E-25 65624.3841
Variable X 3 32639694.6 1210302.71 26.9682074 1.1642E-36 30221837
Variable X 4 128767.395 131750.199 0.97736015 0.33207089 -134433.89
Variable X 5 114659.767 99691.9462 1.15014072 0.25436546 -84497.791

Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Percentil Y
0.7142857143 17538000
2.1428571429 17538000
3.5714285714 17538000
5 18809000
6.4285714286 18809000
7.8571428571 19438000
9.2857142857 19438000
10.7142857143 19438000
12.1428571429 19438000
13.5714285714 19438000
15 19614000
16.4285714286 19614000
17.8571428571 20115000
19.2857142857 20115000
20.7142857143 20115000
22.1428571429 20977000
23.5714285714 20977000
 25 20977000
26.4285714286 20977000
27.8571428571 21837000
29.2857142857 21837000
30.7142857143 21969000
32.1428571429 21969000
33.5714285714 21969000
35 21969000
36.4285714286 21981000
37.8571428571 22152000
39.2857142857 22152000
40.7142857143 22152000
42.1428571429 22152000
43.5714285714 22152000
45 22152000
46.4285714286 23258000
47.8571428571 23258000
49.2857142857 23973000
50.7142857143 23973000
52.1428571429 23973000
53.5714285714 23973000
55 24077000
56.4285714286 24077000
57.8571428571 24077000
59.2857142857 24077000
60.7142857143 24327000
62.1428571429 24327000
63.5714285714 24327000
65 24327000
66.4285714286 24327000
67.8571428571 24327000
69.2857142857 25711000
70.7142857143 25711000
72.1428571429 25873000
73.5714285714 25873000
75 25873000
76.4285714286 25873000
77.8571428571 25873000
79.2857142857 25873000
80.7142857143 25873000
82.1428571429 26545000
83.5714285714 26545000
85 26545000
86.4285714286 26545000
87.8571428571 26545000
89.2857142857 26545000
90.7142857143 26545000
92.1428571429 26545000
93.5714285714 28468000
95 28468000
96.4285714286 28468000
97.8571428571 28468000
99.2857142857 28468000
 Grfico de probabilidad normal
30000000
20000000
10000000

Y
0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Muestra percentil
or crtico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%

Superior 95.0%
-1.804E+09 -2.566E+09 -1.804E+09
337216.42 237229.414 337216.42
83132.4638 65624.3841 83132.4638
35057552.2 30221837 35057552.2
391968.675 -134433.89 391968.675
313817.324 -84497.791 313817.324
d normal

80 100 120
l
 Chart Title
8.00E+07

7.00E+07

6.00E+07

5.00E+07

4.00E+07
Axis Title

3.00E+07

2.00E+07

1.00E+07

0.00E+00
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

-1.00E+07

-2.00E+07

Axis Title

SIMULADOR POLINOMIAL LINEAL

 RESULTS_REL
oil_ DWOC_VAR1 PERMH_VAR POR_VAR1 PERMCORR_
1 VAR1
3 1.75E+07 7617 69.7 0.26 2.25
24 1.75E+07 7617 69.7 0.26 3
51 1.75E+07 7617 69.7 0.26 2.25
66 1.88E+07 7617 93 0.26 3.75
67 1.88E+07 7617 93 0.26 2.25
23 1.94E+07 7625 69.7 0.26 2.25
35 1.94E+07 7621 69.7 0.26 3
45 1.94E+07 7625 69.7 0.26 3
68 1.94E+07 7625 69.7 0.26 2.25
69 1.94E+07 7625 69.7 0.26 3.75
9 1.96E+07 7617 116.25 0.26 2.25
55 1.96E+07 7617 116.25 0.26 3
40 2.01E+07 7617 69.7 0.35 3
41 2.01E+07 7617 69.7 0.35 2.25
58 2.01E+07 7617 69.7 0.35 2.25
21 2.10E+07 7621 93 0.26 3
48 2.10E+07 7621 93 0.26 2.25
60 2.10E+07 7625 93 0.26 3
62 2.10E+07 7621 93 0.26 3.75
26 2.18E+07 7617 69.7 0.43 3.75
39 2.18E+07 7617 69.7 0.43 3.75
4 2.20E+07 7621 116.25 0.26 3.75
18 2.20E+07 7625 116.25 0.26 3
42 2.20E+07 7625 116.25 0.26 3
57 2.20E+07 7625 116.25 0.26 2.25
2 2.20E+07 7617 93 0.35 3.75
8 2.22E+07 7625 69.7 0.35 2.25
10 2.22E+07 7625 69.7 0.35 3
16 2.22E+07 7625 69.7 0.35 3.75
22 2.22E+07 7621 69.7 0.35 3.75
36 2.22E+07 7625 69.7 0.35 3
50 2.22E+07 7621 69.7 0.35 3.75
47 2.33E+07 7617 116.25 0.35 3.75
54 2.33E+07 7617 116.25 0.35 3
6 2.40E+07 7621 69.7 0.43 3
17 2.40E+07 7625 69.7 0.43 2.25
43 2.40E+07 7621 69.7 0.43 3.75
56 2.40E+07 7621 69.7 0.43 3
15 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43 2.25
29 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43 3
37 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43 3.75
44 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43 2.25
 5 2.43E+07 7625 93 0.35 2.25
12 2.43E+07 7625 93 0.35 2.25
19 2.43E+07 7625 93 0.35 3.75
28 2.43E+07 7621 93 0.35 3.75
30 2.43E+07 7621 93 0.35 3.75
46 2.43E+07 7621 93 0.35 3.75
11 2.57E+07 7617 116.25 0.43 3.75
38 2.57E+07 7617 116.25 0.43 2.25
13 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35 2.25
20 2.59E+07 7625 116.25 0.35 3
34 2.59E+07 7625 116.25 0.35 2.25
49 2.59E+07 7625 116.25 0.35 3.75
59 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35 3.75
63 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35 3
65 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35 3
7 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43 3.75
25 2.65E+07 7621 93 0.43 2.25
27 2.65E+07 7621 93 0.43 3
32 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43 3.75
33 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43 2.25
53 2.65E+07 7621 93 0.43 2.25
64 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43 3
70 2.65E+07 7621 93 0.43 2.25
1 2.85E+07 7625 116.25 0.43 3.75
14 2.85E+07 7621 116.25 0.43 3
31 2.85E+07 7625 116.25 0.43 2.25
52 2.85E+07 7625 116.25 0.43 3
61 2.85E+07 7621 116.25 0.43 3.75
RESULTS_REL ECUACION ECUACION
PERMCORR_ ERROR ERROR
POLINOMIAL LINEAL
VAR2
4 8.45E+06 51.81 1.69E+07 3.81
3 7.66E+06 56.33 1.68E+07 4.31
5 1.65E+07 5.86 1.70E+07 3.31
3 4.59E+06 75.59 1.85E+07 1.78
3 -9.94E+06 152.85 1.85E+07 1.78
5 4.36E+07 -124.37 1.93E+07 0.71
4 2.93E+07 -50.54 1.80E+07 7.19
5 5.09E+07 -161.79 1.93E+07 0.71
3 2.75E+07 -41.37 1.91E+07 1.62
3 4.20E+07 -116.20 1.91E+07 1.62
4 -1.22E+07 162.17 2.03E+07 -3.25
5 3.13E+06 84.04 2.03E+07 -3.70
3 1.69E+07 16.19 1.98E+07 1.80
4 1.77E+07 12.24 1.98E+07 1.36
5 2.57E+07 -27.82 1.99E+07 0.92
4 1.89E+07 9.80 1.97E+07 5.93
4 1.17E+07 44.45 1.97E+07 5.93
4 3.25E+07 -54.81 2.09E+07 0.35
4 2.62E+07 -24.86 1.97E+07 5.93
5 4.84E+07 -121.74 2.26E+07 -3.37
4 4.04E+07 -84.83 2.25E+07 -2.97
4 1.59E+07 27.74 2.14E+07 2.48
4 2.22E+07 -0.83 2.26E+07 -2.84
4 2.22E+07 -0.83 2.26E+07 -2.84
3 6.81E+06 69.00 2.25E+07 -2.44
5 2.99E+07 -36.07 2.16E+07 1.62
3 3.67E+07 -65.62 2.21E+07 0.26
3 4.40E+07 -98.46 2.21E+07 0.25
5 6.74E+07 -204.13 2.23E+07 -0.54
4 4.57E+07 -106.47 2.10E+07 5.14
5 6.01E+07 -171.29 2.23E+07 -0.54
4 4.57E+07 -106.47 2.10E+07 5.14
4 1.15E+07 50.39 2.32E+07 0.14
5 1.23E+07 46.98 2.33E+07 -0.24
5 5.47E+07 -128.22 2.37E+07 0.96
3 4.49E+07 -87.19 2.47E+07 -3.19
3 4.59E+07 -91.28 2.36E+07 1.69
5 5.47E+07 -128.22 2.37E+07 0.96
3 7.44E+06 69.11 2.41E+07 -0.05
5 3.08E+07 -28.01 2.43E+07 -0.78
3 2.20E+07 8.76 2.41E+07 -0.05
5 2.36E+07 2.17 2.43E+07 -0.78
4 3.44E+07 -41.45 2.39E+07 1.85
5 4.25E+07 -74.61 2.40E+07 1.49
3 4.09E+07 -68.09 2.38E+07 2.21
5 4.35E+07 -78.65 2.28E+07 6.30
4 3.54E+07 -45.50 2.27E+07 6.66
5 4.35E+07 -78.65 2.28E+07 6.30
3 1.17E+07 54.66 2.58E+07 -0.26
3 -2.87E+06 111.18 2.58E+07 -0.26
5 1.86E+07 28.10 2.45E+07 5.37
3 2.33E+07 9.96 2.55E+07 1.53
4 2.41E+07 6.90 2.56E+07 1.19
5 4.67E+07 -80.51 2.57E+07 0.84
5 3.31E+07 -28.10 2.45E+07 5.37
5 2.59E+07 0.00 2.45E+07 5.37
4 1.78E+07 31.16 2.44E+07 5.71
3 4.91E+07 -84.88 2.64E+07 0.43
3 2.10E+07 20.98 2.53E+07 4.84
4 3.63E+07 -36.79 2.53E+07 4.51
3 4.91E+07 -84.88 2.64E+07 0.43
5 5.07E+07 -90.87 2.66E+07 -0.24
3 2.10E+07 20.98 2.53E+07 4.84
4 4.99E+07 -87.87 2.65E+07 0.10
4 2.90E+07 -9.40 2.53E+07 4.51
5 5.49E+07 -92.81 2.83E+07 0.60
5 3.41E+07 -19.63 2.71E+07 4.71
4 3.23E+07 -13.37 2.82E+07 0.91
3 3.15E+07 -10.59 2.81E+07 1.22
3 2.52E+07 11.48 2.69E+07 5.33
 NP 20977000 25711000 22152000 21969000 25873000
CASO R 25 CASO R 58 CASO R 42 CASO R 37 CASO R 63
CASO 1 CASO 2 CASO 3 CASO 4 CASO 5
X5 PRMH 93 69.7 116.25 93 116.25
X4 POR 0.43 0.35 0.26 0.43 0.35
X3 EPRW 2.25 2.25 3 3.75 3
X2 EPRO 3 5 4 3 5
X1 DWOC 7621 7617 7625 7617 7621

A B C D E
CASO 1 7621 708753 3277.03 17147.25 22863
CASO 2 7617 530904.9 2665.95 17138.25 38085
CASO 3 7625 886406.25 1982.5 22875 30500
CASO 4 7617 708381 3275.31 28563.75 22851
CASO 5 7621 885941.25 2667.35 22863 38105
CASO 6 7621 531183.7 1981.46 28578.75 22863

INVERSO -0.3057306136 0.3421336959 0.5404363673 0.4490015674 -0.6125109582

-3.756706E-06 2.9532477E-06 9.1186429E-06 0.000006175 -7.513412E-06
0.0014579597 -0.0014587254 -0.0029143898 -0.0014587254 0.0029159195
1.9403685E-05 -0.0001194484 -0.0001886546 -6.94043E-05 0.0002137625
2.9105527E-05 -4.788736E-05 -0.0001518343 -0.0001041065 0.0001894274
4.0080476E-05 -4.479316E-05 -7.074547E-05 -5.884793E-05 0.000080161

SOLUCION A -3387544.5406
B -58.227665671
C 13420.814873
D 1271.8505263
E 1058.002949
F 444.02383106
 28468000
CASO R 69
CASO 7 CASO PRUEBA
69.7
0.26
3.75
3
7621

F NPF
58079641 20977000
58018689 25711000
58140625 22152000
58018689 21969000
58079641 25873000
58079641 28468000

-0.4130672593
-6.97674E-06
0.0014579597
0.000144341
8.5295117E-05
5.4127873E-05
 RESULTS_REL
oil_ DWOC_VAR1 PERMH_VAR POR_VAR1 PERMCORR_
1 VAR1
3 1.75E+07 7617 69.7 0.26 2.25
24 1.75E+07 7617 69.7 0.26 3
51 1.75E+07 7617 69.7 0.26 2.25
66 1.88E+07 7617 93 0.26 3.75
67 1.88E+07 7617 93 0.26 2.25
23 1.94E+07 7625 69.7 0.26 2.25
35 1.94E+07 7621 69.7 0.26 3
45 1.94E+07 7625 69.7 0.26 3
68 1.94E+07 7625 69.7 0.26 2.25
69 1.94E+07 7625 69.7 0.26 3.75
9 1.96E+07 7617 116.25 0.26 2.25
55 1.96E+07 7617 116.25 0.26 3
40 2.01E+07 7617 69.7 0.35 3
41 2.01E+07 7617 69.7 0.35 2.25
58 2.01E+07 7617 69.7 0.35 2.25
21 2.10E+07 7621 93 0.26 3
48 2.10E+07 7621 93 0.26 2.25
60 2.10E+07 7625 93 0.26 3
62 2.10E+07 7621 93 0.26 3.75
26 2.18E+07 7617 69.7 0.43 3.75
39 2.18E+07 7617 69.7 0.43 3.75
4 2.20E+07 7621 116.25 0.26 3.75
18 2.20E+07 7625 116.25 0.26 3
42 2.20E+07 7625 116.25 0.26 3
57 2.20E+07 7625 116.25 0.26 2.25
2 2.20E+07 7617 93 0.35 3.75
8 2.22E+07 7625 69.7 0.35 2.25
10 2.22E+07 7625 69.7 0.35 3
16 2.22E+07 7625 69.7 0.35 3.75
22 2.22E+07 7621 69.7 0.35 3.75
36 2.22E+07 7625 69.7 0.35 3
50 2.22E+07 7621 69.7 0.35 3.75
47 2.33E+07 7617 116.25 0.35 3.75
54 2.33E+07 7617 116.25 0.35 3
6 2.40E+07 7621 69.7 0.43 3
17 2.40E+07 7625 69.7 0.43 2.25
43 2.40E+07 7621 69.7 0.43 3.75
56 2.40E+07 7621 69.7 0.43 3
15 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43 2.25
29 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43 3
37 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43 3.75
44 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43 2.25
 5 2.43E+07 7625 93 0.35 2.25
12 2.43E+07 7625 93 0.35 2.25
19 2.43E+07 7625 93 0.35 3.75
28 2.43E+07 7621 93 0.35 3.75
30 2.43E+07 7621 93 0.35 3.75
46 2.43E+07 7621 93 0.35 3.75
11 2.57E+07 7617 116.25 0.43 3.75
38 2.57E+07 7617 116.25 0.43 2.25
13 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35 2.25
20 2.59E+07 7625 116.25 0.35 3
34 2.59E+07 7625 116.25 0.35 2.25
49 2.59E+07 7625 116.25 0.35 3.75
59 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35 3.75
63 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35 3
65 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35 3
7 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43 3.75
25 2.65E+07 7621 93 0.43 2.25
27 2.65E+07 7621 93 0.43 3
32 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43 3.75
33 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43 2.25
53 2.65E+07 7621 93 0.43 2.25
64 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43 3
70 2.65E+07 7621 93 0.43 2.25
1 2.85E+07 7625 116.25 0.43 3.75
14 2.85E+07 7621 116.25 0.43 3
31 2.85E+07 7625 116.25 0.43 2.25
52 2.85E+07 7625 116.25 0.43 3
61 2.85E+07 7621 116.25 0.43 3.75
RESULTS_REL ECUACION ECUACION
PERMCORR_ ERROR ERROR
POLINOMIAL LINEAL
VAR2
4 1.02E+07 41.92 1.69E+07 3.81
3 Err:502 Err:502 1.68E+07 4.31
5 Err:502 Err:502 1.70E+07 3.31
3 Err:502 Err:502 1.85E+07 1.78
3 Err:502 Err:502 1.85E+07 1.78
5 Err:502 Err:502 1.93E+07 0.71
4 Err:502 Err:502 1.80E+07 7.19
5 Err:502 Err:502 1.93E+07 0.71
3 Err:502 Err:502 1.91E+07 1.62
3 Err:502 Err:502 1.91E+07 1.62
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.03E+07 -3.25
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.03E+07 -3.70
3 Err:502 Err:502 1.98E+07 1.80
4 Err:502 Err:502 1.98E+07 1.36
5 Err:502 Err:502 1.99E+07 0.92
4 Err:502 Err:502 1.97E+07 5.93
4 Err:502 Err:502 1.97E+07 5.93
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.09E+07 0.35
4 Err:502 Err:502 1.97E+07 5.93
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.26E+07 -3.37
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.25E+07 -2.97
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.14E+07 2.48
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.26E+07 -2.84
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.26E+07 -2.84
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.25E+07 -2.44
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.16E+07 1.62
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.21E+07 0.26
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.21E+07 0.25
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.23E+07 -0.54
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.10E+07 5.14
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.23E+07 -0.54
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.10E+07 5.14
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.32E+07 0.14
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.33E+07 -0.24
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.37E+07 0.96
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.47E+07 -3.19
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.36E+07 1.69
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.37E+07 0.96
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.41E+07 -0.05
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.43E+07 -0.78
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.41E+07 -0.05
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.43E+07 -0.78
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.39E+07 1.85
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.40E+07 1.49
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.38E+07 2.21
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.28E+07 6.30
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.27E+07 6.66
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.28E+07 6.30
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.58E+07 -0.26
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.58E+07 -0.26
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.45E+07 5.37
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.55E+07 1.53
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.56E+07 1.19
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.57E+07 0.84
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.45E+07 5.37
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.45E+07 5.37
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.44E+07 5.71
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.64E+07 0.43
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.53E+07 4.84
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.53E+07 4.51
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.64E+07 0.43
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.66E+07 -0.24
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.53E+07 4.84
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.65E+07 0.10
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.53E+07 4.51
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.83E+07 0.60
5 Err:502 Err:502 2.71E+07 4.71
4 Err:502 Err:502 2.82E+07 0.91
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.81E+07 1.22
3 Err:502 Err:502 2.69E+07 5.33
 NP 20977000 25711000 22152000
51 66 67
CASO 1 CASO 2 CASO 3
X5 PRMH 69.7 93 93
X4 POR 0.26 0.26 0.26
X3 EPRW 2.25 3.75 2.25
X2 EPRO 5 3 3
X1 DWOC 7617 7617 7617

A B C
CASO 1 7617 530904.9 1980.42
CASO 2 7617 708381 1980.42
CASO 3 7617 708381 1980.42
CASO 4 7621 531183.7 1981.46
CASO 5 7625 531462.5 1982.5
CASO 6 7625 531462.5 1982.5

INVERSO Err:502 Err:502 Err:502

Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502

SOLUCION A Err:502
B Err:502
C Err:502
D Err:502
E Err:502
F Err:502
21969000 25873000 28468000
35 45 68
CASO 4 CASO 5 CASO 7 CASO PRUEBA
69.7 69.7 69.7
0.26 0.26 0.26
3 3 2.25
4 5 3
7621 7625 7625

D E F NPF
17138.25 38085 58018689 17538000
28563.75 22851 58018689 18809000
17138.25 22851 58018689 18809000
22863 30484 58079641 19438000
22875 38125 58140625 19438000
17156.25 22875 58140625 19438000

Err:502 Err:502 Err:502

Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
Err:502 Err:502 Err:502
 oil_

1 3 1.75E+07
2 24 1.75E+07
3 51 1.75E+07
4 66 1.88E+07
5 67 1.88E+07
6 23 1.94E+07
7 35 1.94E+07
8 45 1.94E+07
9 68 1.94E+07
10 69 1.94E+07
11 9 1.96E+07
12 55 1.96E+07
13 40 2.01E+07
14 41 2.01E+07
15 58 2.01E+07
16 21 2.10E+07
17 48 2.10E+07
18 60 2.10E+07
19 62 2.10E+07
20 26 2.18E+07
21 39 2.18E+07
22 4 2.20E+07
23 18 2.20E+07
24 42 2.20E+07
25 57 2.20E+07
26 2 2.20E+07
27 8 2.22E+07
28 10 2.22E+07
29 16 2.22E+07
30 22 2.22E+07
31 36 2.22E+07
32 50 2.22E+07
33 47 2.33E+07
34 54 2.33E+07
35 6 2.40E+07
36 17 2.40E+07
37 43 2.40E+07
38 56 2.40E+07
39 15 2.41E+07
40 29 2.41E+07
41 37 2.41E+07
42 44 2.41E+07
 43 5 2.43E+07
44 12 2.43E+07
45 19 2.43E+07
46 28 2.43E+07
47 30 2.43E+07
48 46 2.43E+07
49 11 2.57E+07
50 38 2.57E+07
51 13 2.59E+07
52 20 2.59E+07
53 34 2.59E+07
54 49 2.59E+07
55 59 2.59E+07
56 63 2.59E+07
57 65 2.59E+07
58 7 2.65E+07
59 25 2.65E+07
60 27 2.65E+07
61 32 2.65E+07
62 33 2.65E+07
63 53 2.65E+07
64 64 2.65E+07
65 70 2.65E+07
66 1 2.85E+07
67 14 2.85E+07
68 31 2.85E+07
69 52 2.85E+07
70 61 2.85E+07

casos CMG

validacion 1 valores por fuera de los valores criticos 2.06E+07

2 2.42E+07
3 2.10E+07
valores dentro del rango ,pero que no fueron
4 seleccionado para el muestreo 2.60E+07
DWOC_VAR1 PERMH_VAR POR_VAR1 RESULTS_RELPERMCORR_VAR1 RESULTS_RELPERMCORR_VAR2
1

7617 69.7 0.26 2.25 4

7617 69.7 0.26 3 3
7617 69.7 0.26 2.25 5
7617 93 0.26 3.75 3
7617 93 0.26 2.25 3
7625 69.7 0.26 2.25 5
7621 69.7 0.26 3 4
7625 69.7 0.26 3 5
7625 69.7 0.26 2.25 3
7625 69.7 0.26 3.75 3
7617 116.25 0.26 2.25 4
7617 116.25 0.26 3 5
7617 69.7 0.35 3 3
7617 69.7 0.35 2.25 4
7617 69.7 0.35 2.25 5
7621 93 0.26 3 4
7621 93 0.26 2.25 4
7625 93 0.26 3 4
7621 93 0.26 3.75 4
7617 69.7 0.43 3.75 5
7617 69.7 0.43 3.75 4
7621 116.25 0.26 3.75 4
7625 116.25 0.26 3 4
7625 116.25 0.26 3 4
7625 116.25 0.26 2.25 3
7617 93 0.35 3.75 5
7625 69.7 0.35 2.25 3
7625 69.7 0.35 3 3
7625 69.7 0.35 3.75 5
7621 69.7 0.35 3.75 4
7625 69.7 0.35 3 5
7621 69.7 0.35 3.75 4
7617 116.25 0.35 3.75 4
7617 116.25 0.35 3 5
7621 69.7 0.43 3 5
7625 69.7 0.43 2.25 3
7621 69.7 0.43 3.75 3
7621 69.7 0.43 3 5
7617 93 0.43 2.25 3
7617 93 0.43 3 5
7617 93 0.43 3.75 3
7617 93 0.43 2.25 5
 7625 93 0.35 2.25 4
7625 93 0.35 2.25 5
7625 93 0.35 3.75 3
7621 93 0.35 3.75 5
7621 93 0.35 3.75 4
7621 93 0.35 3.75 5
7617 116.25 0.43 3.75 3
7617 116.25 0.43 2.25 3
7621 116.25 0.35 2.25 5
7625 116.25 0.35 3 3
7625 116.25 0.35 2.25 4
7625 116.25 0.35 3.75 5
7621 116.25 0.35 3.75 5
7621 116.25 0.35 3 5
7621 116.25 0.35 3 4
7625 93 0.43 3.75 3
7621 93 0.43 2.25 3
7621 93 0.43 3 4
7625 93 0.43 3.75 3
7625 93 0.43 2.25 5
7621 93 0.43 2.25 3
7625 93 0.43 3 4
7621 93 0.43 2.25 4
7625 116.25 0.43 3.75 5
7621 116.25 0.43 3 5
7625 116.25 0.43 2.25 4
7625 116.25 0.43 3 3
7621 116.25 0.43 3.75 3

validacion

7615 120 0.2 4 2.5

7624 100 0.27 3.5 3.7
7618 70 0.38 2.8 4.5
7621 93 0.35 3.5 4

Margen de error lineal

MIN -5.84
MAX 5.04

Margen de error polinomica

MIN -12.49
MAX 9.97
 ECUACION ECUACION
ERROR ERROR
POLINOMIAL LINEAL

1.59E+07 9.20 1.72E+07 2.02 NP

1.64E+07 6.43 1.72E+07 1.93 CASOS R
1.63E+07 6.94 1.73E+07 1.52
1.97E+07 -4.87 1.90E+07 -1.00 X2 PRMH
1.80E+07 4.51 1.88E+07 0.11 X3 POR
1.83E+07 5.88 1.96E+07 -0.90 X4 EPRW
1.78E+07 8.46 1.85E+07 5.04 X5 EPRO
1.92E+07 1.33 1.97E+07 -1.44 X1 DWOC
1.75E+07 9.97 1.94E+07 0.01
1.93E+07 0.88 1.96E+07 -1.07
2.08E+07 -5.97 2.06E+07 -4.85 CASO 1
2.21E+07 -12.49 2.08E+07 -5.84 CASO 2
1.92E+07 4.41 2.02E+07 -0.28 CASO 3
1.87E+07 6.82 2.02E+07 -0.20 CASO 4
1.91E+07 4.85 2.02E+07 -0.64 CASO 5
2.02E+07 3.57 2.02E+07 3.93 CASO 6
1.93E+07 7.78 2.00E+07 4.43
2.12E+07 -1.14 2.13E+07 -1.65
2.11E+07 -0.64 2.03E+07 3.43
2.34E+07 -7.20 2.31E+07 -5.76
2.30E+07 -5.38 2.30E+07 -5.36
2.35E+07 -7.15 2.19E+07 0.11
2.36E+07 -7.64 2.30E+07 -4.75 INVERSO
2.36E+07 -7.64 2.30E+07 -4.75
2.24E+07 -1.81 2.28E+07 -3.87
2.33E+07 -6.17 2.21E+07 -0.75
2.03E+07 8.26 2.24E+07 -1.16
2.12E+07 4.28 2.25E+07 -1.63
2.29E+07 -3.30 2.28E+07 -2.90
2.15E+07 2.96 2.15E+07 2.78
2.20E+07 0.69 2.27E+07 -2.43
2.15E+07 2.96 2.15E+07 2.78
2.54E+07 -9.07 2.37E+07 -2.10
2.49E+07 -6.98 2.37E+07 -2.04 SOLUCION
2.35E+07 1.91 2.42E+07 -0.79
2.28E+07 4.77 2.51E+07 -4.50
2.36E+07 1.53 2.41E+07 -0.49
2.35E+07 1.91 2.42E+07 -0.79
2.33E+07 3.30 2.44E+07 -1.35
2.50E+07 -3.66 2.47E+07 -2.52
2.50E+07 -4.03 2.46E+07 -2.22
2.41E+07 0.00 2.46E+07 -2.09
2.32E+07 4.82 2.42E+07 0.56 Polinomial
2.36E+07 3.19 2.43E+07 0.20
2.45E+07 -0.81 2.43E+07 0.06
2.43E+07 0.00 2.33E+07 4.15
2.39E+07 1.63 2.32E+07 4.51 lineal
2.43E+07 0.00 2.33E+07 4.15
2.75E+07 -6.86 2.63E+07 -2.30
2.57E+07 0.00 2.61E+07 -1.48
2.50E+07 3.41 2.48E+07 4.16
2.61E+07 -0.76 2.59E+07 -0.09
2.56E+07 1.12 2.59E+07 -0.03
2.77E+07 -7.25 2.62E+07 -1.18
2.68E+07 -3.41 2.50E+07 3.35
2.59E+07 0.00 2.49E+07 3.75
2.55E+07 1.53 2.48E+07 4.09
2.70E+07 -1.83 2.70E+07 -1.54
2.43E+07 8.56 2.56E+07 3.66
2.56E+07 3.74 2.58E+07 2.93
2.70E+07 -1.83 2.70E+07 -1.54
2.61E+07 1.83 2.69E+07 -1.42
2.43E+07 8.56 2.56E+07 3.66
2.65E+07 0.00 2.69E+07 -1.48
2.47E+07 7.06 2.57E+07 3.33
3.03E+07 -6.28 2.88E+07 -1.24
2.84E+07 0.31 2.75E+07 3.24
2.81E+07 1.32 2.85E+07 -0.19
2.86E+07 -0.39 2.85E+07 -0.25
2.85E+07 0.00 2.75E+07 3.50
0.52 -0.08

polinomica error lineal error

2.03E+07 1.61 1.84E+07 10.76

2.25E+07 7.09 2.14E+07 11.47

2.08E+07 0.93 2.12E+07 -0.91
2.36E+07 9.09 2.27E+07 12.67
 61 64 63 38 46 44
CASO 1 CASO 2 CASO 3 CASO 4 CASO 5 CASO 7
116.25 93 116.25 116.25 93 93
0.43 0.43 0.35 0.43 0.35 0.43
3.75 3 3 2.25 3.75 2.25
3 4 5 3 5 5
7621 7625 7621 7617 7621 7617

A B C D E F
7621 885941.25 3277.03 28578.75 22863 58079641
7625 709125 3278.75 22875 30500 58140625
7621 885941.25 2667.35 22863 38105 58079641
7617 885476.25 3275.31 17138.25 22851 58018689
7621 708753 2667.35 28578.75 38105 58079641
7617 708381 3275.31 17138.25 38085 58018689

0.034277935 -0.1423512881 -0.0720659081 0.037282676 0.0727711961 0.0703478122

0.000003225 -1.611644E-06 4.8374701E-06 -0.00000242 -4.83747E-06 8.0666841E-07
0.0016402047 -3.641986E-19 1.820993E-19 -0.001641066 -0.0016402047 0.001641066
9.9974382E-05 -0.000049961 -2.49936E-05 -7.502016E-05 2.4993595E-05 2.5006721E-05
3.7490393E-05 -1.873536E-05 5.623559E-05 -9.37752E-05 -5.623559E-05 7.5020162E-05
-4.686299E-06 1.8735363E-05 9.3725983E-06 -4.68876E-06 -9.372598E-06 -9.37752E-06

A -244807.88255
B 13.707768517
C 4110.5857489
D 154.46013469
E 52.092732859
F 32.075418799
 61 2.85E+07 7621 116.25 0.43
64 2.65E+07 7625 93 0.43
63 2.59E+07 7621 116.25 0.35
38 2.57E+07 7617 116.25 0.43
46 2.43E+07 7621 93 0.35
44 2.41E+07 7617 93 0.43

NPF
28468000
26545000
25873000
25711000
24327000
24077000
3.75 3
3 4
3 5
2.25 3
3.75 5
2.25 5
3.50E+07

3.00E+07

2.50E+07

2.00E+07

1.50E+07

1.00E+07

5.00E+06

0.00E+00
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

SIMULADOS POLINOMIAL LINEAL

 oil_G(bbl)

1 25

Time (bbl) Time (bbl)

2017-01-01 0 2017-01-01 0

2017-06-01 636089.06 2017-06-01 573585.81

2017-11-01 1416670.1 2017-11-01 1278608.6

2018-04-01 2311786.5 2018-04-01 2089226.9

2018-09-01 3330215.8 2018-09-01 3012918.3

2019-02-01 4360159.5 2019-02-01 3948266.8

2019-06-01 5130449 2019-06-01 4648173

2019-11-01 6067979.5 2019-11-01 5500662.5

2020-04-01 6958320 2020-04-01 6311094

2020-09-01 7816943 2020-09-01 7093526

2021-01-01 8477770 2021-01-01 7696005.5

2021-06-01 9271569 2021-06-01 8420091

2021-11-01 10049790 2021-11-01 9131392

2022-04-01 10793092 2022-04-01 9812004

2022-09-01 11523562 2022-09-01 10481270

2023-02-01 12233193 2023-02-01 11132300

2023-06-01 12775767 2023-06-01 11631037

2023-11-01 13450321 2023-11-01 12252491

2024-04-01 14102284 2024-04-01 12854524

2024-09-01 14740151 2024-09-01 13445738

2025-01-01 15236184 2025-01-01 13906454

2025-06-01 15837067 2025-06-01 14463828

2025-11-01 16432413 2025-11-01 15016398

2026-04-01 17006966 2026-04-01 15551085

2026-09-01 17576834 2026-09-01 16082192

2027-02-01 18134748 2027-02-01 16603364

2027-06-01 18563964 2027-06-01 17005400

2027-11-01 19100552 2027-11-01 17509582

2028-04-01 19621540 2028-04-01 18001180

2028-09-01 20134018 2028-09-01 18486734

2029-01-01 20534734 2029-01-01 18867162

2029-06-01 21021692 2029-06-01 19329654

2029-11-01 21505424 2029-11-01 19789396

2030-04-01 21973622 2030-04-01 20235026

2030-09-01 22438864 2030-09-01 20678800

2031-02-01 22894864 2031-02-01 21115208

2031-06-01 23246018 2031-06-01 21452358

2031-11-01 23685712 2031-11-01 21875920

2032-04-01 24113902 2032-04-01 22289704

2032-09-01 24536410 2032-09-01 22699036

2033-01-01 24867456 2033-01-01 23020282

2033-06-01 25270312 2033-06-01 23411604

2033-11-01 25670796 2033-11-01 23801320

2034-04-01 26058716 2034-04-01 24179456

2034-09-01 26444540 2034-09-01 24556076

2035-02-01 26823174 2035-02-01 24926500

2035-06-01 27115238 2035-06-01 25212780

2035-11-01 27481440 2035-11-01 25572390

2036-04-01 27838428 2036-04-01 25923808

2037-01-01 28467728 2037-01-01 26545266

 37 42 58

Time (bbl) Time (bbl) Time

2017-01-01 0 2017-01-01 0 2017-01-01

2017-06-01 565432.81 2017-06-01 624514.5 2017-06-01

2017-10-20T08:22:04 1189000 2017-11-01 1373620.5 2017-10-20

2018-04-01 2009501.1 2018-04-01 2205183 2018-04-01

2018-08-12T19:21:02 2761747.5 2018-08-16 3037987.5 2018-08-16

2019-02-01 3741087 2019-02-01 4060979 2019-02-01

2019-06-01 4385412.5 2019-06-01 4740393.5 2019-06-01

2019-11-01 5168772.5 2019-11-01 5559037.5 2019-11-01

2020-04-01 5911669 2020-04-01 6327206 2020-04-01

2020-09-01 6629691.5 2020-09-01 7060514.5 2020-09-01

2021-01-01 7182335 2021-01-01 7620535 2021-01-01

2021-06-01 7844583.5 2021-06-01 8285213 2021-06-01

2021-11-01 8494138 2021-11-01 8927419 2021-11-01

2022-04-01 9115189 2022-04-01 9535403 2022-04-01

2022-09-01 9725004 2022-09-01 10128465 2022-09-01

2023-02-01 10316494 2023-02-01 10700012 2023-02-01

2023-06-01 10768234 2023-06-01 11134165 2023-06-01

2023-11-01 11329142 2023-11-01 11669968 2023-11-01

2024-04-01 11871691 2024-04-01 12182579 2024-04-01

2024-09-01 12404815 2024-09-01 12680868 2024-09-01

2025-01-01 12821100 2025-01-01 13066548 2025-01-01

2025-06-01 13326055 2025-06-01 13530062 2025-06-01

2025-11-01 13826542 2025-11-01 13984325 2025-11-01

2026-04-01 14309623 2026-04-01 14417980 2026-04-01

2026-09-01 14788260 2026-09-01 14843217 2026-09-01

2027-02-01 15256080 2027-02-01 15255135 2027-02-01

2027-06-01 15615831 2027-06-01 15569157 2027-06-01

2027-11-01 16066136 2027-11-01 15958575 2027-11-01

2028-04-01 16504779 2028-04-01 16333685 2028-04-01

2028-09-01 16937930 2028-09-01 16699727 2028-09-01

2029-01-01 17277464 2029-01-01 16983516 2029-01-01

2029-06-01 17690666 2029-06-01 17325220 2029-06-01

2029-11-01 18101420 2029-11-01 17660830 2029-11-01

2030-04-01 18498946 2030-04-01 17981844 2030-04-01

2030-09-01 18893862 2030-09-01 18296990 2030-09-01

2031-02-01 19281284 2031-02-01 18602106 2031-02-01

2031-06-01 19580042 2031-06-01 18834546 2031-06-01

2031-11-01 19954622 2031-11-01 19122214 2031-11-01

2032-04-01 20320174 2032-04-01 19398412 2032-04-01

2032-09-01 20681560 2032-09-01 19667156 2032-09-01

2033-01-01 20965140 2033-01-01 19874768 2033-01-01

2033-06-01 21310694 2033-06-01 20123870 2033-06-01

2033-11-01 21654864 2033-11-01 20367860 2033-11-01

2034-04-01 21988762 2034-04-01 20600716 2034-04-01

2034-09-01 22321416 2034-09-01 20828864 2034-09-01

2035-02-01 22648494 2035-02-01 21049436 2035-02-01

2035-06-01 22901178 2035-06-01 21217346 2035-06-01

2035-11-01 23218552 2035-11-01 21425140 2035-11-01

2036-04-01 23528678 2036-04-01 21624626 2036-04-01

2037-01-01 24076926 2037-01-01 21968540 2037-01-01

58 63 69

(bbl) Time (bbl) Time (bbl)

0 2017-01-01 0 2017-01-01 0

489289.28 2017-06-01 631342.63 2017-06-01 492702.63

1023074.8 2017-11-01 1402340.4 2017-11-01 1087221.6

1719118.1 2018-04-01 2273491.5 2018-04-01 1749848.5

2373378.5 2018-09-01 3258401.8 2018-09-01 2493452.5

3180625 2019-02-01 4247170.5 2019-02-01 3235323.3

3721615.3 2019-06-01 4980719 2019-06-01 3781949.3

4378637 2019-11-01 5871137.5 2019-11-01 4442274.5

5000918 2020-04-01 6710850.5 2020-04-01 5064826.5

5600103 2020-09-01 7519897 2020-09-01 5661366.5

6061106 2021-01-01 8141717.5 2021-01-01 6118811.5

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