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Page 1 of 7
Sample Mid-semester Examination, 2013 STAT1201 Analysis of Scientific Data
Question
1
[8
marks]
Researchers
who
were
interested
in
current
flow
in
the
brain
prepared
sections
from
the
brains
of
adult
guinea
pigs.
Spontaneous
currents
that
flowed
into
individual
brain
cells
were
then
recorded
and
the
peak
amplitude
of
each
current
measured.
A
sample
of
16
observations
of
peak
current
(pico-amperes)
are
given
below:
4.5 4.7 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.6 7.0 7.2 7.5 7.7 8.8 8.8 10.1 10.3 15.3
Page 2 of 7
Sample Mid-semester Examination, 2013 STAT1201 Analysis of Scientific Data
Question
2
[8
marks]
a) Suppose
the
ln(odds)
of
an
event
is
-0.42.
What
is
the
probability
of
that
event?
[4
marks]
b) Suppose
the
weights
of
lemons
in
a
large
crate
have
a
Normal
distribution
with
=
146
grams
and
=
4.3
grams.
Consider
the
random
process
of
picking
5
lemons
independently
and
putting
them
in
a
bag.
What
is
the
standard
deviation
of
the
total
weight
of
the
bag?
[4
marks]
Page 3 of 7
Sample Mid-semester Examination, 2013 STAT1201 Analysis of Scientific Data
Question
3
[8
marks]
Suppose
a
couple
decide
to
have
children
until
they
either
have
a
child
of
each
sex
or
they
have
three
children.
a) Using
G
for
girl
and
B
for
boy,
write
down
the
sample
space
of
possible
outcomes
that
can
arise
from
this
process.
For
example,
GGB
could
be
the
outcome
where
the
couple
has
two
girls
and
then
a
boy.
[2
marks]
b) Define
a
probability
function
for
this
process.
[2
marks]
c) Now
let
the
random
variable
X
be
the
number
of
girls
resulting
from
this
approach
to
having
children.
Write
down
the
sample
space
for
X
and
give
the
probability
function
for
X
based
on
your
answer
to
(b).
[2
marks]
d) What
is
the
expected
number
of
girls,
E(X)?
[1
mark]
e) What
is
the
standard
deviation
of
the
number
of
girls,
sd(X)?
[1
mark]
Page 4 of 7
Sample Mid-semester Examination, 2013 STAT1201 Analysis of Scientific Data
Question
4
[8
marks]
It
is
estimated
that
85%
of
the
fish
in
a
remote
lake
are
carrying
a
certain
bacteria.
Upon
testing
of
a
fish
for
the
bacteria
there
is
a
90%
chance
of
detecting
that
the
fish
is
carrying
the
bacteria
in
case
it
does.
Further
there
is
a
70%
chance
of
concluding
that
a
fish
is
not
carrying
the
bacteria
in
case
it
does
not.
Suppose
a
fish
is
pulled
out
of
the
lake
and
the
diagnostic
procedure
indicates
that
it
is
carrying
the
bacteria.
What
is
the
probability
that
it
actually
is
carrying
the
bacteria?
Page 5 of 7
Sample Mid-semester Examination, 2013 STAT1201 Analysis of Scientific Data
Question
5
[8
marks]
Many
patients
with
Huntingtons
disease
exhibit
disturbances
in
their
daily
cycle
of
sleep
and
wake
as
part
of
their
symptoms.
Researchers
studied
these
effects
by
comparing
wild-type
mice
to
mice
with
a
genetic
mutation
similar
to
humans
with
Huntingtons
disease.
Using
radio-telemetry
they
monitored
heart
rate
and
body
temperature
in
the
mice
over
24
hours.
The
table
below
gives
the
average
body
temperature
recorded
for
14
mutant
mice
and
16
wild-type
mice.
Page 6 of 7
Sample Mid-semester Examination, 2013 STAT1201 Analysis of Scientific Data
b) Since
the
number
of
possible
allocations
to
two
groups
is
quite
large,
the
researchers
realised
that
it
would
not
be
practical
to
calculate
the
exact
randomization
P-value.
Instead
they
used
simulation
to
randomly
split
the
30
values
into
groups
of
size
14
and
16,
recording
the
resulting
difference
between
the
means
each
time.
Repeating
this
100
times
gave
the
following
differences
between
the
means:
0.118
-0.221
-0.001
0.060
0.058
-0.012
0.019
0.257
0.121
0.075
0.052 0.137 -0.103 0.003 -0.158 0.108 -0.082 -0.155 -0.039 0.087
-0.042 0.027 0.025 0.158 -0.074 -0.088 -0.009 0.046 0.166 0.007
0.027 0.106 -0.021 -0.059 0.196 0.024 -0.038 -0.039 0.104 0.027
-0.108 -0.058 -0.110 -0.003 0.060 0.046 0.027 -0.044 0.058 0.129
-0.046 -0.021 0.133 -0.095 -0.092 -0.100 0.050 0.000 0.028 0.011
0.111 -0.042 0.032 -0.011 0.106 0.167 0.035 -0.016 -0.076 0.027
-0.040 -0.044 -0.052 -0.051 -0.107 -0.138 0.025 -0.051 -0.127 -0.173
0.076 -0.052 0.141 -0.060 0.078 0.072 0.095 0.170 -0.138 -0.147
-0.028
-0.139
-0.127
0.283
0.100
-0.076
0.110
-0.099
0.025
0.047
Based
on
this
simulation,
what
is
the
estimated
P-value
for
the
test
of
whether
average
body
temperature
tends
to
be
higher
for
the
mutant
mice?
Explain
your
answer
and
give
your
conclusion.
[6
marks]
END OF EXAMINATION
Page 7 of 7