Un productor de filtros de motores de automoviles desea establecer un modelo para validar la vent

alpha 0.1

t X_t S_t
0 177.08
1975 1 1 317 191.072
2 2 194 191.3648
3 3 312 203.42832
4 4 316 214.685488
5 5 322 225.416939
6 6 334 236.275245
7 7 317 244.347721
8 8 356 255.512949
9 9 428 272.761654
10 10 411 286.585488
11 11 494 307.32694
12 12 412 317.794246
1976 1 13 460 332.014821
2 14 395 338.313339
3 15 392 343.682005
900
4 16 447 354.013805
5 17 452 363.812424
800
6 18 571 384.531182
7 19 517 397.778064
700
8 20 397 397.700257
9 21 410 398.930231
600
10 22 579 416.937208
11 23 473 422.543487
500
12 24 558 436.089139

400

300
700
200
600
571 579
558
100 517
500 f(x) = 10.88x + 275 494
R = 0.6661767786 460 473
447452
0 428411 412
400 410
1 2 3 4 5 6 395
7 3928 9 10 1139712 13 14 15
356
334
300 317 312316322 317 Column J Column M

200 194

100

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
modelo para validar la venta de sus productos para los aos 1977 y 1978 el cuenta con las estadisticas de v
beta 0.9 b10 275 b10
b20 10.88 b20
S_t^[2] X_[t/(t-1)] X_t S_t S_t^[2]
79.16 438.2 340.28
90.3512 1 538 448.18 351.07
100.45256 2 570 460.362 361.9992
110.750136 3 600 474.3258 373.23186
121.143671 4 565 483.39322 384.247996
131.570998 5 485 483.553898 394.178586
142.041423 6 604 495.598508 404.320578
152.272053 7 527 498.738657 413.762386
162.596142 8 603 509.164792 423.302627
173.612693 9 604 518.648312 432.837195
184.909973 10 790 545.783481 444.131824
197.151669 11 714 562.605133 455.979155
209.215927 12 653 571.64462 467.545701
221.495817 13 626 577.080158 478.499147
233.177569 14 690 588.372142 489.486447
244.228012 15 680 597.534928 500.291295
255.206592 16 673 605.081435 510.770309
266.067175 17 613 605.873292 520.280607
277.913576 18 744 619.685962 530.221143
289.900024 19 718 629.517366 540.150765
300.680048 20 767 643.26563 550.462251
310.505066 21 728 651.739067 560.589933
321.14828 22 793 665.86516 571.117456
331.287801 23 726 671.878644 581.193574
341.767935 24 777 682.39078 591.313295

571 579
558
517
473
47452
410
9 10 1139712 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Column J Column M

17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
enta con las estadisticas de venta de los aos 1875 y 1976 que se dan en la siguiente tabla
536.12
10.88

547 -9
556.08 13.92
569.654 30.346
586.6524 -21.6524
593.55458 -108.55458
582.8598 21.1402
597.01843 -70.0184302
593.156736 9.84326364
604.567197 -0.56719699
613.993998 176.006002
658.729767 55.2702329
681.078442 -28.0784422
687.310085 -61.3100847
686.614614 3.38538575
698.245137 -18.245137
705.583409 -32.5834091
709.871575 -96.8715754
700.976274 43.0237256
719.091318 -1.0913178
728.81359 38.1864102
746.380494 -18.3804942
753.015882 39.9841182
771.140387 -45.140387
772.639832 4.36016772
SUMA CUADR 75569.3046
57.3203449
iente tabla
1 2 3 4 5
 alpha 0.1

t X_t S_t
0 438.2
1 1 538 448.18
6 7 2 2 570 460.362
3 3 600 474.3258
4 4 565 483.39322
5 5 485 483.553898
6 6 604 495.598508
7 7 527 498.738657
9008 8 603 509.164792
9 9 604 518.648312
800
10 10 790 545.783481
11
700 11 714 562.605133
12 12 653 571.64462
600
1 13 626 577.080158
5002 14 690 588.372142
4003 15 680 597.534928
4 16 673 605.081435
300
5 17 613 605.873292
2006 18 744 619.685962
7 19 718 629.517366
100
8 20 767 643.26563
09 21 728 651.739067
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2
10 22 793 665.86516
11 23 726 671.878644
12 24 777 682.39078
 beta 0.9 b10 275
b20 10.88
S_t^[2] X_[t/(t-1)]
340.28 1 2 3 4
351.07 547
361.9992 556.08 557.88
373.23186 569.654 566.87 577.66
384.247996 586.6524 580.5832 591.5124 830.351111
394.178586 593.55458 597.88506 609.11772
404.320578 582.8598 604.570716 615.586852
413.762386 597.01843 592.79039 602.72098
423.302627 593.156736 607.160422 617.302415
432.837195 604.567197 602.598544 612.040352
444.131824 613.993998 614.107438 623.647678
455.979155 658.729767 623.528567 633.063135
467.545701 681.078442 670.024396 681.319024
478.499147 687.310085 692.925773 704.773104
489.486447 686.614614 698.876631 710.443178
500.291295 698.245137 697.56806 708.521506
510.770309 705.583409 709.232437 720.219736
520.280607 709.871575 716.388257 727.193105
530.221143 700.976274 720.350589 730.829604
540.150765 719.091318 710.486573 719.996871
550.462251 728.81359 729.031853 738.972389
560.589933 746.380494 738.743212
1 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
748.672835
571.117456 753.015882 756.691981 767.003467
581.193574 771.140387 763.143563 773.271245
591.313295 772.639832 781.66791 792.195432
783.587985