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ON
PERFORMANCE OF SELECT HOUSING FINANCE
COMPANIES AN ANALYSIS OF SYSTEMATIC AND
UNSYSTEMATIC RISK
Submitted to:-
(2015-2017)
UNDER GUIDENCAE:
SUBMITTED BY:
Prof. Sampada Najan BHUMIKA RAI
MBA 4 rd
Sem.
1
Roll
No.:52770072
Spec.:-
Finance and Marketing
CERTIFICATE
Faculty Guide
Prof. Sampada Najan
Faculty MIST Indore
2
DECLARATION
To the best of my knowledge and belief the information, facts, figures that are
presented in this report are actually based on my own work.
Bhumika Rai
MBA 4th Sem.
3
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
4
Bhumika Rai
MBA IV Sem.
CONTENTS
Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1 Conceptual Framework 6-14
4.4 Limitations
Chapter 5: References 34-37
CHAPTER 1
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INTRODUCTION
INTRODUCTION
The objective of any investor is to maximize the returns from investments, subject
to various constraints, primarily risk. Return is the motivating force, inspiring the
investor in the form of rewards, for undertaking the investment. Risk means you
have the possibility of losing some, or even all, of your original investment. Low
levels of uncertainty (low risk) are associated with low potential returns. High
levels of uncertainty (high risk) are associated with high potential returns. Risk
involves the chance an investment's actual return will differ from the expected
return. Risk includes the possibility of losing some or all of the original
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investment. Different versions of risk are usually measured by calculating the
standard deviation of the historical returns or average returns of a specific
investment. A high standard deviation indicates a high degree of risk. Many
companies allocate large amounts of money and time in developing risk
management strategies to help manage risks associated with their business and
investment dealings. A key component of the risk management process is risk
assessment, which involves the determination of the risks surrounding a business
or investment.
A fundamental idea in finance is the relationship between risk and return. The
greater the amount of risk an investor is willing to take, the greater the potential
return. Investors need to be compensated for taking on additional risk. For
example, a U.S. Treasury bond is considered one of the safest, or risk-free,
investments and when compared to a corporate bond, provides a lower rate of
return. A corporation is much more likely to go bankrupt than the U.S. government.
Because the risk of investing in a corporate bond is higher, investors are the risk
inherent to the entire market or an entire market segment. Investment risks can be
divided into two categories: systematic and unsystematic.
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dramatic change in either direction. Interest rates and recession wars all
represent sources of systematic risk because they affect the entire market and
cannot be avoided through diversification. Systematic risk can be mitigated
only by being hedged. This risk underlies all other investment risks. If there
is inflation, you can invest in securities in inflation-resistant economic
sectors. If interest rates are high, you can sell your utility stocks and move
into newly issued bonds. However, if the entire economy underperforms,
then the best you can do is attempt to find investments that will weather the
storm better than the broader market. For example, putting some assets in
bonds and other assets in stocks can mitigate systematic risk because an
interest rate shift that makes bonds less valuable will tend to make stocks
more valuable, and vice versa, thus limiting the overall change in the
portfolios value from systematic changes. Interest rate changes, inflation,
recessions and wars all represent sources of systematic risk because they
affect the entire market.
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new competitor, a regulatory change, a management change and a product
recall.
MEASURES OF RISK:-
The most common measures of riskiness of a security are standard deviation and
variance of returns.
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market, less than 1 means less systematic risk than the market, and equal to
one means the same systematic risk as the market. Beta is calculated using
regression analysis.
Beta represents the tendency of a security's returns to respond to swings in
the market. A security's beta is calculated by dividing the covariance the
security's returns and the benchmark's returns by the variance of the
benchmark's returns over a specified period. A security's beta should only be
used when a security has a high R-squared value in relation to the
benchmark. The R-squared measures the percentage of a security's historical
price movements that could be explained by movements in a benchmark
index. For example, a gold exchange-traded fund (ETF), such as the SPDR
Gold Shares, is tied to the performance of gold bullion. Consequently, a gold ETF
would have a low beta and R-squared in relation to a benchmark equity
index, such as the Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index. When using beta to
determine the degree of systematic risk, a security with a high R-squared
value, in relation to its benchmark, would increase the accuracy of the beta
measurement.
The company should have its primary business of providing finance for
housing, whether directly or indirectly.
Once these basic requirements are fulfilled, the company should comply with the
following conditions to get registered as a Housing Finance Company:
The company shall be in such a position that it is able to meet the full claims
of its present as well as future depositors as and when these accrue.
The affairs of the housing finance company should not be detrimental to the
interest of the present and future depositors.
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The Company should have an adequate capital structure and better income
prospects.
So, all the above conditions must be met by the non-banking finance company to
perform the business of financing of houses (construction and acquisition).
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RATIONAL OF STUDY
The home is basic unit of society, but the capital required per dwelling is so large
that few individuals can raise it from their own savings. So there is a great need
and scope for the purpose of construction of house. In consideration of the strategic
significance of the housing sector in the emerging Indian economy and the
government's major policy thrust to encourage banks' housing finance portfolio.
The findings of the study would be very useful to the policy makers, practicing
bankers, researchers, academicians and other stake holders. Also its finding will
help in understanding systematic risk and unsystematic risk associated with the
housing finance companies.
LITERATURE REVIEW
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Krishnamachari (1980), as stated in the preamble of the National Housing
Policy, "shelter is a basic human need and as an intrinsic part of human settlement,
is closely linked with the process of overall socioeconomic development. Though a
house is essentially a place of dwelling, it also fulfils many important social needs
of the household. Besides providing shelter, it creates employment, generates
voluntary saving and creates a conducive condition needed for achieving crucial
goals.
P.K. Manoj (2004), in his article, Dynamics of Housing Finance in India, made
an attempt to study the growth and development of housing finance system in
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India. He also emphasized the importance of housing to the economy and prospects
of housing finance industry. He examined the risk factors and issues
involved in aggressive lending to housing due to cut- throat competition, and the
peculiar features of the existing regulatory and legal system. He concluded that
measures should be taken to promote active mortgage backed securitisation market
in India, which can further strengthen our housing finance system and make it
more competitive.
.
Kirti Dutta and Anil Dutta (2009) in their study on - Customer Expectations and
Perceptions across the Indian Banking Industry and the Resultant Financial
Implications have studied the expectations and perceptions of the consumers across
the three banking sectors in India. It was found that in the banking sector it is the
foreign banks which are perceived to be offering better quality of services followed
by the private and then public banks and these perceptions are reflected in the
financial performance of the banks also.
Rao K.N. (2010) in his article Housing Finance A Global Perspective mentions
in this article that home loans have been registering exponential growth in India
during the last six years. Easy liquidity conditions, low interest rates, availability of
tax shelters on repayment of principal and interest surging demand from middle
income group borrowers, lower regulatory capital, the comfort of tangible security
have all collectivity contributed to the spurt in home loans. HDFC and LICHFL are
the major players in disbursement of home loans. These banks sanction upto 85%
of the cost of the property as home loan for a maximum period of 20 to 30 years.
R. Madhavi (2012) studied the impact of volatility and systematic risk in select
Housing Finance Companies in India. The movement of BSE sensex as well as five
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other top housing companies namely HDFC, LIC Housing Finance, GIC Housing
Finance, Dewan Housing Finance Ltd and Can fin homes were studies for a period
of 5 years ie from March 2004 to March 2009. It indicates that the housing finance
companies cannot give greater returns than market returns in a bull market and did
not lose more than the market lost in a bear market. The investment in housing
finance stocks is stable in nature. It can be concluded that investment in housing
finance stocks is safer in volatile market conditions.
Pankaj Chadha and Vanitha Chawla (2013), this paper compare Indias ten
major HFCs on the basis of corporate governance practices & disclosures in the
annual report for the year 2011-2012. Regression analysis has been applied to
determine whether there is any significant relationship between the corporate
governance score of HFCs and independent variables like size of the HFCs, Profit
margin and leverage. The significance of this study is that it uses a new perspective
and dimension for comparison of HFCs in India and contributes to the existing
body of knowledge in the Corporate Governance.
Mrs. S. Rajalakshmi et.al.(2013) identified from their study most of the housing
finance companies in India have introduced several new home loan products in
order to meet the needs of a wide variety of customers. The various home loan
schemes have market. The customer can choose those schemes which he feels is
good for him and have the capacity to repay it on that specified time period.
OBJECTIVE OF STUDY
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i. To study and analyse the systematic risk among select housing finance
companies.
ii. To study and analyse the unsystematic risk among select housing finance
companies.
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Chapter 2:
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
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The study was descriptive in nature and aims to understand and analyse the
systematic risk and unsystematic risk associated with the housing finance
companies in India.
In this study 10 years data from 2006 to 2016 was taken as sample of top 5
Housing Finance Companies, i.e, Housing Development Finance
Corporation Limited, State Bank of India Home Finance, Housing Urban
Development Corporation, LIC Housing Finance Limited and IDBI Home
Finance Limited.
Secondary data was used in this study and was collected from the website of
BSE and NSE.
I. Beta () :-
It is a measure of the volatility, or systematic risk, of a security or a portfolio
in comparison to the market as a whole. Beta is used in the capital asset
pricing model (CAPM), which calculates the expected return of an asset
based on its beta and expected market returns. Beta is also known as the beta
coefficient. The formula for calculating beta is the covariance of the return
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of an asset with the return of the benchmark divided by the variance of the
return of the benchmark over a certain period.
II. Alpha () :-
Alpha or Jensen Index is an index that is used in some financial models such
as the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to determine the highest possible
return on an investment for the least amount of risk. It measures how well an
investment performed compared to its benchmark. Alpha is calculated as :-
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Chapter 3:
BETA () :-
S.
No. Top 5 Housing Finance Companies in India Beta
22
1 Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited (HDFC) 1.0272
2 State Bank of India Home Finance (SBI) 1.1598
-
3 Housing Urban Development Corporation (HUDCO) 0.0261
4 LIC Housing Finance Limited 1.2282
5 IDBI Home Finance Limited (IHFL) 1.4579
Beta Interpretation :-
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LIC Housing Finance Limited has beta 1.2282, i.e. it is theoretically 23%
more volatile than the market. It also indicates that the investment has more
systematic risk than the market. It means stocks of LIC are very strongly
influenced by day-to-day market news, or by the general health of the
economy.
IDBI Home Finance Limited (IHFL) has beta 1.4579, i.e. it is theoretically
46% more volatile than the market. It also indicates that the investment has
more systematic risk than the market. It means stocks of IDBI are very
strongly influenced by day-to-day market news, or by the general health of
the economy.
ALPHA () :-
S.
No. Top 5 Housing Finance Companies in India Alpha
1 Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited (HDFC) 0.0015
2 State Bank of India Home Finance (SBI) 0.0038
3 Housing Urban Development Corporation (HUDCO) 0.0038
4 LIC Housing Finance Limited 0.0012
5 IDBI Home Finance Limited (IHFL) 0.0008
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Alpha Interpretation :-
Alpha in measuring performance assumes that the portfolio is sufficiently
diversified so as to eliminate unsystematic risk. In other words, alpha is the return
on an investment that is not a result of general movement in the greater market.
An alpha of 0 would indicate that the portfolio or fund is tracking perfectly
with the benchmark index and that the manager has not added or lost any
value.
An alpha of 1% means the investment's return on investment over a selected
period of time was 1% better than the market during that same period.
An alpha of -1 means the investment underperformed the market.
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It stands at 0.0008 ~ 0.00, i.e. it is equal to the origin of X-axis, which
means the return from LIC Housing Finance Limiteds stock prices will be at
0.00%, when the market return is zero.
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Chapter 4:
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SUGGESTIONS:-
We can take Mid- cap or small- cap Housing Finance Companies because many
investors do not have more amount of money to invest in such large companies.
Also more than five companies can be taken as there are many more good companies,
in which people invests.
We can also take less than 10 years data. Monthly or yearly data can be taken.
Systematic risk and Unsystematic risk can also be calculated by Markowitz Model,
Sharpe Index Model and Jensen Index.
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CONCLUSION :-
LIMITATIONS :-
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The study period was limited to year 2006-20016 only and the evaluation has been
done by taking into consideration only 5 top Housing Finance Companies.
A comparison can also be made between mid- cap and small cap companies.
Monthly or yearly data could be taken so that we may get different results and may
interpret in a better way.
In this study other tools and models can be used and we can get different results.
IMPLICATIONS:-
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The findings of the study are quite revealing and have policy implications for both
the bankers and the regulators. They could be used for policy inputs for the
development of sound housing finance market as well as for making portfolio
choices, risk based pricing decisions, product design choices and design risk
management process. Also its findinds would be very useful to the policy makers,
practicing bankers, researchers, academicians and other stake holders.
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CHAPTER :-5
REFERENCE
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REFERENCES:
1. Anil Dutta and Kiran Dutta (2009), Customer Expectations and Perceptions
across the Indian Banking Industry and the Resultant Financial Implications,
Journal of Services Research, Volume 9, Number 1 Pages 31-49.
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8. Mrs. S. Rajalakshmi (2013) A Study On Housing Loan Borrowers of Public
And Private Sector Banks In Thoothukudi Area, Research journal of
Commerce Vol.1, No.2 December, 2013.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
www.bseindia.com
www.nseindia.com
www.moneycontrol.com
www.investopedia.com
www.wikipedia.com
www.urbandictionary.com
www.business.mapsofindia.com
www.investorwords.com
www.businessdictionary.com
Frequency- daily
Time period: 4/1/2006 to 3/31/2016 (start date to end date)
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