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M1 M GDP P GDP(-1) GDP(-2)

22175 28448.8178 334800 0.77947


22841 28247.2391 336708 0.80861 334800
23461 28386.3084 340096 0.82649 336708 334800
23427 27605.6703 341844 0.84863 340096 336708
23811 27465.8854 342776 0.86693 341844 340096
23612.33 26545.6211 342264 0.8895 342776 341844
24543 26807.423 340716 0.91553 342264 342776
25638.66 27349.9461 347780 0.93743 340716 342264
25316 26227.9457 354836 0.96523 347780 340716
25501.33 25817.8569 359352 0.98774 354836 347780
25382.33 25053.1318 356152 1.01314 359352 354836
24753 23936.7566 353636 1.0341 356152 359352
25094.33 23731.4338 349568 1.05743 353636 356152
25253.66 23437.7065 345284 1.07748 349568 353636
24936.66 22738.734 343028 1.09666 345284 349568
25553 22888.5445 340292 1.11641 343028 345284
26755.33 23824.2344 346072 1.12303 340292 343028
27412 24173.9054 353860 1.13395 346072 340292
28403.33 24758.6144 359544 1.14721 353860 346072
28402.33 24472.3201 362304 1.16059 359544 353860
28715.66 24518.7804 368280 1.17117 362304 359544
28996.33 24697.4856 376768 1.17406 368280 362304
28479.33 28479.33 17795 1 376768 368280
28669 24205.9136 385396 1.18438 17795 376768
29018.66 24387.4779 390240 1.1899 385396 17795
29398.66 24371.9461 391580 1.20625 390240 385396
30203.66 24860.6163 396384 1.21492 391580 390240
31059.33 25499.2242 405308 1.21805 396384 391580
30745.33 25117.092 405680 1.22408 405308 396384
30477.66 24807.6284 408116 1.22856 405680 405308
31563.66 25471.8196 409160 1.23916 408116 405680
32800.66 26163.5026 409616 1.25368 409160 408116
33958.33 26714.2318 416484 1.27117 409616 409160
35795.66 27871.9448 422916 1.28429 416484 409616
35878.66 27684.3648 429980 1.29599 422916 416484
36336 27737.1928 436264 1.31001 429980 422916
36480.33 27568.7361 440592 1.32325 436264 429980
37108.66 27855.381 446680 1.33219 440592 436264
38423 28447.7844 450328 1.35065 446680 440592
38480.66 28160.4268 453516 1.36648 450328 446680

Resumen
Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de0.50177892
Coeficiente d 0.25178209
R^2 ajustado 0.20776927
Error tpico 1503.3507
Observacione 37

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 2 25858079.1 12929039.6 5.72065363 0.00721901
Residuos 34 76842153.6 2260063.34
Total 36 102700233

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%


Intercepcin 19373.662 2101.24715 9.22007769 8.9453E-011 15103.414
Variable X 1 -0.00027133 0.00305426 -0.08883604 0.92973344 -0.00647834
Variable X 2 0.00307105 0.00186777 1.64423189 0.10934475 -0.00072472
GDP(-3) Z0t Z1t Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de 0.5017789243
334800 1353448 2017912 Coeficiente d 0.2517820888
336708 1361424 2032160 R^2 ajustado 0.2077692705
340096 1366980 2046752 Error tpico 1503.3507049711
341844 1367600 2053348 Observacione 37
342776 1373536 2053572
342264 1385596 2056004 ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
340716 1402684 2072544 Grados de libertad
347780 1418120 2112364 Regresin 2
354836 1423976 2139364 Residuos 34
359352 1418708 2143996 Total 36
356152 1404640 2125296
353636 1391516 2105328 Coeficientes
349568 1378172 2082300 Intercepcin 19373.6619546954
345284 1374676 2062200 Variable X 1 -0.0002713287
343028 1383252 2055740 Variable X 2 0.0030710469
340292 1399768 2066880
346072 1421780 2105480 B0 -0.0002713287
353860 1443988 2142972 B1 0.0027997182
359544 1466896 2171520 B2 0.0058707651
362304 1125147 2200240 B3 -0.000002500
368280 1148239 1876171
376768 1170199 1551290
17795 1185011 1214417
385396 1563600 2328248
390240 1583512 2350264
391580 1598952 2372816
396384 1615488 2405448
405308 1628264 2435400
405680 1632572 2442432
408116 1643376 2452284
409160 1658176 2463196
409616 1678996 2484732
416484 1705644 2525264
422916 1729752 2564972
429980 1753516 2603060
436264 1773864 2636656
440592 1791116 2665464
crtico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%


Superior 95.0%
23643.9099 15103.414 23643.9099 Resumen
0.00593568 -0.00647834 0.00593568
0.00686681 -0.00072472 0.00686681 Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente de 0.5017789243
Coeficiente d 0.2517820888
R^2 ajustado 0.2077692705
Error tpico 1503.3507049711
Observacione 37

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Regresin 2
Residuos 34
Total 36

Coeficientes
Intercepcin 19373.6619546954
Variable X 1 -0.0002713287
Variable X 2 0.0030710469
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
25858079.1 12929039.6 5.72065363 0.00721901
76842153.6 2260063.34
102700233

Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%


2101.24715 9.22007769 8.9453E-011 15103.414 23643.9099 15103.414
0.00305426 -0.08883604 0.92973344 -0.00647834 0.00593568 -0.00647834
0.00186777 1.64423189 0.10934475 -0.00072472 0.00686681 -0.00072472
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
25858079.1 12929039.6 5.72065363 0.00721901
76842153.6 2260063.34
102700233

Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%


2101.24715 9.22007769 8.9453E-011 15103.414 23643.9099 15103.414
0.00305426 -0.08883604 0.92973344 -0.00647834 0.00593568 -0.00647834
0.00186777 1.64423189 0.10934475 -0.00072472 0.00686681 -0.00072472
Superior 95.0%
23643.9099
0.00593568
0.00686681
Superior 95.0%
23643.9099
0.00593568
0.00686681
M GDP m(-1)
28448.8178 334800
28247.2391 336708 28448.8178
28386.3084 340096 28247.2391
27605.6703 341844 28386.3084
27465.8854 342776 27605.6703
26545.6211 342264 27465.8854
26807.423 340716 26545.6211
27349.9461 347780 26807.423
26227.9457 354836 27349.9461
25817.8569 359352 26227.9457
25053.1318 356152 25817.8569
23936.7566 353636 25053.1318
23731.4338 349568 23936.7566
23437.7065 345284 23731.4338
22738.734 343028 23437.7065
22888.5445 340292 22738.734
23824.2344 346072 22888.5445
24173.9054 353860 23824.2344
24758.6144 359544 24173.9054
24472.3201 362304 24758.6144
24518.7804 368280 24472.3201
24697.4856 376768 24518.7804
28479.33 17795 24697.4856
24205.9136 385396 28479.33
24387.4779 390240 24205.9136
24371.9461 391580 24387.4779
24860.6163 396384 24371.9461
25499.2242 405308 24860.6163
25117.092 405680 25499.2242
24807.6284 408116 25117.092
25471.8196 409160 24807.6284
26163.5026 409616 25471.8196
26714.2318 416484 26163.5026
27871.9448 422916 26714.2318
27684.3648 429980 27871.9448
27737.1928 436264 27684.3648
27568.7361 440592 27737.1928
27855.381 446680 27568.7361
28447.7844 450328 27855.381
28160.4268 453516 28447.7844