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Nickel
Copper
North Atlantic
Clydach
Thompson Voiseys Bay Asia Pacific
Acton
Long Harbour
Port Sudbury
Colborne Dalian
Matsuzaka
KNC
VTL
South Atlantic
PTVI
Salobo Sossego
Ona Puma Lubambe
5%
6%
18%
24%
52% 57%
13%
25%
94%
6%
Nickel equivalent production based on 2014 Cu price of US$ 6,862/t and 2014 Ni price of US$ 16,867/t
Source: Company filings and Wood Mackenzie.
.
7
22.2
18.8
10.0
7.6
6.5
5.0
7.6
7.3
74.8
62.0
56.2
10.8
Norilsk Vale Glencore Eramet Royal First Codelco Southern Freeport BHP Glencore Vale
Nickel Quantum Copper Billiton
Minerals
C1 Cash Cost
Vale
24,000
22,000
1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th Quartile
20,000
18,000
16,000
Thompson
14,000
VNC1
12,000 Ona Puma
10,000 PTVI
Long Harbour1
8,000
6,000 Sudbury
4,000
2,000
0
-2,000 Cumulative Nickel Production
-12,000
1Shown as forecast to be fully ramped-up for Long Harbour in 2018 and VNC in 2017
Note: Includes all downstream processing costs to finished product
Source: WoodMackenzie, Vale analysis
10
9,000
C1 Cash Cost
8,000 Vale
6,000
5,000
Sossego
4,000
Salobo
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Cumulative Copper Production
-1,000
1 After accounting for the Goldstream transaction, Salobo operation is positioned in the lower 2nd quartile of the cost curve
Market Overview
12
Nickel Copper
Nickel Copper
32% 39%
61%
68%
Roughly 70% of the worlds nickel production goes Most of Vales nickel production goes to non-
to stainless steel applications stainless steel applications
Source: Vale
15
China China
Other Asia Other Asia
Europe Europe
North America 1% North America
2% Rest of World Rest of World
8% 11%
20% 30%
52% 30%
18% 28%
70% of total nickel sales volume is directed to Vales sales are more evenly distributed across
Asia geographic regions
Automotive 7%
Aerospace 4%
Other Transport 5%
Appliances 6%
Electronics 6%
Energy 6%
Chemical,
8%
Petrochemical
Other Engineering 14%
Building &
11%
Construction
Cutlery/Kitchen 11%
Intermediate
18%
Products
Others 4%
Total 100%
Source: Pariser
17
China represents about 50% of total world demand and still offers
growth potential
1 Total nickel consumption (primary + scrap) adjusted for net trade in intermediates and final products
As the impact from the Indonesian ore ban gains traction, China is
becoming increasingly dependent on nickel imports
Chinese nickel consumption
kt Share of world consumption, %
Chinese NPI Production
Chinese Refined Nickel Production (ex-NPI)
Dependency on imports
52
265
261 230
232
237 228
199
19 227 184
162 123 165 493 453
111
153 307 361
123 128 267
115 180
74 87 102
38
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015F
Note: Chinese dependency on imports is calculated as nickel consumption minus domestic refined production
Source: Vale, WoodMackenzie
19
But despite the Indonesian ore ban, the nickel industry got prices
wrong in 2015
Despite a better than expected 2015 to date, concerns with the Chinese economy
and cost deflation have helped bring prices down
20
5,000 Germany
USA
Japan
4,500 China
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: CRU
21
104
74
38
26
16
(4)
(47) (43)
(53)
Does not include any potential supply side shutdowns due to current price environment
Note: Considering CRUs forecast of 6.44%, 3.07% and 3.73% increase in Chinese primary nickel demand in 2016, 2017 and 2018,
respectively; CRUs forecast includes an increase of 7.93%, 4.59% and 4.54% in Chinese stainless steel melted production in 2016,
2017 and 2018, respectively.
Source: CRU, Vale
22
450,000
$30,000
400,000
350,000 $25,000
300,000
$20,000
250,000
$15,000
200,000
150,000 $10,000
100,000
$5,000
50,000
0 $0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: Bloomberg
23
Commodity
LME
Record imports into China
30 combined with smaller discounts deliverable
nickel is the
Production falling year-over-year least desired
as ore availability tightens by stainless
13 steel mills as
Discounts improved in China they focus on
for non-deliverable units
cheaper
100 16 options first
Weakness in oil & gas and mining with This means
8 negative impact on non-ferrous alloys
LME
inventories
will lag
19 behind any
33 nickel market
improvement
14
350 55
50
300
45
250 40
35
200
30
25
150
20
100 15
10
50
5
0 0
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15E2 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nickel imports of finished nickel including unwrought nickel, ferro-nickel, amongst other forms used directly by nickel consumers
Jan-Aug finished nickel imports annualized to full-year
Source: Vale, WoodMackenzie
26
30,000
15,000
5,000
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 1,700 1,800 1,900
-5,000
Nickel prices have fallen to extremely low levels during the typically slower summer
months on negative sentiment towards the Chinese economy and associated
demand for stainless steel
Prices are now at levels where more than half of nickel production is losing money.
This is an extreme price level even in an environment of slowing demand
Nickel imports into China have reached historical peaks, imports are anticipated to
remain at high levels as NPI production declines
While the timing of a market upturn will be impacted by Chinese demand growth, the
longer-term dynamics remain positive
Nickel Copper
900,000
$10,000
800,000
700,000
$8,000
600,000
500,000 $6,000
400,000
$4,000
300,000
200,000
$2,000
100,000
0 $0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: Bloomberg
31
1,258
1,114
682 659
584
352
250
120
60
Note: Considering Woodmacs forecast of 4.57%, 3.78% and 3.04% increase in Chinese refined copper consumption in 2016,
2017 and 2018, respectively.
Source: Wood Mackenzie, Vale analysis
32
Copper prices are now starting to cut deeper into the cost curve
2015 Global Copper Industry C1 cash cost + Sustaining Investments, USD per ton of copper
China
Non-China
10,000
8,000
6,000
Current price level
4,000
2,000
0
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000
Cumulative Copper Production
-2,000
-5.1%
25,087
24,428
24,215
-1.8%
23,173
22,963
22,546
Au
n-
Ja
g
Copper prices have fallen to low levels on Chinese demand concerns. Prices
being supported above levels seen during the Financial Crisis in 2009
Physical availability of cathode has improved from recent years, however, supply
disruptions are helping to partially offset this weakness
Operations overview
36
Nickel
Copper
North Atlantic
Clydach
Thompson Voiseys Bay Asia Pacific
Acton
Long Harbour
Port Sudbury
Colborne Dalian
Matsuzaka
KNC
VTL
South Atlantic
PTVI
Salobo Sossego
Ona Puma Lubambe
life
Vision
Start the development of the Victor mine by
2019
Opportunities
Integrated mining, milling, smelting Optimize the development of the Copper
and refining operations to process Cliff mine through a staged approach
ore into finished nickel with a Stage 1 capex of US$ 22 million for
nominal capacity of 66,000 tpy 2016
Continue investments in brownfields
exploration to extend life of existing mines
39
2,500
Emissions control through converter
circuit and single furnace operation
1 Coniston smelter closed and super stack built
Highlights
Highlights
Ni grade of 1.50%
Cu grade of 1.98%
Key characteristics
Project
Mine
Processing Plant
Ella North
Coleman / McCreedy East Capre
Victor
Glencores
Nickel Rim
Garson
Blezard
Stobie
CCM
Clarabelle Mill
Creighton
11,477 11,324
5,142 11,127 10,832
10,418
8,811
7,570 7,320 7,395 6,924
8,723
8,023
2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2012 2013 2014 2015 E 2016 E
47
2,250 60,000
Monthly Plan
Actual
2,000
50,000
1,750
1,500 40,000
1,250
30,000
1,000
750 20,000
500
10,000
250
0 0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
49
Nickel
Copper
North Atlantic
Clydach
Thompson Voiseys Bay Asia Pacific
Acton
Long Harbour
Port Sudbury
Colborne Dalian
Matsuzaka
KNC
VTL
South Atlantic
PTVI
Salobo Sossego
Ona Puma Lubambe
Profiting from the Salobo III growth option and the cash inflow
stemming from the goldstream transaction
Salobo
Bacaba/Jatob
118
Cristalino
Sossego
Cana dos Carajs
54
Mining, smelting and refining Revamp furnace 2 for US$ 200 million to
operation producing high quality achieve a nominal capacity of 50,000 t
Opportunities
ferro-nickel, prepared to operate Reduce unit cost with increased
with two furnaces, with a nominal production volumes
capacity of approximately 50,000 tpy
55
2500
Actual 2011
Significant cost reductions and Actual 2013/2014
achievement of production
2000 targets have paved the way for
positive cash flow generation
1500
1000
500
0
Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month 7
56
Nickel
Copper
North Atlantic
Clydach
Thompson Voiseys Bay Asia Pacific
Acton
Long Harbour
Port Sudbury
Colborne Dalian
Matsuzaka
KNC
VTL
South Atlantic
PTVI
Salobo Sossego
Ona Puma Lubambe
Source: Vale
60
Financial and
Strategic Perspective
62
Sudbury Sudbury
600 Thompson Thompson
Voisey's Bay Voisey's Bay
Sorowako Salobo
Ona Puma Lubambe
500 VNC Sossego
400
300
200
100
0
2012 2013 2014 2015E2016E2017E2018E2019E 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E
63
Industry average
32
14.9
21
8.6 14
7.5 12
5.9
1.9
Sossego Cristalino Visconde Salobo III Sossego Cristalino Visconde Salobo III
Underground Underground
64
Industry average
52.9 53
49.8
46.0
27.9
23
19
14
13.1
Fafa + Puma Victor Copper Manitoba Fafa + Puma Victor Copper Manitoba
Cliff Cliff
10,865
9,408
7,709 7,351
4,636
3,129
2,694 2,528
1,923 1,798
-60%
1,840
1,414
861
741
generation
Closing Remarks
70
2017 to 2018
and beyond
2016
and we expect a
2015 positive FCF by 2017
without further
and we are prepared divestments of assets as
to meet head on the we generate between
2016 challenges driven US$13bi and US$20bi1 in
by demand uncertainty EBITDA by 2018,
In 2015 we have and volatility in strengthening the
managed to close the commodity prices balance sheet and
anticipated cash paying higher dividends
flow gap, pay
dividends and
preserve the balance
sheet
1 Considers exchange rate of 3.5 BRL/USD, IODEX Platts between 50-60 USD/t, Ni LME prices between 12,000-15,000 USD/t and
Cu LME prices between 7,000-9,000 USD/t
71
7,117
1,204
5
295
3
4,521 809
4
3,547 638 633
2,061
-37%
-64%
12,101
8,634 8,312
7,626
5,512
4,084
2,826
1,970
-4% -21%
1,211%
502 485 480 159
130 125 600
403
332 325 341 333
250
-54
18% -9%
-17%
118 4,951 4,979 4,512
100 109 167
150
138
8% 57%
Carajs may already be the most profitable iron ore operation in the
world Vales estimates
Vale Carajs Rio Tinto Pilbara Blend
Jul-Aug 2015, US$/dmt Jul-Aug 2015 prices, costs and expenses, US$/dmt
IOCJ 53.3
62.0 Pilbara blend
Realized Price
C1 Cash
C1 Cash Cost 10,7 Cost
14.4
Cash cost at the port (mine, plant, railroad and port, after royalties) assuming a FX Rate of BRL/USD 3,50
Based on Platts price of the period of US$54/t adjusted for a 61% Fe content and a premium of US$ 0.30/dmt
Rio Tintos C1 cash cost estimated based on Company guidance adjuste by the decreciation of the Australian Dollar of 5%
in the period
Source: Vale
76
77