Katelyn Opfar Skittles Project Part 4

Problem 1: Suppose you are going to randomly select two Skittles from the bag YOU
purchased.

(a) What is the probability that both Skittles are purple if you select them with
replacement? Give your answer correct to four decimal places.

(15/61)(15/61)=.0605

(b) What is the probability that both Skittles are purple if you select them
without replacement? Give your answer correct to four decimal places.

(15/61)(14/60)=.0574

(c) What is the probability that at least one Skittle is purple if you select them
with replacement?

1-(46/61)(46/61)=.4313

Problem 2: Suppose all of the Skittles in the class data set are combined into one large
bowl and you are going to randomly select one Skittle.

(a) What is the probability that you select a green Skittle?

There are 3228 total skittles. There are 650 green skittles. 650/3228= .2014 In
translation there is a 20.14% chance that I select a green Skittle out of the bowl.

(b) What is the probability that you select a Skittle that is NOT green?

There are 3228 total skittles and 650 green skittles. 3228-650=, so there are
2578 not green skittles. 2578/3228=.7986, in translation there is a 79.86%
chance that I select a skittle that is NOT green.
 (c) What is the probability that you select a Skittle that is red OR yellow?

There are 3228 total Skittles, 662 of them are red, and 626 of them are yellow.
662+626=1288, 1288 Skittles are red or yellow 1288/3228=.3990. There is a
39.9% chance that I select a red or yellow Skittle out of the bowl.

(d) What is the probability that you select a Skittle that is orange GIVEN that it
is a secondary color (secondary colors are green, orange and purple)?

There are 633 Orange, 650 Green, and 657 Purple Skittles. 633+650+657= 1940
secondary colors total. 633/1940= .3263. There is a 32.63% chance I select a
skittle that is orange given its a secondary color.

Problem 3: Suppose all of the Skittles in the class data set are combined into one large
bowl and you are going to randomly select ten Skittles with replacement and count how
many are yellow.

(a) Show that this meets the requirements of the binomial probability
distribution and identify n and p.

Fixed number of Trials n=10

Independent trials since the skittle are being selected without replacement

Constant Probability of success: p= 626/3228= .1939

Two outcomes possible: yellow, not yellow

(b) What is the probability that exactly 4 of the 10 Skittles are yellow?

binompdf(10,.1939,4)= .0814

(c) For samples of size 10, what is the expected value and standard deviation
for the number of yellow skittles that will be included?

n=10 p=.1939 Mean=10x.1939=1.939

 sqrt of 10x.1939x(1-.1939)= 1.2502

Problem 4: For this problem, treat a 2.17 ounce bag of Skittles as an individual.
Suppose the values for our class data are the parameter values for all 2.17 ounce bags
of Skittles. In other words, assume = mean number of candies per bag in our class
data set and = standard deviation of number of candies per bag in our class data set
(you computed these values in Part 2).

(a) Describe the sampling distribution for the mean number of candies per bag
for samples of 32 bags. Include center, spread and shape. Round the center
and spread to one decimal place. Note: The shape of the SAMPLING
DISTRIBUTION is different from the shape of the population, which you
determined in Part 2 of the project.

Center(Mean)= 59.8 Standard Deviation= 2.2

The shape is more normal because the sample size 54 is bigger than 30

(b) What is the probability that the mean number of candies per bag for a
sample of 32 bags is greater than 58.5? Use the values from part (a), which
you rounded to one decimal place.

Normalcdf(58.5,9999,59.8,2.2)=.7227