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Introduction
N.A.P.S. Financial, (Not a Ponzi Scheme) has a comprehensive investing approach that
places an emphasis upon small and mid-cap companies. The portfolio management teams
strategy is always evolving in order to capitalize on opportunities present in the current market.
With the market near its all-time high, large cap companies did not present the growth that the
team felt would be sufficient for its clients. There are two main parts to the overall investment
strategy that was implemented in this portfolio; the first part being a focus upon small and mid-
cap stocks for long term and day trades, and the second part being short term focus on short
sales. With this approach, the portfolio had significant risk because smaller companies are prone
to greater competition and generally higher volatility. What follows is a more in-depth
mentioned previously, the portfolio management team felt that this would be the greatest
opportunity for growth with the current economic landscape. Technical analysis was utilized in
order to select the equities. Making sure the companies had a strong upward trend using support
and resistant lines was instrumental to the successes observed with this investing strategy. After
using a technical approach to find companies, a fundamental approach was used to evaluate the
financial strength of each company to ensure that they were financially stable. With this
fundamental analysis, the portfolio was able to avoid choosing companies with insufficient cash
flows and subpar balance sheets. However, this strategy alone was not providing the level of
returns necessary to satisfy the management team for the term allotted, which is why short
Short Selling
Short selling has proved to be an excellent tool for the portfolio after the team developed
a strategy to generating a substantial amount of capital with each trade. The strategy of finding
short selling opportunities is really quite simple. The first step is to locate an equity that is seeing
a rapid increase in price, numbers that are almost to good to be true. This kind of growth is
usually unstainable and so the team looked to capitalize on these moves. The next step is to see if
there are unusual levels of volume. If a stock has an average volume of fifty thousand and in one
day it is trading with a volume of three million, this is a red flag that something is up. Lastly, the
team tries to locate any news that could possibly justify the movement in the stock price. In some
cases such as a reverse split or a merger, a stock price can increase by well over one hundred
percent, but often times there is not enough news to justify the increase in price, which would
become an indicator for the team that the stock is a candidate for a short position. If a stock is
meeting this criteria, along with its financials being poor, then the equity is shortable.
Utilizing the strategies listed, the portfolio held a total of twenty four different companies
and short sold seven companies at one point during September 19th - November 18th. As of the
18th of November, the portfolio held eleven different equites. The breakdown of all the stocks
that were owned or shorted is located at the end of this section. The portfolio was constructed in
such a way that it would be diversified across a number of different industries and sectors to help
mitigate risk. With this in mind, the management team still needed to be conscious of the current
economic conditions when making decisions. However, the portfolio did see some unforeseen
events which caused its poor performance. From September 19th through November 18th, the
portfolio had a holding period return of 15.37% and a loss of $-460,970.32. When annualized,
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the EAR of the portfolio was 61.87%. During this same period to show performance compared
to the market, the S&P 500 had a holding period return of 1.33% and an EAR of 7.93%. It is
quite obvious that these returns are not as expected. The portfolio was actually recognizing
positive retunes until one position eliminated all of the returns. This position will be discussed in
Macroeconomic Conditions
understanding of what economic conditions were influencing the decisions made by N.A.P.S.
Financial. From September 19th through November 18th, quite a bit of news and events played a
role in influencing the outcome and performance of the portfolio and the market in general. The
Untied States was going through an election process unlike any other ever seen before. Global
markets, oil prices, and interest rates also played their role in the overall performance of the
portfolio for this time period due to their uncertainty and instability throughout the course of the
election.
Interest Rates
Interest rates are one of the economic conditions that will always have an impact on the
overall economy. In the United States, the Federal Reserve has been threatening to raise interest
rates. Since the financial crisis of 2008, the fed funds rate has been between 0-.25%. Not until
recently was the rate raised to .5%. With this interest rate being so low, banks have been able to
borrow capital at low prices. When interest rates are low the government is trying to encourage
investment in the economy. However, many investors are looking for short term gains and will
speculate what direction the interest rate will go, causing uncertainty in the economy. The Fed
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Chair, Janet Yellen, has stated that interest rates will be increased in the near future. Typically,
when the Fed decides to raise rates, they feel that the economy is strong and recovering, so they
try to slow growth. However, the economy has not been recovering fully from the 2008 financial
crisis and low interest rates have not had the expected effect that they were supposed to in
restoring to economy back to previous growth rates. Just last year, the economy only grew by
just over 2%. The United States has not grown this slowly since the great depression era. Only
time will tell if the rate hike will have in impact on the portfolio.
Oil Prices
The current state of oil was first economic condition that caught the attention of the
management group in the early stages of the portfolio. When the portfolio was first opened,
OPEC was in the process of meeting to discuss future oil output levels. Facing competition from
the western oil producers, OPEC decided to cut production in order to drive the price of oil
upwards to generate more profit. One of the first trades in the portfolio was actually an oil
exploration and development of oil and natural gas and operates 32,400 oil and natural gas wells.
The portfolio acquired 50,000 shares at a price of $6.94 per share. After the acquisition, the news
from OPEC was released and caused the company to reevaluate their management and remove
two of their board members. The culmination of these events drove the price down sharply. With
no news for relief in side, the position was closed at $6.50 in order to avoid more losses. The was
After its position in Chesapeake Energy, the team learned that oil was not an area that
was going to see stable enough growth for the portfolio because of the uncertainty of the oil
market. Originally with oil prices being low, the team thought that the OPEC announcement
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would benefit the stock but it actually had the inverse affect due to the company's decision to
remove two of their board members. Since this trade, the portfolio team has avoided oil stocks
due to the uncertainty in this market. However, low oil prices do have a positive impact on other
areas of the economy, such as lowering costs on shipping or costs for other aspects of the
business.
Global Markets
Oil prices always have their impact on markets both at home and abroad, but there were
other forces that were impacting the global markets besides the price of oil. Most of the globe
was paying very close attention to the election in the United States because of the vast power the
United States has over the world economy. The outcome of this election would affect
international relations, trade deals, and economic partnerships with other countries. Also, the
European union was still adapting to Brexit and their entire system was on a teetertotter trying to
balance the union by attempting to discourage other countries from following great Briton's lead.
Global trade also affects the markets and this presidential election in the Untied States had a
particularly large impact on this area. Overall, the global markets were all waiting and watching
to see what would happen in the United States because this would determine how the rest of the
The 2016 presidential election has had a profound affect on the economy in the united
states. One thing that investors like to look for in the market is certainty. One of the presidential
candidate's policies were more predictable and her economic plan was more clear while the other
had never been in a political office before which created unease in the minds of many people.
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Hillary Clinton was the candidate that Wall street was behind because of her sympathy for large
banks and it was felt that her actions would not differ much from president Obama. Donald
Trump was seen as someone who was going to shake up the establishment and cancel trade deals
which could hurt business. However, even with the odds against Trump, he prevailed and the
stock market has been rallying since. He plans on lowering taxes across the board and
renegotiating trade deals to work in The United States' favor. Election night painted a much
different story however, with Dow futures dropping over 700 points immediately after Donald
Trump was declared the winner. Even though none of the president elect's policies have been
implemented, the market is reacting in a way that bodes well for the economy both locally and
internationally.
Overall the economic conditions in the United States did not indicate growth for large cap
companies. From interest rates increasing to the election results, large companies do not present
the growth that small and mid cap companies do for the future. Small and mid cap companies
actually got a boost from the election results and the portfolio reinforced this popular trend. Even
though it proved to be great for the equities that were held in the portfolio, the team did see
success in short sales of less stable companies during this volatile time in the market. The
amount of uncertainty surrounding the election, interest rates, and oil prices, created a market
that made short sales very advantageous. Even with all of these positive signs for the portfolio,
one unforeseeable circumstance cause turmoil during the week of November 14th thorough the
18th.
Major Holdings
The management team worked hard to create a portfolio comprised of strong small and
mid cap companies that would see growth. Short selling was also an instrumental tool in the
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success of the portfolio. The following section will be dedicated to discussing the major holdings
in the portfolio and the impact that they had. The rational for choosing each stock was based off
of an evaluation of the economic conditions of the market place along with an intense technical
and fundamental analysis; the details of which will be elaborated on in depth for each major
Company Overview
Chembio Diagnostics Inc. (CEMI) develops and manufactures rapid point of care
diagnostic tests to detect infectious diseases. Being part of the healthcare sector in the
diagnostics substances industry, CEMI faces no lack of competition. This company has created a
rapid point of care diagnostic test for HIV and other sexual transmitted diseases allowing
medical professionals to have access to valuable information about a patient in seconds. Not only
has this product seen great success, but in recent news the company has been awarded a grant to
create a new rapid point of care diagnostic test for the Zika Virus. If the company is able to
achieve this, not only will they be able to provide a innovative product for the market place, but
this test will be able to help save lives. The relevance of the spreading Zika Virus helped elevate
the price of the stock at first but as the seasons change and mosquito season ends, so does the
CEMI has a P/E ratio of 6.17 which may not appear to be spectacular, however
companies that engage in large amounts of research and development tend to have low P/E
ratios. The earnings per share for Chembio Diagnostics Inc. is -1.15. Once again, this is common
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for companies heavily involved in research and development and therefore was not troubling to
the team. The company has a beta of 1.36 indicating that it is a somewhat volatile stock. The
market capitalization of CEMI is $84.81 million, making this a small cap company. Reviewing
the financial statements will indicate that CEMI has seen net losses for the past two years of
about one million and two million dollars respectively. However, the company kept their
cashflow positive last year and with the recent grant for Zika research, the company will remain
solvent for years to come. Also, CEMI has been able to decrease their total liabilities from five
million to just over three million which accounts for part of the losses witnessed this past year.
Companies in this industry will not realize profits until their products pass required tests and
enter the market. The portfolio management team purchased this stock based off of the news
about the Zika research grant. Seeing the company's past success in this area lead the team to
Position
The portfolio's first acquisition was Chembio Diagnostics Inc. (CEMI). CEMI was
purchased 3 separate times, the first being on September 19th with a total of 10,000 shares
purchased at $7.25 per share equaling an investment of $72,500. The second purchase occurred
on the 22nd of September with another 10,000 shares at a cost of $7.19 per share equating to
$71,900. The final purchase of CEMI was on the seventh of October acquiring an additional
20,000 shares at a cost of $7.15, a total investment of $143,000. The total amount invested into
CEMI in those 3 trades came to $287,400.00 with an average cost of $7.19 per share based off of
40,000 shares. The portfolio's position into Chembio Diagnostic Inc. accounted for 9.58% of the
The common question that arises is why was this stock purchased multiple times. The
simple answer was to drive down costs and to allocate more funds towards a company that the
team believed strongly in. However, the portfolio realized a net loss of $-9,400.00 or 3.27% on
CEMI. This number was not to alarming to the management team because it is understood that it
will take time for the research to be completed. Once the test is completed, it will be able to be
sold not only in the United States but also in less developed nations that have problems with the
Zika Virus. This stock was bought with the intentions of it being held for the long term and the
team made the decision to place more capital into this company because of the potentially
astronomical impact that its product may have on the medical industry and thus on its stock
price. It is because of the volatility associated with this small cap company that the portfolio has
not seen the returns expected from CEMI but the loss is also not a complete surprise. It is
expected that CEMI will generate returns for the portfolio in the near future due to the necessity
of the Zika rapid point of care test. The company would not have received the grant if they were
Competition
Chembio Diagnostics Inc. Is a very small player within the diagnostics substances
industry of the health care sector. With a market capitalization of only $84.81 million, CEMI is
one of the smallest publicly traded diagnostics companies. However, just because they are small
does not mean they are not a great company. Having created innovative products in the past that
had great success in changing the industry, CEMI does have the ability to do this again with it's
Zika test that it is currently developing. Within the industry that CEMI is competing, its largest
competitors are Thermo Fisher Scientific with a market cap of $55.35 billion and Quintiles IMS
Holdings with a market cap of $18.91 billion. It is difficult to gain market share in this industry
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because of the size of the companies that CEMI is competing against. Larger companies are able
to allocate more funds towards research and development than the smaller ones. However, these
companies all start in a place similar to Chembio Diagnostic Inc. at some point, and all it takes is
one product to propel them in the market and gain more market share.
CEMI has the know-how and the funding to develop a Zika test that will be able to make
them a larger competitor in its industry. Specializing in rapid point of care tests is a very niche
marketing, making CEMI an inelastic brand which does work in its favor when competing in this
market space. The main reason why the portfolio was invested in CEMI was because of the
company's history and the news related to the grant. There was not a great amount of weight
placed upon the financial ratios for this stock because the industry giants skew the data and
CEMI is in the research and development stage of its next big product. Also, the current
economic conditions as well as the fear of the spreading Zika virus made this a more
advantageous investment. This made Chembio Diagnostic Inc stand out against its competitors
and a company that the management team put its trust in to generate wealth for its clients in the
long term.
Company Overview
Crispr is a genetic engineering company which recently had its initial public offering on
October 19th. This company caught the team's eyes because it was already looking into the new
technology has been underway for several years and recently hit the mainstream upon its
completion. Previously with the genetic engineering process, there was much uncertainty and it
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relied heavily on trial and error, which made the process extremely costly and time consuming.
An organism was hit with radiation or RNA snippets were injected into the cell and then the
changes were noted, for better or worse, and adjustments were made accordingly. The new
uses a protein called CAS9 (discovered in a bacterias antivirus system) to go into a DNA strand
and cut out and replace whichever base pairs they want. Although Crispr Therapeutics isn't the
first public company using this technology, they do have the advantage of having the hallmark
name of the technology and therefor stand out more to prospective investors looking for
The financials of CRSP, did not heavily impact the teams decision on the grounds that
not only is it an IPO, so minimal financial details were known at the time of the decision, but
also because the technology is still new and often times in research/development companies, it
can take a while before a company becomes profitable. The team invested with the knowledge of
how groundbreaking the technology is and knowledge that even though it may not be profitable
in the immediate term, it will certainly be important in the long term, and the team felt that the
stocks growth would reflect that. With that said, some financial information was known about
Crispr Therapeutics and is worth noting because of how it compares to the competition. The P/E
ratio for Crispr Therapeutics is currently P/E -2.26, EPS is -9.64, 52 week range $13.75 - $23.97
and market cap 805.13 million. The beta was not an influencing factor in the team's decision as it
is an IPO so beta is unknown. Because the stock has only been listed for just over a month, there
is still is no beta available, however it is likely quite high at this point, considering its range in
this 1-2-month period is $13.75 - $23.97. These figures will become relevant in the competition
Position
Crispr Therapeutic's stock had its initial public offering on Oct 19th for $14 per share. On
this date, the team closed its position in ATEN to free up capital and then proceeded to purchase
14,300 shares at its IPO price of $14 per share, for a total investment of $200,200. The portfolio's
position into Crispr Therapeutics accounted for 6.67% of the initial $3,000,000 used to open the
portfolio.
As the team knew the potential volatility of IPO stocks, the goal was not to hold onto
CRSP for too long. With this in mind, a couple weeks later on Nov 2nd, the team closed out its
position in CRSP at $16.83 per share, netting the portfolio a 20.21% gain, or $40,469. The stock
price is currently moving around $20 per share, so one may argue that the team should have held
longer. However, the team still feels it made the correct decision to sell due to the
unpredictability of IPO's in general and due to the fact that Crispr Therapeutics technically has
no real marketable product currently, and will likely not become profitable for some time. The
current stock price seems to reflects solely the speculation of investors as to how beneficial the
technology/future products will be moving forward. For the team, that speculation created a good
basis for a short-term position, but was not a stable enough reason for the team to hold its
Competition
Because this technology is so new, there are only 2 publicly traded companies
exclusively using this technology, both of which also went public recently, within a year of
Crispr's IPO. Because of this, there is not a lot of financial data available on the companies,
however, the data available is worth noting in comparison to CRSP's. The first of CRSP's direct
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competition is Intellia Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NTLA). This company had its IPO may 6th
2016. Its 52-week range sits at 11.86 - 30.40, its P/E at -8.30 and its EPS at -1.9. It has a Market
Cap of 566.93 million. The next is Editas Medicine (NASDAQ:EDIT). Editas had its IPO on Feb
3rd 2016. Its 52-week range is 12.43 - 43.99, EPS is -2.93, P/E is -4.87 and Market cap is
508.51 million. Some key takeaways from these numbers is that Crisper Therapeutics currently
has the highest Market cap by quite a wide margin, about 60% higher than both competing
companies. It has the lowest EPS which can be attributed to it being the newer of the 3
companies, but still has the highest P/E ratio of its competition.
Although the CRSP currently holds some financial leads over its completion which is
certainly a good sign, not all of that was known at the time of the teams decision and, as
mentioned before, it was not a major influencing factor in the decision for reasons listed prior.
The team chose Crispr Therapeutics over its completion because of the news surrounding the
company and market sentiment in regards to its IPO. The team also feels that the company has a
slight edge over its competition because of the fact that it has the hallmark name of the actual
technology in the name of its company, so investors who are looking into investing in the Crispr
Company Overview
Leading up to the election, the market was volatile and people were expecting Clinton to
win. Despite political preference the team felt that the portfolio needed to be election proof. Not
only was minimizing the margin purchases a priority, but also selling stocks that could make a
turn for the worse. On November 2nd 14,300 shares of Crispr Therapeutics AG (CRSP) were
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sold for $16.83 for a profit of $40,469. Since Crispr was an IPO, the future of the stock was
uncertain, especially with the upcoming election. As the team was looking into reallocating the
money in an industry that was more likely to do well post-election despite the outcome, the
financial industry seemed to be the most secure. After making this decision on November 4th the
team sold 13,000 shares of Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN) at $17.80 for a loss of $77,350
After looking at many different financial companies Meta Financial Group (CASH), a unitary
savings and loan holding company, stood out from all of the others. Meta Financial Group
Position
Meta Financial Group is the holding company of Metabank and its subsidiaries. The
companys main subsidiary, Metabank, is bank that offers different financial services. Metabank
offers services such as online banking for individuals and businesses. For individuals they also
offer saving/CDs accounts, mortgages, and home equity lines. Along with many other banks,
Metabank offers credit cards and debit cards with MasterCard. These credit cards are offered for
individuals and businesses. Since Metabank is located in the Mid-West they have do a lot of
business with farms. They offer specific loans for farms such as real estate loans, equipment
loans, and livestock loans. Metabank is also known for their many methods of moving money
around. Going beyond simple account transfers, Metabank puts an emphasis on sharing money
through different outlets. Looking over the different publicly traded companies, the team felt that
Meta Financial had strong assets that would drive more individuals to do business with them.
Meta Financial Groups financial ratios support the teams conclusion that they were a
strong investment at the time. Meta Financial Groups beta is 0.84 which shows that CASH is
not a very volatile stock. It has a strong P/E 23.07 which is a very solid rating. The earning per
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share for CASH is 3.92. The market capitalization is 804.36 million which makes it a small cap
company so this investment does align with the companys goal. Over the past the three years,
total revenue has increased, while the cost of revenue has decreased. While assets have also
increased, liabilities have to. However, assets have increased by more than liabilities which is a
good sign.
Position
On November 4th, the team purchased 4,100 stocks at $72.30 a share. The purchase
totaled $296,440 including the $10 commission fee. This purchase was 9.88% or the portfolios
value which is good for diversification. The team only purchased this stock because it was
purchased at a low price and 9.88% was a sufficient portion of the portfolio to have invested in
one stock. The team has not closed its position because it feels that CASH is a strong company.
On November 18th, CASH closed at $90.90 a share, which is $18.60 more a share than when the
Competition
Meta Financial Group has many competitors located all around the nation. Meta Financial
Group is a bank so they are competing with the large banks that are very well known. Many of
their competitors are regionalized so they have different target markets. This is seen as an
advantage due to the personal aspect of Metabank because they can have a more intimate
relationship with their clients. That is why Metabank has a section dedicated to farm banking on
its website. The group still looked at the competitors of CASH to see how the stock would
perform with the rest of the industry. CASHs ratios are similar to the industry average, which is
good because it is easier to determine the future of the stock when it seems that it is more likely
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to move with the industry. The industry average P/E is 24.9, which is only 1.83 higher than
CASHs P/E.
One competitor that is similar to CASH is United Financial Bancorp Inc. (UBNK).
United Financial Bancorp Inc is a regional bank located in New England, specifically
Massachusetts and Connecticut. Despite the banks being in very different locations they have
similar ratios. UBNK has a beta of 0.76 which is only .04 less than CASH which is insignificant.
However, CASH has a significantly higher P/E and EPS; UBNKs P/E is $12.20 and EPS of .9
while CASH has a $23.13 P/E and a EPS of 3.91. This shows thats Meta Financial is making
more money per outstanding share. United Financial Bancorp Inc. has a P/E that is significantly
lower than the industrial average of $24.9. This is very different from Meta Financial Group
because they are just under the industry standard by 1.77. Also, UBNK has a slightly larger
market cap of 872 million. When compared to United Financial Bancorp Inc. Meta Financial
Group is a better company, with a significantly higher P/E and a stronger EPS.
Another competitor of Meta Financial Group is First Defiance Financial Corp (FDEF).
First Defiance has a smaller cap than Meta Financial Group by $390.36 million. This shows that
CASH has more in investors than FDEF. FDEF has a P/E of $14.98 which is about $10 lower
than the industry average, whereas CASH is very close to the industry average. Frist Defiance
Financial has a EPS of 3.07 which is close to CASH, but CASH still earns $0.85 more per share.
FDEF has a beta of 0.96 which means it is slightly more volatile than Meta Financial Group, but
less volatile than the market as a whole. Over all, Meta Financial Group compares well against
other companies in the industry. The team recognized its potential as a stock and will continue to
Short selling was instrumental in keeping the portfolio afloat during the tough times
experienced during the time period of September 19th through November 18th. The portfolio
engaged in short sales of 7 different companies. However, one short sale eliminated all of the
returns the portfolio was recognizing. Setting that one transitions aside. Short sales would have
produced returns of $190,245 for the portfolio. When shorting companies, the team looked at the
short term for the amount of returns that could be gained within the same day. Six of the seven
short sales were day trades and it was because of this success, the portfolio decided to take on
more risk and utilize short sales more an more. The current economic environment made short
sales more advantageous which is why the team actively pursued these opportunities. Delcath
Systems and InspireMD will be used to show how effective short selling was for the duration of
this portfolio.
InspireMD (NSPR)
Company Overview
Massachusetts. InspireMD focuses on creating and producing technology to control the flow of
blood to certain areas. Some products are used to help blood flow in areas where there is a blood
clot. Others are used to prevent the flow of blood to areas of the body for different reasons. Their
companys products are based around MicroNet technology, which is a bio-stable synthetic fiber
used to trap plaque from building up on the wall of blood vessels. Their main product uses
MicroNet technology to prevent blood clots and allow blood to flow normally to your major
blood vessels. This product comes in many different sizes to cater to different needs. Even
though these products seem to be very beneficial to the marketplace, the management team felt
Similar to Delcath Systems, the financial data was not the main concern when finding
this short sale, but was still a part of the process of determining if the stock is shortable. The
stock has a P/E ratio of -.25 and an EPS of -11.08 indicating no earnings are being generated by
this company. The company has had a strong downward trend over the past year which always is
a great indicator for a shortable stock. The beta of NSPR is -.07 showing the stock is not very
volatile. The financial statement does not indicate that InspireMD is a healthy company. Cash
reserves have been decreasing meaning the company is eventually going to run out of capital to
Position
The position that initialed the short sale for InspireMD was opened on November 1st and
only one transaction was required for this stock. The management team opened a position of
220,000 shares at the price of $3.46 per share. The market value for the short positions was
initially $768,120 taking up a significant portion of the portfolios available cash servers and
margin. The positon was initialed due to the rapid unexplained increase in price that the stock
was witnessing. A company that is in the red and stock price who has been on a steady decline
for the past year should not be increasing by close to one hundred percent in a day. There was
By sticking to the portfolio strategy and investing for the short term the position was
closed on the same day. The 220,000 shares were covered at a price of $3.14 meaning the value
of the positon had decreased from $768120 to $697,080 netting the portfolio $71,040 by retuning
9.25%. This was a very small move in the stock but it was important for the management team to
remain true to the strategy and focus on the short term. However, if the position had remained
open, the price did decline further meaning the possibility to have higher earnings was there. The
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management team has adapted its strategy to be sure to review the momentum of the stock to see
Competition
Like all short sales, competition was not a key factor in the decision making process. The
financial ratios for NSPR all fell below the industry standards. Even though the company does
engage in a great amount of research and development it is not competing at the level of its close
competition to be gaining market share. The market cap of NSPR is only $3.98 million
indicating that it is a small cap company. It is because this company is so small is that it is
susceptible to these large spikes and falls which makes it a prime target for short sales. NSPRs
products are trying to compete in one of the most highly competitive markets, Healthcare. This is
why the company has been facing large barriers to entry and is part of the explanation for all of
There was no common trend across the industry for NSPR and no news to explain this
movement in price. Without a proper explanation, the management team made the move and
executed the short. This short sale provided the greatest dollar return of any short sale. The team
did see a good amount of success shorting stocks within the healthcare sector because of the
tendency to increase rapidly then decline. The portfolio management team does not place heavy
weight on the competition of short sales because they are such a short term investment and this
Company Overview
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Delcath Systems (DCTH) is located within the healthcare sector and falls under the Drug
Delivery Industry. The company focuses on specialty pharmaceuticals and medical devices for
liver cancer. This is a very narrow market for the company considering this is the only area that
they place their focus in. Even though the company's mission to help in the fight against liver
cancer is noble, it does not necessarily make them a great company. DTCH's financial situation
is not very strong. Year over year, the company has lost millions of dollars. It is understood that
Delcath Systems does engage in a fair amount of research but the company spends almost twice
as much money on selling and administrative expenses as they do on research and development.
With a proprietary product that no one else in the market place produces, it is expected that they
The financial ratio's for DCTH was not the main area the management team looked to
execute the short sale. With a P/E ratio of -.20, it shows that the company was losing money and
was bellow the industry standards. The earnings per share of 10.07 paints a similar picture for
the company. The beta of DCTH is 1.75 indicating the volatility of the company which is usually
not a great indicator of health. As a matter of fact, none of the financial data paints a decent
picture of the company to begin with. That information combined with it's rising stock price
Position
The short positon for Delcath Systems was open on November 4th and closed on the 7th.
the stock was shorted twice on the fourth. The first transaction was for 17000 shares at $2.22 and
the second was for another 17000 shares at $2.35. this came to an initial short of $77,690. The
only reason why this stock was shorted twice was to increase the capital allocation. This
company was seeing a rapid increase in price on the day of November 4th and seeing the unusual
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volume that the stock was being traded at, the management team felt that the stock was being
over bought and decided to place short positon on the stock. There was no relevant news that was
pushing the price up. The company also had experienced a reverse spit earlier in the year
The management team covered the position of 34000 shares at a price of $1.65. This
provided a dollar return of $56,100 or a rate of return of about 28%. This was a great return for
only holding the stock for a couple days. DCTH provided the greatest rate of return for any short
sale executed and the dollar return would had been greater of more capital was allocated to this
particular stock. To avoid increased costs for the portfolio's clients, the team tried to limited the
used of margin, therefore the amount of funds allocated to this stock needed to be covered with
cash on hand.
Competition
Reviewing the competition of this short sale is not completely necessary for this short
sale. In regards to the strategy, because this is such a short term focus for the short sales, the
team does not place a great deal of time in the research for competitors. The team does review to
see if this is a trend across the industry but in this case Delcath Systems, it was seeing this
unusually large volume and price increase while its competitors were not. This showed that the
industry was not affected but rather that it was a one time, single increase for DCTH. Comparing
the financial data to the competitors shows the company is not as healthy in comparison to the
industry. The market cap of Delcath Systems is only $4.35 million indicating that they are a very
small company.
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It is because Delcath Systems is so small that it makes sense for their selling and
administrative expenses to be elevated. As their product becomes more mainstream in the market
they will gain market share in the future as long as they are able to overcome these barriers to
entry. In the short run this company is facing a very turbulent market causing these large
fluctuations in price. DCTH just so happened to meet the management teams criteria for short
sales and it proved to be effective. Depending on the policies that will be put in place once
president elect Donald Trump takes office, Delcath Systems business could grow. In order to be
competitive the company will have to adapt to new polices along with bringing down their
expenses. If they are able to come out with more effective products, DCTH could be a
worthwhile long position in the future but at this point in time they are not stable enough to
Entering into the week of November 14th, the management team was looking to engage in
another short position to perpetuate the positive returns the portfolio was seeing. The portfolio
was worth $3,135,191.58 prior to the final trade made by the management team. The question
that the team has received was how could the portfolio go from having this level of returns to
closing the week with negative returns of $460,970.32. The simple answer to this question was
from a series of unexpected events associated with the short sale the team engaged in.
The company that the portfolio engaged in for the short sale was named DryShips, Inc.
(DRYS). This company sea based sipping for dry cargo. This includes steel, eclectic utilities, and
construction materials. the portfolio actually traded DRYS multiple times over the past few
weeks. The financial data indicated that this company is loaded with debt and has had negative
cash flows indicating poor financial health. The financial ratios tell a similar story. No P/E ratio
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is reported and the EPS for this company is 1242.93. The company also has a beta of 2.72
indicating high volatility. Overall this is not a healthy company and the first time that the team
stock was shorted this company, it turned out to work in the favor of the portfolio.
The first transaction for DRYS occurred on November 10th. the stock was short sold
twice this day with the first transaction being for 12,000 shares at $13.30 and the second being
for 12000 shares at $14.13. This equates to 24000 shares with an average cost of $13.72 for a
total short position of $329,160.00. By the end of the day the price of the stock had declined to
$11.55 and the team locked in the returns of $51,960 or 15.7%. It was because of this success
seen with DRYS and short selling that the management team thought it could engage in another
Four days later, the stock price of DRYS had increased once again by a large percentage.
With no news to sustain this type of growth the team decided to engage in another short sale.
From past experience and research on the stock, it was suspected that the price would increase
and then there would be a sell of at the end of the day. The positon was initiated for 7500 shares
at 20.06 and again at $23.35 for a total short position of $325,575.00 and an average cost of
$21.71. With a strong belief that the price would decline the team was shocked to see that at the
end of the day the price had increased. Not panicking, the team held the position over night to
see how the afterhours market would affect the price. Unfortunately this did not work as planned,
because the stock price had opened higher the next day. Without wanting to risk losing more of
the clients money, the team decided to close the position at $58.50 for losses of $-551,925.00 or -
169.5%.
This move did cost the portfolio a decent amount of capital but the stock did run up to
over $100 a share that day. To capitalize on this unexpected upward movement, The team acted
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fast and purchased 5000 shares at $61.00 on margin for a cost of $305,000. Even though the
price did reach over a 100 a share, because of hesitation due to the stock's volatility, the position
was closed for $76.27 a share, netting a profit of $76,350. This made great progress in making up
for the losses and with continued monitoring and better oversight, the portfolio will be back in
DRYS was not the only company limited to this rapid increase in price. The entire
shipping industry was witnessing increasing in price. It is believe that this is because of the
trump victory in the United States election. However, this victory does not constitute hundreds of
percentage points increase in price for DRYS. There had to be something else going on but there
was no relevant news until a couple days after the position was closed. NASDAQ, the exchange
that DRYS is traded on actually halted the stock because it was requesting information from the
company to constitute the increase in price. The stock had increased over 1500% in a week for
no reason at all causing the NASDAQ to become involved to help protect investors. This
company has a great amount of debt meaning they could go bankrupt at any time. After the halt
was lifted the stock price had actually dropped to around $5.00 a share meaning that if the
position was kept open, the portfolio would had recognized profits. It is difficult to know that
these events would have played out the way that they did. There is always risk involved with
investing and there is no way to have perfect information. The stock would not have been halted
if something shady was not happening. Overall DRYS proved to be an oversight from the
investment team, partly due from too much trust in the team's intern, Georgi. All joking aside,
this is the nature of investing, there is no perfect method for timing the market.
Ethical Recommendations
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The portfolio management team understands that the current state of the portfolio may be
cause for alarm for some of the clients. The purpose of this document to establish greater
confidence in the clients and help them understand what is happening to their money that they
have in trusted to N.A.P.S. Financial. The team hopes that clearly laying out the methodology of
how investments are chosen should show the clients that there is sound reasoning behind each
investment made and that decisions are made methodically. The management team is always
evolving its strategy to keep up with market trends which it why it decided to more aggressively
This is not the first time the portfolio has experienced losses since its inception. However,
these numbers did not sway the teams confidence to build wealth for the clients. Making
aggressive moves and taking on risk is the only way to recover losses and it was proven by the
team that it can make up losses in a relatively short amount of time. It must be kept in mind that
this portfolio from the very beginning has always been a high risk portfolio. Small and mid cap
companies typically do not have the same stability provided by large cap companies because
these companies are still growing and fighting for market share. Investors in the N.A.P.S.
portfolio were all notified when they opened the positon with us that this portfolio does carry
great risk but the management team only has its clients best interest in mind with each move that
it makes.
The oversight made with DRYS was very difficult to foresee. The stock had fit all of the
criteria of the short sale strategy used for the portfolio and profits had been previously realized
by short selling the stock. It was out of the management teams hand that the stock price would be
so artificially inflated and the team believes that the right decision was made by limiting the
losses. It was unclear that the stock price would decline and it did not until the NASDAQ got
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involved. Short sales do carry a great risk but do offer the opportunities, when correctly
Since the position in DRYS has been closed, the intern in question has been relieved of
their duties because of their involvement in the transactions as well as the generally hostile
environment that she facilitated. Also the short sale strategy has been adapted to better protect
the portfolio from potential situations similar to DRYS. The team will now look deeper into
news and market sentiment before opening the positions to ensure that there is less of a
possibility of the stock price going on an upward run. If the stock price is going to increase, the
Overall, the team asks the clients to believe in the management teams ability to recover
the effects from DRYS. High risk portfolios have the potential to swing up and down rapidly and
this just happens to be a downward time. The economic conditions post election have opened up
a number of different buying opportunities for the portfolio that will be effectively elevated. The
management team does recommend that individuals closer to retirement age not overload their
retirement accounts with this portfolio. The high risk associated with the strategy has been
adapted towards young investors looking to see big moves, not steady income from dividend and
There are actually a couple beneifts to the value of the portfolio being this low. The first
being that for tax planning purposes, the clients will be able to show a loss to save on taxes
associated from profits from other N.A.P.S. Financial products. Also, there has never been a
greater time to buy into the portfolio. Getting this type of management at this discounted price
will provide excellent growth opportunities. The management team does not foresee the value
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receding to this level again and will make the most of every opportunity to grow the portfolio
value for out clients. Thank you for choosing N.A.P.S. Financial.
"Chembio." Chembio | Rapid Tests for Earlier Treatment. N.p., n.d. Web. 02 Dec. 2016.
"Yahoo Finance - Business Finance, Stock Market, Quotes, News." Yahoo! Yahoo!, n.d. Web.
01 Dec. 2016.
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Dec. 2016.