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d1 log[P/PV(E X)]/ t t /2
log[200/(1 80/1.21)]/ (0.223 1.0 ) (0.223 1.0 ) /2 1.4388
d2 d1 t 1.4388 (0.223 1.0 ) 1.2158
Let p equal the probability that the stock price will rise. Then, for a risk-
neutral investor:
(p 0.25) + (1 p) (0.20) = 0.21
p = 0.91
In one year, the stock price will be either $250 or $160, and the
option values will be $70 or $0, respectively. Therefore, the value of
the option is:
(0.91 7 0) (0.09 0)
$52.64
1.21
c.
1 upside change u e h e0.223 0.5 1.1708
1 downside change d 1/u 1/1.1708 0.8541
Let p equal the probability that the stock price will rise. Then, for a risk-
neutral investor:
(p 0.171) + (1 p) (0.146) = 0.10
p = 0.776
200
(52.63)
170.8 234.2
(14.11) (70.53)
d. (i)
70.53 14.11
Option delta 0.89
234.2 170.8
(ii)
(iii)