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Byyear2022 othernationalresourcesbecomeavailable:
Thefirstscenariowasbasedon:
Supply of fossil based energy production will remain at the
same level.
Windenergygrows,leadingtoabout20%contributionto
electricitygenerationfromrenewable(hydroandwind).
Nuclearenergywouldcontributeabout6%.
Theenergysupplymixaround2021/2022becomes:
40%from(20%fossilfueland20%NG)
8%fromenergyefficiencyimplementations
9%fromrenewable(2%hydroand7%wind)
6%fromnuclear
%37additionalenergyisneeded
Expected/TargetedFutureEnergyStatus up2022(conservative)
160
140
Reduceenergyconsumptionby 12 7
13 5
8,3% 12 0
113
120 10 7
Nuclearup40005000MW 95
10 1
100 90
85
80
75
80 Renewable
63
current3000MW
67
71
andtarget13500MW(energyup
56
60
60
20%)
40
RetainOilandNG
levelsofproduction t ogetf r om else
20
n ergyneede d
A dditional e
la r &ot hers)
0
where(so
2006/ 07 2007/ 08 2008/ 09 2009/ 10 2010/ 11 2011/ 12 2012/ 13 2013/ 14 2014/ 15 2015/ 16 2016/ 17 2017/ 18 2018/ 19 2019/ 20 2020/ 21 2021/ 22
Byyear2022othernationalresourcesbecomesavailable:
Thesecondscenariowasbasedon:
Supply of Oil based energy production will remain at the
same level, NG supply will grow at an annual 5% rate.
Windenergygrows,leadingtoabout20%contributionfrom
renewable(hydroandwind).
Nuclearenergywouldcontributeabout6%.
Theenergysupplymixaround2021/2022becomes:
61 %from(20%fossilfueland41%NG)
8%fromenergyefficiencyimplementations
9%fromrenewable(2%hydroand7%wind)
6%fromnuclear
Only15%additionalenergyisneeded
Expected/TargetedFutureEnergyStatusup2022
(ambitious)
160
RetainOilandimproveon 135
140 127
NGlevelsofproduction 120
113
120 (5%annually) 101
107
95
90
100 85
Million toe
80
75
71
80 67
60 63
56
60
40
Stillneedadditionalenergytoget
fromelsewhere
20
0
7
2
/0
/0
/0
/1
/1
/1
/1
/1
/1
/1
/1
/1
/1
/2
/2
/2
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
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20
From fuel products From N.G. From Hydro
From Wind From Nuclear Local energy needs
Local energy needs w ith energy eff. Additional needed energy
WindEnergyinEgypt
AnoverviewoftheenergysectorinEgypt.
Anoverviewof thewindenergysectorinEgypt.
Pastandcurrent
ImmediateandnearfuturePlans
Addressingissuessuchasthenationalpolicy/legislative
frameworkthathasbeenputinplacetosupportthe
developmentofthemarket;thepotentialforgrowth;
The winwin opportunitiesfor:
Business/manufacturersand
Alsofromanenvironmentalpointofview;
ChallengesthatEgyptmightbefacing in thisparticular
sector.
WindEnergyinEgypt
ISP
MOEE/EEHC
Generation
Trans Co(s) Dis
Trans Co(s) MV & LV
Co.(s) Co(s)
Customers
Gov. PP
Private
BOOT(s) Distributor
HV Exports
UHV MV
Customers & Imports
Customers Customers
Target Market
LV
customers
ISP Current phase one
WindEnergyinEgypt
AnoverviewoftheenergysectorinEgypt.
Anoverviewof thewindenergysectorinEgypt.
Pastandcurrent
ImmediateandnearfuturePlans
Addressingissuessuchasthenationalpolicy/legislative
frameworkthathasbeenputinplacetosupportthe
developmentofthemarket;thepotentialforgrowth;
The winwin opportunitiesfor:
Business/manufacturersand
Alsofromanenvironmentalpointofview;
ChallengesthatEgyptmightbefacing in thisparticular
sector.
EGYPT'SWINDENERGYPROJECTS
RenewableEnergyAuthority
PrivateSector Withtotalshareabout63%
MW
700
600
300
200
300 300 380 400
200 400 400 400 400 400 400 400
200
100
0
0 5
201 011 201
3
0
12 13 14 016 017 018 019 020 021
9
01
01
01
01
01
01
01
02
/ 0 0 0 /
00
01
01
01
09 0/2 /2 /2 /2 14 /2 /2 7/2 /2 /2 /2
1 2 3 20 5 6 8 9 0 Year
201
/2
/2
/2
/2
/2
/2
/2
/2
20 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 201 202
\2
\2
\2
\2
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
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20
20
20
WindEnergyinEgypt
AnoverviewoftheenergysectorinEgypt.
Anoverviewof thewindenergysectorinEgypt.
Pastandcurrent
ImmediateandnearfuturePlans
Addressingissuessuchasthenationalpolicy/legislative
frameworkthathasbeenputinplacetosupportthe
developmentofthemarket;thepotentialforgrowth;
The winwin opportunitiesfor:
Business/manufacturersand
Alsofromanenvironmentalpointofview;
ChallengesthatEgyptmightbefacing in thisparticularsector.
RenewableEnergyDevelopmentBusinessModels
Item NAREA Competitive Bidding Feed-In-Tariff
Program size 2200 MW 2500 MW 2500 MW
Private
Private (focus on local and small and
Developer NAREA (most probably international) medium size developers)
Construction
Responsibility NAREA through EPC Developer Developer
ImplementationPlanforRenewableEnergies
Inadditiontothemarketreformwhichguaranteethirdpartyaccess,power
generationfromrenewablesourceswillenjoypriorityindispatching
whenevertheyareavailable.
Theproposedpolicesconsistsoftwophases
Phase1:CompetitiveBids
Accordingtothisapproachthegridwillissuetendersrequesting
supplyingpowerfromrenewableenergiesresources
Thiswillbedonewithinthescopeofthefollowingcriteria:
ControltheincreaseinREcapacitieswithreferencetothe
capacityoftransmissionsystemandcapacityofthemarketto
absorb.
Increaselocalmanufacturing
Increaseprivateinvestment
Achievingthelowestpossibleprices.
Providetheinvestorswithguaranteesthroughlongtermpower
purchaseagreements
MeasuresAdoptedforRenewableEnergiesintheNew
ElectricityLaw(Contd.)
Phase2(aftertheadoptionoftheNewElectricityLaw)
FeedinTariffwillworkhandinhandwiththecompetitivebids
mechanism.
Internationalexperiencehasshowedthatfeedintariffismore
attractiveforsmallerinvestorslikefarmers,cooperativesandprivate
investors.
Topreventintersectionbetweenthetwomechanismscompetitivebid
willbeforlargesizeinstallations(250MWwindfarm),whilefeedin
tariffwillberestrictedfromsmallcapacities(lessthan50MW
installations).
RenewableEnergyFund
EstablishmentofREfund:
Thefundcouldcover:
Full/partialdeficitbetweentheREcostandmarketprices
Exchangerateriskincaseoftransferringcostfullorpartiallyto
consumers.
Guaranteeofthetransmissioncompanypayments
Financialsupporttopilotprojects.
ResearchanddevelopmentforRET.
Themainsourcesoffinanceofthefundwillinclude:
Subsidycurrentlygiventothefossilfuelsusedinpower
generation.
StateBudget.
Donations
Investmentofthefundmoney
Support of Egyptian Government
Central Bank of Egypt will guarantee all financial obligations of EETC under the PAA.
AparallelapproachtoincreasingREgenerationcapacityisthelocal
manufacturingofREequipment.Thiswillincreasetheaddedvalueto
theeconomy.
Thisprogramsnecessitates:
Largescaletechnologytransferprogram
Largescaleprogramtosupportresearchanddevelopmentprogram
forREtechnologiessimilartothatconsideredinChinaandIndia.
IncentivestolocalactivitiessupportinglocalizationofREtechnologies
EGYPTS WELL LOCATED
GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION
IndustryRegulations
EUAgreement
Nocustoms
imposedon ArabFreeTrade
someREEgyptian Agreement
industriesexports EgyptsRE Nocustoms
fromEgyptto industries imposedon
Europe,whereas REEgyptian
Europeanimports industries
intoEgyptare exportsfrom
subjecttotariffs COMESAAgreement Egypttoall
(limited) Arab
Nocustomsimposed countries
onREEgyptian
industriesexports
Egyptianindustriesenjoysa
numberoftradeagreements fromEgypttoall
betweenEgyptandEurope, Africanmember
Arabcountries,andAfrican
countries countries,whereas
ArabandEuropean
competitorsdonot
enjoythisprivilege
ProposedPolicestoSupportLocalManufacturingof
RenewableEquipment
Policies
toSupportLocal
Manufacturing
CleanEnvironment
With322MWwindenergyinstalledZaafarana saved190,000T.O.Eandreduced
emissionsofabout450,000TCo2in2007(Source:NREAstatistics)
With7200MWwindenergyinstalled,EgyptwouldAppx.save4.25MillionT.O.Eand
reduceemissionsofabout10MillionTCo2(Source:ProjectiononNREAstatistics)
JobCreation
WindenergyinEgyptwouldimpactdirect(e.g.manufacturers,IPP/developeretc)
andindirect(RM,relatedservicesetc)employment
ThewindenergyindustryinEgypt couldparticipateforthecreationof75,000direct
jobs by2020 (Source:RCREEE2009)
WindEnergyinEgypt
ChallengesthatEgyptmightbefacing in this
particularsector
Financing.
Networkcapacity.
Attractionofinvestors.
Ministry of ElectricityMOEE/EEHC
and Energy
IPP expansion
BOOT(s)
HV MV Exports
UHV Customers Customers & Imports
Customers