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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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I. SUMMARY 47-3
A. TECHNOLOGY 47-8
B. ENGINEERING 47-9
I. SUMMARY
This profile envisages the establishment of a plant for the production of cups, plates and
egg trays from paper with a capacity of 10,000 kgs per annum.
The present demand for the proposed product is estimated at 33 tonnes per annum. The
demand is expected to reach at 65 tonnes by the year 2017.
The total investment requirement is estimated at Birr 862,700, out of which Birr
291,500 is required for plant and machinery.
The project is financially viable with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 19 % and a net
present value (NPV) of Birr 365,280 discounted at 8.5 %.
Paper cups, dishes, egg trays and plates are the most commonly used disposable crockery.
They are very light in weight and easy to handle. They are also used as containers for ice
creams and sweets. Now-a-days paper cups, dishes, egg trays and plates are finding
extensive usage for servicing foods in parties, functional and social gatherings. The
demand for paper cups, dishes, egg trays and plates are met both from local production
and imports. But demand for the product is still very high because of the increased
number of usages.
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A. MARKET STUDY
Paper trays, dishes, plates and cups are finding extensive usage for servicing foods in
parties, functional and social gatherings. As urbanization expands, the demand for these
products will increase substantially. Currently, the demand for paper trays, dishes, plates
and cups is met both from local production and imports. Domestic production of these
products is usually undertaken by the small scale sector. However, there is no
quantitative data on how much is produced by this sector. On the other hand, due to their
inability to satisfy the existing demand a huge amount is imported from abroad.
Considering this situation the imported quantity in the past five years is analyzed to
determine the current unsatisfied demand (see Table 3.1).
Table 3.1
IMPORT OF TRAYS, DISHES, PLATES, AND
CUPS OF PAPER (TONNES)
Year Quantity
2002 20.80
2003 14.5
2004 30.7
2005 12.5
2006 55.0
Total 133.5
Average 26.7
Source:- Customs Authority).
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The data on Table 3.1 reveals that the country has been importing around 27 tonnes of
paper trays, dishes, plates and cups annually for the past five years. To determine the
current effective demand, the average of the recent three years is calculated and found to
be 33 tonnes.
2. Projected Demand
The demand for paper trays, dishes, plates and cups of paper is highly influenced by the
growth of the service sector which includes micro enterprise engaged in the supply of fast
foods, pastries and the like. In addition, the products are highly demanded by the urban
population during parties, functional and social gatherings. Considering the above
factors, a conservative growth rate of 7% per annum is taken to forecast the future
demand.
Table 3.1
FORECASTED DEMAND FOR TRAYS, DISHES, PLATES & CUPS
Year Qty(Tonnes)
2008 35.3
2009 37.8
2010 40.4
2011 43.3
2012 46.3
2013 49.6
2014 53.1
2015 56.8
2016 60.8
2017 65.0
Demand for the products will increase from 35.3 tonnes in 2008 to 46.3 tonnes and 65.0
tonnes by the year 2012 and 2017, respectively. By considering a market share of 25 -
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30%, a number of small and micro enterprises can be established in the various Zonal and
Special Woreda towns of SNPPR.
The price of trays, dishes, plates and cups differs widely according to size, quality of raw
materials used, design and the like. By considering the average CIF price of the recent
two years and allowing some costs for duty and other charges, a factory-gate price of Birr
50 per k.g is recommended. The product can find its market outlet through the general
merchandizing goods shops.
1. Plant Capacity
The market study above indicates that demand projection for the assorted products for
the year 2008 will be 35.3 tons, and this figure is indicated to grow to 56.8 tonnes by the
year 2015. The envisaged plant will, therefore, have annual production capacity of 15
tonnes of assorted products (cups, plates and egg trays). The plant will operate single
shift of 8 hours a day and 300 days a year. Production can be doubled by operating the
plant for 16 hours.
2. Production Programme
The envisaged plant will need time for developing production skill and establishing a
significant market share of the economy. The plant will not, thus, start full capacity
production during the first year. It will be advisable to start production at 65% of full
capacity, and then will grow production to 75%, 85% and 100% in the successive years.
Table 3.3 below shows the details of production programme.
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Table 3.3
PRODUCTION PROGRAMME
A. RAW MATERIALS
The major raw materials required for the envisaged project are card board and Kraft
paper. Annual requirement together with associated cost of these materials is given in
Table 4.1 below.
Table 4.1
ANNUAL RAW MATERIALS REQUIREMENT AND COST
B. AUXILIARY MATERIALS
Auxiliary materials required for the envisaged project are given in Table 4.2 below.
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Table 4.2
AUXILIARY MATERIALS REQUIREMENT AND COST
C. UTILITIES
Electricity and water are inputs required by the plant. Annual requirement of electrical
energy is 24,000 kWh while annual requirement of water is estimated to be 500 m3. At
the rate of Birr 0.474 per kWh and Birr 10 per m3 of water, the annual expenditure on
utilities will be Birr 16,376.
A. TECHNOLOGY
1. Production Process
Paper is first printed on the printing machine. The printed part is cut to size and given the
desired shape by die cutting. The bottom part and the upper part of the cup are then
assembled to cup shape as desired in screw press. For wax coated type, the assembled
cups are put in a wax coating machine.
For paper saucers (plates) the paper is printed and cut to circles. The cut circles are
passed in screw press for obtaining the desired shape.
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2. Source of Technology
B. ENGINEERING
The plant machinery and equipment are listed in Table 5.1. The total cost of plant
machinery and equipment is estimated to be Birr 232,362, out of which Birr 198,600 is
required in foreign currency.
The total area of the plant including provision for open spaces is estimated to be 500m2,
out of which 250 m2 is a built-up area. The lease cost of land and building is Birr 40,000
and Birr 375,000, respectively. Land lease cost in rated at Birr 1.0 per m2, for 80 years
and building cost at the rate of Birr 1,500 per m2.
Thus, the total investment on land, building and civil work will be Birr 415,000.
3. Proposed Location
Table 5.1
LIST OF PLANT MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT REQUIREMENT AND
COST
A. MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
The details of manpower required for the envisaged plant the envisaged plant requires 9
persons labour and cost is given in Table 6.1 below.
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Table 6.1
MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
B. TRAINING REQUIREMENT
Production equipment identified and selected for the plant are simple to operate.
Workers can develop the skill during erection and commissioning. No training cost is
required for this purpose.
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The financial analysis of the cups, plates and egg trays from paper
project is based on the data presented in the previous chapters and the following
assumptions:-
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated at 862,700,
of which 9 per cent will be required in foreign currency.
The major breakdown of the total initial investment cost is shown in Table 7.1.
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Table 7.1
INITIAL INVESTMENT COST
* N.B Pre-production expenditure includes interest during construction ( Birr 5.3.16 thousand ) and Birr
37 thousand costs of registration, licensing and formation of the company including legal fees,
commissioning expenses, etc.
B. PRODUCTION COST
The annual production cost at full operation capacity is estimated at Birr 377,440 (see
Table 7.2). The material and utility cost accounts for 40.87 per cent, while repair and
maintenance take 3.97 per cent of the production cost.
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Table 7.2
ANNUAL PRODUCTION COST AT FULL CAPACITY ('000 BIRR)
Items Cost %
Raw Material and Inputs 137.89 36.53
Utilities 16.38 4.34
Maintenance and repair 15 3.97
Labour direct 67.8 17.96
Administration Costs 46.2 12.24
Total Operating Costs 283.27 75.05
Depreciation 58.82 15.58
Cost of Finance 35.35 9.37
Total Production Cost 377.44 100
C. FINANCIAL EVALUATION
1. Profitability
According to the projected income statement, the project will start generating profit in the
first year of operation. Important ratios such as profit to total sales, net profit to equity
(Return on equity) and net profit plus interest on total investment (return on total
investment) show an increasing trend during the life-time of the project.
The income statement and the other indicators of profitability show that the project is
viable.
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2. Break-even Analysis
The break-even point of the project including cost of finance when it starts to operate at
full capacity ( year 3 ) is estimated by using income statement projection.
BE = Fixed Cost = 21 %
Sales Variable Cost
The investment cost and income statement projection are used to project the pay-back
period. The projects initial investment will be fully recovered within 5 years.
Based on the cash flow statement, the calculated IRR of the project is 19 % and the net
present value at 8.5 % discount rate is Birr 365,280 million.
D. ECONOMIC BENEFITS
The project can create employment for 15 persons. In addition to supply of the domestic
needs, the project will generate Birr 235,280 in terms of tax revenue. The establishment
of such factory will have a foreign exchange saving effect to the country by substituting
the current imports.