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Weekly Highlights: Regional Markets Up on Positive U.S. & China Economic Data
After touching a new record intraday high of 1,678.6 points on Thursday, the FBM KLCI subsequently
closed at 1,656.1 points for a loss of 0.9% for the week.
Regional markets closed higher following news of better-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence data
and an improvement in Chinas Purchasing Managers Index for October.
Looking ahead, the local market is anticipated to move in tandem with overseas markets as investors
await further news on the trend in global economic data and developments in U.S. fiscal policy.
Stockmarket Commentary
Selected buying of financial and plantation stocks 5-month high of 51.7 in October from 51.5 in
helped the FBM KLCI to touch an intraday record September due to higher production and new orders.
high of 1,678.6 points on 1st November. Sentiment
was also supported by firmer regional markets. Crude oil price closed at US$84.86/brl on Friday to
However, profit-taking pressures subsequently register a weekly loss of 1.6% following news that
caused the FBM KLCI to shave off the earlier gains the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
and close at 1,656.1 points for a loss of 0.9% for the (OPEC) reported a slight increase in October oil
week. supply.
Average daily trading volume increased to 1.4bil In the Far-East region, Chinas Purchasing Managers
from 1.3bil over the week while daily turnover in Index (PMI) for manufacturing rose above 50 for the
value terms was sustained at RM1.5bil over the first time in 3 months to 50.2 in October from 49.8 in
same period. September on the back of higher new orders. A
reading above 50 indicates that manufacturing
Regional markets closed higher following news of activities are expanding.
better-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence data
and a rebound in Chinas Purchasing Managers On the local front, Malaysias loans growth eased to
Index for October. The China H shares market and 11.9% in September from 12.3% in August due to
the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.7% and slower growth of corporate loans. Meanwhile, money
2.5% respectively over the week. supply (M3) growth slowed to 12.5% from 13.9%
over the same period amid lower deposits.
On Wall Street, the Dow was volatile after two days
of closure due to disruptions caused by Hurricane On a weekly basis, the Ringgit remained firm against
Sandy. After rising by 1% on Thursday, the Dow the US$ to close at RM3.053 while on a year-to-date
shaved off the gains on Friday as investors took basis, the Ringgit appreciated by 3.7% against the
profits ahead of the U.S. elections to be held on 6th greenback.
November. For the week, the Dow edged down by
0.1% to close at 13,093.2 points while the broader- Looking ahead, the local market is anticipated to
based S&P 500 Index gained by 0.2% to close move in tandem with overseas markets as investors
at 1,414.2 points. The Nasdaq was down 0.2% to await further news on the trend in global economic
2,982.1 points over the same period. data and developments in U.S. fiscal policy
following the outcome of the U.S. elections.
In the U.S., macroeconomic data released over the
week was positive with 171,000 non-farm jobs As at 2nd November 2012, the local stock market is
added in October compared to a revised 148,000 valued at a P/E of about 17.2x on 2012 earnings,
jobs created in September on the back of more which is in line with its 10-year average P/E ratio of
services sector jobs. In addition, consumer 16.6x. The local market is underpinned by a gross
confidence as measured by the Conference Board dividend yield of 3.3%, which exceeds the 12-month
improved to a 56-month high of 72.2 in October fixed deposit rate of 3.15%.
from 68.4 in September. The Institute for Supply
Managements manufacturing index edged up to a
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Market Performance and Valuations Performance of Equity and Balanced Funds*
Foreign Funds
Malaysias Economic Snapshot 2 Nov12 25 Oct'12^ % chng
2011 2012F 2013F PFES 0.2073 0.2055 +0.9
PRSEC 0.1823 0.1824 -0.1
GDP growth, % 5.1 4.5 4.0-4.5 PGSF 0.1892 0.1879 +0.7
Inflation, % 3.2 2.0 2.5 PFEDF 0.2079 0.2090 -0.5
F=forecast PFEBF 0.2118 0.2097 +1.0
PTAF 0.2018 0.1999 +1.0
PCSF 0.1511 0.1495 +1.1
Bursa Se curitie s 10 ye ar P/E Ratio
PFEPRF 0.2825 0.2804 +0.7
30 PSEASF 0.2712 0.2713^^ -0.03
2 Nov'12 PFECTF 0.2536 0.2517 +0.8
25 P/E on 2012 earnings: 17.2x PCTF 0.2091 0.2048 +2.1
PFETIF 0.2701 0.2739 -1.4
P/E Ratio (x)
3 Years M GS
2
J an- Oct - J ul- Ap r- J an- Oct - J ul- Ap r- J an- Oct - J ul- Ap r- J an- Oct -
03 03 04 05 06 06 07 08 09 09 10 11 12 12
2 10 Years US T Bond
1
J an- Oct - J ul- Ap r- J an- Oct - J ul- Ap r- J an- Oct - J ul- Ap r- J an- Oct -
03 03 04 05 06 06 07 08 09 09 10 11 12 12
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You are advised to read and understand the contents of the Master Prospectus of Public Series of Funds dated
30th April 2012 and expires on 29th April 2013, Master Prospectus of Public Series of Shariah-Based Funds
dated 30th April 2012 and expires on 29th April 2013, Master Prospectus of PB Series of Funds dated 30th
April 2012 and expires on 29th April 2013, Information Memorandum of PB Cash Plus Fund and PB Islamic
Cash Plus Fund dated 1st March 2010, Information Memorandum of PBB MTN Fund 1 dated 10th November
2009 and expires on 24th December 2009 and Prospectus of PB Dynamic Allocation Fund dated 19th June
2012 and expires on 29th April 2013. These prospectus have been registered with the Securities Commission
who takes no responsibility for their contents, and neither should their registration be interpreted to mean that
the Commission recommends the investment.
You should note that there are fees and charges involved; and that the prices of units and distribution payable,
if any, may go down as well as up. Applications to purchase must come in the form of a duly completed
application form referred to in and accompanying the prospectus. A copy of the prospectus can be obtained
from your attending agent, corporate representative or nearest Public Mutual Office.
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Public Mutual Berhad (23419-A)
Block B, Sri Damansara Business Park, Persiaran Industri, Bandar Sri Damansara, 52200 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. P.O. Box 10045, 50700 Kuala Lumpur
Tel: 03-62796800 Fax: 603-62779800 Website:http://www.publicmutual.com.my