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Hemodynamic Response to Pharmacological Treatment

of Portal Hypertension and Long-Term Prognosis


of Cirrhosis
Juan G. Abraldes, Ilaria Tarantino, Juan Turnes, Juan Carlos Garcia-Pagan, Juan Rode s, and Jaime Bosch

In cirrhotic patients under pharmacologic treatment for portal hypertension, a reduction in


hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) of >20% of baseline or to <12 mm Hg markedly
reduces the risk of variceal rebleeding. This study was aimed at evaluating whether these
hemodynamic targets also prevent other complications of portal hypertension and improve
long-term survival. One hundred five cirrhotic patients included in prospective trials for the
prevention of variceal rebleeding were studied. Seventy-three of the patients had 2 separate
HVPG measurements, at baseline and under pharmacologic therapy with propranolol
isosorbide mononitrate. Patients were followed for up to 8 years. Survival and risk of
developing portal hypertension-related complications were compared between responders
and nonresponders. Twenty-eight patients showed a reduction of HVPG >20% of baseline
or to <12 mm Hg (responders), and 45 patients were nonresponders. Nonresponders had a
significantly greater risk of developing variceal rebleeding (P .013), ascites (P .025),
spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (P .003), hepatorenal syndrome (P .026), and hepatic
encephalopathy (P .024) than responders. Eight-year cumulative probability of survival
was significantly lower in nonresponders than in responders (52% vs. 95%, respectively, P
.003). At multivariate analysis, being a nonresponder was independently associated with the
risk of developing rebleeding, ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, and lower survival.
In conclusion, in cirrhotic patients receiving pharmacologic treatment for prevention of
variceal rebleeding, a decrease in HVPG >20% or to <12 mm Hg is associated with a
marked reduction in the long-term risk of developing complications of portal hypertension
and with improved survival. (HEPATOLOGY 2003;37:902-908.)

P
ortal hypertension is responsible for the more cause of death and liver transplantation in patients
frequent and severe complications of cirrhosis: with cirrhosis.1
gastrointestinal bleeding from gastroesophageal Previous cross-sectional studies have shown that a por-
varices, ascites, renal dysfunction, and hepatic enceph- tal pressure gradient (determined as the hepatic venous
alopathy. Because of the combined impact of these pressure gradient; HVPG) above 12 mm Hg is required
complications, portal hypertension represents the main for variceal bleeding to develop.2,3 Indeed, longitudinal
studies demonstrated that, when HVPG decreases below
this threshold, there is total protection from the risk of
Abbreviations: HVPG, hepatic venous pressure gradient; TIPS, transjugular bleeding.4-6 Subsequent studies showed that, even with-
intrahepatic portosystemic shunt; ISMN, isosorbide mononitrate; CI, cardiac index.
From the Hepatic Hemodynamic Laboratory, Liver Unit, Institut de Malalties out reaching this target, a reduction of HVPG of at least
Digestives, Hospital Clnic, Institut de Investigacions Biomediques August Pi i 20% from baseline values is associated with a very low
Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain. residual risk of rebleeding on follow-up.7-10 However, no
Received September 30, 2002; accepted January 8, 2003.
J.G.A. and I.T. share first authorship of this report. study so far has examined whether the hemodynamic re-
Supported in part by grants from Fondo de Investigaciones Sanitarias (FIS 00/ sponse to drug therapy correlates also with the risk of
0444) (01/9356 to J.G.A.) and Comision Interministerial de Ciencia y Tecnologa developing other complications of portal hypertension
(SAF99/0007).
Address reprint requests to: Jaime Bosch, Hepatic Hemodynamic Laboratory, and survival over a long-term follow-up.
Liver Unit, Hospital Clinic, Villarroel 170, 08036 Barcelona, Spain. E-mail: The present study was aimed at addressing these issues.
jbosch@clinic.ub.es; fax: (34) 93 22 79856. For that purpose, we investigated the relationship be-
Copyright 2003 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.
0270-9139/03/3704-0026$30.00/0 tween the HVPG response to continued pharmacologic
doi:10.1053/jhep.2003.50133 therapy and occurrence of variceal rebleeding, ascites,
902
HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 37, No. 4, 2003 ABRALDES ET AL. 903

spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatic encephalopa- propranolol, ISMN was added at increasing doses up to
thy, hepatorenal syndrome, and death in a large cohort of 40 mg twice a day. The second hemodynamic evaluation
patients included in an 8-year follow-up study. was done after a median of 111 days (range 34-164).
Permanent tracings of the hemodynamic studies were re-
Patients and Methods viewed by an independent investigator unaware of clinical
data. Patients were considered responders if, at the sec-
Study Cohort. The study included 105 cirrhotic pa- ond hemodynamic evaluation, HVPG was 12 mm Hg
tients with portal hypertension admitted to the Liver Unit or had decreased at least by 20% from baseline values and
of the Hospital Clinic with bleeding from esophageal var- nonresponders if these criteria were not met.7
ices that were included in 3 prospective single-center11 or Follow-up. Patients were followed in the outpatient
multicenter12,13 trials evaluating the efficacy of pharma- clinic, initially at weekly intervals until stabilized on
cologic therapy versus endoscopic treatment, surgery, or maintenance doses of drug therapy, then at 3 months and
transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). In- every 6 months thereafter. At each visit, medical history,
clusion criteria were the following: diagnosis of cirrhosis physical examination, biochemistry, hematologic tests,
(based on liver biopsy and/or unequivocal clinical data abdominal ultrasound, continued alcohol abuse, and ful-
and compatible findings on imaging techniques); sinusoi- fillment of treatment were recorded. Compliance was as-
dal portal hypertension with HVPG above 12 mm Hg; sessed by attendance at scheduled visits, anamnesis, and
index bleeding from esophageal varices confirmed by heart rate and was considered good when these parameters
emergency endoscopy; repeat HVPG measurements, the were met in 80% of visits, fair when met in 50% to 80%
first before starting therapy, the second 1 to 6 months of visits, and poor when met in 50% of visits. Follow-up
later, under continued therapy with propranolol data were gathered for up to 8 years, death, or liver trans-
isosorbide mononitrate (ISMN); and minimal follow-up plantation. Median follow-up was 70 months. End points
of 6 months. Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma at evaluated were the following: survival, rebleeding from
baseline, cholestatic liver disease, or portal vein thrombo- gastroesophageal varices, ascites, spontaneous bacterial
sis were not considered for the study. Twenty-three pa- peritonitis, hepatic encephalopathy, and hepatorenal syn-
tients were excluded because of intolerance to drome. Patients undergoing liver transplantation were
pharmacologic treatment (n 7) or a terminating event censored as alive the day of the transplant. Patients requir-
before the second hemodynamic study (8 rebleedings, 7 ing derivative treatment were censored the day of the
deaths, 1 hepatocellular carcinoma). Nine additional pa- procedure, except for survival analysis. Variceal bleeding
tients refused the second hemodynamic study. Therefore, was defined following Baveno criteria.15 The ascites end
73 patients were available for final analysis. The day of the point was defined as de novo development of ascites or
second hemodynamic study was taken as time zero for the worsening of preexisting ascites (patients requiring a sus-
follow-up. tained increase in diuretic dose or admission for large-
Hemodynamic Measurements. The initial hemody- volume paracentesis). De novo ascites was diagnosed
namic measurement was performed a median time of 8 clinically and confirmed by ultrasound and/or paracente-
days (range 5-14 days) from the index bleeding. Under sis. Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and hepatorenal
local anesthesia, a venous introducer was placed in the syndrome were defined as in accepted consensus.16,17 He-
right femoral vein or internal jugular vein by the Seldinger patic encephalopathy was diagnosed on clinical basis. Pa-
technique. Under fluoroscopy, a 7F balloon-tipped cath- tients lost to follow-up were censored the day of the last
eter (Boston Scientific Medi-Tech, Natick, MA) was visit. However, for survival analysis, the final status of the
guided into the main right hepatic vein for measurements patient was traced by contacting the patients, their rela-
of wedged (occluded) and free hepatic venous pressures. tives, or, when this was not successful, by means of a
Portal pressure was measured as the HVPG, the difference requirement to local civil registry to assess the exact date
between wedged and free hepatic venous pressures, as pre- and cause of death.
viously described.14 Cardiopulmonary pressures and car- Statistical Analysis. Statistical analysis was done with
diac output were measured by means of a Swan-Ganz the SPSS 10.0 package (SPSS, Chicago, IL). Cumulative
catheter (Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, IL) advanced risk of developing each of the 6 analyzed end points were
into the pulmonary artery. After this initial evaluation, assessed by Kaplan-Meier curves. Comparisons between
patients were started on oral propranolol, 20 mg twice responders and nonresponders were performed with the
daily. This dose was increased until heart rate had fallen log-rank test. The adjusted influence of hemodynamic
by 25% or below 55/min, or systolic blood pressure was response on the risk of developing the events was analyzed
below 90 mm Hg. In 45 patients,12,13 after stabilizing on with Cox proportional hazards model by introducing co-
904 ABRALDES ET AL. HEPATOLOGY, April 2003

Table 1. Baseline Characteristics of Responders and response were identified by logistic regression. Signifi-
Nonresponders cance was established at P .05.
Responders Nonresponders P Value

Age 53 8 56 8 NS Results
Sex (% male) 64 67 NS
Etiology (% alcohol) 54 49 NS Hemodynamic Response. A total of 73 patients were
Active alcoholism (%) 37 29 NS
Child (% A/B/C) 50/46/4 40/51/9 NS
included in the study. Mean follow-up was 70 months.
Child (score) 6.6 1.3 7.0 1.6 NS Twenty-eight patients were HVPG responders and 45
Ascites (%) 32 31 NS nonresponders. Table 1 shows the main characteristics of
Basal heart rate (bpm) 82 14 80 13 NS the 2 groups of patients. Among responders, 11 patients
HVPG (mm Hg) 18.6 3.9 18.4 3.4 NS
Albumin (g/L) 35.6 6.0 32.7 6.0 .045 decreased HVPG to 12 mm Hg, and 17 patients de-
Bilirubin (mg/dL) 1.4 0.8 2.0 1.5 .020 creased HVPG by 20% of baseline, with final HVPG
Prothrombin rate (%) 70 17 65 15 NS 12 mm Hg. Nonresponders had greater bilirubin levels,
Variceal size (% large) 71 75 NS
Concomitant ISMN (%) 62 61 NS
lower albumin, and were treated with lower doses of pro-
Propranolol dose (mg/d) 150 97 89 56 .002 pranolol than responders (nonresponders 89 56 mg/d,
Decrease in HR (%) 19 17 21 14 NS vs. responders 150 97 mg/d; P .002). At multivariate
Decrease in CO (%) 20 14 19 14 NS
Decrease in HVPG (%) 28 10 5 12 .000
analysis, the only independent predictor of being a re-
Compliance (% good/fair/poor) 78/5/17 89/3/8 NS sponder was propranolol dose (P .005) (Table 1). The
concomitant use of ISMN was not. The reasons for not
NOTE. On logistic regression analysis, only the dose of propranolol predicted
response. increasing further the dose of propranolol in nonre-
Abbreviations: NS, not significant; HR, heart rate; CO, cardiac output; HVPG, sponders were the following: reaching a 25% decrease in
hepatic venous pressure gradient. heart rate (n 18), reaching the maximum allowed dose
of propranolol (320 mg/d, n 1), reaching a final heart
rate of 55 bpm (n 6), hypotension (n 8), and
variates that were related to these events in a univariate intolerance (n 12).
analysis (P .1). Tested covariates included demo- Rebleeding. Over the 8-year follow-up, responders
graphic data (age, gender), etiology of cirrhosis (alcoholic had a significantly lower actuarial probability of variceal
vs. nonalcoholic), presence of ascites, hepatic encephalop- rebleeding than nonresponders (72% vs. 43% free of re-
athy, serum sodium, creatinine, bilirubin (transformed bleeding, respectively; P .013) (Fig. 1). Total number
into its natural logarithm), albumin, prothrombin ratio, of rebleeders were 20/45 nonresponders and 6/28 re-
platelet count, endoscopic data (big vs. small varices), sponders (including one that had decreased HVPG to
hemodynamic data (HVPG, mean arterial pressure, car- 12 mm Hg). Among responders, 2 patients required
diac output) at baseline and at time of second hemody-
namic evaluation, treatment-related data (propranolol
dose, concomitant treatment with ISMN, use of diuretics,
compliance with treatment), and continued alcohol
abuse. The contribution of each significant variable to the
risk of reaching the end point was estimated by the relative
hazard with its 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Each
component of Child-Pugh score was individually forced
into the final models (if not already present) and main-
tained whenever important changes in regression coeffi-
cients or their standard errors were observed. For survival
end point, to better adjust the influence of hemodynamic
response by the degree of liver failure, we performed an
additional analysis using Cox model, including hemody-
namic response, age, and Child-Pugh score. MELD
score18 was not entered as a covariate because it was de-
signed to assess short-term prognosis in patients with
advanced liver disease. The predicting factors of hemody- Fig. 1. Kaplan-Meier plot showing cumulative probability of remaining
free of variceal rebleeding. Eight-year probability of remaining free of
namic response were analyzed by t test, Mann-Whitney rebleeding was higher in responders than in nonresponders (R, respond-
test, or 2 tests as appropriate. Independent predictors of ers; NR, nonresponders).
HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 37, No. 4, 2003 ABRALDES ET AL. 905

Table 2. Factors Independently Associated With the


Analyzed End Points
RH 95% CI P Value

Rebleeding
Lack of hemodynamic response 2.804 1.107-7.104 .028
Albumin (g/L) 0.928 0.865-0.995 .030
Ascites
Lack of hemodynamic response 3.483 1.265-9.587 .009
Platelet count ( 109/L) 0.985 0.971-0.999 .016
Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis
Lack of hemodynamic response 8.687 1.080-69.886 .016
Prothrombin rate (%) 0.950 0.904-0.998 .027
Hepatic encephalopathy
Bilirubin (mg/dL) 2.617 1.069-6.408 .008
Survival
Lack of hemodynamic response 12.387 1.555-98.690 .001
Age (y) 1.117 1.026-1.216 .008
Albumin (g/L) 0.903 0.824-0.990 .026

NOTE. Analyzed with Cox proportional hazards model. The value of relative
Fig. 2. Cumulative probability of not reaching the ascites end point
hazard indicates the relative risk or the strength of association of each variable
was higher in responders than in nonresponders (R, responders; NR,
adjusted by the other significant variables. Values above 1 indicate increased risk
nonresponders).
of reaching the end point. Values lower than 1 indicate protective effect.
Abbreviation: RH, relative hazard.

Hepatorenal Syndrome. Only 4 patients developed


hepatorenal syndrome during follow-up. All were nonre-
derivative treatment during follow-up (1 surgical shunt, 1 sponders. The risk of developing hepatorenal syndrome
TIPS), versus 8 patients in nonresponders (7 surgical was associated with albumin levels (P .003), prothrom-
shunts, 1 TIPS). At univariate analysis, lack of hemody- bin ratio (P .050), Child-Pugh score (P .022), and
namic response, albumin (P .013), and bilirubin levels lack of hemodynamic response (P .026). The low num-
(P .046) were significantly associated with rebleeding. ber of events did not permit multivariate analysis.
At multivariate analysis, albumin and lack of hemody- Hepatic Encephalopathy. Fifteen patients developed
namic response were independent predictors of rebleed- hepatic encephalopathy (12 nonresponders). No patient
ing (Table 2). Among nonresponders, rebleeding rates in whom HVPG decreased to 12 mm Hg developed
were similar in patients exhibiting no HVPG reduction as encephalopathy during follow-up. The eight-year proba-
compared with those with a moderate decrease in HVPG bility of developing encephalopathy was significantly
(between 10% and 20%). lower in responders than in nonresponders (84% vs. 58%
Ascites. The actuarial probability of not reaching the
ascites end point was significantly higher in responders
than in nonresponders (70% vs. 42% at 8 years, P
.025) (Fig. 2). The corresponding number of events were
16 in nonresponders versus 6 in responders (2 in patients
that decreased HVPG to 12 mm Hg). At univariate
analysis, hemodynamic response and platelet count (P
.031) were associated with the probability of ascites. Pro-
thrombin ratio, albumin, and bilirubin approached sta-
tistical significance (all P .01). Independent predictors
were lack of hemodynamic response and platelet count
(Table 2).
Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis. The probability
of being free of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis was
higher in responders than in nonresponders (94% vs.
58% at 8 years, P .003) (8 events in nonresponders vs.
1 in responders; none in patients with final HVPG 12
mm Hg) (Fig. 3). Prothrombin ratio was also associated
Fig. 3. Eight-year cumulative probability of remaining free of sponta-
with spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (P .019). Both neous bacterial peritonitis was higher in responders than in nonre-
were independent predictors (Table 2). sponders (R, responders; NR, nonresponders).
906 ABRALDES ET AL. HEPATOLOGY, April 2003

Fig. 4. Eight-year cumulative probability of remaining free of hepatic Fig. 5. Eight-year cumulative probability of survival was higher in
encephalopathy was higher in responders than in nonresponders (R, responders than in nonresponders. Survival difference at 8 years was
responders; NR, nonresponders). 43% (95% CI: 21%-63%) (R, responders; NR, nonresponders).

free of encephalopathy; P .024) (Fig. 4). At univariate To confirm that hemodynamic response retains its pre-
analysis albumin (P .015), bilirubin (P .001), pro- dictive value independent of liver function, this variable
thrombin ratio (P .031), propranolol dose (P .032), was introduced in a model together with Child-Pugh
and lack of hemodynamic response (P .024) were asso- score, as a global test of liver function and age. The 3
ciated with the risk of developing encephalopathy. The variables shown to be independent predictors (P .0005,
only independent predictor was bilirubin (Table 2). P .010, P .015, respectively), being relative hazard
Survival. Among responders, 1 patient died during for hemodynamic response in this model 18.249 (95%
follow-up, and 4 (one of them that had decreased HVPG CI: 2.165-153.833).
to 12 mm Hg) underwent liver transplantation. In con-
trast, among nonresponders, 14 patients died, and 3 were Discussion
transplanted (Table 3). Eight-year survival probability
Several studies have demonstrated that a reduction of
was higher in responders than in nonresponders (95% vs.
portal pressure 20% of baseline values or to 12 mm
52%; P .003) (Fig. 5). This was still so if patients
Hg provides effective protection from the risk of first or
undergoing transplantation were considered deceased the
recurrent variceal bleeding.7-10,19 It is important to re-
day of transplantation (83% vs. 47%; P .028). Other
mark that these observations came from studies in differ-
factors predicting survival at univariate analysis were age
ent laboratories and in different countries, indicating that
(P .007), albumin (P .008), past encephalopathy
measurement of the HVPG response is a reproducible
(P .028), and alcoholic etiology of cirrhosis (P .032).
and robust test. Such hemodynamic response has been
Bilirubin approached significance (P .086). In a mul-
subsequently considered the target of drug therapy for
tivariate analysis age, hemodynamic response and albu-
portal hypertension.7,8,15 One study further demon-
min were independent predictors of survival (Table 2).
strated that patients decreasing HVPG to 12 mm Hg
had significantly longer actuarial survival.4
Table 3. Causes of Death in Responders and In a previous longitudinal study in patients treated
Nonresponders with TIPS, we demonstrated that the same portal pressure
Nonresponders Responders P Value reduction that protected against recurrent bleeding did
Portal hypertension complications also protect from development or worsening of ascites,
Bleeding 4 0 suggesting that the beneficial effects afforded by decreas-
Hepatic encephalopathy 2 0
Hepatorenal syndrome 4 0
ing portal pressure may extend to other manifestations of
Total 10 0 .019 portal hypertension.20 On the other hand, because most
Other causes 4 1 studies examining the beneficial effect of portal pressure
Total 14 1 .003 reduction had only a short-term follow-up, it is not
NOTE. P values are those of log-rank test. known whether protection against recurrent bleeding,
HEPATOLOGY, Vol. 37, No. 4, 2003 ABRALDES ET AL. 907

and/or from other complications of portal hypertension, disease, the less likely to be a responder. However, this
persist on long-term follow-up. appears of limited relevance because parameters of liver
The present study addressed these issues in a large se- function were not independently associated with response
ries of patients included in prospective studies on long- on multivariate analysis. Interestingly, the only indepen-
term pharmacologic therapy, with an 8-year follow-up. dent predictor was the greater dose of propranolol re-
The study confirms that patients showing a decline in ceived by responders than by nonresponders. This finding
HVPG of at least 20% and/or to 12 mm Hg had a has potential practical implications. Up to now, the dose
much lower risk of recurrent variceal bleeding than those of propranolol was titrated against reduction in heart rate,
not achieving these targets. We further demonstrated that aiming empirically at 25% decrease,9,10,22 which reflects
the lower risk of recurrent bleeding in responders was pronounced -1-adrenoceptor blockade. However, the
maintained for the whole extent of the follow-up period, beneficial effects of -blockers in portal hypertension are
supporting the concept that these patients should receive due to blockade of both -1 and -2 adrenoceptors,23,24
lifelong pharmacologic therapy.21 and the degree of -1 blockade does not correlate with the
The most salient finding of the study is that, further to fall in portal pressure.25,26 Titration against heart rate
protect from recurrent variceal bleeding, such target re- might not be adequate and may prevent some patients
duction in HVPG protected from all other relevant com- from being given greater doses. Indeed, the reason why
plications of portal hypertension. Thus, responders had a the dose was not further increased in 40% of nonre-
much lower risk of developing or worsening ascites, spon- sponders was having achieved this 25% fall in heart rate.
taneous bacterial peritonitis, and hepatic encephalopathy, Should these patients have received a greater dose (i.e.,
and this resulted in better actuarial survival. titrated against clinical tolerance), the number of re-
The question that arises is to what extent the better sponders might have been greater.26
outcomes of responders are due to the reduction in portal Drug therapy for portal hypertension should be aimed
pressure or if lack of response reflects more advanced, at achieving the target reduction in portal pressure, min-
resistant liver disease? For most outcomes, our results imizing the number of nonresponders. In the past, the
suggest that lack of response was indeed a major determi- only way of approaching this problem has been to associ-
nant of the worse prognosis observed in nonresponders, as ate nitrates to nonselective -blockers.22,27 The use of
compared with responders. This is supported by our ob- greater doses of -blockers may result in an increased
servation that, on multivariate analysis, lack of hemody- number of adverse effects. The same holds true with other
namic response was an independent predictor of a worse drugs or combinations with greater potential for HVPG
outcome in terms of rebleeding, developing of ascites and reduction than -blockers. Carvedilol,28 prazosin,29 and
spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, and survival. However, the association of prazosin propranolol30 caused greater
multivariate analysis selected additional variables influ- falls in portal pressure than propranolol but also caused
encing prognosis. Some of them, such as albumin, biliru- significantly more adverse effects.28-30
bin, or prothrombin ratio are clearly related with the The only current way of assessing whether a patient
degree of liver failure. Therefore, both severity of liver treated with -blockers is a responder or not is by re-
disease and ability to reduce HVPG are major indepen- peated HVPG measurements. Of course, it would be de-
dent determinants of prognosis in patients with advanced sirable to have noninvasive ways of identifying
cirrhosis receiving pharmacologic therapy for portal hy- responders. Unfortunately, this has not been possible so
pertension. It should be noted, however, that the rela- far,1,31,32 which has been used as an argument against
tively low sample size and number of events results in low HVPG monitoring. On the contrary, we believe that the
statistical power to detect associations of moderate (but fact that HVPG monitoring is unique in providing such
potentially clinically important) strength, in wide confi- relevant prognostic information strongly supports a wider
dence intervals, and in limited ability to examine multiple use of this measurement. The fact that it predicts not only
covariates and to control for multiple confounding vari- rebleeding but also the risk of other complications and
ables in the Cox proportional hazards models. Still, max- survival may help in making such a policy more attractive
imum efforts were taken to adjust the influence of and, perhaps, more cost-effective. However, the objective
hemodynamic response by the degree of liver function benefits of tailoring the treatment of portal hypertension
markers, by testing the individual components of Child- against HVPG response remains to be investigated.
Pugh score into the final models, maintaining them if In summary, in patients under continued pharmaco-
relevant changes in relative hazards were noted. logic therapy for secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleed-
Regarding what makes a patient more likely to respond ing, a reduction in HVPG of 20% from baseline or to
to drug therapy, our study suggests that the worse the liver 12 mm Hg is associated with lower risk of developing
908 ABRALDES ET AL. HEPATOLOGY, April 2003

all the complications of portal hypertension and with im- 16. Arroyo V, Gines P, Gerbes AL, Dudley FJ, Gentilini P, Laffi G, Reynolds
TB, et al. Definition and diagnostic criteria of refractory ascites and hepa-
proved survival. Thus, HVPG monitoring provides rele- torenal syndrome in cirrhosis. International Ascites Club. HEPATOLOGY
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Inadomi JM. Diagnosis, treatment and prophylaxis of spontaneous bacte-
Acknowledgment: The authors thank Laura Rocabert, rial peritonitis: a consensus document. International Ascites Club. J Hepa-
Angels Baringo, and Rosa Saez for their cooperation in these tol 2000;32:142-153.
studies. 18. Kamath PS, Wiesner RH, Malinchoc M, Kremers W, Therneau TM,
Kosberg CL, DAmico G, et al. A model to predict survival in patients with
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