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an elusive goal?
In the index for 2016 covering the period from mid-2014 to mid-
2015, Sri Lanka had slipped from a Moderately Free economy to a
Mostly Unfree economy, but being placed at the threshold. The
new good governance government that had promised to deliver
economic democracy to people was expected to halt this process
and reverse it. Yet, the index for 2017 that covers the period from
mid-2015 to mid-2016, during which the present Government was
in power, Sri Lanka has further slipped down in the index and has
become a permanent resident in that category. This is not a
development about which the leaders of the present Government
could be happy.
There has been a section in Sri Lankas society which has argued
consistently and resolutely that Sri Lanka should have a merciful
dictator. Such arguments are a public demonstration of the
frustration of people aloud about the deteriorating economic,
social and political conditions.
The index for 2017 has taken into account 12 different attributes
which enhance the economic freedom of people and they are
broadly categorised in four areas.
Rule of Law (property rights, judicial effectiveness and
Government integrity)
It also gives the overall score for each of the years, ranking of the
country from among the countries in the index, categorisation of
the country according to economic freedom and a separate
calculation done by compilers of the index as to the size of the
shadow economy of Sri Lanka in 2006 and 2007 as reported along
with the index for 2016.
Tax burden is not a burden today
Sri Lanka has scored relatively high for tax burden and
Government spending meaning that they at present do not inhibit
peoples freedom. That is because the average tax revenue and
the spending of the Government are very low in terms of GDP at
the present levels of public finances of the country. But this is not
an achievement since this score could reverse when the tax to
GDP ratio and the level of the Government spending are expected
to increase in terms of the policy of the Government.
Poor fiscal health of Sri Lanka
What is really stressful for Sri Lanka is its poor fiscal health in
terms of stubborn budget deficits and growing public debt. Budget
deficits have become the norm of Sri Lankas public finances with
every successive fianc minister resorting to this tactic in order to
maintain the ever increasing public services. Hence, it has to
borrow more in order to service the existing public debt, that is,
repaying principal and paying interest thereon.
However, the index for 2017 covering the period from mid-2015
to mid-2016 shows that its score on account of Government
integrity has fallen to 30, a sad state depicting the waste of the
countrys scarce resources, on one hand, and the plight of the
citizenry at the hand of politicians and bureaucrats, on the other.
Sri Lanka in fact strengthened the institutional arrangements for
fighting corruption in the initial period. Yet, the poor score warns
that those measures have not been effective in attaining their
objectives.
The large shadow economy is a problem