National

Likely General Election Voter Survey

February 20th, 2017

On the web
www.mclaughlinonline.com
 Methodology

This survey of 1,000 likely general election voters nationwide was

conducted on February 15th to 20th, 2017.

All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were

distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These
units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a
nationwide general election.

This poll of 1,000 likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/-
3.1% at a 95% confidence interval. The error margin increases for
cross-tabulations.

National - SAN
February 2017
 Direction: United States
- Time Series-

Right Direction Wrong Track

80
70 69 66 66 66 67
64 62 63 64 64 64 65 64 66
60 61 62 62 62
55
50
48
40 41
30 31 29 32 35
30
27 29 28 29 28 28 28 26 29 27 26 26 28 28
20
10
0 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 RD WT

East 45 44

Midwest 39 54

Direction: United States South

West
42

39
47

50

Cont. Obama Pols. 21 74

Change Direction 61 28
80 Approve Trump 72 19

Disapprove Trump 10 84

Favorable Trump 73 17
70
Unfavorable Trump 10 82

Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 69 22

60 Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 17 76

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 32 47

48 Republican 72 21
50 Democrat 21 70
41 Independent 32 53

40 Liberal 30 66

Moderate 33 55

Conservative 59 28
30 No College Degree 40 49

College Graduate 43 47

White 42 47
20 African- American 28 60

10 Hispanic 56 38

10 Under 55 45 45

Over 55 35 55

Married 46 43
0 Single 36 54
Right Direction Wrong Track DK/Ref. Men 48 43
National - SAN
Women 36 53
February 2017
 Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald Trump and Congress to?
Continue the policies of President Obama, OR Change direction and move away from the
polices of President Obama
- Time Series-

Continue Obama Policies Change Direction

70

60 58 57
57 58 58 56
50 52 51
48 49
40 39 41 39 40
34 33 33 34
30 31
31
20

10

0 9/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 Cont. Change
Generally Speaking, would you like President Donald East 38 53

Trump and Congress to? Midwest 43 49

Continue the policies of President Obama, OR South 36 54

West 45 47
Change direction and move away from the policies of Cont. Obama Pols. 100 0

President Obama Change Direction 0 100

80 Approve Trump 13 83

Disapprove Trump 74 15

Favorable Trump 12 84
70 Unfavorable Trump 71 16

Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 10 87

60 Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 75 14

51 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND

Republican
22

13
52

86
50 Democrat 71 18

40 Independent 32 52

40 Liberal 73 20

Moderate 41 44

Conservative 13 82

30 No College Degree 36 53

College Graduate 44 49

White 34 58
20 African- American 63 20

9 Hispanic 43 47

10 Under 55 42 48

Over 55 35 57

Married 36 56
0 Single 49 41
Continue Obama Change Direction DK/Ref. Men 40 50
Policies Women 40 52
National - SAN
February 2017
 Job Rating: Donald Trump
- Time Series-

Approve Disapprove

70

60

50 48 51
47
48 48
45 44
40 41

30 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 App. Disapp.

East 56 38

Job Rating: Midwest

South
48

50
48

45

Donald Trump West

Cont. Obama Pols.

50

16
45

83

Change Direction 83 13

60 Approve Trump 100 0

Disapprove Trump 0 100

51 Favorable Trump 96 3

Unfavorable Trump 5 91
50 Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 89 8
44 Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 14 83

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 44 37

40 Republican 90 8

34 Democrat 21 74

Independent 43 49

29 Liberal 28 70
30 Moderate 42 51

Conservative 78 18
22 No College Degree 51 43

College Graduate 51 46
20 White 56 39

African- American 27 68
11 Hispanic 57 42

10 Under 55 51 44
5 Over 55 50 46

Married 58 38

Single 39 55
0 Men 54 43
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref.
Women 48 46
National - SAN
February 2017
 Opinion: Donald Trump
- Time Series-

Favorable Unfavorable

70

60 62 65
60
50 49 49 50 50
45 44 46 46
40 37
33
30 35
20

10

0 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 Fav. Unfav.

East 54 42

Opinion: Midwest

South
47

50
50

45

Donald Trump West

Cont. Obama Pols.

49

15
47

83

Change Direction 82 14

60 Approve Trump 94 5

Disapprove Trump 4 94

50 Favorable Trump 100 0

Unfavorable Trump 0 100

50 46 Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 87 11

Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 14 82

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 43 44

40 Republican 90 9
35 Democrat 19 75

Independent 43 52

30 28 Liberal 28 70

Moderate 39 55

22 Conservative 77 19

No College Degree 49 45
20 College Graduate 50 48

White 55 42
12 African- American 28 63

10 Hispanic 55 45

4 Under 55 50 46

Over 55 49 48

Married 56 40
0 Single 39 55
FAV. Very S mwt UNFAV. S mwt Very NO Men 53 43
OPIN.
Women 47 49
National - SAN
February 2017
 Generic Ballot for Congress
- Time Series-

Democratic Republican Undecided

60

50 51
43 48 444444 43 44 4645 4444
43
4241 4343 44 42 42 4242 44454445 44
43 43 43434143 42424243
4142
40
414141 4141 41 4042 41 40 4141 42 4242 42

30

20 19
1717 16 18 17 18 17
16 15 16 17 16
141414 15 1313 1414 13 14 13
10 12 131313
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 12/16 1/17 2/6/172/20/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 GOP DEM. UND.

East 51 37 13

Generic Ballot: Midwest

South
40

45
50

41
10

14

U.S. Congress
West 41 45 14

Cont. Obama Pols. 11 82 7

Change Direction 75 12 13

Approve Trump 77 12 11

Disapprove Trump 8 81 11
60 Favorable Trump 77 12 11

Unfavorable Trump 11 77 12

Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 100 0 0

50 Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 0 100 0
44 44 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 0 0 100

Republican 94 3 3

40 Democrat 7 88 6

Independent 33 35 32

Liberal 24 69 8

30 28 Moderate 30 49 21
25 Conservative 75 18 8

No College Degree 42 43 15

College Graduate 47 44 10
20 White 48 39 13
13 African- American 18 65 18
10 9
10 8 Hispanic 48 43 9

6 Under 55 43 44 13

Over 55 46 43 12

Married 51 38 11

0 Single 33 52 15

GOP Def. Prob. Lean DEM Def. Prob. Lean UND. Men 45 44 12

Women 43 43 14
National - SAN
February 2017
 Top Priority of President Trump and the new Congress
Disapp
App. Wo-
12/16 1/17 2/6/17 2/20/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons . Men
DJT men
DJT

ECONOMIC 47 45 45 44 25 59 47 58 50 28 28 64 47 42

Creating Jobs 35 33 32 32 16 44 34 44 37 17 17 48 34 30

Reducing Taxes 12 12 13 13 10 16 13 15 13 11 10 16 14 12

SECURITY 34 33 38 39 59 27 32 26 33 56 54 23 37 41

Natl Sec./Terror 20 23 19 24 32 20 19 15 22 32 29 17 21 26

Stop/Mideast Refugees 7 5 14 9 16 4 9 6 6 16 16 4 9 10

Building Wall/Mexico 4 3 4 4 7 2 2 4 3 5 6 1 5 3

Tear up Iran Nuke

3 3 2 3 4 2 2 2 2 4 4 1 3 2
Deal.

REPEAL/REPLACE
13 16 11 10 14 5 13 7 11 12 16 4 10 11
OBAMACARE

D.K./REFUSED 6 6 6 6 1 9 7 8 7 3 2 9 5 6

National - SAN
February 2017 13
 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
App. Disapp. Wo-
2/20/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons Men
DJT DJT men

ECONOMIC 38 34 42 38 37 41 36 38 40 40 37
Improving the Economy 14 13 16 13 15 15 12 14 14 16 12
Jobs/Unemployment 11 7 16 9 10 13 9 8 14 11 11
Wasteful Govt Spending 8 8 6 9 7 6 10 8 7 6 9
Reduce Budget/Deficit 4 4 3 5 3 4 4 4 3 4 3
Hold Line/Taxes 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 1 2 2
SOCIAL 24 16 32 25 35 26 15 16 34 22 26
Protect Medicare 11 6 17 10 18 12 5 6 17 11 12
Reform Healthcare 7 8 6 6 7 6 6 7 6 6 7
Improving Education 6 2 9 8 9 7 3 3 10 5 8
SECURITY 23 38 15 15 13 18 35 35 9 24 21
Natl Sec./Terror 10 18 6 7 4 9 16 15 4 11 9
Defeat/Destroy ISIS 7 11 6 3 5 6 9 10 3 6 7
Fix Immigration 6 10 3 5 4 4 10 9 2 8 5
HONESTY/INTEGRITY/D.C. 13 11 10 18 15 12 13 10 15 12 14
D.K./REFUSED 2 1 2 4 0 3 2 1 2 2 2

National - SAN
February 2017 14
 Current Opinion of the U.S. Economy
App. Disapp. Wo-
2/20/17 Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons Men
DJT DJT men

NOT RECESSION 51 51 53 49 60 49 46 51 54 59 43
Getting Better 31 35 29 28 33 29 30 36 27 37 25
Getting Worse 20 16 24 21 27 20 16 15 27 22 19
RECESSION 37 38 36 36 33 37 40 38 36 34 39
Getting Better 24 32 18 21 15 22 32 31 16 24 23
Getting Worse 13 6 19 14 18 15 8 7 20 10 16
D.K./REFUSED 12 11 11 16 7 15 14 11 10 7 17

GETTING BETTER 54 67 47 49 48 51 63 68 43 61 48
GETTING WORSE 33 22 42 35 45 34 24 22 47 32 35
D.K./REFUSED 12 11 11 16 7 15 14 11 10 7 17
Net Diff. 21 45 5 14 3 17 39 46 -3 30 13

National - SAN
February 2017 15
Do you approve or disapprove of repealing and replacing the Patient
Protection and Affordable Care Act, also known as ObamaCare?
-Time Series-

Approve Disapprove

70

60 60 57
50 54
40 41 38
30
33

20

10

0 12/16 1/17 2/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 App. Disapp.

East 61 35

Approve/Disapprove: Midwest

South
57

56
38

39

Repealing/ Replacing Obamacare West

Cont. Obama Pols.

54

32
40

66

Change Direction 79 17
60 57 Approve Trump 82 14

Disapprove Trump 29 67

Favorable Trump 81 15

50 Unfavorable Trump 31 65

Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 83 15

Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 31 64

40 37 38 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 53 30

Republican 82 15

Democrat 37 57

Independent 52 41

30 Liberal 40 58

24 Moderate 51 41

Conservative 76 20

19 No College Degree 58 36
20 College Graduate 55 41
14 White 61 33

African- American 35 60

10 Hispanic 60 39
5 Under 55 56 38

Over 55 58 38

Married 62 34
0 Single 48 46
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref.
Men 59 37
National - SAN
Women 54 40
February 2017
 Would you say you most favor a smaller government with
fewer services, or a larger government with many services?-
Time Series-
Smaller Larger

60
52 55 55 56 54 54 53 52 53 55 53 55 53
52 50
50 50 52 49 51

40

32 31 31 30 32 31 32 34 32 32 32 34
30 29 31 30 29 31 31 31

20

10

0 1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 1/16 2/16 3/16 5/16 11/16 12/16 1/17 2/17

National - SAN
February 2017
 Smaller Larger

East 52 33
Would you say you most favor a smaller Midwest 51 31

government with fewer services, or a larger South 48 35

West 49 35
government with many services? Cont. Obama Pols. 31 53

Change Direction 67 19
80 Approve Trump 63 26

Disapprove Trump 37 44

Favorable Trump 64 25
70
Unfavorable Trump 37 43

Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 71 20

60 Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 31 49

Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 38 28

50 Republican 66 25
50 Democrat 33 47

Independent 52 27

40 34
Liberal 36 52

Moderate 39 36

Conservative 71 17
30 No College Degree 48 32

College Graduate 51 36

20 17 White 53 29

African- American 30 53

Hispanic 52 39

10 Under 55 47 38

Over 55 54 26

Married 53 30
0 Single 43 41
Smaller Gov't Larger Gov't DK/Ref. Men 52 36
National - SAN
Women 48 32
February 2017
Do you approve or disapprove of Billionaire George Soros App. Disapp.

East 24 68
financing left wing organizations to pay people to protest Midwest 16 72

against President Trump and the left often using violent South 19 68

demonstrations on college campuses and in cities to stop West 20 771

Cont. Obama Pols. 32 53

pro-Trump, conservatives from speaking in public? Change Direction 10 86

80 Approve Trump 17 79

Disapprove Trump 24 59
70 Favorable Trump 17 79
70 Unfavorable Trump 24 60

Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 17 80

Vote Cong. 2018 DEM

60 54 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND
25

9
59

70

Republican 18 79

50 Democrat 27 56

Independent 13 76

Liberal 38 51
40 Moderate 17 70

Conservative 9 84

No College Degree 16 72
30 College Graduate 23 66

20 19 White 16 74

20 16 African- American 26 56

Hispanic 30 65
11
9 Under 55 25 64

10 Over 55 10 79

Married 21 70

Single 24 64
0 Men 25 66
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref.
Women 15 72
National - SAN
February 2017
Do you approve or disapprove of Democratic Senators using App. Disapp.

East 41 49
Senate rules to delay or block President Trumps cabinet Midwest 40 51

nominations to undermine his Presidency including liberal South 42 51

Senators filibustering to stop President Trumps West 43 47

Cont. Obama Pols. 77 16

appointment of Neil Gorsuch to the Supreme Court? Change Direction 13 80

60 Approve Trump 19 76

Disapprove Trump 71 21

Favorable Trump 18 77
50 Unfavorable Trump 69 22
50 Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 17 79

Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 72 21

41 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 22 46

40 Republican 18 77
35 Democrat 67 23

Independent 37 51

Liberal 76 21
30 Moderate 40 45

23 Conservative 17 77

No College Degree 36 53

20 18 College Graduate 48 46

White 36 56
14 African- American 58 25

9 Hispanic 49 46

10 Under 55 44 47

Over 55 37 55

Married 39 53

Single 49 40
0 Men 44 50
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref.
Women 39 50
National - SAN
February 2017
 App. Disapp.

Do you approve or disapprove of protests by the left and East 34 61

Democrats to stop the deportation of illegal aliens who have Midwest 30 63

South 31 64
been convicted of serious crimes in the United States to West 36 58

allow them to remain free in the United States? Cont. Obama Pols. 56 36

Change Direction 13 85

70 Approve Trump 20 78

62 Disapprove Trump 48 44

Favorable Trump 19 79

60 Unfavorable Trump 48 44

Vote Cong. 2018 GOP 19 79

Vote Cong. 2018 DEM 49 44

50 46 Vote Cong. 2018 - UND 21 64

Republican 19 79

Democrat 47 44

40 Independent 29 64

Liberal 61 33
32 Moderate 30 62

30 Conservative

No College Degree
13

28
83

65

College Graduate 38 58

18 White 29 67
20 16
14 African- American 41 48

Hispanic 41 55

Under 55 37 57
10 6 Over 55 24 71

Married 31 64

Single 38 55
0 Men 36 59
APP. S trongly S mwt DIS APP. S mwt S trongly DK/Ref.
Women 28 65
National - SAN
February 2017
 From the following list, what social networks do you use?

App. Disapp. Under Wo-

Tot Rep Dem Ind Lib Mod Cons Over 55 Men
DJT DJT 55 men

Facebook 81 83 82 77 81 82 79 80 82 85 72 78 83

Twitter 35 35 37 34 46 32 31 36 36 45 17 39 32

Google 35 35 39 30 41 33 32 36 33 40 25 39 31

Pinterest 30 33 29 26 34 29 28 31 29 34 23 18 41

Instagram 29 31 31 26 43 25 24 29 31 40 11 28 31

Linked-In 21 18 24 21 28 20 17 19 24 24 17 23 20

Snapchat 17 19 16 14 26 13 13 16 18 25 2 18 15

WhatsApp 9 9 11 6 15 8 5 9 8 12 2 13 5

Tumblr 8 9 10 6 14 8 4 8 9 12 2 9 7

Reddit 7 8 7 6 11 5 6 7 7 10 1 10 5

National - SAN
February 2017 23
 Voter Profile

Party Total Age Total Race Total

Republican 33% 18-29 19% White 71%

Democrat 36% 30-40 19% African American 12%

Independent 31% 41-55 27% Hispanic 11%
Ideology % 56-65 20% Asian 4%
Liberal 26% Over 65 16% Gender %

Moderate 39% Male 47%

Conservative 35% Female 53%