Lesson 103 : DESCRIBING EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY

Fourth Quarter Week 9

Objective: Describes experimental probability

Value Focus: Love of Nature

Prerequisite Concepts and Skills

Telling whether an event is sure to happen, likely to happen or impossible to happen
Materials: Coins, die spinner, playing cards
References: K-12 Grade 5 Curriculum M5SP-IVi-14, SRA Real Math pp. 336 - 339

Instructional Procedure:
A. Preliminary Activities
1. Drill
Tell whether the following is sure to happen, likely to happen or impossible to
happen.
a. The baby cooks for the family.
b. The lost cellular phone was found.
c. The teacher teaches the pupils.
d. The man collapses during the rally.
e. The cat drives the car.

2. Review
Conduct a review on drawing inferences based on data presented in a line graph.
MONTHLY WAGE OF AN EMPLOYEE
12 000
Wag
10 000
es
of 8 000
an 6 000
Emp
4 000
loye
e 2 000
0
Jan Feb Mar Ap May Jun Jul
r
What does the line graph tell about the wage of the employee in seven months?
3. Motivation
Have the class listen to the song Kapaligiran.
Discuss the message of the song relating to prediction. Which line in the song tells
something that will likely happen? Will unlikely happen ? Is it impossible to happen?
or certain to happen?

B. Developmental Activities
1. Presentation
Present to the class a number cube.
Ask:
If you roll a 0-5 number cube, what is the probability that you will roll 7?
If you roll a 0-5 number cube, what is the probability that you will roll a number less
than 7?
If you roll a 0-5 number cube, what is the probability that you will roll an even
number?
If you roll a 0-5 number cube, what is the probability that you will roll an odd number?

2. Performing the activities

Pair-Share Activity
For each of the following spinners, give the probability that the pointer will stop on A.

A
B A
B A
AB
B A
3. Processing the activities
Ask the pair to put their output on the board.
Ask: How did you find the activity?
How did you perform the simple probability experiment?
How did you express the outcomes of your probability experiments?
Say:
A probability tells us how likely something is to happen.

We use fractions to describe probability. For example, if you flip a coin it has an
equal chance to land on either of its two faces. The probability that the coin will land
 heads up is 1 result out of two possible outcome, or . Since it is likely that the coin
will land tails up, that probability is also .

Even though we might imagine the coin landing on its edge, this event is so unlikely
that we dont usually consider it. We expect a coin to land heads up half of the time
and tails up the other half. Nothing else is likely to happen.

If something cannot possibly happen, the probability is 0. If something is certain to

happen, the probability is 1.

4. Reinforcing the Concept and Skill

a. Discuss the presentation on top of page ___ LM Math Grade 5.
Then give the following activity.
Which spinner gives a probability of landing on red?

b. Have the pupils do the items under Get Moving, page ___ of LM math Grade 5.
Check the pupils answers and provide corrective measures if needed.
To further reinforce the skill, ask the pupils to answer items under Keep Moving,
page ____ of LM Math Grade 5.

5. Summarizing the Lesson

A probability tells us how likely something is to happen.

If something cannot possibly happen, the probability is 0. If something is

certain to happen, the probability is 1.

6. Applying to New and Other Situations

Describe three instances where the probability of those events happening are 0 .
Describe three instances where the probability of those event happening is 1.
C. Assessment
Answer the following questions.
Jimmy and Naomi are rolling a regular 0-5 number cube. Jimmy wins if 0 is rolled.
Naomi wins if 1,2,3,4 or 5 is rolled.
1. Who do you think will win more often?
2. What fraction of the time do you think Jimmy will win?
3. What is Naomis probability of winning?
4. If they roll the cube 6 times, how many times would you expect Jimmy to win?
What is 1/6 of 6?
 5. Should you be surprised if Jimmy did not win exactly 1 time out of 6 tries?

D. Home Activity
Remediation
Write 0 for impossible to happen, for equally likely to happen and 1 for certain to
happen.
_____1. From a class of 30 boys and 30 girls, what is the probability that a girl is
chosen as a leader?
_____ 2. Without looking, what is the probability that a green pen is drawn from a box of
green pen?
_____ 3. What is the probability that a tomato is drawn from a box of apples and
oranges.
______ 4. From tossing a coin, what is the probability that the head shows up?
______ 5. What is the probability that an odd number of dots show up if a die is rolled?