Risk Assessment of a Safety Issue detected based on Hazard Identification data

Name and define the Safety Issue on the SIRA sheet. Study the hazards and related scenarios. There
potential accident scenarios and each will have to be studied on its own SIRA sheet. Use as much har
estimating the input values. Observe the resulting risk values and draw the conclusions.

Safety Assessment of a (new) activity:

The study focuses on a part of the operation - usually a planned change (e.g. new route). The planned
name of the Safety Issue . Carry out Hazard Analysis, i.e. identify the hazards related to the change an
accident scenarios. Use one SIRA sheet to analyse each scenario one by one. Open new SIRA sheets
all related scenarios. The scenarios which result in inacceptable risks can be studied to identify the bes
the risk or if that is impossible, too costly or too impractical, then the decision has to be taken not to pro
change.

NOTE: In point five, the questionsanswers about the barriers follow the logic: "The barriers will fail..." -
You can easily change the wording to "The barriers will succeed..." --> "99 times out of 100".
 SAFETY ISSUE RISK ASSESSMENT (SIRA) TOOL
1 Safety Issue title:

2 Define/scope the SI:

Description of Hazard(s)

Description of Scenario

A/C types

Locations

Time period under study

Other

3 Analysis of potential Accident Scenario

3.1 Triggering event 3.2 Undesirable Operational State 3.3 Accident Outcome

4 Describe the barriers

4.1 To avoid the UOS 4.2 To recover before the Accident

5 Risk Assessment

The estimated frequency of The barriers will fail in

The barriers will fail in AVOIDING
the triggering event (per RECOVERING the situation before The accident severity would be...
the UOS...
flight sectors) is: the ACCIDENT...

About every 100 sectors Once in 1000 times Practically always Minor

1.E-02 1.E-03 1.E+00

UOS frequency: Mean Accident frequency:

1.E-05 1.E-05

6 Result 1.E+00

6.1 Resulting risk class Secure Secure 1.E+00

Comments on actions:
 The barriers will fail in
The estimated frequency of The barriers will fail RECOVERING the
the initial event (per flight in AVOIDING the situation before the
sectors) is: UE... ACCIDENT...

Virtually every flight 1.E+00 Practically always 1.E+00 Practically always

Almost every flight 1.E-01 Once every 10 times 1.E-01 Once every 10 times

About every 100 sectors 1.E-02 Once in 100 times 1.E-02 Once in 100 times

About every 1000 sectors 1.E-03 Once in 1000 times 1.E-03 Once in 1000 times

About every 10000 sectors 1.E-04 Once in 10 000 times 1.E-04 Once in 10 000 times

About every 100000 sectors 1.E-05 Once in 100 000 times 1.E-05 Once in 100 000 times

About every 1M sectors 1.E-06 Once in 1M times 1.E-06 Once in 1M times

About every 10 M sectors 1.E-07 Once in 10M times 1.E-07 Once in 10M times
 The accident
severity would Tolerability Difference with
be... limit Short definition tolerability limit

1.E+00 Catastrophic 1.E-09 3 fatalities or more 1.E-02

1.E-01 Major 1.E-07 Serious injuries 1.E-01

1.E-02 Minor 1.E-05 Minor injuries 1.E+00

1.E-03 Negligeable 1.E+00 Negligible 1.E+01

1.E-04 1.E+02

1.E-05

1.E-06

1.E-07

1.E+02

1.E+01

1.E+00

1.E-01

1.E-02
Consequence

Accept

Monitor

Secure

Improve

Stop

Stop

Improve

Secure

Monitor

Accept