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General Electric Co
S&P Capital IQ
Recommendation
BUY Price 12-Mo. Target Price
$29.94 (as of Jun 03, 2016 4:00 PM ET) $38.00
Report Currency
USD
Investment Style
Large-Cap Blend
S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst J. Corridore
GICS Sector Industrials Summary This conglomerate sells products ranging from jet engines and gas turbines to
Sub-Industry Industrial Conglomerates consumer appliances, railroad locomotives and medical equipment. It is also a leading
provider of consumer and commercial financing.
Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)
52-Wk Range $32.05 19.37 S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 1.37 Market Capitalization(B) $300.392 Beta 1.42
Trailing 12-Month EPS $0.74 S&P Oper. EPS 2017E 1.76 Yield (%) 3.07 S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 7
Trailing 12-Month P/E 40.5 P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 21.9 Dividend Rate/Share $0.92 S&P Quality Ranking B+
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $18,837 Common Shares Outstg. (M) 10,033.1 Institutional Ownership (%) 52
25
offset by risk we see inherent in GE Capital as it is
20 subject to new regulations and supervision by the
Federal Reserve, which began in July 2011.
15
Revenue/Earnings Data
Volume(Mil.)
1203
713 Revenue (Million U.S. $)
300
200 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year
100 2016 27,845 -- -- -- --
0
2015 29,356 32,754 31,680 33,892 117,386
5 4 4
2014 34,178 36,233 36,174 42,004 148,589
1 2013 35,010 35,123 35,725 40,382 146,045
J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A 2012 35,182 36,501 36,349 39,327 147,359
2011 38,448 35,625 35,367 37,973 147,300
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such. Earnings Per Share (U.S. $)
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst J. Corridore on Apr 25, 2016 08:58 AM, when the stock traded at $30.76. 2016 0.02 E0.29 E0.55 E0.47 E1.37
Highlights Investment Rationale/Risk 2015 -1.13 0.24 0.28 0.26 -0.14
2014 0.29 0.35 0.34 0.52 1.51
We see GE's sales from ongoing operations up We see GE as well positioned for growth sup- 2013 0.35 0.31 0.32 0.49 1.47
5% - 6% in 2016 (excluding asset sales). We see plying high technology products and services 2012 0.31 0.34 0.33 0.41 1.39
strength in Power & Water, Aviation and Trans- critical for economic development across the 2011 0.31 0.33 0.22 0.37 1.23
portation offset by weakness in Oil & Gas and globe. We expect results to be aided by two pri- Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: Mid
slower growth in healthcare. We see GE Capital mary longer-term trends: credit market im- July. EPS Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating Earnings;
historical GAAP earnings are as reported in Company reports.
(GECC) revenues down as the company contin- provement and improving global demand in
ues to transition away from finance. Backlog longer-cycle infrastructure businesses such as Dividend Data
rose to $316 billion at the end of Q1, up 18% power generation, energy management and ex-
from a year ago (up 7% excluding Alstom), ploration and jet engines as global growth Amount Date Ex-Div. Stk. of Payment
($) Decl. Date Record Date
driven by expansions across both equipment trends pick up. Also, GE's EPS growth and mul-
0.230 Jun 5 Jun 18 Jun 22 Jul 27 '15
and service businesses, offset by weakness in tiple will benefit from a focus on simplifying the
0.230 Sep 11 Sep 17 Sep 21 Oct 26 '15
oil and gas. Negative foreign currency will like- business, focusing on core Industrial opera- 0.230 Dec 11 Dec 17 Dec 21 Jan 25 '16
ly cut two to four percentage points off of top tions and continued cost cutting. GE's 3.0% div- 0.230 Feb 12 Feb 25 Feb 29 Apr 25 '16
line growth. idend yield is also attractive. Dividends have been paid since 1899. Source: Company reports.
We see EBITDA margins under pressure from Risks to our recommendation and target price
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and
the lower oil and gas revenues as well as the include a weaker-than-expected global eco-
should not be relied upon as such.
overall portfolio restructuring, but we see im- nomic recovery, as well as operational or pric-
provement in 2017. Industrial business margins ing headwinds across the business.
will expand on cost containment and higher Our 12-month target price of $38 reflects a mul-
fixed cost leverage on increased revenues. tiple of 21.6X our 2017 EPS estimate, in excess
We see EPS of $1.37 in 2016 and $1.76 in 2017 of the overall market, warranted based on our
versus EPS of $1.31 in 2015 and $1.65 in 2014. positive view of GE's transformational initia-
tives, and our view that GE will benefit from an
improving global economy better than most in-
dustrial companies.
Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
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Stock Report | June 4, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GE
General Electric Co
Business Summary April 25, 2016 Corporate Information
CORPORATE OVERVIEW. General Electric, a multi-industry, heavy-equipment and financing giant, does Investor Contact
business through eight segments: Power & Water, Oil & Gas, Energy Management, Aviation, Healthcare, J.H. Morris
Transportation, Home & Business Solutions and GE Capital. Sales by region in 2015: U.S. 45%, Europe 14%,
Pacific Basin 17%, Americas 10% and Middle East and Africa 14%.
Office
Power & Water (18% of 2015 segment sales) is a leader in the field of power generation equipment. It of- 3135 Easton Turnpike, Fairfield, CT 06828.
fers gas, steam and aeroderivative turbines, generators, combined cycle systems, controls and related
services; wind turbines and solar technology; and water treatment services and equipment. It also pro- Telephone
vides nuclear reactor, fuel and support services for both new and installed boiling water reactors offered 203-373-2211.
through joint ventures with Hitachi and Toshiba. Power & Water also offers water treatment solutions for
Fax
industrial and municipal water systems.
203-373-3131.
Oil & Gas (14%) helps oil and gas companies make more efficient and sustainable use of the world's ener-
gy resources. This business provides surface and subsea drilling and production systems, equipment for Website
floating production platforms, compressors, turbines, turboexpanders, reactors, industrial power genera- http://www.ge.com
tion and auxiliary equipment.
Energy Management (6%) designs, manufactures and services solutions for the delivery, management, Officers
conversion and optimization of electrical power for customers across multiple energy intensive industries.
It offers electrical distribution and control products, lighting and power panels, switchgears and circuit Chrmn & CEO SVP & Treas
J.R. Immelt D.C. Janki
breakers; engineering, inspection, mechanical and emergency services; motors, drives and control tech-
nologies; and plant automation, hardware, software and embedded computing systems.
SVP & CFO SVP, Secy & General
Aviation (21%) is one of the world's leading providers of jet engines and related services. Aviation pro- J.S. Bornstein Counsel
duces, sells and services jet engines, turboprop and turbo shaft engines and related replacement parts for A. Dimitrief
use in military and commercial aircraft. These military engines are used in a wide variety of aircraft includ- SVP & CTO
ing fighters, bombers, tankers, helicopters and surveillance aircraft, as well as marine applications. Their V.R. Abate
commercial engines power aircraft in all categories of range: short/medium, intermediate and long- range,
as well as executive and regional aircraft. Aviation also produces and markets engines through various
joint ventures such as CFM International, Engine Alliance, LLC and Honda Aero, Inc. Board Members
S. M. Bazin W. G. Beattie
Healthcare (15%) makes and services a wide variety of medical imaging products, including magnetic res- J. J. Brennan F. D'Souza
onance (MR), computed tomography (CT), positron emission tomography (PET) scanner, X-ray, nuclear M. E. Dekkers P. B. Henry
imaging, digital mammography and molecular imaging technologies. Other products include patient and S. J. Hockfield J. R. Immelt
resident monitoring, diagnostic cardiology, ultrasound, bone densitometry, anesthesiology and oxygen A. Jung R. W. Lane
therapy and neonatal and critical care devices. Medical diagnostics and life sciences products include di- R. B. Lazarus L. C. McAdam
agnostic imaging agents used in medical scanning procedures, drug discovery, biopharmaceutical manu- J. J. Mulva J. E. Rohr
facturing and purification and tools for protein and cellular analysis for pharmaceutical and academic re- M. L. Schapiro J. S. Tisch
search.
Transportation (5%) makes and services high-horsepower diesel-electric locomotives, motors and electri-
Domicile
cal drive systems for a variety of industries, marine and stationary power generation and railway signaling
New York
and office systems.
Appliances and lighting (7%) produces consumer appliances (refrigerators, freezers, washers & dryers, Founded
1892
cooking ranges, room air conditioners, etc.), and lamps and light bulbs, for commercial, industrial and con-
sumer markets. The segment also provides plant automation and hardware, software and embedded com-
Employees
puting systems. 333,000
The GE Capital segment (9%, down from 28% a year earlier) contains all of GE's finance units including
Stockholders
Commercial Lending & Leasing, Real Estate, Consumer Finance and Aviation and Energy Financial Ser-
458,000
vices. On April 10, 2015, GE announced a plan to reduce the size of its financial services businesses
through the sale of most of the assets of GE Capital. GE Capital is expected to release approximately $35
billion in dividends to GE as a result of the sale of GE Capital assets. As of December 31, 2015, GE signed
agreements with buyers for $157 billion of ending net investment (ENI), of which $104 billion has closed. In
addition, GE completed the split-off of GE Capital's North American Retail Finance business, Synchrony Fi-
nancial, to holders of GE common stock, which resulted in a $20.4 billion buyback of GE common stock
(671.4 million shares) in 2015. The result of all these actions reduced GE Capital's total assets by 38% from
$501 billion at December 31, 2014 to $312 billion at December 31, 2015.
IMPACT OF MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS. In June 2014, GE reached an agreement to acquire the Power and
Grid business of Alstom S.A. for $16.9 billion in cash. The deal was held up by European regulators, but ulti-
mately closed in September 2015.
FINANCIAL TRENDS. Over the five years through 2015, revenues decreased at a compound annual growth
rate of 0.2%, income from operations fell at a 0.2% rate and EPS rose 5.6%. GE cut its quarterly dividend in
the second half of 2009 to $0.10 a share, from $0.31, to preserve cash. Since then, GE has raised its divi-
dend six times, to a current quarterly rate of $0.23 per share.
General Electric Co
Quantitative Evaluations Expanded Ratio Analysis
For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide
Per Share Data (U.S. $) 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Tangible Book Value 1.71 3.72 3.84 3.61 3.15 4.37 4.06 0.75 2.38 2.52
Cash Flow 0.77 2.43 2.59 2.43 2.26 2.31 1.55 2.92 3.21 2.90
Earnings -0.14 1.51 1.47 1.39 1.23 1.15 1.03 1.78 2.20 1.99
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1.57 2.07 1.90
Dividends 0.92 0.89 0.79 0.70 0.58 0.42 0.61 1.24 1.15 1.03
Payout Ratio NM 59% 54% 50% 47% 37% 59% 70% 52% 52%
Prices:High 31.49 27.94 28.09 23.18 21.65 19.70 17.52 38.52 42.15 38.49
Prices:Low 19.37 23.69 20.68 18.02 14.02 13.75 5.73 12.58 33.90 32.06
P/E Ratio:High NM 19 19 17 18 17 17 22 19 19
P/E Ratio:Low NM 16 14 13 11 12 6 7 15 16
Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.
General Electric Co
Sub-Industry Outlook Industry Performance
Our fundamental 12-month outlook for the industrial vs. a 4.7% decrease for the S&P Industrials and a GICS Sector: Industrials
conglomerates sub-industry is neutral. We think 1.0% fall for the 1500. The industry offers a broad Sub-Industry: Industrial Conglomerates
industrial activity metrics indicate the industrial array of products and services, primarily to the
economy continues to experience modest industrial and consumer marketplace. Primary end Based on S&P 1500 Indexes
expansion and that the global economy is likely to markets include aerospace, automotive, chemicals, Five-Year market price performance through
continue to be relatively tepid in 2016, with currency electronics, instrumentation and oil and gas. Jun 4, 2016
effects related to the strong U.S. dollar likely to hurt Products are used as components in various
growth. manufacturing and industrial processes and S&P 1500 Sector Sub-Industry
machinery. 90%
The Conference Board projects global real GDP will
grow 2% in 2016, down from 2.4% in 2015. The JP --Jim Corridore 70%
Morgan/Markit Global Manufacturing PMI was 50.0
in February, down from 50.9 in January. We are
50%
cautious due to recent weakening economic data,
anecdotal evidence and first quarter 2016 order
% Change
trends from many global industrial manufacturing 30%
while total manufacturing capacity rose 1.2% from 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
year ago levels. Manufacturing capacity utilization NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the
remains some 240 basis points below its long-term Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
average rate.
Past performance is not an indication of future performance
Year to date through April 15, the S&P Industrial and should not be relied upon as such.
Conglomerates Index rose 2.2% vs. a 5.5% increase
for the S&P Industrials Index and against a rise of
2.1% for the S&P 1500 Composite Index. (We note
that the index is heavily influenced by General
Electric.) The sub-industry index rose 13.4% in 2015,
NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.
General Electric Co
S&P Capital IQ Analyst Research Notes and other Company News
its presence in developing markets. We look for 9.0% revenue growth in 2016
based on steadily rising domestic housing starts, as well as a gradual
May 13, 2016
improvement in commercial construction activity. AOS, which has a S&P Capital
GE has appointed three new company officers. Linda Boff has been promoted to
IQ Quality Ranking of A-, replaces, General Electric (GE 29 ****), in our High
vice president, Chief Marketing Officer, GE. Linda joined GE in 2003 and has held a
Quality Capital AppreciationModel portfolio. GE's Quality Ranking is now B+.
series of leadership roles in GE and NBC Universal. She is a 2016 New York
/Todd Rosenbluth
Women in Communications' Matrix award winner, as well as one of Fast
company's Most Creative People, and an Advertising Women of New York's
Changing the Game award winner. Previously, Linda worked for Citigroup as the January 22, 2016
director of marketing & communications. Patrick Brown has been promoted to 09:06 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ MAINTAINS BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF
vice president, tax for GE Power, GE Energy Connections, and GE Renewable GENERAL ELECTRIC CO. (GE 28.59****): We maintain our 12-month target price of
Energy. Patrick joined GE in 2002 and has held various leadership roles including $34, valuing the stock at 23.1X our '16 EPS estimate of $1.47 (trimmed today from
Senior Executive, Tax at GE Power and Senior Counsel at GE Corporate Tax. $1.52), at the high end of GE's 10-year P/E range, given our positive view of its
Steve Meszaros has been appointed as vice president of supply chain, China, for ongoing transformation to industrial and away from financial services and other
GE Global Growth Organization. Before joining GE in 2015 through GE's areas. We expect GE to no longer be considered a Systemically Important
acquisition of Alstom Power & Grid, Steve served as Senior Vice President for the Financial Institution (SIFI) sometime in '16, which we think should lead to a higher
Gas Business at Alstom Power. He has also served as the Product Group P/E multiple. GE Q4 EPS of $0.52 vs. $0.56 beat our $0.50 estimate, on revenues in
President, Electronics & Interiors at Visteon Corp. line with our expectations. The dividend yield is 3.2%. /J. Corridore
February 1, 2016
09:51 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ ADDS A.O. SMITH TO ITS HIGH QUALITY CAP
APP PORTFOLIO (AOS 69.85*****): Supported by the relatively predictable cash
flows generated by replacement water heater sales in the U.S., AOS is expanding
its presence in developing markets. We look for 9.0% revenue growth in 2016
based on steadily rising domestic housing starts, as well as a gradual
improvement in commercial construction activity. AOS, which has a S&P Capital
IQ Quality Ranking of A-, replaces, General Electric (GE 29 ****), in our High
Quality Capital AppreciationModel portfolio. GE's Quality Ranking is now B+.
/Todd Rosenbluth
February 1, 2016
09:51 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ ADDS A.O. SMITH TO ITS HIGH QUALITY CAP
APP PORTFOLIO (AOS 69.85*****): Supported by the relatively predictable cash
flows generated by replacement water heater sales in the U.S., AOS is expanding
General Electric Co
Analysts' Recommendations Wall Street Consensus Opinion
Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion GE Trend BUY/HOLD
B BH H WH S
-1 F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J
2015 2016
Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2017 1.75 1.90 1.65 19 17.1
2016 1.50 1.56 1.37 22 20.0
2017 vs. 2016 17% 22% 20% -14% -14%
A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Capital IQ organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have
changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensus estimates is not intended to predict actual results and should
not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.
General Electric Co
General Electric Co
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Stock Report | June 4, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GE
General Electric Co
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