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Article information:
To cite this document:
Jean Shaoul, (1997),"The power of accounting: reflecting on water privatization?", Accounting, Auditing & Accountability
Journal, Vol. 10 Iss 3 pp. 382 - 405
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AAAJ
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Submitted August 1996
Revised January 1997,
February 1997
Accepted March 1997
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A recent research study (Edwards and Shaoul, 1996) found that relatively few
academic researchers have examined contemporary corporate events or
scandals, or made use of the primary data the accounts to unmask
undesirable, irrational or socially irresponsible corporate behaviour. There are
few accounting studies of corporate performance using primary sources (see
Adcroft, Cutler, Haslam, Williams and Williams, 1991; Berry, Capps, Cooper,
Hopper and Lowe, 1985; Cooper and Hopper, 1988). In general, analysis of
corporate reporting has been left to journalists and investment analysts,
writing to inform potential investors (Griffiths, 1986; Smith, 1992) and trade
unionists (Hurd, 1983). In an earlier period, Briloff and Chatov were the foremost
accounting critics of corporate behaviour in the USA; in the UK there was
Stamp and, more recently, Sikka (see Mitchell, Puxty, Sikka and Willmott, 1992;
Mitchell and Sikka, 1993; Russell, 1991; Stamp and Marley, 1970; Stamp, Dean
and Wolnitzer, 1980). While their work was concerned with accounting and
auditing failures rather than with any broader social analysis, it nonetheless
raised several issues of broader corporate accountability. But by way of
contrast, these same financial accounts are seen as valid source material for
historical accounting research.
Frustration with the limitations of both mainstream and critical accounting
is expressed by another school of research: corporate social reporting (CSR).
CSR is concerned to limit what are seen as the excesses of corporate behaviour,
at the expense of other social groups, ethics and the environment (Gray et al.,
1987, 1996). The general solution of the academics of this school is to limit
corporate power by including other social groups in management, improving
social responsibility via regulation, making changes in the formal accounting
systems and requiring the disclosure of other types of information. That is, CSR
is concerned largely with what companies should do in the light of ideas about
public and social accountability. But this requirement for more disclosure does
not make good the failure of accounting researchers systematically to use and
interpret the accounting information that is currently available.
Filling the gap
This paper seeks to fill that gap. It sets out a value-added, cash-flow model and
applies it to publicly available information on the privatized water companies.
It examines the different ways that the model may be used to:
understand the financial characteristics of the activity and the scope for
management action to expand revenues and cut costs within the firm or
sector; and
describe, explain and predict the financial and social outcomes of the
firm or sectors activities and thereby evaluate business and public
policy decisions from a wider perspective.
A measure of the power of accounting is the extent to which it can challenge
the rationales for privatizations in the light of their subsequent effects.
The accounting model has been used elsewhere to understand the issues
confronting car manufacturing (Williams, Haslam, Johal and Williams, 1994),
manufacturing in industrial countries facing low-wage competition (Williams,
Haslam, Williams, Johal, Adcroft and Willis, 1995), the privatized utilities
(Froud et al., 1996); the financial context of the BSE crisis (Shaoul, 1996b); to
raise questions about the assumptions underlying the introduction of charging
for capital and assess the implications for the workforce, provision of services
and the capital infrastructure, in the NHS hospitals (Shaoul, 1996a); and to
assess the effectiveness of the regulation of the water industry (Schofield and
Shaoul, 1997).
Thus the model can be used in two important ways:
(1) It can be used to look at how the surplus within the organization is
generated, the scope for management action, and the implications for
outsourcing, the workforce, consumers, etc. It can be used therefore to
distinguish between different companies and sectors, in different time
periods, and to show how and why they differ. The availability of
national statistics for each business sector in a similar format enables
broader comparisons to be made. From the perspective of this study it
permits an assessment of the transformatory power of private sector
management.
(2) The model can be used to look at how the surplus is distributed to the
different external stakeholders. This enables a social analysis of the
particular form of stakeholder conflict to be made as the revenues, costs
and size of the capital base change. From the perspective of this study, it
permits an assessment of privatization because the new owner has
financial objectives and requirements different from those of the former
owner.
The paper is divided into six sections. The first section describes the accounting
model. The second explains the background to the water industry. The third
section outlines the data sources. The fourth section analyses the performance
of the water industry before and after privatization, while the fifth analyses the
particular form of the distributional conflict in the industry. The final section
assesses the emancipatory power of the accounting model in terms of some of
its practical outcomes, and draws out its potential to contribute to the wider
economic, political, social and intellectual debates.
The accounting model
Surplus creation and distribution within the firm
This study uses a model which focuses on how a financial surplus is created by
the firm and then distributed to the different stakeholders. Production entails
the employment of workers, using capital equipment to convert raw materials,
components and bought-in goods and services into commodities. The gross
value added is the value created by the efforts of the employees of the firm
which can be measured by sales revenues less all purchases.
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The surplus or net value added is the amount realized for the commodities or
services over and above that paid to and for labour, after allowing for bought-in
goods and services. This surplus must meet the claims of all the stakeholders:
the production requirements of capital, (its consumption, reinvestment in new
plant, products, etc.) plus the financial requirements of the State (tax), the
providers of loans (interest) and, under private ownership, the providers of
equity capital (dividends and dividend growth). The owners require a rate of
return on their capital at least equal to that which can be obtained elsewhere.
Therefore the greater the quantity of capital employed in the business, the
higher the absolute amount of surplus required to maintain a constant (if not
rising) return on capital, assuming that all the other claims remain the same.
The failure to generate a sufficient surplus to cover all these requirements
means that the owners of the firm must eventually attempt to exit from the
business sector. The pressure to exit is felt particularly in those modern
industries where the costs of developing new products and of maintaining and
enhancing plant and equipment are very high.
Although the distribution of profit to the shareholders appears in the
accounts as a residual claim to be met after all the other claims have been
satisfied, in practice this is the bottom line which drives the operation of the
enterprise. The distinctive feature of capitalism as a form of ownership is that
achieving the bottom line is the main objective, and it is the other claimants
share that must somehow be reduced.
While the concept of value added is widely used in economics and reported
in the national economic statistics for each business sector, it is infrequently
used in accounting. It appeared briefly and in a number of ways in the
accounting literature after the publication of The Corporate Report (ASSC,
1975) and an elaboration of its uses (Cox, 1979). But the way in which the
concept was employed at that time was marked by calculative uncertainty and
variability, and was linked to an interest in industrial relations reform and the
concern with its effects on national economic performance (Hopwood, Burchell
and Chubb, 1994). It was used largely as a bulwark against trade union
demands for higher wages since it showed that the lions share of value added
already went to labour. Interest in the concept, as reflected in the number of
companies publishing value-added statements, had all but disappeared by the
mid-1980s (Gray et al., 1987) with the decline in the rate of inflation and the
negotiating strength of the trade unions.
Identification of value added using published accounts
Since the value added by a capitalist enterprise is not reported as such in the
annual report and accounts, it must be calculated either by subtracting
purchases and bought-in services from sales revenue or by adding the labour
conversion costs (wages and any associated costs such as insurance, pensions
and welfare provisions, etc.), the depreciation of assets used in the process of
production, renewal and maintenance expenditure, and the operating profits
before interest and tax. Since purchases also are not reported as such in the
accounts, in practice value added is calculated additively.
Value added
The amount of purchases relative to sales (P:S) is crucial in determining the
value added. Activities well up the value chain, such as water and the extractive
sector, will usually have low purchase:sales ratios whereas downstream
activities may have much higher ratios, for example manufacturing at 60 per
cent, retailing at 80 per cent, and warehousing and screwdriver assembly plants
at 90 per cent. These ratios are determined by the businesss position in the
value chain and also by the degree to which it is vertically integrated.
Consequently within any one sector in the value chain, a company that depends
on outsourcing will have a higher P:S and therefore, a lower value-added fund
than one which carries out all activities in-house.
Labours share of value added
In general labours share of the value added in a manufacturing enterprise is
about 70 per cent plus or minus 10 per cent depending on the point in the trade
cycle when measured and the degree of capacity utilization. In retailing this
figure tends to be 40-50 per cent, whereas in a service sector such as hospitals
labours share may be as high as 86 per cent. These are averages and, while
characteristic in general, there will be variation between companies and
industries, and in the short run. When demand is high, if trade unions force up
wages, any increase in labours share can be passed on to the consumers via
higher prices, and labours share can thereby be restored to the average at the
expense of the consumer.
If, on the other hand, demand is declining or static and labour rises, then it
becomes very difficult for the company to generate the surplus for distribution
to the other groups. The company will try to reduce the amount paid out to
suppliers for bought-in goods and services. However, in the absence of
monopsonistic power, such as the giant retailers, or without access to
alternative low-wage suppliers overseas, this will not be an option. In order to
protect its share, the capitalist firm will generally attempt to reduce labours
share by seeking aid from the State to reduce some aspect of the conversion
costs via changes in social legislation or regulations, fiscal policies, interest
rates, etc. Otherwise, the capitalist enterprise must reduce labours share by
some combination of sacking workers, increasing work output and cutting
wages and conditions. Thus the logic of the relations of production requires that
when revenues are not set to rise the share going to wages must be driven down.
Furthermore, the logic of the relations of distribution means that all the rival
claims on the surplus (for tax, interest, investment and dividends) cannot be
met to the satisfaction of all the parties all of the time. If, for example, capital
expenditure increases through competition, technical change, obsolescence or
statutory requirements, this restricts the surplus that can be distributed while
simultaneously increasing the absolute amount required by the owners to
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maintain the rate of return on capital employed (ROCE) in the future. In the
absence of an increase in demand or state assistance, it will usually be followed
by attempts to reduce labours share in order for the company to stay in the
business sector.
The value-added approach has the advantage that it is a measure of cash
earned by the enterprise as a result of its labour conversion process. The
surplus or net value added (after paying external costs and for labour) equates
largely (to within two or three percentage points) with the amount designated
as cash flow from operating activities in the cash flow statement contained in
the annual report and accounts. It therefore avoids some of the problems of
creative accounting which arose in the main out of reconfiguring the balance
sheet (capital) and releasing funds for distribution rather than from the
activities associated with the labour conversion process (Griffiths, 1986; Smith,
1992). An analysis based on this methodology can be made of any organization
which publishes its accounts in the form required by the various Companies
Acts. Increasingly these Acts include public sector organizations which are now
required to produce accruals-based accounts (HMSO, 1994, 1995).
Cash flow analysis
While the concept of value added shows how the firm has created the surplus,
a cash flow analysis based on the cash flow statement produced as part of the
statutory accounts shows the distribution of the surplus. It demonstrates
whether the business is:
able to fund comfortably its level of dividend payments and service its
debt;
Finally the cash flow statement shows what level of funding is needed and how
the businesss cash position has changed (Ellis and Williams, 1993).
The demands for cash flow statements began to appear in the late 1960s,
when the subjective nature of accounting profit became more apparent. The
demands were postponed until 1991 when the regime set up in 1970 to reduce
the variation in accounting standards itself collapsed. In the interim period,
companies were required to produce funds flow statements from which a cash
flow statement could be constructed. Surprisingly little attention has been paid
to the use of cash flow statements by academic researchers, despite their
concerns about the variability in the quality of accounting reports and the
relative merits of historic or current cost accounting conventions.
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was intended to give incentives to the businesses to improve efficiency and earn
extra profits over and beyond the profit level implied by the price-capping
formula. Such profits would not be clawed back during the five-year period. But
the long-term benefits of improved efficiency would be passed on to the
consumer at the end of the period, when any excess profits could be clawed back
via the price-capping formula for the next period (OFWAT, 1992a).
The provision for rising real prices contrasted with the other privatized and
regulated utilities, which had been required to reduce prices in real terms. The
justification for this difference was that while privatization was being
considered in the 1980s, the financial implications of EC legislation on improved
water quality and waste-water treatment became apparent. It was estimated
that more than 28 billion of capital expenditure would be required to
compensate for years of neglect and underinvestment resulting from successive
governments macro-economic policies, and to restore service provision to that
required by public health and environmental standards. This estimate was later
revised upwards (OFWAT, 1990) and additional investment programmes have
been required (OFWAT, 1993b, 1994a). The European obligations, unless they
could be recouped by price rises, would have made the privatization
unattractive in the City.
The Government wrote off the industrys debts of 4.95 billion before
privatization and gave a further 1.25 billion cash injection, known as the
green dowry, towards the cost of the investment programme. The
Government sold the assets off cheaply at 5.25 billion which was much less
than the 8.87 billion net book value of the assets (historic cost), or the 34
billion (current replacement cost). It was even less than the debt write-off plus
the green dowry, not to mention the costs of the privatization itself. The
significance of a low capitalization was that it ensured that the companies could
generate an adequate rate of return, while allowing prices to rise to a politically
acceptable level to fund the investment programme.
Thus to summarize, the Government chose a method of economic regulation
based on long-term price capping with little further financial control of the
operations, expenditure or distribution of the water businesses proceeds.
Prices were set by the Government on the basis of an estimate of the businesses
investment plans, operating expenditure, capital maintenance and rate of
return on capital (Vass, 1993). The terms of the sale of the water industry were
designed specifically to ensure that the assets of the water industry, built up by
the contributions over more than a century of tax-payers and customers past
and present, would earn a return for its new owners and form the basis of
financially stable enterprises (NAO, 1992). Furthermore, the regulator would
pass on the benefits of efficiency gains to consumers via lower prices in the
future.
Data sources
The water industry consists of the ten privatized water authorities, which
operate as regional monopolies and supply water and sewerage services, and
also the former privately owned Statutory Water Only Companies (reduced in
number via takeovers and mergers from 29 to 19 by April 1996). This study
relates to the ten water and sewerage companies because they constitute the
greater part of the industry. The cost structure of the ten large companies is
very similar to that of the industry as a whole (OFWAT, 1995b). For the sake of
brevity, these ten water and sewerage companies are henceforth referred to as
the water companies.
Each of the water companies is organized as a group or parent company with
a number of subsidiaries, one of which is the core or regulated water and
sewerage business. Although these core subsidiaries are allowed also to carry
out non-regulated activities, in fact they carry out virtually no other activities.
The analysis presented here relates only to the core businesses.
These subsidiaries produce two sets of accounts: those required by the
Government, which use historic cost conventions and those required by the
regulator, which use a form of financial capital maintenance. This study makes
use of:
financial data from the statutory accounts based on historic cost
conventions to enable comparisons to be made between the core
businesses and their parent companies at a later stage;
cash flow data from the company accounts and summarized in the
regulators reports on company performance (OFWAT, 1991a, 1992b,
1993a, 1994d, 1995d); and
the regulators reports on the companies performance (OFWAT, 1991a,
1992b, 1993a, 1994d, 1995d).
The accounting information of the ten water subsidiaries was aggregated to
create an industry total. Privatization, for which there had been several years
preparation both prior to and after the Governments announcement of its
intention in 1985, took place at the end of 1989. A number of the water
authorities activities were transferred to the National Rivers Authority (NRA)
and other restructuring consequent on the reorganization of the industry for
privatization took place for some time after April 1989. Since the first accounts
of the newly constituted water businesses were presented for the period April
1989-March 1990, the first years accounts include both the old and the new
regime and are marked by the disruption due the privatization process.
Although this paper is concerned with the industry since privatization in 1989,
this of necessity entails a comparison with the years prior to privatization.
Using the accounts for the five years prior to privatization, in addition to the
post-privatization accounts, permits an analysis of the industry over an 11-year
period.
Post-privatization performance
Sales revenues increased steadily over the entire period, but more rapidly after
privatization (see Table I). It is important to note that:
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95 per cent of domestic sales (which, in turn, are about two-thirds of total
sales) are based on a form of property valuation and therefore are not
volume-related;
sales revenue may therefore arguably be considered as equivalent to a
form of tax rather than a voluntary sale; and
the charges are set for the year, and paid in advance.
Total weighted average volumes of both water delivered and sewage collected
have declined slightly since privatization (see Table II). A more detailed
analysis (Shaoul, 1995) has shown that this was due largely to the change in
industrial demand resulting from the recession in the early 1990s and the
changing composition of industry. This contrasts with rising volumes during
the 1980s.
The increase in revenue was therefore the result of the price formula set by
the Government in 1989 in its capacity as regulator rather than any increase in
the volume of business. This interpretation is confirmed by OFWATs analysis
of demand and estimates of future levels of demand (OFWAT, 1994b). It is in the
context of this declining or static volume of business that the companies
performance must now be considered. It is useful to remember that this model
points to what is likely to happen when demand is stagnant: costs must
Sales (m)
Table I.
Sales, purchases and
the value added fund
Purchases (m)
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
2,249
2,467
2,742
2,932
3,172
3,326
3,698
4,196
4,539
4,859
5,155
728
712
771
692
833
1,082
1,156
1,254
1,302
1,301
1,428
0.32
0.29
0.28
0.24
0.26
0.33
0.31
0.30
0.29
0.27
0.28
1,521
1,755
1,971
2,240
2,339
2,244
2,542
2,942
3,237
3,558
3,727
Total
39,335
11,259
0.29
28,076
Source: Annual reports and accounts (various) of ten water and sewerage businesses (based on
historic cost accounts)
1991-92
Table II.
Volume of water
delivered and sewage
collected
Purchases/sales
1992-93
1993-94
Water (ml/d)
12,913
12,601
12,443
Sewage (ml/d)
N/Aa
10,067
9,896
Note: a Not reported prior to 1992-93
Source: OFWAT (1995b), based on current costs accounting conventions
1994-95
12,724
10,049
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Average
Labour: value
added
Labour costs
(m)
Number
employed
Cost per
employee ()
0.34
0.30
0.28
0.28
0.29
0.30
0.28
0.27
0.26
0.25
0.25
0.28
523
522
553
635
667
667
712
798
842
887
919
51,780
50,180
50,119
49,295
47,810
40,638
37,676
39,669
39,690
38,217
37,555
10,000
10,400
11,060
12,959
13,896
16,220
18,737
19,950
20,725
23,342
24,471
Source: Annual report and accounts (various) of ten water and sewerage businesses based on
historic cost accounts
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Table III.
Costs: labour and
value-added fund
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1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Table IV.
Surplus created by the
water industry
Surplus: sales
0.66
0.70
0.72
0.72
0.71
0.70
0.72
0.73
0.74
0.75
0.75
0.44
0.50
0.52
0.55
0.53
0.47
0.49
0.51
0.53
0.55
0.54
Source: Annual reports and accounts (various) of ten water and sewerage businesses based on
historic cost accounts
of the very unusual cost structure referred to earlier. However, the surplus as a
percentage of revenues dropped to 47 per cent after privatization because of the
increase in purchases and the average cost per employee as the number of
highly paid staff increased. It has since risen to the levels achieved under public
ownership.
However, several points need to be considered to explain this:
This increase in the surplus reflects an increase in sales revenue which
was set by the regulatory authority.
There was no increase in the volume of outputs.
There has been no marked change in the proportion of either external
labour costs or of labour utilization; despite a static or declining level of
output, merely the continuation of a trend, at a slower rate, begun under
public ownership.
The surplus is reaching the level obtained before privatization.
These factors taken together mean that the industry has not as yet been
radically transformed by the change in ownership.
While the analysis thus far relates to financial performance, the postprivatization performance of the industry should also be considered against
non-financial or physical measures, where these exist. Performance indicators,
known as levels of service, agreed by the industry and regulatory authorities,
are examined next.
Level of service provision refers to the availability of the water supply and
sewerage services. The measures include only five measures of physical
performance three indices of risk as assessed by the companies and two of
actual outcomes and several measures relating to customer service. They
have only limited use therefore, as output measures. A more detailed study
(Schofield and Shaoul, 1997) has examined all the publicly available data about
levels of service and output measures. It found that the quality of the
information was such that it was difficult to draw firm conclusions about
improvement in performance or the percentage of properties at risk from poor
services. This indeed was recognized by OFWAT (OFWAT, 1995c). Since the
overall physical level of service provision (as opposed to environmental and
quality standards) as reflected in these measures had achieved a relatively high
standard before 1989, (98 per cent and above), major improvements could not be
expected. The chief exception was the adequacy of the domestic water supply,
which was problematic in certain areas for reasons which will be developed
later. Furthermore, it was unclear whether the extent to which some of the
observed changes reflected improved performance or the varying weather
conditions. But the important point from the perspective of this study is that the
inability to radically transform the cost structure of the industry was not
countervailed by an improvement in other areas of performance.
Other studies of the utilities privatized in the first wave (i.e. British
Telecom and British Gas) have concluded generally that privatization without
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substantive competition resulted in few, if any, efficiency gains (Bishop and Kay,
1988; Dunsire, Hartley and Parker, 1991; Vickers and Yarrow, 1988). Indeed
some research (Dunsire et al., 1991) suggested that even the advent of
competition did not guarantee improved performance. This analysis, by way of
contrast, showed that the pattern of demand, the history and activities of the
industry, their associated (low) labour content and the slow rate of technological
change have provided little further scope for major gains in efficiency,
irrespective of ownership change or competition. It refutes the Governments
1986 claim that a major improvement in performance would occur.
In summary, therefore, despite the fact that the water industry is a very cashgenerative business, the market constraints cited earlier mean that the ability of
the water businesses to expand by raising output or increasing their surplus is
severely limited. Most of the efficiency improvements had already been made in
the 1980s. If an industry cannot grow organically, it must diversify for there to
be any chance of future growth. This has implications for the distribution of the
surplus, which will be considered later. But if the expected improvement in
efficiency and standards have not materialized, then the winners or
beneficiaries of privatization depend, ultimately, on the way in which the
surplus has been distributed. It is this issue which the next section addresses.
Distribution
The significance of private ownership is that the surplus must henceforth be
sufficiently large to cover the requirements of the new owners as well as all the
existing claims. The industrys unusually high proportion (72 per cent) of value
added available for distribution, as well as its absolute size, makes it unique
and, in principle at least, more able than other industries to satisfy the
numerous and conflicting demands for tax, interest, investment, renewal of the
infrastructure; dividends and growth. Table V shows the cash-flow statement
for the years since the privatization and hence the distribution of the surplus.
Cash from operations is the surplus or the amount remaining after the costs of
purchases and labour have been deducted.
Tax and interest
Taking the period as a whole, the debt write-off in 1989 meant that little interest
was paid, although interest payments have been increasing. Little was paid in
the way of tax, despite a tax rate of 33 per cent, because of the investment
programme and the 7.7 billion capital allowances set at the time of
privatization (NAO, 1992). Thus the nation as tax-payers has lost a source of
revenue to fund the services of the State. Although under public ownership, the
industry did not pay tax, the surplus was used to fund state services instead of
capital maintenance and enhancement in the industry itself.
Investment programme
The largest single claim on the surplus was the capital expenditure programme
(expenditure on fixed assets) required by the EC for coastal water clean-up and
(m)
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Total
1,626
1,907
2,084
2,310
2,655
2,923
13,507
344
2,651
7
3,003
1,377
0
126
615
0
490
1,417
1
6
793
0
787
1,298
4
79
1,253
24
1,356
954
10
184
786
1
971
1,191
7
199
762
11
951
1972
7
674
6,862
21
7,557
5,950
20
1,365
15
267
34
1,582
2,960
1,731
2
270
48
1,955
537
2,287
0
331
38
2,581
1,279
2,229
220
330
41
2,739
1,795
2,015
15
271
69
2,202
524
1,733
2
266
44
1957
9
11,360
195
1,736
274
13,016
7,088
Financing
Loans
Leases
Share issue
Total
217
2
4,203
3,987
1,027
0
90
1,117
978
0
0
978
800
57
600
1,457
574
8
0
566
11
21
0
11
3,172
30
4,892
8,095
Net cash
1,028
581
301
378
41
1,009
Cash from
activities
Returns
Net interest
Dividends to plcs
Interest leases
Total returns
Net cash
Tax
Investment activities
Fixed assets
Subsidiaries
Renewals
Disposals
Total
Net cash
Reflecting on
water
privatization?
397
Table V.
Cash-flow statement for
ten water and sewerage
businesses
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perspective of the accounting model is that the company sought to reduce the
burden of investment by seeking a change in the regulations.
OFWAT did not however, claw back any of these savings via lower prices in
the next period. It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the promised (but not
delivered) investment programmes provided the basis for higher prices. While
the companies can make an application to have their prices revised upwards if
investment increases, it seems that the consumers, via the regulator, have no
similar redress when investment turns out to be lower than was forecast.
Infrastructure renewals
Additional to the expenditure on improving the system is the expenditure on
maintaining the infrastructure: the renewal of the underground network.
Renewals cover repairs to burst mains, leaks, sewers, etc., both to the water and
to the sewerage systems. This is because the water industry has a vast and
ageing underground network of infrastructure assets mains, sewers,
impounding and pumped raw water storage reservoirs, dams and sea outfalls
which have a long life and must be maintained indefinitely.
By 1995, the companies had spent 1.7 billion on renewals. But the adequacy
of this expenditure for future service provision needs to be considered in
relation to the size of the system as a whole. The underground network
represents 75 per cent of the industrys assets and is worth about 110 billion at
current replacement cost (from annual reports and accounts for various years).
The assets have a life expectancy of about 60-100 years, implying an annual
renewals programme of about 1-2 per cent of their replacement value or 6-12 per
cent over the six-year period, or higher still if the infrastructure is in a poor
state.
Far from spending 10-12 per cent, the companies actually spent 1.5 per cent.
Irrespective of the age and condition of the network, this does not indicate an
extensive renewals programme. In the context of a decaying and ageing
network, this represents a very low spend. There was less spent on the
sewerage system (680 million) than on the water system (1,146 million) both
in absolute terms and in relation to the size of the two systems: 0.8 per cent of
the sewerage system and 3 per cent of the water system, (OFWAT, 1995a).
Furthermore, actual expenditure was lower than the provision for renewals
charge in the accounts in every year, indicating that the maintenance
programme has been delayed, and that the companies have built up a reserve of
about 285 million to be spent on renewals (see Table VI). Thus, not only was
expenditure low and declining, it was less than planned. Despite the fact that
the infrastructure constituted 75 per cent of the total assets of the industry, both
the provision and the actual expenditure on renewals was less than the
depreciation charge (on either a historic or a current cost basis) for the
remaining 25 per cent of the assets. From the perspective of the managers of the
water businesses, controlling the admittedly small expenditure on the
infrastructure, provides one of the few means of increasing the amount
available for distribution to other stakeholders.
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
Historic cost
depreciation
Current cost
depreciation
Provision for
renewals
Actual cash
spent on renewals
209
230
264
232
257
243
272
324
381
442
507
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
589
674
713
785
882
N/A
N/A
N/A
217
224
329
367
364
338
340
283
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
267
270
331
330
271
266
Reflecting on
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privatization?
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Table VI.
Infrastructure renewals
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Dividends
Finally we consider the level of dividends paid to the parent companies.
Dividends by 1993, at 5.312 billion, constituted 67 per cent of the surplus,
more than the original purchase price of 5.25 billion. The parent companies
paid out 24 per cent to the shareholders. By March 1994, they had spent 1.247
billion on acquisitions to provide future earnings growth with dividends
generated by and loans raised on the strength of the core businesses (OFWAT,
1994c). Yet in 1994 the core businesses accounted for 85 per cent of the sales but
101 per cent of profits of the parent companies, and an even higher percentage
of the profits in the following year; that is the parent companies other
subsidiaries and acquisitions were not very successful and were, in effect, being
carried by the core businesses.
The regulator recognized that the price formula set by the Government had
front-loaded the revenue stream, and it warned the companies against paying
out too much in dividends (OFWAT, 1991b). By 1995, the average return on the
ten water companies and the FTSE 100 Index for the period since privatization
were 94 per cent and 35 per cent respectively: water shares had outperformed
the market. As the regulator stated :
those who bought the original shares and retained them up to March 1994 would have made
an annual return of between 25 and 34% in real terms after the payment of income tax at the
standard rate (OFWAT, 1994a, p. 38).
market and capital replacement by means of high prices, job losses and loans. It
refutes the claim that private ownership would benefit the industry, the nation
and the customer. It demonstrates that the real beneficiaries of the change in
ownership are the new owners. Furthermore, the benefits of privatization have
had more to do with the terms of the privatization settlement, including
regulation, than with the efficiency initiatives introduced by the water
companies themselves.
Enabling accounting
The Government justified its privatization programme, of which the water
industry was part, on a number of grounds. In particular it claimed that
privatization would improve industrial performance by subjecting the
nationalized industries to the discipline of the market and so yield benefits, via
greater efficiency, to the industry, its customers and the nation.
This paper has used an accounting model and the financial numbers in the
annual reports and accounts to describe and explain the outcomes of the
privatization of the water industry. The evidence does not substantiate the
Governments claims. First, the study has found that greater efficiency, meaning
lower costs relative to output, did not occur. Significant increases in efficiency
had occurred prior to privatization, leaving little room to improve efficiency
without jeopardizing levels of service and future service provision. Second, the
distribution of the surplus, which publicly is seen as a conflict between
consumers and shareholders, is in fact much wider than this. It has not only
substantially benefited the shareholders at the expense of other stakeholders,
but it has also created the conditions whereby the other stakeholders will be
disadvantaged in the future. The real beneficiaries, it can be seen now were
largely invisible in the Governments case for privatization.
The value-added model, by distinguishing between internal and external
costs, is able to show the impact of the different ownership regimes on the
surplus of the industry. The cash-flow statements provided the means by which
the distribution of the surplus to the different stakeholders could be revealed.
The rival claims on the surplus have resulted in a conflict which was resolved
in favour of the shareholders at the expense of consumers, the industry itself
and future levels of service. Furthermore, the more recent public concern over
the adequacy of the water supply and the crumbling infrastructure means that
capital maintenance cannot be delayed indefinitely. Taken together, they
indicate the tendencies of development. Given that the regulators primary duty
is to ensure that the water businesses can continue to finance their activities,
which include dividends, then the regulator must allow prices to rise.
Such outcomes are far removed from the original claims that were made for
privatization. The analysis has shown that the expectations were always
unreasonable because it was impossible to increase revenues by increasing
output. Neither was it possible to improve in any significant way the
businesses operating characteristics, given labours unusually low share of
Reflecting on
water
privatization?
401
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value added. Indeed this analysis casts doubts on the Governments unstated
assumption that the industry was inefficient.
While an analysis such as this conceals many important aspects of social
reality, and while the data are in many respects inadequate, what has been seen
is that it is possible to use an accounting model with the publicly available
corporate data to make an objective social analysis and critique of economic life
and thereby challenge existing notions and problem definitions. Several major
points can be said to have emerged from this analysis which have important
implications for the debates not only about privatization but other aspects of
public policy:
The financial evidence refutes the assertions about the superiority of
private ownership in controlling costs.
It casts doubt on the tacit assumption of public sector inefficiency and
raises questions about the ability of management to endlessly increase
efficiency.
Furthermore it refutes the notion of the stakeholder economy from
which all can benefit (Hutton, 1995) by showing empirically that the
stakeholders are in conflict.
The constructive or enabling power of the accounting model lies in its ability to:
challenge existing problem definitions and the rhetoric accompanying
the introduction of reforms and policy changes; and
pose alternative questions and solutions.
Instead of or in addition to evaluating public policy in terms of efficiency, this
study has shown the importance of analysing and evaluating the distributional
impact of public policy on the different stakeholders. While not rejecting the
need for more corporate disclosure for the benefit of other stakeholders, this
work has shown that it is possible to use existing corporate data to assess the
effect of corporate behaviour on consumers, the workforce, the industry and the
public.
This study has shown that the source of the distributional conflict was the
inadequate surplus relative to the amount of capital investment which had been
funded by past generations of consumers and tax payers and which was now
required to provide a return to the new owners. The conflict can be resolved in
the wider public interest only by excluding the claims of one of the stakeholders
the new owners.
Finally, the issue, surely is not whether this or that industry or service
benefits from a particular policy but whether all economic life is to be run in the
interests of the privileged few, seeking ever-higher profits; or whether it should
be organized to meet social and public needs, not just of this but also of future
generations. After all, if even the most cash-generative industry in the country
cannot meet all the claims on the surplus, the stage is set for increasing social,
economic and political conflict. To ask the question is to answer it.
Reflecting on
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privatization?
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