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  • DSC1007 Assignment 1 QN 2

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    Yvonne Ng Ming Hui
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    DSC1007 Assignment 1 Qn 2.xlsx

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    23 visualizzazioni5 pagine

    DSC1007 Assignment 1 QN 2

    Caricato da

    Yvonne Ng Ming Hui

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Scarica in formato XLSX, PDF, TXT o leggi online su Scribd
    Segnala contenuti inappropriati
    di 5

    Case

    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case

    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case

    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6

    New York
    (Round 1)
    yankee
    yankee
    phillies
    phillies
    phillies
    yankee

    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6

    New York
    Philadelphia New York
    Net winnings
    (Round 1)
    (Round 2)
    (Round 3)
    Probability or loss ($)
    0.55
    0.47 0.2585
    $200
    0.55
    0.53
    0.55
    0.160325
    95
    0.45
    0.47
    0.55
    0.116325
    95
    0.45
    0.53 0.2385
    ($210)
    0.45
    0.47
    0.45
    0.095175
    -110
    0.55
    0.53
    0.45
    0.131175
    -110

    P(yankee win)
    0.53515
    Mean
    2.99825
    VAR
    26084.4617
    S.D.
    161.506847

    Philadelphia
    (Round 2)
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee
    phillies

    New York
    (Round 3)`
    yankee
    yankee
    phillies
    phillies

    Net winnings
    or loss
    $200
    $200-$105
    $200-$105
    ($210)
    $100-$210
    $100-$210

    SQUARE OF
    WINNINGS
    $40,000
    $9,025
    $9,025
    $44,100
    $12,100
    $12,100

    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case

    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case

    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6

    Philaelphia
    (Round 1)
    phillies
    phillies
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee
    yankee

    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6

    Philaelphia New york


    Philadephia
    (Round 1)
    (Round 2)
    (Round 3)` Probability
    0.53
    0.55
    0.53
    0.154495
    0.53
    0.45 0.2385
    0.47
    0.45
    0.53
    0.112095
    0.53
    0.55
    0.47
    0.137005
    0.47
    0.45
    0.47
    0.099405
    0.47
    0.55 0.2585

    P(Yankee
    win)
    P(phillies
    win)
    in (a),
    P(phillies
    win)

    0.49491
    0.50509

    0.46485

    New york
    (Round 2)
    yankee
    phillies
    phillies
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee

    Philadephia
    (Round 3)`
    phillies
    phillies
    yankee
    yankee
    -

    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case

    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case
    Case

    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10

    New York
    (Round 1)
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee
    phillies
    phillies
    phillies
    yankee
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee

    1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10

    New York
    Philadelphia New York
    Philadelphia New York
    (Round 1)
    (Round 2)
    (Round 3)
    (Round 4)
    (Round 5)
    0.55
    0.53
    0.55
    0.53
    0.55
    0.55
    0.47
    0.45
    0.53
    0.55
    0.55
    0.53
    0.45
    0.47
    0.55
    0.45
    0.47
    0.55
    0.53
    0.55
    0.45
    0.47
    0.45
    0.47
    0.55
    0.45
    0.53
    0.55
    0.47
    0.55
    0.55
    0.53
    0.55
    0.47 0.55
    0.47
    0.45
    0.47 0.45
    0.47
    0.55
    0.47 0.55
    0.47
    0.55 -

    P(Yankee win) 0.53384568

    Philadelphia
    (Round 2)
    phillies
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee
    yankee
    phillies
    phillies
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee

    New York
    (Round 3)
    yankee
    phillies
    phillies
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee
    yankee

    Philadelphia
    (Round 4)
    phillies
    phillies
    yankee
    phillies
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee

    New York
    (Round 5)
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee
    yankee
    -

    0.04673474
    0.03390874
    0.03390874
    0.03390874
    0.02460274
    0.03390874
    0.07535275
    0.05467275
    0.05467275
    0.142175

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