Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
S1572-3089(16)30228-5
http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.jfs.2016.12.004
JFS 511
To appear in:
Received date:
Revised date:
Accepted date:
2-8-2016
29-11-2016
14-12-2016
Please cite this article as: Walmir Silva, Herbert Kimura, Vinicius Amorim
Sobreiro, AN ANALYSIS OF THE LITERATURE ON SYSTEMIC FINANCIAL
RISK: A SURVEY, <![CDATA[Journal of Financial Stability]]> (2016),
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2016.12.004
This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication.
As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript.
The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof
before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process
errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that
apply to the journal pertain.
ip
t
a University
cr
Abstract
an
us
This article presents an analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk. To that end, we analyze and
classify 266 articles that were published no later than September 2016 in the databases Scopus and Web of
Knowledge; these articles were identified using the keywords systemic risk, financial stability, financial,
measure, indicator, and index. They were evaluated based on 10 categories, namely, type of study, type
of approach, object of study, method, spatial scope, temporal scope, context, focus, type of data used, and
results. The analysis and classification of this literature made it possible to identify the remaining gaps in
the literature on systemic risk; this contributes to a future research agenda on the topic. Moreover, the most
influential articles in this field of research and the articles that compose the mainstream research on systemic
financial risk were identified.
1. Introduction
Ac
ce
p
te
Research on systemic risk in financial markets has intensified since the US mortgage crisis that began
in 2007. The vulnerability of the financial system was exposed by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in
September 2008 and Eurozone the sovereign debt crisis that followed. Such events generate panic and chain
reactions, undermining the confidence that is necessary for the proper functioning of the financial system.
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the lack of effective mechanisms for addressing these
situations poses a significant risk (IMF, 2009).
These events are even more serious because the financial sector as a proportion of the overall economy
in many countries has grown in addition to becoming globalized; moreover, the introduction of telematic
technologies has increased trading speed. According to Grilli et al. (2014a), in recent decades, the economic
system has witnessed a substantial transfer of resources from the productive segment to the financial sector.
According to the same authors, the financialization of the economy is one of the factors responsible for
growing financial instability, reflected in financial crises that have become more intense over the years.
Oort (1990) cites the following causes of vulnerability to the banking system: i) larger bank bankruptcies
causing a general financial crisis due to the dense network of connections among banks; ii) the systemic
risks alleged to be inherent in certain new bank products; and iii) the impact of external events, such as
debt crises, sudden changes in market rates, and deregulation. Oort (1990) considers the likelihood of a
I This
Page 1 of 55
an
us
cr
ip
t
major banking crisis to be small, mainly because of increased banking oversight and its application on a
comprehensive and consolidated global basis (Oort, 1990, p. 463). Subsequent events, particularly the 2008
crisis, have contradicted this assumption.
Interestingly, certain articles published before the 2007 crisis called attention to the increased systemic
financial risk. For example, De Nicolo and Kwast (2002) state that the ongoing consolidation of the financial
system was one of the most notable features at that time and that the establishment of a number of very
large and, in some cases, very intricate financial institutions increased concerns regarding the growth of
systemic risk. Lehar (2005) also notes an increase in systemic risk in the banking sector due to the ongoing
rapid integration of financial markets; this was a cause for concern among regulators and supranational
agencies given that the concurrent insolvency of many banks could generate a serious economic crisis, as past
experience had already shown.
Danelsson (2002) warns that macro-prudential regulation focused only on the risks taken by banks and
other financial institutions individually and was not sufficient to prevent crises. In the opinion of this author,
risk measures that consider only the specific risk of the institution do not help in the monitoring of systemic
risk; on the contrary, they can aggravate it. Moreover, Danielsson et al. (2016) show that model risk increases
with market uncertainty, which has to be taken into account given the fundamental role risk models play in
the regulatory process.
The IMF in its Global Financial Stability Report of 2009 draws attention to the need for tools that would
allow systemic risk to be detected and states that the ability to identify systemic risk at an early stage can
allow regulators to proactively engage in defining measures to control crisis (IMF, 2009).
As identified in the present study, the academic research on systemic risk has grown since the financial
crisis that began in 2007, which shows the relevance of the subject. Consequently, following the method
proposed by Jabbour (2013), Lage-Junior and Godinho-Filho (2010), and Seuring (2013), the objectives of
this study are as follows:
Identify articles in the Scopus and Web of Knowledge databases related to systemic financial risk to
build a sample
te
Generate a summary of the contribution of each paper and analyze the mainstream research on systemic
financial risk
ce
p
Ac
Below, we present the research method (Section 2); the classification and coding mechanism for the
papers (Section 3); a brief review of the concept of systemic financial risk (Section 4); the results of the
article classification, including perceived gaps, as well as the identification of research networks and analysis
of the main research path (Section 5); and final considerations (Section 6).
2. Research methods
This work follows the method of Jabbour (2013), Lage-Junior and Godinho-Filho (2010), and Seuring
(2013), who refer to Huisingh (2012). This study is a literature analysis; it is useful for structuring the results
of research that addresses emerging themes; it also provides a comprehensive assessment of the cutting edge
of the literature. In addition, this approach aims to characterize the research field and to identify gaps in the
research, providing a basis for further investigation (Huisingh, 2012). Although many studies follow a review
based method, including the works cited, the research on systemic financial risk has not been addressed to
a large extent. Jabbour (2013) and Lage-Junior and Godinho-Filho (2010) propose that literature reviews
should take into consideration the following stages:
2
Page 2 of 55
First Stage: Perform a comprehensive search of the published papers on the theme in relevant databases
Second Stage: Develop a classification model, coded using a logical structure
Third Stage: Apply the classification model and elaborate a framework of the current discussion on the
theme
Fifth Stage: Analyze the gaps and suggest opportunities for further study
ip
t
Fourth Stage: Present the characteristics of the scientific literature and the main results, taking into
account the coding system
an
us
cr
To map the scientific production regarding systemic financial risk, the first step was to build a significant
sample of the articles produced in the field. Thus, on December 22, 2014, searches were performed in the
Scopus database using the keywords systemic risk and financial stability, further combining systemic
risk and financial and measure or indicator or index. These searches were not limited temporally,
but the thematic areas were limited to Social Sciences & Humanities and Physical Sciences, excluding
the thematic areas of Life Sciences and Health Sciences. In the first search, a sample of 170 articles was
obtained, with 86 available in full for download (only the abstracts were available for the others). The second
search produced 134 articles, of which 61 were available in full for download. Eight articles were listed in both
searches; therefore, the sample was composed of 139 articles that were available in the database. Of these
articles, two were excluded because they were editorials; three did not correspond to the articles advertised,
due to errors in the databases; and two were later found to address a subject different from the one intended.
Thus, an initial sample of 132 articles of interest, which were available in full to download was obtained.
In May 2015, an additional 25 articles published no later than 2014 and not included in the original
sample were downloaded from the Web of Knowledge database, with the same combinations of keywords used
in Scopus. In April 2016, it was decided to incorporate articles that were published in 2015 and available for
download. Thus, an additional 45 articles were added to the sample. In September 2016, 64 articles published
in 2015 and 2016 were added, for a final sample of 266 articles downloaded from the Scopus and Web of
Knowledge databases for classification, as shown in Table 1.
te
********************************
Please insert Tab. 1 here.
********************************
ce
p
Regarding the vehicles of publication of the articles, it is observed that 17 journals concentrated 61% of
the published articles (162 of 266), as shown in Table 2.
********************************
Ac
********************************
A large dispersion of publishing vehicles was observed for the remaining 125 articles. In total, the sample
consists of articles published in 106 journals, with the vast majority of journals (74) publishing only one
article and 15 journals publishing two articles, as shown in Figure 1.
********************************
Please insert Fig. 1 here.
********************************
By organizing articles by publication year, we observe that only two articles in the sample were published
in 2001 or before 2001. From 2002 onward, articles on systemic financial risk occurred every year on a regular
basis but at low frequency until 2008. From 2009 onwards, after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers and the
worsening of the global financial crisis, the number of articles on systemic financial risk grew significantly, as
shown in Figure 2.
3
Page 3 of 55
********************************
Please insert Fig. 2 here.
********************************
ip
t
Once the articles were read and analyzed, a proposed classification system was built, and it was refined as
more articles were analyzed. Ten classes were proposed for analyzing and mapping the scientific production on
systemic financial risk; they are presented in the next section together with the classification of the articles.
3. Classification and coding
us
cr
The structure for classification is built following the method proposed by Jabbour (2013), Lage-Junior
and Godinho-Filho (2010), and Seuring (2013). The classification scheme includes 10 categories, numbered 1
through 10. Each of the classifications is also coded with letters (A, B, C, . . . ). Thus, this classification system
involves an aggregation of numbers and letters. It is important to note that an article can be associated with
several codes for a given item.
Classification 1: Type of study, coded on a scale from A to C
an
Classification 5: Context, related to the degree of development of the countries analyzed, coded from A
to D
Classification 6: Focus, related to the type of institutions and markets analyzed, coded from A to H
te
ce
p
Ac
********************************
The full list of articles that comprise the sample and their classification in the various items listed above
are shown in Tables 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8.
********************************
Please insert Tab. 4 here.
********************************
********************************
Please insert Tab. 5 here.
********************************
Page 4 of 55
********************************
Please insert Tab. 6 here.
********************************
********************************
Please insert Tab. 8 here.
********************************
us
cr
ip
t
********************************
Ac
ce
p
te
an
Page 5 of 55
as the breakdown of a financial institution, that negatively influences not only financial markets but the
economy as a whole.
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Page 6 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Leverage increases the individual risk of banking firms, implying higher vulnerability to financial shocks
(Papanikolaou and Wolff, 2014). Reversing the level of leverage, on the other hand, is beneficial to the health
of banks individually but detrimental to financial stability. For these authors, banks that focus on traditional
lines of business are less risky than financial institutions that trade modern financial instruments; additionally,
the literature would identify the high leverage of financial institutions, on a global scale, as a key factor in the
severe structural weakness and the adverse market dynamics during the pre-crisis period. For Papanikolaou
and Wolff (2014), regulatory changes and technological advances have largely changed the banking system;
in response, banks have aimed to create new products and broaden their activities to areas of business that
were previously not explored (Papanikolaou and Wolff, 2014).
According to Anginer et al. (2014a), bank competition also affects systemic risk in a robust negative
relationship. Increased competition encourages banks to diversify risk, indirectly making the system less
vulnerable to shocks. Banking systems are more fragile in countries with weak private supervision and
monitoring, more state-owned banks, and policies that restrict competition. These researchers conclude that
the negative effect of the lack of competition may be mitigated by an institutional environment that enables
efficient public and private monitoring (Anginer et al., 2014a). Consistent with this finding, Cubillas and
Gonzlez (2014) states that financial liberalization increases bank risk taking. In developed countries, strong
competition among banks increases risk taking, whereas in developing countries, new opportunities to take
risks drive risk-taking behavior.
Ghosh (2016) examines the impact of financial services liberalization on banking crises and finds that
greater banking sector globalization diminishes their occurrence, while bank asset concentration increases
their likelihood. The results of the study show that foreign bank presence implies stronger financial stability
in the financial system of host nations. This is coherent with Nicol and Juvenal (2014), who analyze the
relevance of measures of financial integration and globalization for real activity.
Exploring another aspect, Glasserman and Young (2014) consider the interconnectivity of the modern
financial system as a key factor in understanding the recent financial crisis: Due to the complex network
of connections among financial organizations, critical changes in a part of the system can affect others,
representing a threat to the financial instability of the entire system. According to these authors, examples
include the effects of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, the failure of AIG, and the exposure of European
banks to sovereign default risks.
Regarding the systemic importance of institutions, there is a rich literature that analyses the impact
of size, complexity, and interconnectivity, in particular on banks, for the composition of systemic risk. For
Arinaminpathy et al. (2012), large and well-connected banks are critical for financial stability since collapses
are not only large and widespread but also threaten trust in the market. Therefore, placing tougher capital
requirements on big banks can improve the resilience of the system. Furthermore, these effects would be
more pronounced in less diluted systems (Arinaminpathy et al., 2012).
Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFIs) are defined by Banulescu and Dumitrescu (2014)
as institutions whose chaotic failure due to their size, complexity, and interconnectivity would significantly
disrupt the financial system, harming economic activity. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision
classifies useful factors for determining whether a bank is systemically relevant and the exact factors of
systemically fundamental global banks (G-SIBs). In addition to the three factors noted above and their global
activity (cross-jurisdiction), the Basel Committee includes banks in this category if there are no readily
available substitutes for the financial infrastructure that they provide (Banulescu and Dumitrescu, 2014).
Another concept, Too Big To Fail institutions (TBTF), has become an important public policy debate
and, according to Kaufman (2014), has not been concluded due to disagreements about definitions. In
banking, definitions vary widely and differ according to which counterparties of insolvent covered firms may
need to be protected to minimize collateral damage, caused directly or indirectly by the failure, which third
parties fund the protection, and for what reason (Kaufman, 2014, p. 221).
4.3. Measuring systemic risk
Even without a precise definition, because it is a field of study in development, there are several elements
that are present in the various definitions that complement each other and make it possible to understand
7
Page 7 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
what systemic risk is. However, how can systemic risk be measured? Once there are different starting points for
systemic shocks, distinct approaches to defining and measuring systemic risks are necessary (Abdymomunov,
2013).
According to Danelsson (2002), a growing body of evidence exposes the limitations of risk-modelling
technology and imperfect regulatory structures; these models therefore act more as placebos than as a
scientific means of preventing crashes. For this author, market data are endogenous to market behavior, and
statistical analysis performed during times of stability would not be useful in times of crisis. Danelsson
(2002) views Value-at-Risk (VaR) modelling as not robust and excessively volatile. Moreover, he states that,
for regulatory use, this type of analysis may provide misleading information about risk and even increase
both idiosyncratic and systemic risk, imposing costs on financial institutions arising from inadequacy in the
allocation of capital and frequent portfolio rebalancing (Danelsson, 2002).
In the view of Huang et al. (2009), traditional regulatory measures have focused on information from
bank balance sheets, such as the proportion of non-performing loans, profitability, liquidity, and capital
adequacy ratios. However, because the balance information is available only a few times during the year,
with considerable lag, it is increasingly relevant to monitor the health of the financial system taking into
account data from the markets (Huang et al., 2009).
The joint 2009 report by the IMF, Bank for International Settlements (BIS), and Financial Stability
Board (FSB) proposes indicators for size, interconnectedness, and substitutability to measure the systemic
importance of an enterprise (IMFBISFSB, 2009). Thomson (2009) proposes the four Cs (Contagion,
Concentration, Correlation, and Conditions) as criteria for determining the systemic importance of a firm.
Regulators generally focus on indicators related to the financial health of banks, such as balance sheets
and liquidity indicators. There are still many indices of more comprehensive financial conditions, typically
constructed using a weighted sum of indicators or a principal components method, for example, Bloomberg
FCI, Goldman FCI, and the Kansas Fed Financial Stress Index.
The European Central Bank publishes the Composite Indicator of Systemic Stress (CISS), which uses
both market and supervision data. According to Holl et al. (2012), systemic financial stress occurs when
market participants experience great uncertainty and change their expectations on future losses, asset values,
and economic activity. Because these stress measures depend on the selection of criteria and the use of
financial variables, their performance is sensitive to their causes. The CISS aggregates five sub-indices that
represent the most important segments of the financial system namely, the banking and non-banking
intermediaries sector, the money market, and the stock, securities, and currencies markets taking into
account the cross-correlations between sub-indices over time. The CISS places relatively more weight on
scenarios where stress affects many markets simultaneously and is therefore more systemic (Holl et al.,
2012).
Many other forms of systemic risk measurement are found in the literature. Bisias et al. (2012) designate
31 quantitative measures of systemic risk; Segoviano and Goodhart (2009) make use of the multivariate
density of the adjusted portfolio tail financial sector companies; Khandani and Lo (2008) and Hu et al. (2013),
by their turn, use liquidity measures; Kritzman and Li (2010) and Li et al. (2013) use the Mahalanobis
distance metric; Adrian and Brunnermeier (2010) measure the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of the financial sector,
with a conditional analysis of the VaR of a single bank using quantile regressions; Kritzman et al. (2011) use
the absorption ratio; Zheng et al. (2012) use the growth rate of the principal components of the correlation
matrix of assets returns; and Patro et al. (2013) use the correlations of stocks returns of financial institutions
as a systemic risk indicator.
Several authors, such as Patro et al. (2013) and Kritzman et al. (2011), seek information only on asset
prices to assess systemic risk. These prices have the advantage of being easily accessible compared to others
related to the balance sheets and financial indicators of companies. In addition, the information reflected in
asset prices is always forward looking. According to Patro et al. (2013), if the primary purpose is to monitor
the ongoing systemic risk level to preclude systemic losses, then analyzing early warning metrics such as
stock prices can convey relevant information.
For Gropp et al. (2002), assets issued by banks are especially useful to monitor since the market prices of
securities can impact the funding cost of banks. The market can play a particularly useful role in disciplining
the risk of large, complex, and internationalized organizations. Market information can be followed up at a
8
Page 8 of 55
ip
t
very high frequency and can complement traditional balance sheet data when checking for possible bank
weaknesses. Therefore, market information can provide early signs for banks that must be better scrutinized.
According to Rodrguez-Moreno and Pea (2013), periods of general turmoil in the financial system can
have multiple causes, and therefore, a single systemic risk measure may be neither appropriate nor desirable.
Ellis et al. (2014a) follow this same line; for them, diversity within the financial system also supports the fact
that it is unlikely that a single systemic risk measure or a single financial stability policy instrument can be
universally applicable.
5. Results of the literature analysis
us
********************************
cr
The results of classification according to items 1 and 2 are summarized in Table 9, which shows the
predominance of empirical studies and the massive presence of studies with a quantitative approach. There
are only a total of eight survey-type studies (questionnaires) and literature reviews.
Please insert Tab. 9 here.
********************************
an
ce
p
te
Object: Table 10 shows the classification of the sample according to item 3 (Object of Study). The
most relevant object(s) of each article were isolated. Only one object was assigned to 103 articles,
two objects to 96 articles, three objects to 57 articles, and 10 objects to only nine articles. There
were a large number of articles that address aspects of regulation, which is not surprising, given the
nature of the subject and the search criteria, which also used the expression financial stability. The
objects market risk, credit risk together with default, counterparty and sovereign risks, contagion
and interconnectivity/interdependence were also numerically noteworthy. A total of 33 articles
simultaneously addressed contagion and interconnectivity/interdependence, which indicates a strong
link between these objects. The item regarding the size of the institutions appeared with a lower weight.
The lower frequency of the concept of too big to fail, compared to the concept of too interconnected
to fail reveals the greater weight given by researchers to the latter as a systemic risk factor. The item
concentration and the related items diversification and competition were addressed in only 19
articles and may deserve greater attention from researchers in future studies.
********************************
Please insert Tab. 10 here.
********************************
Ac
The item Others includes topics such as leverage/derivatives (addressed in 10 articles); securitization
and proliferation/complexity of financial instruments (six articles); bank governance, including executive
compensation and performance strategies (five articles); conglomeration/consolidation (five articles);
confidence/sentiment (five articles); monetary policy (five articles); mark-to-market/valuation (three
articles); deregulation (two articles); international financial integration (three articles); and modelling
risk (three articles); in addition, further topics include bubbles, market efficiency, complexity, taxation,
corporate governance, overlapping portfolios, prepayment risk, bank liquidity creation, shadow banking,
and the impact of information technology (IT), among others.
It is important to note that the object regulation encompassed a range of issues related to the
actions of regulatory bodies and supervisory practices, including the following: actions by central
banks, central bank transparency, Basel Accords, coordination mechanisms, capital allocation, limits to
the performance of financial institutions, NSFR (Net Stable Funding Ratio), debt ratios, regulation
credibility, regulatory ratio, accountability, deposit insurance, mark-to-market, and funding.
9
Page 9 of 55
Scope: This item is summarized in the graph below (Figure 3). Note that studies related to only one
country are greater in number. Blocks and regions have been less studied.
********************************
Please insert Fig. 3 here.
********************************
us
cr
ip
t
Context: This item is summarized in the graph below (Figure 4). The great predominance of research
on developed countries is observed; this finding is to be expected, given the high concentration of
researchers in these countries. Despite the greater systemic importance of financial institutions in
developed countries, instabilities in the financial systems of emerging countries also have an important
impact, not only in their own economies and markets but also internationally. This fact reveals
an opportunity to perform a larger number of studies that address countries that are considered
undeveloped.
********************************
Please insert Fig. 4 here.
an
********************************
ce
p
te
Focus: The various focuses of the articles (item 6) and their frequency are shown in Figure 5. A total
of 33 articles addressed the financial system and financial institutions in a generic manner. In general,
studies in this classification discussed aspects of regulation or were theoretical articles, even if they
had a quantitative approach. Of those that focused only on specific institutions, 165 articles analyzed
only one type of institution/market segment, while 68 analyzed more than one type. Banks were
prominent and were studied in 174 of the 266 articles. The stock market was also the focus of study in
44 articles. A total of 31 articles focused on a particular country. The impact of systemic financial risk
on non-financial institutions (or vice versa) was studied in 29 articles, generally in conjunction with
the financial institutions themselves. Next were the insurers, which were studied in 27 articles. These
were followed by mortgages/real estate markets, which were analyzed in 11 articles, and investment
funds/hedge funds in six articles. The item Others included the remaining institutions, such as
exchange brokers, money market, clearing houses, and credit card companies. Although the emphasis
on banks is understandable given the impact that they have on systemic financial risk, there may also
be opportunities for greater diversification so that other types of institutions are addressed.
Ac
There is room for a greater number of articles that focus on investment funds and mortgages given the
importance that they have for systemic stability. It is important to remember that it was the bursting
of the mortgage bubble that precipitated the financial crisis of 2007. Articles that analyze risk from the
perspective of countries totaled 31, including those that analyze banks and other institutions using a
cross-country approach, i.e., a comparison of the events in each country. Articles that study sovereign
risk numbered only 11, suggesting a large research gap in the literature sample given that problems
related to sovereign debt significantly affect financial stability. An example is the recent events related
to sovereign debt in the eurozone and their strong impact on regional and global economic and financial
stability.
********************************
Please insert Fig. 5 here.
********************************
Period studied: Item 7 (Period studied) is shown in the graph below (Figure 6). It is notable that the
researchers chose to study longer periods, with 152 studying five years or more and only 16 studying less
than two years. A longer perspective for theoretical studies may be necessary to compare consecutive
crisis periods and periods of stability.
10
Page 10 of 55
********************************
Please insert Fig. 6 here.
********************************
cr
********************************
ip
t
Types of Data Analyzed: Item 8 (Types of Data Analyzed) is summarized in Table 11, which shows
that market and regulator data prevail when the articles use only one type of data; however, there is
greater balance when data types are used in combination, with less emphasis on macroeconomic data.
an
us
Methods Used: Item 9 (Methods Used) is summarized in Table 12. Emphasis is given to econometric,
statistical, and multivariate analytical methods, which were used in 170 articles (alone or in conjunction
with other types of methods considered). It can be observed that other methods have been used much
less frequently, particularly simulation methods, which were used in only 30 articles and often in
conjunction with other methods.
********************************
Please insert Tab. 12 here.
********************************
te
A variety of methods were used. Emphasis was given to the following: regression including multiple,
quantile, logit, and probit regressions (60 articles); network models, considered in the item mathematical
modelling (34 articles); correlation analysis (13 articles); extreme value theory (EVT) (12 articles);
factor models (principal component analysis (PCA), discriminant and cluster analyses) (12 articles);
GARCH models (15 articles); vector autoregression (VAR) (11 articles); Shapley value (five articles);
Monte Carlo simulation (four articles); copulas (five articles); consistent information multivariate
density optimizing (CIMDO) (3 articles); vector error correction (3 articles); agent-based models (two
articles); entropy models (two articles); group debt rank (GDR) (two articles); and the Jaccard index
matrix (3 articles), among others.
Ac
ce
p
Other models were also used, including from other fields of study; the Kalman filter, game theory,
particle physics, Ricci curvature, partial equilibrium models, catalytic reaction models, epidemic model,
stochastic optimal control, message-passing algorithms, asymmetric dynamic covariance (ADC) models,
the self-organizing financial stability map (SOFSM), the support vector machine (SVM), and random
matrix theory. Some auxiliary models used included the Merton credit risk model (nine articles);
Kealhofer, McQuown, and Vasicek model (KMV); distance to default; and portfolio analysis, among
others.
The systemic risk measures used included: Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR), proposed by Adrian and
Brunnermeier (2010), used or discussed in 23 articles; Marginal Expected Shortfall (MES), proposed by
Brownlees and Engle (2010), used or discussed in 12 articles; credit default swap (CDS) spreads (10
articles); VaR including quantile VaR, component VaR, incremental VaR, and systemic VaR (five
articles); coherent measures (3 articles); and tail dependence (3 articles). The following measures were
also found: the Lerner index, Catastrophic risk in the Financial sector (CATFIN), Collateralized Debt
Obligations (CDOs), tail beta, financial index stress, LIBOR spreads, volatility, Volatility of Volatility
(VoV), the contagion index for each node (on a network), balance sheet ratios, the measure of joint
default, the house price index, the China Financial Stress Index (CFSI), the News Cohesiveness Index
(NCI), the number of bank failures, the Degree of Total Leverage (DTL), the Information Dissipation
Length (IDL), the systemic risk index based on the value of assets (SIV), Loss Given Default (LGD),
the Distress Insurance Premium (DIP) (2 articles), the Joint Probability of Default (JPoD), the Sector
11
Page 11 of 55
Diversity Index (SDI), the Correlation Response Index (CRI), the Implied Systemic Cost of Risk
(I-SCOR), Credit Risk Deviation (CRD), extreme downside risk, the sector dominance ratio, expected
systemic losses, Hirsch index, absorption ratio and the systemic importance score, among others.
Several articles analyzed the contribution of individual institutions to systemic risk, and some proposed
stress tests for institutions. However, it is remarkable that in the literature, no article proposed using
the systemic risk indices built for stress tests in asset portfolios.
us
********************************
cr
********************************
ip
t
Results: Item 10 (Results) is presented in Table 13. Articles strongly based on the literature or that
replicate studies in other contexts are dominant. Comparative studies in which two or more other
studies and/or methods are compared are fewer.
Ac
ce
p
te
an
In general, when analyzing the results of classification of the literature on systemic financial risk, some
aspects may be highlighted that reveal gaps and opportunities for future studies. There seem to be relatively
few studies that involve bank concentration and its impact on systemic financial risk. The same can be said for
emerging markets. It is also noted that the literature on the subject is focused on banking institutions, which
is easy to understand, given the nature of the subject; however, this finding may also reveal an opportunity
for further studies of other types of financial institutions and their relationship with systemic risk.
Diverse methods are used; however, studies using computer simulations are far fewer compared to studies
using econometric methods or other statistical techniques or multivariate analysis. Some works compare
estimates of two or more systemic risk measures (Li et al., 2013; Madan and Schoutens, 2013; Mayordomo
et al., 2014; Weiss and Mhlnickel, 2014). Kupiec and Gntay (2016), using daily stock returns, define a
statistic to evaluate systemic risk using CoVaR and MES. Given the profusion of systemic risk measures in
the literature in recent years, there is still a large amount of room for conducting studies that compare the
effectiveness of the indicators and methods proposed in the studies.
To supplement the results presented above, an analysis of the citations of each article in the sample was
performed to identify the mainstream in systemic financial risk research, i.e., the major research networks
and the evolution of the discussion on systemic financial risk over time. Thus, within the initial sample,
relationships between articles were sought by analyzing the citations between these articles and the other
studies that they cited. It was possible to confirm that a large number of important articles were not included
in the sample, the composition criteria of which was explained at the beginning of Section 4. Thus, when
analyzing this new set of articles, the papers already cited and those that cited them were identified. More
specifically, articles not cited by other articles in the sample itself were excluded, and the articles not yet
present in the sample and that had at least five citations in Scopus and Web of Knowledge were included.
After this round of recording the citations of the selected manuscripts, the articles cited at least four times
by their listed peers and those that were still not on the list were included, proceeding again to the scrutiny
of the bibliographies. In a final round of refinement, articles that were cited by at least seven listed articles
and that were not yet on the list were included. The reference lists of articles from 2015 and 2016 that were
available for download on Scopus and Web of Science were also reviewed. A final round of analysis of the
articles that were cited eight or more times was performed. Some articles from 2012 onwards were included
even without reaching the total of eight citations because the period in which they had to be cited was
relatively smaller. Ultimately, the references of 398 articles were analyzed, and citations were checked for a
total of 3925 articles.
This process made it possible to measure the importance of each article not only by the number of
easily verifiable citations but also by the references of the researchers in the area. It also made it possible to
construct the citation networks. Thus, maintaining the criterion of a minimum number of citations between
pairs of the list of 398 scrutinized papers, the final list of 132 articles was reached; an additional 18 articles
were removed for demonstrating reduced importance in relation to the other articles in the first construction
12
Page 12 of 55
of the figures (point vertices), as described below. The 102 articles are listed in Tables 14 and 15; they are
numbered according to the chronological order of publication. This selection criterion enabled the list of
studies to be representative but not so extensive as to make it difficult to analyze the data and/or dilute the
reference character of the articles.
********************************
********************************
Please insert Tab. 15 here.
********************************
cr
********************************
ip
t
an
us
The list of items and the table of articles cited versus the respective articles that cite them served as
inputs to the free software Pajek. Chronological ordering is required to use the software, which also requires
that the generated network of citations be acyclic; i.e., reciprocal citations or citations in a closed chain
are not allowed for the construction of figures (Figs. 9 and 10). Figures built with the help of this software
are shown below. For details on Pajek, see Mrvar and Batagelj (2014) and DeNooy et al. (2005). Figure 7
presents the network of citations of the articles.
********************************
Please insert Fig. 7 here.
********************************
Figure 8 shows the most cited articles between the pairs in the list, which correspond to the major vertices.
In addition, the articles are divided into two research networks, purple (main) and blue (secondary). Darker
lines represent a greater link between the research studies.
********************************
te
********************************
ce
p
********************************
Please insert Fig. 9 here.
********************************
Ac
Figure 10 provides a view of the importance of each study within the field of research on systemic financial
risk.
********************************
Please insert Fig. 10 here.
********************************
13
Page 13 of 55
ip
t
********************************
Please insert Tab. 17 here.
********************************
cr
Table 17 shows a classification that allows aspects of the studied articles to be compared.
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
The oldest articles in this sample of 27 articles date from the 1970s1980s, and they mainly address bank
runs and panics and related subjects, such as liquidity problems. From there, other striking elements of
financial stability begin to be incorporated, and the articles begin to focus on methods of measuring systemic
financial risk. Starting in 2000, the vast majority of the articles address some method of measuring systemic
risk.
Interestingly, eight articles (see Table 17) study the systemic importance or the systemic risk attributed to
a specific institution. From this similarity, each article opts for a method to make attributions to institutions
in terms of their weight in the risk to the system. The measures and methods that are used for this purpose
are varied. Seven articles propose aggregate risk indicators for the financial system as a whole. It is important
to note that only Elsinger et al. (2005) use stress tests. The focus of these articles is mostly banks three
papers classified as reviews are more generic in this regard. No article analyzes emerging markets. Two
articles analyze global data, nine articles use data from the United States, and five articles analyze data from
European countries. Regarding the study period, Calomiris and Gorton (1991) review bank panics that have
occurred since the nineteenth century, and Allen and Gale (2007) analyze financial crises that have occurred
since the nineteenth century. Of the other studies, three focus only on the pre-2008 crisis period, and ten
analyze data that include the 2008 crisis.
Fifteen articles can be classified as theoretical and one is both theoretical and empirical. Three of these
are classified as reviews or comparative analyses, four are analytical, six use mathematical models, one
involves mathematical and network modelling, one involves statistical and mathematical modelling, and
one involves economic modelling. The other 11 studies are empirical and use econometric methods (seven
articles), network models (three articles) or simulation (one article).
The too central to fail phenomenon is a prominent factor in several articles and is considered more
impactful on systemic risk than too big to fail. Nine articles specifically analyze the effects of interconnectivity
and the consequent potential for contagion and spread of financial problems for the detection and measurement
of systemic risk.
Many of the articles found on this main research path propose systemic risk indicators: Allen and Gale
(2000a) propose a measure of preference for liquidity; Freixas et al. (2000a) an indicator of risk of contagion;
De Nicolo and Kwast (2002) the correlation of bank shares; and Degryse and Nguyen (2007) the intersection
of loss given the default (LGD) between banks. Other works focus on the systemic importance and the
systemic risk due to a specific institution; Adrian and Shin (2009) propose the variation of leverage and the
VaR/Assets relationship of the institution as a measure; Adrian and Brunnermeier (2010) propose the popular
CoVaR which measures the VaR of the entire financial system conditional on a particular institution
being in a given state; Acharya et al. (2010) the SES; Brownlees and Engle (2010) the MES; Huang et al.
(2011) the DIP; Billio et al. (2012) the degree of connectivity of the institution; and Glasserman and Young
(2014) the fraction of the institutions debts held by other financial institutions. Sandhu et al. (2016) use a
mathematical concept from topology, the Ricci curvature, as an economic indicator for systemic risk and
apply it to a set of stocks comprising the S&P 500.
14
Page 14 of 55
ce
p
6. Conclusions
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Correlation between assets and markets is always an important element in the analysis of systemic
financial risk because it seems that, empirically, in falling markets, volatility increases and assets move in a
more coupled manner, increasing systemic risk. Several articles use correlations as a direct or indirect measure.
De Nicolo and Kwast (2002) propose the correlation of bank stock returns as a systemic risk indicator;
Lehar (2005) the correlation between bank investment portfolios; Elsinger et al. (2005) the correlation of risk
exposures and mutual credit between banks. The three articles use econometric modelling.
Regarding the origin of the data, some articles in the main research path use balance sheet data. Elsinger
et al. (2006) use data from portfolios owned by banks, and Degryse and Nguyen (2007) use data from
aggregate interbank exposures. According to Drehmann and Tarashev (2011), it is unlikely that a regulatory
authority would directly use a more sophisticated tool to measure systemic risk; on the contrary, it must
observe these measures only to bring them closer to simpler and more reliable indicators specific to banks.
According to Elsinger et al. (2005), stock market data are most likely to reflect relevant public information
about risk exposure of a bank in financial markets that are highly developed. However, the data do not
necessarily convey private information, which can be restricted to supervisory bank microdata (Elsinger et al.,
2005). Thus, the private information that is contained in statements monitored by regulatory authorities is
of paramount importance (Elsinger et al., 2005).
However, according to Elsinger et al. (2005), methods that use market data can be readily applied in
contrast with methods based on proprietary information, e.g. supervisory data. Although such data sources
allow deeper analysis of risk factors, they are not broadly available and generally are restricted to supervisory
bodies. Market prices have the advantage of being easily accessible compared to data related to the balance
sheets and financial indicators of companies.
De Nicolo and Kwast (2002) use the stock prices of banks. According to Gropp et al. (2002), from a
supervisory perspective, assets issued by banks are interesting because the market prices of debt and shares
can increase the funding cost of banks. These are early signs calling for greater scrutiny (Gropp et al., 2002).
Of the empirical articles analyzed, the vast majority use market data in their models and analysis, with the
advantages and disadvantages discussed already above.
All articles discuss aspects of regulation, either directly or indirectly given the nature of the subject
discussed. Therefore, they are of interest to professionals involved in banking regulation. Research on systemic
financial risk is a multifaceted field of study. The diversity of subjects and objects that are present in the
articles includes market risk, liquidity risk, credit risk, contagion, leverage, bank consolidation, financial
diversification, and bank runs and panics.
Ac
The literature on systemic financial risk is evolving. This finding was expected given the impact of the
2008 financial crisis on financial institutions and the financial system and the repercussions for the global
economy. The literature is comprehensive and reflects the very diversity of the subject and the multiple
aspects involved in the research. It is also characterized by its high quality, which also reveals the growing
importance of the subject and the large economic and social costs that are involved in financial crises. The
adequate functioning of the financial system fundamentally depends on the confidence of agents to a much
greater extent than in other sectors of the economy. Moreover, as argued by Hippler and Hassan (2015), the
profitability of all firms, financial firms in particular, is negatively affected by increases in macroeconomic
and financial stress. The subject involves regulatory aspects, as the economy in the broader sense must be
protected in addition to investors and depositors. In addition, there are repercussions for the management of
portfolios and the monitoring of specific markets.
Section 5 presented elements that appeared less frequently in the literature (GAP1 ); this was determined
based on a considerable sample of 266 articles that were available for download in the Scopus and Web of
Science databases. This work has limitations that result from the method adopted. By changing some criteria,
some articles could have been included and others excluded from the sample. The classification categories,
relevant at first, could also be modified depending on the researchers approach and interests. Nevertheless,
findings that can serve as a reference and help form the basis of a research agenda for researchers in the area
were presented.
15
Page 15 of 55
us
cr
ip
t
With regard to the most important articles concerning systemic financial risk as viewed by the researchers
themselves, a network of 114 articles considered to be important for advancing the subject was built. An
in-depth analysis of the 26 articles was performed that described the main path of this research field; it was
conducted according to the previously described method. There is a diversity of objects and approaches, as is
characteristic of the literature on the subject. Each article has its merits, whether by performing an analysis
that contributes to the field, by proposing innovative paths or useful risk measures for the measurement of
systemic financial risk, or by organizing and discussing information on the subject in important reviews. The
most recent articles, even without having been cited many times, have affirmed their importance because
they are recognized by other recent articles and are linked to an important network of studies.
Once again, the set of articles could have varied depending on the criteria adopted, with the exclusion
of some articles and the inclusion of others. However, what cannot be denied is the relevance of this set
of articles. In the literature, many articles focused on the systemic importance of specific institutions. It
would be interesting if there were more comprehensive and comparative studies of the measures of systemic
financial risk, applying them to the same set of banks, discussing the advantages and disadvantages of each
approach, and checking where they clash and where they complement each other; this could enhance the
monitoring of financial institutions in an interesting manner. This is also suggested for future studies.
an
Bibliography
Ac
ce
p
te
Abdymomunov, A., 2013. Regimeswitching measure of systemic financial stress. Annals of Finance 9 (3), 455470.
Aboura, S., Wagner, N., mar 2016. Extreme asymmetric volatility: Stress and aggregate asset prices. Journal of International
Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 41 (1), 4759.
Abreu, J. F., Gulamhussen, M. A., Jul 2013. The stock market reaction to the public announcement of a supranational list of
toobigtofail banks during the financial crisis. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 25 (1),
4972.
Acemoglu, D., Ozdaglar, A., Tahbaz-Salehi, A., January 2013. Systemic risk and stability in financial networks. NBER Working
Paper No. 18727.
Acharya, V., Engle, R., Richardson, M., May 2012. Capital shortfall: A new approach to ranking and regulating systemic risks.
American Economic Review 102 (3), 5964.
Acharya, V. V., 2001. A theory of systemic risk and design of prudential bank regulation. Ph.D. Thesis.
Acharya, V. V., Pedersen, L. H., Philippon, T., Richardson, M. P., May 2010. Measuring systemic risk. SSRN Eletronic Journal,
146 In Press.
Acharya, V. V., Richardson, M., Jan 2009. Causes of the financial crisis. Critical Review 21 (2-3), 195210.
Adrian, T., Brunnermeier, M. K., 2010. CoVaR. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report (348).
Adrian, T., Covitz, D., Liang, N., Dec 2015. Financial stability monitoring. Annual Review of Financial Economics 7 (1),
357395.
Adrian, T., Shin, H., 2009. Liquidity and leverage. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Report no. 328.
Aglietta, M., Scialom, L., mar 2010. A systemic approach to financial regulation: A European perspective. Economie Internationale
123 (3), 3165.
Ahrend, R., Goujard, A., Nov 2015. Global banking, global crises? The role of the bank balancesheet channel for the transmission
of financial crises. European Economic Review 80 (1), 253279.
Aleksiejuk, A., Holyst, J., mar 2002. SelfOrganized criticallity in a model of collective bank bankruptcies. International Journal
of Modern Physics C 13 (3), 333341.
Alexander, K., 2011. Reforming European financial supervision: Adapting EU institutions to market structures. ERA Forum
12 (2), 229252.
Allen, F., Babus, A., 2009. Networks in Finance. Wharton Financial Institutions Center Working Paper No. 0807, 120 In
Press.
Allen, F., Carletti, E., 2013. Systemic risk from real estate and macroprudential regulation. International Journal of Banking,
Accounting and Finance 5 (12), 2848.
Allen, F., Gale, D., January 1998. Optimal financial crises. The Journal of Finance 53 (4), 12451284.
Allen, F., Gale, D., February 2000a. Financial contagion. The Journal of Political Economy 108 (1), 133.
Allen, F., Gale, D., 2000b. Bubbles and crises. The Economic Journal 110 (460), 236255.
Allen, F., Gale, D., 2007. Understanding financial crises. Oxford Scholarship Press, Oxford.
Allen, L., Bali, T., Tang, Y., 2012. Does systemic risk in the financial sector predict future economic downturns? Review of
Financial Studies 25 (10), 30003036.
Amini, H., Cont, R., Minca, A., oct 2013. Resilience to contagion in financial networks. Mathematical Finance 26 (2), 329365.
Amini, H., Cont, R., Minca, A., oct 2016. Resilience to Contagion in Financial Networks. Mathematical Finance 26 (2), 329365.
Andersen, J. V., Nowak, A., Rotundo, G., Parrott, L., Martinez, S., Nov 2011. Price-Quakes Shaking the Worlds Stock
Exchanges. PLoS ONE 6 (11), e26472e26472.
16
Page 16 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Anginer, D., Demirguc-Kunt, A., Zhu, M., nov 2014a. How does deposit insurance affect bank risk? Evidence from the recent
crisis. Journal of Banking and Finance 48 (1), 312321.
Anginer, D., Demirguc-Kunt, A., Zhu, M., 2014b. How does competition affect bank systemic risk? Journal of Financial
Intermediation 23 (1), 126.
Anufriev, M., Panchenko, V., Dec 2015. Connecting the dots: Econometric methods for uncovering networks with an application
to the Australian financial institutions. Journal of Banking & Finance 61 (1), S241S255.
Apostolakis, G., Papadopoulos, A. P., aug 2015. Financial stress spillovers across the banking, securities and foreign exchange
markets. Journal of Financial Stability 19, 121.
Arinaminpathy, N., Kapadia, S., May, R., oct 2012. Size and complexity in model financial systems. Proceedings of the National
Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 109 (45), 1833818343.
Arnold, B., Borio, C., Ellis, L., Moshirian, F., dec 2012. Systemic risk, macroprudential policy frameworks, monitoring financial
systems and the evolution of capital adequacy. Journal of Banking and Finance 36 (12), 31253132.
Arora, D., Rathinam, F., sep 2011. OTC derivatives market in India: Recent regulatory initiatives and open issues for market
stability and development. Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies 4 (2), 235261.
Ashraf, D., Rizwan, M. S., LHuillier, B., aug 2016. A net stable funding ratio for Islamic banks and its impact on financial
stability: An international investigation. Journal of Financial Stability 25 (1), 4757.
Avramidis, P., Pasiouras, F., feb 2015. Calculating systemic risk capital: A factor model approach. Journal of Financial Stability
16, 138150.
Baglioni, A., Cherubini, U., feb 2013. Markingtomarket government guarantees to financial systems Theory and evidence for
Europe. Journal of International Money and Finance 32 (1), 9901007.
Balbs, A., Balbs, B., Balbs, R., apr 2016. Good deals and benchmarks in robust portfolio selection. European Journal of
Operational Research 250 (2), 666678.
Balogh, P., 2012. Macro prudential supervision tools in the European banking system. Procedia Economics and Finance 3 (1),
642647.
Banerjee, A., Hung, C.-H. D., Lo, K. L., mar 2016. An anatomy of credit risk transfer between sovereign and financials in the
Eurozone crisis. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 41 (1), 102120.
Banulescu, G.-D., Dumitrescu, E.-I., 2014. Which are the SIFIs? A Component Expected Shortfall approach to systemic risk.
Journal of Banking and Finance 50 (1), 575588.
Bargigli, L., Di Iasio, G., Infante, L., Lillo, F., Pierobon, F., oct 2014. The multiplex structure of interbank networks. Quantitative
Finance 15 (4), 673691.
Barnea, E., Landskroner, Y., Sokoler, M., jun 2015. Monetary policy and financial stability in a banking economy: Transmission
mechanism and policy tradeoffs. Journal of Financial Stability 18, 7890.
Barnett, W., Chauvet, M., mar 2011. How better monetary statistics could have signaled the financial crisis. Journal of
Econometrics 161 (1), 623.
Barth, A., Schnabel, I., apr 2013. Why banks are not too big to fail evidence from the CDS market. Economic Policy 28 (74),
335369.
Barth, J. R., Wihlborg, C., feb 2016. Too Big to Fail and Too Big to Save: Dilemmas for Banking Reform. National Institute
Economic Review 235 (1), R27R39.
Battaglia, F., Gallo, A., dec 2013. Securitization and systemic risk: An empirical investigation on Italian banks over the financial
crisis. International Review of Financial Analysis 30 (1), 274286.
Battiston, S., Delli Gatti, D., Gallegati, M., Greenwald, B. C., Stiglitz, J. E., Jan 2009. Liaisons dangereuses: Increasing
connectivity, risk sharing, and systemic risk. National Bureau of Economic Research.
Battiston, S., Gatti, D., Gallegati, M., Greenwald, B., Stiglitz, J., sep 2012a. Default cascades: When does risk diversification
increase stability? Journal of Financial Stability 8 (3), 138149.
Battiston, S., Puliga, M., Kaushik, R., Tasca, P., Caldarelli, G., aug 2012b. DebtRank: Too central to fail? Financial networks,
the FED and systemic risk. Scientific Reports 2 (1), 16.
Baur, D., Schulze, N., jul 2009. Financial market stabilityA test. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and
Money 19 (3), 506519.
Beale, N., Rand, D., Battey, H., Croxson, K., May, R., Nowak, M., jul 2011. Individual versus systemic risk and the Regulators
Dilemma. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 108 (31), 1264712652.
Beck, T., De Jonghe, O., Schepens, G., apr 2013. Bank competition and stability: Crosscountry heterogeneity. Journal of
Financial Intermediation 22 (2), 218244.
Bengtsson, E., apr 2014. Fund management and systemic risk lessons from the global financial crisis. Financial Markets,
Institutions and Instruments 23 (2), 101124.
Benoit, S., 2014. Where is the system? International Economics 138 (1), 127.
Berger, D., Pukthuanthong, K., sep 2012. Market fragility and international market crashes. Journal of Financial Economics
105 (3), 565580.
Berger, D., Pukthuanthong, K., jan 2016. Fragility, stress, and market returns. Journal of Banking & Finance 62 (1), 152163.
Bernal, O., Gnabo, J.-Y., Guilmin, G., 2014. Assessing the contribution of banks, insurance and other financial services to
systemic risk. Journal of Banking and Finance 47 (1), 270287.
Bernal, O., Gnabo, J.-Y., Guilmin, G., jul 2016. Economic policy uncertainty and risk spillovers in the Eurozone. Journal of
International Money and Finance 65 (1), 2445.
Bernanke, B. S., January 1983. Nonmonetary effects of the financial crisis in the propagation of the Great Depression. National
Bureau of Economic Reaserch, Working Paper 1057.
Bernanke, B. S., Gertler, M., March 1989. Agency costs, net worth, and business fluctuations. The American Economic Review
17
Page 17 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
79 (1), 1431.
Betz, F., Hautsch, N., Peltonen, T. A., Schienle, M., aug 2016. Systemic risk spillovers in the European banking and sovereign
network. Journal of Financial Stability 25 (1), 206224.
Bhattacharya, S., Gale, D., 1987. Preference shocks, liquidity and central bank policy. Cambridge University Press, New York,
N.Y., Ch. New Approaches to Monetary Economics, pp. 6988.
Bianconi, M., Hua, X., Tan, C., jul 2015. Determinants of systemic risk and information dissemination. International Review of
Economics and Finance 38 (1), 352368.
Billio, M., Getmansky, M., Lo, A., Pelizzon, L., jun 2012. Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the
finance and insurance sectors. Journal of Financial Economics 104 (3), 535559.
Birch, A., Aste, T., jun 2014. Systemic losses due to counterparty risk in a stylized banking system. Journal of Statistical
Physics 156 (5), 9981024.
Bisias, D., Flood, M., Lo, A., Valavanis, S., oct 2012. A survey of systemic risk analytics. Annual Review of Financial Economics
4 (1), 255296.
Black, L., Correa, R., Huang, X., Zhou, H., feb 2016. The systemic risk of European banks during the financial and sovereign
debt crises. Journal of Banking & Finance 63 (1), 107125.
Bluhm, M., Krahnen, J., aug 2014. Systemic risk in an interconnected banking system with endogenous asset markets. Journal
of Financial Stability 13 (1), 7594.
Bordo, M., Redish, A., Rockoff, H., aug 2014. Why didnt Canada have a banking crisis in 2008 (or in 1930, or 1907, or ...)?
Economic History Review 68 (1), 218243.
Borio, C., February 2003. Towards a macroprudential framework for financial supervision and regulation? BIS Working Papers
1 (128), 126.
Borio, C., jan 2011. Implementing a macroprudential framework: Blending boldness and realism. Capitalism and Society 6 (1).
Borio, C., Furfine, C., Lowe, P., 2001. Procyclicality of the financial system and financial stability: Issues and policy options.
BIS Papers No. 1.
Borio, C., Lowe, P., July 2002. Asset prices, financial and monetary stability: exploring the nexus. SSRN Electronic Journal,
147 In Press.
Bosma, J. J., aug 2016. Dueling policies: Why systemic risk taxation can fail. European Economic Review 87 (1), 132147.
Bowden, R., Posch, P., dec 2011. The bonus pool, mark to market and free cash flow: Producer surplus and its vesting in the
financial markets. Applied Financial Economics 21 (24), 18431857.
Breitenfellner, B., Wagner, N., apr 2012. Explaining aggregate credit default swap spreads. International Review of Financial
Analysis 22 (1), 1829.
Brownlees, C. T., Engle, R., 2010. Volatility, correlation and tails for systemic risk measurement. SSRN Electronic Journal,
147 In Press.
Brunnermeier, M., Crocket, A., Goodhart, C., Persaud, A. D., Shin, H., June 2009. The fundamental principles of financial
regulation. Geneva Reports on the World Economy 11, international Center for Monetary and Banking Studies and Centre
for Economic Policy Research (CEPR).
Brunnermeier, M. K., jan 2009. Deciphering the liquidity and credit crunch 20072008. Journal of Economic Perspectives 23 (1),
77100.
Brunnermeier, M. K., Dong, G. N., Palia, D., 2011. Banks noninterest income and systemic risk. SSRN Electronic Journal,
144 In Press.
Brunnermeier, M. K., Pedersen, L. H., Nov 2009. Market liquidity and funding liquidity. Review of Financial Studies 22 (6),
22012238.
Bryant, J., dec 1980. A Model of reserves, bank runs, and deposit insurance. Journal of Banking & Finance 4 (4), 335344.
Burkholz, R., Leduc, M. V., Garas, A., Schweitzer, F., jun 2016. Systemic risk in multiplex networks with asymmetric coupling
and threshold feedback. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena 323-324 (1), 6472.
Buti, M., Carnot, N., oct 2012. The EMU debt crisis: Early lessons and reforms. Journal of Common Market Studies 50 (6),
899911.
Cabrera Rodrguez, W., Melo Velandia, L., Parra Amado, D., 2014. Relationship between financial system systemic risk and the
real sector: A FAVAR approach. Ensayos Sobre Politica Economica 32 (75), 122.
Caccioli, F., Catanach, T., Farmer, J., sep 2012. Heterogeneity, correlations and financial contagion. Advances in Complex
Systems 15 (SUPPL.2), 1250058.
Caccioli, F., Farmer, J., Foti, N., Rockmore, D., feb 2015. Overlapping portfolios, contagion, and financial stability. Journal of
Economic Dynamics and Control 51 (1), 5063.
Caccioli, F., Marsili, M., Vivo, P., sep 2009. Eroding market stability by proliferation of financial instruments. European Physical
Journal B 71 (4), 467479.
Caetano, M., Yoneyama, T., jun 2011. A model for the evaluation of systemic risk in stock markets. Physica A: Statistical
Mechanics and its Applications 390 (12), 23682374.
Calice, G., Ioannidis, C., Dec 2012. An empirical analysis of the impact of the credit default swap index market on large complex
financial institutions. International Review of Financial Analysis 25 (1), 117130.
Calice, G., Ioannidis, C., Williams, J., Oct 2011. Credit derivatives and the default risk of large complex financial institutions.
Journal of Financial Services Research 42 (12), 85107.
Calistru, R. A., Oct 2012. The credit derivatives market A threat to financial stability? Procedia Social and Behavioral
Sciences 58 (1), 552559.
Calms, C., Thoret, R., dec 2013. Marketoriented banking, financial stability and macroprudential indicators of leverage.
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 27 (1), 1334.
18
Page 18 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Calms, C., Thoret, R., 2014. Bank systemic risk and macroeconomic shocks: Canadian and U.S. evidence. Journal of Banking
and Finance 40 (1), 388402.
Calomiris, C. W., Gorton, G., January 1991. Financial market and financial crisis. University of Chicago Press, Chiacago, Ch.
The Origins of Banking Panics: Models, Facts, and Bank Regulation, pp. 109174.
Calomiris, C. W., Kahn, C. M., June 1991. The role of demandable debt in structuring optimal banking arrangements. The
American Economic Review 81 (3), 497513.
Calomiris, C. W., Mason, J. R., December 1997. Contagion and bank failures during the great depression: The june 1932 chicago
banking panic. The American Economic Review 87 (5), 863883.
Cambn, M. I., Estvez, L., jan 2016. A Spanish Financial Market Stress Index (FMSI). The Spanish Review of Financial
Economics 14 (1), 2341.
Cao, J., Illing, G., jan 2010. Regulation of systemic liquidity risk. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management 24 (1), 3148.
Carbo-Valverde, S., Degryse, H., Rodrguez-Fernndez, F., oct 2015. The impact of securitization on credit rationing: Empirical
evidence. Journal of Financial Stability 20, 3650.
Carmassi, J., Herring, R., jun 2016. The Corporate Complexity of Global Systemically Important Banks. Journal of Financial
Services Research 49 (2-3), 175201.
Castellacci, G., Choi, Y., jan 2015. Modeling contagion in the Eurozone crisis via dynamical systems. Journal of Banking &
Finance 50 (1), 400410.
Castro, C., Ferrari, S., jan 2014. Measuring and testing for the systemically important financial institutions. Journal of Empirical
Finance 25 (1), 114.
Cerchiello, P., Giudici, P., jul 2015. How to measure the quality of financial tweets. Quality & Quantity 50 (4), 16951713.
Chan-Lau, J., Mitra, S., Ong, L., mar 2012. Identifying contagion risk in the international banking system: An extreme value
theory approach. International Journal of Finance and Economics 17 (4), 390406.
Chang, E., Guerra, S., Lima, E., Tabak, B., oct 2008. The stabilityconcentration relationship in the Brazilian banking system.
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money 18 (4), 388397.
Chatterjee, U. K., jun 2015. Bank liquidity creation and asset market liquidity. Journal of Financial Stability 18, 139153.
Chinazzi, M., Fagiolo, G., 2015. Systemic risk, contagion, and financial networks: A survey. SSRN Electronic Journal, 157 In
Press.
Chinazzi, M., Fagiolo, G., Reyes, J., Schiavo, S., aug 2013. Postmortem examination of the international financial network.
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 37 (8), 16921713.
Choi, D., apr 2014. Heterogeneity and stability: Bolster the strong, not the weak. Review of Financial Studies 27 (6), 18301867.
Choi, P., Min, I., Park, K., 2012. SU CoVaR. Economics Letters 115 (2), 218220.
Chu, K. H., Dec 2015. Bank consolidation and stability: The Canadian experience, 18671935. Journal of Financial Stability
21 (1), 4660.
Chuang, H., Ho, H.-C., may 2013. Measuring the default risk of sovereign debt from the perspective of network. Physica A:
Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 392 (9), 22352239.
Chung, K., Park, H., Shin, H., jul 2012. Mitigating systemic spillovers from currency hedging. National Institute Economic
Review 221 (1), R44R56.
Cifuentes, R., Ferrucci, G., Shin, H. S., 2005. Liquidity risk and contagion. Bank of England working paper 264 1 (1).
Civitarese, J., oct 2016. Volatility and correlation-based systemic risk measures in the US market. Physica A: Statistical
Mechanics and its Applications 459 (1), 5567.
Claessens, S., Ghosh, S., Mihet, R., dec 2013. Macroprudential policies to mitigate financial system vulnerabilities. Journal of
International Money and Finance 39 (1), 153185.
Clark, E., Jokung, O., Jan 2015. The role of regulatory credibility in effective bank regulation. Journal of Banking & Finance
50 (1), 506513.
Conciarelli, A., jan 2014. A New macroprudential tool to assess sources of financial risks: Implied-systemic cost of risks.
International Journal of Finance and Economics 19 (1), 7488.
Cont, R., Moussa, A., Santos, E. B. e., 2012. Network structure and systemic risk in banking systems. SSRN Electronic Journal,
141 In Press.
Cox, R., Wang, G.-Y., jul 2014. Predicting the US bank failure: A discriminant analysis. Economic Analysis and Policy 44 (2),
202211.
Cruz, J. P., Lind, P. G., Jul 2012. The dynamics of financial stability in complex networks. The European Physical Journal B
85 (8).
Cubillas, E., Gonzlez, F., apr 2014. Financial liberalization and bank risk-taking: International evidence. Journal of Financial
Stability 11, 3248.
Dabrowski, J. J., Beyers, C., de Villiers, J. P., nov 2016. Systemic banking crisis early warning systems using dynamic Bayesian
networks. Expert Systems with Applications 62 (1), 225242.
Danelsson, J., Jul 2002. The emperor has no clothes: Limits to risk modelling. Journal of Banking & Finance 26 (7), 12731296.
Danielsson, J., James, K. R., Valenzuela, M., Zer, I., apr 2016. Model risk of risk models. Journal of Financial Stability 23,
7991.
De-Bandt, O., Hartmann, P., November 2000. Systemic risk: A survey. ECB Working Paper (35).
De-Jonghe, O., jul 2010. Back to the basics in banking? A microanalysis of banking system stability. Journal of Financial
Intermediation 19 (3), 387417.
De Nicolo, G., Kwast, M. L., may 2002. Systemic risk and financial consolidation: Are they related? Journal of Banking &
Finance 26 (5), 861880.
Degryse, H., Nguyen, G., 2007. Interbank exposures: An empirical examination of systemic risk in the belgian banking system.
19
Page 19 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
20
Page 20 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
21
Page 21 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Holmstrom, B., Tirole, J., 1997. Financial intermediation, loanable funds, and the real sector. The Quarterly Journal of
Economics 112 (3), 663691.
Holmstrm, B., Tirole, J., Feb. 1998. Private and public supply of liquidity. The Journal of Political Economy 106 (1), 140.
Horvth, R., Vako, D., feb 2016. Central bank transparency and financial stability. Journal of Financial Stability 22, 4556.
Hu, G. X., Pan, J., Wang, J., Nov 2013. Noise as Information for Illiquidity. The Journal of Finance 68 (6), 23412382.
Hu, H., Kaspereit, T., Prokop, J., oct 2016. The information content of issuer rating changes: Evidence for the G7 stock markets.
International Review of Financial Analysis 47 (1), 99108.
Huang, W.-Q., Zhuang, X.-T., Yao, S., Uryasev, S., aug 2016. A financial network perspective of financial institutions systemic
risk contributions. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 456 (1), 183196.
Huang, X., Vodenska, I., Havlin, S., Stanley, H. E., Feb 2013. Cascading failures in bi-partite graphs: Model for systemic risk
propagation. Scientific Reports 3.
URL http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep01219
Huang, X., Zhou, H., Zhu, H., Nov 2009. A framework for assessing the systemic risk of major financial institutions. Journal of
Banking & Finance 33 (11), 20362049.
Huang, X., Zhou, H., Zhu, H., Oct 2011. Systemic risk contributions. Journal of Financial Services Research 42 (12), 5583.
Huang, X., Zhou, H., Zhu, H., 2012a. Assessing the systemic risk of a heterogeneous portfolio of banks during the recent financial
crisis. Journal of Financial Stability 8 (3), 193205.
Huang, X., Zhou, H., Zhu, H., 2012b. Systemic risk contributions. Journal of Financial Services Research 42 (12), 5583.
Huisingh, D., 2012. Call for comprehensive/integrative review articles. Journal of Cleaner Production 2930 (1), 12.
Hutchison, M., 2002. European banking distress and EMU: Institutional and macroeconomic risks. Scandinavian Journal of
Economics 104 (3), 365389.
Iachini, E., Nobili, S., jan 2016. Systemic liquidity risk and portfolio theory: An application to the Italian financial markets. The
Spanish Review of Financial Economics 14 (1), 514.
Idier, J., Lam, G., Msonnier, J.-S., 2014. How useful is the Marginal Expected Shortfall for the measurement of systemic
exposure? A practical assessment. Journal of Banking & Finance 47 (1), 134146.
IMF, April 2009. Global financial stability report: Responding to the financial crisis and measuring systemic risks. Tech. rep.,
International Monetary Fund.
IMFBISFSB, 2009. Guidance to assess the systemic importance of financial institutions, markets and instruments: Initial
considerations. 2009. Tech. rep., International Monetary Fund, Bank of International Settlements, Financial Stability Bureau.
Iori, G., De Masi, G., Precup, O. V., Gabbi, G., Caldarelli, G., Jan 2008. A network analysis of the Italian overnight money
market. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 32 (1), 259278.
Iori, G., Mantegna, R. N., Marotta, L., Miccich, S., Porter, J., Tumminello, M., Jan 2015. Networked relationships in the
eMID interbank market: A trading model with memory. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 50 (1), 98116.
Jabbour, C. J. C., May 2013. Environmental training in organisations: From a literature review to a framework for future
research. Resources, Conservation and Recycling 74 (1), 144155.
Jacobs, J., Van Vuuren, G., 2014. A case for economic capital as a pillar 1 regulatory tool. South African Journal of Economics
82 (2), 290314.
Jin, X., Nadal De Simone, F., 2014a. A framework for tracking changes in the intensity of investment funds systemic risk.
Journal of Empirical Finance 29 (1), 343368.
Jin, X., Nadal De Simone, F., 2014b. Banking systemic vulnerabilities: A tailrisk dynamic CIMDO approach. Journal of
Financial Stability 14 (1), 81101.
Jin, Y., Zeng, Z., 2014. Banking risk and macroeconomic fluctuations. Journal of Banking & Finance 48 (1), 350360.
Jinjarak, Y., Zheng, H., 2014. Granular institutional investors and global market interdependence. Journal of International
Money and Finance 46 (1), 6181.
Jobst, A., 2013. Multivariate dependence of implied volatilities from equity options as measure of systemic risk. International
Review of Financial Analysis 28 (1), 112129.
Jobst, A., 2014. Measuring systemic riskadjusted liquidity (SRL)A model approach. Journal of Banking & Finance 45 (1),
270287.
Joseph, A., Joseph, S., Chen, G., 2014. Crossborder portfolio investment networks and indicators for financial crises. Scientific
Reports 4 (1).
Kalemli-Ozcan, S., Papaioannou, E., Peydr, J.-L., May 2013. Financial regulation, financial globalization, and the synchronization
of economic activity. The Journal of Finance 68 (3), 11791228.
Kaminsky, G. L., Reinhart, C. M., June 1999. The twin crises: The causes of banking and balanceofpayments problems. The
American Economic Review 89 (3), 473500.
Kanno, M., Nov 2015a. The network structure and systemic risk in the Japanese interbank market. Japan and the World
Economy 36 (1), 102112.
Kanno, M., Oct 2015b. Assessing systemic risk using interbank exposures in the global banking system. Journal of Financial
Stability 20 (1), 105130.
Kanno, M., mar 2016. The network structure and systemic risk in the global non-life insurance market. Insurance: Mathematics
and Economics 67 (1), 3853.
Kara, G. I., mar 2016. Systemic risk, international regulation, and the limits of coordination. Journal of International Economics
99 (1), 192222.
Kaufman, G. G., April 1994. Bank contagion: A review of the theory and evidence. Journal of Financial Services Research 8 (2),
123150.
Kaufman, G. G., aug 2014. Too big to fail in banking: What does it mean? Journal of Financial Stability 13, 214223.
22
Page 22 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Kerste, M., Gerritsen, M., Weda, J., Tieben, B., Mar 2015. Systemic risk in the energy sector Is there need for financial
regulation? Energy Policy 78 (1), 2230.
Khandani, A., Lo, A., Nov 2008. What happened to the quants In August 2007?: Evidence from factors and transactions data.
Tech. rep., National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.
Khashanah, K., Yang, H., mar 2016. Evolutionary systemic risk: Fisher information flow metric in financial network dynamics.
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 445 (1), 318327.
Kindleberger, C. P., Aliber, R. Z., 1978. Manias, panics and crashes, a history of financial crises. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
King, M., Maier, P., 2009. Hedge funds and financial stability: Regulating prime brokers will mitigate systemic risks. Journal of
Financial Stability 5 (3), 283297.
Krainer, R., 2012. Regulating Wall Street: The DoddFrank Act and the new architecture of global finance, a review. Journal of
Financial Stability 8 (2), 121133.
Kritzman, M., Li, Y., 2010. Skulls, financial turbulence, and risk management. Financial Analysts Journal 66 (5), 3041.
Kritzman, M., Li, Y., Page, S., Rigobon, R., 2011. Principal component as a measure of systemic risk. The Journal of Portfolio
Manager 37 (4), 112126.
Kroeger, F., Dec 2015. The development, escalation and collapse of system trust: From the financial crisis to society at large.
European Management Journal 33 (6), 431437.
Kupiec, P., Gntay, L., may 2016. Testing for Systemic Risk Using Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Services Research
49 (2-3), 203227.
Kupiec, P. H., jun 2016. Will TLAC regulations fix the G-SIB too-big-to-fail problem? Journal of Financial Stability 24 (1),
158169.
Ladley, D., 2013. Contagion and risksharing on the interbank market. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 37 (7),
13841400.
Lage-Junior, M., Godinho-Filho, M., May 2010. Variations of the Kanban system: Literature review and classification. International Journal of Production Economics 125 (1), 1321.
Lee, C.-C., Lin, C.-W., Zeng, J.-H., apr 2016. Financial liberalization, insurance market, and the likelihood of financial crises.
Journal of International Money and Finance 62 (1), 2551.
Lee, J., Ryu, J., Tsomocos, D., 2013. Measures of systemic risk and financial fragility in Korea. Annals of Finance 9 (4), 757786.
Lehar, A., 2005. Measuring systemic risk: A risk management approach. Journal of Banking & Finance 29 (10), 25772603.
Leitner, Y., Nov 2005. Financial networks: Contagion, commitment, and private sector bailouts. The Journal of Finance 60 (6),
29252953.
Levy-Carciente, S., Kenett, D. Y., Avakian, A., Stanley, H. E., Havlin, S., Oct 2015. Dynamical macroprudential stress testing
using network theory. Journal of Banking & Finance 59 (1), 164181.
Li, S., Wang, M., He, J., 2013. Prediction of banking systemic risk based on support vector machine. Mathematical Problems in
Engineering 2013 (1), 15.
Liang, N., 2013. Systemic risk monitoring and financial stability. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 45 (S1), 129135.
Liang, Y., may 2016. Shadow Banking in China: Implications for Financial Stability and Macroeconomic Rebalancing. The
Chinese Economy 49 (3), 148160.
Liao, S., Sojli, E., Tham, W., 2015. Managing systemic risk in The Netherlands. International Review of Economics and Finance
40 (1), 231245.
Liu, A., Hou, Y., Peng, L., 2015. Interval estimation for a measure of tail dependence. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
64 (1), 294305.
Lombardi, D., Moschella, M., jun 2016. The symbolic politics of delegation: macroprudential policy and independent regulatory
authorities. New Political Economy (1), 117.
Lpez-Espinosa, G., Moreno, A., Rubia, A., Valderrama, L., Sep 2015. Systemic risk and asymmetric responses in the financial
industry. Journal of Banking & Finance 58 (1), 471485.
Lpez-Espinosa, G., Rubia, A., Valderrama, L., Antn, M., Sep 2013. Good for one, bad for all: Determinants of individual
versus systemic risk. Journal of Financial Stability 9 (3), 287299.
Lu, J., Hu, X., Dec 2014. Novel threebank model for measuring the systemic importance of commercial banks. Economic
Modelling 43 (1), 238246.
Lupu, I., 2015. The Indirect Relation between Corporate Governance and Financial Stability. Procedia Economics and Finance
22 (1), 538543.
MacDonald, R., Sogiakas, V., Tsopanakis, A., 2015. An investigation of systemic stress and interdependencies within the
Eurozone and Euro Area countries. Economic Modelling 48 (1), 5269.
Madan, D., Schoutens, W., 2013. Systemic risk tradeoffs and option prices. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 52 (2),
222230.
Marin, M., Feb 2013. Banks and information technology: marketability vs. relationships. Electronic Commerce Research 13 (1),
71101.
Martnez, C., Len, C., aug 2016. The cost of collateralized borrowing in the Colombian money market: Does connectedness
matter? Journal of Financial Stability 25 (1), 193205.
Martinez-Jaramillo, S., Alexandrova-Kabadjova, B., Bravo-Benitez, B., Solrzano-Margain, J., 2014. An empirical study of the
Mexican banking systems network and its implications for systemic risk. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 40 (1),
242265.
Martinez-Jaramillo, S., Prez, O. P., Embriz, F. A., Dey, F. L. G., 2010. Systemic risk, financial contagion and financial fragility.
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 34 (11), 23582374.
Mastromatteo, I., Zarinelli, E., Marsili, M., 2012. Reconstruction of financial networks for robust estimation of systemic risk.
23
Page 23 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
24
Page 24 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Sandhu, R. S., Georgiou, T. T., Tannenbaum, A. R., may 2016. Ricci curvature: An economic indicator for market fragility and
systemic risk. Science Advances 2 (5), e1501495e1501495.
Sarlin, P., Peltonen, T., 2013. Mapping the state of financial stability. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions
and Money 26 (1), 4676.
Schoenmaker, D., Siegmann, A., 2014. Can European bank bailouts work? Journal of Banking & Finance 48 (1), 334339.
Schwaab, B., Koopman, S., Lucas, A., 2014. Nowcasting and forecasting global financial sector stress and credit market
dislocation. International Journal of Forecasting 30 (3), 741758.
Sedunov, J., jun 2016. What is the systemic risk exposure of financial institutions? Journal of Financial Stability 24, 7187.
Segoviano, M. A., Goodhart, C., 2009. Banking stability measures. IMF Working Paper 9 (4), 154.
Seuring, S., Mar 2013. A review of modeling approaches for sustainable supply chain management. Decision Support Systems
54 (4), 15131520.
Sheldon, G., Maurer, M., 1998. Interbank lending and systemic risk: An empirical analysis for switzerland. Swiss Journal of
Economics and Statistics 134 (1), 685704.
Shiller, R., Wojakowski, R., Ebrahim, M., Shackleton, M., 2013. Mitigating financial fragility with Continuous Workout Mortgages.
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 85 (1), 269285.
Shleifer, A., Vishny, R. W., September 1992. Liquidation values and debt capacity: a market equilibrium approach. The Journal
of Finance 47 (4), 13431366.
Silva, T. C., Souza, S. R. S. d., Tabak, B. M., Mar 2016. Network structure analysis of the Brazilian interbank market. Emerging
Markets Review 26 (1), 130152.
Simkovic, M., 2013. Competition and Crisis in Mortgage Securitization. SSRN Journal.
Simpson, J., Evans, J., 2005. Systemic risk in the major Eurobanking markets: Evidence from interbank offered rates. Global
Finance Journal 16 (2), 125144.
Singh, M. K., Gmez-Puig, M., Sosvilla-Rivero, S., Oct 2015. Bank risk behavior and connectedness in EMU countries. Journal
of International Money and Finance 57 (1), 161184.
Solorzano-Margain, J., Martinez-Jaramillo, S., Lopez-Gallo, F., 2013. Financial contagion: Extending the exposures network of
the Mexican financial system. Computational Management Science 10 (23), 125155.
Souza, S. R., Tabak, B. M., Silva, T. C., Guerra, S. M., Aug 2015. Insolvency and contagion in the Brazilian interbank market.
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 431 (1), 140151.
Souza, S. R. S. d., aug 2016. Capital requirements, liquidity and financial stability: The case of Brazil. Journal of Financial
Stability 25 (1), 179192.
Souza, S. R. S. d., Silva, T. C., Tabak, B. M., Guerra, S. M., may 2016. Evaluating systemic risk using bank default probabilities
in financial networks. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 66 (1), 5475.
Stein, J., 2011. The crisis, Fed, Quants and stochastic optimal control. Economic Modelling 28 (1-2), 272280.
Stiglitz, J. E., Weiss, A., June 1981. Credit rationing in markets with imperfect information. The American Economic Review
71 (3), 393410.
Stolbov, M., jan 2016. Causality between sovereign, quasi-sovereign credit risks and global volatility: The case of Russia. Journal
of Eurasian Studies 7 (1), 7184.
Straetmans, S., Chaudhry, S. M., Nov 2015. Tail risk and systemic risk of US and Eurozone financial institutions in the wake of
the global financial crisis. Journal of International Money and Finance 58 (1), 191223.
Suh, S., 2012. Measuring systemic risk: A factoraugmented correlated default approach. Journal of Financial Intermediation
21 (2), 341358.
Summer, M., 2003. Banking regulation and systematic risk. Open Economies Review 14 (1), 4370.
Summer, M., 2013. Financial contagion and network analysis. Annual Review of Financial Economics 5 (1), 277297.
Tabak, B., Staub, R., 2007. Assessing financial instability: The case of Brazil. Research in International Business and Finance
21 (2), 188202.
Tarashev, N., Borio, C., Tsatsaronis, K., February 2010. Attributing systemic risk to individual institution. BIS Working Paper
No. 308, 129 In Press.
Terzi, N., Uluay, K., 2011. The role of credit default swaps on financial market stability. Procedia Social and Behavioral
Sciences 24 (1), 983990.
Thomson, J. B., August 2009. On systemically important financial institutions and progressive systemic mitigation. FRB of
Cleveland Policy Discussion Paper No. 7, 113 In Press.
Tian, G., Li, J., Xue, Y., Hsu, S., dec 2015. Systemic Risk in the Chinese Shadow Banking System: A Sector-Level Perspective.
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade 52 (2), 475486.
Tsenova, T., 2014. International monetary transmission with bank heterogeneity and default risk. Annals of Finance 10 (2),
217241.
Uechi, L., Akutsu, T., Stanley, H. E., Marcus, A. J., Kenett, D. Y., Mar 2015. Sector dominance ratio analysis of financial
markets. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 421 (1), 488509.
Upper, C., August 2007. Using counterfactual simulations to assess the danger of contagion in interbank markets. BIS Working
Papers No 234, 124 In Press.
Upper, C., 2011. Simulation methods to assess the danger of contagion in interbank markets. Journal of Financial Stability
7 (3), 111125.
Upper, C., Worms, A., 2004. Estimating bilateral exposures in the German interbank market: Is there a danger of contagion?
European Economic Review 48 (4), 827849.
Vallascas, F., Keasey, K., 2012. Bank resilience to systemic shocks and the stability of banking systems: Small is beautiful.
Journal of International Money and Finance 31 (6), 17451776.
25
Page 25 of 55
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
van Bekkum, S., nov 2016. Irelands 2010 EU/IMF intervention: Costs and benefits. Journal of Banking & Finance 72 (1),
175183.
van den End, J., 2009. Liquidity stresstester: A model for stress-testing banks liquidity risk. CESifo Economic Studies 56 (1),
3869.
van den End, J., Tabbae, M., 2012. When liquidity risk becomes a systemic issue: Empirical evidence of bank behaviour. Journal
of Financial Stability 8 (2), 107120.
van Lelyveld, I., in t Veld, D., July 2012. Finding the core: Network structure in interbank markets. De Nederlandsche Bank
Working Paper No. 348, 135In Press.
Vitali, S., Battiston, S., Gallegati, M., jan 2016. Financial fragility and distress propagation in a network of regions. Journal of
Economic Dynamics and Control 62 (1), 5675.
Vlahovi, A., Jan 2014. Challenges to the implementation of a new framework for safeguarding financial stability. Journal of
Central Banking Theory and Practice 3 (3), 1952.
Vodenska, I., Becker, A., Zhou, D., Kenett, D., Stanley, H., Havlin, S., may 2016. Community Analysis of Global Financial
Markets. Risks 4 (2), 13.
Walter, I., 2009. Economic drivers of structural change in the global financial services industry. Long Range Planning 42 (56),
588613.
Walter, I., 2012. Universal banking and financial architecture. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 52 (2), 114122.
Weiss, G., Mhlnickel, J., 2014. Why do some insurers become systemically relevant? Journal of Financial Stability 13 (1),
95117.
Weiss, G. N., Neumann, S., Bostandzic, D., Mar 2014. Systemic risk and bank consolidation: International evidence. Journal of
Banking & Finance 40 (1), 165181.
Wells, S., 2004. Financial interlinkages in the United Kingdoms interbank market and the risk of contagion. Bank of England
Working Paper no. 230, 136 In Press.
Wilson, J., Casu, B., Girardone, C., Molyneux, P., 2010. Emerging themes in banking: Recent literature and directions for
future research. British Accounting Review 42 (3), 153169.
Wymeersch, E., 2010. Global and regional financial regulation: The viewpoint of a European securities regulator. Global Policy
1 (2), 201208.
Xie, C., Liu, Y., Wang, G.-J., Xu, Y., 2016. The Stability of Interbank Market Network: A Perspective on Contagion and Risk
Sharing. Advances in Mathematical Physics 2016 (1), 18.
Yao, Y., Zhu, X., Wei, L., Li, J., 2015. A systemic importance score for identifying systemically important banks. Procedia
Computer Science 55 (1), 7281.
Yaqoob, M., Khan, M., 2011. Enhancing coverage of financial market activity. Economic and Labour Market Review 5 (5),
8299.
Zheng, Z., Podobnik, B., Feng, L., Li, B., 2012. Changes in cross-correlations as an indicator for systemic risk. Scientific Reports
2 (1), 888888.
Zhou, C., 2010. Are banks too big to fail? Measuring systemic importance of financial institutions. International Journal of
Central Banking 6 (4), 205250.
Zhou, C., 2013. The impact of imposing capital requirements on systemic risk. Journal of Financial Stability 9 (3), 320329.
Zhu, K., Liu, D., Wu, J., Sun, L., 2012. The research of the regional financial risk early-warning model integrating the regression
of lagging factors. AASRI Procedia 1 (1), 428434.
Zigraiova, D., Jakubik, P., Dec 2015. Systemic event prediction by an aggregate early warning system: An application to the
Czech Republic. Economic Systems 39 (4), 553576.
26
Page 26 of 55
ip
t
cr
170
86
134
61
General Total
-8
7
132
35
10
25
35
157
12
52
10
266
ce
p
us
Scopus Download
an
Total Scopus
te
Keywords
Ac
27
Page 27 of 55
ip
t
cr
Number of Articles
us
Journal
ce
p
te
an
41
35
11
11
8
8
7
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
74
Ac
28
Page 28 of 55
Study type.
Type of approach.
Object of study.
Scope.
Context.
Focus.
A Theoretical.
B Empirical.
C Both.
A Quantitative.
B Qualitative.
C Quantitative and qualitative.
D Review/Survey.
E Not applicable.
A Regulation.
B Market risk.
C Credit Risk/Default risk/Counterparty risk/Sovereign risk.
D Liquidity risk.
E Contagion.
F Size of institutions.
G Interconnectivity/Interdependence.
H Concentration/Diversification/Competition.
I Others.
J Not applicable.
A One country.
B More than one country.
C Region/Block.
D World.
E Not specified/Not applicable.
A Developed country.
B Undeveloped country.
C Both.
D Not applicable.
A Financial institutions in general.
B Banks.
C Stock market.
D Insurance companies.
E Investment funds/Hedge funds.
F Real Estate/Mortgages.
G General market (nonfinancial).
H Countries/Government Bonds.
I Other segments.
A Up to 2 years.
B From 2 to 5 years.
C From 5 to 10 years.
D More than 10 years.
E Not applicable.
A From market.
B From balance sheets.
C Macroeconomic.
D From regulators, IMF, and other bodies.
E Others.
F Not applicable.
A Econometric/Statistical/Multivariate analysis.
B Computational/Simulation.
C Mathematical modelling.
D Not applicable.
A New perspectives.
B Consistent with previously published literature.
C Replication to a different context or period.
D Comparative study.
E Not applicable.
ip
t
Encryption
cr
Meaning
Studied periods.
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
Rating
Methods used.
10
Results.
29
Page 29 of 55
30
Page 30 of 55
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1C
1A
1B
1A
1A
1C
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1C
1B
1A
1B
1A
1B
1B
1A
1B
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1B
1A
1A
1A
1A
1A
1B
Ac
2A
2A
2C
2B
2A
2A
2B
2A
2C
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2B
2A
2B
2A
Approach
ip
t
Data
8A
8A
8A, 8B, 8D
8A, 8C, 8D
8A, 8B, 8C
8F
8D
8A, 8C
8F
8D
8E
8A
8A, 8B, 8C
8A, 8B
8A
8A, 8D
8A, 8B
8D
8D
8C, 8D
8A, 8B
8A, 8B, 8D
8A
8C, 8D
8A
8A
8E
8A, 8C, 8D
8A, 8B, 8C, 8D
8B, 8D
8A, 8B
8F
8D
8A
8F
8A, 8B, 8D
8D
8A
8A
8A, 8C
8A
8A
8A
8A, 8E
8A
8B
8A
8B
8D
8D
8F
8F
8A
cr
7D
7A
7D
7D
7D
7E
7D
7D
7E
7A
7E
7C
7C
7D
7D
7D
7D
7E
7D
7D
7D
7B
7B
7C
7B
7D
7E
7D
7C
7D
7C
7E
7B
7D
7E
7D
7B
7D
7D
7D
7C
7B
7C
7D
7D
7C
7D
7E
7D
7B
7E
7E
7C
Period
us
6C
6B, 6C
6A
6B
6B
6B
6A
6B
6F
6B
6B
6C
6B
6B
6A, 6G
6B, 6I
6B
6G
6G, 6I
6B
6B
6B
6A, 6H
6B
6B, 6H
6B, 6D, 6I
6B
6G
6B
6B
6B
6B
6B
6C
6B
6B
6E, 6I
6B
6C
6C
6B, 6C, 6D, 6I
6H
6B, 6H
6B, 6C
6B, 6D, 6E, 6I
6B
6C
6B
6B
6A
6B
6A
6C, 6I
Focus
an
5A
5C
5A
5C
5C
5D
5A
5C
5D
5B
5D
5C
5C
5C
5A
5A
5A
5C
5B
5B
5C
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5D
5A
5C
5A
5A
5D
5A
5C
5D
5C
5C
5A
5C
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5D
5A
5A
5D
5D
5A
Context
4A
4D
4A
4D
4D
4E
4C
4D
4E
4A
4E
4D
4D
4D
4A
4B
4A
4D
4A
4C
4D
4C
4B
4C
4C
4A
4E
4A
4D
4B
4A
4E
4A
4D
4E
4D
4D
4C
4D
4A
4B
4B
4C
4A
4A
4B
4C
4E
4B
4A
4E
4E
4C
Scope
3B
3A, 3F
3A
3A
3C,3E
3E, 3G
3A
3B, 3D
3A, 3B, 3I
3A, 3E, 3G
3A,3C, 3E, 3G
3B
3A, 3I
3C, 3H
3G, 3E
3B, 3G
3F, 3G
3A
3A, 3I
3A
3B, 3C, 3G
3C, 3I
3A, 3C, 3E, 3G
3A
3C, 3G
3B, 3F, 3G
3I
3I
3B, 3F, 3G
3A, 3F, 3I
3I
3E, 3G
3C, 3G
3E, 3I
3A, 3H
3H
3A, 3C, 3D, 3I
3A, 3B
3B, 3E, 3G
3B
3B
3C
3B, 3C, 3G
3B, 3I
3D, 3E, 3G
3C, 3E, 3G
3B, 3C
3A, 3E, 3G
3A
3A
3A, 3I
3A, 3I
3B
Object
te
ce
p
Type
Study
9A
9A
9D
9C
9A
9B, 9C
9D
9A
9D
9A, 9C
9B, 9C
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9D
9D
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9C
9A
9A
9D
9A
9C
9A
9A
9A, 9B
9A
9D
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A, 9C
9A
9C
9D
9A, 9C
9C
9D
9A
Method
10A
10B
10B
10B
10B
10B
10A
10A
10D
10A
10B
10A
10A
10A
10B
10C
10B
10B
10B
10B
10A
10A
10B
10B
10B
10B
10B
10B
10B
10B
10C
10B
10A
10A
10B
10A
10B
10D
10B
10B
10C
10B
10B
10C
10A
10A
10B
10B
10D
10B
10A
10B
10B
Results
31
Page 31 of 55
1A
1A
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1C
1B
1A
1B
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1A
1A
1C
1C
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1A
Ac
4E
4C
4A
4E
4E
4A
4B
4B
4B
4D
4A
4B
4E
4A
4B
4B
4A
4A
4C
4C
4A
4B
4D
4A
4E
4A
4C
4A
4D
4E
4B
4A
4E
4C
4B
4A
4C
4A
4C
4A
4B
4E
4E
4A
4A
4D
4D
4A
4B
4D
4A
4D
4D
5D
5A
5B
5D
5D
5A
5C
5A
5A
5C
5A
5A
5D
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5B
5A
5C
5A
5D
5A
5A
5A
5C
5D
5A
5A
5D
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5D
5D
5A
5A
5C
5C
5A
5A
5C
5A
5C
5C
ip
t
Data
8F
8A, 8C, 8D
8C, 8D
8F
8F
8B
8A
8A
8A
8D
8B, 8D
8C, 8D
8F
8A
8B
8F
8C, 8D
8A
8B
8A
8B, 8C
8A, 8B, 8C
8D
8A
8A, 8B
8C, 8D
8C, 8D
8D
8D
8D
8A
8D
8F
8C, 8D
8A
8A
8A, 8B
8A
8A
8A
8D
8F
8B
8A
8A, 8C, 8D
8A
8A
8C, 8D
8A
8F
8A, 8D
8B
8F
cr
7E
7D
7C
7E
7E
7B
7D
7C
7B
7D
7D
7D
7E
7D
7D
7A
7D
7D
7E
7D
7C
7D
7C
7B
7E
7D
7C
7D
7D
7E
7C
7B
7E
7D
7D
7D
7D
7D
7C
7C
7A
7E
7E
7D
7B
7D
7D
7D
7D
7E
7B
7D
7D
Period
us
6G
6H
6A 6G
6A, 6G
6B
6B
6C
6B
6B
6A, 6I
6A
6A
6A
6A, 6C, 6G, 6H, 6I
6B
6B, 6G
6B, 6C, 6H
6C
6G
6B
6B
6B, 6C, 6G
6C, 6H
6B, 6C
6A
6B
6H
6G, 6I
6B
6B
6B, 6C, 6H
6B
6B
6B, 6H
6C, 6G, 6I
6B, 6D, 6F, 6I
6B
6B
6B
6H
6B, 6H
6B, 6I
6D
6B, 6C, 6D, 6F, 6I
6A, 6B, 6G
6C, 6H
6A, 6G
6H
6B, 6D, 6I
6B
6B
6B
6B, 6H
Focus
an
Context
Scope
te
3G, 3I
3C
3E
3I
3E, 3F, 3G
3C, 3E, 3I
3B, 3E
3B, 3C
3B, 3C
3A, 3C
3A, 3D, 3I
3A, 3I
3A, 3D
3B
3A, 3F, 3H
3C, 3I
3I
3B
3E
3B, 3F, 3G
3A, 3C, 3H
3C, 3E
3C, 3G
3B
3A, 3D, 3E
3H
3C, 3G, 3I
3A, 3E, 3I
3A
3A
3A, 3B, 3C
3A, 3C, 3I
3A, 3C, 3E
3C
3A, 3B, 3I
3B, 3I
3B, 3F, 3H
3G, 3H
3B
3C, 3E
3A, 3F
3D, 3E
3B
3B, 3C, 3G
3I
3B, 3H, 3I
3A, 3B, 3I
3A, 3C
3B
3A, 3I
3A, 3I
3A, 3I
3E, 3H, 3I
Object
2A
2C
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2C
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2B
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
Approach
ce
p
Type
Study
9B, 9C
9D
9A
9C
9A, 9B
9A
9B, 9C
9A
9A
9D
9A
9A
9C
9A
9A
9A, 9B
9A, 9C
9A
9C
9A, 9B
9A
9A
9A
9A, 9B
9C
9A
9A
9D
9A
9C
9A
9A
9B, 9C
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A, 9C
9D
9B
9C
9A
9D
9A
9A
9A
9A
9D
9A
9A
9C
Method
10B
10B
10C
10A
10C
10B
10A
10B
10B
10B
10A
10A
10A
10C
10B
10A
10B
10D
10C
10C
10C
10B
10B
10D
10B
10A
10A
10A
10C
10A
10A
10C
10B
10D
10A
10D
10A
10A
10C
10A
10B
10B
10A
10A
10B
10B
10A
10B
10C
10B
10B
10A
10A
Results
32
Page 32 of 55
1B
1B
1B
1C
1A
1A
1A
1A
1A
1A
1B
1C
1B
1A
1C
1A
1A
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1B
1A
1B
1C
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1B
Ac
4B
4D
4C
4A
4E
4D
4E
4E
4E
4B
4A
4C
4D
4B
4E
4E
4E
4B
4E
4E
4D
4A
4E
4B
4A
4A
4A
4D
4A
4A
4E
4A
4A
4A
4D
4B
4A
4C
4A
4A
4D
4A
4A
4A
4A
4D
4E
4A
4D
4D
4B
4A
4D
ip
t
Data
8A
8C, 8D
8A
8D
8A
8F
8B, 8D
8E
8F
8F
8A, 8B, 8D
8B
8C, 8D
8A, 8C
8B, 8D
8E
8F
8A
8A, 8B, 8D
8A, 8D
8A, 8B
8D
8D
8F
8A
8A, 8B
8A, 8B
8F
8B, 8D
8A, 8B
8A, 8D
8B
8A, 8B, 8C, 8D
8A, 8B, 8D
8C, 8D
8A
8A
8A, 8B
8A
8A
8C, 8D
8A, 8D
8A, 8B
8D
8A
8D
8B, 8C
8A, 8C, 8D
8A, 8C, 8D
8A
8A
8B
8D
cr
7B
7D
7B
7A
7E
7E
7E
7E
7E
7E
7B
7A
7D
7D
7E
7E
7E
7D
7E
7E
7B
7D
7E
7E
7D
7C
7D
7E
7C
7C
7E
7A
7D
7D
7D
7C
7C
7B
7C
7B
7D
7C
7D
7D
7D
7B
7E
7B
7D
7C
7B
7C
7D
Period
us
6C
6B
6H
6B
6B, 6G
6B
6B, 6G, 6I
6B
6C
6A
6B
6B
6B, 6H
6B, 6C, 6D, 6F,
6B
6B
6B
6B, 6D, 6I
6B
6A, 6B
6B
6B
6B
6B, 6G, 6H
6B, 6C, 6D
6B, 6D, 6I
6B
6B
6B
6A
6F
6B
6B, 6F, 6G
6D
6G
6A, 6C, 6G
6B
6B
6B
6B, 6D, 6I
6B, 6I
6C, 6H, 6I
6B
6B, 6I
6B
6B
6B
6E
6B
6E
6B, 6D
6B
6G
Focus
an
5A
5C
5A
5A
5D
5C
5D
5D
5D
5A
5A
5A
5B
5A
5D
5D
5D
5A
5D
5D
5C
5B
5D
5C
5A
5A
5A
5C
5A
5A
5D
5B
5A
5A
5C
5A
5A
5C
5A
5B
5C
5A
5A
5A
5A
5C
5D
5A
5A
5C
5A
5A
5C
Context
Scope
te
3B, 3E
3A, 3H
3C, 3E, 3G
3C, 3E, 3G
3B, 3I
3A, 3D, 3E
3A, 3C, 3G, 3I
3G, 3H
3G
3A
3A, 3C, 3G, 3I
3A, 3D
3I
3C, 3I
3E, 3G, 3I
3I
3A, 3D, 3I
3B, 3E
3E, 3F, 3G
3E, 3G
3A, 3C
3C
3A, 3E, 3G, 3I
3B
3B
3B, 3G
3B, 3C
3E
3B, 3D, 3E, 3G
3B
3C, 3I
3C, 3F, 3G
3A, 3B
3B, 3C
3A, 3I
3B, 3C
3C
3A, 3B, 3C
3C, 3F, 3G
3B
3A, 3I
3D
3B
3G
3G
3A, 3D
3C, 3E, 3I
3C, 3E
3A, 3C
3B, 3E, 3G
3G, 3H
3D, 3E
3G
Object
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2B
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2D
2A
2A
2A
2D
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
Approach
ce
p
Type
Study
9A
9A
9A
9A
9C
9D
9A, 9C
9C
9B, 10C
9D
9A, 9C
9B, 9C
9A
9A
9C
9C
9D
9A
9A
9B, 9C
9A
9A, 9C
9C
9D
9A, 9B, 9C
9A
9A
9D
9B, 9C
9A, 9C
9A, 9C
9C
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A, 9B
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9B, 9C
9A, 9C
9C
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A, 9C
9A, 9C
Method
10B
10B
10C
10B
10A
10B
10A
10B
10B
10D
10B
10B
10B
10D
10B
10A
10B
10C
10B
10B
10B
10C
10A
10D
10B
10C
10A
10D
10B
10B
10B
10C
10B
10B
10A
10B
10B
10C
10B
10C
10B
10B
10D
10B
10A
10C
10C
10B
10A
10C
10A
10A
10A
Results
33
Page 33 of 55
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1A
1A
1A
1C
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1C
1A
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1A
1B
1B
1C
Ac
d
te
3E, 3G
3C, 3E, 3G
3G
3C, 3E, 3G
3A, 3D
3C, 3G
3B
3A
3A
3A
3A, 3C
3B, 3C
3A, 3E, 3G
3B, 3C, 3D
3C
3B, 3C, 3D
3B, 3E
3A, 3G
3A
3A
3A, 3B, 3C
3A
3A
3A, 3D, 3E, 3I
3B, 3G
3F
3A, 3I
3B, 3E
3H
3I
3G
3E
3G
3G
3G
3F, 3G, 3I
3G
3A
3C
3H, 3I
3D, 3E, 3G, 3H
3B, 3G
3B
3A
3A
3C
3E
3B, 3I
3B, 3C
3I
3B
3E
3I
Object
9A
9A, 9C
9C
9C
9C
9A
9A, 9C
9D
9D
9D
9C
9A, 9B
9B, 9C
9A
9A
9A, 9B, 9C
9C
9A
9D
9D
9A
9A, 9B, 9C
9D
9A
9A
9A, 9C
9D
9A
9A
9D
9A
9A, 9B, 9C
9A
9C
9C
9A
9B, 9C
9D
9A
9A
9B, 9C
9A, 9C
9A
9D
9D
9A
9C
9A
9A
9C
9A
9A, 9C
9A
Method
ip
t
Data
8C, 8D
8B, 8D
8D
8B
8F
8A
8A, 8D
8F
8F
8F 8
8B
8A
8D
8A, 8C
8C, 8D
8A, 8B
8D
8A, 8C, 8D
8F
8D
8A, 8B
8D
8F
8B
8A, 8B
8F
8F
8A, 8B
8A
8F
8B, 8D
8B, 8D
8D
8B
8B, 8D
8A, 8B
8F
8A, 8D
8A, 8B
8A, 8B
8B, 8D
8A
8A
8F
8F
8A, 8D
8B, 8D
8A, 8B, 8C
8A
8F
8A, 8E
8D
8A
cr
7D
7C
7B
7D
7E
7D
7D
7E
7E
7E
7E
7A
7E
7C
7D
7D
7D
7C
7E
7D
7C
7D
7E
7C
7D
7E
7E
7C
7B
7E
7A
7A
7C
7E
7E
7C
7E
7B
7C
7D
7E
7D
7C
7E
7E
7C
7C
7D
7D
7E
7A
7C
7D
Period
us
6H
6B
6B
6D
6B
6C
6C
6E
6A
6G
6B
6B, 6C
6B
6B
6B, 6D
6B
6B
6B
6A
6B, 6I
6B
6D
6A
6B
6B
6A
6G
6B, 6G, 6H
6B, 6C, 6D
6B
6B
6B
6B
6B
6B
6B
6A, 6H
6A
6B, 6D, 6F, 6I
6B, 6D
6B
6C
6C
6B
6A, 6B
6H
6B, 6H
6B
6B, 6C
6F, 6I
6A, 6C, 6I
6B
6C
Focus
an
5C
5C
5A
5C
5D
5A
5A
5D
5A
5D
5D
5A
5D
5A
5C
5A
5B
5B
5A
5B
5A
5A
5A
5A
5A
5D
5A
5A
5A
5A
5B
5B
5B
5D
5D
5A
5A
5A
5C
5C
5D
5C
5A
5D
5C
5A
5A
5A
5A
5D
5C
5B
5A
Context
4D
4D
4A
4D
4B
4A
4A
4E
4A
4E
4E
4A
4E
4A
4D
4D
4A
4A
4A
4A
4A
4A
4B
4B
4A
4E
4B
4C
4A
4B
4A
4A
4A
4E
4E
4A
4B
4B
4D
4D
4E
4D
4B
4E
4D
4C
4C
4A
4A
4E
4D
4A
4B
Scope
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2B
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2B
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2A
2A
2C
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2B
2D
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
Approach
ce
p
Type
Study
10A
10B
10B
10A
10B
10A
10B
10B
10D
10A
10B
10D
10B
10D
10B
10A
10C
10A
10B
10B
10B
10B
10B
10A
10C
10B
10B
10B
10D
10A
10B
10C
10C
10A
10A
10D
10B
10B
10C
10B
10C
10B
10A
10B
10B
10B
10B
10A
10A
10A
10A
10A
10A
Results
34
Page 34 of 55
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1B
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1A
1B
1C
1B
1A
1B
1B
1B
1B
1C
1A
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1A
1A
1B
1B
1A
1B
1A
1B
1B
Ac
us
Focus
6B, 6D
6B, 6F
6I
6H
6H
6B, 6C, 6I
6B
6B
6B, 6C, 6D
6C
6B, 6C, 6I
6B
6B, 6C, 6D, 6G, 6I
6B, 6D, 6I
6F
6A
6B
6B
6B, 6I
6B
6A
6B
6B, 6F, 6G
6H
6B
6B, 6D, 6I
6B
6B
6B
6I
6B, 6I
6B
6C
6B
6B, 6H
6B, 6H
6B
6B
6B
6A
6C, 6I
6B, 6D, 6I
6B, 6E, 6I
6D
6B
6B
6A, 6I
6B
6B
6A
6C
6B
6A, 6G
6G, 6H
an
5C
5A
5A
5A
5B
5A
5C
5A
5A
5A
5C
5A
5C
5A
5D
5B
5A
5A
5B
5B
5B
5B
5A
5B
5A
5A
5D
5C
5B
5D
5B
5B
5A
5C
5A
5A
5A
5A
5D
5C
5C
5C
5A
5A
5C
5D
5A
5B
5B
5D
5A
5D
5B
5C
Context
4D
4B
4B
4C
4C
4B
4C
4C
4C
4A
4D
4C
4D
4A
4E
4A
4B
4C
4A
4A
4D
4B
4A
4A
4B
4A
4E
4B
4A
4E
4A
4A
4B
4B
4B
4A
4A
4A
4E
4C
4D
4D
4B
4A
4D
4E
4C
4A
4A
4E
4A
4E
4A
4B
Scope
te
3C, 3G
3B, 3C
3B
3C
3C
3B
3B, 3C, 3H
3D, 3E, 3G, 3I
3C, 3E, 3G
3B
3I
3A, 3I
3C, 3E
3B
3B
3D, 3E, 3G
3B, 3E, 3G
3C
3E, 3G
3C, 3E
3A, 3D
3C, 3E, 3G
3A, 3I
3C
3E
3C
3A
3E, 3G
3B, 3I
3C
3C
3A, 3D, 3I
3I
3E, 3G
3A, 3E, 3F, 3I
3B, 3C
3D
3D, 3E
3C, 3E, 3G
3A
3B
3A, 3F, 3I
3A, 3I
3F, 3I
3H
3D, 3H, 3I
3A
3E, 3G
3E, 3I
3A
3B, 3I
3A, 3G, 3I
3B, 3I
3B
Object
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2D
2D
2A
2B
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2A
2D
2A
2B
2B
2A
2A
2D
2B
2A
2A
2D
2A
2A
2A
2A
Approach
ce
p
Type
Study
cr
7D
7C
7D
7D
7B
7C
7D
7D
7C
7D
7C
7A
7D
7D
7E
7B
7D
7C
7D
7D
7B
7B
7D
7B
7D
7D
7E
7E
7B
7C
7C
7A
7D
7E
7D
7A
7A
7C
7E
7E
7D
7D
7E
7B
7D
7E
7B
7C
7A
7E
7D
7E
7C
7D
Period
ip
t
8A
8A, 8D
8A
8A
8A
8A, 8B
8A, 8B
8B, 8D
8A
8A
8C, 8D
8B, 8C
8A, 8C
8A, 8B, 8D
8F
8D
8A
8A
8A, 8C, 8D
8D
8D
8D
8B, 8D
8A
8A
8A
8F
8B
8A, 8C
8D
8B, 8C
8B, 8C, 8D
8A
8B, 8D
8A, 8B, 8C
8A
8D
8B
8E
8F
8A
8D
8F
8B
8A, 8B, 8C, 8D
8F
8F
8B
8B
8F
8A
8D
8A, 8C, 8D
8A, 8C
Data
9A
9A, 9C
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A
9A, 9B, 9C
9A
9C
9A
9C
9A, 9B
9A
9C
9C
9A
9C
9A
9C
9C
9C
9A, 9C
9A
9A
9A
9D
9D
9A, 9C
9D
9C
9B, 9C
9A
9C
9A
9A
9A, 9B
9A
9B, 9C
9D
9A, 9C
9D
9D
9A
9A
9D
9D
9C
9C
9D
9A
9A
9A
9A
Method
10B
10A
10B
10C
10C
10D
10B
10B
10A
10A
10A
10A
10A
10D
10B
10B
10A
10B
10C
10B
10C
10C
10A
10C
10D
10C
10B
10D
10C
10B
10A
10C
10A
10D
10B
10B
10B
10B
10B
10D
10B
10B
10B
10C
10A
10D
10B
10B
10B
10B
10B
10A
10B
10B
Results
ip
t
cr
us
Type of Approach
Number of Articles
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Empirical.
Theoretical and Empirical.
Theoretical and Empirical.
an
Study Type
29
35
4
8
167
22
1
Quantitative
Qualitative
Mixed
Survey/Review
Quantitative
Quantitative
Mixed
Ac
ce
p
te
35
Page 35 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
Object
Number of Articles
71
53
46
23
55
14
54
15
56
te
Regulation.
Market Risk.
Credit Risk/Default/Counterparty/Sovereign.
Liquidity risk.
Contagion.
Size of institutions.
Interconnectivity/Interdependence.
Concentration/Diversification/Competition.
Others.
Ac
ce
p
36
Page 36 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
From market.
From balance sheet.
Macroeconomic.
From regulators.
Not applicable.
46
14
31
35
50
46
34
44
-
Type of Data
Ac
ce
p
te
37
Page 37 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
Methods Used
134
1
40
9
22
15
5
40
te
Econometric/Statistical/Multivariate Analysis.
Computational/Simulation.
Mathematical Modelling.
Econom./Stat./ Multivariate An. & Comput./Simulation
Econom./Stat./ Multivariate An. & Mathematical Model.
Comput./Simulation & Mathematical Model.
Econom./Stat./ Multivariate An. & Comput./Simulation & Mathematical Model.
Not applicable.
Number of Articles
Ac
ce
p
38
Page 38 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
M
Results
75
127
40
24
New perspectives.
Consistent with previously published literature.
Replication to a different context or period.
Comparative study.
Number of Articles
Ac
ce
p
te
39
Page 39 of 55
Articles Title
1
2
3
Bernanke (1983).
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Acharya (2001).
Borio et al. (2001).
Borio and Lowe (2002).
De Nicolo and Kwast (2002).
31
Borio (2003).
32
Furfine (2003).
33
34
Wells (2004).
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
45
46
47
48
Ac
44
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
Reference
ce
p
N.
Mistrulli (2007).
49
50
40
Page 40 of 55
Reference
Articles Title
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
Brunnermeier (2009).
Brunnermeier and Pedersen (2009).
Brunnermeier et al. (2009).
Haldane (2009).
Acharya et al. (2010).
Adrian and Brunnermeier (2010).
Brownlees and Engle (2010).
Gai and Kapadia (2010).
May and Arinaminpathy (2010).
Tarashev et al. (2010).
Mistrulli (2011).
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
te
78
79
80
81
86
ce
p
82
83
84
85
87
88
89
Ac
90
91
92
94
93
94
95
96
Upper (2011).
Acharya et al. (2012).
Arinaminpathy et al. (2012).
68
69
70
cr
67
us
Zhou (2010).
Brunnermeier et al. (2011).
Drehmann and Tarashev (2011).
Gai et al. (2011).
Haldane and May (2011).
Huang et al. (2011).
an
61
62
63
64
65
66
ip
t
N.
97
98
99
Table 15: Articles considered in the research on systemic financial risk (Continued).
41
Page 41 of 55
ip
t
cr
Articles Title
8
9
10
Borio (2003).
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
an
ce
p
te
1
2
3
4
5
6
us
Reference
N.
Ac
Table 16: Reference articles in the research on systemic financial risk (Main network).
42
Page 42 of 55
43
Page 43 of 55
Ac
Diamond (1984).
Borio (2003).
5
6
10
11
12
13
14
Type
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
Systemic risk in a
specific market.
te
Banking panics.
Financial intermediation and diversification.
Banking panics.
Callable debt, optimal contract.
Banking panics.
Contagion.
Liquidity and contagion in the interbank
system.
Concepts and models of systemic risk.
Bank consolidation.
Micro
x
macro
regulation.
Contagion.
Contagion.
Financial crisis.
2007 crisis.
Liquidity and funding.
Liquidity and leverage.
Regulation.
Systemic risk of a
given bank.
Systemic risk of a
given bank.
Systemic risk of a
given bank.
Systemic risk of a
given bank.
Contagion.
Contagion and counterparty risk.
Contagion.
Contagion.
Contagion.
Method
us
Mathematical.
Network models.
Network models.
Review.
Scope
USA.
USA.
USA.
USA, Europe.
Not applicable.
USA.
Not applicable.
Austria.
Belgium.
World.
USA
Not applicable.
USA
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
USA.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
ip
t
USA.
Europe.
Europe.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
USA.
cr
Mathematical and network modelling.
Econometric.
Econometric.
Econometric.
Econometric.
Econometric.
Descriptiveanalytical.
Econometric.
an
Network models.
Simulation.
Comparative analysis.
Descriptiveanalytical.
Descriptiveanalytical.
Econometric
Review.
Mathematical modelling.
Economic modelling.
Mathematical modelling.
Mathematical modelling.
Review.
Mathematical modelling.
Mathematical modelling.
Theme/Main Object
Empirical.
Empirical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical
and empirical.
Theoretical.
Empirical.
Empirical.
Empirical.
Empirical.
Empirical.
Theoretical.
Empirical.
Theoretical.
Empirical.
Empirical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Empirical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
Theoretical.
ce
p
Article
N.
19982013.
2010.
2011.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
19942008.
20042010.
20002010.
20062009.
19712013.
Not applicable.
19922008.
Not applicable.
19892002.
19932002.
Secs. XIX a XXI.
20072009.
Not applicable.
19881999.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Not applicable.
Period
ip
t
cr
us
an
M
d
te
ce
p
Ac
44
Page 44 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
M
d
te
ce
p
Ac
45
Page 45 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
M
d
te
ce
p
Ac
46
Page 46 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
M
d
te
ce
p
Ac
47
Page 47 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
M
d
te
ce
p
Ac
48
Page 48 of 55
ip
t
cr
us
an
M
d
te
ce
p
Ac
49
Page 49 of 55
50
Page 50 of 55
6
5
4
3
2
1
102
101
100
99
98
97
96
95
94
10
93
11
92
12
91
13
90
14
89
15
88
16
87
17
86
18
85
19
21
22
84
83
82
24
81
80
23
te
20
ce
p
Ac
79
25
27
28
78
77
29
30
31
76
75
74
73
72
32
71
33
70
34
68
36
67
37
65
39
64
40
63
41
62
42
61
43
ip
t
66
38
cr
69
35
us
an
26
60
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
Pajek
51
Page 51 of 55
6
5
4
3
2
1
102
101
100
99
98
97
96
95
94
10
93
11
92
12
91
13
90
14
89
15
88
16
87
17
86
18
85
19
21
22
84
83
82
24
81
80
23
te
20
ce
p
Ac
79
25
27
28
78
77
29
30
31
76
75
74
73
72
32
71
33
70
34
68
36
67
37
65
39
64
40
63
41
62
42
61
43
ip
t
66
38
cr
69
35
us
an
26
60
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
Pajek
52
Page 52 of 55
98
99
100
102
97
96
95
12
93
13
92
14
89
15
101
88
16
87
94
10
18
86
91
11
19
85
90
17
20
21
24
22
84
83
82
23
25
81
71
te
ce
p
Ac
80
27
29
79
66
56
30
32
33
78
77
76
55
31
75
34
54
40
35
74
50
46
72
51
42
37
70
38
cr
73
52
41
36
us
an
26
28
68
43
67
44
ip
t
69
39
65
45
64
47
63
48
62
61
60
59
58
57
53
49
Pajek
53
Page 53 of 55
Calomiris1997
Borio2002
Kindleberger1978
Calomiris1991b
Borio2001
Allen2000
Kaminsky1999
Bernanke1989
DeNicolo2002
Gauthier2012
Stiglitz1981
Borio2003
Huang2012a
Acharya2012
cr
ip
t
Diebold2014
Hardle2016
Rodrguez-Moreno2013
Brownlees2010
Girardi2013
Drehman2011
Tarashev2010
Segoviano2009
Zhou2010
Huang2016
Civitarese2016
Arinaminpathy2012
Battiston2012a
Glasserman2014
Hautsch2015
Adrian2010
us
Huang2011
Zheng2012
Acharya2010
Bernal2014
Acharya2001
Adrian2009
Brunnermeier2009c
Billio2012
Bisias2012
an
Lehar2005
Brunnermeier2009b
Acemoglu2013
Cont2012
Elliot2014
Haldane2009c
Gai2011
Fink2016
Roukny2013
Souza2016b
Allen2009a
Battiston2009
Cifuentes2005
Leitner2005
Brunnermeier2009a
Brunnermeier2011
Bernanke1983
Allen1998
Degryse2007
Upper2011
Allen2000a
Freixas2000a
Nier2007
Allen2007
Elsinger2006
DeBandt2000
Calomiris1991a
Diamond2005
Diamond1983
Rochet1996
Furfine2003
Upper2004
Gai2010
Haldane2011
Bargigli2014
Chinazzi2015
Langfield2014
Battiston2012b
Caccioli2012
Wells2004
Lelyveld2012
Upper2007
Mistrulli2011
Fricke2012
Mistrulli2007
te
May2010
Sheldon1998
Mistrulli2005
Gorton1988
Diamond1984
Holmstrom1997
Freixas1998
Holmstrom1998
Diamond1999
Kaufman1994
Shleifer1992
Bryant1980
Bhattacharya1987
Huang2013
He2016
Martinez-Jaramillo2014
Sandhu2016
ce
p
Craig2010
Ac
Pajek
54
Page 54 of 55
Elliot2014
Glasserman2014
Chinazzi2015
Sandhu2016
Diamond1983
Diamond1984
Calomiris1991a
Calomiris1991b
Allen1998
Allen2000a
Acemoglu2013
Freixas2000a
Billio2012
Huang2011
Brownlees2010
ip
t
Acharya2010
Brunnermeier2009c
Brunnermeier2009b
Brunnermeier2009a
Adrian2009
Degryse2007
Allen2007
Elsinger2006
cr
Adrian2010
Borio2003
us
DeNicolo2002
an
DeBandt2000
te
ce
p
Ac
Pajek
Research Highlights
1. The study analyses and classify 266 articles regarding systemic financial risk;
2. The relevance of this paper is due to its theme impact on economic and social welfare; and
Ac
ce
p
te
an
us
cr
ip
t
3. The study follows a method that allows the identification of gaps for future research.
Research Highlights
Page 1 of 1.
Page 55 of 55