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September - 2010
LESSONSFROMTHE
NORWEGIANEXPERIENCE
By
FaroukAlKasim
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1.INTRODUCTION
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TotalRecoverableResources=81.1BBOE
Remainingbyendof2009=51.0BBOE
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1.57billionbblequiv./year
4,000,000bbl/day
D
E
T
EC
J
O
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P
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Norwaysmanagementofthepetroleumsector
hasbeenadmiredmainlybecauseit:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Masteredtheoffshorechallenges.
Managedtoprotecttheenvironment.
AvoidedtheOILCURSE.
Maintainedgrowthinnonoilsectorsoftheeconomy
Developedworldclassoffshoreindustry.
Improvedoilrecovery(30%to45%).
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had:
Efficientgovernance.
Socialdemocraticculture.
Homogeneoussociety.
Welldevelopedinstitutions.
Highleveleducationandresearch.
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2.SALIENTFEATURESINTHE
NORWEGIANAPPROACH
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1.ConsensusonNationalSteering
2.GovernmentLicenseePartnership
3.LicensingPolicy
4.CompetitionandDiversityamonglicensees
5.StatePetroleumAdministration
6.DevelopmentofNationalExpertise
7.NationalParticipationandLocalContent
8.HSEMonitoringSystem
9.DataManagement
10.ImprovedResourceEfficiency
11.RevenueManagement
12.SUMMARY
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y Earlypoliticalconsensusonfullnational
controlonthetempoanddirectionof
petroleumactivities:Objective:AVOIDTHE
OILCURSE.
y PoliticalpartiesagreedtokeepOiloutof
electioncampaigns.Theyhavekepttheir
word.Sofar.
y Slowlicensingin70stoprotectnonoil
enterprises.
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PartnershipbetweenIndustryandStateisatraditionin
Norway.
y NorthSeachallengesemphasisedneedforpartnership
y Indesigningthefiscalterms,governmentwaskeento
provideinvestorswith:
Securerecoveryofinvestment,plus:
Adequaterewardsreflectinginvestmentrisk.
y
Governmentretainedmostofthewindfallprofit
whenpriceswentup.Highstateparticipationand
taxationmakesgovernmentbeartherisk.
TotalGovernmentTakeincludingprofitonstate
participationreachesupto80%.
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Thestateplaysaproactiveroleinpromotingexploration.
y Licensingisbaseduponopenandcompetitivebidding.
y TherearenobonusesinNorwaybecause:
y
Bonusesareoftendeductiblefromincome.Theyarevirtuallyloans
thatreducefundsavailableforexplorationandfielddevelopment.
ExcessivebonusescanalsodilutetheGovernmentsmoralauthority
astheregulator.
Thefrequencyandresourcecontentoflicensingrounds
regulatethetempoandthegeographicspreadofactivities.
y Gradual expansionofexplorationareashelpsimprove
licensingtermsanddiscoveryratesinsubsequentlicence
rounds.
y Fewblocksatatime.Notalleggsinonebasket..
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y
y
y
y
y
Competitionhelpsimprovelicensingtermsinanyroundand
alsotheefficiencyofoperationsingeneral.
EachLicenceGroupcontains3to5colicensees.
ColicenseesandoperatorareselectedbytheMinistry.
Rigorousscreeningeliminatesnonqualifiedapplicants.
Diversityhelpsovercometechnologicalchallengesandalso
assiststheREGULATORbyhavingmostrelevantoptions
investigatedbyvariouscolicenseeswithinlicensegroups.
In1985theParliamentreducedStatoilsdominanceinorder
torestorebalancetovotingrightsthusprotectingdiversity.
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MINISTRY
POLICY
DIRECTORATE
REGULATOR
ADMINISTRATIVESEPARATION
IOC -1
IOC - 2
Statoil: 67%ownedbytheState
NOC
IOC - 3
IOC - 4
Petoro: 100%ownedbytheState
Gasco: 100%ownedbytheState
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Whyisthemodelsuccessful?
y
Separationofadministrativetasksfrom
commercialinterestsofgovernmentis
essentialforensuring:
a) Dedicated,unbiasedandprofessionalregulator.
b) Equalandfairtreatmentofallstakeholdersincludingnationals.
c) Effectivecooperationbetweengovernmentandcompanies.
d) Effectivecooperationbetweennationalandinternationalfirms.
e) Accountabilityforallplayers.
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Inthemid70soilcompanieswereaskedtocontributetothe
developmentofnationalexpertise.Notonlywithinoil.
Oilcompanieshelpedacceleratetechnologicaldevelopment.
Qualityresearchatlowcostimpressedtheoilcompanies.
Norwegianacademicandindustrialinstitutionsweresoon
operatingattheforefrontofpetroleumtechnologies.
Today,theoffshoreindustryprovideshighexportrevenues.
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Objectivesofnationalparticipationare:
1.
EnhancenationalcontrolwithinLicenceGroups
2.
Increasethenationalshareofprofits.
3.
SpendingofcapitalandoperationalcostsinNorway
maximisesbenefit.
4.
Supportemploymentandindustrialdevelopment.
5.
Stimulatetechnologicaldevelopmentandknowhow.
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PARTICIPATIONASINVESTOR
y From1970,nationalparticipationataminimumof50%.
y 3nationalcompaniesownedover33%ofthelicenceshares.Statoil
hastodayadominantrolebut23%ofitssharesareprivate.
y Petorois100%governmentowned.Itholdsthestatesdirect
participationsharesandsendsprofitsdirectlytotheTreasury.
LOCALCONTENT
y Norwayencouragedthedevelopmentofacompetentlocalcontent.
y Theultimateaimof70%ofdeliverieswaspartlymetinearly80s.
y Astateoftheartoffshoreindustrywasthusdevelopedwithin10yrs
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The"InternalControl principlemeansthatthelicensees
areresponsibleformaintainingthegovernmentsstandards
forHSEbydevelopingtheirowncodesandprocedures.
Theauthorities'roleisthereforetoensurethat:
a) Operators'codesandproceduresareadequateformeetingthe
objectivessetoutbygovernment,and
b) Auditsconductedbytheregulatoryauthorityensurethatoperators
adheretotheirsowncodesandprocedures.
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y
y
y
y
Dataisthebasisforcommunicationanddialogue.Itisthus
fundamentaltoalldecisions.
NPDandothercompaniesstartedeachtheirowndata
systems.Thisdidnothelpcommunicationordataexchange.
Inthe80s,NPDtooktheinitiativetostandardisereporting,
storageandexchangeofdata.
Today,acollectivedatabaseisoperatedbyaneutral
operatorsecuringprotectedandefficientaccessforall
subscribers,atalowersharedcost.
Accesstodataisthusmadeeasier,faster,morereliableand
athighquality.Efficiencyisthusenhancedcollectively.
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Throughpositivepartnershiptheoilcompaniesandthe
authoritieshaveworkedtogetherto:
y Achieveahighdiscoveryrate.
y Increasedevelopmentofdiscoveredresources.
y Increaserecoveryfromproducingreservoirs.
>RESOURCES
>RESERVES
>IOR
Averageoilrecoverywasincreasedfromworldaverageof
30%to45%.Thisimpliesimprovementinbothproduction
profilesandultimaterecovery.
y Licensee/governmentcooperationalsocoveredjoint
researchprojects,pilotproductionschemesandcontinual
consultationsonimprovedrecovery.
y Jointresearchprojectswerealsoconductedonother
importantpioneeringprojects.
y
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HowdidNorwaymanagetoavoidthe OILCURSE?
y WhitePaperNo.25of1974warnedthenationagainsttheOilCurse.
y Slowlicensinginthe70sallowedtheeconomytoadjustgradually.
y From1990,theOilFund(NowcalledthePensionFund)insulatedoil
revenuefromnationalspending.TheFundcanonlyinvestabroad.
y TheFundalsoprovidesacushionagainstsuddendropinoilprices.
y LocalcontentdevelopmentledtotheexportofNorwegianOffshore
ServicesandEquipmentonasustainablebasis.
y Governmentmonetarypoliciessucceededinmaintaininggrowthin
nonoilsectorsoftheeconomy.
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1. Wouldpoliticalconsensusonfundamentalaspectsofpetroleum
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
policyhelpgainthelongtermconfidenceofinvestors?Isitpossible?
Howdowecreateamodeofproactivecollaborationbetween
governmentandinvestorsinexplorationandfielddevelopment?
Isdiversityoflicenseesapracticethatneedstobeconsidered?
HasNewZealandtriedorganisingextensiveseismicsurveysin
selectedbasinsjointlywithoilcompanies?Or,alternatively
speculativeSurveys.
Isthegovernmentwillingtoparticipateinthegassectorinorderto
providelongtermconfidenceamonginvestors?
Doesgovernmenttaketheleadindevelopingthegasinfrastructure
andinoptimisingitsutilisation.WhataboutfacilitatingThird Party
Access?
Hasacommondatabankbeenestablishedthatwouldfacilitate
communicationandexperiencesharingamongallstakeholders?
IsthereascopeforIOR?Isthereastrategyforachievingthe
objectives?
Isthereaclearpolicyfortheutilisationofpetroleumrevenue that
secureslonglastingbenefitforthenation?
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