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Your project plan will include your projects scope, schedule, and costs.
Project plans may also include resource loading and a quality plan.
Project Managers use tools like Oracle Primavera P6 or Microsoft
Project to create their resource-loaded project schedule (or they simply
use an Excel spreadsheet to organize their project though managing
projects in Excel can quickly become a headache). Project Managers
will also integrate these tools with other software packages during work
execution for daily progress tracking, delay tracking and timesheets.
2. What you plan to spend and what you expect to have
done for the dollars spent
The project will have a budget that needs to be aligned to the
completion of Activities which is the scope of the project. Your project
plan will need to show that you plan to have X Activities Done by Y Date
and it will cost you $MM.
For example: you have a project with 20 Activities and a budget of
$5MM to be completed over 10 months. Your plan may say:
$5MM is your Budget at Completion (BAC) and the starting point for
your Earned Value Management.
3. Metrics to quantify work % complete
Not all activities in your scope are created equal. You need to decide
how you will measure when an activity in your scope is completed and
how that will credit your overall percent complete on the project.
Actual % Complete
Actual Costs
Of course the more field data you have the better you can understand
the factors impacting your project delivery and develop plans
for mitigating the risks to your project objectives in terms of schedule
and cost performance.
5. Formulas to calculate Earned Value, Cost Variance,
Schedule Variance, Cost Performance Index, Schedule
Performance Index and Variance at Completion
There are 4 primary data points you need to begin with Earned Value
Management and you should be able to calculate these data points for
any data date on your S-Curve Report:
1. BAC = Budget at Completion (BAC)
What you plan to spend for 100% complete on the project
BAC = Total Planned Cost
2. PV = Planned Value (also called Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled
or BWCS)
What you plan to spend on what you plan to be completed
PV = BAC x (% Completed Planned)
3. AC = Actual Cost (also called Actual Cost of Work Performed or
ACWP)
The actual cost of the work performed on the project
AC = SUM(Cost)
4. EV = Earned Value (also called Budgeted Cost for Work Performed or
BWCP)
What you planned to spend ($) on whats actually been done
(work % complete)
EV = BAC x (% Completed Actual)
To Summarize:
From these data points you can calculate your projects variances from
the original project baseline plan, which are the real indicators to project
stakeholders on how your project is progressing. The main variances
Project Managers care about are Cost Variance, Schedule Variance and
Variance at Completion:
5. CV = Cost Variance (how far over or under budget am I?)
CV = EV AC
6. CV% = Cost Variance % (how far over or under budget expressed as
a %)
CV% = (CV) / (EV) * 100%
7. SV = Schedule Variance (how far ahead or behind schedule am I?)
SV = EV PV
8. SV% = Schedule Variance % (how far ahead or behind schedule
expressed as a %)
SV% = (SV) / (PV) * 100%
9. VAC = Variance at Completion (Variance of total actual cost and
expected cost)
VAC = BAC EAC
EAC is your Estimate at Completion and is explained below.
In addition to your variances you can also calculate your cost and
schedule performance index values (CPI and SPI):
10. CPI = Cost Performance Index
This is the ratio of planned spend on whats actually done to whats
actually spent for the work delivered by reporting date
CPI = (EV) / (AC)
A value greater than 1 is typically good (it indicates your cost to date is
less than planned) and a value less than 1 is typically bad (it indicates
your cost to date is more than planned). A value of 1 indicates you are
on plan.
11. SPI = Schedule Performance Index
This is the ratio of planned spend on whats actually done to planned
spend on what you planned to have done by reporting date
SPI = (EV) / (PV)
A value greater than 1 is typically good (it indicates your are ahead of
schedule vs. plan) and a value less than 1 is typically bad (it indicates
you are behind schedule vs. plan). A value of 1 indicate you are on plan.
Lastly, with the above calculations completed you can do some project
forecasting to see where you expect to end up:
12. EAC = Estimate at Completion
This is the expected total cost to hit 100% complete on your projects
scope. The typical formula to calculate EAC assumes that similar
variances to those experienced on the project to date will occur again
over the course of the project:
EAC = AC + ((BAC EV) / CPI))
Alternatively you can calculate EAC assuming similar variance will not
occur in the future. You may want to do this in the case of a major oneoff event that impacted your project and skewed the index:
EAC = AC + (BAC EV)
With your Estimate at Completion value you can calculate your Variance
at Completion (VAC) against your planned Budget at Completion (BAC)
13. ETC = Estimate to Complete
This is the expected cost to finish the remaining work.
ETC = EAC AC
To summarize these are the formulas you would use for project
forecasting:
BAC = $5MM
PV = $2.5MM
3.
4.
AC = $3MM
EV = BAC *(AC) = $5MM * 0.4
= $2MM
5.
CV = EV AC = $2MM ($3MM
= -$1MM (over budget)
6.