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Spot prices of regionally traded rebar in Asia trended further downwards on Monday, as
prices in Chinas domestic market remained weak, with both steel futures prices and spot
billet prices marking a major decline. Platts assessed 16-20mm diameter BS500 rebar down
$1/metric ton from Friday at $262-266/mt FOB China actual weight. This implied midpoint of
$264/mt FOB took the prices to a record low since Platts started the assessment in
November 2006. To avoid serious losses major Chinese steel mills did not want to sell at
prices below $275/mt CFR Singapore theoretical weight, said one stockist in the city state.
Given the sluggish Chinese home market, the tradable price to Hong Kong should be around
$280/mt CFR actual weight (equivalent to $267/mt FOB) or below, said a Chinese trader.
300
200
100
0
2000
2007
2015
Source: Platts
Unit 29-Sep Weekly
change
World
HRC world
Rebar world
$/dmt
$/st
$/mt
55.85
435.00
278.00
-1.80
-7.50
-4.50
LATEST NEWS
The automotive sector has been the major bright spot in the portfolios of European and US steelmakers
this year. The crisis at Volkswagen has therefore been unwelcome news at a time of falling steel prices
and uncertainty over Chinas economy.
According to the latest ACEA figures, August marked an 11.2% year-on-year increase in European car
registrations. During the first eight months of the year the recovery has been strong at 8.6% y-o-y.
Similarly, in the US, total light vehicle production in the first eight months of the year is up 3.9% at just
shy of 12 million units.
CONTENTS
EDITORS COMMENT
Steelmakers look on in horror at automotive car crash
The Chinese market is one of the biggest for German produced cars and the slowdown in the worlds
economic growth engine will have a major impact. IHS Automotive cut its full-year Chinese market
growth outlook to 1.4% from 4.4%. This equates to 700,000 fewer vehicles, while the shortfall for 2015-17
totals 3.6 million cars and light trucks.
The picture was thus a little murky even before the diesel emissions scandal that has seen VWs share
price drop 40%, and led the company to set aside 6.5 billion in expectation of a slew of legal cases.
The impact on consumer sentiment will not be known until we see the September/October sales figures
or if it turns out the contagion spreads beyond VW. Steelmakers will be watching the situation closely and
strapping on their seatbelts. Peter Brennan
www.platts.com
www.twitter.com/PlattsSteel
METALS
World Crude steel production in August was 132 million metric tons, down 3.5%
year-on-year.
Japans steel imports in August decreased by 1% y-o-y to 639,929 mt.
Japans crude steel output in August fell by 5.8% y-o-y to 8.8m mt.
China exported 359,586 mt of seamless pipes in August, up 1% month-onmonth.
South Koreas HRC imports in August rose 11% y-o-y and 2% m-o-m at 447,300
mt.
South Koreas heavy plate imports stood at only 188,700 mt, down 32% y-o-y
and 15% m-o-m.
US mills produced 1.706m st of steel, up 0.7 % week-on-week.
Ukraines pipe production in the first eight months of the year fell 44% y-o-y at
570,000 mt.
Mexico's crude steel production in July totaled 1.52m mt, down 1.6% y-o-y.
Flats
South Wales hot strip mill, Liberty Steel Newport, is to restart rolling
in early-October. The move has been long awaited by the market
since Liberty Commodities bought the strip mill in July 2013. Liberty
already has around 32,000 mt of slab on the ground ready to roll.
Italian steelmaker Ilva has restarted hot strip mill No.1 at its Taranto
works, which means both the plant's hot strip mills are now working,
though not at full capacity.
Longs
Brazil's long steel imports in August dropped to less than one-fifth of the yearago month, to 14,760 mt.
Brazilian independent flat steel distributors and service centers shipped
254,400 mt in August, down 29.6% y-o-y.
Colombian crude steel output increased 6% y-o-y in August to 110,000 mt.
Venezuela produced 130,000 mt of crude steel in August,
up 34% y-o-y.
Argentina produced 473,500 mt of crude steel in August, up 1.3% y-o-y and
9.9% m-o-m.
Latin American countries produced 5.5 m mt of crude steel in August, down 1%
y-o-y and up 1% m-o-m.
Raw Materials
Russian miner and steelmaker, Metalloinvest, has produced the first
trial lot at its newly-built pelletizing plant at its Mikhailovsky iron ore
operation. The facility is in west Russia, has a capacity of 5 million
mt/y.
Trade
Indian steelmakers and re-rollers have demanded a 20% duty on prepainted galvanized (PPGI) steel products, following the Indian
governments application of an identical 20% safeguard duty on hot
rolled coil imports.
South Koreas Hyundai Steel plans to start hot run trials on its new 1
million mt/y plant for specialty steel from November. Commercial
production of specialty rebar and wire rod is expected from
February 2016.
Stainless and electrical steel producer, Slovenian Steel Group (SIJ), has
bought a local producer of industrial equipment, Sistemska Tehnika,
enabling it to gain a stronger presence in the end-user market.
Prices rising
No change
Prices falling
Week ending
18-Sep
Week ending
25-Sep
$/mt
W-o-W change
US Flats
HRC EXW Indiana STHRI00
CRC EXW Indiana STRRI00
$/st
$/st
440.00 - 450.00
550.00 - 570.00
430.00 - 450.00
550.00 - 570.00
US Longs
Rebar EXW US Southeast STCBC00
$/st
500.00 - 545.00
490.00 - 545.00
Europe Flats
HRC EXW Ruhr STHRE00
CRC EXW Ruhr STRRE00
/mt
/mt
355.00 - 365.00
445.00 - 455.00
350.00 - 360.00
445.00 - 455.00
Europe Longs
Rebar EXW Northwest Europe STCBE00
/mt
390.00 - 400.00
385.00 - 395.00
CIS Flats
HRC FOB Black Sea STHRB00
CRC FOB Black Sea STRRB00
$/mt
$/mt
300.00 - 305.00
375.00 - 380.00
290.00 - 295.00
365.00 - 370.00
- -10.00
- -10.00
Turkey Flats
HRC domestic EXW Turkey* SB01154
$/mt
355.00 - 365.00
345.00 - 355.00
- -10.00
Yuan/mt
Yuan/mt
1920.00 - 1930.00
1970.00 - 1980.00
1900.00 - 1910.00
1960.00 - 1970.00
$/mt
$/mt
280.00 - 287.00
285.00 - 288.00
278.00 - 287.00
281.00 - 284.00
- -1.00
- -4.00
All prices are assessed daily unless otherwise stated. *Assessed weekly
Other forecasts
The director general of the World Steel Association has given a
positive outlook for the direction of long term steel consumption,
but accepted it will be difficult for steel companies to survive to
see the boon.
Speaking at the UK Steel Forum, Edwin Basson expected crude
steel output to reach between 2.2 and 2.7 billion mt/year by 2050,
and in particular noted an imminent need for mass infrastructure
projects in Europe.
Flats
Billet
Platts assessed CIS billet at $280/metric ton FOB Black Sea on Friday
September 25, down $6/mt on the previous week. The Black Sea billet
market was calm towards the end of the week as Turkey, Egypt, Saudi
Arabia and many other buying markets were closed for the Feast of the
Sacrifice holiday. The remaining players, mostly in Europe and the CIS,
largely refrained from taking any action until next week, but alluded to
continued bearishness. Demand for imported billet remained lackluster in
Southeast Asia last week, with buyers wary of low-offers from China,
regional trading sources said. The Islamic holiday at the end of last week,
the approaching mid-Autumn festivals in South Korea, Hong Kong and
Taiwan and the National Day holidays in China all dampened buying
interest. In Manila Chinese offers for Q275 120/130mm billet were at $295300/mt CFR, with Q235 billet at $292-295/mt CFR, local trading sources
said Friday. But importers continued to shun these offers and no deals
were heard done last week. In Thailand, many Chinese offers for 150mm
Q235 billet for end-November shipment were at $277/mt CFR, but there
was little acceptance. On Friday, Platts assessed East Asian 120/130mm
billet imports at $280-285/mt CFR, down $5/mt from the previous week.
Coil
Russian hot rolled coil mills had diverging views on what to do with
pricing for October production. One large steelmaker was mooting a
2% increase, but the prevailing expectation in the market was that
September pricing should be rolled over. As of September 25, prices
for hot rolled sheet were holding at rubles 23,92024,050/mt ($365367/mt) for 2mm thick and rubles 23,360-23,500/mt for 4mm,
delivered Moscow. Both assessments exclude 18% VAT.
Spot prices of seaborne hot rolled coil in Asia were stable for the third
day Friday, as market activity wound down ahead of holidays in China and
South Korea. A number of mills suspended making export offers citing
better prices achievable in the domestic market. Platts assessed SS400
HRC 3.0mm thick at $270-278/mt FOB China, implying a midpoint of
$274/mt, flat on day. Q235 5.5mm HRC in Shanghai was assessed at Yuan
1,900-1,910/mt ($298-300/mt) with VAT, also unchanged. A deal for 10,000
mt of 1.4mm and 1.8mm thick re-rolling coil produced by a large mill in
northeastern China was heard concluded at $300/mt FOB earlier this
week for November shipment. This implies a spread between 3.0mm and
thin gauge coil of about $20/mt, down from $25/mt cited by some in the
market in 2014, when flat prices were well above $400/mt.
Jan-15
Mar-15
Source: Platts
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Plate
Poor overseas demand and falling hot rolled coil prices were forcing
Chinese heavy plate export offers lower last week. In parallel, exporters
expected the volume of Chinese plate shipped abroad to decline
further in coming months, given exports in August retreated 8%
month-on-month to 634,680mt. Exporters contacted by Platts said
prevailing offers from mills for SS400 12-30mm thick plate had
dropped to around $280-285/mt FOB levels that were still negotiable.
Earlier this month, offer prices were $300-305/mt FOB and at around
$290-295/mt FOB in mid-September.
Raw Materials
Iron ore
The spot seaborne iron ore market slipped again last week with the Platts
IODEX 62% Fe fines assessment ending the week $0.85/dry metric ton
lower week-on-week at $56.85/dmt cfr north China as of September 25.
The Steel Indexs (TSI) reference price for 62% Fe fines declined by $0.90/
dmt over the same period to $56.20/dmt cfr north China.
Scrap
The Turkish imported scrap market fell further last week with The Steel
Indexs reference price for HMS 1&2 80:20 down $10/mt week-on-week
to $193/mt cfr Turkey as of 25 September, while the daily Platts
assessment for the same grade fell by $8/mt w-o-w to $192/mt cfr
Turkey. The Platts shredded delivered Midwest US daily price fell by
$12.50/long ton last week to $200/lt ($196.80/mt) while TSI cut its US
domestic weekly shredded scrap reference price by $28/lt to $202/lt.
The import market for bulk ferrous scrap in East Asia remained
FEATURE
Region (city)
Shanxi (Lvliang)
Jiangsu (Yangzhou)
Jiangsu (Xuzhou)
Liaoning (Yingkou)
Hunan
Xinjiang (Baicheng)
Anhui (Wuhu)
Hubei (Ezhou)
Capacity
1,500,000
1,000,000
900,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
1,380,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
Date
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
Hubei (Wuhan)
500,000
Xinjiang
800,000
Tianjin
1,200,000
Xinjiang (Kuian)
500,000
Jilin
1,500,000
Yunnan (Anning)
1,000,000
Henan (Anyang)
4,000,000
Jiangsu (Zhangjiagang) 1,134,000
Xinjiang (Kuian)
500,000
Fujian (Zhangzhou)
500,000
Shandong (Liaocheng) 1,000,000
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
Jiangsu (Nanjing)
Sichuan (Xichang)
3,600,000 2014
1,500,000 2014
Inner Mongolia
Jilin
5,000,000 2014
2,200,000 2014
Shandong (Qingdao)
Guangdong (Zhanjiang)
Anhui (Maanshan)
Hebei (Tangshan)
Rizhao (Shandong)
4,000,000
9,000,000
2,000,000
2,000,000
8,500,000
Source: Platts
2015
2015
2016
2017
2017
Hot-rolled coil pricing at $420/st was heard available in the Midwest for
an order just above 1,000 st, according to a service center source. The
order was outside the maximum lot size of 500 st to be considered in
the Platts daily price assessment. He added that he had both a minimill and integrated mills knocking on the door for orders.
The service center source said he did not think any one mill is finding
their order book at pleasant levels. Lead times from just about
everyone I speak with are still in the two- to three-week range on HRC
with what seems to be room for expedited orders if needed."
Platts lowered its daily hot-rolled and cold-rolled coil price
assessments to $430-$440/st and $550-$560/st, respectively, down
from $430-$450/st and $550-$570/st on Friday. All prices are
normalized to a Midwest ex-works basis.
Import cold-rolled and hot-rolled coil prices into the US were lower as
offers for material from countries unnamed in trade cases were
prevalent. A trader said he was seeing drastic drops in Turkish CRC
offer prices to the US East Coast as the lira has fallen over the past
month. He said new offers were below $455/st CFR.
Vietnamese offers to the East Coast have been more limited, the
trader said, with some sample orders booked, but East Coast CRC
offers were predominately Turkish. A buyer said he was seeing CRC
offers into Houston at $470/st on a CFR basis. The new offers were
mainly out of Vietnam.
A service center source reported seeing hot-rolled coil import offers to
the port of Houston at around $350-$360/st, excluding handling and
freight at the port. HRC offers were also heard to be coming in around
$380/st on a delivered, duty-paid, loaded truck basis into Houston,
another buy-side source added.
Platts lowered its cold-rolled coil and hot-rolled coil import price
assessments to $460-$480/st and $360-$380/st from $480-$495/st
and $390-$400/st, respectively. All prices are on a CIF Houston basis.
The assessment was down $12.50/mt on day. No new bulk activity was
heard as the largest bulk buyer of US West Coast scrap, South Korea,
remained out of the market. South Koreans were heard to be paying as
low as $155/mt CFR for H2 scrap from Japan.
Scrap dealers eager to place tonnage for October shipments accepted
mill bids $30-$35/long ton below September 'buy week' prices in a
rapidly unraveling market. Mills paid as low as $200/lt for shredded
scrap and counter-offer bids were out in the market at $195/lt.
Platts assessed Midwest shredded scrap at $195-$205/lt delivered
Midwest mill, down $12.50/lt on day. Two weeks out [from the
traditional October 'buy week'] and the market is in sheer panic, one
mill buyer said last week. Guys want homes [for scrap] more than
they care about the price.
US busheling scrap prices have fallen to $200/lt into some Midwest
mills, down as much as $30/lt from the first week of September when
prices settled around $230/lt in the Midwest. Mills were generally able
to buy at $205-$215/lt; one mill reported being inundated with offers at
$215/lt and has since lowered bids. Another mill notified dealers it was
canceling all September orders. They got buried [with offers] at $215
and shut the gates. I think it will be sub $200 when it is all said and
done, one dealer said.
An export sale from the US into Turkey was transacted at $192/mt CFR for
heavy melting scrap 80:20 basis, which further dimmed US scrap market
sentiment. The sale was $8/mt below the prior US sale of $200/mt a week
earlier and well below the psychological barrier of $200/mt that some
doubted could be breached just a few weeks ago. US East Coast docks
lowered prices to $125-$135/lt for HMS I delivered to the dock.
Long products
Nucor slashed prices $40-$60/st for wide-flange beams, effective with
Mondays orders, and Steel Dynamics Inc. cut prices by the same amounts
Monday "effective immediately." Gerdau Long Steel North America
continue to slide. The Turks must stop this, but they wont. As long as
the scrap price is falling and they make money, they will drop their
prices in order to run on full capacity, he said.
Nucor-Yamato Steel is investing $75 million in a quench and selftempering process that will allow the company to produce ASTM A913
Grade 65 and Grade 70 structural sections, making it the first US producer
of these high-strength sections. Nucor-Yamato will utilize the technology
on its Mill 2, which has 1.4 million st/year of capacity. The company plans
to commission the project in the second half of 2016. "The A913 market is
a strategic part of the future of our company and will ensure we continue
to meet and exceed our customers' needs and requirements, Nucor CEO
John Ferriola said. A Nucor spokeswoman said construction will begin
immediately and the mill will not have any major outages.
Service centers
Cargill will close its Nashville flat-rolled steel service center around the
start of 2016 due to challenging market conditions and the large
investment needed to make the facility competitive. They have worked
hard to recover from the damage of the 2010 Nashville flood, but given
Weekly
change
-2.62
-2.54
-1.07
-0.99
-1.85
-1.77
10.00
8.00
10.00
2.00
4.00
6.16
23.00
6.16
Weekly
% change
$/mt
-1.58
-1.53
-0.62
-0.57
-1.09
-1.04
3.92 41.55
5.33
6.80
2.33
4.82
2.41 288.19
9.40 252.41
1.85 373.62
150
150
130
130
110
110
90
90
70
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Source: Platts
Jul-15
Sep-15
70
Sep-14
Nov-14
Advertising
Tel: +1-720-264-6631
Jan-15
Mar-15
May-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Source: Platts
FOCUS ON BRAZIL
10
MARKET OVERVIEW
The Brazilian domestic ferrous scrap market remained marred by weak physical
activity, holding prices steady this week, although a new round of price cuts are
expected to occur soon, dealers said. The Platts weekly domestic clean steel
scrap assessment is being priced stable at Real 450/mt ($113.98/mt), based on
a range of Real 430-470/mt. The HMS assessment is Real 440/mt, based on a
range of Real 430-460/mt. Turnings also were assessed static at Real 330/mt,
based on a range of Real 320-340/mt. All prices are on a delivered-to-mill basis.
FERROUS SCRAP
Clean steel scrap
430-470
HMS 430-460
Turnings 320-340
Prices in Real/mt, delivered. Taxes not included.
COMPANY PROFILE
Erdemir Group
A BRIEF HISTORY...
2014 Opens new sales office in Singapore - registered as Erdemir Asia
2002 sdemir Acquires LBE steel plant in Romania with a capacity of 108,000 mt/y
2001 Erdemir elik Servis Merkezi San ve Tic. A.. (Ersem) starts its
11