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Definition:
A stock option is a contract between two parties in which the stock option buyer (holder)
purchases the right (but not the obligation) to buy/sell 100 shares of an underlying stock at a
predetermined price from/to the option seller (writer) within a fixed period of time.
Option Type
The two types of stock options are puts and calls. Call options confers the buyer the right
to buy the underlying stock while put options give him the rights to sell them.
Strike Price
The strike price is the price at which the underlying asset is to be bought or sold when the
option is exercised. It's relation to the market value of the underlying asset affects
the moneyness of the option and is a major determinant of the option's premium.
Premium
In exchange for the rights conferred by the option, the option buyer have to pay the option
seller a premium for carrying on the risk that comes with the obligation. The option
premium depends on the strike price, volatility of the underlying, as well as the time
remaining to expiration.
Expiration Date
Option contracts are wasting assets and all options expire after a period of time. Once the
stock option expires, the right to exercise no longer exists and the stock option becomes
worthless. The expiration month is specified for each option contract. The specific date on
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which expiration occurs depends on the type of option. For instance, stock options listed in
the United States expire on the third Friday of the expiration month.
Option Style
An option contract can be either american style or european style. The manner in which
options can be exercised also depends on the style of the option. American style options
can be exercised anytime before expiration while european style options can only be
exercise on expiration date itself. All of the stock options currently traded in the
marketplaces are american-style options.
Underlying Asset
The underlying asset is the security which the option seller has the obligation to deliver to or
purchase from the option holder in the event the option is exercised. In the case of stock
options, the underlying asset refers to the shares of a specific company. Options are also
available for other types of securities such as currencies, indices and commodities.
Contract Multiplier
The contract multiplier states the quantity of the underlying asset that needs to be delivered
in the event the option is exercised. For stock options, each contract covers 100 shares.
Call Option
Definition:
A call option is an option contract in which the holder (buyer) has the right (but not the
obligation) to buy a specified quantity of a security at a specified price (strike price) within a
fixed period of time (until its expiration).
For the writer (seller) of a call option, it represents an obligation to sell the underlying
security at the strike price if the option is exercised. The call option writer is paid
a premium for taking on the risk associated with the obligation.
For stock options, each contract covers 100 shares.
Say you were spot on and the price of XYZ stock rallies to $50 after the company reported
strong earnings and raised its earnings guidance for the next quarter. With this sharp rise in
the underlying stock price, your call buying strategy will net you a profit of $800.
Let us take a look at how we obtain this figure.
If you were to exercise your call option after the earnings report, you invoke your right to buy
100 shares of XYZ stock at $40 each and can sell them immediately in the open market for
$50 a share. This gives you a profit of $10 per share. As each call option contract covers
100 shares, the total amount you will receive from the exercise is $1000.
Since you had paid $200 to purchase the call option, your net profit for the entire trade is
$800. It is also interesting to note that in this scenario, the call buying strategy's ROI of
400% is very much higher than the 25% ROI achieved if you were to purchase the stock
itself.
This strategy of trading call options is known as the long call strategy. See our long call
strategy article for a more detailed explanation as well as formulae for calculating maximum
profit, maximum loss and breakeven points.
Covered Calls
The short call is covered if the call option writer owns the obligated quantity of the
underlying security. The covered call is a popular option strategy that enables the
stockowner to generate additional income from their stock holdings thru periodic selling of
call options. See our covered call strategy article for more details.
Call Spreads
A call spread is an options strategy in which equal number of call option contracts are
bought and sold simultaneously on the same underlying security but with different strike
prices and/or expiration dates. Call spreads limit the option trader's maximum loss at the
expense of capping his potential profit at the same time.
Put Option
Definition:
A put option is an option contract in which the holder (buyer) has the right (but not the
obligation) to sell a specified quantity of a security at a specified price (strike price) within a
fixed period of time (until its expiration).
For the writer (seller) of a put option, it represents an obligation to buy the underlying
security at the strike price if the option is exercised. The put option writer is paid
a premium for taking on the risk associated with the obligation.
For stock options, each contract covers 100 shares.
Say you were spot on and the price of XYZ stock plunges to $30 after the company reported
weak earnings and lowered its earnings guidance for the next quarter. With this crash in the
underlying stock price, your put buying strategy will result in a profit of $800.
Let's take a look at how we obtain this figure.
If you were to exercise your put option after earnings, you invoke your right to sell 100
shares of XYZ stock at $40 each. Although you don't own any share of XYZ company at this
time, you can easily go to the open market to buy 100 shares at only $30 a share and sell
them immediately for $40 per share. This gives you a profit of $10 per share. Since each put
option contract covers 100 shares, the total amount you will receive from the exercise is
$1000. As you had paid $200 to purchase this put option, your net profit for the entire trade
is $800.
This strategy of trading put option is known as the long put strategy. See our long put
strategy article for a more detailed explanation as well as formulae for calculating maximum
profit, maximum loss and breakeven points.
Protective Puts
Investors also buy put options when they wish to protect an existing long stock position. Put
options employed in this manner are also known as protective puts. Entire portfolio of stocks
can also be protected using index puts.
Instead of purchasing put options, one can also sell (write) them for a profit. Put option
writers, also known as sellers, sell put options with the hope that they expire worthless so
that they can pocket the premiums. Selling puts, or put writing, involves more risk but can
be profitable if done properly.
Covered Puts
The written put option is covered if the put option writer is also short the obligated quantity
of the underlying security. The covered put writing strategy is employed when the investor is
bearish on the underlying.
Naked Puts
The short put is naked if the put option writer did not short the obligated quantity of the
underlying security when the put option is sold. The naked put writing strategy is used when
the investor is bullish on the underlying.
For the patient investor who is bullish on a particular company for the long haul, writing
naked puts can also be a great strategy to acquire stocks at a discount.
Put Spreads
A put spread is an options strategy in which equal number of put option contracts are
bought and sold simultaneously on the same underlying security but with different strike
prices and/or expiration dates. Put spreads limit the option trader's maximum loss at the
expense of capping his potential profit at the same time.
Strike Price
Definition:
The strike price is defined as the price at which the holder of an options can buy (in the case
of a call option) or sell (in the case of a put option) the underlying security when the option
is exercised. Hence, strike price is also known as exercise price.
When selecting options to buy or sell, for options expiring on the same month, the option's
price (akapremium) and moneyness depends on the option's strike price.
Moneyness
ITM
ITM
ITM
ATM
OTM
OTM
OTM
Intrinsic Value
$15
$10
$5
$0
$0
$0
$0
Time Value
$0.50
$1.25
$2
$4.50
$2.50
$1.50
$0.75
Moneyness
OTM
OTM
OTM
ATM
ITM
ITM
ITM
Intrinsic Value
$0
$0
$0
$0
$5
$10
$15
Time Value
$0.75
$1.50
$2.50
$4.50
$2
$1.25
$0.50
Options Premium
The price paid to acquire the option. Also known simply as option price. Not to be confused
with the strike price. Market price, volatility and time remaining are the primary forces
determining the premium. There are two components to the options premium and they are
intrinsic value and time value.
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value is determined by the difference between the current trading price and the
strike price. Only in-the-money options have intrinsic value. Intrinsic value can be computed
for in-the-money options by taking the difference between the strike price and the current
trading price. Out-of-the-money optionshave no intrinsic value.
Time Value
An option's time value is dependent upon the length of time remaining to exercise the
option, themoneyness of the option, as well as the volatility of the underlying security's
market price.
The time value of an option decreases as its expiration date approaches and becomes
worthless after that date. This phenomenon is known as time decay. As such, options are
also wasting assets.
For in-the-money options, time value can be calculated by subtracting the intrinsic value
from the option price. Time value decreases as the option goes deeper into the money.
For out-of-the-money options, since there is zero intrinsic value, time value = option price.
Typically, higher volatility give rise to higher time value. In general, time value increases as
the uncertainty of the option's value at expiry increases.
Moneyness
Moneyness is a term describing the relationship between the strike price of an option and
the current trading price of its underlying security. In options trading, terms such as in-themoney, out-of-the-moneyand at-the-money describe the moneyness of options.
In-the-Money (ITM)
A call option is in-the-money when its strike price is below the current trading price of the
underlying asset.
A put option is in-the-money when its strike price is above the current trading price of the
underlying asset.
In-the-money options are generally more expensive as their premiums consist of
significant intrinsic valueon top of their time value.
Out-of-the-Money (OTM)
Calls are out-of-the-money when their strike price is above the market price of the
underlying asset.
Puts are out-of-the-money when their strike price is below the market price of the underlying
asset.
Out-of-the-money options have zero intrinsic value. Their entire premium is composed of
only time value. Out-of-the-money options are cheaper than in-the-money options as they
possess greater likelihood of expiring worthless.
At-the-Money (ATM)
An at-the-money option is a call or put option that has a strike price that is equal to the
market price of the underlying asset. Like OTM options, ATM options possess no intrinsic
value and contain only time valuewhich is greatly influenced by the volatility of the
underlying security and the passage of time.
Often, it is not easy to find an option with a strike price that is exactly equal to the market
price of the underlying. Hence, close-to-the-money or near-the-money options are bought or
sold instead.
Next: Options Expiration
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Options Expiration
All options have a limited useful lifespan and every option contract is defined by an
expiration month. The option expiration date is the date on which an options contract
becomes invalid and the right to exercise it no longer exists.
Expiration Cycles
Stock options can belong to one of three expiration cycles. In the first cycle, the JAJO cycle,
the expiration months are the first month of each quarter - January, April, July, October. The
second cycle, the FMAN cycle, consists of expiration months Febuary, May, August and
November. The expiration months for the third cycle, the MJSD cycle, are March, June,
September and December.
At any given time, a minimum of four different expiration months are available for every
optionable stock. When stock options first started trading in 1973, the only expiration
months available are the months in the expiration cycle assigned to the particular stock.
Later on, as options trading became more popular, this system was modified to cater to
investors' demand to use options for shorter term hedging. The modified system ensures
that two near-month expiration months will always be available for trading. The next two
expiration months further out will still depend on the expiration cycle that was assigned to
the stock.
and see which cycle it belongs to. If the third expiration month happens to be January, then
use the fourth expiration month to check.
The reason we need to double check January is because LEAPS expire in January and if
the stock has LEAPS listed for trading, then that January expiration month is the additional
expiration month added for the LEAPS options.
Expiration Calendar
Option Exercise & Assignment
Exercise
To exercise an option is to execute the right of the holder of an option to buy (for call
options) or sell (forput options) the underlying security at the striking price.
Assignment
Assignment takes place when the written option is exercised by the options holder.
The options writer is said to be assigned the obligation to deliver the terms of the options
contract.
If a call option is assigned, the options writer will have to sell the obligated quantity of the
underlying security at the strike price.
If a put option is assigned, the options writer will have to buy the obligated quantity of the
underlying securty at the strike price.
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Once an option is sold, there exist a possibility for the option writer to be assigned to fulfil
his or her obligation to buy or sell shares of the underlying stock on any business day. One
can never tell when an assignment will take place. To ensure a fair distribution of
assignments, the Options Clearing Corporation uses a random procedure to assign exercise
notices to the accounts maintained with OCC by each Clearing Member. In turn, the
assigned firm must use an exchange approved way to allocate those notices to individual
accounts which have the short positions on those options.
Options are usually exercised when they get closer to expiration. The reason is that it does
not make much sense to exercise an option when there is still time value left. Its more
profitable to sell the option instead.
Over the years, only about 17% of options have been exercised. However, it does not mean
that only 17% of your short options will be exercised. Many of those options that were not
exercised were probably out-of-the-money to begin with and had expired worthless. In any
case, at any point in time, the deeper into-the-money the short options, the more likely they
will be exercised.
Next: Getting Started in Options Trading
borrow funds from the brokerage to finance additional purchases. With cash accounts, you
can only use the available cash in your account to pay for all your stock and options trades.
Minimum Deposit
There is usually a minimum deposit required to open a trading account. The amount
required depends on the type of account that you are opening as well as the brokerage firm.
Little or no deposit is required to open a cash account while federal regulations require a
deposit of at least $2000 to open a margin-enabled account.
Discount brokers are geared towards the self-directed trader. They do not provide any
investment advice, leaving their clients to make their own financial decisions. Discount
brokerages merely execute your orders and consequently their charges are much less than
their full-service counterparts.
There are also brokerage companies that offer both services to their customers, letting them
to choose the level of service they require.
Most option traders that I know opt to go with the discount brokerages since anyone who is
confident enough to trade complex instruments such as options are usually financially savvy
enough not to require trading advice from their brokers, especially when the broker's
renumeration is based upon the frequency of trades rather than the quality of their
recommendations.
Quality of Service
When determining which is the best options brokerage, commission charges should not be
the only consideration. When it comes to online brokers, site availability, speed of execution
and ease of use are just as important, if not more so, than price.
Quality of Execution
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The National Best Bid or Offer (NBBO) is an SEC requirement that brokers must guarantee
customers the best available ask price when they buy securities and the best available bid
price when they sell securities. Look for brokers that guarantee trade execution prices that
meet or exceed the NBBO.
Ease of Use
With option trades already complicated enough on their own, it sure doesn't help when you
still have to puzzle over how to use the order placement form. An easy to understand user
interface helps minimize errors, which can be extremely costly when thousands of dollars
are changing hands every trade. Look for option trading brokerages that offer single-screen
order entry forms for covered calls, condors, butterflies and other multi-legged option
strategies.
Broker assisted trades can cost as much as several times more than internet trades. The
only reason to place a broker-assisted trade is when you are cut off from the internet and a
very good trading opportunity happen to arise.
Volume Discount
There are options brokerage houses which charge a lower rate if your trading frequency
exceeds a certain threshold. So, if you are an active trader making dozens of trades a
month, it makes sense to look out for a brokerage firm that offers such a discount scheme.
Hidden Fees
To offset their low commission charges, some discount brokerage firms charges a slew of
hidden fees. So if an option brokerage charges an unusually low fee compared to the
industry norms, make sure you find out whether there are other fees that you should be
aware of. Some common hidden fees include:
Account Inactivity Fee - Some brokerages charges a fee if you did not make any
trade after a certain period of time.
Annual Maintenance Fee - This is a fee levied every year as long as you have an
account with the brokerage firm, whether or not you have made any trade.
Minimum Balance Fee - This is a fee that is levied peroidically (say monthly or
quarterly) when your account balance is below a certain threshold.
Commissions can have a significant impact to an option trader's overall profit or loss,
especially if your trading capital limits you to prudently buy/sell only 1 or 2 contracts per
trade or if you are just starting out and your win/loss ratio is 6:4 or lower. Finding a lowcommissions options broker can boost trading profits by as much as 50%.
A large number of options trading strategies are available to the options trader. Use the
search facility below to quickly locate the best options strategies based upon your view of
the underlying and desired risk/reward characteristics.
Outlook on Underlying:
Bullish
Profit Potential:
Loss Potential:
Credit/Debit:
No. Legs:
Find Strategies
Click on the profit graph for a detailed explanation of each individual options
strategy.
Bull Call Spread
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Call Backspread
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Covered Calls
Covered Combination
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Covered Straddle
Long Call
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Married Put
Protective Put
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The primary purpose of the futures market is to allow those who wish to manage price risk
(the hedgers) to transfer that risk to those who are willing to take that risk (the speculators)
in return for an opportunity to profit.
Hedging
Producers and manufacturers can make use of the futures market to hedge the price risk of
commodities that they need to purchase or sell in order to protect their profit margins.
Businesses employ a long hedgeto lock in the price of a raw material that they wish to
purchase some time in the future. To lock in a selling price for a product to be sold in the
future, a short hedge is used.
Speculation
Speculators assume the price risk that hedgers try to avoid in return for a possibility of
profits. They have no commercial interest in the underlying commodities and are motivated
purely by the potential for profits. Although this makes them appear to be mere gamblers,
speculators do play an important role in the futures market. Without speculators bridging the
gap between buyers and sellers with a commercial interest, the market will be less fluid, less
efficient and more volatile.
Futures speculators take up a long futures position when they believe that the price of the
underlying will rise. They take up a short futures position when they believe that the price of
the underlying will fall.
Exchange
The futures exchange where the futures contract is traded. Some of the world's largest
futures exchanges include:
Symbol
Each futures contract traded in a futures exchange is identified by a unique ticker symbol.
Price Quotation
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The quoted price of a futures contract is the agreed price (per unit) of the underlying asset
that the buyer has to pay to the seller in order to take delivery of the goods.
Correspondingly, it is also the price at which the seller must sell the underlying asset to the
buyer. Depending on the type of futures contract, the price can be quoted in cents, dollars or
even in a foreign currency.
Grade of Deliverable
The grade not only specifies the quality of the underlying but also the manner and the exact
place(s) of delivery.
Delivery Date
Each futures contract has a specific delivery date where the seller of the futures contract is
required to make delivery of the underlying product being traded and the buyer of the
futures contract is required to take delivery.
Delivery Months
Every futures contract has standardized months at which the underlying can be traded for
delivery.
Futures Trading
One can trade futures contracts via a regulated futures exchange.
Futures Exchanges
A futures exchange is a financial exchange where futures contracts are traded. Futures
exchanges are usually commodity exchanges. This is because all derivatives, including
financial derivatives, are often traded at commodity exchanges. The reason for this has to
do with the history of the development of these exchanges.
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In the 19th century, the first exchanges were opened in Chicago to trade forward
contracts on commodities. Exchange traded forward contracts are called futures contracts.
Thus, futures trading was synonymous with commodity trading and it has been the case for
around a hundred years.
In the 1970s, these commodity exchanges started offering future contracts on other
products, such as stocks, options contracts and interest rates. Products such as these are
called financial futures. Trading in this new class of futures contracts quickly outgrown the
traditional commodities markets. In recognition of this development, commodity exchanges
are now generally known as futures exchanges.
Headquarter
Principle Commodities
Chicago, USA
Grains, Energy
Chicago, USA
Livestock
London, UK
Base Metals
Paris, France
Grains, Softs
Tokyo, Japan
Tokyo, Japan
Grains, Softs
Margin Requirements
To ensure the smooth running of the futures market, participants in a futures contract are
required to post a performance bond of sorts as a form of guarantee. This is known as the
margin. The amount of margin required can vary depending on the perceived volatility of the
underlying asset.
Futures Margins
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Participants in a futures contract are required to post performance bond margins in order to
open and maintain a futures position.
Futures margin requirements are set by the exchanges and are typically only 2 to 10 percent
of the full value of the futures contract.
Margins are financial guarantees required of both buyers and sellers of futures contracts to
ensure that they fulfill their futures contract obligations.
Initial Margin
Before a futures position can be opened, there must be enough available balance in the
futures trader's margin account to meet the initial margin requirement. Upon opening the
futures position, an amount equal to the initial margin requirement will be deducted from the
trader's margin account and transferred to the exchange's clearing firm. This money is held
by the exchange clearinghouse as long as the futures position remains open.
Maintenance Margin
The maintenance margin is the minimum amount a futures trader is required to maintain in
his margin account in order to hold a futures position. The maintenance margin level is
usually slightly below the initial margin.
If the balance in the futures trader's margin account falls below the maintenance margin
level, he or she will receive a margin call to top up his margin account so as to meet the
initial margin requirement.
Example
Let's assume we have a speculator who has $10000 in his trading account. He decides to
buy August Crude Oil at $40 per barrel. Each Crude Oil futures contract represents 1000
barrels and requires an initial margin of $9000 and has a maintenance margin level set at
$6500.
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Since his account is $10000, which is more than the initial margin requirement, he can
therefore open up one August Crude Oil futures position.
One day later, the price of August Crude Oil drops to $38 a barrel. Our speculator has
suffered an open position loss of $2000 ($2 x 1000 barrels) and thus his account balance
drops to $8000.
Although his balance is now lower than the initial margin requirement, he did not get the
margin call as it is still above the maintenance level of $6500.
Unfortunately, on the very next day, the price of August Crude Oil crashed further to $35,
leading to an additional $3000 loss on his open Crude Oil position. With only $5000 left in
his trading account, which is below the maintenance level of $6500, he received a call from
his broker asking him to top up his trading account back to the initial level of $9000 in order
to maintain his open Crude Oil position.
This means that if the speculator wishes to stay in the position, he will need to deposit an
additional $4000 into his trading account.
Otherwise, if he decides to quit the position, the remaining $5000 in his account will be
available to use for trading once again.
To construct a long futures position, the trader must have enough balance in his account to
meet the initial margin requirement for each futures contract he wishes to purchase.
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Profit Achieved When Market Price of Futures > Purchase Price of Futures
Unlimited Risk
Large losses can occur for the long futures position if the underlying futures price falls
dramatically.
The formula for calculating loss is given below:
Loss Occurs When Market Price of Futures < Purchase Price of Futures
Breakeven Point(s)
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The underlier price at which break-even is achieved for the long futures position position can
be calculated using the following formula.
Example
Suppose June Crude Oil futures is trading at $40 and each futures contract covers 1000
barrels of Crude Oil. A futures trader enters a long futures position by buying 1 contract of
June Crude Oil futures at $40 a barrel.
The short futures position is also used by a producer to lock in a price of a commodity that
he is going to sell in the future. See short hedge.
Short Futures Position Construction
To create a short futures position, the trader must have enough balance in his account to
meet the initial margin requirement for each futures contract he wishes to sell.
Profit Achieved When Market Price of Futures < Selling Price of Futures
Unlimited Risk
Heavy losses can occur for the short futures position if the underlying asset price rises
dramatically.
The formula for calculating loss is given below:
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Loss Occurs When Market Price of Futures > Selling Price of Futures
Breakeven Point(s)
The underlier price at which break-even is achieved for the short futures position position
can be calculated using the following formula.
Example
Suppose June Crude Oil futures is trading at $40 and each futures contract covers 1000
barrels of Crude Oil. A futures trader enters a short futures position by selling 1 contract of
June Crude Oil futures at $40 a barrel.
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Long Hedge
The long hedge is a hedging strategy used by manufacturers and producers to lock in the
price of a product or commodity to be purchased some time in the future. Hence, the long
hedge is also known as input hedge.
The long hedge involves taking up a long futures position. Should the underlying commodity
price rise, the gain in the value of the long futures position will be able to offset the increase
in purchasing costs.
Since his breakeven cost is $7.00/bu but he has to purchase wheat at $7.20/bu, he will lose
$0.20/bu. At 50000 bushels, he will lose $10000 in the cash market.
So for all his efforts, the flour maker might have ended up with a loss of $10000.
Basis Risk
The long hedge is not perfect. In the above example, while cash prices have risen by
$0.60/bu, futures prices have only gone up by $0.57/bu and so the long futures position
have only managed to offset 95% of the rise in price. This is due to the strengthening of the
basis.
Cash
September Futures
Basis
May
$6.60
$6.70
-$0.10
August
$7.20
$7.27
-$0.07
Net
-$0.60/bu
+$0.57/bu
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The basis tracks the relationship between the cash market and the futures market. Hedgers
should pay attention to the basis when deciding when to enter the hedge as they are said to
have taken up a position in the basis once a hedge is in place. See basis.
Short Hedge
The short hedge is a hedging strategy used by manufacturers and producers to lock in the
price of a product or commodity to be delivered some time in the future. Hence, the short
hedge is also known as output hedge.
The short hedge involves taking up a short futures position while owning the underlying
product or commodity to be delivered. Should the underlying commodity price fall, the gain
in the value of the short futures position will be able to offset the drop in revenue from the
sale of the underlying.
Selling his harvest of 100000 bushels of wheat at the local elevator yields $6.20/bu x
100000 bushels = $620000.
But the cost of growing the crops is $6.30/bu x 100000 bushels = $630000
Hence, his net profit from the farming business = Revenue Yield - Cost of Growing Crops =
$620000 - $630000 = -$10000
For all his efforts, the wheat farmer might have ended up with a loss of $10000.
Basis Risk
The short hedge is not perfect. In the above example, while cash prices have fallen by
$0.40/bu, futures prices have only dropped by $0.37/bu and so the short futures position
have only managed to offset 92.5% of the drop in price. This is due to the weakening of the
basis.
Cash
September Futures
Basis
March
$6.60
$6.70
-$0.10
August
$6.20
$6.33
-$0.13
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Net
-$0.40/bu
+$0.37/bu
The basis tracks the relationship between the cash market and the futures market. Hedgers
should pay attention to the basis when deciding when to enter the hedge as they are said to
have taken up a position in the basis once a hedge is in place. See basis.
Next: Futures Basis
Futures Basis
The basis reflects the relationship between cash price and futures price. (In futures trading,
the term "cash" refers to the underlying product). The basis is obtained by subtracting the
futures price from the cash price.
The basis can be a positive or negative number. A positive basis is said to be "over" as the
cash price is higher than the futures price. A negative basis is said to be "under" as the cash
price is lower than the futures price.
$42
$47
Basis
The basis changes from time to time. If the basis gains in value (say from -4 to -1), we say
the basis has strengthened. On the other hand, if basis drops in value (say from 8 to 2), we
say the basis has weakened.
Short term demand and supply situations are generally the main factors responsible for the
change in the basis. If demand is strong and the available supply small, cash prices could
rise relative to futures price, causing the basis to strengthen. On the other hand, if the
demand is weak and a large supply is available, cash prices could fall relative to the futures
price, causing the basis to weaken.
However, although the basis can and does fluctuate, it is still generally less volatile than
either the cash or futures price.
Basis Risk
Basis risk is the chance that the basis will have strengthened or weakened from the time the
hedge is implemented to the time when the hedge is removed. Hedgers are exposed to
basis risk and are said to have a position in the basis.
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