Space:

The Startup Frontier

Erika Ilves @ Latitude 59
Tallinn, May 31, 2016

NewsWeek, 2015

Space is the new internet.

1,000 companies
$2.3 B invested in 2015
8 exits since 2000
1 unicorn
Trillionaires will be made in space

Insufficient facts
always invite danger.

xxx

Mars78, 340,000 km

Moon400,000 km

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

Low Earth orbit350 km

Mars78, 340,000 km

Humans

Machines
13 launched
2 active

Moon400,000 km

24 orbited
12 walked

77 launched
0.5 active

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

8,000 launched
3,000 in orbit
1,400 active
Low Earth orbit350 km

6 work
544 visited

~170M
pieces of
space
debris

Mars78, 340,000 km

Moon400,000 km

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Low Earth orbit350 km

Mars78, 340,000 km

Moon400,000 km

The Certifiably Insane Zone

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Low Earth orbit350 km

Mars78, 340,000 km

The Totally Bonkers Zone

Moon400,000 km

The Certifiably Insane Zone

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

The Perfectly Sane Grownup Zone

Low Earth orbit350 km

Mars78, 340,000 km

Space business today

Moon400,000 km

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

$120B
Satellite
services

Low Earth orbit350 km

$16B
Satellite
build

$6B
Rockets

$58B
Ground
equipment

Actuals

Satellites: GEO birds

Actuals

Satellites:
Non-GEO birds

Actuals

Data

Fire in the New Valley in Egypt

Taken by Planet Labs, on May 12, 2016

Actuals

Data

Khi Solar One in South Africa

Taken by Planet Labs, on May 11, 2016

Actuals

Internet

Actuals

Rockets

Mars78, 340,000 km

Space business actuals

Moon400,000 km

space is the new internet

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

$120B
Satellite
services

Low Earth orbit350 km

$16B
Satellite
build

$6B
Rockets

$58B
Ground
equipment

Space business potentials

Mars78, 340,000 km

Agriculture
Health
Moon400,000 km
Mining

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

Server farms

Solar
farms

$120B
Satellite
services

Fuel

Space trucks
Trash
removal

Micro G
research

Low Earth orbit350 km

Tourism
$16B
Satellite
build

$6B
Rockets

$58B
Ground
equipment

Factories

Potentials

Trash removal

Potentials

Micro-gravity research

Potentials

Mining

OffWorld

Potentials

Fuel

Potentials

Space trucks

Potentials

Factories

Potentials

Solar farms

Mankins Space

Potentials

Server farms

Potentials

Solar to Earth

Mankins Space

Potentials

Tourism

Potentials

Agriculture

Potentials

Health

Startup frontier

Mars78, 340,000 km

space is the new infrastructure

Moon400,000 km

space is the new internet

Mining

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

Agriculture

$120B
Satellite
services

Fuel

Space trucks

Solar
farms

Server farms

Trash
removal

Micro G
research

Factories

Health

Low Earth orbit350 km

Tourism
$16B
Satellite
build

$6B
Rockets

$58B
Ground
equipment

Scenarios 2016-2030

Nothing exciting happens

Big new market(s)
Destination: Mars
Black swans

Nothing exciting happens

Mars78, 340,000 km

Moon400,000 km

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

$120B
Satellite
services

Low Earth orbit350 km

Tourism
$16B
Satellite
build

$6B
Rockets

$58B
Ground
equipment

Big new markets

Mars78, 340,000 km

Mining

Moon400,000 km

Fuel
Geostationary orbit35,000 km

$120B
Satellite
services

Solar
farms

Trash
removal

Low Earth orbit350 km

Tourism
$16B
Satellite
build

$6B
Rockets

Space trucks

$58B
Ground
equipment

Factories

Server farms

Micro G
research

Scenarios

Destination: Mars

Scenarios

Black swans

aliens
killer asteroids

Startup frontier

Mars78, 340,000 km

space is the new infrastructure

Moon400,000 km

space is the new internet

Mining

Geostationary orbit35,000 km

Agriculture

$120B
Satellite
services

Fuel

Space trucks

Solar
farms

Server farms

Trash
removal

Micro G
research

Factories

Health

Low Earth orbit350 km

Tourism
$16B
Satellite
build

$6B
Rockets

$58B
Ground
equipment

Make It So, Number One!