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Issue 1,161 Wednesday 23 June 2010
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2 News | Budget Special CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
l Public sector net borrowing will be 13, 3.5 per cent in 2013-14, 2.1 per cent in reductions in current spending totals of spring 2012. Consultation will occur
£149bn this year, £116bn in 2011-12, 2014-15 and 1.1 per cent in 2015-16. £30bn a year by 2014-15. There will be BANKS over the summer on interim improve-
£89bn in 2012-13, £60bn in 2013-14, no further cuts in capital spending totals ments to be ruled on in April 2011.
£37bn in 2014-15 (half what was fore- l The cyclically-adjusted deficit on the in 2010-11 beyond those already l Introduction of a levy on bank’s balance
cast in the March Budget) and £20bn by current budget will be 4.8 per cent this announced as part of the £6.2bn savings. sheets from 1 January 2011, intended to l The hike in employers’ National
2015-16. year, 3.2 per cent in 2011-12, 1.9 per cent encourage banks to move to less risky Insurance contributions will be largely
in 2012-13 and 0.7 per cent in 2013-14. l The Spending Review, which will set funding profiles. reversed by increasing the threshold by
l Cyclically-adjusted public sector net It will then return to a surplus of 0.3 per departmental expenditure limits for every £21 a week above indexation.
borrowing will be reduced by 8.4 per- cent in 2014-15 and 0.8 per cent in department and for the Scottish and l It is proposed that the levy will be set
centage points, from 8.7 per cent of GDP 2015-16. Welsh parliaments, will be published on at a rate of 0.07 per cent, with a lower l New businesses in certain areas of the
in 2009-10 to 0.3 per cent of GDP in 20 October 2010. initial rate of 0.04 per cent in 2011. Final UK will not have to pay the first £5,000
2015-16. l Public sector net debt as a share of details will be published later this year, of employer NICs in the first year for the
GDP to be 61.9 per cent in 2010-11, ris- l Public sector net investment is forecast following consultation. This is expected to first 10 staff hired. The scheme will start
l As a share of GDP, borrowing will be ing to 67.2 per cent in 2011-12, 69.8 per to fall from £38.9bn this year to £20.9bn raise £2bn a year. in September but any business set up
10.1 per cent in 2010-11. It will fall to 7.5 cent in 2012-13 and 70.3 per cent in by 2015-16 compared with £49bn in from yesterday is eligible.
per cent in 2011-12, 5.5 per cent in 2012- 2013-14. It will then start falling to 69.4 2009-10. l Costs and benefits of a Financial
per cent in 2014-15 and 67.4 per cent in Activities Tax will be explored. l The Enterprise Finance Guarantee to
2015-16. l The NHS will see a real increase in its be increased by £200m this year to sup-
budget over the lifetime of the parlia- l Budget confirmed the Bank of England port extra lending of up to £700m for
l Gordon Brown’s golden rule has been ment. Overseas development assistance will be given control of macro-prudential small businesses until the end of March
abandoned. In its place comes a forward- will also be protected. regulation and oversight of micro-pruden- 2011. The government will also create the
7th Floor, Centurion House, looking fiscal mandate to achieve a cycli- tial regulation. Growth Capital Fund to support small
24 Monument Street, cally-adjusted budget balance by the end l Public sector workers earning more businesses with high growth potential.
London, EC3R 8AJ of the rolling five-year forecast period, than £21,000 will see a pay freeze for l Confirmed establishment of independ-
Tel: 020 7015 1200 Fax: 020 7283 5334 which is 2015-16. two years. Those earning less than ent commission on banking to be chaired l Creation of a Regional Growth Fund in
Email: news@cityam.com www.cityam.com £21,000 will get at least an extra £250 by John Vickers. The commission will 2011-12 and 2012-13. This will operate
l The mandate will be supplemented by in each of these two years. Estimated to make recommendations to the Cabinet in England only and support increases in
Editorial a target for public sector net debt as a save £3.3bn by 2014-15. Committee on Banking Reform by the business employment and growth.
Editor Allister Heath percentage of GDP to be falling at a fixed end of September 2011.
Deputy Editor David Hellier date in 2015-16. The OBR’s forecasts l Independent commission chaired by l The 10 per cent capital gains tax rate
News Editor Ben Griffiths show both the mandate and debt target John Hutton to review public sector pen- for entrepreneurs will be extended from
Night Editor Katie Hope being met a year early in 2014-15. sion provision by the 2011 Budget. It will BUSINESS the first £2m to the first £5m of qualify-
Associate Editor David Crow consider the case for short-term savings ing gains made over a lifetime.
Lifestyle Editor Zoe Strimpel l The UK won’t join the euro this parliament. by September 2010. l The main rate of corporation tax will
Art Director Darren Soulsby be reduced from 28 per cent to 24 per l Special tax rules for furnished holiday
l The government will adopt the CPI for cent by one per cent each year from next lettings will not be implemented.
Pictures
Commercial
Alex Ridley
PUBLIC SPENDING the indexation of benefits, tax credits and April until 2015-16. This would give the
l Planned tax relief for the UK’s video
public service pensions from April 2011. UK the lowest corporation tax rate in the
Sales Director Jeremy Slattery l Public sector current expenditure will G7. This will cost £2.7bn by 2014-15. games industry abolished.
Commercial Director Harry Owen be £637.3bn this year, rising every year to l The Debt Management Office (DMO)
Head of Distribution Nick Owen reach £711.4bn by 2015-16. Capital annu- said that planned gilt sales in 2010-11 are l The small profits rate (formerly
Distribution helpline
ally managed expenditure will be £7.8bn being reduced by £20.2bn to £165bn as a known as the small companies rate), will PERSONAL TAXES
If you have any comments about the distribution
in 2010-11, falling to £5.2bn by 2015-16. consequence of the new forecasts. be cut to 20 per cent.
of City A.M. Please ring 0207 015 1230, or email l As of today, capital gains tax will rise
distribution@cityam.com l Total Managed Expenditure (TME) will l The Civil List will remain frozen at l The capital allowances main rate to be to 28 per cent from 18 per cent for high-
fall in real terms by four per cent over the £7.9m for the coming year. The Queen has reduced to 18 per cent from 20 per cent er rate earners. Basic rate taxpayers will
Editorial Statement forecast period. agreed that the Civil List expenditure will and the special rate from 10 per cent to still pay 18 per cent on their gains. The
This newspaper adheres to the system of be subject to the same audit scrutiny as eight per cent. Introduced in April 2012. exempt amount will remain at £10,100
self-regulation overseen by the Press Complaints l Spending is projected to fall from 48 other government spending. for 2010-11 and rise in line with inflation.
Commission. The PCC takes complaints about the per cent of GDP to 40 per cent by 2015- l The Annual Investment Allowance
editorial content of publications under the Editor’s
Code of Practice, a copy of which can be found at 16 and receipts are projected to rise from l Regional Development Agencies will be will be cut from £100,000 to £25,000 l VAT will rise to 20 per cent as of 4
www.pcc.org.uk 37 to 39 per cent. abolished through the Public Bodies from April 2012. January 2011. This will raise £13bn a
Printed by Newsfax International, Bill. A White Paper later in the summer year by 2014-15.
Beam Reach 5 Business Park, l Public spending will be £83bn a year will set out details to support the creation l Controlled Foreign Company (CFC)
Marsh Way, Rainham, Essex, RM13 8RS lower by 2014-15. There will be additional of strong local enterprise partnerships rules will be reformed and legislated in l Personal allowance to be increased by
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 News | Budget Special 3
George Osborne
(above) prepares to
leave his office to
deliver his maiden
Budget speech as a
truck displaying
the UK’s national
debt drives around
Westminster out-
side the Houses of
Parliament (left).
£1,000 in April 2011 to £7,745 in 2011- l Housing Benefit will be reformed from
12. The basic rate limit for income tax April 2011 onwards. Includes changing
will be frozen in 2013-14. There will be how Local Housing Allowance rates are
no change to the 50p rate of income tax. calculated, uprating them by CPI from
2013-14, capping the maximum
l Annual ISA allowance will be index- allowance payable for each property size,
linked from 2011-12. time-limiting the receipt of full Housing
Benefit for claimants who can be expect-
l Government will work with local ed to look for work, and restricting
authorities in England to freeze council Housing Benefit for working age
tax in 2011-12. claimants in the social rented sector who
have a larger property than needed.
l Duties on alcohol, tobacco and fuel
announced in the March Budget will go l SureStart Maternity Grant for low
ahead. However, the 10 per cent tax on income earners only available for first
cider will be reversed from 30 June. But child from April 2011. Health in Pregnancy
legislation will be introduced shortly to grant to be abolished in January 2011.
hike tax on cheap, strong ciders.
l Introduction of medical assessments
for those claiming Disability Living
PENSIONS Allowance from 2013-14.
l The basic state pension will be relinked l Stamp Duty tax relief for first-time
to earnings. It will be uprated by a triple buyers will be reviewed.
lock of earnings, prices or 2.5 per cent,
whichever is highest, from April 2011. l Pensioners will still receive winter fuel
payments, free off-peak local bus travel
l Will continue with plans it inherited to and free eye tests and free television
raise revenues from restricting pensions licences for the over-75s
tax relief.
l Saving Gateway scrapped.
l Review of when the State Pension Age
will rise to 66. It will consult on how l Child element of the child tax credit will
quickly it will phase out the default rise by £150 above indexation in 2011.
retirement age from April 2011.
l Child benefit will be frozen for the next
l Compulsory purchase of an annuity at three years. Tax credit eligibility will be
75 will be scrapped by April 2011. reduced for families with household
income above £40,000 from April 2011
and make further changes to this thresh-
BENEFITS old in 2012-13.
l CPI will be used for the price indexa- l The baby element of the child tax
tion of benefits and tax credits from credit for new children will be removed
April 2011. from April 2011.
4 News | Budget Special CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
POLITICS
BY DAVID CROW campaigns against the hike – includ- stantial increase in the entrepreneurs
ing one in this newspaper – and yes- allowance”, although he pointed out
A COMPROMISE over higher capital terday Tory MPs told City A.M. the that an even lower rate would actual-
gains tax has stopped a Tory rebellion government had done enough to ly raise more revenue.
in its tracks – but there is growing quell dissent. “This was as good a But at least one Lib Dem MP has
tension in the Liberal Democrat party result as we could have expected, and threatened to vote against the Budget
over higher VAT. Osborne has clearly listened. We’ve because of plans to hike VAT.
The coalition government yester- got three quarters of what we were “Less than 50 days ago, I was seek-
day increased the top rate of capital looking for,” said Tory MP Mark Field, ing re-election in Colchester opposed
gains tax from 18 per cent to 28 per who backed our campaign. to a raise in the level of VAT,” said Bob
cent, a much lower rate than the 40 And John Redwood welcomed a Russell. “So I am not at all happy.”
per cent that was widely expected. lower 18 per cent rate for “savers with CITY REACTION: P24
Are your investments Nick Clegg warned of a “Tory VAT Bombshell” in the run up to the election Picture: PA
POLITICS
• TD Waterhouse Trading ISA - a self select stocks and shares ISA, which offers BY DAVID CROW
Few of business secretary Vince
Cable’s flagship economic policies
a wide range of investment choices. It puts you in control of your share HARRIET Harman launched a have made it into the Budget. The Lib
portfolio and at the same time protects you from paying any Income Tax or scathing attack on the Liberal Dems had wanted to raise the income
Capital Gains Tax on income of growth on investments held within the ISA. Democrats yesterday, claiming they tax threshold to £10,000, but the
had “sacrificed everything they ever chancellor increased it to £7,475.
stood for to ride in ministerial cars”. And the hike in the top rate of cap-
• TD Waterhouse SIPP - a type of pension that gives you greater flexibility and The acting Labour leader said ital gains tax to 28 per cent is consid-
control over your savings and where they are invested. SIPPs are ideal if you George Osborne’s Budget would erably lower than the 40p to 50p that
“throw people out of work” and hurt Cable championed in the run up to
are comfortable making your own investment decisions and want a tax efficient economic growth, as she sought to the election.
way to save for your retirement. paint the Lib Dems as spineless coali- Labour are hoping they can win
tion partners that had abandoned disaffected Lib Dem supporters and
• TD Waterhouse Financial Spread Betting - offers a tax-free alternative to their values. create splits in the coalition by ham-
She slammed the deferred hike in mering the leadership for backing
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This product is currently free of UK Capital Gains Tax and all spread bets are Lib Dems for claiming the Tories were Last night, sources close to Lib Dem
planning a “VAT bombshell” before leader Nick Clegg dismissed sugges-
currently free from stamp duty. Please be aware that FSBs are not suitable for the election. tions the party had “sold out”.
everyone, they carry a high level of risk and there is the possibility that you may Harman said: “How could they sup- An aide said there were several key
port everything they fought against? measures that would not have made
lose more than you initially invested. How could they let down everyone it into the Budget if the Tories were
who voted for them? How could they flying solo, including the hike in the
let the Tories so exploit them?” income tax threshold, higher CGT, a
She added: “Twenty two Liberal unilateral banking levy, guaranteed
The tax efficiency of these products is subject to your Democrat ministerial jobs have been increases in the state pension, and
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TD Waterhouse, putting you in control of your investing. Darling: Budget cuts could send
Britain into a Japan-style slump
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tdwaterhouse.co.uk/research/tax.cfm “You have a situation where you
▲
POLITICS
have fragile growth, you are taking a
0845 607 6001 SHADOW chancellor Alistair Darling
yesterday warned massive spending
lot of money out of the economy, and
both public and private sector will be
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inaugural Budget yesterday – would “Crucially, that causes not only
depress demand and send the econo- higher unemployment but you don’t
my into a period of stagnation. ever get your debt and deficit down.”
The Capitalist
8 CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
Ken Clarke was a Scotch whisky man during his time as chancellor Pictures: PA
public and stuck to a few sips of tap going into retirement, since it’s so
water. Shame. battered and bruised that it’s in dan-
ger of disintegrating.
“The box is considered a public
PUNCH DRUNK record and The National Archives is
Mind you, while we’re on the subject responsible for preserving important
of tipples, it seems our new chancellor public records for future genera-
tions,” it sniffed, pompously.
Still, at least Osborne gets a shiny
new model made for him to use in
the next few years – apparently, con-
struction of an identical model is
already underway using pinewood,
brass and goat leather (all in the
name of posterity, y’know).
The replica will be the same in
every respect, apart from the initials
embossed on the front, which will
read ERII after the current Queen. The
old model, which will now be dis-
played at the Cabinet War Rooms in
Osborne will be celebrating with cider Whitehall, bore Queen Victoria’s ini-
tial.
isn’t averse to a drink or two when the
right occasion arises.
After announcing to the House HIDE AND SEEK
that the coalition would “report back Strange that as George Osborne began
in the autumn on the scope for target- to speak yesterday, he was flanked on
ing alcohol duty at the products most our TV screens not by David Cameron
associated with binge drinking”, but by Liberals Nick Clegg and Danny
Osborne had a compensatory carrot Alexander. Where was the first half of
for those who would be affected by the ubiquitous double-act, we asked
said duty. ourselves; had someone stolen the
“We have decided to reverse the new Prime Minister?
previous government’s plan to A few minutes of furtive seat-shift-
increase the duty on cider by 10 per ing from the Lib Dem pair later, the
cent above inflation,” he began, to tit- answer became clear – Cameron had
ters from the back benches. “The not disappeared, but had simply
reduction will come into effect at the tucked himself neatly behind
end of this month – just in time to cel- Osborne as he spoke. Which meant, of
ebrate England’s progress to the quar- course, staying well out of the pub-
ter finals, or else to drown our lic’s line of sight while all those
sorrows…” painful tax hikes were introduced.
Top marks for a calculating, if trans-
parent, piece of choreography.
SEEING RED
It was au revoir but not goodbye yes-
terday to the chancellor’s iconic LOW LIFE
red Budget brief- Forget gripes about fiscal tight-
case, which was ening – the gov-
originally used by ernment’s got
William Gladstone bigger problems
a century and a on its hands,
half ago. according to
Last week, the David Buik, the
National Archives BGC strategist
put its foot down who’s established
and insisted this himself as a piece
time would have of the City furni-
to be the case’s ture with his exten-
last outing before sive daily
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 9
EDITED BY
VICTORIA BATES
GOT A STORY? EMAIL
thecapitalist@cityam.com
Diamond: Lehman
BP shares fall creditors gained
from Barclays bid
to 13-year low
▲
BANKING
BARCLAYS president Bob Diamond
ENERGY are still being investigated and it is said yesterday Lehman creditors fared
▲
BY EMMA SADOWSKI too early to draw final conclusions, better under his bank’s purchase of
but there is no doubt that this terri- Lehman Brothers core US brokerage
BP’S SHARES continued their fall yes- ble accident will have a profound business than they would have if the
terday hitting a 13-year low as the impact not only on how we run BP, assets had been sold on the open mar-
embattled oil major admitted that but also on the rest of the energy ket.
the “financial consequences of the industry.” The testimony came on the second
spill will be severe”. Hayward, who was to deliver the day of a trial over whether the British
The group’s share price plummet- speech on the responsibility of the oil bank received an unfair $11bn wind-
ed to 328.50p at its lowest point yes- industry in deepwater drilling, is fall when it acquired parts of Lehman
terday but regained some ground preparing to relinquish his role lead- after the investment bank’s collapse
near the end of the day to close at ing the spill response to Bob Dudley. BP boss Tony Hayward will travel to Russia to meet business partners Picture: REUTERS in September 2008.
334.20p. The fall marks the shares The embattled oil chief is prepar- Lehman wants the judge to review
lowest level since February 1997. ing to travel to Russia, where he will ANALYSIS l BP the sale.
The sell-off was a response to meet with the company’s business 700 p The trial, held at Manhattan’s
increasing concerns over how much partners and industry bodies in the 334.20 bankruptcy court for the Southern
the company will have to pay for the region. 600 22 Jun District of New York, has brought the
spill and the related liabilities. Meanwhile, oil chiefs have begun to testimony of the top architects of the
BP chief of staff Steve Westwell, rally around BP, urging President Lehman purchase. The deal was
who spoke instead of chief executive Obama to lift the six-month ban on 500 approved in September 2008 after a
Tony Hayward at an oil conference in deepwater drilling put in place in the chaotic few days of negotiations that
London, attempted to reassure his wake of the disaster. But the political 400 took place as US markets were collaps-
audience that its balance sheet is storm over the spill continues to rage ing.
strong, with a good asset base. in the US, with Democrats slamming Barclays chief executive John Varley
300
He said: “The causes of the accident their rivals over their links to the firm. 22 Mar 13 Apr 4 May 24 May 14 Jun also took the stand.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 News 11
▲
INSURANCE redundant, was met with dismay Nick Holmes, an analyst at
from unions such as Aegis. Nomura, said the measures would be
SHARES in Aegon fell yesterday as Aegon also said it was looking at positive as an accelerated repayment
investors took profits on news the divesting Transamerica Reinsurance, of taxpayers’ money was “one of the
Dutch company would shave a quar- the third largest reinsurer in the US, main potential catalysts for the
ter from overheads in its UK arm and at a book value of around €1.6bn stock”. William Elderkin of Citigroup
sell its US life reinsurance business. (£1.3bn). Chief executive Alex said it was not clear how Aegon
The insurance group told share- Wynaendts said the reshuffle would would go about achieving 25 per cent
holders in London it wanted to save help Aegon repay €2bn it still owes cost reductions in Britain, but added:
£80m annually from its British opera- the Dutch government for aid during “Aegon should be able to redeem its
tions by cutting costs by 25 per cent the financial crisis and re-focus its remaining €2bn Dutch government
Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan says fiscal reform is his top priority by the end of 2011. The move, which business on higher-growth markets capital from internal resources.”
could see 600 staff from Aegon’s in central and eastern Europe, Latin Shares in Aegon fell 2.7 per cent to
€5 yesterday.
Japanese PM
2,400 employees in Edinburgh made America and Asia.
BANKING
conditional state aid for WestLB, said to EU rules.
EUROPEAN Union regulators extend- data provided by the bank was more The programme involved transfer-
ed their temporary approval of the complex than expected and it needed ring WestLB’s toxic and non-strategic
tone on debt
state bailout of German lender extra time to assess how much assets to a “bad bank”, which would
WestLB yesterday while they investi- money had been provided. be liquidated gradually.
gate whether the rescue The Commission approved €5bn “The Commission’s current investi-
complies with EU rules. (£4bn) in state aid for WestLB gation explores whether this transfer
The European in May 2009 on the and all related payments are in line
condition with the general rules... and whether
that the on this basis the restructuring of
ECONOMY
▲
yen by next March. Interest charges b a n k WestLB is apt to restore the long-term
BY OLIVER SHAH are expected to eat up a fifth of imple- viability of the bank,” the EC said.
Japan’s 92.3 trillion yen budget. ment WestLB said it was confident of
JAPAN’S government pledged to con- Julian Jessop at Capital Economics ed its winning final approval.
sider doubling the country’s five per said Kan’s plans were “a triumph of
cent sales tax within three years yes- spin over substance”, and “the gov-
terday in a bid to soothe concerns ernment has ducked any hard deci- NEWS | IN BRIEF
over its billowing national debt. sions.” Analysts say the sales tax
Trying to address the fears of credit would have to rise to 20 per cent
rating agencies, Prime Minister Naoto to have meaningful impact. Petrobras expects tighter rules
Kan said reform of Japan’s parlous fis- INVESTMENT SPECIAL: P36 Petrobras, the world leader in deepwa-
cal affairs would be his top priority. ter oil exploration, said yesterday that
In a televised debate with other Brazilian regulators could tighten off-
party leaders, Kan said the Greek sov- shore drilling standards in its home
ereign crisis was a warning to heavily country following BP’s oil spill in the Gulf
indebted countries. “If we could sus- of Mexico. BP's Gulf of Mexico spill,
tain the social welfare system forever which specialists call the worst such oil
by issuing deficit financing bonds, industry disaster in US history, would
there would be no need to bring up probably force regulators in Brazil to
the issue of the sales tax,” he said. reassess safety standards, Petrobras
“But if left alone, our social welfare chief executive Jose Sergio Gabrielli
system will collapse.” told analysts in a conference call
An ageing population, weak yesterday.
economic growth and deflation-
ary pressure are increasingly Euro consumer confidence up
squeezing the Far Eastern Consumer confidence in the Eurozone
nation’s public finances. improved slightly in June as worries
Japan’s fiscal deficit will swell subsided over the currency area’s debt
to 40.6 trillion yen (£30bn) crisis, figures showed yesterday, but the
this year – 8.6 per cent of longer view remains gloomy, pointing to
GDP – while its debt pile weak economic growth. The indicator
is forecast to go up to rose to -17.3 in the 16-country area.
973 trillion
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12 News
Hedgie fined
£50k by FSA
ENFORCEMENT exceptional mitigating factors such as
▲
BY HARRY BANKS the swift and timely admissions to
the FSA... that you [were saved] from
A FORMER hedge fund manager was immediate imprisonment today,” said
fined £50,000 for insider trading but judge Geoffrey Rivlin.
escaped jail yesterday after agreeing Ahmad had used information
to help the City’s Financial Services about upcoming trades by AKO to
Authority (FSA) with its investigation plan, with his associate, trades in at
into an unnamed associate. least 19 securities, the FSA said.
Anjam Ahmad, who worked for Separately, Ahmad also agreed to
London-based AKO Capital until last pay to the FSA £131,000 of profits he
September, was sentenced to 10 had made from directing trades
months in prison, suspended for two towards one broker in exchange for
years and given 300 hours of commu- cash, gift vouchers, gold, flights and
nity work, as well as being fined, said hotel bookings.
the FSA, which has stepped up its The FSA has moved speedily to pros-
crackdown on market abuse this year. ecute. In similar cases, it has taken a
Ahmad escaped jail after agreeing year or more to bring charges after
to help the FSA in a probe into an arresting suspects. But some lawyers
associate after the watchdog for the noted this could be more down to
first time used new powers granted to how unsophisticated the case was
it in April. rather than an attempt by the FSA to
“It is only because of the quite prove its mettle.
MAINTENANCE workers on the underground will strike this evening after talks between
rail union RMT and Tube Lines fell apart. The strike, which will be staged in two parts,
is set to commence at 7pm and will last until Friday evening, with another strike
planned between 14 and 16 July. Transport for London (TfL), which is set to fully take
over Tube Lines next week, said the strike will not disrupt passenger journeys.
Michael Cavanagh will become chief executive of treasury and securities services
JPMorgan set
to find Dimon
heir internally
seen as anointing him a frontrunner
▲
BANKING
to succeed Dimon. Dimon, 54, has
BY HARRY BANKS been CEO of JPMorgan since 2005.
JPMORGAN CHASE yesterday reshuf- Cavanagh was chief administrative
fled three top executives, including its officer of the commercial bank at
chief financial officer, as part of an Bank One in 2004 when it combined
effort to ensure a deep bench of execu- with JPMorgan. He then headed mid-
tives who could eventually succeed dle market banking before becoming
chief executive Jamie Dimon. CFO. Cavanagh, who has also in the
The second-largest US bank by assets past been tipped to replace Dimon, is
said it had replaced chief financial 44, while Staley is 53.
officer Michael Cavanagh with Doug Treasury and securities services is
Braunstein, the company’s head of an important business in the bank and
investment banking for the Americas. one that JPMorgan likely wants to
Cavanagh, CFO since 2004, will develop. It’s not the profit driver that
become chief executive of treasury the investment bank has been lately
and securities services, it said in a for JPMorgan. In the first quarter, the
statement. investment bank reported net income
The shuffle is part of the bank’s of $2.5bn (£1.69bn), up from $1.6bn a
effort to broaden the experience of its year earlier, helped by a pickup in trad-
executives, Dimon said in the state- ing revenue and scooping up advisory
ment. It follows a reorganisation in business from rivals.
September, when the bank named for- Braunstein, 49, worked on
mer asset management head Jes Staley JPMorgan’s 2008 acquisitions of trou-
as chief executive of its investment bled investment bank Bear Stearns
bank in a promotion that was widely and failed Washington Mutual.
Unite to issue
BA’s pension third ballot for
recovery gets August strikes
the go-ahead
AVIATION
▲
UNITE, the union representing
British Airways (BA) cabin crew, is to
launch a fresh strike ballot on 29
June.
The ballot, which will take more
than five weeks to be finalised, means
▲
AVIATION BA consulted with trade unions on that crew could again walk off the job
BY EMMA SADOWSKI the new scheme in March and in August.
received full backing. Unite said yesterday that it had
BRITISH AIRWAYS (BA) has agreed a Iberia has three months to decide notified BA of the ballot launch –
plan with its trustees that will see the on BA’s new proposed pension deficit something it has to do by law.
airline deal with its £3.7bn pension plan and has the power, under the tie- The union then has to wait for
deficit head on. up agreement, to terminate the merg- seven days before sending the vote to
Under the new agreement, BA will er if the plan is not satisfactory. union members.
commit to annual contributions of The Spanish airline’s board will The last two votes have seen cabin
£330m with a three per cent rise now vote on whether it approves BA’s crew approve industrial action by 92
every year, at the same time promis- measures. and 81 per cent respectively.
ing that it will make additional con- Iberia said in a statement: “The ANALYSIS l BA's new pension plan The last strike by cabin crew lasted
tributions should its cash balance agreement between BA and the pen- 15 days through May and June and
exceed £1.8bn. sion trustees is a positive step forward
£330m BA to make cost BA an estimated £154m.
£250m
The deal is crucial for BA because it in the merger process.” additional The airline’s chief executive Willie
brings the airline one step closer to in annual contributions Walsh has pledged to fly 100 per cent
completing its merger with Spanish ANALYSIS l British Airways contributions if year-end of its long haul flights should anoth-
airline Iberia. Chief financial officer 260 p cash exceeds of security over er strike action take place and a “sub-
214.70 BA's pension
Keith Williams said:
“The trustees understand that the
airline is unable to increase its contri-
250
240
230
22 Jun
plus 3%
yearly increases
£1.8bn in the event
of insolvency
stantial amount” of BA’s short haul
flights.
BA and Unite are now at odds over
butions in the current financial cli- travel perks that were stripped from
220
mate but we have agreed a recovery striking cabin crew in March, which
plan that avoids closing the pension 210 leaves it as the only disagreement
schemes.” 200 between the two parties as the major-
BA has also committed £250m as a 190 ity of disputes surrounding pay, work-
security over its pensions should the 180
ing conditions and job security have
airline become insolvent. 22 Mar 13 Apr 4 May 24 May 14 Jun Iberia has said that BA’s pension agreement is a positive step Picture: REUTERS now been settled.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 News 15
Hammerson
offloads £135m Kerviel called
Docklands office
an evil genius
▲
PROPERTY
REAL estate investor Hammerson has COURTS or fall of stock markets and added
▲
sold Docklands office block Exchange BY HARRY BANKS that he was convinced that no super-
Tower to MPGA Europe Fund III for visor would have tolerated Kerviel’s
£134.6m. FORMER Societe Generale chief exec- actions – contrary to the argument
The sale represents a 74 per cent utive Daniel Bouton lashed out at put forward by the trader. “I cannot
return on the £77m Hammerson paid rogue trader Jerome Kerviel in a believe for one second any of Jerome
for the 16-storey tower in 1999, on top Paris court yesterday, labelling his Kerviel’s supervisors were aware (of
of annual rents of up to £10.7m over unauthorised trades the mark of an his bets),” Bouton told the courtroom
the course of its 11-year ownership. Its “evil genius” that shattered trust at in the Palais de Justice on the 10th
main tenants include Barclays and the bank. day of Kerviel’s trial.
the UK government. Bouton also said the sheer fear he Turning to Kerviel, seated behind
The purchased price is £3m more felt at discovering Kerviel’s “mon- him, Bouton added, with a heavy
than the property’s valuation in strous” unauthorised trading posi- dose of sarcasm: “I’m sorry, my dear
December 2009. tions – which were blamed by SocGen fellow.”
“[The tower] has been a good invest- for a €4.9bn (£4bn) trading loss in Although Kerviel has never denied
ment for the company over the last 2008 – drove him to label the 33-year- his unauthorised bets that reached
decade. However, I believe the capital old a “terrorist”. an estimated €50bn, he has insisted
can be better deployed in other oppor- “It’s a catastrophe, it’s not an issue his superiors knew what he was
tunities,” said Hammerson chief exec- of losses or amounts. The trust that doing. SocGen has argued Kerviel
utive David Atkins. should exist between us is shat- acted alone and egregiously and
MGPA, an offshoot of Australian tered,” said Bouton, who quit SocGen should be punished.
proprety group Macquarie, said it will in 2009 amid controversy, in part Kerviel risks five years in prison
“will make the most of the opportuni- over his handling of the Kerviel scan- and a €375,000 fine if found guilty of
ty to lease vacant space and restruc- dal. charges of breach of trust, computer
ture leases into the recovering Bouton told the court a bank does abuse and forgery.
Central London office market”. Docklands office block Exchange Tower was sold to MPGA Europe Fund III for £134.6m not do its job by betting on the rise The trial is set to run until 25 June.
NEWS | IN BRIEF
US HSBC cuts Angolan ties Hypo’s bad assets under scrutiny
A US unit of HSBC has cut ties with The European Commission has doubts
some Angolan banks, a source with about whether nationalised Austrian
direct knowledge of the matter said, bank Hypo Group Alpe Adria can work
months after a US Senate investigation out its vast portfolio of non-performing
criticised it for lax oversight of accounts loans, the European Union’s executive
held by Angolans, including a former cen- body said yesterday. The regulators,
tral bank governor. The southwest which have to approve aid by member
African country is a lucrative prospect states, prolonged their temporary per-
for big Western lenders: its economy is mission of Austria’s Hypo bailout as they
expected to grow by 8.6 per cent this continued the investigation into the trou-
year, yet only 11 per cent of the 16.5m bled lender’s restructuring plan. Almost a
population use banks. HSBC Bank USA quarter of Hypo’s €30bn loan book was
told some Angolan banks last month it non-performing at the end of 2009,
would no longer do business with them. mainly because of bad loans in Croatia.
▲
ECONOMY
BY JESSICA MEAD showed an unprecedented decline, tion last year.
a year later we are already seeing HNWIs favoured predictable
WEALTHY individuals have now distinct signs of recovery, and in returns in 2009, reflected in ther
recouped most of the losses that some areas a complete return to increase in fixed income allocation
they sustained during the financial 2007 levels of wealth and growth,” to 31 per cent from 29 per cent in
crisis of 2008, according to the said Nick Tucker, UK and Ireland 2008 and 21 per cent in 2006.
World Wealth Report released yes- market leader at Merrill Lynch Equity holdings also rose slightly to
terday by Merrill Lynch Wealth Wealth Management. 29 per cent from 25 per cent as
Management and Cap Gemini. Asia-Pacific’s HNWI population investors warily returned to the
High net worth individuals rebounded in 2009 to hit 3m, markets.
(HNWIs) – classified as those with matching that of Europe for the The UK population of high net
investable assets of $1m (£673,000) first time. Its wealth also jumped worth individuals rose 23.8 per
or more – climbed back to 10m in 30.9 per cent to $9.7 trillion, far sur- cent in 2009 to 448,000, thanks to a
2009. In 2007, 10.1m were classified passing the $9.5 trillion held by 49.5 per cent rise in UK stock mar-
as HNWIs. In 2008 it fell to 8.6m. Europe’s HNWIs. ket capitalisation. Tucker said the
“The last few years have been sig- However, the US, Japan and UK was maintaining its place as a
nificant for wealthy investors. Germany accounted for 53.5 per home for wealthy indviduals.
Segro finalises
Arden shakes up APP purchase
management team and sells assets
▲
AUTOMOTIVE
market in 2006. He will assume the
▲
FINANCIAL SERVICES
BY DAVID HELLIER new role sometime before the end of INDUSTRIAL landlord Segro complet-
the year. ed its purchase of BAA’s 50 per cent
CITY stockbroker Arden Partners is Arden has also recruited Howard stake in the Airport Property
having a management shake-up that Flight, the former Conservative Partnership (APP) yesterday, by selling
will see Jonathan Keeling step down deputy chairman, to its board as its £237m of its own assets to the ven-
as chief executive. senior independent director. ture.
He will move to the position of The management changes accom- The sale means the APP portfolio of
deputy chairman, focusing on the panied a 41 per cent increase in inter- UK airport real estate has grown to
group’s Indian operations, .which im revenues to £6.5m to produce a £684m, the biggest investor in the sec-
account for 50 per cent of the group-’s loss before tax of £200,000 compared tor.
operations. to £300,000 a year previously. There is Segro agreed to buy into the part-
“The Indian operations need some- no interim dividend. nership with Aviva for £111.3m in
body running and developing them Arden has been busy recruiting April, and has now transferred assets
full-time,” Keeling explained yester- during the downturn and its staff at Heathrow, Gatwick and central
day. Arden has been bringing a grow- numbers are now at 61 compared to London.
ing number of Indian companies 50 a year ago. The price of the assets sold to APP
onto the London stock market recent- represents a 5.1 per cent net initial
ly. The experienced yield.
Keeling says he will spend up to 10 “Through these two transactions,
weeks a year in India. Howard Flight will join Segro has significantly strengthened
He will be replaced as chief execu- Arden as the group’s its Heathrow portfolio, one of our
tive by Jeremy Grime, subject to regu- senior independent core locations... and generated net dis-
latory clearance. Grime, while at director posal proceeds for the group,” said
Altium, floated Arden on the stock Segro chief executive lan Coul rings the changes Segro chief executive Ian Coull.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 News 17
MORTGAGE ARREARS FALL CITY MOVES | WHO’S SWITCHING JOBS Edited by Victoria Bates
Acquisition strategy
gives boost to Bunzl
group profitability helped along by sisting difficult economic condi-
▲
INDUSTRY
BY VICTORIA BATES the positive effects of cost reduction tions”, the group admitted, though
activities and favourable foreign it said profits had increased due to
DISTRIBUTION and outsourcing exchange rates on group margins. improved operating margins.
group Bunzl yesterday said trading Andy Murphy, an analyst at Bunzl added that its activities in
in the first half of the year was Singer Capital Markets, said: “Bunzl the rest of the world had shown
boosted by acquisitions, favourable is a very highly regarded FTSE 100 “excellent” growth due to positive
currency movements and strong constituent that is arguably a rela- currency translation, strong under-
revenue growth in the US, placing tively defensive company given its lying growth in Brazil and margin
it on target to meet full year expec- product and client exposure. improvement in Australasia.
tations. Although it may not have the beta
Bunzl has made five acquisitions of other cyclical companies, it is ANALYSIS l Bunzl
so far this year, contributing a com- unlikely to disappoint.” 770 p
bined annualised revenue of £85m. Bunzl said its North American 760 730.00
The company said it expects to operations had continued to 22 Jun
750
finalise more transactions before demonstrate strong underlying rev-
740
the year is out as it utilises the con- enue growth, driven primarily by
730
tinuing weak economic environ- existing customers doing more
ment to scour the market for business with the firm. 720
opportunities. Trading in continental Europe 710
Bunzl expects group revenue was boosted by the recent acquisi- 700
growth to come in at around two tions. Revenues in the UK and 690
per cent for the full year, with Ireland fell year-on-year due to “per- 22 Mar 13 Apr 4 May 24 May 14 Jun
18 Consumer News CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
7.6%
gives a boost A rise in occupancy and charges at its
Premier Inn chain saw sales up
10.5%
to Whitbread at the hotel chain
£252m
Whitbread’s full-year profit forecast
▲
“ “
up 10.5 per cent in the 13 weeks to 3 money vacations in the UK, as the MATTERLEY ASSET MANAGEMENT SEYMOUR PIERCE
June. Costa Coffee posted like-for-like largest hotel group in Britain we
sales up 8.5 per cent, while compara- must benefit from that trend, fingers Whitbread has a very strong management Like-for-like results can be misleading but
ble sales at its four restaurant chains crossed we are looking for a good team and in the bull market did not take on lots of these seem genuine and the company has turned in an
grew 3.6 per cent. summer,” said Parker. debts like other groups. Premier Inns has obviously per- excellent performance. Whether it is outperforming
Chief executive Alan Parker said: Whitbread’s full-year pre-tax profit formed well but Costa Coffee is also very strong. This is other groups is difficult to say because there are diff-
“In these times of austerity, our strat- has been forecast at £252m.
” ”
egy of value for money hospitality STEPHAN SHAKESPEARE: P20
a successful comnpany which has made shrewd deci- ferent issues for differnt companies but this is a well
brands in growing segments of the sions over the last few years. run operation which is cautiously optimistic.
market has put us in a position of rel- FAST FACTS | WHITBREAD
ative strength.”
Whitbread has opened four new ● There are 578 Premier Inns across the UK
SIMON FRENCH |
“
Premier Inns in the past quarter and and Ireland with a total of 40,000 rooms.
PANMURE GORDON
has plans to open 250 new Costa ● Costa is now officially the largest and fastest
stores in the current financial year. The trading update demonstrates the business is relatively resilient and is benefiting from its position towards the budget sec-
growing coffee shop chain in the UK.
”
At Premier Inn, revenue per avail- ● Whitbread employs 33,000 people.
tor. Costa should be relatively robust also as the average spend for coffee is relatively small so it will hardly be hit by consumers cutting
able room, a key industry measure back on expenditure.
Fuel consumption figures for the Grand Cherokee S-Limited 3.0 V6 diesel in mpg (l/100km): Urban 21.6 (13.1), Extra Urban 32.8 (8.6), Combined 27.7 (10.2), CO2 emissions in g/km 270.
Model shown is a Grand Cherokee S-Limited at £33,995 OTR. Model features optional metallic paint at an additional £500 including VAT. On the road price includes Vehicle Excise Duty (VED), First Registration Fee and VAT. Prices and specifications correct at time of going to press (06/10). Jeep is a registered trademark of Chrysler Group LLC.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 Consumer News 19
▲
CONSUMER
both external and internal candi- Tim to the board. His wide experience
PUBS and restaurant group Mitchells dates and will be taking on consult- will be of great value as we continue
& Butlers (M&B) has appointed ants as part of a hunt for a new to drive the strong performance of
Interserve’s Tim Jones as finance finance chief. the company.”
director replacing Jeremy Townsend, M&B chief executive Adam Fowle Townsend joined Mitchells &
who will join Rentokil as chief finan- Butlers in 2005 as deputy finance
SuperGroup floated on the stock cial officer at the end of August. M&B chief executive director taking up the chief finance
▲
RETAIL
BY JOHN DUNNE market in March at 500p a share and Meanwhile, Interserve said Tim Adam Fowle says role in early 2008. He previously
the price has since risen to 681p. Jones, who has handed in his resigna- worked in audit and corporate
SUPERGROUP, owner of the Superdry Chief executive Julian Dunkerton tion in order to take up the role at Interserve’s Tim Jones finance at Ernst & Young, and held a
brand, has paid the man who sold its said: “Chris Griffin’s appointment rep- M&B, will remain at Interserve for will make a good number of roles at J Sainsbury includ-
seconds on the web £500,000 and resents a huge step for us as we move “an appropriate period” to ensure a finance director ing group financial controller prior
taken the operation in-house. towards creating a dynamic, fully inte- smooth handover. to joining M&B.
Chris Griffin, the top-rated UK sell- grated e-commerce capability.”
er of designer clothing on eBay, will Earlier this month the brand
be given the payment in shares. signed a franchise agreement with Al
Meanwhile, Griffin will become Khayyat Investments to open 13
the company’s e-commerce chief and Superdry stores across the United
be put on the SuperGroup payroll. Arab Emirates. A number of celebri-
He received the payment because ties have sported the firm’s clothes
of the short notice given to him on including David Beckham.
the termination of his contract to sell
Superdry on the web through his SuperGroup chief
own company 888 Clothing.
SuperGroup said it had decided to
executive Julian
bring online sales in-house because Dunkerton has
they are growing so rapidly, already identified the web as a
making up four per cent of its total prime sales area
revenues.
3 0 T H J U N E / 1 S T J U LY 2 0 1 0
R O YA L H O R T I C U LT U R A L H A L L S , L O N D O N
L
OOKING at YouGov’s measured by subtracting those who Starbucks and Caffè Nero.
BrandIndex, we sometimes have are dissatisfied customers from those 80
a sense of how a brand is per- who are satisfied, started April on a IMPROVING PROFITS Starbucks
forming before any major low of 16.0, rising to 23.4 on 27 May, Once again, when comparing both 78 Holiday Inn
announcements to the City are made. and remains above twenty. Equally, Premier Inn and Costa to these com- Costa Coffee
Premier Inn
Take the UK restaurant and hotel Costa was 16.7 on 5 April, but stood at petitors, it is clear to see why 77
business Whitbread, which has 22.5 on the 18 June. Whitbread has announced improving 4/1/10 22/4/10 13/5/10 3/6/10
M&A
BY MARION DAKERS modities testing and inspection mar- and its holding company Inspicio in
▲
ket,” chief executive Frank Piedelievre December 2007. DEFENCE Several purchases dented overall
BRITISH private equity firm 3i is to said. Alan Giddins, partner at 3i, said the pre-tax profits, down 15 per cent to
sell its commodities testing business He added: “We are extending our sale marked an exiting new chapter ARMS firm Chemring posted steady £25.3m, but the firm expects new
to French health and safety experts business portfolio and bolstering our for the business. growth yesterday, with increased acquisitions Hi-Shear and Chemring
Bureau Veritas for £450m. international network in the US and Giddins said: “Our experience in sales to the American military but a Fuze Technology to deliver profits in
The purchase of Inspectorate is the most emerging economies.” the testing and inspection sector has slowdown in European business. the second half of the year and
biggest ever for Bureau Veritas, and is Inspectorate, which is based in enabled us to support Inspectorate in The company’s order book grew by “secure continuing success”.
expected to boost its earnings for the Essex but has 150 laboratories in 60 its consolidation and international 16 per cent to £651m, translating to a The company said in a separate
year and make it one of the top three countries and over 7,000 staff, has growth strategy, making it an ideal seven per cent rise in underlying pre- statement that chairman Ken Scobie
global goods inspection firms. doubled revenue since 2006 to £246m partner for further growth with tax profits to £42.3m, Chemring said will retire at the end of September, to
“Bureau Veritas now attains a criti- in 2009. Bureau Veritas.” in a half-year statement. be succeeded by Peter Hickson.
News
21
| Budget Special
RETAIL
when the last change in VAT was Retailers and other traders fear add to inflation. could see consumer spend drop by
RETAILERS yesterday warned the rise enacted almost immediately. that the hike to 20 per cent will “It’s some consolation that the billions. Small comfort perhaps but
in VAT would dent a recovery on the Osborne also agreed with retailers threaten to scupper the progress range of VATable products isn’t being retailers will be breathing a sigh of
High Street, but won an important that said an immediate rise would made since the recession which saw a extended.” relief that they have until January to
concession by convincing the hurt the recovery. belt-tightening from cash-strapped Experts have estimated that retail- implement the change.”
Treasury to delay its introduction “Introducing an increase in VAT shoppers. ers will be hit to the tune of billions Retail sales have been rising – with
until 4 January. this calendar year would not be eco- BRC director general Stephen of pounds as goods go up in price. London outstripping other parts of
Treasury sources said the chancel- nomically advisable. We think the Robertson said: “We didn’t want a Richard Fleming, UK head of the UK as foreign tourists have flood-
lor had taken into account the “hoo recovery will be stronger by 4 VAT increase. It’ll hit jobs, consumer restructuring at KPMG, said: “With ed to West End stores.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 News | Budget Special 23
A
FTER months of playing with his cadence cracked momentarily lounging between the Lib Dem win- smiled ruefully through the jeers. doll-like faces of Yvette Cooper and
imaginary numbers, yesterday back to that of the smug boy who dow dressing. The speech couldn’t go much Liam “No Money Left” Byrne bobbed
will go down as the day little first dreamed up the phrase “tax on Along the front benches, an longer without an ill-judged World like nodding dogs momentarily in
Boy George grew up. Gone was jobs” and promised he had “no plans anguished-looking Vince Cable was Cup joke, just to prove that Osborne time. As she scored a blow on “nation-
the silky blue bowtie and tails of his to put up VAT”. And as he went on, it hunched over as if constipated. “gets it”. It came hot on the heels of al treasure turned Treasury poodle”
youth as he took the floor, hunched was all strictly grownup business – Nearby, Phillip Hammond seemed to the 20 per cent “VAT bombshell” Cable, the object of her offensive grit-
over his brief. Gone were the floppy lists of cuts and figures delivered just be sucking on a gob stopper; Theresa (copyright Saint Vince) and the scrap- ted his teeth and smiled impotently.
curls of dark hair in favour of a sensi- a little too fast in low, nasal tones, May had pulled off another extraordi- ping of Labour’s special cider duty, as Behind the chummy front benches,
ble brush to the side. Almost gone too with only the occasional glance up. nary jacket – she would have camou- if 30p off a pint might help us forget Lib Dems shifted in their seats.
was the public schoolboy sneer. After As it started, Nick Clegg sat like a flaged well in the Hayward Gallery. paying extra for everything else (not a As she sat down, MPs dropped like
all the practice and strategising and sleepy participant at a wake, nodding Further over, Eric Pickles nibbled at bad idea come to think of it). flies and Osborne gathered his
electioneering, there was a sense rhythmically to Osborne’s left. Danny his little finger like an overfed Dr Evil. Too soon, it was Harriet Harman’s papers. The country might be bracing
that, finally, this was the real deal. Alexander pouted like a chastened The figures kept coming and biros turn. She threw herself into the fray, itself for a painful budget crunch, but
We were even privileged to see the Tom Sawyer on the right, perhaps wobbled quietly behind the hair flying, papers flapping. at least our schoolboy Chancellor
very moment, as he began a sentence, dreaming of his days painting fences Chancellor. Blue jackets gleamed for Charging in with the same old line seems to have left his snot-nosed
when his voice actually broke: “For in the press office of Cairngorms the government, a strange preponder- about the “same old Tories”, she debating society days – and his prep
the next three years…” he said, and National Park just a few years ago. ance of mauve glowed for the opposi- moved quickly to playground com- school shorts – behind.
1.52
22 Jun
The expectation that inflation the nations’ health, the pound against the way – it can’t be just me who
A
S FAR as financial markets were would still be up at 2.7 per cent by the the dollar (GBP/USD) couldn’t quite thinks the European debt situation 1.5
concerned, the emergency end of this year could still present fur- make its mind up whether the speech has gone a little quiet in recent weeks, 1.48
Budget came in pretty much as ther financial challenges in future was good or bad as the chancellor so there is a risk of that raising its
1.46
had been telegraphed over the quarters. For the early part of this year delivered it. head again in the months ahead. But
previous few weeks. the assumption had been that infla- But, an hour after he had sat down, reaction so far suggests that the 1.44
With George Osborne starting by tion would reduce – but we have not GBP/USD was trading around 100 Budget delivered roughly what mar- 1.42
saying that this was going to be a seen much of that recently and it points higher – maybe the real test kets had been expecting – and, for the 22 Mar 9 Apr 29 Apr 19 May 8 Jun
CITY A.M.
in CGT brings “ Twenty eight per cent is fairly bearable – it won’t cause a massive dislocation or encourage
”
people to move offshore. There will be some reduction in incentive for those starting up
new businesses, which is regrettable, but overall this is a gentle blow rather than the sav-
age one we were expecting.
“ Ideally we would have left capital gains tax unchanged but that was never an option politi-
cally and the proposed changes are a tolerable compromise. The rise is regrettable, but not
”
▲
CAPITAL GAINS TAX as bad as an increase right up to income tax rates would have been.
gains. Next year, out of a projected
BY VICTORIA BATES revenue increase of £725m, it expects
CHAMPIONS of enterprise breathed a £600m to come from higher income
sigh of relief yesterday as chancellor tax receipts. NICK LESLAU | PRESTBURY INVESTMENTS
“
George Osborne stopped short of fully Osborne also heralded an exten-
bowing to Liberal Democrat plans to sion of the CGT relief currently avail-
raise capital gains tax (CGT) in line able to entrepreneurs on the first I am relieved the chancellor didn’t go even more draconian on the new CGT measures. To be
”
with income tax. £2m of gains made over a lifetime,
Osborne used his inaugural Budget with the reduced 10 per cent rate now
honest, he has probably found the right balance. No increase in CGT is ever welcome as it’s
to introduce a new 28 per cent rate of applying to £5m of lifetime gains. an anti-entrepreneurial tax, but at least it has now moved to a level where it is still palatable.
CGT for higher-rate taxpayers, effec- But tax experts warned that the
tive from midnight last night. The enterprise relief measure did not go
move was a far cry from the dracon-
ian measures favoured by the Lib
far enough to balance out the
increased top rate.
TOPPING THE TABLE | HOW THE UK’S CAPITAL GAINS TAX RATE COMPARES
Dem camp, who had proposed raising Chris Sanger, head of tax policy at
CGT up to 40 or even 50 per cent. accountancy firm Ernst & Young, France 30% Japan 20%
Under the new proposals, CGT for low said: “What does concern me is the UK 28% China 20%
and middle income earners will effect on serial entrepreneurs invest-
remain at a flat rate of 18 per cent. ing time and time again, which is Germany 26.4% Brazil 15%
Osborne said the CGT changes would what this country needs to strength- Sweden 25% USA 15%
affect just 100,000 people. en the economy. The fear is that they
The Treasury hopes to raise almost will hit the £5m limit pretty quickly Ireland 25% Italy 12.5%
£1bn per year by 2014-15 with the and then go to other countries where
higher levy, though its forecasts show rates are lower.” Canada 22% Switzerland 0%
that the majority of that figure is like- However, there was jubilation in Spain 21% Hong Kong 0%
ly to come not from the CGT increase the financial spread betting commu-
itself but from rising income tax rev- nity after Osborne declined to alter India 20.6% Netherlands 0%
enues, as taxpayers are discouraged the rules to catch spread betting prof-
from disguising income as capital its in the capital gains net. Source: Ernst & Young Where relevant, a share holding of at least 12 months is assumed
TAX
▲
TAX
BY EMMA SADOWSKI risks” and will examine whether because it would give the tax authori- tions that specific rules would be
there is a case for developing a “one ties too much power to intervene in NON-DOMS breathed a sigh of relief brought in which would, for exam-
THE GOVERNMENT pledged yesterday size fits all” anti-avoidance rule. taxpayers’ affairs. yesterday as the Budget fell short of ple, drag non-doms into the inheri-
to crack down on high earners who The government said that it will “The government is going to inves- the tough new tax avoidance meas- tance tax net.
avoid paying UK tax. consult with “interested parties” over tigate whether there should be one ures some had been expecting. There had been suggestions that
Yesterday chancellor George the summer to explore the possibility general anti-avoidance rule in the tax Chancellor George Osborne’s the government was considering a
Osborne said that avoidance activity of a General Anti-Avoidance Rule code. This may cause problems for Budget said the coalition will “assess £100,000 entry levy on non-doms
was “not fair” because some of (GAAR), which law makers warn business as tax will always be a con- whether changes can be made to the and a tightening of the rules that
Britain’s wealthiest individuals paid could have a negative impact. sideration in major transactions,” current rules to ensure that non- would bring them into the inheri-
less tax than “the people who clean A GAAR could give the tax authori- said Norton Rose tax lawyer Matthew domiciled individuals make a fair tance tax net. The issue has gained
for them”. ties wide-ranging powers to assess Hodkin. contribution to reducing the deficit, extra political significance after it
In the emergency Budget, the gov- individual transactions and unilater- The GAAR measure was scrapped in return for greater certainty and emerged Tory donor Lord Ashcroft
ernment said that it is committed to ally decide the consequential liability. by the Labour government in 1999 as stability for those bringing skills and was not paying tax in the UK on his
“developing strategic responses to And many financial advisers unworkable. investment to the UK.” global interests.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 News | Budget Special 25
UK ECONOMY
2015-16, the end of the forecast period. Departmental expenditure limits expenditure on welfare, will be set in growth are still on the high side. We
BY JESSICA MEAD Consequently net debt will peak at (DELs) will be slashed further by the the spending review, scheduled for 20 see a weaker consumer recovery and
CHANCELLOR George Osborne yester- 70.3 per cent in 2013-14. Gross debt on Liberal-Conservative government. An October 2010. more risks to the export-led recovery
day lived up to his promise of an aus- a Maastricht basis will peak at 85.5 extra £17bn will be wiped off depart- City economists described the than the OBR.”
terity Budget and announced per cent in 2012-13, well below the ment budgets by 2014-15. Budget as both aggressive and ambi- He added: “The fiscal tightening
sweeping tax hikes and spending cuts the 100 per cent level that Standard & However, the NHS will still receive tious but broadly welcomed the step means growth in demand will be
to regain control of the spiralling Poor’s had previously cited as ringing real increases in its budget through- to restore some much-needed credi- weakened, so we expect the Bank of
public finances. alarm bells over the UK’s coveted out the parliament and Overseas bility to the public finances. England to keep interest rates lower
According to the independent triple-A rating. Development Assistance (ODA) will be “What they are aiming for is quite for longer – on hold at 0.5 per cent
Office for Budget Responsibility On the structural current deficit protected at 0.7 per cent of GDP. ambitious,” says Hetal Mehta, senior into 2012.”
(OBR), the measures outlined yester- measure, the fiscal shortfall will be Non-protected departments will economic adviser to the E&Y Item Particularly important was the cau-
day should see public sector net bor- 4.8 per cent this year falling to 0.7 per face swingeing cuts of 25 per cent in Club. But she warned that £40bn tious welcome that the ratings agen-
rowing fall from £149bn in 2010-11 to cent by 2013-14. In 2014-15 and 2015- real terms over the four years. But the worth of tightening by 2014-15 may cies gave the Budget. Fitch said
£89bn by 2012-13, £37 in 2014-15 and 16, the OBR predicts that we will have axe will not fall uniformly. “Not all be testing the limits of acceptability, yesterday: “Ambitious tax rises and
£20bn by 2015-16. a structural current budget surplus of departments will receive the same set- at least in the public’s view. spending cuts unveiled by Britain’s
As a share of GDP, net government 0.3 per cent and then 0.8 per cent. tlement. I recognise, for example, the Economists also expressed scepti- new government should strengthen
borrowing will be 10.1 per cent this The balance of the fiscal tightening particular pressures on our education cism about the OBR’s growth fore- confidence in its AAA rating.” But it
year, less than was estimated in both was, as had been indicated prior to system and on defence,” said Osborne. casts. Charles Davis, senior economist also cautioned that securing these
the March 2010 Budget and the OBR’s yesterday, in favour of spending cuts, Final departmental settlements, and at the Centre for Economic and measures on the scale proposed may
pre-Budget release last week. It will with only 23 per cent of the squeeze the final split between departmental Business Research (cebr), said: “We be a challenge.
ANALYSIS l Public opinion over options for fiscal tightening ANALYSIS l Government receipts ANALYSIS l Public sector net borrowing over the last 10 years
80 % balance in favour 12
Percentage of Gross Domestic Product
All people Other Income tax 10
Conservative voters £79bn £150bn
8
60 Lib Dem voters
6
Council tax 4
40 £25bn 2
on public services
TOTAL
RECEIPTS 0
Cut teachers’
Cut spending
Income Tax
£548bn
Increase
Increase
pensions
-2
20 Source: HM Treasury
Business rates
VAT
-4
99-00
00-01
01-02
02-03
03-04
04-05
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10
£25bn
0
Cut benefits for
well off people
Freeze public
sector pay
Raise
retirement age
National Insurance ANALYSIS l The difference between the UK’s spending and
VAT £99bn
-20 £81bn
income over the last 10 years Source: HM Treasury
£ billion The gap between
700 spending and income
Corporation tax Excise duties Public sector spending
-40 £43bn £46bn 600
Source: Citigroup Source: HM Treasury 500 Public sector income
400
ANALYSIS l Impact of all measures in cash terms by income distribution (2012-13) ANALYSIS l Government Spending 2010-11 300
Source: HM Treasury 200
400 Other
£ per year £73bn
Debt interest 100
200 £44bn
Social protection 0
£194bn
0 1988 99- 00- 01- 02- 03- 04- 05- 06- 07- 08- 09-
Public order -99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
and safety
-200 £35bn
-400 TOTAL ANALYSIS l The UK’s economic performance over the last
SPENDING
Housing and ten years
-600 environment
£27bn £696bn Personal
social services
£32bn
1.5
Source: HM Treasury
-800
Indirect tax 1
-1000 0.5
% growth
Direct tax
0
-1200 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
Benefits & tax credits -0.5
-1400 Net impact Defence -1
£40bn Health
-1600 £122bn -1.5
-2
-1800 Industry, agriculture Transport
Bottom 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Top All and employment £22bn -2.5
(14,200) (£16,900) (£19,200) (21,600) (£24,500) (27,900) (32,200) (£38,400) (49,700) £20bn Education
Equivalised Net Income Decile (Lower Bound) £89bn -3 Gross Domestic Product: quarter on quarter growth
Source: HM Treasury
Corporation % EFFECTIVE
CORPORATE TAX |
(taking regional
variances into account)
new UK low
(26.5) Portugal
(28) UK
(28-34) Canada
(30) Australia
(30-33) Germany
(34-43) France
CORPORATE TAX any major Western economy, one of
▲
(39.5) U.S
BY JENNY FORSYTH the lowest rates in the G20 and the
lowest rate this country has ever Source: Deloitte
CORPORATION tax is to be cut by four known,” said Osborne.
per cent to 24 per cent – a rate George Business groups yesterday wel-
Osborne claimed as the lowest of any comed the decision to cut the tax,
major Western economy. which currently costs companies
The chancellor said he wants “a around £43.3bn a year.
sign to go up, over the British econo- Richard Lambert, director general
my, that says: ‘Open for Business.’” of the CBI, said: “Business strongly George Osborne says the corporation tax cut indicates the UK economy is “open for business” Picture: REUTERS
The tax for businesses with profits commends the new and refreshing
over £1.5m a year will fall from 28 per approach to tax policy-making which He said: “Welcome as the reduction years.” Experian relocate overseas, are likely
cent to 27 per cent next year, then should help ensure that the UK tax in the Corporation Tax rate for small Osborne also signalled welcome to be relaxed as part of a wider review
will be reduced by one per cent annu- regime returns to the forefront of and large companies is, a move to 24 changes to the UK’s contentious con- of corporation tax in 2012.
ally for the following three years. international competitiveness.” per cent is unlikely to affect major trolled foreign companies (CFC) rules, Bill Dodwell, head of tax policy at
The rate for small companies, with But Barry Murphy, corporate tax business decisions. The marginal which tax UK multinationals for prof- Deloitte, said: “The current rules have
profits below £300,000, will also be partner at PricewaterhouseCoopers, reduction in capital allowances to pay its generated in overseas subsidiaries. been criticised for being uncompeti-
cut from 21 per cent to 20 per cent. said the reduction in capital for the cut means that many may be The chancellor suggested the rules, tive and not reflecting modern busi-
“It will give us the lowest rate of allowances tempers the bonus. in no better a position in the next few which have seen the likes of WPP and ness practice, so reform is welcome.”
BANKING
needed consistency and certainty”, itive against expectations. spending”. ing reviews. Miles Templeman from
CITY stalwarts displayed cautious which combined with proposals on Not everyone in the Square Mile Claire Higgins at Knight Frank the Institute of Directors said he
approval in the wake of the emer- foreign profits and intellectual prop- was convinced by the Budget. The warned that the VAT hike could pose “never expected the chancellor to tick
gency Budget yesterday, as the chan- erty could reverse the tide on compa- cuts laid out “would have been problems, as the increase under the all our wish list but he did tick many
cellor’s plans settled some nerves over nies moving abroad. inflicted under Labour”, according to last government “clearly demonstrat- boxes.” Lambert described him as sen-
UK spending. Peter Isherwood at Evolution Roger Bootle at Deloitte, but the coali- ed the potential inflationary impact sible, and Tim Linacre of Panmure
CBI director-general Richard Securities said the Budget “came with tion “still hides some of the pain that of VAT rises.” Gordon went as far as saying the
Lambert said the five-year route map a lot of missing details but good polit- will be felt because it has not yet laid Osborne himself passed the first chancellor is “entirely right”.
BANKING
BY OLIVER SHAH “A levy system may seem superficially
attractive, but in years to come it
CHANCELLOR George Osborne’s regu- could become an example of the law
lar bank levy had been anticipated by of unintended consequences.”
bulge bracket firms, but City figures Deloitte questioned whether a tax
nonetheless urged the government to of seven basis points on banks’ liabili-
clarify its geographic scope. ties would be material enough to
In particular, banks and account- make them move to less risky fund-
ants were concerned at the prospect ing profiles, but said an estimated
of double taxation if France and annual fee of £300m per bank was
Germany bring in their own tolls. “another significant cost to be borne.”
Lloyds misses
brunt of £2bn
levy on banks
reflects the many risks they gener-
▲
BANKING
BY OLIVER SHAH ate,” the chancellor said.
Yesterday senior bankers seemed
STATE-OWNED Lloyds Banking Group relieved at the mildness of the tax,
emerged as the relative winner from which is no tougher than Labour’s
an annual £2bn levy on banks’ bal- £2bn raid on bonuses last year.
ance sheets announced yesterday. Angela Knight of the British Bankers’
The tax will apply to British banks Association accepted all sectors
and building societies, such as would have to contribute to the
Barclays and the Skipton, and the UK rebuilding of Britain’s public
operations of foreign institutions like finances, but added: “However this is
JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. calculated and applied, it mustn’t
From January 2011, banks will be impact the competitiveness of the UK
charged at a rate of four basis points and the banks operating in the UK.”
on their liabilities, apart from core A source at a well-known invest-
capital, repurchase agreements on ment bank said: “Like everybody else
sovereign debt and insured retail we want a safe economy and safe mar-
deposits. The rate will rise to seven kets. Those banks that are a success
basis points from January 2012. are just as pissed off as the rest of the
Longer-maturity wholesale funding world at the banks that failed.”
will be taxed at half the main rate. The Treasury will consult with
Because Lloyds is proportionately bankers over the summer before
more reliant on wholesale funding firming up the levy’s technical
than many of its competitors, it will details. France and Germany are set
escape with a lower bill. to bring in similar tolls.
Introducing one of the more arbi- Osborne said he was also in talks
trary measures of his “unavoidable” with world finance ministers over a
Budget, Osborne pointed out the separate financial activities tax on
financial crisis began in the banking banks’ profits and bonus payments,
sector. Banks must “make a more set to be discussed at the G20 summit
appropriate contribution, which in Toronto starting 26 June.
TAX
workers will save £200 a year. to be able to keep a bigger slice of
GEORGE Osborne raised the income However, it also means an estimat- their gross pay.
tax threshold to £7,475 from £6,475 ed 700,000 people will now be He said: “People will be able to earn
pounds in his emergency Budget yes- bumped up to the 40 per cent mark £7,475 before they have to start paying
terday. for the first time. These high earners income tax and 23m people who are The government is con-
He also lowered the threshold for will find themselves worse off by basic rate taxpayers will each gain by sulting on a new
the 40 per cent rate of income tax by around £100 a year. up to £170 a year. This means 880,000 reduced annual
£1,500 from £43,875 to £42,375 from And this could get worse as of the lowest income taxpayers will be allowance for pensions
next April. Osborne said he will freeze the level taken out of tax altogether.” of £30,000 to £45,000
The move means 880,000 low for three years. Income tax rates in the UK are cur- Picture: GETTY
income earners will escape income Osborne said in his Budget state- rently 20, 40 and 50 per cent.
High earners
see pensions
relief slashed
year to raise the required annual tax
▲
PENSIONS
BY KATIE HOPE revenues of £3.bn, which means more
employees will be affected than
HIGH EARNERS remain in the dark under the previous government’s pro-
over how much they will be able to posals. For example, a 50 year old
invest for their retirement following employee earning £100,000 who is in
yesterday’s emergency Budget. a typical final salary scheme could be
Chancellor George Osborne around £6,000 worse off,” he said.
scrapped new rules due to come into The government also yesterday
force from April next year – which scrapped rules compelling pension
would have slashed pension tax relief savers to buy an annuity at the age of
to 20 per cent from 40 per cent for 75 from April next year.
those earning £150,000-£180,000, but As an interim measure the age will
pledged to protect the £3.5bn in rev- be effectively raised from 75 to 77 to
enues this policy was set to raise. ensure those turning 75 before then
The government is now consulting will not be disadvantaged.
on a new annual allowance for pen- The government will now begin a
sion contributions of between short consultation period to deter-
£30,000 to £45,000 – a significant mine the minimum and maximum
reduction from the current £255,000 limits on income taken from a pen-
annual allowance. sion fund, and what inheritance tax
The consultation, which has no charges should be applied to the
timetable yet, was widely welcomed funds of those who don’t buy an
by the pensions industry which said annuity.
it would make the pensions tax relief Meanwhile, from next April the
system less complex. basic state pension will be linked to
But Marc Hommel, pensions part- earnings, rather than prices, in a bid
ner at PricewaterhouseCoopers to ensure the value of this income
warned the new regime would effect keeps pace with inflation. Pensions
more people than previously expected. will rise by a minimum of 2.5 per cent
“The Annual Allowance will need or in line with earnings or prices,
to be reduced to around £30,000 a whichever is greater, said Osborne.
WELFARE
with state plans to reduce spending
CHANCELLOR George Osborne wield- by £1.8bn by 2015.
ed the axe at the welfare state in a bid Osborne drew gasps from his audi-
to cut £11bn from the welfare state by ence when he revealed some families
the end of this parliament. had received £104,000 a year in hous-
In a move that places strain on the ing support.
Liberal Democrat members of the Payouts are now to be capped at
coalition, Osborne warned Britain’s £280 per week for a one-bedroom
spiralling welfare bill would bite property and £400 per week for a
£192bn out of the nation’s income by four-bedroom property. Housing ben-
2015 if left unchecked. efit will drop by 10 per cent for any-
The Treasury started by linking one on the dole for more than a year.
benefits payments to the lower con- The government also wants “sensi-
sumer price inflation (CPI) index ble utilisation” of social housing and
rather than retail price index (RPI), a will cap benefits to working age ten-
step that will save an estimated £6bn ants who live in a property that is too
over five years. large for their household size.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 News | Budget Special 29
WHAT DOES THE CHANCELLOR’S BUDGET MEAN FOR YOU? by Victoria Bates
PWC SAYS:
RICHARD DIFFENTHAL, 29 As a small company Jonny’s firm will benefit from
ASSOCIATE AT HOGAN LOVELLS next year’s decrease of 1 per cent in the corporation
Richard is a corporate solicitor. He has a tax rate. The increase in the employers’ National
nine month old son and rents a property Insurance threshold will be welcome news to him.
with his wife. They hope to get on to the The chancellor has promised to provide support
property ladder soon. They have a car to new businesses in terms of financing, so raising
but Richard uses public transport to capital for the business should be achievable by
travel to and from work and plans to way of a loan. A fall in the annual investment
cut his travel significantly in a bid to off- allowance to £25,000 from £100,000 in April
set his carbon footprint. He takes home 2012 may result in a tax increase in the future,
between £50,000 and £100,000 a year depending on the amount of outlay on plant and
and contributes to the firm’s pension machinery.
scheme. Other than a few credit card In addition, the introduction of a bank levy from
debts, Richard lives debt free as he has January 2011 may have a effect on City salaries
already paid off his student loan. He and consequently have an impact on Jonny's busi-
does not smoke and drinks moderately. ness. Jonny will suffer the increase in fuel duty pro-
posed by the previous government which occurs in
two stages in October and January.
PWC SAYS: ly offset by the fact that he will continue to receive
Richard will not benefit from the increase in person- the same rate of child benefit for his son, since this
al allowance from April 2011, since he is a higher has been frozen by the new government rather than JONNY SAYLE, 26
rate taxpayer. reduced, as many had feared. FOUNDER OF SPIRELIFE, A FITNESS CONCIERGE FIRM FOR CITY WORKERS
He is wise from a financial point of view to try As a prospective first time buyer looking to get Jonny set up his firm, which provides personal training, physio and massage services to clients in
and offset his carbon footprint by moving from onto the property ladder sometime soon, Richard their own homes and offices, in December. He is targeting a turnover of £75,000 for the current year
using his car to using public transport, as the new will also benefit from the stamp duty reliefs imple- but is not likely to take a salary in order to boost company finances. He originally set up the business
coalition government have proposed to go ahead mented by the previous government as the same using his savings but will be looking at further funding options later in the year with a view to estab-
with the increases in fuel duty announced in regime remains in place. lishing a high street presence. Possible options on the table include selling a stake in the firm or secur-
Labour’s Budget. There is no increase to the duty on alcohol, a ing a banking or government loan for new businesses. He does not have a pension plan or mortgage,
Any entitlement he may have had to tax credits measure Richard will be happy about as he says he but is hoping to buy his first house relatively soon. He is a non-smoker and drinks moderately.
will immediately cease; however, this will be partial- drinks moderately.
30 News | Budget Special CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
TAXATION
BY EMMA SADOWSKI it, paid for children under one, is also significant increases in child tax cred-
set to be abolished. its targeted at those on low incomes.
MIDDLE CLASS families are set to Osborne said that the freezing Osborne said that “unsustainable”
take a hit from reduced child benefits child benefit would save the govern- spending on tax credits has increased
and tax credits as the government from £18bn in 2003 to £30bn this
bids to support the lower income “Many people feel that year. “This is a tough decision, but I
bracket. their child benefit is believe it strikes the right balance,”
In yesterday’s emergency Budget, he added.
chancellor George Osborne said the the one thing they get The child benefit allowance is cur-
government will freeze child benefit without asking from rently paid at a rate of £20.30 a week
and reduce eligibility for tax credits the state,” said Osborne for the eldest child and £13.40 a week
to families earning over £40,000. for each additional child.
The Budget did not take the axe to projects like London’s Crossrail Picture: REX
Capital spend
avoids the axe
ment said that it will not cut further
▲
INFRASTRUCTURE
BY EMMA SADOWSKI into capital spending.
Osborne said that assessing which
THE CONSTRUCTION and transport projects are significant to economic
sectors were relieved by yesterday’s recovery will be decided during the
news that the government will not spending review in the autumn.
hack into capital spending The government has also estab-
Chancellor George Osborne said lished Infrastructure UK, which will
careful choices would have to be be chaired by Arup’s Terry Hill, and
made on what the government will will work within HM Treasury to seek
spend on infrastructure. greater private sector investment in
Delivering the emergency Budget, infrastructure.
Osborne said: “Well judged capital The news is good for ventures such
spending by the government can help as the £16.5bn Crossrail project,
provide the new infrastructure our which looked like it would be facing
economy needs to compete in the cuts.
modern world. Ashley Steel, KPMG’s global chair
“It supports the transport links we for infrastructure and transport said:
need to trade our goods, the equip- “Amongst the painful spending cuts
ment we need to defend our country, and tax rises there is one piece of real-
and the facilities we need to provide ly good news – the chancellor’s capi-
quality public services.” tal spending plans. They will provide
Apart from the £6.2bn in savings, a boost to transport and the construc-
worth £2bn a year until 2016, which tion industry and therefore will be
was announced earlier, the govern- good for jobs and the economy.
EQUALITY
by the government’s policies on spe-
A LEADING women’s rights pressure cific benefits, such as abolishing the
group yesterday lashed out at chan- health in pregnancy grant, which it
cellor George Osborne for a Budget it said was “completely contrary to the
said would force the fairer sex to government’s stated intention of pro-
“bear the brunt” of fiscal tightening. tecting the most vulnerable”.
The Fawcett Society said women The society also singled out the VAT
would be disproportionately affected hike as a measure hitting women’s
by the public sector pay freeze, since purses more than men’s, since every-
they make up 65 per cent of the civil day household goods are often paid
workforce. for by the female partner.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 News | Budget Special 31
PROPERTY
planned to repeal,” he told can write off tax on trading losses
BY MARION DAKERS Parliament. and postpone capital gains tax by
THE government has reinstated tax The Labour government had draft- investing in another property. ing to explain how homes with multi-
▲
TECHNOLOGY
breaks for furnished holiday lettings, ed legislation to abolish the Liam Bailey, head of Knight Frank ple phone-lines would be hit and
though the chancellor warned yester- allowances, which mostly benefit sec- residential research, said the rules A TAX on fixed-line phones, designed claims the tax was unfair on the poor
day that it would consult on chang- ond home owners, but it was left had already affected buy-to-let cus- to fund the rollout of superfast broad- and elderly.
ing the allowances in 2011. unused in the wash-up at the end of tomers. “Very early evidence suggests band, was scrapped by the chancellor George Osborne said: “We need
The restored rules apply to around the last Parliament. that the second-home market, which yesterday. investment in our digital infrastruc-
120,000 landlords who run holiday The tax stipend applies to proper- was very strong up until the CGT rise Labour had called for a 50p a ture but the previous government’s
homes. Osborne stressed the impor- ties rented as holiday accommoda- was first mooted in May and which month levy on phone-lines, which landline duty is an archaic way of
tance of tourism to the UK economy tion for a minimum of 140 days a year then promptly stalled, will kick back was to be invested in extending fibre- achieving this, hitting 30m house-
in his Budget speech. and let for at least 70 days. into life very rapidly. optic broadband to rural areas. The holds who happen to have a fixed
“There are many small businesses The government will begin a con- “We experienced a noticeable previous government had expected to telephone line.
in the tourism industry today. To help sultation over the summer to look upsurge in calls to our second-home bring in up to £175m a year through “I am happy to be able to abolish
them, I am reinstating the favourable into ensuring the tax breaks meet EU teams in the hours after the chancel- the tax. this new duty before it is even intro-
tax rules for Furnished Holiday requirements. lor sat down.” However, it faced criticism for fail- duced,” he said.
Public sector
The sky’s not the
limit for the
Queen’s spending
Picture: REUTERS
pay freeze
angers unions
reform.”
▲
PUBLIC SECTOR
But the government’s freeze on pay
BY EMMA SADOWSKI
has angered trade unions, which
PUBLIC SECTOR workers are facing a called the move a “declaration of
two-year pay freeze, declared by chan- war” against Britain’s public services.
cellor George Osborne in the emer- Unison general secretary Dave
gency Budget yesterday, igniting fury Prentis said: “Public sector workers
amongst the UK’s trade unions. will be shocked and angry that they
The pay freeze applies to all public are the innocent victims of job cuts
sector workers earning over £21,000, and pay freezes.
while the 1.7m with wages below that “Freezing public sector pay when
threshold will receive a flat pay
increase of £250 in both of the two
years. Teachers will not be affected
until next year because they are with-
inflation is running at 5.1 per cent
and VAT is going up, will mean a real
cut in living standards for millions of
ordinary workers and their families -
Her Majesty shares in Budget pain as
in a three-year pay deal.
The measure is expected to save
£3.3bn by 2015, according to Osborne.
Osborne said yesterday that once
already struggling to pay rising bills.”
RMT general secretary Bob Crow
said: “Instead of sharing the pain, it’s
the poorest who take the hit while
she agrees to regular spending checks
the freeze is lifted in 2012, pay rises the greedy elite who drove our econo-
will be flat pay increases across all my over a cliff fly off to the tax
salary levels, rather than a percentage havens to bank the bail-out cash that freeze. “I will propose a new means of the first time.
▲
POLITICS
of salary, rewarding those in the could have been used to protect jobs, consolidated support for her Majesty Around 70 per cent of the Civil List
lower bands. schools and hospitals.” The Queen has accepted a pay freeze for the future at a later date,” he said. funding pays for staffing costs.
Remuneration amongst executives There are expectations that govern- next year, George Osborne He paid tribute to the Queen’s Pressure group Republic welcomed
in the public sector, according to ment departments will see up to 25 announced in the Budget yesterday. “loyal service and immense contribu- the proposals. “The crucial issue is
Osborne, will be limited to no more per cent cut from their budgets. The Civil List, which pays for the tion to public life”. transparency and accountability,”
than 20 times the lowest wage. Osborne also confirmed yesterday Queen to carry out her duties, will The royal household has also said spokesperson Graham Smith.
Chris Johnson, head of Human that the government will aim to remain unchanged at £7.9m. The agreed to subject itself to scrutiny by “It would be no progress at all if
Capital said: “It is right to restrain, if reduce the cost of public sector pen- monarch has received the same annu- the National Audit Office and the they just gave the palace a different
not freeze, public sector pay increas- sions, with a special independant al sum for 20 years. Commons Public Accounts lump sum each year without anyone
es. There is both an issue of afford- committee to be chaired by former The chancellor said Her Majesty Committee, bringing it in line with being held accountable for how that
ability and an urgent case for pay Labour minister John Hutton. has given her full agreement to the all other government spending for money is spent.”
CITY VIEWS: WHAT DO YOU THINK OF OSBORNE’S EMERGENCY BUDGET? Interviews by Marion Dakers
“The less well off are hit harder with “The most important thing is that pub- “I’m slightly surprised that they man-
the VAT rise, but I suppose everyone is lic sector pay has been frozen, which is aged to put together a comprehensive
going to be hit this time. The cuts are a in real terms a pay cut for a large num- Budget in six weeks. Cuts have to be
step in the right direction, but I reserve ber of people. Those lucky enough to made, and they are going to
judgement until they get keep their jobs with the hurt. Consumer spending
more specific in the State will now get hit by will dip after the VAT rise
autumn. I’m not surprised VAT as well. The Liberal and then recover – but it
they have changed the Democrats had much more won’t be a quick fix. They
threshold for income tax, as progressive ideas before could have been much
they had to do some- the election, partic- more cruel with CGT. It
thing for the less well uarly on the tax could have been 40
off.” system.” per cent or worse.”
32 News | Budget Special CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
▲
lor done enough to plug the yawn- do you think this Budget will be in VIDEO GAMES There will be a small reduction in the
PoliticsHome.com ing Budget deficit?
In our regular poll we want to
repairing the public finances?
• The chancellor announced an THE video gaming industry hit out
rates for capital allowances, which
will remain broadly in line with eco-
know whether you think Osborne increase in the top rate of capital last night after the Budget unexpect- nomic depreciation.”
GEORGE Osborne yesterday deliv- has passed his first big test. gains tax from 18 per cent to 28 per edly slashed tax credits promised by But industry figures accused the
ered his debut Budget. Key meas- Tell us what you think by signing cent, with exemptions for entrepre- the previous government. coalition of breaking promises and
ures included raising VAT to 20 per up to our unique panel of London’s neurs. Overall, do you think this Former chancellor Alistair Darling threatening the UK’s position as a
cent and cutting back on welfare business community before 12 pm measure will benefit or hurt enter- had promised to move the sector into market leader in the industry.
provisions. at www.cityam.com/panel prise? line with the film industry, which Richard Wilson, chief executive of
receives generous tax breaks, although game developer body Tiga, said the
in association with Apply to join today at the details had not been ironed out.
Osborne said: “We will not go
UK will lose out on investment,
adding the government should be
PoliticsHome.com www.cityam.com/panel ahead with the poorly-targeted tax
relief for the video games industry.
supporting the industry “with action,
not words.”
bookie set to
▲
POSTAL SERVICES
GEORGE Osborne yesterday
announced the government will seek
be privatised
a cash injection for the Royal Mail
Group.
The chancellor said he would press
£300m
ahead with “long overdue” plans to
attract private investment in the flag-
ging institution.
However, the announcement fell
short of some predictions that the
consortium of seven airlines. Last national postal service would be float-
▲
M&A
month, consortium boss Peter Read ed on the London Stock Exchange.
BY OLIVER SHAH
said he expected the government to Postal affairs minister Ed Davey
THE High Speed 1 rail link, air traffic retain a share of around 25 per cent admitted this month a public listing
control, the student loan book and in the case of privatisation. He said was an option for the coalition.
Tote, the national bookmaker, are the airlines may also look to sell Analysts believe a full flotation of the
among assets to be sold off by the down their holdings, suggesting a service could rake in as much as £9bn.
coalition government. stockmarket flotation rather than a
Chancellor George Osborne yester- trade sale could be on the cards.
day said it was high time to return
the businesses to private ownership, a
move that will generate billions of
Last year, NATS turned a pre-tax
profit of £95m on revenues of £767m.
The asset could be worth around
IPT hike branded a
pounds to begin repairing Britain’s
battered public finances.
High Speed 1, the 68-mile route
£1.5bn based on valuation multiples
for other aerospace companies.
The student loan book was worth £1.5bn tax on the prudent
from London to the Channel Tunnel an estimated £18bn last year, while
in Folkestone, is expected to fetch Tote – officially the Horserace
▲
INSURANCE
£1.5bn at auction for a 30-year lease. Totalisator Board – was valued at
Although the price tag is a fraction of around £300m in 2008, when then- THE higher rate of insurance premi-
the £5bn spent building the link, Prime Minister Gordon Brown consid- um tax (IPT) -- which applies to travel
transport secretary Philip Hammond ered divesting the bookmaker. insurance and extended warranties --
said: “The money generated by this Given market volatility around is set to rise to 20 per cent from 17.5
sale will make an early significant Eurozone sovereign debt problems, per cent.
contribution to the crucial task of experts said the government’s timing In addition to this, the standard
reducing the public sector debt.” was not ideal. Neil Vickers, partner at rate -- which applies to most general
The route will be watched over by Denton Wilde Sapte, questioned insurance -- will rise to six per cent
the Office of Rail Regulation to safe- whether the Treasury would get a from five per cent.
guard passengers’ interests. decent price through the sell-offs. The government faced a backlash
Offloading the government’s stake He said: “The M&A market’s in a last night as critics branded the hike a
in NATS, the air traffic controller, will downturn as well as the rest of the tax on the prudent.
be more complicated. The state owns
49 per cent of the company, with the
remainder owned by employees and a
economy, so that does usually affect
prices, unless one of those assets is of
particular interest to a buying party.”
£1.5bn The average car insurance policy
will now see £18 a year go to the gov-
ernment on a premium of £300.
DEVELOPMENT
▲
ENVIRONMENT
BY STEVE DINNEEN paper later this summer to lay out Osborne also pledged to simplify lenge.
the proposals. the planning consent process in areas THE government pledged to flesh out “The government is considering a
REGIONAL Development Agencies Cameron’s government vowed to where there is likely to be significant its plans for a Green Investment Bank wide range of options for the scope
(RDAs), the government bodies support local business through the business growth. to encourage funding for low carbon and structure of the Green
which work with local businesses to creation of local enterprise partner- The news will be a hammer blow to technologies. Investment Bank. The options will be
promote economic growth, will be ships which will “enable improved RDAs which hoped their positive The project, which was included in evaluated for effectiveness, fiscal
scrapped as part of George coordination of public and private track-record could save their skins. Alistair Darling’s last Budget, will affordability and transparency.”
Osborne’s austerity Budget. investment in transport, housing, Independent research by attempt to remove barriers to an envi- More details are expected after the
Nine schemes, covering each of skills, regeneration and other areas of PricewaterhouseCoopers estimated ronmentally sustainable economy. spending review this autumn.
England’s regions, got the chop development.” that for every £1 invested by RDAs, The Budget report said: “The gov- The Budget also confirmed the
through the public bodies bill yester- The coalition could also give local they generated £4.50 in return, rising ernment will put forward detailed Climate Change Levy will increase in
day as the new chancellor slashed fat authorities powers to offer reduced to £6.40 when future returns are proposals on the creation of a Green line with inflation, as detailed by
from government spending. business rates and control council tax included. Investment Bank to help the UK meet Darling in March.
Investment
34 CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
| Foreign Exchange
T
HE pivotal question in the run-up to growth, albeit at a relatively low levels.
yesterday’s emergency Budget was Recent UK economic data has brought
whether it would knock the econo- mixed results. Industrial production data
my into a double-dip recession. This was disappointing but retail sales and
debate had been raging for months – labour data were brighter – the claimant
indeed, the Labour Party campaigned hard count fell by a greater-than-expected
on the assertion that too much austerity 30,900 in May. This was not the first time
too soon could tip the economy back into since the financial crisis began that UK
recession. Even yesterday, its message was unemployment figures have brought a pos-
still that such measures should wait until itive surprise; the peak in the jobless rate is
the recovery is on firmer ground. likely to be significantly lower than the
But chancellor George Osborne defend- double-digit peaks experienced in both the
ed the need for severe measures. Already 1982 and 1992 recessions. That said, while
the UK government is borrowing £1 for unemployment apparently improved this
every £4 it spends and the message yester- spring, the employment numbers remain
day was clearly that without action now, sour. Only a net 5,000 new jobs were creat-
the cost for future generations will be ed in the three months to April, and all
untenably large. Osborne is not alone in part time.
prioritising the job of repairing the public The increase in VAT to 20 per cent, com-
finances – the tone of the most recent G20 bined with the reduction in the welfare
meeting made clear that most govern- budget, will be punishing for some out-of-
ments are thinking along the same lines. work consumers. But the Budget did
The reason is clear, investors are no include some incentives to cheapen the
longer attributing zero (or close to zero) costs of hiring low paid workers that
default risk to sovereign debt and, as should help to negate some of this pain.
investors demand higher risk premiums, Market estimates centre around a growth
governments fear that debt maintenance forecast for the UK economy around 1.2-1.3
costs could rise to very painful levels per cent this year, in line with those of the Further labour unrest reduce the attractiveness of public pension sterling assets. The firmer tone of gilts in
It is on this pretext that the Liberal- Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR). could be taken badly schemes which is unlikely to go down well recent weeks has already translated into
Conservative coalition has been defending While changes to the tax and welfare by the markets. with trade unions. The markets will not lower fixed mortgage rate costs (rates on a
the need for budget austerity. Prime system are broad-based in nature, it is the react well to any labour unrest. two-year fixed mortgage have reached a
Minister David Cameron warned earlier reaction of public sector workers to the Picture: REUTERS Disappointingly, the absolute level of seven-year low). Lower borrowing interest
this month that without action, the cost of changes in their pay and pension provi- public debt is likely to carry on rising rates should translate into a better envi-
debt maintenance would more than dou- sions which threaten to create the biggest through the term of this government. This ronment for economic growth, offsetting
ble to £70bn by 2015 – this would be backlash. All public sector workers earning statistic is softened by the projection that some of the impact of fiscal austerity.
greater than the combined budgets for over £21,000 will have their wages frozen the debt/GDP ratio should fall as should At the end of the speech, euro-sterling
transport, running schools in England and for two years. But perhaps more emotive the deficit/GDP numbers. Borrowing as a was very little changed from its level at the
climate change. are the proposals to cut the £10bn gap share of GDP should fall to just 1.1 per cent start. That said, both sterling and the FTSE
While some economists do fear that a between the assets and liabilities of public of GDP by 2015, down from 10.1 per cent of 100 did rally in the aftermath. The fact
double-dip recession will be a consequence pensions, which threatens to significantly GDP this year. Furthermore, the govern- that the chancellor stated that Germany
ment aims to reduce the structural deficit and France were also announcing a bank
ANALYSIS l UK interest rates have already moved lower Source: Bloomberg a year earlier than previously expected. levy diluted the impact of that measure on
While the markets tend to remain scepti- the UK financial sector. The Budget may
6.0 cal of budget projections until firmer evi- give sterling sufficient incentive to recap-
UK yield dence is seen, these estimates should stave ture more ground against the euro but
5.0 curve off risk of a credit ratings downgrade and scope for an aggressive move appears
these projections should therefore support rather limited.
4.0
Yields (%)
3.0
VIEW ALLISTER HEATH’S Sponsored by
2.0 22/4/2010
22/6/2010 BUDGET ANALYSIS AT
1.0
0
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CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 Markets & Investments 35
LONDON’S TOP 250 Trade these shares from £1.50 with Interactive Investor - www.iii.co.uk
Company Name Closing Price Price Change 52wk High 52wk low Company Name Closing Price Price Change 52wk High 52wk low Company Name Closing Price Price Change 52wk High 52wk low Company Name Closing Price Price Change 52wk High 52wk low
(p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p) (p)
3i . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .297.40* –3.60 314.80 216.75 Cobham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .229.00* –3.60 278.60 165.90 Investec . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .496.10 –6.40 565.00 309.75 Sainsbury(J) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .330.70* +1.40 373.00 307.00
3i Infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114.50* — 114.90 87.50 COLT Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .135.50 –2.30 144.20 101.00 ITV . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .57.15 –0.05 71.75 31.75 Schroders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1319.00 –2.00 1450.00 764.00
A.B. Foods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1014.00* +7.00 1045.00 740.50 Compass . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .550.00 –7.00 574.50 307.75 Jardine Lloyd Thompson. . . . . . .575.00 –7.50 604.50 393.00 Schroders N/V. . . . . . . . . . . . . .1071.00 –7.00 1185.00 643.50
Aberdeen Asset Man . . . . . . . . . .136.00 –0.40 155.60 111.00 Cookson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .462.50 –18.10 616.00 220.00 Johnson Matthey . . . . . . . . . . .1630.00* –27.00 1814.00 1077.00 Scot. & Sthrn Energy. . . . . . . . . 1119.00 –14.00 1206.00 357.50
Admiral. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1417.00 –5.00 1441.00 850.50 Croda Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1040.00 +4.00 1047.00 498.50 Kazakhmys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1196.00 –39.00 1634.00 567.50 Scottish Mortgage. . . . . . . . . . . .591.50* –3.00 623.50 376.00
Aegis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114.30* — 137.30 81.50 CSR . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .415.00 –6.20 524.00 320.75 Kesa Electricals . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117.40 +2.30 162.00 98.45
Afren . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .90.20 –2.80 111.00 38.50 Daily Mail ‘A’ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .478.70* –4.20 539.00 264.25 .LQJÀVKHU . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .228.40 +0.40 255.00 171.40 SEGRO . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .270.50 –0.20 403.10 250.00
African Barr Gold . . . . . . . . . . . .637.00 –14.00 685.00 520.50 Dana Petroleum . . . . . . . . . . . . 1194.00 –17.00 1549.00 968.50 Ladbrokes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .140.20 +4.20 174.29 114.60 Serco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .622.00 +4.50 656.50 394.30
Aggreko . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1490.00 +23.00 1490.00 476.25 Davis Service . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .380.30 –2.60 442.30 307.50 Lancashire Hldgs . . . . . . . . . . . .502.00 +2.00 540.00 416.70 Severn Trent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1230.00* +2.00 1310.00 921.00
Alliance Trust . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .323.50 –3.20 352.70 260.25 De La Rue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .962.50 –3.50 1021.00 808.50 Land Securities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 611.50 +1.50 743.50 415.25 Shaftesbury . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .372.00* +1.50 426.50 285.00
AMEC . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .861.00* +2.50 891.00 603.50 Debenhams . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .59.90 +0.20 91.95 53.75 Legal & General . . . . . . . . . . . . . .84.85 –1.00 94.40 49.37 Shire. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1442.00 –4.00 1526.00 810.00
Amlin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .385.50 –4.50 428.50 291.00 Derwent London . . . . . . . . . . . .1322.00 +5.00 1490.00 844.00 Lloyds Banking Gp . . . . . . . . . . . .59.00 +2.34 75.58 40.42 SIG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113.80 +1.80 146.60 84.25
Anglo American . . . . . . . . . . . .2682.50 –54.00 3015.50 1557.50 Dexion Absolute . . . . . . . . . . . . .138.50 –2.10 148.00 108.00 Logica . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118.00 –0.70 149.10 74.50 Smith & Nephew . . . . . . . . . . . . .663.00 — 700.50 435.25
Antofagasta . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .899.50 –21.50 1100.00 546.50 Diageo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1109.00 –2.00 1176.00 857.00 London Stk Exchange . . . . . . . . .640.00 –7.00 949.50 588.00 Smiths . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1140.00 –11.00 1186.00 656.50
Aquarius Platinum . . . . . . . . . . .394.80 –10.50 490.00 172.75 Dimension Data . . . . . . . . . . . . .102.20 +0.90 105.00 54.75 Lonmin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1691.00 –18.00 2198.00 950.00 SOCO Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .420.80 –9.10 444.60 380.60
ARM Holdings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .289.50 –1.50 362.40 108.00 Domino’s Pizza . . . . . . . . . . . . . .382.90 +4.80 387.80 199.25 Man . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .258.30 +3.90 373.60 199.60 Spectris . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .802.00* –12.50 928.00 495.00
Arriva . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .766.00 +0.50 782.50 378.50 Drax . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .377.70 –4.10 496.50 321.50 Marks & Spencer. . . . . . . . . . . . .348.40* +5.70 412.70 291.00 Spirax-Sarco Eng . . . . . . . . . . .1399.00 — 1591.00 769.00
Ashmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .257.10 –3.00 311.20 183.25 DSG Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .27.42 –0.10 39.75 19.25 Meggitt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .320.60 –4.20 331.00 151.75
Astrazeneca . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3048.00 +4.00 3136.00 2631.50 Dunelm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .350.10 +5.10 438.40 202.00 Melrose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .232.40 +3.20 251.50 87.75 Spirent Comms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111.50 –1.70 127.80 54.50
Atkins(Ws) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .700.00 +1.50 747.00 532.50 Easyjet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .413.30 –13.20 499.90 260.00 Mercantile IT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .917.00 –19.00 1002.00 716.50 Sports Direct Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115.00 +4.10 134.00 72.50
Autonomy Corp . . . . . . . . . . . .1943.00 –21.00 2012.00 1121.00 Edinburgh Inv Tst . . . . . . . . . . . .399.50* –6.00 412.40 297.50 Michael Page Intl. . . . . . . . . . . . .406.30 +3.70 461.50 218.50 SSL Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .840.00 +3.00 893.50 506.00
Aveva . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1206.00 –2.00 1237.00 661.00 Electrocomponents . . . . . . . . . . .230.60 — 245.00 134.25 Micro Focus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .541.50 +1.50 550.00 300.90 St James’s Place . . . . . . . . . . . . .225.00 –5.10 296.90 172.25
Aviva . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .348.00 –6.40 474.00 274.75 EnQuest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .107.60 +0.60 112.70 87.35 Millen & Copthorne . . . . . . . . . . .446.60 +5.20 496.30 226.50 Stagecoach. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .190.60 +1.20 204.90 114.75
Babcock International . . . . . . . . .560.50* –1.00 660.50 448.50 Essar Energy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .464.20 –4.00 475.00 358.50 Misys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .254.80 –4.40 281.70 163.75 Standard Chartered . . . . . . . . . .1784.50 –8.00 1847.00 1115.00
BAE Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .321.80 –2.00 389.90 294.20 Eurasian Nat Res . . . . . . . . . . .1030.00 –32.00 1276.00 582.00 Mitchells & Butlers . . . . . . . . . . .301.00 –3.60 343.90 228.30 Standard Life . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .188.00 –1.50 237.00 172.60
Balfour Beatty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .250.70* –1.90 328.85 238.50 Euromoney Inst Inv . . . . . . . . . . .602.50* –0.50 630.00 197.00 MITIE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .222.70 +2.80 281.70 204.25 TalkTalk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .126.90 –2.10 147.10 106.60
Barclays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .310.75 –6.35 394.25 255.00 Experian . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .630.00 –6.50 664.50 434.00 Mondi . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .426.90 –6.10 488.00 182.00 Talvivaara Mining . . . . . . . . . . . .395.20 –7.50 501.50 315.00
Barratt Development . . . . . . . . . .108.40 +4.60 193.31 93.70 F&C Comm Prop . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93.55* +0.55 96.80 73.50 Monks Inv Tst . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .296.50 –6.00 321.20 222.00 Tate & Lyle . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .488.20 –2.00 509.00 284.75
BBA Aviation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .196.00 +1.20 220.00 105.00 Ferrexpo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .284.60 –9.60 396.20 112.00 Morrison Wm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .268.10 +6.90 306.30 234.25 Taylor Wimpey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32.48 +0.98 54.90 27.40
Beazley. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .121.90 –0.60 124.80 91.00 FirstGroup . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .390.30 –8.60 448.80 322.75 Murray Intl Tst . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .851.50 +3.50 893.50 575.00 Telecity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .412.20 +0.80 455.00 272.00
Bellway. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .659.00* +17.50 927.50 591.50 Foreign & Col Inv Tst. . . . . . . . . .274.00 –4.00 297.20 210.25 National Express. . . . . . . . . . . . .241.30 +2.00 256.80 135.08
Berkeley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .795.00 +5.50 989.50 735.00 Fresnillo . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1052.00 –34.00 1115.00 438.00 National Grid . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .504.50* –5.50 607.65 469.37 Templeton Emrg Mkts . . . . . . . . .565.00 –3.00 598.00 346.50
BG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1084.00 –41.00 1248.00 966.90 G4S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .280.80 –1.20 285.70 197.90 Next . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2170.00* +27.00 2360.00 1415.00 Tesco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .393.00* +4.95 454.90 347.40
BHP Billiton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1988.00 –43.50 2346.00 1274.50 Genesis Emerging Mkts Fd . . . . .469.50 –6.50 484.00 370.00 Northumbrian Water . . . . . . . . . .300.00 –0.40 311.50 219.90 Thomas Cook . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .197.10 –3.50 277.20 189.70
BlackRock Mining . . . . . . . . . . . .589.50 –11.50 654.50 346.00 GKN . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .131.40 –3.80 155.00 71.75 Old Mutual . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113.70* –1.80 127.20 71.00 Tomkins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .257.60 –0.50 261.10 135.00
BlueBay . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .294.80 –0.20 393.00 188.00 GlaxoSmithKline . . . . . . . . . . . . 1188.50* –4.00 1347.00 1058.00 Partygaming . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .260.00 –0.20 339.70 213.30 Travis Perkins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .797.00 +1.50 915.00 464.00
Booker . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .42.01* –0.08 49.50 32.75 Great Portland Estates . . . . . . . .297.80 +1.80 332.10 203.75 Pearson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .953.50 –12.00 1069.00 574.00 TUI Travel . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .222.50 –0.50 313.90 213.80
BP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .334.20 –15.30 658.20 328.40 Greene King . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .409.50 +4.40 504.00 359.50 Pennon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .551.00 –3.50 567.00 434.40 Tullett Prebon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .340.00 –12.30 436.20 261.20
Brit Insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .954.00* +9.50 962.50 709.00 Halfords . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .540.00 — 555.50 302.75 Persimmon . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .381.60 +10.10 534.50 340.25 Tullow Oil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1140.00 –36.00 1375.00 834.50
British Airways . . . . . . . . . . . . . .214.40 +0.60 255.80 117.30 Halma . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .275.50 +4.50 279.60 175.75 Petrofac . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1256.00 –20.00 1294.00 580.00 UK Commercial Prop. . . . . . . . . . .79.40 –1.10 84.90 60.50
British Amer. Tob . . . . . . . . . . .2174.00 +4.00 2335.50 1664.00 Hammerson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .365.00 +1.00 460.30 277.00 Petropavlovsk . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1325.00 –40.00 1370.00 515.00 Ultra Electronics . . . . . . . . . . . .1581.00 –1.00 1678.00 1064.00
British Empire Tst . . . . . . . . . . . .428.60 –6.80 467.90 338.50 Hargreaves Lansdown . . . . . . . .348.90 –1.00 387.00 197.25 Premier Farnell . . . . . . . . . . . . . .233.70* –6.80 252.60 121.25 Unilever . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1901.00 –9.00 2024.00 1419.00
British Land . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .452.80 –4.70 532.00 353.00 Hays . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .96.50 –3.60 119.00 80.00 Premier Oil . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1213.00 –24.00 1431.00 984.00 United Utilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . .522.00* –7.50 575.00 429.00
Britvic. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .478.90* +6.70 497.70 253.25 Henderson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .130.20 –2.40 157.80 83.75 Provident Financial . . . . . . . . . . .896.50* –9.50 986.00 763.00
Brown(N.) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .280.30 +17.60 284.30 204.25 Heritage Oil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .438.40 –6.80 587.00 409.80 Prudential . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .571.50 –7.50 665.00 350.25 Utd Business Media . . . . . . . . . .525.00 –7.50 579.50 364.75
BSkyB . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .703.00 –2.00 732.00 428.75 Hikma Pharma . . . . . . . . . . . . . .691.00 +8.00 730.00 430.00 PZ Cussons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .317.90 –6.20 332.30 180.75 Vedanta Resources . . . . . . . . . .2418.00 –53.00 2967.00 1262.00
BT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .135.50 –0.80 151.00 99.50 Hiscox . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .354.00 +1.80 369.30 279.50 Qinetiq . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119.20 –0.30 179.10 113.90 Victrex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1160.00* +9.00 1193.00 498.50
Bunzl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .729.00* –17.50 784.50 478.50 Hochschild Mining . . . . . . . . . . .323.50 –5.10 370.60 220.00 Randgold Resources. . . . . . . . .6470.00 –35.00 6590.00 3351.00 Vodafone . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .142.10* –2.50 153.80 111.90
Burberry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .799.00 –14.00 815.50 366.00 Home Retail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .238.10* +3.10 336.50 224.80 Reckitt Benckiser . . . . . . . . . . .3219.00 –45.00 3667.00 2686.00 VT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .750.00 +1.00 777.50 416.00
Cable & Wire Comms . . . . . . . . . .60.20* +0.85 150.00 53.00 Homeserve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2036.00 +3.00 2190.00 1336.00 Reed Elsevier . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .493.40 –10.10 548.00 403.75 Weir . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1125.00 –20.00 1183.00 437.50
Cable & Wire Wwide . . . . . . . . . . .91.20* –0.65 94.80 68.60 HSBC Hldgs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .659.20* –0.10 766.80 487.00 Regus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .79.85 –1.20 125.50 59.50 WH Smith . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .435.00 –0.30 551.00 405.25
Cairn Energy. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .433.00 –11.90 448.60 306.80 Hunting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .457.30 –0.70 659.50 377.00 Rentokil Initial . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .120.90 –0.80 140.20 82.25 Whitbread . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1531.00* +53.00 1645.00 778.50
Caledonia Invs . . . . . . . . . . . . .1627.00 –13.00 1759.00 1459.00 ICAP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .432.30 –2.10 478.30 291.70 Resolution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .60.30† — 99.15 58.45 William Hill . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .183.70 +0.60 217.80 160.50
Capita . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .779.00 +2.00 829.50 643.50 IG . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .444.10 +4.10 458.20 261.00 Rexam . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .320.70 –4.70 331.20 222.50 Witan Inv Tst . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .438.00 –7.90 487.00 329.50
Capital & Counties . . . . . . . . . . .106.00 +0.10 125.40 99.60 Imagination Tech Gp . . . . . . . . . .300.00 –9.50 311.60 103.75 Rightmove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .675.00 –4.50 729.00 334.00 Wolseley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1562.00 –34.00 1742.00 1001.00
Capital Shopping Centres . . . . . .337.80 –3.10 580.00 300.20 IMI . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .734.50 –2.50 756.50 275.25 Rio Tinto . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .3445.00 –45.00 4104.00 1822.00
Carillion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .327.00 –4.80 361.90 236.75 Imperial Tobacco. . . . . . . . . . . .1913.00 –7.00 2159.00 1547.00 RIT Capital Partners . . . . . . . . .1166.00 –13.00 1200.00 876.00 Wood Group (John). . . . . . . . . . .324.50 –8.30 411.70 231.25
Carnival . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2424.00 –128.00 2937.00 1562.00 Inchcape. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .282.90 –3.10 347.00 253.20 Rolls Royce . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .601.00* –4.00 631.50 335.00 WPP . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .703.50 –2.50 744.00 380.50
Catlin . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .368.70 +1.70 380.50 284.75 Informa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .393.10 –6.80 439.40 216.00 Rotork . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1369.00 –21.00 1482.00 779.50 Xstrata . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1048.00 –28.00 1344.50 555.10
Centamin Egypt . . . . . . . . . . . . .167.50 –1.90 174.75 77.86 Inmarsat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .756.50 –5.50 831.00 491.00 Royal Bank Of Scot . . . . . . . . . . . .47.08 +0.31 58.95 28.25 Yell Group. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29.84 –0.47 86.00 20.25
Centrica . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .297.90 –4.70 320.00 212.50 Intercontl Hotels . . . . . . . . . . . . 1184.00 –24.00 1244.00 584.50 Royal Dutch Shell A . . . . . . . . .1843.50 –16.00 2068.50 1431.00 LONDON TOP 250 BY MARKET CAPITALISATION
Charter Intl . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .714.00 –11.00 855.50 406.50 Intermediate Capital . . . . . . . . . .263.90 –1.10 332.00 170.25 Royal Dutch Shell B . . . . . . . . .1761.50 –22.50 1997.50 1437.00
Chemring . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3111.00 –199.00 3711.00 1964.00 Intertek . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1504.00 +41.00 1576.00 1002.00 RSA Insurance . . . . . . . . . . . . . .123.40 –1.40 142.00 113.10 * Ex-Dividend † Suspended
Chloride Group . . . . . . . . . . . . . .348.00 — 349.50 129.00 Intl Power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .316.30* –4.00 354.00 228.00 SABMiller . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2012.00 –8.50 2090.00 1210.00
Close Bros . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .727.00 –4.50 806.50 623.00 Invensys . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .282.50 –6.20 350.30 212.25 Sage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .245.50 –0.30 260.50 167.20 www.interactivedata.com
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W U
EAKER commodity stocks sales in the run-up to the change. Banks all sank yesterday with S stocks fell more than one per cent, to 10,293.45. The Standard &
pulled Britain’s top share Home Retail Group, Next and Barclays, HSBC, and Standard cent in yet another late-day sell- Poor’s 500 Index fell 17.86 points, or
index lower yesterday, Marks & Spencer all rose 1.3 to 1.6 Chartered lost 0.1 to 2.0 per cent. off yesterday as unexpectedly 1.60 per cent, to 1,095.34. The Nasdaq
while retailers got a lift per cent. poor housing figures and the Composite Index lost 27.29 points, or
from the first emergency Budget “Increasing Vat ... from 4th ANALYSIS l FTSE puncture of a key technical level 1.19 per cent, to 2,261.80.
from Britain’s new coalition gov- January 2011, will boost short-term 5,246.98 sapped buying interest. The S&P 500 ended below 1111.33,
ernment after an expected valued spending on consumer goods in the 6,000 22 Jun Stocks marked time in a thinly the 200-day moving average.
added tax rise was delayed. months ahead, so retailers will be 5,800 traded session until the S&P 500 fell Energy companies also numbered
At the close, the FTSE was down very busy until the end of the year,” through its 200-day moving average, among the decliners amid worries
5,600
52.1 points, or 1.0 per cent, at said Julian Tolley, head of research which had been a basis of support in about regulation. Oil drillers briefly
5,246.98, having hit its highest clos- at HB Markets. 5,400 the last few days. spiked after a US judge ruled against
ing level in a month on Monday. Supermarket chains WM Homebuilders’ shares fell after the a six-month moratorium imposed by
5,200
British finance minister George Morrison, Tesco and Sainsbury National Association of Realtors the White House on deepwater
Osborne unveiled big spending cuts added 0.4 to 2.6 per cent on relief 5,000 reported sales of existing homes drilling, but the Obama administra-
and tax rises in the tightest budget that Vat would not be extended to 4,800 unexpectedly fell in May in the latest tion said it will immediately appeal,
in a generation, but many of the food, as some had feared. 31 Mar 4 May 3 Jun of a series of weak economic releases. and the sector fell.
36 Investment | Fund Management CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
A BLITZ OF
CUTS WOULD
BE THE BEST
DICK TURPIN
MANAGING DIRECTOR, ARTEMIS
R
ATHER than a real war on debt, what has
been going on until now has been more of
a Sitzkrieg than a painful – but very neces-
sary – Blitzkrieg. This is just as it was from
September 1939 to April 1940 when the Second
World War was a sitting war: a lot of talk and
no action. Indeed, the League of Nations, con-
fronted with major matters, greeted the out-
break of the war with a debate about the
standardisation of level crossings. Even as the
real war began at last, the League’s Permanent
Central Opium Board puffed on.
The cuts announced in yesterday’s Budget
haven’t hit home – yet. Chancellor George
Osborne and the coalition need to start a prop- Tokyo’s bustling skyline belies the deeply troubled state of Japan’s economy Picture: REUTERS
er blitz. We shall see whether the Office of
Budget Responsibility proves itself to be as
innately oxymoronic as military intelligence – or
fulfills its potential as the Office of Brutal
Reality. We will also see, in time, whether peo-
ple are willing to have their belts tightened for
them and whether the UK can mend its
finances the way Canada did and the way
Ireland is trying to do.
Survival in the Far East
The more senior of my three readers may
remember “zero-base budgeting”, an aspect of Fund managers are April – a move that will heap more pres-
sure on the state’s coffers.
the FTSE 100, whose members derive more
than 50 per cent of their profits from over-
accounting long since fallen into disuse. In Few Japan fund managers would be seas. Neptune’s portfolio favourites are
essence, one starts at the bottom, rather than finding opportunities caught enthusing about the country’s firms which dominate their sectors
at the top. Thus, looking at the vast maw of the domestic prospects. And yet, from the rot- through attention to quality and niche
UK state’s expenditure, one would say: “If we despite Japan’s woes, ting tails of an anaemic private sector, a expertise. Toshiba, Taylor says, is geared to
were starting again from scratch, what would debt-addled public sector and weak high the resurgent popularity of nuclear power
we need?” That contrasts with the present:
“Here’s the expenditure. What can we cut?”
says Oliver Shah street consumption, some dedicated stock-
pickers are cooking up fresh sushi.
across the world; Toho Titanium is a mar-
ket-leading processor of the precious metal
When the cuts do come, even though they As a portfolio boss who has nearly dou- which is again in demand as aircraft
J
will be top-down rather than “zero-base”, APAN has defied the most ardent bled investors’ cash in Japan over the past orders pick up; Elpida, which makes RAM
growth will slow. Markets will respond with optimists for the past 20 years. From five years, Neptune Investment memory chips for computers, is well-
volatility at best. But in time this will be good a peak of 38,000 at the height of the Management’s Chris Taylor has earned placed to benefit from the pick-up in IT sec-
for markets in that although growth may be country’s asset price boom in 1990, the right to be frank. Sitting in a board- tors in the UK, the US and Europe. Taylor
lower, it will be higher quality and more bank- the Nikkei 225 index has plotted an room high above Tokyo, Taylor says the also hedges against a weakening yen, a
able, ie not born of excess credit or government almost unbroken downwards course. country’s economy is “dying on its feet”. trick that helped produce star perform-
expenditure. Gross domestic product (GDP) has trodden Taylor spent 15 years with Fuji Investment ance despite the credit crunch in 2008.
Well, the Range Rover celebrated its 40th water at the nominal level of ¥500tr Management before taking the helm of Neptune is not alone in seeing corpo-
birthday last week. Costing £1,198 in 1970, the (£3.7tr) for a decade. Neptune’s £124.4m Japan Opportunities rate bright spots amid the gloom of
first models were available as two-doors – or Even as the DPJ coalition government fund and is all too familiar with the toxic Tokyo’s economy. A recent survey of invest-
two-doors. Both models had vinyl seats and promises to rescue Japan from chronic influence of poor governmental steward- ment houses by Standard & Poor’s Fund
rubber mats. Investors, on balance, will benefit deflation and to double long-term real ship on corporates: in a quagmire of low Services found the majority of groups
from the four-wheel drive as well. growth to 2 per cent by 2020, ministers are growth and low consumer spending, com- were moving overweight Japanese equities
grappling with a fiscal crisis as frighten- panies cut capital expenditure and rein in in their global portfolios. The country
ing as anything seen on the periphery of wages, creating a perpetual cycle that looks cheap versus other equity markets
the Eurozone. An ageing population and traps domestically-orientated stocks in a on both price-to-book and price-to-earn-
the ravages of the global downturn meant terminal tailspin. ings measures, according to Nomura,
tax revenues for the year to March were But Taylor has managed to extract an 86 which forecasts earnings growth of 60 per
worth less than government bond issues per cent return from Japan since 2005. cent for the 12 months to next March.
for the first time since 1946. In a desperate “Investment in Japan is all about investing Fund managers appear to be embracing
bid to kick-start the economy, the govern- in companies, not the country,” he the Japanese proverb: money grows on the
ment unveiled a record ¥92.3bn budget in explains, comparing the stockmarket to tree of persistence.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 Investment | Fund Management 37
Climate change
Investors should not
ignore green tech
opportunities
Picture: GETTY
funds efficient
source of profit
Investing in low-carbon industries will pay
off in years to come, writes Kathleen Brooks
A
S THE western world enters the age Simon Webber, fund manager at
of austerity, finding sectors with Schroders’ Global Climate Change fund.
strong growth potential will be the “We particularly like companies that pro-
challenge for investors. Climate vide video conferencing facilities, thereby
change is one area that has astounding reducing the need for business travel, and
prospects. energy efficient lighting,” he says.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) Webber likes Phillips, which generates a
estimates that between $1 trillion and $2 third of its profits in the lighting industry,
trillion a year will need to be invested over Honda, BG Group and Schnitzer Steel, a
the medium to long term to develop alter- US company that produces steel in a less more than 18 per cent in the past year. ANALYSIS l Projections for power generation mix Source: OECD/IEA
native energies to reduce carbon emis- carbon-intensive way. During the crisis, alternative energy
sions in a meaningful way. Charles Gooderham, director at stocks were very volatile. To counteract 60,000 Other renewables
Climate change has come into focus in Deloitte, says that right now carbon is this, Wheb’s Brook blends a demographic
Talk to your Financial Adviser, call 0800 092 2051 or visit www.artemisonline.co.uk
Issued by Artemis Fund Managers Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (www.fsa.gov.uk), 25 The North Colonnade, Canary Wharf, London E14 5HS.
For your protection calls are usually recorded. CAM/AE
38 Investment | Foreign Exchange CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
SLOW SHIFT
IN YUAN WILL After sterling’s
HELP RISK FX
BORIS SCHLOSSBERG
rally, investors
are playing a
DIRECTOR OF CURRENCY RESEARCH, GFT
L
AST weekend Chinese monetary authorities
announced that they were ending the yuan
peg to the dollar that was adopted during the
credit crisis to protect the country’s exporters.
waiting game
The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) noted: “In a
continuation of the foreign exchange reforms
launched in 2005, the yuan will not undergo a one-
off revaluation, serving market supply and demand
will continue to act as a base, and adjustments will
be made with reference to a basket of currencies.
The trading band will be maintained according to
its existing parameters, the floating exchange rate
will be subject to dynamic management and
Stay positive but wary growth outlook and softer interest rate
projections.” Even so, the year should see
deficit, with a Vat rise to kick in in January
and as yet unspecified cuts of 25 per cent
adjustment, the yuan will be kept basically stable
at a reasonable and balanced level.” versus the greenback, steady gains against the euro. For the sum-
mer, Hughes sees sterling hovering close
in most government departments, the
country should brace itself for a patchy
to €1.26 while McDarby puts it a little
As a result of the announcement, dollar-yuan
fell below the key 6.8000 mark – its strongest writes Juliet Samuel higher at €1.28 for the end of 2010.
return to growth. FxPro analysts say that
based on comparisons to similar periods
level in more than two years. The move by the But there is much less certainty over of fiscal contraction, “it’s more likely than
PBoC was not only a sign of confidence in the sus- sterling’s trajectory versus the dollar, not that we do see at least one negative
F
tainability of the global economic recovery but it OREX markets gave a cautious wel- which benefits from perceived safe haven quarter of growth in the coming year”.
was also a response to the rising inflation pres- come to George Osborne’s emer- status. While investors have expressed ini- Expect to see sterling wobbles further
sures and the growing housing bubble within the gency Budget measures yesterday, tial confidence in Osborne’s plans, con- down the line.
Chinese economy. with sterling rallying to highs of cerns remain that the Office for Budget A strong sterling is not, of course, uni-
The FX markets greeted the move enthusiasti- $1.4851 and €1.2081. However, the pound Responsibility’s (OBR) growth estimates versally welcome. Selftrade advisor
cally. Commodity dollars attracted most of the still failed to make up Monday’s losses are still inadequate. Regarding the OBR’s Stephen Barber comments: “A sustained
buying on the assumption that China will increase against the dollar, reflecting a widespread downwards revision of Treasury projec- increase in sterling will make UK borrow-
purchases of raw materials as the yuan gets wait-and-see approach as analysts work tions, Ian Stannard at BNP Paribas ing cheaper but also increase the cost of
stronger. I already like the Australian dollar and through the details of the Budget and nonetheless says they remain too high. our exports – so far leading recovery.” So
the Canadian dollar on a relative basis since they watch for its impact on growth. Even so, with the US far from regaining sterling dips could give occasional boosts
have better balance sheets than the G3 economies Reactions were mixed as to whether the rude fiscal health itself, sterling could still to growth, which would in turn push the
and their central banks are already tightening mon- Budget delivered a tougher or softer be a viable option for traders looking for pound back up.
etary policy. If the yuan does appreciate, both the approach than expected, with the only somewhere to put their money. CMC With Osborne pursuing a tough line
Aussie and the loonie should continue to do well consensus being that there were no major Markets’ Michael Hewson forecasts that if rhetorically, FxPro highlights that “the
against the euro and the pound. surprises. As a result, for the short-term, sterling stays above a seemingly resilient bigger picture is dependent on delivery.
Still, the pace of appreciation is likely to be Mark Deans at forex specialist Moneycorp level of $1.4440, it could well rise to $1.50 The details... have yet to be thrashed out
slow. Several analysts have predicted that dollar- says: “It’s possible that there’s no energy by the end of the year. On the downside, for the October spending review”. So while
Chinese yuan could reach 6.5000 by year-end, but left in the sterling rally because the auster- he predicts a risk of falls to $1.44 if we see yesterday’s Budget was a strong start and a
such a move would have to occur against a back- ity measures have already been priced in. it drop below $1.4680. boost for sterling, traders should wait to
ground of sustained economic growth of 3 per It may just trade sideways after some Either way, Hewson says: “It’s going to see whether the measures have staying
cent or better. The latest data from across the G3 movement today.” be a bit of a choppy ride.” Despite the long- power and what their impact on econom-
has shown a slowdown in consumer demand that The medium- to long-term outlook pri- term necessity of tough action on the ic activity will be.
could temper those estimates in the second half of marily depends on the Budget’s effect on
this year. If that were the case, then the apprecia- the economy as a whole, but in the short- ANALYSIS l Sterling rallied, but not up to its Monday dollar high
tion of the yuan could be much less dramatic than term most analysts expect to see the
the market imagines and the rally in risk FX would pound gain gradually against the euro. 1.206
sterling-dollar (right axis) 1.49
wither as result. Foreign Currency Direct’s Stephen Hughes sterling-euro (left axis)
Boris Schlossberg and Kathy Lien are directors says: “The chancellor’s tough talk and con- 1.204 1.485
of currency research at GFT. Read commentary at fident delivery has done much to reassure
www.GFTUK.com/commentary or e-mail investors and as a result we can expect to 1.202 1.48
borisandkathy@gftuk.com. see the pound enjoy some modest short-
term gains.” 1.20
1.475
The prospect of continued loose mone-
1.198
tary policy, however, brings with it the 1.47
possibility of some downside movement. 1.196
Investec Treasury Solutions’ Lee McDarby 1.465
warns: “There is a risk of a short-term ster-
ling sell-off associated with a weaker 21 Jun 22 Jun
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CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 Investment | Foreign Exchange 39
BUDGET HAS
CALMED THE
BOND MARKET
GEORGE TCHETVERTAKOV
HEAD OF MARKET RESEARCH, ALPARI
Y
ESTERDAY, chancellor George 1.2 per cent in 2010 and 2.3 per cent in
Osborne produced the most fiscally 2011. The severe cuts to public spending
AFTER A CAUTIOUSLY POSITIVE RECEPTION FOR THE BUDGET, austere and severe budget in post-
war UK history. Britain is embarking
are likely to weigh on UK output and cre-
ate the possibility of further budget cuts
WHERE NOW FOR STERLING? Interviews by Juliet Samuel on its sharpest budget deficit reduction
crusade since the 1940s with the aim of
and more tax rises at a later date should
growth fail to meet current projections.
cutting the structural deficit by 8 per cent It is important to note that fiscal aus-
of GDP over the next five years. The fiscal terity is directly correlated to growth. If
MICHAEL HEWSON | CMC MARKETS shortfall will be cut from 11.1 per cent of GDP estimates are revised lower and/or
“
GDP in 2009-10 to 4 per cent in 2014-15. actual GDP growth rates undershoot pro-
Market reaction has been positive so jections, then the size of the fiscal adjust-
If the Chancellor was looking to see if his credibility budget was a success, then judging by the market far with sterling rising and UK bond mar- ment will increase in real terms.
reaction so far it could well be he has succeeded. Euro-sterling has gained ground, pushing below the 83.2-3p kets welcoming the budget with confi- The key indicators for continued recov-
”
support area and while the bigger 84p resistance level holds, further sterling gains remain likely in the dence – yields on long-term UK ery and what investors will be scrutinis-
near term. Against the US dollar, $1.468 remains the key barrier to further declines towards $1.45. government debt moved lower following ing over the medium- to long-term is
Osborne’s speech. whether government borrowing, GDP
The rise in VAT to 20 per cent and con- growth rates and, in turn, budget deficit
NICK BEECROFT | SAXO BANK secutive decreases in corporation tax are
the main features of the Budget that
figures meet the sanguine expectations
set out by the chancellor yesterday.
“
should help UK markets. We’re not out of the woods yet but at
Most scenarios seem bleak for the pound: in a calm world, low rates would make sterling a carry Although the hike will put further pres- least the international capital markets
trade funding currency. Alternatively, a blow-up of the Eurozone debt crisis will send investors scurrying into sure on inflation measures and expecta- have received this emergency Budget
”
tions, the revenue generated will allow with relative confidence which should
safe-havens, principally the dollar and swiss francs. So whilst the pound may hold its own against the the coalition government to avoid deeply induce a gradual inflow back into UK
euro, it could be a different matter versus the dollar. unpopular cuts to healthcare budgets. The assets over the course of 2010. Britain
progressive reduction of corporation tax remains heavily indebted while the path
should act as an incentive to invest in the to fiscal balance is drawn out and faces
DUNCAN HIGGINS | CAXTON FX UK and thus increase capital inflows over several risks given the fragility of the
“
the next five years. broader global economic recovery.
But the lower GDP growth projections But overall, it was a strong Budget that
It is likely to take at least a day or so before the market can fully analyse the potential economic for the next two years were perceived by has removed a lot of uncertainty and
impact of the policies outlined. Immediate reaction has been positive for sterling with the pound comfortably market participants to be a threat to the appeased the bond markets for the time
”
back above €1.20 and erasing its early losses against the dollar. On the surface, the market has taken an recovery and UK asset classes. Previous being. But the prospect of the UK manag-
optimistic view of the Chancellor’s efforts to address the deficit. estimates in the March budget and from ing to return to a sound fiscal footing
the Office for Budget Responsibility within the next five years is still far from
(OBR) have been revised lower; down to certain.
IAN STANNARD | BNP PARIBAS
“ The UK budget appears to be tough enough to keep the rating agencies at bay. Sterling-dollar is hold-
ing up well so far with the key support at $1.4650 remaining unchallenged despite the breach of up trendline
”
support. We continue to favour selling sterling-dollar rebounds, especially given the proximity of major FX & CFD Trading. W
Worldwide.
orldwide.
down trendline resistance currently intervening at $1.4920.
THE TIPSTER
BATTLE OF
THE HIGH
YIELDERS IS
UNDER WAY
I
T WAS easy yesterday to focus only on
what was happening to sterling but there
was activity in plenty of other currency
pairs too. The Australian dollar-New
Zealand dollar has retraced ever since the
Aussie dollar failed to maintain momentum
above NZ$1.3000. The latest retracement to
the NZ$1.2400 level equals the 38.2 per cent
World Cup 2010
Fibonacci retracement of the move from the
October 2008 low to April 2010 high. It could Look to buy Aussies versus kiwis Picture: GETTY Celebr
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Osborne’s speech appears to have been the Christmas boozing will be over and the
Maximum trading power (1:500) Free educational material
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should find support at the trendline at ¥133. Cantor Index offers a September spread on Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for you as they carry a high degree of
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Recent years have seen the relentless rise Since recovering from its recent lows the *Conditions apply, see website for details. **Depending on account type.
in alcohol duty become a prominent feature FTSE 100 has struggled to break the 5265
in fiscal policy. While the drinks companies level with any conviction and it may well
weren’t specifically targeted in yesterday’s struggle to climb past 5,300 in the short- alpari.co.uk/2010 +44 (0)20 7426 2900
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Lifestyle
40 CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
WORDS BY
| Motoring RYAN BORROFF
The Cayenne
goes green
It’s light, clean and efficient. Looks-wise, the car has definitely
improved. It appears far more curvaceous
be completely switched off at speeds of up to
97mph. Here the engine is completely disen-
can’t imagine ever being able to find any one
of its buttons while driving without needing
Say hello to Porsche’s most and less masculine and boxy. Porsche’s
designers have gone a long way towards
gaged from the drive-train and instead you
can cruise along without power in what
to look for it first. The vents on the central
dash seem somewhat alien – kind of biome-
eco-friendly car to date addressing some of the elements that made
some people declare the first generation
Porsche calls “sailing mode”, saving even
more fuel.
chanical like the otherworldly work of HR
Giger. (The interior designer must be an
Cayenne “ugly’”, and they’ve made the new The result of all this is that you get V8 per- Alien movie fan.) A lot of the car’s extra
Cayenne more Porsche-like. formance from a V6 engine, with a reduction length has translated into passenger space.
O
NCE deemed a horrendous diver- Still, the last thing anyone would ever have in emissions and greater economy. Together The rear-seat bench can now be moved for-
sion by Porsche purists, the Cayenne said about the Cayenne was that it was envi- the engine outputs 380hp-333hp from the ward and back by 160mm and even the back-
has gone on to become the single ronmentally friendly. It was at the top of the engine and 47hp from the motor – the result rest can be adjusted to three different
biggest-selling model in the Porsche eco movement’s automotive hit list. But not is a combined cycle of 34.4mpg. But it is in settings for comfort.
range with more than 280,000 of them this one: Porsche’s hybrid Cayenne model is the city that the Hybrid S is most striking. So why would you buy the Cayenne S
sold worldwide since the car’s launch back now the cleanest vehicle Porsche makes. The According to Porsche you can still maintain Hybrid? Well, with the world’s increasing oil
in 2002. Cayenne has been rehabilitated, cleansed. as little as 32.5mpg. This represents a massive gap and rising fuel prices, it offers almost
The new Cayenne is a lighter, cleaner, Sitting in the new S Hybrid, I struggle to improvement on the 19.5mpg you’ll get Cayenne S-like performance with almost
more economical and prettier version of comprehend the car’s silence. Because I can’t around the city in the regular Cayenne S. equivalent economy to the Cayenne Diesel.
its predecessor and somehow it manages hear the engine, I turn the ignition key more Yet thanks to Porsche’s commitment to Which means the Cayenne S Hybrid allows
to pull off a clever trick. It appears visually than once. It’s a schoolboy error. Did the car developing more powerful cars that use less you to pretty much have your cake and eat it
shorter than the car it replaces; yet it’s that the world loved to hate just get in touch fuel and are more efficient and cleaner (what too.
actually longer (by 48mm). The effect is with its inner hippy? it calls “Porsche Intelligent Performance”) – And if you don’t care about economy, blow
that the second generation appears small- The hybrid system is impressive. Not least all this hasn’t come at the cost of perform- your cash on the Turbo S. And let the greens
er than the car it replaces. It looks like it’s because I am almost entirely unable to notice ance. The hybrid Cayenne can accelerate eat cake.
been on a health trip – not bodybuilding, the transitions between its different operat- from stationary to 62mph in just 6.5 seconds
more muscle-toning yoga. ing modes when driving. I know only and on to 150mph. Sure these figures are THE FACTS:
because there is an “energy flow” display on slower than the regular Cayenne S (0-62mph
the dash to tell me, otherwise I wouldn’t be in 5.9secs, 160mph top speed) but it means PORSCHE CAYENNE S HYBRID
able to tell. the Hybrid S is far more worthy of the PRICE: £57,609
The car has a 3.0 litre V6 engine backed up Porsche badge on its bonnet than the quite
by an electric motor that provides additional considerably slower diesel (0-62mph in 0-62MPH: 6.5secs
power on demand. It will use either the elec- 7.8secs, 135mph top speed). What’s more it TOP SPEED: 150mph
tric motor or the engine, or make use of both produces just 193g/km CO2. CO2 G/KM: 193
working together, depending on driving con- The Cayenne has been completely MPG COMBINED: 34.4mpg
ditions. redesigned inside too, which is most notable
This means in the City you can drive the
car over short distances and up to 37mph on
for the increase in overall quality. The
Carerra GT inspired the redesigned cockpit
THE VERDICT:
electric power alone, remaining utterly free and it’s all recognizably Porsche, just better. DESIGN hhhii
PERFORMANCE hhhhi
The facts: of emissions. But if you want a quick getaway
the electric motor can serve to give you an
It looks and feels far more luxurious
although the great array of switchgear on PRACTICALITY hhhii
VALUE FOR MONEY hhhii
you can afford a Mercedes additional boost. The engine itself can even the centre console is a little intimidating. I
SKY SPORTS 1 2am PGA EuroPro Tour Golf Show 4.30am-5.30am E4 Jobs in History 4.40am The
SATELLITE & CABLE
5.30pm Live Twenty20 Cup 4am British Motocross Superleague Formula 7pm Hollyoaks 7.30pm Friends First World War 5.30am-6am
Cricket 9pm International Championship 5am-6am Golf 9pm FILM Dogma 1999. How It’s Made
Rugby Union 10pm World Cup
LIVING 11.30pm You Have Been
Report 10.30pm You’re on Sky
BRITISH EUROSPORT 7pm Four Weddings 8pm
Watching 12.20am-6am Big
DISCOVERY HOME &
Sports! 12am FIFA Futbol 6.35pm Show Jumping 7.35pm Nothing to Declare 9pm Brother: Live HEALTH
Mundial 12.30am Twenty20 Riders Club 7.40pm European Supernatural 11pm Criminal 7pm Baby Tales 8pm Jon and DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES
Cup Cricket 2.30am Soccer Tour Golf 8.10pm Ladies Minds 12am CSI: Crime Scene HISTORY Kate Plus 8 9pm Hospital CHANNEL 4, 10PM
AM: The Best Bits 3.30am European Tour Golf 8.20pm Golf Investigation 2am Exposed: 7pm How the Earth Was Made Sydney 10pm Saving Babies Angie finally comes face to face
You’re on Sky Sports! 5am-6am Club 8.25pm Wednesday Kylie 3am The Fresh Prince of 8pm Holy Grail in America 10pm 11pm Emergency Medics 12am with her ex-husband Patrick Logan,
Soccer AM: The Best Bits Selection 8.35pm Yacht Club Bel-Air 3.50am Maury 4.40am World War Two Lost Films Hospital Sydney 1am Saving and Lynette worries about Eddie’s
8.50pm WATTS 9.05pm Nothing to Declare 5.30am- 11pm How the Earth Was Made Babies 2am Emergency Medics violent temper.
SKY SPORTS 2 Eurosport for the Planet 9.30pm 6am Home Shopping 12am Decoding the Past 1am 3am Jon and Kate Plus 8 4am
7pm Live Winning Post 9pm Eurosport Flash 9.35pm Soccer Clash of the Gods 2am Ancient Bringing Home Baby 5am-6am
British Motocross Championship City Live 10.10pm Eurosport BBC THREE Discoveries 3am Battle 360 Mum’s the Word
10pm Cage Fighting 11.30pm Flash 10.15pm Triathlon 7pm The World’s Strictest 4am-5am Decoding the Past
International Rugby Union 11.10pm euroCRASH! 11.15pm Parents 8pm Don’t Tell the SKY1
12.30am British Motocross Paralympic World Cup 12am- Bride 9pm Peckham Finishing DISCOVERY 7.30pm Futurama 8pm Fat
Championship 1.30am Cage 12.30am Soccer City School for Girls 10pm 8pm How Do They Do It? Families: Second Helpings 9pm
Fighting 3am Boots ‘n’ All 4am- EastEnders 11pm Family 8.30pm How It’s Made 9pm FILM Gone in 60 Seconds
6am Twenty20 Cup Cricket ESPN Guy 11.45pm Mongrels I’m Alive 10pm Oil Disaster: A 2000. 11.15pm A League of
7pm AFL Review Show 8pm 12.15am Special 1 TV 12.20am Race Against Time 11pm Their Own 11.45pm Border
SKY SPORTS 3 NBA Classics 10pm NBA Match of the Day: 2010 FIFA Cosmic Collisions 12am Invasion USA 12.45am The K-VILLE
7pm International Rugby Union Fastbreak 11pm South Africa World Cup 2am Peckham Deadliest Catch 1am Bear Real World: Key West 1.45am FIVE, 10PM
8pm Boots ‘n’ All 9pm WWE: Nightly 11.30pm Baseball Finishing School for Girls 3am Grylls: Born Survivor 2am Caprica 2.40am Road Wars New series. American drama, starring
Fatal 4-Way 12am Inside the Tonight 12am Live Major Don’t Tell the Bride 4am The How Do They Do It? 2.30am 3.30am 24 4.20am Tru Calling Anthony Anderson and Cole Hauser as
PGA Tour 12.30am European League Baseball 3am Press World’s Strictest Parents 5am- How It’s Made 3am Extreme 5.10am-6am Sell Me the cops working in post-Hurricane Katrina
Tour Weekly 1am Golf Pass 2010 3.30am AFL Review 5.30am Bizarre ER Engineering 3.50am The Worst Answer New Orleans.
COFFEE BREAK
Copyright Puzzle Press Ltd, www.puzzlepress.co.uk
QUICK CROSSWORD
SUDOKU KAKURO
11 16 20 33 23 15 11
22 16 6
8
11 35
Place the numbers from 1 to 9 in each empty cell so that each 7
row, each column and each 3x3 block contains all the numbers Fill the grid so that each block 29
12 6
from 1 to 9 to solve this tricky Sudoku puzzle. adds up to the total in the box 10 6 6
above or to the left of it. 17 21
You can only use the digits 1-9 9 18
and you must not use the
22
13 12
same digit twice in a block. 15 32 34 17 13
The same digit may occur 25 12
5
more than once in a row or
column, but it must be in a
17
3
7
18
14
39
separate block.
4 14
22 8
10 7 23
ACROSS DOWN
3 Consequence (7) 1 Fabric for a painting (6)
WORDWHEEL R V
6 Detached (5)
8 Protect (9)
2 Written account (7)
3 Organs used as meat (5)
Using only the letters in the Wordwheel, you have 9 Scene (5) 4 Mountain lion (6)
ten minutes to find as many words as possible,
C O 10 Madness (6) 5 One who voluntarily
none of which may be plurals, foreign words or
proper nouns. Each word must be of three letters A 13 Footprint (4) suffers death (6)
LAST ISSUE’S or more, all must contain the central letter and
letters can only be used once in every word. There
E A 16 Underdone (4)
7 Cereal grass (3)
11 Mr Geller, spoon-
SOLUTIONS KAKURO is at least one nine-letter word in the wheel.
T X 18 Humorously
sarcastic (6)
bender (3)
/ 6 7 5 ( 7 & + ( 5
1 3 2 5 8 5 9 7 SUDOKU Cairo (5) 14 Violent denunciation (6)
9 6 9 8 2 8 1
, : $ $ 2
7 2 1 3 6
22 Listen without 15 Having a strong effect (6)
7 5 ( $ ' % 5 $ 6 6 the speaker’s
+ ( 7 $ , / ( 5 & 5 4 2 6 8 9 6
17 Glorifies, praises (6)
8 7 7 ( 5 ( , ' ( 5 8 4 2 3 5 9 7 6 1 knowledge (9)
19 Roman goddess of
$
1 2 :
/
, 1 3
6
6 $
,
/ 0
3 1 1 7
2 7 9
6 9 8
5 9
WORDWHEEL 23 Painting stand (5)
agriculture (5)
, + ( , 1 2 8 6 6
7 4 9 3 2 2 1 The nine-letter word 24 Alphabetic
$ : $ 5 ( / ( , * +
21 Indian state, capital
3 1 6 2 1 3 4 2 characters (7)
/ & , ' $
was RETRACTED Panaji (3)
6 7 ( 9 ( ' 2 5 ( : 2 8 9 5 9 7
Sport
42 CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
Nonchalant Nadal
enjoys happy return
seed Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, who recovered
WIMBLEDON from a blip to beat big-serving Robert
2010 Kendrick 7-6 (7-2), 7-6 (8-6), 3-6, 6-4, while
Queen’s Club winner Sam Querrey is
BY JON COUCH
also through along with ninth seed
WORLD No1 Rafael Nadal marked his David Ferrer and Mikhail Youzhny, who
first Wimbledon appearance in two ended the hopes of Andy Roddick’s con-
years with a comfortable win to waltz queror at Queen’s, Dudi Sela.
into the second round. Women’s top seed Serena Williams
Second seed Nadal clinched his first began the defence of her title with a
grass-court title in 2008, but missed the comfortable 6-0, 6-4 victory over Michelle
chance to defend his title last year Larcher de Brito to book a round two
through injury. clash with Russia’s Anna Chakvetadze.
But the Spaniard showed he’s not lost The biggest shock of the day saw sixth Murray takes on Jarkko Nieminen, of Finland, in the second round tomorrow. Picture: REUTERS
any of his flair, sweeping aside unseeded seed and French Open runner-up Sam
Kei Nishikori, of Japan, 6-2, 6-4, 6-4. Stosur crash out 6-4, 6-4 to Kaia Kanepi.
“For me it was very special to come
back to the nicest centre court in world,”
Nadal said. “The crows here are always
amazing so I want to thank them very
much, they make me feel like I’m at
home. It’s amazing to come back.”
After Francesca Schivone’s defeat on
Monday, it means that both Roland
Garros finalists have perished in the first
round at Wimbledon for the first time.
Third seed Caroline Wozniacki and
Agnieszka Radwanska, seeded seven, are
Murray’s hurry for a
Nadal was joined in round two by 10th both safely through, however.
TO
WIDAY’S M
date with the Queen
I HAVE
NN ATCH
ER WIMBLEDON will be watched by the Queen on round,” he added.
! 2010
her first visit to the All England
Club since 1977.
Unsurprisingly, Murray will be
forced to fly the British flag alone
THE PERFECT
BY JON COUCH “If I get on Centre, it’ll be great,” in the second round after the four
Murray said. “It’ll be an honour and remaining Brits in both the men’s
BRITISH No1 Andy Murray admit- a privilege.” He then joked: “A bow and women’s draw, all crashed out
ted he was looking forward to his should be quite simple – but you at the first hurdle.
date with the Queen tomorrow never know, I might get a bit nerv- Jamie Baker, the only other Brit
after cruising through his first ous and screw it up.”
DAY.
in the men’s singles, went down 7-6
round match at Wimbledon. Murray had every reason to be (7-4), 6-3, 6-4 to Andreas Beck, while
The British No1 recovered from cheerful after a pain-free opening Anne Keothavong and Heather
dropping his serve early on to ease match, which brought no fewer Watson also crashed in three sets.
past Czech Jan Hajek on a swelter- than 18 aces, 56 winners and an 88 Keothavong threw away a 4-0
ing Court One. per cent first serve win percentage lead in the deciding set to go down
6/1 ENGLAND THROUGH & GERMANY OUT! It earned him a second round
clash with Jarkko Nieminen, of
as he eased fears over his worrying
form. “I haven’t played that many
3-6, 6-2, 6-4 to Australia’s Anastasia
Rodionova, while debutant Watson
Finland, tomorrow – a match matches lately, so any win’s a good suffered a 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 defeat to
which, if played on Centre Court, one. I’ll try and play better next Italian Romina Sarina Oprandi.
SLOVENIA v ENGLAND
Today, Kick-Off 3.00pm, Live on BBC1.
6/1 SLOVENIA 3/1 DRAW ENGLAND 1/2
Dowson and Barritt get Tour chance
CORRECT SCORE DOUBLE RESULT FIRST GOALSCORER
chance in the final match of the and Barritt. “When we got Brad we
▲
Slovenia Score England Slovenia Slovenia 14/1 Rooney 10/3 RUGBY UNION
BY FRANK DALLERES trip in Napier, which Johnson has thought, ‘Let’s not bring him all
12/1 1-0 9/2 Slovenia Draw 20/1 Lampard 5/1 billed as an unofficial third Test. this way to sit on the bench’. It was
33/1 2-0 5/1 Slovenia England 28/1 Crouch 11/2 ENGLAND manager Martin Barritt, who only flew to the same for Phil.”
20/1 2-1 15/2 Draw Slovenia 14/1 Gerrard 13/2 Johnson has handed Phil Dowson Australia on Friday, comes in for
ENGLAND XV | V NZ MAORI
80/1 3-0 7/1 and Brad Barritt their first interna- Olly Barkley and will partner
Draw Draw 9/2 J. Cole 8/1 tional starts in today’s clash with Mathew Tait in the midfield.
66/1 3-1 11/1 Lennon 10/1 New Zealand Maori. England’s team features 14
D Armitage; D Strettle, M Tait, B Barritt,
66/1 3-2 33/1 Draw England 3/1 Dedic 16/1 Both Northampton No8 Dowson changes from the side that beat C Ashton; C Hodgson, D Care; D Flatman,
England Slovenia 50/1 G Chuter, P Doran-Jones, D Attwood,
17/2 0-0 17/2 Ljubijankic 16/1 and Saracens centre Barritt were Australia in the second Test in
G Parling, C Robshaw (capt), S Armitage,
7/1 1-1 7/1 England Draw 18/1 late arrivals to the tour Down Sydney on Saturday, with Chris
No G/scorer 17/2 Under, having been promoted from Ashton the sole survivor. P Dowson. Replacements: R Webber,
20/1 2-2 20/1 England England 11/10 EACH WAY ONE-THIRD THE ODDS the Churchill Cup-winning Saxons. “This was a great chance to get D Cole, D Ward-Smith, J Haskell, B Youngs,
A PLACE 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Own goals S Geraghty, B Foden
Other scores on request. Bets void if match not completed. don’t count. Others on request. But they are set to get their them in,” Johnson said of Dowson
Morgan’s ton
FOOTBALL TRADER BEN CLEMINSON TAKES A LOOK AT TODAY’S
FINAL ROUND OF MATCHES IN GROUP C
E
NGLAND’S goalless draw England at Wembley last September, tight and it wouldn’t be a surprise to
against Algeria was dismal but there is a lot more at stake today see the match goalless at half-time.
POINTERS...
will surely set their stall out to frus- Egypt 1-0 that time and a repeat of
It began a satisfactory day for trate Fabio Capello’s side. that scoreline looks the right call at Draw HT / England FT at 7/2 on Betdaq
▲
CRICKET
BY JON COUCH England in the field as they took These two countries have only 11/2 with Paddy Power. England to win 1-0 at 11/2 with Paddy Power
wickets at regular intervals with played each other once, a 2-1 win for Slovenia will try to keep things Sell total match goals at 2.5 with Sporting Index
EOIN MORGAN was the hero once strike trio James Anderson, Wright
again as his magnificent unbeaten and Broad all chipping in with two
century helped England ease into a 1- apiece, while Michael Clarke kept the
0 series lead against Australia at the score ticking for the tourists with a
Rose Bowl. classy unbeaten 87.
The Irish-born one-day specialist But the blistering batting which
smashed 16 fours for a third ODI cen- crushed the old enemy in the World
tury in just 85 balls as the hosts Twenty20 final last month was evi-
chased down Australia’s 267-7 dent again as specialist one-day
with four wickets and four overs opener Craig Kieswetter
to spare. impressed with 38,
Morgan shared stands of 95 while Kevin Pietersen,
with all-rounder Luke who had averaged only
Wright, who added 36 to 17 in his previous 11
his two earlier wickets, internationals, added
and 71 with Tim 29.
Bresnan, who chipped in But the mainstay
with 27. of the innings was
It completed a memo- Morgan, who showed
rable day for Andrew the true repertoire of
Strauss’ men, who are his shots to march to a ninth half-
looking to avenge last century for England, while Wright
summer’s 6-1 defeat to took the victory target to below
the Aussies in this five- 100 with a magnificent six from
match series. Watson.
Winning the toss in this, When Wright was trapped lbw
the 3,000th match of this by the ultra-quick Ryan Harris,
format since it began in England still needed 76 from 91
1971, the Australians started balls, but Morgan, ably supported
well, adding 52 for the first by Bresnan, saw England home to
wicket before the returning seize the advantage ahead of the
Stuart Broad caught and second match of the series at
bowled Shane Watson. Cardiff tomorrow.
44 Sport | Football CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010
yahoo.co.uk
Au revoir
Les Bleus
Franck Ribery is distraught as France crash out. Picture: ACTION IMAGES
Argentina can’t
hide their delight WORLD CUP NEWS | IN BRIEF
as Martin Palermo
seals victory with
his late second. Fifa await report on Villa The girls wore orange mini dresses
FIFA say they are awaiting a referee’s association with a Dutch brewery, break-
Picture: PA report from Spain’s win over Honduras ing strict Fifa marketing rules.
on Monday night before deciding The case led to the sacking of ITV
whether or not to take any action commentator Robbie Earle, who was
against Spanish striker David Villa. accused of providing the girls with tick-
Villa netted twice in a 2-0 win but also ets.
struck Honduran defender Emilio
Izaguirre in the face as they waited for a TODAY’S MATCHES
free-kick to be taken at the end of the
first half. Slovenia v England
GROUP B A Fifa spokesman said: “We will wait
for the referee's report before making
Port Elizabeth, ko 3pm, BBC1
TEAM PLD W D L F A PTS USA v Algeria
any decisions.”
Argentina 3 3 0 0 7 1 9 Pretoria, ko 3pm, BBC4
South Korea 3 1 1 1 5 6 4 Dutch girls escape marketing rap Ghana v Germany
Greece 3 1 0 2 2 5 3 PROSCEUTORS have dropped charges Johannesburg, ko 7.30pm, ITV1
Nigeria 3 0 1 2 3 5 1 against two Dutch women accused of an Australia v Serbia
“ambush marketing” stunt during their Nelspruit, ko 7.30pm, ITV4
side’s group match against Denmark.
Messi leads
the way as
Argies cruise
now take on Mexico in the last-16 in
GREECE 0 Johannesburg on Sunday night.
Greece went into the game know-
ing that even a narrow defeat against
ARGENTINA 2 Argentina might have been enough
for them to progress and, like they
did on their way to winning Euro
WORLD CUP 2010 2004, set out a defensive stall.
BY JON COUCH But at the same time, they never
looked like threatening at the other
DIEGO MARADONA saw his end with Celtic’s Georgios Samaras a
Argentina side sail through Group B lone figure up front.
with a 100 per cent record as they Led by stand-in captain Messi,
finally broke down strong Greek Argentina were frustrated from the
resistance to end their World Cup off with both Sergio Aguero and Juan
hopes in Polokwane.
The much-fancied Argentines took
Sebastian Veron denied early on.
Samaras squandered Greece’s best
Exclusive football content on Yahoo!
77 minutes to break the deadlock
when Bayern Munich defender
chance at the start of the second
half, sparking the Argentines into
From a man who knows a bit about football.
Martin Demichelis fired home from life and it was no surprise when
close range after Lionel Messi’s corner Demichelis lashed home the opener
had ricocheted off Diego Milito. after the Greeks failed to deal with a
And victory was sealed a minute corner.
from time when Boca Juniors hitman Still Greece didn’t threaten and
Martin Palermo upstaged his higher- after Messi struck a post following a
profile fellow striker team-mates to mesmeric run, Palermo wrapped it
tap home from close range. up after his captain’s shot was kept
The result means Maradona’s men out by keeper Alexandros Tzorvas.
KNOW YOUR ENEMY: SLOVENIA Red kit boost but pitch fears rise
HOW HAVE THEY DONE SO FAR? Slovenia top spot, so it seems unlikely penalty spot and Jermain Defoe netted
Matjaz Kek’s men followed a somewhat they will throw caution to the wind. That the other. this afternoon in Port Elizabeth.
fortunate 1-0 win over Algeria in their said, if they lose and USA beat Algeria,
WORLD CUP England are unbeaten on the four
opening fixture with a dramatic 2-2 draw then they will crash out, so they can’t TEAM NEWS 2010 occasions they have worn red from
head to toe, most recently beating
against USA. They led 2-0 against the afford to be too negative. Defender Marko Suler is a major injury BY FRANK DALLERES
Belgium 3-1 in a 1970 friendly.
Americans before crumbling in the second doubt with a rib problem but otherwise ENGLAND have been handed a good However, there was bad news yes-
half and only dodged defeat thanks to a PREVIOUS MEETINGS they have a clean bill of health. Former omen for their crunch match against terday when the full extent of dam-
Slovenia after it emerged they will age to the pitch at the Nelson
dubious disallowed goal. The one and only time England have met West Brom player Robert Koren is a goal wear lucky red. Mandela Stadium became clearer.
Slovenia was in a friendly at Wembley in threat in midfield for Kek’s unfashionable The Three Lions wore red shirts in Groundsmen patched up the goal-
WHAT RESULT DO THEY NEED? September, which Fabio Capello’s side team, who are 33rd in Fifa’s world rank- their finest hour – the 1966 World mouth with fresh turf, leaving it
A draw will be enough to guarantee won 2-1. Frank Lampard scored from the ings. Cup final victory over West uneven, while there are concerns
Germany – and will don an all red kit about excessive use of sand.
CITYA.M. 23 JUNE 2010 Sport | Football 47
Fabio has to Q.
PERMUTATIONS: HOW DRAWING LOTS MAY DECIDE FATE
WHAT DO ENGLAND NEED TO DO
TO GO THROUGH?
goals scored. Currently, USA have
scored three goals to England’s one,
ing lots, although
the system was used
Q&A
A. A win would guarantee their so in order to pip them the Three in 1990. Holland and
use players in
progress to the last 16, although Lions would need to draw 3-3, at the Republic of Ireland finished tied
not necessarily in first place. least, and hope Algeria hold Bob behind England, but both went
England could theoretically scrape Bradley’s men to a goalless draw. through to the knockout stage as in
through with a draw, but they would those days the four best third-placed
need Algeria to hold USA to a draw –
and then it starts to get complicated. Q. AND IF WE ARE LEVEL WITH
USA ON GOALS SCORED?
teams also advanced.
best positions
Should England draw 2-2, and
TREVOR’S ENGLAND XI
David James
Gareth Barry
@
Wayne Rooney
www.cityam.com
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