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Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for
each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.
For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States
presidential primary Iowa and New Hampshire. For when any given state votes, see Republican Party presidential
primaries, 2016 Schedule of primaries and caucuses.

Contents
1 Alabama
2 Alaska
3 Arizona
4 Arkansas
5 California
6 Colorado
7 Connecticut
8 Delaware
9 District of Columbia
10 Florida
11 Georgia
12 Hawaii
13 Idaho
14 Illinois
15 Indiana
16 Iowa
17 Kansas
18 Kentucky
19 Louisiana
20 Maine
21 Maryland
22 Massachusetts
23 Michigan
24 Minnesota
25 Mississippi
26 Missouri
27 Montana
28 Nebraska
29 Nevada
30 New Hampshire
31 New Jersey
32 New Mexico
33 New York
34 North Carolina
35 Ohio
36 Oklahoma
37 Oregon
38 Pennsylvania
39 Rhode Island
40 South Carolina
41 South Dakota
42 Tennessee
43 Texas
44 Utah
45 Vermont
46 Virginia
47 Washington
48 West Virginia
49 Wisconsin
50 Wyoming
51 See also
52 References

Key:
Ted Cruz

3 states + 3 shared
1 state

John Kasich
Donald Trump

32 states + 3 shared

3 or more candidates statistically tied for the lead

1 state

No polling data in the past three months or three months before the
election
10 states & D.C.
Note: This map reflects the latest opinion polling results, NOT the
final actual result of the primaries/caucuses themselves. A map of the
primaries' results is located at File:Republican Party presidential
primaries results, 2016.svg.
Please note that some states have polls with margins of error that may not be
reflected accurately on this map.

Alabama
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

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Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com March 1, 2016
/P16/AL-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


43.42%
21.09%

Marco Rubio
18.66%

Ben Carson 10.24%, John Kasich 4.43%, Jeb Bush 0.46%, Mike Huckabee
0.30%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Chris Christie 0.10%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Carly
Fiorina 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%

February 2229,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


47%
18%

Marco Rubio
14%

Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 9%

February 2528,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


42%
19%

Ted Cruz
16%

Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 7%

February 2526,
Margin of error: 4.6% Sample
2016
size: 460

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35.8%
23.0%

Ted Cruz
16.2%

Ben Carson 10.5%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 7.0%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


36%
19%

Ted Cruz
12%

Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 17%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35%
15%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 12%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Chris Christie 3%, John
Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Lindsey
Graham <1%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


38%
16.7%

Jeb Bush
4.9%

Ted Cruz 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 2.7%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%,
Rand Paul 1.5%, John Kasich 1.3%, Scott Walker 1.1%, Chris Christie 0.9%, Rick
Santorum 0.4%, Rick Perry 0.3%, Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%,
unsure 23.2%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


30%
15%

Ben Carson
11%

Marco Rubio 11%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 7.5%, Scott
Walker 3%, Other 5%

August 23, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


37.6%
14.6%

Jeb Bush
11.8%

Mike Huckabee 7.9%, Ted Cruz 4.5%, Scott Walker 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.2%,
Marco Rubio 2.6%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Bobby Jindal 2.0%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick
Santorum 1.2%, Rick Perry 1.0%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Carly Fiorina 0.5%,
George Pataki 0.0%, Someone else 1.9%, Undecided 3.1%

July 78, 2014

Jeb Bush
19.8%

Rand Paul
10.5%

Chris Christie 8.8%, Rick Perry 7.2%, Ted Cruz 5.6%, Rick Santorum 5.3%,
Bobby Jindal 3.9%, Scott Walker 3.6%, Undecided 22.6%

SurveyMonkey[1]
Margin of error: ?% Sample
size: 741
Monmouth University[2]
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 450
Opinion Savvy[3]

Master Image[4]
Margin of error: 4.2% Sample February 24, 2016
size: 1,556
AL.com[5]
December 1013,
Margin of error: 4.5% Sample
2015
size: 500
Gravis Marketing
(http://gravismarketing.com
/polling-and-market-research
/current-alabama-pollingrepublican-primary/)

September 3, 2015

Margin of error: 2%
Sample size: 1616
News-5/Strategy Research
(http://wkrg.com/2015/08
/12/alabama-republicans-favortrump-by-wide-margin/)
August 11, 2015
Margin of error: 2%
Sample size: 3500
Opinion Savvy/Insider
Advantage
(http://opinionsavvy.com
/2015/08/06/republicanpresidential-primary-state7-alabama/)
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 481
Cygnal (http://cygn.al/polls
/alabama-primary-runoff-flashpoll-071014/)
Margin of error: 3.42%
Sample size: 821

Ben Carson
12.6%

Alaska
Winner
Ted Cruz
Primary date
March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

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Poll source
Caucus results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/AK-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


33.64%
15.16%

Other

March 1, 2016

Ted Cruz
36.37%

January 23, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


27.9%
23.8%

Ben Carson
8.5%

Jeb Bush 7.3%, Marco Rubio 6.9%, Chris Christie 3.3%, Rand Paul 3.0%,
John Kasich 1.7%, Other 4.1%, Undecided 13.4%

Ted Cruz
16%

Rand Paul
15%

Mike
Huckabee
14%

Chris Christie 12%, Jeb Bush 12%, Sarah Palin 11%, Scott Walker 7%,
Paul Ryan 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Someone else/Not sure 4%

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_AK_514.pdf)
May 811, 2014

Ted Cruz
15%

Jeb Bush
14%

Chris Christie Sarah Palin 12%, Rand Paul 11%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Paul Ryan 4%,
Scott Walker 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Someone else/Not sure 11%
14%

Margin of error: 5.5%


Sample size: 313

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


16%
15%

Ted Cruz
15%

Rand Paul 14%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Paul Ryan 5%, Scott Walker 5%,
Marco Rubio 4%, Someone else/Not sure 16%

Ted Cruz
16%

Rand Paul
15%

Jeb Bush
13%

Mike Huckabee 12%, Chris Christie 11%, Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker
6%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 19%

Rand Paul
15%

Ted Cruz
13%

Sarah Palin
13%

Jeb Bush 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Chris Christie 10%, Marco Rubio 6%,
Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%

Ted Cruz
16%

Jeb Bush
14%

Rand Paul
14%

Mike Huckabee 13%, Chris Christie 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Paul Ryan 7%,
Scott Walker 5%, Someone Else/Undecided 15%

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_AK_802.pdf)
July 2528, 2013

Rand Paul
18%

Sarah Palin
14%

Chris Christie
13%

Jeb Bush 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Paul Ryan 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Rick Santorum
5%, George Zimmerman 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%

Margin of error: 4.4%


Sample size: 507

Rand Paul
20%

Jeb Bush
15%

Chris Christie
14%

Paul Ryan 14%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rick Santorum 6%,
Someone Else/Undecided 12%

Marco Rubio
18%

Mike
Huckabee
14%

Rand Paul
12%

Chris Christie 11%, Paul Ryan 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Sarah Palin 9%, Bobby
Jindal 6%, Rick Perry 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%

Ben Carson 10.83%, John Kasich 3.99%, Other 0.01%

Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore


Research[6]
Margin of error:
Sample size: 651

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
July 31 August 3,
/PPP_Release_AK_812424.pdf)
2014
Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 337

Magellan Strategies
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com
/docs/2014
/Magellan_Alaska_0414.pdf)

April 14, 2014

Margin of error: 7%
Sample size: 190
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
January 30
/PPP_Release_AK_205.pdf)
February 1, 2014
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 442

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_AK_020713.pdf)
Feb. 45, 2013
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 537

Arizona
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 22, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

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Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/AZ-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 22, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


45.95%
27.61%

John Kasich
11.59%

Ben Carson 2.39%, Jeb Bush 0.70%, Rand Paul 0.36%, Mike Huckabee
0.21%, Carly Fiorina 0.20%, Chris Christie 0.16%, Rick Santorum 0.08%,
Lindsey Graham 0.08%, George Pataki 0.05%

March 20, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


45.8%
33.3%

John Kasich
17.1%

Unsure/Undecided 3.8%

March 711, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


31%
19%

John Kasich
10%

Marco Rubio 10%, Unsure/Undecided 30%

March 8, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


37.3%
23.3%

John Kasich
14.6%

Marco Rubio 11.6%, Unsure/Undecided 10.4%, Other 2.8%

February 22, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


34.8%
22.7%

Ted Cruz
14.1%

Ben Carson 7.1%, Unsure/Undecided 21.3%

January 19, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38.6%
15.6%

Marco Rubio
11.4%

Ben Carson 7.1%, Jeb Bush 7.0%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Carly Fiorina 2.9%,
John Kasich 2.9%, Mike Huckabee 1.4%, Rand Paul 0.4%, Unsure/undecided
10%

October 24
November 4, 2015

Ben Carson
23%

August 15, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


33.1%
16.2%

Carly Fiorina
10.8%

Jeb Bush 10.2%, Ted Cruz 8.2%, Marco Rubio 6%, John Kasich 4.2%, Scott
Walker 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 3.5%, Rand Paul 1.8%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick
Perry 0.3%, Rick Santorum 0.2%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%, Bobby Jindal 0.1%,
George Pataki 0.1%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


33%
17%

Scott Walker
13%

Ben Carson 10%, Ted Cruz 5%, John Kasich 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Mike
Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick
Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%, Undecided/Refused 7%

Donald Trump Scott Walker


26.5%
12.6%

Jeb Bush
12.1%

Ben Carson 8.7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 3.9%, Marco Rubio 3.9%,
Rick Perry 2%, Rand Paul 1.7%, Chris Christie 1.7%, Undecided 21%

Scott Walker
16%

Jeb Bush
14%

Marco Rubio
14%

Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 5%, Mike
Huckabee 5%, Rick Perry 2%, Undecided 12%

Ted Cruz
16%

Rand Paul
14%

Chris Christie Jeb Bush 11%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Paul Ryan 8%, Scott Walker 8%, Marco
12%
Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Other/Undecided 13%

Opinion Savvy/Fox 10[7]


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 607
Merrill/Westgroup Research[8]
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 300
MBQF Consulting[9]
Margin of error: 3.57%
Sample size: 751
MBQF Consulting[10]
Margin of error: 3.61%
Sample size: 736
MBQF Consulting[11]
Margin of error: 3.53%
Sample size: 771
Behavior Research Center
(http://www.brcpolls.com
/15/RMP%202015-IV-02.pdf/)
Margin of error: 6.7%
Sample size: 226

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


21%
15%

Gravis Marketing
(http://www.oann.com/pollaz/)
Margin of error: 3.4%
Sample size: 844

Silver Bullet LLC


(http://azcapitoltimes.com
/news/2015/08/04/poll-trump-leadsbig-in-arizona-top-choice-for-1August 3, 2015
in-3-voters/)
Margin of error: 3.77%
Sample size: 677
MBQF Consulting
(http://www.azcentral.com/story
/news/politics/azdc/2015/07/30
/donald-trump-dominates-gop-pollarizona-jeb-bush-rand-pauljohn-mccain/30898813/)

July 29, 2015

Jeb Bush 8%, Ted Cruz 5%, All others (Christie, Fiorina, Huckabee, Paul,
Kasich) 6%, Not sure yet 22%

Margin of error: 3.56


Sample size: 758
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_AZ_50615.pdf)
May 13, 2015
Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 300
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/main/2014/03/mccain-has-worstpoll-numbers-in-theFebruary 28
country.html#more)
March 2, 2014
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 403

Arkansas
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

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Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/AR-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 1, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


32.79%
30.50%

Marco Rubio
24.80%

Ben Carson 5.72%, John Kasich 3.72%, Mike Huckabee 1.17%, Jeb Bush
0.58%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Chris Christie 0.15%, Carly Fiorina 0.10%, Rick
Santorum 0.07%, Lindsey Graham 0.06%, Bobby Jindal 0.04%

February 2229,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


34%
27%

Marco Rubio
20%

Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 4%, Undecided 6%

February 4, 2016

Ted Cruz
27%

Donald Trump Ben Carson 11%, Carly Fiorina 4%, John Kasich 4%, Jeb Bush 1%, Chris
23%
Christie 1%, Don't Know 6%

August 2, 2015

Mike
Donald Trump
Huckabee
25.5%
21.4%

Jeb Bush
9.2%

Ted Cruz 8.7%, Ben Carson 8.2%, Scott Walker 4.2%, Rand Paul 3.8%, John
Kasich 3.1%, Marco Rubio 2.9%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Rick Perry 1.5%, Carly
Fiorina 1.3%, Bobby Jindal 1.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Rick Santorum
0.3%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 2.2%, Undecided 3.2%

Mike
Huckabee
39.27%

Rick Perry
8.38%

Ted Cruz
7.33%

Rand Paul 6.28%, Jeb Bush 4.71%, Chris Christie 4.71%, Marco Rubio
4.71%, Paul Ryan 3.14%, Bobby Jindal 2.62%, Rick Santorum 2.09%, Jon
Huntsman, Jr. 1.57%, Scott Walker 1.57%, John Kasich 1.05%, Other 2.09%,
Undecided 10.47%

Mitt Romney
32.75%

Mike
Huckabee
29.24%

Ted Cruz
6.43%

Rick Perry 6.43%, Chris Christie 2.92%, Rand Paul 2.92%, Paul Ryan 2.34%,
Jon Huntsman, Jr. 1.75%, Marco Rubio 1.75%, Jeb Bush 1.17%, Rick
Santorum 0.58%, Scott Walker 0.58%, Bobby Jindal 0%, John Kasich 0%
Undecided 11.11%

Mike
Huckabee
33%

Ted Cruz
12%

Jeb Bush
10%

Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Scott Walker 6%, Bobby Jindal 5%, Marco
Rubio 4%, Paul Ryan 3%, Someone else/Not sure 11%

Mike
Huckabee
38%

Ted Cruz
14%

Rand Paul
13%

Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Paul
Ryan 3%, Cliven Bundy 2%, Someone else/Not sure 10%

Mike
Huckabee
57%

Rand Paul
9%

Jeb Bush
8%

Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, John Kasich 2%, Scott
Walker 1%, Undecided 7%

Rand Paul
21%

Marco Rubio
17%

Ted Cruz
<10%

Bobby Jindal <10%, Chris Christie <10%, Scott Walker <10%,


Other/Undecided <16%

SurveyMonkey[1]
Margin of error: ?% Sample size:
542
Talk Business/Hendrix[12]
Margin of error: ?% Sample size:
457
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage
(http://opinionsavvy.com
/wp-content/uploads/2015/08
/AR-Pres-Prim-8.4.15.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 428

Suffolk University
(http://www.suffolk.edu/documents
/SUPRC/9_24_2014_marginals.pdf) September 2023,
2014
Margin of error: 7.5%
Sample size: 171

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_AR_806513.pdf)
August 13, 2014
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 479
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_AR_501.pdf)
April 2527, 2014
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 342
Magellan Strategies
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com
/docs/2014
/Magellan_Arkansas_0414.pdf)

April 1415, 2014

Margin of error: 3.35%


Sample size: 857
Polling Company/WomenTrend
(http://freebeacon.com/tom-cottonin-dead-heat-with-mark-pryorfor-arkansas-senate/)
August 67, 2013

Marco Rubio
23%

Margin of error: ?
Sample size: ?

California
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
June 7, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

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Poll source
Primary results (http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/CA-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

June 7, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


75.01%
11.41%

Ted Cruz
9.30%

May 416, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


66%
11%

John Kasich
7%

April 2730, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


54%
20%

John Kasich
16%

April 1821, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


49%
22%

John Kasich
20%

Undecided 7%, None 1%

April 1315, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


49%
31%

John Kasich
16%

Undecided 4%

April 1114, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
23%

John Kasich
21%

Undecided 15%

March 24April 4,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


39%
32%

John Kasich
18%

Other/Undecided 11%

March 30April 3,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40%
32%

John Kasich
17%

Undecided 12%

March 1623, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36%
35%

John Kasich
14%

March 615, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
27%

John Kasich
14%

Other 11%, Don't Know 9%

March 910, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
22%

John Kasich
20%

Marco Rubio 10%, Other/Undecided 10%

March 79, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


24.9%
19.6%

Marco Rubio
17.6%

John Kasich 15.4%, Undecided 22.5%

Ben Carson 3.55%, Jim Gilmore 0.72%

Hoover/Golden State Poll [13]


Margin of error: %
Sample size: 380
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG [14]
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 529
Fox News[15]
Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 583
CBS News/YouGov[16]
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 1012
Sextant Strategies & Research/Capitol Weekly[17]
Margin of error: %
Sample size: 1165
Field[18]
Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 558
SurveyUSA[19]
Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 356
USC/Los Angeles Times[20]
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 391
Public Policy Institute of California[21]
Margin of error: 7.3%
Sample size: 321
Nson[22]
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 407
Smith Johnson Research[23]
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 454
Field[24]
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 325

December 16, 2015 Ted Cruz


January 3, 2016
25%

USC/LA Times/SurveyMonkey (http://dornsife.usc.edu


/assets/sites/1/docs/news_events/2015/lat_poll_nov15
/USC_LAT_SurveyMonkey_Poll_Topline_and_Banners_October 29
_Full_Results.pdf)
November 3, 2015
Margin of error: 3.0%
Sample size: 674

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


23%
13%

Marco Rubio
14%

September 17
October 4, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


17%
15%

Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rand
Paul 5%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John
Carly Fiorina
Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 1%,
13%
Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Others 3%,
undecided 13%

Aug 29 Sep 8,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


24%
18%

Ted Cruz 6%

Jeb Bush 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Mike
Huckabee 2%, Scott Walker 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand
Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick
Perry 1%, Others 3%, undecided 20%

April 23 May 16,


2015

Jeb Bush
11%

Scott Walker
10%

Rand Paul 8%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Chris Christie


6%, Ben Carson 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%,
Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%,
Rick Perry 0%, Other 2%, Undecided 31%

LA Times/USC (http://www.latimes.com/visuals/graphics
/la-na-g-pol-0913-poll-president-htmlstory.html)
Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 422
Field Poll (http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline
/subscribers/Rls2506.pdf)
Margin of error: 7.0%
Sample size: 227

Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand
Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%,
Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum
1%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Undecided
14%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


20%
19%

Field Poll (http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline


/subscribers/Rls2514.pdf)
Margin of error: 7.0%
Sample size: 214

Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly
Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 3%, John Kasich 1%,
Other/Undecided 13%

Marco Rubio
11%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

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Emerson College (http://elections.huffingtonpost.com


/pollster/polls/emerson-college-polling-society-22014)
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 358

April 28, 2015

Jeb Bush
17%

Scott Walker
17%

Ben Carson
15%

Ted Cruz 11%, Rand Paul 8%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Chris
Christie 5%, Undecided 20%

January 26
February 16, 2015

Scott Walker
18%

Jeb Bush
16%

Rand Paul
10%

Ben Carson 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Mike
Huckabee 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Chris Christie 3%,
Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Other 3%,
Undecided 19%

Field Poll (http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline


/subscribers/Rls2496.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 237

Colorado
Winner
Ted Cruz
Primary date
June 7, 2016
Poll source
Quinnipiac University
(http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images
/polling
/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf)

Date

1st

2nd

Other

November 1115,
2015

Ben Carson
25%

Marco Rubio
19%

Ted Cruz 14%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Jeb Bush 2%, Chris Christie
Donald Trump
1%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham
17%
0%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, DK/NA 11%

September 2014

Rand Paul
12.25%

Paul Ryan
10.29%

Chris
Scott Walker 7.84%, Marco Rubio 7.35%, Jeb Bush 6.37%, Bobby Jindal
Christie/Mike
5.88%, Ted Cruz 5.39%, Rick Perry 5.39%, Rick Santorum 2.45%, John
Huckabee
Huntsman 1.47%, John Kasich 0.49%,Refused 0.49%, Other 1.96%
8.33%

April 1415, 2014

Rand Paul
17%

Mike
Huckabee
16%

Ted Cruz
14%

Ted Cruz
17%

Mike
Huckabee
15%

Chris Christie Rand Paul 10%, Paul Ryan 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Scott
14%
Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Other/Undecided 11%

Margin of error: 4.5%


Sample size: 474
Suffolk University
(http://www.suffolk.edu/documents
/SUPRC/9_17_2014_marginals.pdf)
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 205
Magellan Strategies
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com
/docs/2014
/Magellan_Colorado_0414.pdf)

3rd

Margin of error: 6%
Sample size: 270
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_CO_319.pdf)
March 1316, 2014
Margin of error: 6.1%
Sample size: 255
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013
Ted Cruz
/PPP_Release_CO_120913.pdf)
December 34, 2013
18%
Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 355

Chris Christie Rand Paul


17%
16%

Chris Christie 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Scott Walker 8%,
John Kasich 2%, Undecided 12%

Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Scott Walker 6%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Other/Undecided 11%

Connecticut
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
April 26, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

8 od 87

Poll source

Date

Primary results (http://www.thegreenpapers.com


/P16/CT-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

April 26, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


57.87%
28.36%

Ted Cruz
11.71%

Ben Carson 0.81%

April 2324, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


54%
27%

Ted Cruz
9%

Undecided 10%

April 2224, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


59%
25%

Ted Cruz
13%

Undecided 3%

April 1218, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


48%
28%

Ted Cruz
19%

Undecided 5%

April 10 11, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


50%
26%

Ted Cruz
17%

Undecided 6%, Other 2%

November 1316,
2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


24.7%
14.3%

John Kasich
10.4%

Jeb Bush 10.1%, Ben Carson 9.1%, Rand Paul 6.2%, Ted
Cruz 6.1%, Carly Fiorina 3.6%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Mike
Huckabee 0.4%, George Pataki 0.2%, Lindsey Graham
0.2%, Other 1.6%, Undecided 10.9%

Carly Fiorina
11%

Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris
Christie 4%, John Kasich 4%, George Pataki 1%, Rand
Paul 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Mike
Huckabee 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%,
Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, DK/NA 9%

Rand Paul
12%

Chris Christie 11%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Marco
Rubio 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick
Perry 2%, Lindsey Graham 0%, John Kasich 0%, Rick
Santorum 0%, Other 3%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Undecided
12%

Gravis Marketing[25]
Margin of error: 3.0%
Sample size: 964
Public Policy Polling[26]
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 512
Quinnipiac University[27]
Margin of error: 3.4%
Sample size: 823
Emerson College[28]
Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 354
Emerson College (http://media.wix.com
/ugd/3bebb2_985dbffed8754f57a2a9638e22611ad6.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 445
Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/newsand-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut
/release-detail?ReleaseID=2289)
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 464

Donald Trump Ben Carson


October 711, 2015
34%
14%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/newsand-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut


/release-detail?ReleaseID=2175)
March 69, 2015
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 459

Jeb Bush
18%

Scott Walker
18%

Delaware
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
April 26, 2016
Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com April 26, 2016
/P16/DE-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump John Kasich


60.77%
20.35%

Ted Cruz
15.90%

Marco Rubio 0.89%, Jeb Bush 0.83%

Donald Trump John Kasich


55%
18%

Ted Cruz
15%

Unsure 12%

Gravis Marketing[29]
Margin of error: 3.0%
Sample size: 1,038

April 1718, 2016

District of Columbia
Winner
Marco Rubio
Primary date
March 12, 2016
Poll source

Date

Convention results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com March 12, 2016
/P16/DC-R)

1st
Marco Rubio
37.30%

2nd
John Kasich
35.54%

3rd

Other

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz 12.36%, Jeb Bush 0.49, Rand Paul 0.42%, Ben Carson 0.11%
13.77%

Florida
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 15, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

9 od 87

Poll source

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Primary results (http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/FL-R)

March 15, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


45.72%
27.04%

Ted Cruz
17.14%

John Kasich
6.77%, Jeb Bush
1.84%, Ben
Carson 0.90%,
Rand Paul
0.19%, Mike
Huckabee
0.11%, Chris
Christie 0.11%,
Carly Fiorina
0.08%, Rick
Santorum 0.05%,
Lindsey Graham
0.03%, Jim
Gilmore 0.01%

Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/


Florida Times-Union/
Fox 35[30]

March 13, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


44.3%
26.2%

Ted Cruz
18.2%

John Kasich
9.7%, Undecided
1.6%

March 1213, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


43.94%
24.46%

Ted Cruz
19.56%

John Kasich
8.57%,
Undecided
3.47%

March 1113, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


49%
24%

Ted Cruz
16%

John Kasich 8%,


Undecided 3%

March 1113, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


44%
27%

Ted Cruz
17%

John Kasich 9%,


Other 1%,
Undecided 3%

March 813, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


46%
22%

Ted Cruz
14%

John Kasich
10%, Other 1%,
No Preference
6%

March 911, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


44%
24%

Marco Rubio
21%

John Kasich 9%,


No Preference
2%

March 811, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


44%
21%

Ted Cruz
21%

John Kasich 9%,


Undecided 5%

March 410, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


43%
22%

Ted Cruz
21%

John Kasich 9%

March 9, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


42.8%
23.5%

Ted Cruz
20.9%

John Kasich
10.4%,
Undecided 2.5%

March 89, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


41.87%
23.10%

Ted Cruz
21.43%

John Kasich
10.94%,
Undecided
2.67%

March 79, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35.6%
26.6%

Ted Cruz
19.2%

John Kasich
9.8%, Undecided
7.6%, Other
1.2%

March 79, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


36%
30%

Ted Cruz
17%

John Kasich 8%

March 78, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


42%
32%

Ted Cruz
14%

John Kasich 8%,


Undecided 5%

March 58, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


43%
20%

Ted Cruz
16%

John Kasich
10%, Undecided
6%, Other 5%

March 27, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35.5%
23.8%

Ted Cruz
15.5%

John Kasich
8.8%, Undecided
14.3%, Other
2.6%

March 27, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


45%
22%

Ted Cruz
18%

John Kasich 8%,


Undecided 6%,
Other 1%

March 46, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


42%
22%

Ted Cruz
17%

John Kasich
10%, Undecided
5%, Other 3%

Margin of error: 3.5% Sample size: 787


Trafalgar Group[31]
Margin of error: 2.58% Sample size: 1500
ARG[32]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size: 400
Monmouth University[33]
Margin of error: 4.9% Sample size: 405
Quinnipiac University[34]
Margin of error: 4% Sample size: 615
CBS News/YouGov[35]
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample size: 827
Florida Atlantic University[36]
Margin of error: 3% Sample size: 852
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[37]
Margin of error: 4.3% Sample size: 511
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/
Florida Times-Union/
Fox 35[38]
Margin of error: 4% Sample size: 590
Trafalgar Group[39]
Margin of error: 2.83% Sample size: 1280
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[40]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample size: 500
The Ledger/10 News WTSP[41]
Margin of error: 3.8% Sample size: 700
Public Policy Polling[42]
Margin of error: 3.3% Sample size: 904
Fox News[43]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample size: 813
University of North Florida[44]
Margin of error: 3.57% Sample size: 752
Quinnipiac University[45]
Margin of error: 3.8% Sample size: 657
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[46]
Margin of error: 3.3% Sample size: 937

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

10 od 87

March 36, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


38%
30%

Ted Cruz
17%

John Kasich
10%, Ben
Carson 1%,
Undecided 5%

March 26, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


40%
24%

Ted Cruz
19%

John Kasich 5%

March 25, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


38%
31%

Ted Cruz
19%

John Kasich 4%,


Don't Know 6%,
Other 1%

February 29
March 2, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35.4%
30.3%

Ted Cruz
15.5%

John Kasich
8.5%, Ben
Carson 4.6%,
Undecided 5.6%

February 2425,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


45%
25%

Ted Cruz
10%

John Kasich 8%,


Ben Carson 5%,
Undecided 7%

February 24, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


45%
25%

Ted Cruz
15%

John Kasich
10%, Ben
Carson 5%

February 2324,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


34%
27%

Ted Cruz
17%

John Kasich 5%,


Ben Carson 5%,
Undecided 12%

February 2124,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


44%
28%

Ted Cruz
12%

John Kasich 7%,


Ben Carson 4%,
Someone else
1%, DK/NA 5%

Ted Cruz
12.35%

Ben Carson
6.04%, Jeb Bush
3.71%, John
Kasich 1.61%,
Mike Huckabee
0.79%, Chris
Christie 0.34%,
others 1.17%,
Don't Care
25.47%

Marco Rubio
18%

Ben Carson 5%,


Jeb Bush 4%,
John Kasich 2%,
Chris Christie
2%, Rand Paul
1%, all others
0%, no
preference 1%

Marco Rubio
11.1%

Jeb Bush 9.5%,


Ben Carson
3.3%, Rand Paul
3.1%, Chris
Christie 2.6%,
Mike Huckabee
2.6%, John
Kasich 2.1%,
Carly Fiorina
0.5%, Jim
Gilmore 0.2%,
Others 0.1%,
Undecided 1.1%

Monmouth University[47]
Margin of error: 4.9% Sample size: 403
CNN/ORC[48]
Margin of error: 5.5% Sample size: 313
Univision/Washington Post[49]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size: 450
Our Principles PAC[50][51]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample size: 800
Public Policy Polling[52]
Margin of error: 4.6% Sample size: 464
Gravis Marketing/
One America News[53]
Margin of error: 3.6% Sample size: 751
Associated Industries of Florida[54]
Margin of error: 4% Sample size: 600
Quinnipiac
University[55]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample size: 705

Florida Southern
College Center[56]
Margin of error: ?% Sample size: 268

January 30February 6, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


27.41%
20.43%

CBS/YouGov[57]
Margin of error: 4.6% Sample size: 988

January 1821, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
22%

Florida Atlantic University[58]


Margin of error: 4.9% Sample size: 386

January 1518, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


47.6%
16.3%

January 17, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


31%
19%

Jeb Bush
13%

Marco Rubio
12%, Ben
Carson 7%,
Chris Christie
4%, Carly
Fiorina 4%, John
Kasich 3%, Rand
Paul 3%, Mike
Huckabee 2%,
Rick Santorum
0%, Undecided
2%

December 1617,
2015

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz 18%
29%

Marco Rubio
17%

Jeb Bush 10%,


Ben Carson 6%,
Other 8%,
Undecided 12%

Marco Rubio
15%

Jeb Bush 12.5%,


Ben Carson
7.7%, Chris
Christie 6.1%,
Carly Fiorina
2.7%, Rand Paul
2.6%, John
Kasich 0.9%,

Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Florida Times-Union[59]


Margin of error: 3.3% Sample size: 838

Associated Industries of Florida (http://www.capitalnewyork.com/sites/default/files


/Florida_Dec2015.pdf)
Margin of error: 3.5%
Sample size: 800

Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Florida Times-Union (http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads


/2015/12/FL-GOP-PP-12.17.15.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 555

December 16, 2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


29.7%
20.4%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

11 od 87

George Pataki
0.1%, Rick
Santorum 0.1%,
Undecided 2.2%

Marco Rubio
17%

Jeb Bush 9%,


Ben Carson 6%,
Chris Christie
3%, John Kasich
2%, Carly
Fiorina 1%,
Rand Paul 1%,
Unsure or
someone else 4%

Jeb Bush
14.3%

Ben Carson
10.9%, Ted Cruz
10.2%, Rand
Paul 5.9%, Chris
Christie 4.1%,
Carly Fiorina
2.7%, John
Kasich 2.0%,
Mike Huckabee
1.4%, Rick
Santorum 0.7%,
Others 0.7%,
Undecided 1.4%

Ben Carson
14.5%

Ted Cruz 10%,


Jeb Bush 8.9%,
Rand Paul 4.1%,
John Kasich 3%,
Carly Fiorina
2.4%, Mike
Huckabee 0.4%,
Lindsey Graham
0.4%, Chris
Christie 0.1%,
Others 0.3%,
Undecided 1.9%

Marco Rubio
17.9%

Ted Cruz 12.4%,


Jeb Bush 10.9%,
Carly Fiorina
4.7%, Chris
Christie 2.9%,
John Kasich
2.8%, Rand Paul
1%, Mike
Huckabee 1%,
Bobby Jindal
0.4%, Rick
Santorum 0.1%,
George Pataki
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Undecided 1%

Marco Rubio
16%

Ted Cruz 10%,


Jeb Bush 7%,
Carly Fiorina
3%, John Kasich
3% Mike
Huckabee 1%
other 1%, unsure
3%

St. Pete Polls (http://stpetepolls.org/files


/StPetePolls_2015_StatePRI_REP_PRES_December_15_LU47.pdf)
Margin of error: 1.5%
Sample size: 2,694

December 1415,
2015

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz 22%
36%

St. Leo University (http://polls.saintleo.edu/wp-content/uploads/2015/12


/Supporting_Poll_Data_Results_Politics_and_Terrorism.pdf)
November 29
December 3, 2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


30.6%
15.0%

Sample size: 404

Florida Atlantic University (http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economicspolling/bepi-polls/index.aspx#.VkzD3HYveM9)


Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 355

November 1516,
2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35.9%
18.4%

Florida Times-Union (http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/FL-Prez11.12.15.pdf)


Margin of error: 3.4%
Sample size: 806

November 11, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


22.7%
22.3%

SurveyUSA (http://www.mynews13.com/content/news/cfnews13/news/article.html/content
/news/articles/cfn/2015/11/3/florida_decides_poll_2016_election.html#1)
Margin of error: 3.3%
Sample size: 922

October 28
November 1, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


37%
17%

October 2930,
2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


26.81%
16.28%

Ben Carson
15.07%

Ted Cruz
12.41%, Jeb
Bush 12.07%,
Carly Fiorina
4.40%, other
4.67%, unsure
8.29%

October 1722,
2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


25.8%
21.5%

Jeb Bush
15.3%

Ben Carson
14.7%

Viewpoint Florida (http://viewpointflorida.org/images/uploads/DT-FL-VF-16PPP-OctoberIVRResults-v3.pdf)


Margin of error: 2.2%
Sample size: 2047
Saint Leo University Polling Institute (http://polls.saintleo.edu/ben-carson-nearly-ties-withfrontrunner-trump-nationally-among-likely-gop-voters-while-jeb-bush-trails-nationally-and-inflorida/)
Margin of error: 7.0%
Sample size: 163

UNF (https://www.unf.edu/publicrelations/media_relations/press
/2015/UNF_Poll_Reveals_Trump_Holds_Slight_Lead_in_Close_Republican_Primary_Race.aspx)
Margin of error: 3.87%
Sample size: 627

October 813, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


21.7%
19.3%

Marco Rubio
14.9%

Jeb Bush 9%,


Ted Cruz 6.8%,
Carly Fiorina
6.5%, John
Kasich 3.5%,
Mike Huckabee
1.4%, Chris
Christie 1.3%,
Rand Paul <1%,
George Pataki
<1%, Rick
Santorum <1%,
Lindsey Graham
<1%, Bobby
Jindal <1%,
Someone else

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

12 od 87

1.5%, DK 8%,
NA 4.1%

September 25
October 5, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


28%
16%

Marco Rubio
14%

Jeb Bush 12%,


Carly Fiorina
7%, Ted Cruz
6%, Rand Paul
2%, John Kasich
2%, Chris
Christie 2%,
Mike Huckabee
1%, Jim Gilmore
0%, George
Pataki 0%, Rick
Santorum 0%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, Bobby
Jindal 0%,
Would not vote
1%, Someone
else 0%, DK/NA
10%

September 1620,
2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


25%
14%

Jeb Bush 13%

Carly Fiorina
11%, Ben
Carson 9%, Ted
Cruz 6%

Jeb Bush
11.3%

Ben Carson
10.3%, Carly
Fiorina 8.3%,
Ted Cruz 5.8%,
Chris Christie
4.1%, Rand Paul
3.2%, Scott
Walker 2%, John
Kasich 1.7%,
Mike Huckabee
1.4%, Undecided
1.1%

Jeb Bush 13%

Marco Rubio
10%, Ted Cruz
9%, Carly
Fiorina 7%, John
Kasich 5%, Mike
Huckabee 3%,
Chris Christie
2%, Scott
Walker 2%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Rand Paul 0%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Undecided
1%

Jeb Bush
18.6%

Marco Rubio
5.6%, Carly
Fiorina 5%, John
Kasich 2.6%,
Ted Cruz 2.5%,
Chris Christie
2.4%, Mike
Huckabee 2.4%,
Scott Walker
1.2%, Bobby
Jindal 0.7%,
Rand Paul 0.4%,
Lindsey Graham
0.3% Rick
Santorum 0.1%,
Rick Perry 0%,
Someone Else
1.4%, undecided
3.5%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10072015_S73fgbv.pdf/)


Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 461

FL Chamber (http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/fla-chamber-poll-trump25-rubio-14-bush-13/2247525/)
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: ?

Florida Atlantic Univ. (http://www.pollheadlines.com/pdf/2015/2015-09-fl.pdf/)


Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 352

September 1720,
2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


31.5%
19.2%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015


/PPP_Release_FL_91515.pdf/)
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 377

September 1113,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


28%
17%

Opinion Savvy (http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/FL-GOP-Pres-Prim9.2.15.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 498

September 2, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


28.9%
24.5%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps08202015_Sdeg82k.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 477

August 718, 2015

Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Jeb Bush 17%
11%
21%

Marco Rubio
11%, Ted Cruz
7%, Carly
Fiorina 7%, Mike
Huckabee 4%,
Scott Walker
4%, Rand Paul
4%, John Kasich
3%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, Chris
Christie 1%,
Rick Perry 0%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, Wouldn't
vote 1%, Don't
know 8%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

13 od 87

Ben Carson
8.3%

Ted Cruz 8.2%,


Marco Rubio
6.5%, Scott
Walker 5.8%,
Mike Huckabee
4.2%, John
Kasich 3.1%,
Bobby Jindal
2.4%, Carly
Fiorina 1.8%,
Rand Paul 1.8%,
Chris Christie
1.2%, Rick Perry
0.7%, George
Pataki 0.3%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, Someone
else 1.3%,
Undecided 1.5%

Scott Walker
12.2%

Marco Rubio
9.7%, Ben
Carson 4.5%,
Ted Cruz 4.2%,
John Kasich
4.1%, Rand Paul
3.3%, Someone
else/Unsure
15.9%

Scott Walker
13%

Donald Trump
11%, Mike
Huckabee 5%,
Ted Cruz 4%,
Rand Paul 3%,
John Kasich 3%,
Carly Fiorina
2%, Ben Carson
1%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, Rick
Santorum 0%,
Rick Perry 0%,
Chris Christie
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
George Pataki
0%, Undecided
13%

Rand Paul
8.8%

Scott Walker
8.7%, Carly
Fiorina 6.2%,
Ted Cruz 5.2%,
Mike Huckabee
4.5%, Bobby
Jindal 2.4%,
Lindsey Graham
0.3%, Rick
Santorum 0.1%,
Unsure 13.3%

Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage (http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08


/FL-Pres-Prim-8.4.15.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 547

August 3, 2015

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


26.6%
26.2%

St. Pete (http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2015_StatePRI_REP_July_28_A8WJ.pdf)


Margin of error: 2.2%
Sample size: 1,902

July 1828, 2015

Donald Trump
Jeb Bush 20%
26.1%

Mason-Dixon (https://t.e2ma.net/webview/fe2ue/a12adeab8e567e17eea79fe807c41ea4/)
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 500

July 2023, 2015

Jeb Bush
28%

Marco Rubio
16%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-democraticand-republican-polling-in-florida/)


Margin of error: 3.0%
Sample size: 729

June 1620, 2015

Jeb Bush
27.5%

Marco Rubio
23%

June 415, 2015

Jeb Bush
20%

Marco Rubio
18%

Scott Walker
9%

Ben Carson 7%,


Mike Huckabee
6%, Rand Paul
5%, Rick Perry
4%, Chris
Christie 3%, Ted
Cruz 3%, Donald
Trump 3%, Carly
Fiorina 2%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, John
Kasich 1%,
George Pataki
1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Someone else
1%, Wouldn't
vote 1%, Don't
know 13%

April 1416, 2015

Marco Rubio
31%

Jeb Bush
30%

Ted Cruz
8%

Rand Paul 7%,


Scott Walker
2%, Other 5%
Undecided 17%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 8%,


Ted Cruz 7%,
Mike Huckabee
6%, Rand Paul
4%, Rick Perry
2%, Chris
Christie 1%,
John Kaisch 1%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, Bobby

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps06182015_Sk32gth.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 413

Mason-Dixon (http://www.politico.com/story/2015/04/florida-poll-rollout-helps-rubio-tie-bushin-home-state-117069.html)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 400

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-universitypoll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2182)


Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 428

March 1728, 2015

Jeb Bush
24%

Scott Walker
15%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

14 od 87

Jindal 0%, Rick


Santorum 0%,
Someone else
3%, Wouldn't
vote 1%
Undecided 15%

Marco Rubio
21%

Jeb Bush
26%

Scott Walker
17%

Marco Rubio
15%

Ben Carson
9%

Ted Cruz 8%,


Rand Paul 7%,
Mike Huckabee
6%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Rick Perry 3%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, John
Kaisch 1%, Rick
Santorum 0%,
Someone else
3%, Wouldn't
vote 2%
Undecided 20%

Ben Carson
10%

Ted Cruz 10%,


Mike Huckabee
6%, Rand Paul
5%, Rick Perry
3%, Chris
Christie 2%,
Bobby Jindal
2%, John Kaisch
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Rick Santorum
0%, Someone
else 3%,
Wouldn't vote
1% Undecided
16%

Marco Rubio
15%

Ben Carson
12%, Mike
Huckabee 7%,
Ted Cruz 6%,
Chris Christie
4%, Rand Paul
4%, Rick Perry
3%, Undecided
6%

Marco Rubio
11%

Mike Huckabee
10%, Ben
Carson 8%,
Chris Christie
6%, Rand Paul
5%, Ted Cruz
2%, Rick Perry
1%, Undecided
12%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015


/PPP_Release_FL_32415.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 425

March 1922, 2015

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/florida-poll-jebwalker-lead-in-gop-sunshine-state-poll/)


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 513

February 2425,
2015

Jeb Bush
25%

Scott Walker
17%

Jeb Bush
23%

Scott Walker
22%

Jeb Bush
40%

Marco Rubio
36%

Undecided 24%

Marco Rubio
13%

Mike
Huckabee
10%

Mitt Romney
9%, Scott
Walker 8%, Ben
Carson 7%, Ted
Cruz 3%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Rand
Paul 3%, Rick
Santorum 3%,
Chris Christie
2%, Rick Perry
1%, John Kasich
0%, Other 1%,
Wouldn't vote
0%, Undecided
8%

Mike
Huckabee
11%

Scott Walker
9%, Ben Carson
8%, Ted Cruz
4%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Bobby Jindal
3%, Rand Paul
3%, Rick
Santorum 3%,
Rick Perry 1%,
John Kasich 0%,
Other 1%,
Wouldn't vote
0%, Undecided
8%

Ted Cruz
11%

Rand Paul 11%,


Chris Christie
6%, Nikki Haley
5%, Paul Ryan
5%, Rick

Jeb Bush
30%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-universitypoll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2131)


Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 348

January 22
February 1, 2015

Jeb Bush
32%

Marco Rubio
15%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current2016-republican-primary-polling/)


Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 811

November 1920,
2014

Jeb Bush
33%

Marco Rubio
14%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

15 od 87

Santorum 3%,
Undecided 13%
Jeb Bush
44%

Marco Rubio
34%

Undecided 22%

Marco Rubio
18%

Ted Cruz
10%

Rand Paul 8%,


Mike Huckabee
7%, Chris
Christie 6%,
Rick Perry 5%,
Paul Ryan 2%,
Scott Walker
2%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, John
Kasich 1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Other 2%,
Wouldn't vote
4%, Undecided
13%

Rand Paul
11%

Ted Cruz 9%,


Chris Christie
8%, Mike
Huckabee 7%,
Scott Walker
7%, Paul Ryan
2%, Bobby
Jindal 1%,
Someone
else/Not sure
10%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-universitypoll/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2063)


Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 451

July 1721, 2014

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_FL_611.pdf)


Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 315

June 69, 2014

Jeb Bush
21%

Jeb Bush
30%

Marco Rubio
14%

Marco Rubio
45%

Jeb Bush
41%

Not sure 14%

Rand Paul
14%

Marco Rubio
11%

Chris Christie
7%, Ted Cruz
6%, Mike
Huckabee 6%,
Paul Ryan 6%,
Scott Walker
4%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, Other
1%, Wouldn't
vote 2%,
Undecided 16%

Ted Cruz
10%

Rand Paul 10%,


Marco Rubio
8%, Chris
Christie 7%,
Scott Walker
7%, John Kasich
3%, Undecided
6%

Rand Paul
11%

Chris Christie
9%, Ted Cruz
9%, Paul Ryan
5%, Scott
Walker 5%,
Bobby Jindal
3%, Other 2%,
Wouldn't vote
2%, Undecided
14%

Chris Christie
14%

Ted Cruz 12%,


Rand Paul 9%,
Paul Ryan 6%,
Bobby Jindal
3%, Scott
Walker 2%,
Other 1%,
Wouldn't vote
1%, Undecided
12%

Rand Paul
11%

Mike Huckabee
9%, Chris
Christie 8%, Paul
Ryan 4%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, Rick
Perry 1%,
Susana Martinez
0%, Someone
Else/Undecided
6%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-universitypoll/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2037)


Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 501

April 2328, 2014

Jeb Bush
27%

Magellan Strategies (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_Florida_0414.pdf)


Margin of error: 3.33%
Sample size: 868

April 1415, 2014

Jeb Bush
38%

Mike
Huckabee
11%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/florida


/release-detail?ReleaseID=2001)
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 586

January 2227, 2014

Jeb Bush
25%

Marco Rubio
16%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/florida


/release-detail?ReleaseID=1980)
Margin of error: 3.8%
Sample size: 668

November 1217,
2013

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011


/PPP_Release_FL_032113.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 326

March 1518, 2013

Jeb Bush
22%

Marco Rubio
18%

Jeb Bush
30%

Marco Rubio
29%

Marco Rubio
49%

Jeb Bush
36%

Undecided 15%

Jeb Bush
26%

Chris Christie
7%, Bobby
Jindal 5%, Rand
Paul 5%, Paul
Ryan 5%, Susana
Martinez 2%,
Rick Perry 2%,
Someone

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011


/PPP_Release_FL_011713.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 436

January 1113, 2013

Marco Rubio
31%

Mike
Huckabee
11%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

16 od 87

Else/Undecided
5%

Georgia
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

17 od 87

Poll source
Primary results (http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/GA-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 1, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


38.81%
24.45%

Ted Cruz
23.60%

Ben Carson 6.23%, John Kasich 5.69%, Jeb Bush 0.69%,


Rand Paul 0.22%, Mike Huckabee 0.20%, Chris Christie
0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Rick Santorum 0.04%, Lindsey
Graham 0.03%, George Pataki 0.02%,

February 2229,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


39%
21%

Marco Rubio
20%

Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Undecided 6%

February 28, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


39%
20%

Ted Cruz
15%

Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 8%, Undecided 9%

February 2728,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


32.5%
23.2%

Ted Cruz
23.2%

John Kasich 10.7%, Ben Carson 6.1%, Undecided 4.3%

February 2628,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


38.6%
23.54%

Ted Cruz
20.74%

John Kasich 7.03%, Ben Carson 6.14%, Undecided 3.95%

February 2226,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40%
29%

Marco Rubio
22%

Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 2%

February 2224,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


41%
18%

Ted Cruz
15%

Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 10%

February 2223,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


45%
19%

Ted Cruz
16%

Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%

February 2223,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


33.6%
22.2%

Ted Cruz
20.4%

John Kasich 8.9%, Ben Carson 7.7%, Undecided 7.2%

February 1823,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


30%
23%

Marco Rubio
23%

Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 9%

February 21, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


31.7%
22.7%

Ted Cruz
18.7%

Ben Carson 8.1%, John Kasich 7.9%, Undecided 10.9%

February 4, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


27.3%
18.3%

Marco Rubio
18.2%

Ben Carson 7.7%, John Kasich 4.4%, Chris Christie 3.9%,


Jeb Bush 3.0%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Undecided 15.4%

January 1821, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


39%
29%

Marco Rubio
13%

Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly
Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Jim
Gilmore 0%, Rand Paul 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, No
preference 1%

January 17, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33.4%
23.4%

Marco Rubio
8.2%

Ben Carson 7.3%, Jeb Bush 7.1%, John Kasich 3.8%, Chris
Christie 3.7%, Carly Fiorina 3.5%, Rand Paul 3.5%, Mike
Huckabee 3.2%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, Undecided 2.7%

December 16, 2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


34.6%
15.8%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 6.4%, Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 5.6%, Carly
Fiorina 5.1%, John Kasich 2.3%, Rand Paul 2.1%, Lindsey
Graham 1.4%, Mike Huckabee 1.4%, George Pataki 0.5%,
Undecided 6.8%

December 10, 2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


43.3%
16.2%

Marco Rubio
10.6%

Ben Carson 6.7%, Jeb Bush 4.8%, Mike Huckabee 1.9%,


Carly Fiorina 1.8%, John Kasich 1.5%, Rand Paul 0.5%,
Undecided 12.9%

November 910,
2015

Ben Carson
26%

October 26, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


35%
28%

SurveyMonkey[1]
Margin of error: ?% Sample size: 1171
Landmark/RosettaStone[60]
Margin of error: 2.6%
Sample size: 1400
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[61]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample size: 710
Trafalgar Group[62]
Margin of error: 3.14% Sample size: 1350
CBS/YouGov[63]
Margin of error: 7% Sample size: 493
ResearchNOW/WABE[64]
Margin of error: 4.1% Sample size: 400
SurveyUSA/TEGNA[65]
Margin of error: 3.8% Sample size: 684
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[66]
Margin of error: 3.6% Sample size: 745
NBC News/Wall Street
Journal/Marist[67]
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 543
Landmark/RosettaStone[68]
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500
Landmark/RosettaStone[69]
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500
CBS/YouGov[70]
Margin of error: 6.2%
Sample size: 494
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[71]
Margin of error: 3.4% Sample size: 803
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta
(http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads
/2015/12/GA-GOP-PP-12.17.15.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 538
WSB TV/Landmark (http://www.wsbtv.com
/news/news/local/new-gop-poll-shows-trumptop-carson-collapsing/nphL8/)
Margin of error: 3.3%
Sample size: 800
FOX 5/Morris News (http://savannahnow.com/latestnews/2015-11-12/poll-carson-leads-ga-republicans)
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 674
WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls
/2015/president
/ga/georgia_republican_presidential_primary5471.html)

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz 14% Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 6%
24%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ted Cruz 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike
Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%

Margin of error: 2%
Sample size: 2,075

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

18 od 87

Hawaii
Winner
Donald Trump
Caucus date
March 8, 2016
Poll source
Caucus results
(http://www.nytimes.com
/elections/results/hawaii)

Date
March 8, 2016

1st

2nd

3rd

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


42.4%
32.7%

Other

Marco Rubio
13.1%

John Kasich 10.6%, Other 1.1%

Idaho
Winner
Ted Cruz
Primary date
March 8, 2016
Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com March 8, 2016
/P16/ID-R)

1st
Ted Cruz
45.42%

2nd

3rd

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


28.11%
15.91%

Other
John Kasich 7.43%, Ben Carson 1.75%, Jeb Bush 0.42%, Rand Paul 0.38%, Mike
Huckabee 0.16%, Chris Christie 0.16%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum
0.10%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%

Dan Jones & Associates[72]


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 230

February 1726,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


30%
19%

Marco Rubio
16%

Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 5%, Others 9%, Don't Know 11%

January 2131, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


31%
19%

Ben Carson
13%

Marco Rubio 11%, Others 20%, Don't Know 6%

December 1729,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


30%
19%

Ted Cruz
16%

Marco Rubio 10%, Don't Know 10%

August 2031, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


28%
15%

Ted Cruz
7%

Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Don't Know 17%

all others
<10%

Don't know 24%

Dan Jones & Associates[73]


Margin of error: 3.93%
Sample size: 621
Dan Jones & Associates[74]
Margin of error: 3.99%
Sample size: 604
Dan Jones & Associates[75]
Margin of error: 4.35%
Sample size: 508

Dan Jones & Associates


(http://idahopoliticsweekly.com
/politics/506-donald-trumpjeb-bush-lead-gop-fieldPublished August 9, Donald Trump Jeb Bush
in-idaho/)
2015
19%
10%
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: ?
Idaho Politics Weekly
(http://idahopoliticsweekly.com
/politics/444-jeb-bush-hillaryclinton-lead-2016-contenders- June 17, 2015 July Jeb Bush
in-the-gem-state/)
1, 2015
15%

Donald Trump Rand Paul


12%
10%

Ben Carson 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Someone else 13%, Don't
know 23%

Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: ?

Illinois
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 15, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

19 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/IL-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 15, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38.80%
30.23%

John Kasich
19.74%

Marco Rubio 8.74%, Ben Carson 0.79%, Jeb Bush 0.77%, Rand Paul 0.33%,
Chris Christie 0.24%, Mike Huckabee 0.19%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick
Santorum 0.08%

March 911, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
34%

John Kasich
16%

Marco Rubio 11%, No Preference 1%

March 410, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


34%
25%

John Kasich
21%

Marco Rubio 16%

March 78, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


32.64%
19.9%

John Kasich
18.41%

Marco Rubio 11.34% , Other 1.49%, Undecided 16.22%

March 26, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


32%
22%

Marco Rubio
21%

John Kasich 18%, Undecided 7%

February 24, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


38.44%
21.21%

Ted Cruz
15.87%

John Kasich 9.31%, Other 4.73%, Undecided 10.45%

February 1520,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


28%
15%

Marco Rubio
14%

John Kasich 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 15%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


30%
15%

Marco Rubio
13%

Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Chris Christie 6%, John Kasich 3%, Carly
Fiorina 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 11%

Victory Research
(http://www.nbcchicago.com/blogs
/ward-room/New-Poll-ShowsTrump-Leads-GOP-Race-in-IllinoisDonald Trump Jeb Bush
August 1618, 2015
322300042.html)
23.3%
16.5%

Scott Walker
11%

Ben Carson 5.5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Other 16.2%,
Undecided 17.9%

CBS News/YouGov[35]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample
size: 770
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[37]
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample
size: 421
WeAskAmerica[76]
Margin of error: 3.09%
Sample size: 1009
Chicago Tribune[77]
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 600
WeAskAmerica[78]
Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 1311
Paul Simon Public
Policy Institute[79]
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 306

Compass Consulting
(http://chicago.suntimes.com
/politics/7/71/1195864/sweetdonald-trump-tops-new-illinois-poll) December 16, 2015
Margin of error: 2.5%
Sample size: 2,104

Margin of error: 3.46%


Sample size: 801
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_IL_72915.pdf)
July 2021, 2015

Scott Walker
23%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


18%
11%

Margin of error: 5.1%


Sample size: 369
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013
November 2225,
/PPP_Release_IL_12313.pdf)
2013
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 375

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


18%
13%

Jeb Bush
12%

Chris Christie 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Mike
Huckabee 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Undecided
3%

Rand Paul 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Scott Walker 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby
Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Other/Undecided 16%

Indiana
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
May 3, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

20 od 87

Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com May 3, 2016
/P16/IN-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


53.25%
36.64%

John Kasich
7.57%

Ben Carson 0.80%, Jeb Bush 0.59%, Marco Rubio 0.47%, Rand Paul 0.39%,
Chris Christie 0.16%, Carly Fiorina 0.13%

April 2829, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


44%
27%

John Kasich
9%

Undecided 19%

April 2728, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
32%

John Kasich
21%

Undecided 6%

April 2628, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


49%
34%

John Kasich
13%

Undecided 4%

April 1327, 2016

Ted Cruz
45%

April 27, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


37.1%
35.2%

John Kasich
16.3%

Undecided 11.4%

April 2022, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40%
35%

John Kasich
20%

Undecided 5%

April 1821, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
33%

John Kasich
16%

Undecided 7%, None 2%

April 1821, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


37%
31%

John Kasich
22%

Undecided 7%, Other 2%

December 29, 2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


26%
17%

Marco Rubio
17%

Ben Carson 16%, Jeb Bush 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina
3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%

Gravis Marketing[80]
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 379
ARG[81]
Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 400
NBC News/Wall Street
Journal/Marist[82]
Margin of error: 3.9%
Sample size: 645
IPFW[83]
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400

Donald Trump John Kasich


29%
13%

Undecided 13%

Clout Research[84]
Margin of error: 4.75%
Sample size: 423
CBS News/YouGov[85]
Margin of error: 6.6%
Sample size: 548
Fox News[86]
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 602
POS/Howey Politics
Indiana/WTHR Channel[87]
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 507
Bellwether
(http://www.scribd.com
/doc/293036850/Bellwetherin-Stwde-Results-Dec-2015)
Margin of error: 3.5%
Sample size: 670

Iowa
Winner
Ted Cruz
Caucus date
February 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

21 od 87

Poll source

Date

Caucus results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com February 1, 2016
/P16/IA-R)

1st
Ted Cruz
27.64%

2nd

3rd

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


24.30%
23.12%

Other
Ben Carson 9.30%, Rand Paul 4.54%, Jeb Bush 2.80%, Carly Fiorina 1.86%, John
Kasich 1.86%, Mike Huckabee 1.79%, Chris Christie 1.76%, Rick Santorum
0.95%, Jim Gilmore 0.01%, Other 0.06%

Emerson College[88]
Donald Trump Ted Cruz
27.3%
25.6%

Marco Rubio
21.6%

Mike Huckabee 4.7%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, John Kasich 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.4%, Ben
Carson 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Carly Fiorina 1.7%, Rick Santorum 0.5%,
Undecided 1%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


Margin of error: 3.3% Sample January 2531, 2016
31%
24%
size: 890

Marco Rubio
17%

Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina
2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Not
decided 3%

Margin of error: 5.6%


Sample size: 298

January 2931, 2016

Quinnipiac University[89]

Opinion Savvy[90]
January 2930, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


20.1%
19.4%

Marco Rubio
18.6%

Ben Carson 9.0%, Rand Paul 8.6%, Jeb Bush 4.9%, Mike Huckabee 4.4%, John
Kasich 4.0%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.1%,
Undecided 2.2%

January 2629, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


28%
23%

Marco Rubio
15%

Ben Carson 10%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Jeb Bush 2%, Mike
Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim
Gimore 0%, Undecided 2%, Uncommitted 3%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


Margin of error: 3.5% Sample January 2627, 2016
31%
23%
size: 780

Marco Rubio
14%

Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina
3%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gimore 1%,
Undecided 2%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


31%
27%

Marco Rubio
13%

Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina
3%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


Margin of error: 4.8% Sample January 2426, 2016
32%
25%
size: 415

Marco Rubio
18%

Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%,
Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%

Margin of error: 3.2%


Sample size: 887
Des Moines Register/
Bloomberg/Selzer[91]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample
size: 602
Public Policy Polling[92]

Gravis Marketing/
One America News[93]
Margin of error: 4.0% Sample
size: 724

January 2627, 2016

NBC/WSJ/Marist[94]

Monmouth University[95]
January 2326, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


30%
23%

Marco Rubio
16%

Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee
3%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%,
Other 0%, Undecided 3%

January 2124, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
26%

Marco Rubio
11%

Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, John Kasich 3%,
Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%,
Other 1%, Undecided 5%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


Margin of error: 3.8% Sample January 1824, 2016
31%
29%
size: 651

Marco Rubio
13%

Ben Carson 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee
2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Not
decided 2%

Margin of error: 4.4%


Sample size: 500
ARG[96]
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 400
Quinnipiac University[97]

ISU/WHO-HD[98]
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 283

January 522, 2016

Ted Cruz
25.8%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


18.9%
13.4%

Marco Rubio 12.3%, Rand Paul 6.9%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, Mike Huckabee 3.7%,
Carly Fiorina 1.1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Chris Christie <1%, John Kasich <1%

January 1821, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


34%
23%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 7%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Jeb Bush 4%, John Kasich 2%,
Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 1%, Don't Know
2%

January 1821, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


39%
34%

Marco Rubio
13%

Ben Carson 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Jeb Bush 1%, John Kasich 1%,
Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0%

January 1820, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33.1%
22.8%

Marco Rubio
14.2%

Ben Carson 9.1%, Chris Christie 5.4%, Jeb Bush 5.1%, John Kasich 2.9%, Rand
Paul 2.7%, Carly Fiorina 2.1%, Mike Huckabee 1.7%, Undecided 1%

January 1520, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


37%
26%

Marco Rubio
14%

Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina
1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%

January 1819, 2016

Ted Cruz
27%

Fox News[99]
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 378
CBS/YouGov[100]
Margin of error: 5.9%
Sample size: 492
Emerson College[101]
Margin of error: 5.9%
Sample size: 271
CNN/ORC[102]
Margin of error: 6.0%
Sample size: 266
Monmouth College/KBUR
/Douglas Fulmer &
Associates[103]
Margin of error: 3.7%
Sample size: 687

Donald Trump Ben Carson


25%
11%

Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand
Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%,
Undecided 4%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

22 od 87

Loras College[104]
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500

January 1318, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


26%
25%

Marco Rubio
13%

Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike
Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecide
7%

January 1112, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


34%
28%

Ben Carson
9%

Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 5%, John Kasich 4%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul
3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 3%

January 810, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


28%
26%

Marco Rubio
13%

Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike
Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Undecided 2%

January 710, 2016

Ted Cruz
25%

Gravis Marketing/One America


News[105]
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 422
Public Policy Polling[106]
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 530
DM Register/Bloomberg[107]
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


22%
12%

Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike
Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%

ARG[108]
Margin of error: 4.0% Sample January 610, 2016
size: 600

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


29%
25%

Marco Rubio
10%

Ben Carson 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, John Kasich 3%,
Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 1%, Undecided
5%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


31%
29%

Marco Rubio
15%

Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul
2%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Not decided 5%

Ted Cruz
27%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


23%
15%

Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee
2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Other 1%, Undecided
2%

Ted Cruz
28%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


24%
13%

Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina
3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%

Quinnipiac University[109]
Margin of error: 4.0% Sample January 510, 2016
size: 602
Fox News[110]
Margin of error: 4.0% Sample January 47, 2016
size: 504
NBC/WSJ/Marist[111]
Margin of error: 4.6% Sample January 27, 2016
size: 456

Polls in 2015

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

23 od 87

Poll source

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Marco
Rubio
9%

Marco
Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 6%,


Jeb Bush 2%,
Rand Paul 2%,
Carly Fiorina
2%, Mike
Huckabee 2%,
Chris Christie
1%, John Kasich
1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, George
Pataki 0%, No
preference 0%

Marco
Rubio
14%

Ben Carson 10%,


Jeb Bush 7%,
Carly Fiorina
3%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Mike Huckabee
3%, Rand Paul
2%, John Kasich
2%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, Jim Gilmore
0%, George
Pataki 0%,
Undecided 1%

Ted Cruz
27%

Marco
Rubio
14%

Ben Carson 10%,


Jeb Bush 5%,
Rand Paul 4%,
Carly Fiorina
3%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Mike Huckabee
1%, John Kasich
1%, Rick
Santorum 0%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%, DK
3%

Donald
Trump
23.4%

Marco Rubio
10.6%, Jeb Bush
6.2%, Carly
Fiorina 3.4%,
Rand Paul 2.4%,
Mike Huckabee
Ben Carson 1.8%, John
Kasich 1.0%,
10.8%
Rick Santorum
1.0%, Chris
Christie 0.4%,
Lindsey Graham
0.0%, Undecided
9.0%
Ben Carson 10%,
Jeb Bush 5%,
Rand Paul 5%,
Chris Christie
2%, Carly
Fiorina 2%,
Mike Huckabee
1%, John Kasich
1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
George Pataki
1%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Uncommited 1%,
Other 1%, DK
3%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-3/)


Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 440

December
1821, 2015

Donald
Trump
31%

Ted Cruz
31%

CBS News/YouGov (http://fr.scribd.com/doc/293729658/CBS-News-December-2015-Battleground-Tracker-Iowa)


Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 1252

December
1417, 2015

Ted Cruz
40%

Donald
Trump
31%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121515.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 522

December
1013, 2015

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/releasedetail?ReleaseID=2309)


Margin of error: 3.3%
Sample size: 874

December
413, 2015

Donald
Trump
28%

Donald
Trump
28%

Ted Cruz
25%

Loras College (http://loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/42/4292fa38-83f5-4506-8856-a6d27425c277.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 499

December
710, 2015

Ted Cruz
29.7%

Fox News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/12/11/fox-news-poll-cruz-clinton-lead-in-iowa/)


Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 450

December
710, 2015

Ted Cruz
28%

Donald
Trump
26%

Marco
Rubio
13%

December
710, 2015

Ted Cruz
31%

Donald
Trump
21%

Marco Rubio
10%, Jeb Bush
Ben Carson 6%, Chris
13%
Christie 3%,
Mike Huckabee

DMR/Bloomberg (http://media.bloomberg.com/bb/avfile/r64LeSt1xPPk)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400

Other
Ben Carson 7%,
Jeb Bush 4%,
Mike Huckabee
4%, Carly
Fiorina 3%,
Chris Christie
2%, John Kasich
2%, George
Pataki 1%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, Rand Paul
1%, Rick
Santorum 0%,
Unsure 5%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

24 od 87

3%, Rand Paul


3%, John Kasich
2%, Carly
Fiorina 1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Jim Gilmore 0%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, George
Pataki 0%,
Uncommited 3%,
Undecided 4%

Monmouth University (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994


/32212254995/30064771087/de240398-df23-47b6-8470-91977d38b749.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 425

CNN/ORC (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/12/07/iowa.poll.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 552

December
36, 2015

Ted Cruz
24%

November
Donald
28Trump
December 6,
33%
2015

Donald
Trump
19%

Marco
Rubio
17%

Ted Cruz
20%

Marco Rubio
11%, Jeb Bush
4%, Carly
Fiorina 3%,
Rand Paul 3%,
Chris Christie
2%, Mike
Huckabee 2%,
Ben Carson John Kasich 1%,
16%
Rick Santorum
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, No one 1%,
Someone else
1%, No opinion
1%

Ted Cruz
23%

Marco Rubio
13%, Rand Paul
5%, Jeb Bush
4%, Carly
Fiorina 3%,
Chris Christie
2%, Rick
Ben Carson
Santorum 2%,
18%
Mike Huckabee
2%, John Kasich
1%, George
Pataki 0%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, DK/NA 2%

Ted Cruz
21%

Marco Rubio
11%, Jeb Bush
5%, Carly
Fiorina 4%,
Chris Christie
2%, Rand Paul
2%, Rick
Ben Carson Santorum 2%,
Bobby Jindal
19%
2%, John Kasich
1%, Mike
Huckabee 1%,
George Pataki
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ia/ia11242015_Ic344mgh.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 600

November
1622, 2015

Donald
Trump
25%

CBS News/YouGov (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trump-retakes-lead-cruz-surges-in-ia-rubio-second-in-nh/)


Margin of error: 6.2%
Sample size: ?

November
1519, 2015

Iowa State University/WHO-HD (http://www.pollheadlines.com/election-polls-11-2015/ia-2016-gop-presidentialprimary-trump-15-carson-27-cruz-9-iowa-state-univwho-hd-11022015-11152015.html)


Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 518

November
215, 2015

Donald
Trump
30%

Ben
Carson
27%

Marco
Rubio
17%

Donald
Trump
15%

Ted Cruz 9%,


Jeb Bush 5%,
Rand Paul 3%,
Carly Fiorina
2%, Mike
Huckabee 1%,
John Kasich 1%,
Chris Christie
0%, Rick
Santorum 0%,
Lindsey Graham
0%

Marco
Rubio
13%

Ted Cruz 11%,


Jeb Bush 5%,
Carly Fiorina
4%, Bobby
Jindal 4%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Lindsey Graham
2%, John Kasich
2%, Rand Paul

CNN/ ORC (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/11/05/relia2.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 548

October 29 Donald
November 4, Trump
25%
2015

Ben Carson 13%,


Jeb Bush 6%,
Rand Paul 4%,
Carly Fiorina
3%, John Kasich
3%, Chris
Christie 2%,
Mike Huckabee
2%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Lindsey Graham
<1%, George
Pataki 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Uncommited 1%,
Undecided 4%

Ben
Carson
23%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

25 od 87

2%, Mike
Huckabee 2%,
Rick Santorum
0%, George
Pataki 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%, No
opinion 3%

Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016


/Gravis_Iowa_Nov_2015.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 356

October 30 Donald
November 2, Trump
2015
29.4%

Marco
Ben Carson
Rubio
22.4%
18.0%

Ted Cruz 8.5%,


Jeb Bush 6.0%,
Carly Fiorina
5.2%, John
Kasich 3.1%,
Chris Christie
2.4%, Rand Paul
1.8%, Bobby
Jindal 1.5%,
Mike Huckabee
1.1%, Rick
Santorum 0.4%,
Lindsey Graham
0.3%

Ben
Carson
21%

Ted Cruz
14%

Marco Rubio
10%, Bobby
Jindal 6%, Mike
Huckabee 6%,
Jeb Bush 5%,
Carly Fiorina
5%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Rick Santorum
2%, John Kasich
2%, Rand Paul
2%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Undecided
1%

Ted Cruz
15.1%

Marco Rubio
10.1%, Jeb Bush
9.0%, Carly
Fiorina 4.1%,
Lindsey Graham
0.2%, Mike
Huckabee 1.7%,
John Kasich
1.9%, Rand Paul
1.6%, Chris
Christie 2.3%,
Bobby Jindal
1.3%, Rick
Santorum 0.7%,
Jim Gilmore
0.3%, George
Pataki 0%,
Undecided 3.8%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_110215.pdf)


Margin of error: 3.9%
Sample size: 638

October 30 Donald
November 1, Trump
2015
22%

KBUR/Monmouth University (http://www.kbur.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/Iowa-Rep-Caucus-Report-OctoberSurvey.pdf)


Margin of error: 3.37%
Sample size: 874

October
2931, 2015

Ben
Carson
27.5%

Donald
Trump
20.4%

Marco
Ben Carson
Rubio
22.4%
18%

Ted Cruz 8.5%,


Jeb Bush 6%,
Carly Fiorina
5.2%, John
Kasich 3.1%,
Chris Christie
2.4%, Rand Paul
1.8%, Bobby
Jindal 1.5%,
Mike Huckabee
1.1%, Rick
Santorum 0.4%,
Lindsey Graham
0.3%

Donald
Trump
18%

Ted Cruz
10%

Marco Rubio
10%, Jeb Bush
8%, Carly
Fiorina 5%,
Rand Paul 3%,
Bobby Jindal
2%, Mike
Huckabee 2%,
John Kasich 2%,
Rick Santorum
1%, Chris
Christie 1%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, George
Pataki 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Other 0%,
Uncommitted
1%, Undecided
5%

Marco
Rubio
10.0%

Jeb Bush 6.8%,


Ted Cruz 6.2%,
Bobby Jindal
4.6%, Carly
Fiorina 2.4%,
Chris Christie
1.8%, Rand Paul

Gravis Marketing/OANN (http://www.oann.com/polliowa/)


Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 356

October 26,
2015

Monmouth University (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994


/32212254995/30064771087/58019993-0901-4917-9afa-39e6fd4b748f.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400

October
2225, 2015

Loras College (http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2015/Carson-Breaks-Out,-Trump-and-Rubio-Roundout-Top-T.aspx)


Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500

October
1922, 2015

Donald
Trump
29.4%

Ben
Carson
32%

Ben
Carson
30.6%

Donald
Trump
18.6%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

26 od 87

1.8%, John
Kasich 1.4%,
Mike Huckabee
1.2%, Rick
Santorum 0.8%,
Lindsey Graham
0.4%, George
Pataki 0%,
Undecided
12.8%

CBS News/YouGov (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-carson-lead-field-in-iowa-trump-keeps-big-lead-in-newhampshire-south-carolina/)


Margin of error: 6.5%
Sample size: ?

October
1522, 2015

DMR/Bloomberg (http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-10-23/carson-surges-past-trump-in-latestbloomberg-politics-des-moines-register-iowa-poll)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 401

October
1621, 2015

Donald
Trump
27%

Ben
Carson
28%

Ben
Carson
27%

Donald
Trump
19%

Ted Cruz
12%

Marco Rubio
9%, Jeb Bush
6%, Carly
Fiorina 3%,
Rand Paul 3%,
Mike Huckabee
2%, John Kasich
2%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, Rick
Santorum 2%,
Chris Christie
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, No
preference 3%

Ted Cruz
10%

Marco Rubio
9%, Rand Paul
5%, Jeb Bush
5%, Carly
Fiorina 4%,
Mike Huckabee
3%, John Kasich
2%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, Rick
Santorum 2%,
Chris Christie
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Not sure
7%,
Uncommitted 3%

Marco
Rubio
13%

Ted Cruz 10%,


Rand Paul 6%,
Carly Fiorina
5%, Jeb Bush
5%, John Kasich
3%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Mike
Huckabee 2%,
Chris Christie
1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, George
Pataki 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Undecided 3%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ia/ia10222015_igv72sh.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 574

NBC/WSJ (http://fr.scribd.com/doc/283603490/GOP-DEM-CAUCUS-NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-Iowa-AnnotatedQuestionnaire-October-2015)
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 431

October
1420, 2015

Ben
Carson
28%

Donald
October 2015 Trump
24%

Donald
Trump
20%

Carly
Ben Carson
Fiorina
19%
8%

Jeb Bush 7%,


Ted Cruz 6%,
Marco Rubio
6%, Bobby
Jindal 6%, Mike
Huckabee 5%,
Rand Paul 4%,
Chris Christie
4%, John Kasich
3%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, George
Pataki <1%, Jim
Gilmore <1%,
Undecided 7%

October 2,
2015

Donald
Trump
18.8%

Ben Carson Ted Cruz


14.1%
10.6%

Carly Fiorina
9.7%, Marco
Rubio 8.9%, Jeb
Bush 6.9%, John
Kasich 2.6%,
Rand Paul 2.4%,
Mike Huckabee
1.8%, Lindsey
Graham 1.8%,
Bobby Jindal
1.7%, Chris
Christie 1.4%,
Rick Santorum
1.3%, George
Pataki 0.3%,
Unsure 17.9%

September
1820, 2015

Donald
Trump
24%

Carly
Ben Carson
Fiorina
17%
13%

Ted Cruz 8%,


Marco Rubio
8%, Mike
Huckabee 6%,

Gravis Marketing (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Gravis_IA_Sept_2015.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 454

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_92215.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 488

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

27 od 87

Jeb Bush 6%,


Scott Walker 5%,
Rand Paul 4%,
Bobby Jindal
4%, John Kasich
2%, Chris
Christie 1%,
Rick Santorum
1%, George
Pataki 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, Undecided
3%

CBS News/YouGov (https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/3zimki4xtx


/Iowa_Release_20150913.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 705

September
310, 2015

Donald
Trump
29%

Ted Cruz
10%

Marco Rubio
6%, Scott Walker
5%, Carly
Fiorina 4%,
Mike Huckabee
4%, Rick
Santorum 3%,
Jeb Bush 3%,
Bobby Jindal
2%, John Kasich
2%, Rand Paul
2%, Chris
Christie 1%, Jim
Gilmore 1%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, George
Pataki 0%, Rick
Perry 0%, No
preference 4%

Ben Carson Ted Cruz


21%
9%

Jeb Bush 6%,


Carly Fiorina
5%, Marco
Rubio 5%, John
Kasich 5%, Rand
Paul 4%, Mike
Huckabee 4%,
Scott Walker 3%,
Bobby Jindal
2%, Chris
Christie 1%,
Rick Santorum
1%, Rick Perry
1%, Lindsey
Graham 1%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Undecided
4%

Ben Carson Jeb Bush


22%
6%

Carly Fiorina
5%, Rand Paul
5%, Scott Walker
5%, Ted Cruz
4%, Marco
Rubio 4%,
Bobby Jindal
4%, Mike
Huckabee 3%,
Chris Christie
2%, John Kasich
2%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
Rick Perry 0%,
Lindsey Graham
0%, George
Pataki 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Undecided 8%

Ben Carson Ted Cruz


15.8%
6.9%

Marco Rubio
5.8%, Scott
Walker 5.6%,
Bobby Jindal
5.2%, Carly
Fiorina 4.6%,
Jeb Bush 4.1%,
Mike Huckabee
2.6%, Chris
Christie 2.0%,
John Kasich
1.4%, Rand Paul
1.3%, Rick Perry
0.9%, Rick
Santorum 0.6%,
Lindsey Graham
0.4%, George
Pataki 0.1%,
Undecided
10.9%

Ben
Carson
25%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ia/ia09112015_itb72wt.pdf/)


Margin of error: 3.0%
Sample size: 1038

August 27 Donald
September 8, Trump
2015
27%

NBC News/Marist (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/IApolls/IA150826


/NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll_Iowa%20Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_September%202015.pdf/) August 26 Donald
September 2, Trump
Margin of error: 5.0%
2015
29%
Sample size: 390

Gravis Marketing/One America (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-iowa-polling-2/)


Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 507

August
2931, 2015

Monmouth University (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994


/32212254995/30064771087/85775b52-ec99-4ad3-bbee-14826bdf86e5.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 405

August
2730, 2015

Donald
Trump
31.7%

Donald
Trump
23%

Ben
Carson
23%

Carly
Fiorina
10%

Ted Cruz 9%,


Scott Walker 7%,
Jeb Bush 5%,
John Kasich 4%,
Marco Rubio
4%, Rand Paul

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

28 od 87

3%, Rick
Santorum 2%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, Chris
Christie 1%,
Rick Perry 1%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Someone else
0%, Undecided
5%

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg/Selzer (https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-08-29/ben-carson-edgingclose-to-front-runner-trump-in-latest-iowa-poll)


Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400

August
2326, 2015

Donald
Trump
23%

Ben Carson Ted Cruz


18%
8%

Scott Walker 8%,


Jeb Bush 6%,
Marco Rubio
6%, Carly
Fiorina 5%,
Mike Huckabee
4%, Rand Paul
4%, Chris
Christie 2%,
Bobby Jindal
2%, John Kasich
2%, Rick Perry
1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Someone else
0%, Undecided
10%

Scott
Ben Carson
Walker
14%
9%

Ted Cruz 8%,


Carly Fiorina
7%, Mike
Huckabee 7%,
Jeb Bush 5%,
Rand Paul 5%,
Marco Rubio
5%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Lindsey Graham
2%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, John
Kasich 2%, Rick
Perry 1%, Rick
Santorum 1%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Someone
else 0%, No one
2%, No opinion
4%

Scott
Walker
15.4%

Jeb Bush
10%

Bobby Jindal
7.2%, Mike
Huckabee 6.0%,
Ted Cruz 5.5%,
Ben Carson
5.5%, John
Kasich 5.0%,
Carly Fiorina
4.3%, Rick
Santorum 2.9%,
Marco Rubio
2.8%, Rick Perry
1.7%, Lindsey
Graham 1.0%,
Chris Christie
0.8%, Rand Paul
0.8%, George
Pataki 0.6%

Jeb Bush
12%

Ben Carson 8%,


Mike Huckabee
7%, Rand Paul
5%, Ted Cruz
4%, Marco
Rubio 4%, Rick
Perry 3%, Chris
Christie 2%,
John Kasich 2%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, Carly
Fiorina 1%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, Rick
Santorum 0%,
George Pataki
0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Undecided
14%

CNN/ORC (http://edition.cnn.com/2015/08/12/politics/cnn-orc-poll-iowa-republican-caucus-data/index.html)
Margin of error: 2%
Sample size: 2,014

Donald
August 711,
Trump
2015
22%

Gravis Marketing (http://www.oann.com/polliowa/)


Margin of error: 6.5%
Sample size: 227

Donald
July 31, 2015 Trump
30.9%

NBC/Marist (http://www.htmlpublish.com/newTestDocStorage/DocStorage/338db9aa727f427ab536da0129eb51f5
/NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll%20Iowa%20Annotated%20Questionnaire_July%202015.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 342

July 1421,
2015

Scott
Walker
19%

Donald
Trump
17%

June 2029,
2015

Scott
Walker
18%

Donald
Ben Carson
Trump
10%
10%

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ia/ia07012015_Is38vbd.pdf)


Margin of error: 3.8%
Sample size: 666

Ted Cruz 9%,


Rand Paul 9%,
Jeb Bush 8%,
Marco Rubio
7%, Mike

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

29 od 87

Huckabee 5%,
Rick Perry 4%,
Rick Santorum
4%, Carly
Fiorina 3%,
Bobby Jindal
3%, John Kasich
2%, Chris
Christie 1%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, George
Pataki 0%,
DK/NA 5%

Mike
Huckabee
10%

Rand Paul 10%,


Marco Rubio
7%, Chris
Christie 6%, Ben
Carson 5%,
Donald Trump
5%, Ted Cruz
4%, Carly
Fiorina 2%,
Don't know/No
opinion/Refused
21%, Someone
else 3%

Ben
Carson
12%

Jeb Bush 10%,


Mike Huckabee
8%, Ted Cruz
6%, Rick
Santorum 6%,
Carly Fiorina
5%, Chris
Christie 4%,
Rand Paul 4%,
Unsure 15%

Morning Consult (http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/150502_crosstabs_mc_IA_v1_AD.pdf)


Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 265

Scott
May 31
Walker
June 8, 2015
18%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/iowa-poll-walker-leads-gop-field-clintondomination-continues/)


Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 364

May 2829,
2015

Des Moines Register (https://drive.google.com/viewerng/viewer?url=http://www.gannett-cdn.com/LDSN/desmoines


/PDF/Iowa_Poll_May_30_2015.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 402

May 2529,
2015

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/releasedetail?ReleaseID=2223)


Margin of error: 3.8%
Sample size: 667

April 25
May 4, 2015

Scott
Walker
17%

Scott
Walker
17%

Scott
Walker
21%

Jeb Bush
10%

Marco
Rubio
13%

Ben Carson Rand Paul


10%
10%

Rand Paul
13%

Marco
Rubio
13%

Ted Cruz 12%,


Mike Huckabee
11%, Ben Carson
7%, Jeb Bush
5%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Rick Perry 3%,
Carly Fiorina
2%, John Kasich
2%, Rick
Santorum 2%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Don't know/No
answer 6%

Jeb Bush
12%

Mike Huckabee
10%, Rand Paul
10%, Ted Cruz
8%, Ben Carson
7%, Chris
Christie 5%,
Rick Perry 4%,
Undecided 8%

Jeb Bush
9.6%

Mike Huckabee
8.6%, Ted Cruz
6.5%, Ben
Carson 6.3%,
Rand Paul 6.3%,
Chris Christie
5.1%, Rick
Santorum 3.5%,
Donald Trump
3.1%, Rick Perry
2.6%, Carly
Fiorina 1%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, John Kasich
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Undecided
22.8%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_42815.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 462

April 2326,
2015

Scott
Walker
23%

Marco
Rubio
13%

Loras College (http://loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/20/20c51057-428c-46d9-998f-a274eccbb255.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 509

April 2123,
2015

Scott
Walker
12.6%

Marco
Rubio
10%

Jeb Bush 9%,


Mike Huckabee
9%, Marco
Rubio 6%, Rick
Santorum 6%,
Ted Cruz 5%,
Chris Christie
4%, Donald
Trump 4%, Rick
Perry 3%, Carly
Fiorina 2%, John
Kasich 2%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, Bobby
Jindal 1%,
Uncommitted
4%, Not sure 7%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

30 od 87

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/iowa-poll-bush-leads-crowded-gop-fieldrice-beats-clinton-head-to-head-43-to-40/)


Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 388

April 13,
2015

Jeb Bush
16%

Scott
Walker
13%

Marco
Rubio
12%

Opinion Savvy (http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Iowa-3.24.15.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.16%
Sample size: 552

March 20,
2015

Quinnipiac University (http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/releasedetail?ReleaseID=2158)


Margin of error: 3.9%
Sample size: 623

February
1623, 2015

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/uncategorized/iowa-poll-walker-garners-24-of-gop-support-paul-clintonbeats-walker-others-head-to-head/)


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 343

February
1213, 2015

NBC News/Marist (http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files


/iowa_february_2015_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news-marist_poll.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 320

February
310, 2015

Scott
Walker
29%

Scott
Walker
25%

Scott
Walker
24%

Mike
Huckabee
17%

Scott
Walker
15%

Ben Carson Jeb Bush


14%
12%

Rand Paul
13%

Jeb Bush
10%

Jeb Bush
16%

Rand Paul
10%

Chris Christie
9%, Mike
Huckabee 7%,
Marco Rubio
7%, Rick
Santorum 6%,
Ben Carson 5%,
Ted Cruz 4%,
Carly Fiorina
3%, Unsure 15%

Scott
Walker
15%

Chris Christie
9%, Rand Paul
7%, Ben Carson
6%, Marco
Rubio 6%, Rick
Santorum 5%,
Rick Perry 4%,
Ted Cruz 2%,
Lindsey Graham
1%, Undecided
14%

Mitt
Rand Paul
Romney
14%
13%

Mike Huckabee
10%, Ben Carson
9%, Jeb Bush
8%, Ted Cruz
5%, Chris
Christie 4%,
Rick Santorum
4%, Marco
Rubio 3%, Rick
Perry 3%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, Carly
Fiorina 1%, John
Kasich 1%,
Donald Trump
1%, Mike Pence
0%,
Uncommitted
2%, Not sure 5%

Mike
Rand Paul
Huckabee
15%
13%

Ben Carson 10%,


Jeb Bush 9%,
Chris Christie
6%, Ted Cruz
6%, Rick
Santorum 5%,
Marco Rubio
4%, Rick Perry
3%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, Carly
Fiorina 1%, John
Kasich 1%,
Donald Trump
1%, Mike Pence
0%,
Uncommitted
3%, Not sure 5%

January
2629, 2015

Scott
Walker
16%

Loras College (http://loras.edu/About-Loras/News-Events/News/2015/With-Romney-Out,-Loras-College-Poll-FindsHuckabee.aspx)


Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 316

January
2126, 2015

Mitt
Romney
13.7%

Mike Huckabee
11%, Ted Cruz
7%, Chris
Christie 5%,
Rand Paul 5%,
Marco Rubio
5%, Donald
Trump 3%,
Other/Undecided
10%

Mike Huckabee
11%, Jeb Bush
10%, Ted Cruz
5%, Marco
Rubio 4%, Chris
Ben Carson Christie 4%,
11%
Rick Santorum
4%, Rick Perry
3%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, John
Kasich 0%,
Unsure 9%

Selzer & Co. (http://images.businessweek.com/cms/2015-01-31/saturday-b-30496.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 402

Ben Carson 9%,


Rand Paul 9%,
Mike Huckabee
8%, Ted Cruz
6%, Chris
Christie 5%,
Carly Fiorina
3%, Rick
Santorum 2%,
Undecided 17%

Mike
Huckabee
12.5%

Ben
Carson
10.5%

Jeb Bush 9.9%,


Scott Walker
8.3%, Rand
Paul 6.7%, Ted
Cruz 5.1%,
Marco Rubio
4.2%, Chris
Christie 3.8%,

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

31 od 87

Rick Santorum
3.8%, Rick Perry
2.9%, Bobby
Jindal 1.6%,
Carly Fiorina
1%, John Kasich
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0.3%
Undecided
14.7%

Mike
Huckabee
14.4%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/iowa-poll-romney-leads-nascent-iowa-fieldwith-21-bush-at-14-walker-10/)


Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 404

Mitt
January 57,
Romney
2015
21%

Jeb Bush
13.1%

Jeb Bush
14%

Ben
Carson
12.8%

Scott Walker
9.9%, Rand
Paul 7%, Chris
Christie 5.4%,
Ted Cruz 5.4%,
Marco Rubio
4.2%, Rick
Santorum 3.8%,
Rick Perry 3.2%,
Bobby Jindal
1.6%, Carly
Fiorina 1.3%,
John Kasich
1.3%, Lindsey
Graham 0.6%
Undecided 16%

Scott
Walker
10%

Mike Huckabee
9%, Rand Paul
8%, Ted Cruz
7%, Chris
Christie 5%, Paul
Ryan 5%, Marco
Rubio 4%,
Undecided 18%

Polls in 2014

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

32 od 87

Poll source
Fox News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/31/foxnews-poll-iowa-senate-race/)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 329

Date

1st

Mike
October 2830, 2014 Huckabee
13%

2nd

3rd

Ben Carson
12%

Paul Ryan
9%

Paul Ryan
13%

Chris Christie
12%

Jeb Bush 10%, Scott Walker 10%,


Rand Paul 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Marco
Rubio 6%, Rick Santorum 6%, Rick
Perry 5%, Wouldn't vote 7%

Reuters/Ipsos (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014
/Reuters_Ipsos_Iowa_103114.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 602

October 2329, 2014

Mitt Romney
17%

October 17, 2014

Mitt Romney
17%

Ben Carson
11%

Rand Paul
10%

Mike Huckabee 9%, Paul Ryan 8%,


Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Chris
Christie 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Scott
Walker 4%, Rick Santorum 3%,
Marco Rubio 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%,
John Kasich 1%, Mike Pence 0%, Rob
Portman 0%, Uncommitted 1%, Not
sure 9%

September 810,
2014

Mike
Huckabee
21%

Paul Ryan
12%

Rand Paul
7%

Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick


Perry 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott
Walker 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Bobby
Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 3%

Rick Perry
8.74%

Jeb Bush 7.28%, Rand Paul 6.8%,


Paul Ryan 6.31%, Rick Santorum
5.83%, Marco Rubio 5.34%, Ted Cruz
4.85%, Scott Walker 4.37%, Bobby
Jindal 2.91%, Jon Huntsman, Jr.
0.97%, John Kasich 0.97%, Other
4.37%, Undecided 16.99%, Refused
0.49%

Selzer & Co. (http://images.businessweek.com/bloomberg/pdfs/2104-qfi-RepIowa-caucus-poll-tabulated-questionnaire.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 425

CNN/ORC (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/09/12/topia1.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 310

Mike
Huckabee
13.11%

Suffolk University (https://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC


/8_27_2014_marginals.pdf)
Margin of error: 6.83%
Sample size: 206

Chris Christie
10.68%

August 2326, 2014

Mitt Romney
35.29%

Mike Huckabee Chris Christie


8.82%
6.47%

Rick Santorum 5.88%, Ted Cruz


5.29%, Rand Paul 5.29%, Jeb Bush
4.71, Rick Perry 4.71%, Paul Ryan
4.12%, Scott Walker 3.53%, Marco
Rubio 2.35%, Bobby Jindal 1.76%,
Jon Huntsman, Jr. 1.18%, John Kasich
0.59%, Undecided 10%

July 713, 2014

Jeb Bush
12%

Rand Paul
12%

Paul Ryan
11%

Rick Santorum 9%, Chris Christie


8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Perry 7%,
Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker 5%,
Bobby Jindal 1%, Undecided 20%

June 45, 2014

Jeb Bush
18%

Mike
Huckabee
15%

Paul Ryan
13%

Rand Paul 12%, Marco Rubio 11%,


Rick Santorum 10%, Ted Cruz 9%,
Chris Christie 6%, Scott Walker 6%

May 1519, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
20%

Ted Cruz
15%

Jeb Bush
12%

Rand Paul 10%, Chris Christie 9%,


Paul Ryan 8%, Scott Walker 6%,
Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 3%,
Someone else/Not sure 13%

April 2224, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
20%

Paul Ryan
19%

Jeb Bush
18%

Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rand


Paul 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Scott
Walker 6%, Joe Scarborough 4%

April 1415, 2014

Jeb Bush
17%

Mike
Huckabee
17%

Rand Paul 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Scott


Chris Christie
Walker 8%, John Kasich 5%, Marco
14%
Rubio 2%, Undecided 16%

April 78, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
14.7%

Jeb Bush
10.7%

Rand Paul
8.5%

Paul Ryan 8.3%, Chris Christie 8%,


Ted Cruz 6.2%, Marco Rubio 4.7%,
Rick Santorum 4.7%, Scott Walker
4.7%, Rick Perry 3%, John Kasich
0.7%, Other 0.7%, Undecided 23.8%

NBC News/Marist (http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files


/nbc_news_marist_poll_2016_iowa_annotated_questionnaire_july_2014_0.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 558
Vox Populi Polling (http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/run-2016/2014/06
/10/iowa-remains-in-flux-for-republicans)
Margin of error: 6.6%
Sample size: 222
Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_Iowa_522.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 303
The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (http://www.poppolling.com/useruploads
/files/iowa_april_2014_-_topline.pdf)
Margin of error: 8.4%
Sample size: 168
Magellan Strategies (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014
/Magellan_Iowa_0414.pdf)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 330
Loras College (http://www.loras.edu/LorasCollege/files/7e/7e96b49bd87d-4572-9d1b-5c1b4d8ac344.pdf)
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 600

April 38, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
11.02%

Jeb Bush
10.24%

Rand Paul
10.24%

Ted Cruz 9.45%, Ben Carson


8.66%, Chris Christie 7.09%, Paul
Ryan 6.3%, Sarah Palin 5.51%,
Condoleezza Rice 5.51%, Marco
Rubio 5.51%, Rick Santorum
5.51%, Scott Walker 5.51%, Bobby
Jindal 3.15%, Rick Perry 3.15%,
Undecided 3.15%

March 30, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
14%

Rand Paul
10%

Scott Walker
8%

Jeb Bush 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Paul Ryan


7%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Santorum
5%, Rick Perry 3%, Marco Rubio 3%,
Bobby Jindal 2%, Other 2%,
Undecided 26%

Mike
February 2023, 2014 Huckabee
17%

Rand Paul
14%

Jeb Bush
13%

Chris Christie 10%, Ted Cruz 10%,


Paul Ryan 9%, Bobby Jindal 7%, Scott
Walker 7%, Marco Rubio 3%,
Other/Undecided 11%

Suffolk University (http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC


/4_9_2014_marginals.pdf)
Margin of error: 8.7%
Sample size: 127

WPA Research (http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/elections


/2014/04/03/huckabee-iowa-survey/7244521/)
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 402
Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_IA_227.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.8%

Other
Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Chris
Christie 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick
Santorum 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott
Walker 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rob
Portman 0%, Other 1%, None of the
above 4%, Don't know 10%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

33 od 87

Sample size: 283

Polls in 2013-2012
Poll source

Date

Cygnal (http://www.cygn.al/surveys
/130717-Iowa_GOP_2016_CaucusFlash_Poll.pdf)
July 1012, 2013
Margin of error: 2.37%
Sample size: 1,705
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_Iowa_7111.pdf)
July 57, 2013

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Marco Rubio
11.4%

Rand Paul
10.5%

Paul Ryan
9.3%

Jeb Bush 8.7%, Chris Christie 7.7%, Rick Santorum 6.7%, Ted Cruz 6.1%, Scott
Walker 2.1%, Bobby Jindal 1.3%, Undecided 36.3%

Rand Paul
18%

Chris Christie
16%

Paul Ryan
15%

Jeb Bush 14%, Marco Rubio 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Rick Santorum 6%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, Susana Martinez 1%, Other/Undecided 7%

Mike
Huckabee
16%

Marco Rubio
16%

Rand Paul
15%

Jeb Bush 14%, Chris Christie 12%, Paul Ryan 10%, Susana Martinez 4%,
Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 7%

Rick
Santorum
17%

Mike
Huckabee
17%

Chris Christie
16%

Rand Paul 11%, Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Paul Ryan 6%, Sarah Palin
4%, Scott Walker 4%, Someone else/Not sure 8%

Rick
Santorum
16%

Mike
Huckabee
16%

Chris Christie
15%

Jeb Bush 10%, Sarah Palin 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 7%, Paul Ryan 5%
Someone else/Not sure 10%

Margin of error: 6.2%


Sample size: 250
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_National_207.pdf)
Feb. 13, 2013
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 326
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_IA_072312.pdf)
July 12-15, 2012
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 363
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_IA_050912.pdf)
May 3-5, 2012
Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 346

Kansas
Winner
Ted Cruz
Caucus date
March 5, 2016
Poll source
Caucus results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/KS-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


23.35%
16.83%

Other

March 5, 2016

Ted Cruz
47.50%

John Kasich 11.07%, Ben Carson 0.74%, Jeb Bush 0.11%, Carly Fiorina
0.05%

March 23, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35.18%
29.31%

Marco Rubio
16.56%

John Kasich 12.66%, Undecided 6.29%

February 26, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


26%
14%

Marco Rubio
13%

John Kasich 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 39%

Trafalgar Group[112]
Margin of error: 2.96%
Sample size: 1,060
Fort Hays State University[113]
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 440

Suffolk University
(http://www.suffolk.edu/documents
/SUPRC
/2014_final_Kansas_Toplines10-01.pdf) September 2730,
2014
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 118
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_KS_224.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 375

February 1820,
2014

Jeb Bush
15.36%

Mike
Huckabee
14.23%

Chris Christie
8.99%

Ted Cruz 7.87%, Rick Perry 6.74%, Paul Ryan 5.99%, Rand Paul 5.62%,
Marco Rubio 5.62%, Scott Walker 3.75%, Rick Santorum 1.5%, Bobby
Jindal 1.12%, John Kasich 0.75%, Carly Fiorina 0.37%, Other 4.12%,
Undecided/Refused 17.97%

Mitt Romney
33.33%

Jeb Bush
10.5%

Mike
Huckabee
10.5%

Ted Cruz 6.85%, Chris Christie 6.39%, Rick Perry 5.02%, Rand Paul
4.57%, Marco Rubio 4.11%, Paul Ryan 2.74%, Scott Walker 2.28%, Rick
Santorum 1.83%, Bobby Jindal 1.37%, Carly Fiorina 0.46%, John Kasich
0.46%, Undecided/Refused 9.59%

Mike
Huckabee
20%

Jeb Bush
13%

Chris Christie
13%

Ted Cruz 12%, Rand Paul 11%, Paul Ryan 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott
Walker 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%

Kentucky
Winner
Donald Trump
Caucus date
March 5, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

34 od 87

Poll source
Caucus results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/KY-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 5, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35.92%
31.57%

Marco Rubio
16.36%

John Kasich 14.42%, Ben Carson 0.85%, Rand Paul 0.38%, Jeb Bush 0.13%,
Mike Huckabee 0.08%, Carly Fiorina 0.03%, Chris Christie 0.03%, Rick
Santorum 0.01%

February 2226,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35%
22%

Ted Cruz
15%

Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 6%

Rand Paul
19%

Jeb Bush
13%

Donald Trump Scott Walker 11%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 7%,
12%
Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Someone else/Not sure 9%

Rand Paul
26%

Mike
Huckabee
15%

Jeb Bush
12%

Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris
Christie 2%, Rick Perry, 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly
Fiorina 1%, Other 2%, Undecided 8%

Rand Paul
25%

Mike
Huckabee
18%

Jeb Bush
15%

Chris Christie 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Paul
Ryan 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone else/Not sure 6%

Rand Paul
34%

Jeb Bush
20%

Chris Christie
12%

Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick
Santorum 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%

Rand Paul
31%

Marco Rubio
17%

Jeb Bush
13%

Chris Christie 10%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Paul Ryan 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Rick
Santorum 2%, Susana Martinez 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 16%

Western Kentucky University[114]


Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 532

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_KY_62415.pdf)
June 1821, 2015
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 413
Courier-Journal/SurveyUSA
(http://www.surveyusa.com/client
/PollReport.aspx?g=9193103ccf44-494d-8029-7f1a9ec0a8b0)

May 510, 2015

Margin of error: 4.4%


Sample size: 517
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_KY_813513.pdf)
August 710, 2014
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 383
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013
December 1215,
/PPP_Release_KY_103.pdf)
2013
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 540
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_KY_411.pdf)
April 57, 2013
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 320

Louisiana
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 5, 2016
Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/LA-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 5, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41.45%
37.83%

Marco Rubio
11.22%

John Kasich 6.43%, Ben Carson 1.51%, Jeb Bush 0.71%, Rand Paul 0.22%,
Mike Huckabee 0.21%, Chris Christie 0.13%, Carly Fiorina 0.08%, Rick
Santorum 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.05%

March 3, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


48%
31%

Marco Rubio
15%

John Kasich 6%

March 2, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
26%

Marco Rubio
11%

John Kasich 5%, Don't Care 20%

March 12, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


44.15%
25.92%

Marco Rubio
14.84%

Ben Carson 5.72%, John Kasich 5.17%, Undecided 4.2%

March 1, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
21%

Marco Rubio
15%

John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 5%

September 2023,
2015

Ben Carson
23%

Gravis Marketing/
One America News[115]
Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 1356
University of New Orleans[116]
Margin of error: 2.26%
Sample size: 1874
Trafalgar Group[117]
Margin of error: 2.73%
Sample size: 1509
Magellan Strategies[118]
Margin of error: 3.9%
Sample size: 609
WWL-TV/Advocate
(http://www.wwltv.com/longform
/news/politics/2015/09/30/wwltvadvocate-poll-ben-carsonthe-favorite-of-states-republicans
/73115256/)

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


19%
10%

Marco Rubio 9%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 4%,
Bobby Jindal 3%, John Kasich 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Others 1%, Undecided
13%

Margin of error: 3.46%


Sample size: 800

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

35 od 87

Maine
Winner
Ted Cruz
Caucus date
March 5, 2016
Poll source
Caucus results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/ME-R)

Date
March 5, 2016

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013
November 811,
/PPP_Release_ME_111313.pdf)
2013
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 331

1st
Ted Cruz
45.90%

2nd

3rd

Donald Trump John Kasich


32.59%
12.19%

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


27%
14%

Jeb Bush
12%

Other
Marco Rubio 8.01%, Ben Carson 0.71%, Rand Paul 0.30%, Jeb Bush 0.17%,
Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Mike Huckabee 0.05%

Rand Paul 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick
Santorum 1%, Scott Walker 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 20%

Maryland
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
April 26, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

36 od 87

Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com April 26, 2016
/P16/MD-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump John Kasich


54.45%
23.03%

Ted Cruz
18.88%

Ben Carson 1.30%, Marco Rubio 0.68%, Jeb Bush 0.56%, Rand Paul 0.34%,
Chris Christie 0.27%, Carly Fiorina 0.22%, Mike Huckabee 0.18%, Rick
Santorum 0.10%

April 2124, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


55%
21%

Ted Cruz
19%

Undecided 5%

April 1517, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


43%
29%

Ted Cruz
24%

Undecided 5%

April 1011, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


47%
27%

Ted Cruz
19%

Other 1%, Undecided 7%

April 810, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
26%

John Kasich
25%

Undecided 15%, Refused/NA 1%

April 59, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
29%

John Kasich
24%

Other 1%, Undecided 6%

March 30April 3,
2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


41%
31%

Ted Cruz
22%

Other 6%

March 48, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


34%
25%

John Kasich
18%

Marco Rubio 14%, Other 1%, Undecided 9%

January 1116, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


31.9%
15.0%

Marco Rubio
13.6%

Ben Carson 9.3%, Chris Christie 8.0%, Jeb Bush 4.0%, Someone else 5.6%,
Undecided 12.6%

ARG[119]
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 400
Public Policy Polling[120]
Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 310
Monmouth University[121]
Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 301
TargetPoint/Washington Free
Beacon[122]
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 600
NBC4/Marist[123]
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 368
Washington Post/University of
Maryland[124]
Margin of error: 7.5%
Sample size: 283
Baltimore Sun/University of
Baltimore[125]
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400
Gonzales Research[126]
Margin of error: 5.8%
Sample size: 301

Baltimore Sun/University of
Baltimore
(http://www.baltimoresun.com
/news/maryland/politics/bs-mdNovember 1317,
sun-poll-president-201511242015
story.html)

Ben Carson
27%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


23%
16%

Ted Cruz 10%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Jeb Bush
3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Other/Unsure 9%

Jeb Bush
15%

Rand Paul 14%, Marco Rubio 12%, Undecided/Other 21%

Margin of error: 5.6%


Sample size: 307
Baltimore Sun
(http://www.baltimoresun.com
/news/maryland/politics/bs-mdsun-poll-presidential--primaryBen Carson
20140217,0,2421124,full.story) February 812, 2014 24%

Chris Christie
14%

Margin of error: 4.4%


Sample size: 499

Massachusetts
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

37 od 87

Poll source
Primary results (http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/MA-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 1, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


48.99%
17.94%

Marco Rubio
17.75%

Ted Cruz 9.50%, Ben Carson 2.57%, Jeb Bush 1.03%,


Chris Christie 0.30%, Rand Paul 0.29%, Carly Fiorina
0.18%, Jim Gilmore 0.12%, Mike Huckabee 0.11%, Mike
Huckabee 0.08%, George Pataki 0.08%, Rick Santorum
0.05%

February 2628,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


51%
20%

John Kasich
14%

Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 1%

February 2426,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


47%
15%

Ted Cruz
15%

John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 2%, Other 7%, Don't Know
3%

February 2426,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


42.6%
19.8%

John Kasich
17%

Ted Cruz 8.8%, Ben Carson 3.8%, Other 1%, Don't Know
7%

February 2123,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


39%
18%

John Kasich
17%

Ted Cruz 9%, Ben Carson 5%, Don't Know 12%

February 1921,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


50%
16%

John Kasich
13%

Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 2%

November 1922,
2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


32%
18%

Ted Cruz 10%

Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Chris
Christie 4%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike
Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%,
George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 14%

October 1618,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


47.8%
13.9%

Marco Rubio
11.8%

Jeb Bush 7.1%, Carly Fiorina 6.5%, Ted Cruz 5.1%, John
Kasich 2.8%, Chris Christie 2.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.9%,
Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Rand Paul 0.1%, Undecided 1.4%

March 1419, 2015

Jeb Bush
19%

Ben Carson
13%

Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike
Huckabee 3%, Other/Undecided 28%

Jeb Bush
10.75%

Rand Paul 10.5%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Scott Walker


6.75%, Marco Rubio 5.75%, Rick Perry 4.75%, Ted Cruz
4.25%, Bobby Jindal 3.5%, Rick Santorum 2.75%, Jon
Huntsman, Jr. 1.75%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided
18.25%, Other 0.5%, Refused 0.5%

Paul Ryan
5.54%

Jeb Bush 5.23%, Ted Cruz 3.69%, Jon Huntsman, Jr.


3.38%, Bobby Jindal 3.38%, Rand Paul 3.38%, Scott
Walker 3.38%, Mike Huckabee 3.08%, Marco Rubio
2.77%, Rick Perry 1.54%, John Kasich 1.23%, Rick
Santorum 1.23%, Undecided 4.92%, Refused 0.92%

Emerson College[127]
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample size: 408
UMass Amherst/WBZ[128]
Margin of error: 6.3% Sample size: 292
Suffolk University[129]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample size: 500
MassINC/WBUR[130]
Margin of error: 4.9% Sample size: 386
Emerson College[131]
Margin of error: 5.7% Sample size: 289
Suffolk University (http://www.realclearpolitics.com
/docs/2016/Suffolk_MA_Nov_2015.pdf)
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 134
Emerson College (http://media.wix.com
/ugd/3bebb2_82a741918bee4d2aa3685dddc0aebff1.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.9%
Sample size: 271
Emerson College (http://media.wix.com
/ugd/3bebb2_bcbf2f7273744af089da0d4d587120e1.pdf)
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 216

Chris Christie Paul Ryan


11%
11%

Suffolk University (https://www.suffolk.edu/documents


/SUPRC/8_25_2014_republican_marginals.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400

Scott Walker
19%

August 2124, 2014


Mitt Romney
48.62%

Chris Christie
7.69%

Michigan
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 8, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

38 od 87

Poll source

Primary results (http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/MI-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 8, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36.55%
24.68%

John Kasich
24.26%

Marco Rubio 9.34%, Ben Carson 1.61%, Jeb Bush


0.81%, Rand Paul 0.29%, Chris Christie 0.24%,
Mike Huckabee 0.20%, Rick Santorum 0.13%, Carly
Fiorina 0.11%, George Pataki 0.04%, Lindsey
Graham 0.03%

March 7, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


41%
23%

Ted Cruz
18%

Marco Rubio 8%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 1%,


Undecided 6%

March 6, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


42%
19.6%

Ted Cruz
19.3%

Marco Rubio 9%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%,


Undecided 5%

March 56, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40.89%
23.26%

John Kasich
23.04%

Marco Rubio 8.34%, Undecided 4.47%

March 36, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36%
23%

John Kasich
21%

Marco Rubio 13%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%

March 45, 2016

John Kasich
33%

March 24, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


39%
24%

Marco Rubio
16%

John Kasich 15%, Ben Carson 5%

March 13, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
22%

Marco Rubio
17%

John Kasich 13%, Uncommitted 2%, Other 2%,


Undecided 5%

March 23, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41.87%
20.45%

John Kasich
18.14%

Marco Rubio 13.79%, Undecided 5.75%

January 25 March Donald Trump Ted Cruz


3, 2016
36.1%
19.5%

Marco Rubio
18.1%

John Kasich 8.9%, Other 7%

March 2, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


42%
19%

Marco Rubio
15%

John Kasich 14%, Ben Carson 5%, Other 1%,


Undecided 5%

March 1, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


39%
19%

Ted Cruz
14%

John Kasich 12%, Ben Carson 9%, Other 2%,


Undecided 7%

February 2729,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


29%
19%

Marco Rubio
18%

John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 18%

February 2227,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


33%
18%

Ted Cruz
18%

John Kasich 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Other/Undecided


12%

February 2224,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


41%
17%

Ted Cruz
14%

John Kasich 12%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 6%

February 23, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


41%
19%

Ted Cruz
16%

John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 7%, Other 1%,


Undecided 5%

February 1920,
2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


35%
17%

Ted Cruz/
Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Other 1%, Undecided


10%

February 1416,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


25.2%
15%

Marco Rubio
11.8%

John Kasich 10.5%, Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 5.3%,


Refused 1.9%, Undecided 21.3%

February 15, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
11%

John Kasich
11%

Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 5%,


Undecided 14%

February 4, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


41%
20%

Ted Cruz
16%

Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Jeb Bush 2%,


Chris Christie 2%, Someone Else 2%, Not Sure 7%

FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[132]
Margin of error: 4.5% Sample size: 472
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[133]
Margin of error: 3.8% Sample size: 663
Trafalgar Group[134]
Margin of error: 2.42% Sample size: 1610
Monmouth University[135]
Margin of error: 4.9% Sample size: 402
ARG[136]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size: 400

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


31%
15%

Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 1%,


Undecided 4%

CBS News/YouGov[137]
Margin of error: 5.9% Sample size: 638
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[138]
Margin of error: 3.3% Sample size: 877
Trafalgar Group[139]
Margin of error: 2.42% Sample size: 1643
Michigan State University[140]
Margin of error: 5.8% Sample size: 262
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[141]
Margin of error: 3.86% Sample size: 643
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[142]
Margin of error: 3.76% Sample size: 679
EPIC/MRA[143]
Margin of error: 4.9% Sample size: 400
MRG[144]
Margin of error: ?% Sample size: 217
Target Insyght[145]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size: 400
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[146]
Margin of error: 4.57% Sample size: 459
ARG[147]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size: 400
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[148]
Margin of error: 4% Sample size: 600
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[149]
Margin of error: 4.94% Sample size: 394
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[150]
Margin of error: 5.39% Sample size: 330

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

39 od 87

Target-Insyght/
MIRS/IMP[151]
February 24, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35%
21%

Ted Cruz
21%

John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 3%,


Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Undecided 4%

January 25, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


51%
15%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 5%,


Someone else 3%, undecided 5%

Margin of error: 5% Sample size: 400


Mitchell Research[152]
Margin of error: 4.41% Sample size: 493

MRG (http://www.mlive.com/lansing-news/index.ssf/2015/09
/ben_carson_donald_trump_michigan.html)
September 914,
2015
Margin of error: 4% Sample size: 600

Ben Carson
24%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


22%
8%

Mitchell Poll (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016


/Mitchell_Poll_Michigan_GOP_Primary_Voters_8-10-15.pdf)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 432

Donald Trump Carly Fiorina Ben Carson


20%
15%
12%

Jeb Bush 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 8%,


John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee
4%, Scott Walker 4%, Rand Paul 2%

June 2528, 2015

Scott Walker
15%

Jeb Bush
14%

Ben Carson
14%

Donald Trump 14%, Marco Rubio 9%, Mike


Huckabee 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%,
Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%,
Rick Santorum 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Perry
1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Some
else/Not sure 2%

February 1820,
2015

Scott Walker
43%

Jeb Bush
19%

Rand Paul
12%

Ben Carson 10%, Chris Christie 3%, Marco Rubio


3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%

Jeb Bush
11.17%

Mike
Huckabee
11.17%

Marco Rubio
9.57%

Rand Paul 6.91%, Chris Christie 6.38%, Scott


Walker 6.38%, Rick Perry 6.38%, Paul Ryan
5.85%, Ted Cruz 5.32%, Rick Santorum 5.32%,
Bobby Jindal 2.66%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 2.13%, John
Kasich 0.53%, Undecided 17.02%, Refused 2.13%,
Other 1.06%

August 10, 2015

Public Policy Polling (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015


/images/06/30/trumpbushclinton.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 465

Mike Huckabee 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Ted Cruz 3%,


Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 2%, Scott Walker 2%,
Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Undecided 21%

MIRS (http://mirsnews.com/capsule.php#42334)
Margin of error: 6.5%
Sample size: 366

Suffolk University (http://www.suffolk.edu/documents


/SUPRC/marginals_9_11_2014.pdf)
Margin of error: 7%
Sample size: 188

September 610,
2014
Mitt Romney
39.47%

Jeb Bush
9.87%

Ted Cruz
6.58%

Mike Huckabee 5.26%, Marco Rubio 5.26%, Scott


Walker 4.61%, Chris Christie 2.63%, Bobby Jindal
2.63%, Paul Ryan 2.63%, Rick Perry 1.97%, Jon
Huntsman, Jr. 1.32%, Rick Santorum 1.32%, Rand
Paul 1.32%, John Kasich 0%, Undecided 13.82%,
Refused 1.32%

April 1415, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
24%

Jeb Bush
16%

Rand Paul
15%

Chris Christie 14%, Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 5%,


Scott Walker 4%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 12%

April 36, 2014

Rand Paul
16%

Mike
Chris Christie
Huckabee
15%
15%

Ted Cruz 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Paul Ryan 5%, Scott
Walker 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%,
Someone Else/Undecided 17%

December 58, 2013

Rand Paul
18%

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


16%
15%

Jeb Bush 10%, Marco Rubio 8%,Paul Ryan 7%,


Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum
2%, Someone Else/Undecided 14%

May 30 June 2,
2013

Rand Paul
18%

Jeb Bush
16%

Magellan Strategies (http://www.realclearpolitics.com


/docs/2014/Magellan_Michigan_0414.pdf)
Margin of error: 6%
Sample size: 270
Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MI_409.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 334
Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_MI_121113.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 450
Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_MI_610.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 334

Paul Ryan 12%, Marco Rubio 11%, Ted Cruz 7%,


Chris Christie
Rick Santorum 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Susana
15%
Martinez 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%

Minnesota
Winner
Marco Rubio
Primary date
March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

40 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/MN-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 1, 2016

Marco Rubio
36.24%

Ted Cruz
29.04%

Donald Trump
Ben Carson 7.37%, John Kasich 5.75%
21.42%

January 1820, 2016

Marco Rubio
23%

Ted Cruz
21%

Donald Trump
Ben Carson 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Other 6%, Undecided 9%
18%

October 29
November 2, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


26%
19%

Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[153]
Margin of error: 6.5%
Sample size: ?
KSTP (http://kstp.com/article
/stories/s3952441.shtml)
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 516

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
July 30 August 2,
/PPP_Release_MN_80415.pdf)
2015
Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 353
Suffolk University
(http://www.suffolk.edu/documents
/SUPRC/4_29_2014_marginals.pdf)
April 2428, 2014
Margin of error: 10%
Sample size: 87

Marco Rubio
16%

Scott Walker
19%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


18%
15%

Jeb Bush
14.94%

Rick Perry
14.94%

Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee
2%, others 4%, undecided 13%

Ben Carson 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco
Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George
Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 1%

Ted Cruz 9.20%, Marco Rubio 8.05%, Rand Paul 5.75%, Ben Carson
Chris Christie 4.60%, Rick Santorum 4.60%, Condoleezza Rice 3.45%, Scott Walker 3.45%,
9.20%
Bobby Jindal 2.30%, Sarah Palin 2.30%, Paul Ryan 2.30%, Mike Huckabee
1.15%, Undecided 13.79%

Mississippi
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 8, 2016
Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/MS-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 8, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


47.24%
36.12%

John Kasich
8.84%

Marco Rubio 5.26%, Ben Carson 1.35%, Jeb Bush 0.41%, Mike Huckabee
0.26%, Rand Paul 0.15%, Rick Santorum 0.12%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Carly
Fiorina 0.05%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, George Pataki 0.03%

February 29, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
17%

Marco Rubio
16%

John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 5%, Undecided 13%

August 2, 2015

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


26.9%
20.4%

Ben Carson
9.6%

Ted Cruz 8.7%, Mike Huckabee 8.7%, Scott Walker 7%, Bobby Jindal 3.5%,
Marco Rubio 3%, Chris Christie 2.9%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%,
Rick Perry 1.3%, John Kasich 1.3%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, George Pataki
0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1.1%, Undecided 1.1%

Mike
Huckabee
25%

Jeb Bush
16%

Ted Cruz
11%

Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 6%, Paul Ryan 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Rick
Santorum 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Other/Undecided 16%

Jeb Bush
29%

Chris Christie
12%

Ted Cruz
12%

Rand Paul 11%, Bobby Jindal 8%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick
Santorum 2%, Undecided 17%

Rand Paul
14.45%

Paul Ryan 11.61%, Marco Rubio 10.34%, Bobby Jindal 9.49%, Rick
Santorum 3.97%, Scott Walker 1.7%, Not sure 17.14%

Magellan Strategies[154]
Margin of error: 3.1%
Sample size: 995
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage
(http://opinionsavvy.com
/wp-content/uploads/2015/08
/MS-Pres-Prim-8.4.15.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 444
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_MS_717.pdf)
July 1013, 2014
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 434
Harper Polling
(http://www.harperpolling.com/polls
/mississippi-senate-republicanprimary-poll-results)
April 35, 2014
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 570
Harper Polling
(http://www.conservativeintel.com
/1219-conservative-intel-poll-ofmssen-gop-primary/)

December 1718,
2013

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


15.72%
15.58%

Margin of error: 3.68%


Sample size: 710
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013
November 1517,
/PPP_Release_MS_1120.pdf)
2013
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 422

Ted Cruz
19%

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


17%
16%

Rand Paul 12%, Bobby Jindal 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Rick Santorum 5%, Paul
Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%

Missouri
Winner

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

41 od 87

Donald Trump
Primary date
March 15, 2016
Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/MO-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 15, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40.84%
40.63%

John Kasich
10.10%

Marco Rubio 6.09%, Ben Carson 0.88%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Mike Huckabee
0.23%, Rand Paul 0.19%, Chris Christie 0.18%, Rick Santorum 0.08%, Carly
Fiorina 0.07%

March 310, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36%
29%

Marco Rubio
9%

John Kasich 8%, Other 1%, Undecided 17%

December 1819,
2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
23%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rand
Paul 1%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 14%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


23%
11%

Jeb Bush
11%

Mike Huckabee 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Scott Walker 8%, Carly Fiorina 7%,
Marco Rubio 6%, John Kasich 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby
Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone else/Undecided 2%

Fort Hayes State University[155]


Margin of error: 7%
Sample size: 208
Remington Research Group
(http://moscout.com/wp-content
/uploads/2015/12/MOScoutWeekly-Poll-December-20.pdf)
Margin of error: 2.6%
Sample size: 1,528
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_MO_81215.pdf/)
August 78, 2015
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 440

Montana
Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/MT-R)

Date
June 7, 2016

Gravis Marketing
(http://gravismarketing.com/pollingand-market-research/currentFebruary 2425,
montana-polling-2/)
2015
Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: ?
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013
November 1517,
/PPP_Release_MT_112113.pdf)
2013
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 469
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_MT_628.pdf)
June 2123, 2013

1st

2nd

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


73.72%
9.36%

3rd

Other

John Kasich
6.85%

Marco Rubio 3.30%, Jeb Bush 2.08%

Jeb Bush
19.8%

Mike
Huckabee
18.8%

Scott Walker
18.8%

Marco Rubio 8.9%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Rick
Perry 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Unsure 15.8%

Ted Cruz
20%

Chris Christie
14%

Rand Paul
14%

Jeb Bush 11%, Paul Ryan 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 14%

Rand Paul
21%

Jeb Bush
13%

Chris Christie
12%

Ted Cruz 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Susana
Martinez 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%

Margin of error: 5.3%


Sample size: 340

Nebraska
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
May 10, 2016
Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/NE-R)

Date
May 10, 2016

Harper Polling
(http://www.conservativeintel.com
/24-conservative-intel-poll-ofnesen)
February 34, 2014

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


61.43%
18.45%

John Kasich
11.41%

Rand Paul
13.41%

Chris Christie Ted Cruz 12.66%, Marco Rubio 8.38%, Scott Walker 8.38%, Bobby Jindal
5.03%, Rick Santorum 4.66%, Undecided 21.97%
12.66%

Paul Ryan
12.85%

Ben Carson 5.08%, Marco Rubio 3.63%

Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 565

Nevada
Winner
Donald Trump
Caucus date
February 23, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

42 od 87

Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com February 23, 2016
/P16/NV-R)
Gravis Marketing/
One America News
Network[156]
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 687

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


45.75%
23.77%

Ted Cruz
21.30%

Ben Carson 4.79%, John Kasich 3.59%

February 1415,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


39%
23%

Marco Rubio
19%

John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 5%

February 1015,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


45%
19%

Ted Cruz
17%

Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 5%, Jeb Bush 1%, Someone else 2%, No opinion 4%

December 2327,
2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
20%

Marco Rubio
11%

Ben Carson 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul
1%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Kasich 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Unsure 12%

October 310, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


38%
22%

Carly Fiorina
8%

Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul
2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Chris Christie 1%, George Pataki 1%, John Kasich 1%,
Lindsay Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, None 3%, No opinion
3%

Donald Trump Scott Walker


28%
15%

Ben Carson
8%

Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rick Perry 3%,
Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 2%, George Pataki 1%,
Carly Fiorina 0%, Lindsay Graham 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 20%

March 27, 2015

Ted Cruz
18%

Scott Walker
18%

Jeb Bush
16%

Marco Rubio 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike
Huckabee 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Undecided 20%

February 2122,
2015

Scott Walker
27%

Jeb Bush
19%

Chris Christie
8%

Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rick Perry 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick
Santorum 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Undecided 16%

CNN/ORC[157]
Margin of error: 6.5%
Sample size: 245
Gravis Marketing
(http://www.scribd.com
/doc/294241032/NevadaPoll-December-28-2015-3)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 406
CNN/ORC[158]
Margin of error: 6%
Sample size: 285

Gravis Marketing
(http://www.prnewswire.com
/news-releases/trump-leadsnevada-poll-withoverwhelming-hispanic-support- July 1213, 2015
300114592.html)
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 623
Gravis Marketing
(http://gravismarketing.com
/polling-and-market-research
/current-nevada-polling/)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 443
Gravis Marketing
(http://gravismarketing.com
/polling-and-market-research
/current-nevada-polling-scottwalker-leads-bush-doesbest-against-clinton/)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 438

New Hampshire
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
February 9, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

43 od 87

Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com February 9, 2016
/P16/NH-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump John Kasich


35.23%
15.72%

Ted Cruz
11.63%

Jeb Bush 10.96%, Marco Rubio 10.52%, Chris Christie 7.38%, Carly Fiorina
4.12%, Ben Carson 2.28%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, Rick
Santorum 0.06%, Jim Gilmore 0.05%

Donald Trump John Kasich


33%
17%

Marco Rubio
14%

Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson
1%, Undecided 6%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


31%
17%

Ted Cruz
14%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson
3%, Undecided 7%

Donald Trump John Kasich


28%
17%

Marco Rubio
15%

Jeb Bush 14%, Ted Cruz 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson
3%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 0.5%

Donald Trump John Kasich


30%
16%

Marco Rubio
16%

Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson
1%, Undecided 9%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


34%
13%

Ted Cruz
13%

Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben
Carson 3%, Undecided 9%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


31%
16%

John Kasich
13%

Marco Rubio 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben
Carson 3%,

Donald Trump John Kasich


31%
17%

Marco Rubio
17%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 1%,
Undecided 8%

Donald Trump John Kasich


30%
14%

Marco Rubio
13%

Jeb Bush 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson
4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


36%
14%

Ted Cruz
13%

Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson
3%, Undecided 7%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


33%
16%

Ted Cruz
14%

John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson
2%, Someone Else 1%, Not Sure 6%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


31%
16%

Marco Rubio
15%

John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben
Carson 3%, Other 2%, Unsure 3%

Donald Trump John Kasich


34%
17%

Marco Rubio
16%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%,
Undecided 6%

February 35, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35%
14%

Ted Cruz
13%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly
Fiorina 3%, Undecided 9%

February 34, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


28.8%
19.4%

John Kasich
13%

Jeb Bush 9.8%, Ted Cruz 6.6%, Chris Christie 5.2%, Ben Carson 4.4%, Carly
Fiorina 3.8%, Other 1%, Undecided 8%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


36%
15%

John Kasich
14%

Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson
2%, Undecided 6%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


29%
19%

Ted Cruz
15%

John Kasich 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina
4%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 0%

ARG[159]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample February 78, 2016
size: 418
CNN/UNH/WMUR[160]
Margin of error: 5.2% Sample February 48, 2016
size: 362
Gravis Marketing/
One America News[161]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample
size: 705

February 7, 2016

ARG[162]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample February 67, 2016
size: 427
UMass Lowell/7 News[163]
Margin of error: 5.13%
Sample size: 464

February 57, 2016

Emerson College[164]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample February 47, 2016
size: 686
ARG[162]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample February 56, 2016
size: 422
Monmouth University[165]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample February 46, 2016
size: 508
UMass Lowell/7 News[166]
Margin of error: 4.82%
Sample size: 516

February 46, 2016

CNN/UNH/WMUR[167]
Margin of error: 5.2% Sample February 36, 2016
size: 362
Franklin Pierce University/
RKM/Boston Herald[168]
Margin of error: 4.7% Sample
size: 433

February 26, 2016

ARG[169]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample February 45, 2016
size: 415
UMass Lowell/7 News[170]
Margin of error: 4.86%
Sample size: 501
Suffolk University/
Boston Globe[171]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample
size: 500
ARG[172]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample February 34, 2016
size: 420
Gravis Marketing/
One America News[173]
Margin of error: 3.3% Sample
size: 871

February 24, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

44 od 87

MassINC/WBUR[174]
Donald Trump Marco Rubio
29%
12%

Ted Cruz
12%

Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 9%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson
4%, Jim Gilmore <1% Other <1%, Won't Vote 1%, Don't Know 5%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


34%
15%

Ted Cruz
14%

Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina
3%, Other 2%, Undecided 6%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


29%
18%

Ted Cruz
13%

John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben
Carson 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone Else 2%, Not Sure 8%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


30%
17%

Ted Cruz
15%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina
2%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


34%
14%

John Kasich
13%

Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson
2%, Undecided 8%

February 13, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


36%
15%

Ted Cruz
14%

Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina
3%, Other 8%

February 12, 2016

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


31%
14%

John Kasich
12%

Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben
Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Undecided 8%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
14%

Marco Rubio
12%

Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina
3%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 4%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


35%
15%

John Kasich
11%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%,
Other 8%, Unsure 3%

Marco Rubio
11%

Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%,
Ben Carson 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Undecided 6%

John Kasich
9%

Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson
3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Other 2%, Not
Sure 5%

Marco Rubio
11%

John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul
3%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%,
Other 3%, Not Sure 10%

Jeb Bush
10%

Marco Rubio 10%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand
Paul 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%,
Unsure 2%

Ted Cruz
11.8%

Jeb Bush 11.2%, Marco Rubio 9.6%, Chris Christie 5.6%, Ben Carson 4.8%,
Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 1.6%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.2%,
Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0.4%, Undecided 11.8%

Ted Cruz
13%

John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson
3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 5%

John Kasich
14%

Marco Rubio 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson
3%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%,
Other 0%, Undecided 1%

Ted Cruz
12%

Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul
2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%,
Other 1%, Undecided 6%

John Kasich
12%

Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson
4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 1%, Unsure
3%

Margin of error: 4.9% Sample February 24, 2016


size: 410
UMass Lowell/7 News[175]
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample February 24, 2016
size: 500
CNN/UNH/WMUR[176]
Margin of error: 6.8% Sample February 24, 2016
size: 209
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[177]
Margin of error: 3.8% Sample February 23, 2016
size: 653
ARG[178]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample February 23, 2016
size: 600
UMass Lowell/7 News[179]
Margin of error: 4.87%
Sample size: 487
Harper Polling[180]
Margin of error: 4.75%
Sample size: 425
UMass Lowell/7 News[181]
January 31
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample
February 2, 2016
size: 502
UMass Amherst/
WBZ-TV/YouGov[182]
January 29
Margin of error: 7.1% Sample February 2, 2016
size: 390
ARG[183]

Donald Trump John Kasich


Margin of error: 4.0% Sample January 2931, 2016
34%
16%
size: 600
UMass Lowell/7 News[184]
Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Margin of error: 5.1% Sample January 2931, 2016
38%
12%
size: 461
CNN/UNH/WMUR[185]
Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample January 2730, 2016
30%
12%
size: 409
Franklin Pierce/RKM/
Boston Herald[186]
Margin of error: 4.7% Sample
size: 439

January 2630, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
13%

Suffolk University[187]
Donald Trump John Kasich
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample January 2527, 2016
26.6%
12%
size: 500
Adrian Gray
Consulting[188]
Margin of error: 4% Sample
size: 583

January 2527, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


27%
15%

Emerson College[189]
Donald Trump Jeb Bush
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample January 2526, 2016
35%
18%
size: 373
ARG[190]
Donald Trump John Kasich
Margin of error: 4.0% Sample January 2325, 2016
31%
17%
size: 600
Franklin Pierce/RKM/Boston
Herald[191]

January 2024, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
14%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

45 od 87

Margin of error: 4.7% Sample


size: 444
NBC/WSJ/Marist[94]
Marco Rubio/
John Kasich
11%

Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul
4%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%

Marco Rubio
13%

John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 5%,
Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, None of the above 1%, Don't know 5%

Marco Rubio
14%

John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina
4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No
Preference 0%

Ted Cruz
10%

Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul
3%, Ben Carson 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Unsure 6%

Marco Rubio
10%

Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%,
Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other
1%, Undecided 7%

Marco Rubio
10%

Jeb Bush 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 6%, John Kasich 6%, Carly Fiorina
4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 6%

John Kasich
13%

Chris Christie 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Ben Carson
2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 4%

Marco Rubio/
Donald Trump
John Kasich
25%
14%

Chris Christie
10%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 2%,
Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided
8%

John Kasich/
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
32%
14%

Marco Rubio
12%

Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson
3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


30%
14%

Chris Christie
12%

Ted Cruz 10%, John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 4%,
Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee <1%, Other <1%, Undecided 5%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


31.7%
11.9%

John Kasich
11.8%

Chris Christie 11.0%, Ted Cruz 9.7%, Marco Rubio 8.9%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%,
Ben Carson 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 1.0%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


33%
15%

Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%,
Ted Cruz 12% Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%,
Undecided 4%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


29%
15%

Chris Christie/
Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%,
John Kasich
Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 2%
11%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


Margin of error: 4.0% Sample January 1723, 2016
31%
12%
size: 612
Fox News[192]
Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample January 1921, 2016
31%
14%
size: 401
CBS/YouGov[193]
Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Margin of error: 6.2% Sample January 1921, 2016
34%
16%
size: 476
Gravis Marketing/One America
News[194]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample
size: 689

January 1518, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


35%
15%

ARG[190]
Donald Trump John Kasich
Margin of error: 4.0% Sample January 1518, 2016
27%
20%
size: 600
CNN/UNH/WMUR[195]
Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample January 1318, 2016
34%
14%
size: 414
Mason-Dixon/AARP [196]
Donald Trump Marco Rubio
Margin of error: 4.5% Sample January 1216, 2016
32%
14%
size: 503
ARG[197]
Margin of error: 4.0% Sample January 710, 2016
size: 600
Monmouth University[198]
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample January 710, 2016
size: 414
NBC/WSJ/Marist[111]
Margin of error: 4.1% Sample January 27, 2016
size: 569
NH1/Reach[199]
Margin of error: 3.1% Sample January 7, 2016
size: 1000
Fox News[200]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample January 47, 2016
size: 414
Public Policy Polling[201]
Margin of error: 4.3% Sample January 46, 2016
size: 515

Polls in 2015

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

46 od 87

Poll source

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

John
Kasich
13%

American Research Group (http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html)


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 600

December Donald
2022,
Trump
2015
21%

Marco
Rubio
15%

December Donald
1922,
Trump
2015
29%

Ted
Cruz
13%

Chris
Christie/
Marco
Rubio
12%

John Kasich
7%, Jeb Bush
6%, Rand
Paul 5%,
Carly Fiorina
4%, Ben
Carson 3%,
Undecided
6%

December Donald
1718,
Trump
2015
24%

Ted
Cruz
16%

Marco
Rubio
14%

Chris
Christie 13%,
Jeb Bush 9%,
Others 13%,
Undecided
11%

Marco
Rubio
13%

Chris
Christie 11%,
John Kasich
8%, Jeb Bush
6%, Ben
Carson 5%,
Rand Paul
5%, Carly
Fiorina 4%,
Lindsey
Graham 0%,
George
Pataki 0%,
Rick
Santorum
0%, Mike
Huckabee
0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
No
preference
1%

Marco
Rubio
12.4%

Chris
Christie
10.8%, Jeb
Bush 9.8%,
John Kasich
7.5%, Carly
Fiorina 6.1%,
Ben Carson
4.8%, Rand
Paul 2.9%,
Lindsey
Graham
0.4%, George
Pataki 0.3%,
Rick
Santorum
0.3%, Mike
Huckabee
0.2%, Other
1.4%,
Undecided
4.6%

Marco
Chris
Christie Rubio
11%
12%

Ted Cruz
10%, Jeb
Bush 8%,
John Kasich
7%, Ben
Carson 6%,
Carly Fiorina
3%, Rand
Paul 2%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
George
Pataki 0%,
Rick
Santorum

Date AL (http://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000151-e954-d28f-a179-fd57fdbb0000)
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500

Associated Industries of Florida (http://www.capitalnewyork.com/sites/default/files/NewHampshire_Dec2015.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500

CBS News/YouGov (http://fr.scribd.com/doc/293729829/CBS-News-December-2015-Battleground-Tracker-New-Hampshire)


Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 1091

Franklin Pierce/RKM/Boston Herald (http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2015/12/17/FPU-BH-Dec15Rep.docx_.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 403

December Donald
1417,
Trump
2015
32%

December Donald
Trump
1317,
26.0%
2015

Ted
Cruz
14%

Ted
Cruz
12.4%

MassINC/WBUR (http://www.wbur.org/2015/12/11/donald-trump-new-hampshire-support-climbs)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 402

Other
Chris
Christie 12%,
Ted Cruz
10%, Jeb
Bush 7%,
Ben Carson
6%, Carly
Fiorina 5%,
Rand Paul
4%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Mike
Huckabee
0%, George
Pataki 0%,
Rick
Santorum
0%,
Undecided
5%

Donald
December
Trump
68, 2015
27%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

47 od 87

0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Undecided
9%, Wouldn't
vote 2%

Marco
Ted Cruz
Rubio
11%
18%

Ben Carson
9%, Jeb Bush
8%, Chris
Christie 8%,
John Kasich
6%, Rand
Paul 5%,
Carly Fiorina
2%, Mike
Huckabee
2%, Lindsey
Graham 1%,
George
Pataki 1%,
Rick
Santorum
1%,
Undecided
9%

Marco
Rubio
14%

Chris
Christie
9%

Jeb Bush 8%,


John Kasich
7%, Ted Cruz
6%, Ben
Carson 5%,
Carly Fiorina
5%, Rand
Paul 2%,
Lindsey
Graham 1%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, Rick
Santorum
0%, George
Pataki 0%,
Jim Gilmore
0%,
Undecided
9%

Marco
Rubio
11%

Chris
Christie 10%,
Ben Carson
9%, John
Kasich 8%,
Carly Fiorina
6%, Jeb Bush
5%, Rand
Paul 4%,
Rick
Santorum
1%, Mike
Huckabee
1%, George
Pataki 1%,
Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Jim Gilmore
0%,
Undecided
2%

Ted
Cruz/Ben
Carson
10%

John Kasich
8%, Jeb Bush
6%, Carly
Fiorina 6%,
Chris
Christie 6%,
Rand Paul
6%, Rick
Santorum
1%, Mike
Huckabee
1%, Lindsey
Graham 1%,
George
Pataki 0%,
Bobby Jindal
0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%

Adrian Gray Consulting (http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/2016_PRES_NH_GOP_2.pdf)


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 525

CNN/UNH/WMUR (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/12/08/relnh3.-.republicans.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 402

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120315.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 454

Donald
December
Trump
68, 2015
19%

November
Donald
30
Trump
December
32%
7, 2015

November
Donald
30
Trump
December
27%
2, 2015

Ted
Cruz
13%

CBS News/YouGov (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trump-retakes-lead-cruz-surges-in-ia-rubio-second-in-nh/)


Margin of error: 6.3%
Sample size: ?

Boston Globe/Suffolk University (http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2015/11/21/full-resultspoll/G6q8zRhCVAWHPQUjXo1tjK/story.html?p1=Article_Related_Box_Article_More)


Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500

November Donald
Trump
1519,
32%
2015

Marco
Rubio
13%

Marco Rubio
6%, John
Kasich 6%,
Jeb Bush 3%,
Ben
Carly Fiorina
Donald
Mitt
Carson/Ted
3%, Chris
Romney Trump
Cruz
November 31%
Cristie 2%,
15%
7%
1719,
Rand Paul
2015
2%,
Undecided
17%
Donald
Trump
22%

Marco
Rubio
11%

Ben
Carson
10%

John Kasich
9%, Ted Cruz
9%, Jeb Bush

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

48 od 87

8%, Chris
Cristie 4%,
Carly Fiorina
4%, Rand
Paul 3%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, Rick
Santorum
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
George
Pataki 0%,
Undecided
18%

Fox News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/11/18/fox-news-poll-trump-sanders-lead-respective-primaries-in-newhampshire/)


Margin of error: 3.5
Sample size: 804

November Donald
1517,
Trump
2015
27%

Marco
Rubio
13%

Ted Cruz
11%

Ben
Marco
Carson Rubio
11%
11%

Ted Cruz 8%,


Jeb Bush 7%,
John Kasich
7%, Chris
Christie 5%,
Rand Paul
5%, Carly
Fiorina 3%,
Lindsey
Graham 2%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, Bobby
Jindal 1%,
George
Pataki 1%,
Rick
Santorum
1%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Other 1%,
Wouldn't
vote 1%, DK
13%

Ted
Cruz
12%

Chris
Christie 8%,
Jeb Bush 8%,
Ben Carson
7%, John
Kasich 5%,
Rand Paul
5%, Carly
Fiorina 4%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, Bobby
Jindal 1%,
George
Pataki <1%,
Lindsey
Graham
<1%, Rick
Santorum
<1%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Unsure 9%

WBUR (http://s3.amazonaws.com/media.wbur.org/wordpress/1/files/2015/11/Topline-WBUR-NH-Primary-4-Republicans.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 405

November Donald
1415,
Trump
2015
22%

Gravis (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-new-hampshire-polling-2/)
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 330

WBUR (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/WBUR_NH_Nov_2015.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400

Donald
November
Trump
11, 2015
29%

October
Donald
29
Trump
November
18%
1, 2015

Ben Carson
9%, Jeb Bush
9%, John
Kasich 7%,
Chris
Christie 6%,
Rand Paul
5%, Carly
Fiorina 3%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, Lindsay
Graham 1%,
Rick
Santorum 1%

Marco
Rubio
10%

Ben
Marco
Carson Rubio
9%
15%

John Kasich
8%, Jeb Bush
7%, Chris
Christie 7%,
Ted Cruz 6%,
Carly Fiorina
5%, Rand
Paul 3%,
George
Pataki 1%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, Mike
Huckabee
<1%, Rick
Santorum
0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Jim Gilmore
0%, Other
<1%,
Wouldn't

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

49 od 87

vote 1%,
DK/Refused
18%

Monmouth University (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995


/30064771087/5713f5c9-e6a9-4f65-a09a-2f678233a44a.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 410

October
Donald
29
Trump
November
26%
1, 2015

Ben
Marco
Carson Rubio
16%
13%

John Kasich
11%, Ted
Cruz 9%, Jeb
Bush 7%,
Carly Fiorina
5%, Chris
Christie 5%,
Rand Paul
3%, Mike
Huckabee
1%, Rick
Santorum
0%, George
Pataki 0%,
Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Bobby Jindal
0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Undecided
3%

Marco
Rubio
12%

John Kasich
10%, Jeb
Bush 9%,
Ted Cruz 8%,
Carly Fiorina
7%, Rand
Paul 4%,
Chris
Christie 3%,
Rick
Santorum
2%, Mike
Huckabee
1%, George
Pataki 1%,
Lindsey
Graham 1%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Undecided
3%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_102015.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 417

October
1618,
2015

Ben
Carson
11%

Carly
Jeb Bush
Fiorina
11%
16%

Ben Carson
10%, Marco
Rubio 10%,
Chris
Christie 7%,
John Kasich
6%, Ted Cruz
6%, Rand
Paul 5%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, George
Pataki <1%,
Lindsey
Graham
<1%, Jim
Gilmore
<1%, Bobby
Jindal <1%,
Rick
Santorum
<1%,
Undecided
6%

September Donald
1723,
Trump
26%
2015

Marco
Carly
Fiorina Rubio
9%
16%

Ben Carson
8%, John
Kasich 7%,
Jeb Bush 7%,
Ted Cruz 5%,
Chris
Christie 5%,
Rand Paul
3%, Lindsey
Graham 1%,
Mike
Huckabee
0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Bobby Jindal
0%, Rick
Santorum
0%, Scott
Walker 0%,
Someone
else 0%,
Don't know/
Not sure 11%

Carly
September
Fiorina
17, 2015
22%

Donald Ben
Trump Carson
10%
18%

John Kasich
9%, Jeb Bush
9%, Marco
Rubio 7%,

NBC/WSJ (http://fr.scribd.com/doc/283603493/GOP-DEM-PRIMARY-NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-New-Hampshire-AnnotatedQuestionnaire-October-2015)
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 413

Donald
Trump
28%

October
2015

Donald
Trump
21%

CNN/WMUR (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/09/24/cnnorcrepublicans2016newhampshire.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 344

Voter Gravity (http://votergravity.com/fiorina-leads-in-nh-in-post-cnn-debate-poll/)


Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 2839

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

50 od 87

Ted Cruz 6%,


Chris Christie
6%, Rand
Paul 3%,
Scott Walker
2%, Mike
Huckabee
2%, Other
6%

Ben
Carly
Carson Fiorina
18%
11%

Jeb Bush 9%,


John Kasich
9%, Ted Cruz
5%, Rand
Paul 4%,
Marco Rubio
2%, Chris
Christie 2%,
Scott Walker
1%, Mike
Huckabee
1%, Lindsey
Graham
0.9%, Bobby
Jindal 0.4%,
Rick
Santorum
0.3%, George
Pataki 0.2%,
Jim Gilmore
0%,
DK/Other
/Undecided
14%

Ben
John
Carson Kasich
17%
11%

Ted Cruz 8%,


Carly Fiorina
7%, Jeb Bush
7%, Rand
Paul 4%,
Marco Rubio
4%, Scott
Walker 2%,
Chris
Christie 2%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, George
Pataki 1%,
Rick
Santorum
1%, Lindsey
Graham 1%,
Bobby Jindal
<1%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Other 1%,
Undecided
7%

Ben
John
Carson Kasich
11%
12%

Carly Fiorina
6%, Jeb Bush
6%, Rand
Paul 6%, Ted
Cruz 5%,
Scott Walker
3%, Marco
Rubio 2%,
Chris
Christie 2%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, Rick
Perry 1%,
George
Pataki 0%,
Rick
Santorum
0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Bobby Jindal
0%
Undecided
6%

WBUR (http://www.wbur.org/2015/09/16/wbur-poll-new-hampshire-september/)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 404

Monmouth University (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995


/30064771087/97cb1ef5-00c8-4819-ad3c-71758cc746eb.pdf/)
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 415

CBS News/YouGov (https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/q6q6e3504o


/NewHampshire_Release_20150913.pdf/)
Margin of error: 6.3%
Sample size: 610

September Donald
1214,
Trump
2015
22%

September Donald
1013,
Trump
2015
28%

Donald
September
Trump
310, 2015
40%

NBC News/ Marist (http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/NHpolls/NH150826


/NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll_New%20Hampshire%20Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_September%202015.pdf/) August 26- Donald
September Trump
Margin of error: 4.8%
28%
2, 2015
Sample size: 413

John
Kasich
12%

Ben
Carson
11%

Jeb Bush 8%,


Carly Fiorina
6%, Rand
Paul 5%,
Chris
Christie 5%,
Ted Cruz 5%,
Scott Walker
4%, Marco
Rubio 3%,
Mike
Huckabee
2%, Lindsey
Graham 1%,

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

51 od 87

Bobby Jindal
1%, Rick
Perry 0%,
George
Pataki 0%,
Rick
Santorum
0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Unsure 8%

Carly
Fiorina
10%

Jeb Bush 7%,


Scott Walker
7%, Ben
Carson 6%,
Chris
Christie 4%,
Marco Rubio
4%, Ted Cruz
4%, Rand
Paul 3%,
Rick Perry
2%, Lindsey
Graham 1%,
George
Pataki 1%,
Rick
Santorum
1%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Bobby Jindal
0%, Mike
Huckabee
0%, Unsure
4%

John
Kasich
12%

Ted Cruz
10%, Carly
Fiorina 9%,
Rand Paul
6%, Ben
Carson 4%,
Marco Rubio
4%, Scott
Walker 4%,
Mike
Huckabee
3%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Lindsey
Graham 1%,
George
Pataki 0%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, Rick
Perry 1%,
Rick
Santorum
1%, Other
3%, Unsure
9%

Chris
Christie
9%

Ben Carson
8%, Scott
Walker 8%,
Jeb Bush 7%,
Rand Paul
6%, Ted Cruz
3%, Marco
Rubio 3%,
Carly Fiorina
2%, Lindsey
Graham 2%,
Rick
Santorum
2%, Bobby
Jindal 1%,
Mike
Huckabee
1%, Rick
Perry 0%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_82515.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 436

August
2124,
2015

Donald
Trump
35%

John
Kasich
11%

Boston Herald/FPU (http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/blog_posts/FPU-BH-0811-Rep.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 414

Donald
August
Trump
710, 2015
18%

Jeb
Bush
13%

Gravis Marketing (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Gravis_Marketing_July_31-August_3_New_Hampshire_Poll1.pdf)


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 599

Monmouth University (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995


/30064771087/91f71597-b5fc-46cf-958e-e813091cd754.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 467

July 31
August 3,
2015

July
2326,
2015

Donald
Trump
32%

Donald
Trump
24%

John
Kasich
15%

Jeb
Bush
12%

Scott
Walker
7%

John Kasich
7%, Marco
Rubio 6%,
Rand Paul
5%, Ben
Carson 5%,
Chris
Christie 4%,
Ted Cruz 3%,
Carly Fiorina
3%, Mike
Huckabee
2%, George
Pataki 2%,
Bobby Jindal
2%, Rick
Perry 1%,
Rick
Santorum

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

52 od 87

1%,
Undecided
14%

Marist (http://www.htmlpublish.com/newTestDocStorage/DocStorage/9869c9e644fe4354bc0d82dde2a3b0eb
/NBC%20News_Marist%20Poll_New%20Hampshire%20Annotated%20Questionnaire_July%202015.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 401

July
1421,
2015

Donald
Trump
21%

Jeb
Bush
14%

Jeb
Bush
16%

Scott Walker
8%, Carly
Fiorina 6%,
Marco Rubio
6%, Ben
Carson 5%,
Chris
Christie 5%,
Rick Perry
4%, Ted Cruz
3%, Mike
Huckabee
2%, John
Kasich 2%,
Donald
Lindsey
Rand Paul
Trump
Graham 1%,
9%
11%
George
Pataki 1%,
Bob Erhlich
0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%,
Bobby Jindal
0%, Peter
King 0%,
Rick
Santorum
0%,
Someone
else 1%,
DK/Not sure
21%

Jeb
Bush
14%

Marco Rubio
7%, Ben
Carson 6%,
Chris
Christie 5%,
Rand Paul
4%, Ted Cruz
4%, Carly
Fiorina 4%,
Mike
Huckabee
2%, John
Kasich 2%,
George
Pataki 1%,
Rick Perry
1%, Rick
Santorum
1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%,
Bobby Jindal
0%, Bob
Ehrlich 0%,
Mark
Everson 0%,
Jim Gilmore
0%, Other
1%,
Undecided
29%

CNN/WMUR (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/06/25/062515goppoll.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 402

June
1824,
2015

Scott
Walker
12%

Sulfolk University (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2015/6_23_for_posting_FINAL_NH_GOP_Marginals.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 500

June
1822,
2015

Morning Consult (http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/150502_crosstabs_mc_NH_v1_AD.pdf)


Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 349

May 31
June 8,
2015

John Kasich
7%, Chris
Christie 6%,
Ben Carson
6%, Marco
Rubio 5%,
Ted Cruz 5%,
Rand Paul
4%, Mike
Huckabee3%,
Carly Fiorina
2%, George
Pataki 2%,
Rick Perry
2%, Bobby
Jindal <1%,
Rick
Santorum
<1%,
Lindsey
Graham
<1%, Jim
Gilmore
<1%,
Undecided
13%

Jeb
Bush
14%

Donald Scott
Trump Walker
11%
8%

Marco Rubio
8%, Donald
Trump 8%,
Scott
Rand Paul Chris
Walker
9%
Christie 7%,
10%
Ben Carson
6%, Mike

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

53 od 87

Huckabee
6%, Carly
Fiorina 5%,
Ted Cruz 4%,
Someone else
4%, Don't
know 19%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/blogs/current-new-hampshire-republican-polling/)


Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 487

June 34,
2015

Jeb
Bush
21%

Rand
Paul
13%

Scott
Walker
13%

Scott
Jeb Bush
Walker
11%
12%

Marco
Rubio 11%,
Donald
Trump 8%,
Chris
Christie 7%,
Ted Cruz 6%,
Ben Carson
5%, Mike
Huckabee
4%, Carly
Fiorina 3%,
Lindsey
Graham 1%,
Bobby Jindal
1%, John
Kasich 1%,
Rick Perry
1%, Rick
Santorum
1%, Other
1%, None of
the above
3%, Not
sure 12%

Marco Scott
Rubio Walker
12%
11%

Rand Paul
10%, Ted
Cruz 6%,
Donald
Trump 5%,
Ben Carson
4%, Carly
Fiorina 4%,
Rick Perry
4%, Chris
Christie 3%,
Mike
Huckabee
3%, Bobby
Jindal 2%,
George
Pataki 2%,
Rick
Santorum
2%, Lindsey
Graham 1%,
John Kasich
1%, Bob
Ehrlich <1%,
Peter T. King
<1%, John R.
Bolton 0%,
Jim Gilmore
0%, Other
1%,
Undecided
14%

Purple Strategies (http://images.businessweek.com/cms/2015-05-08/150510_methodology_final_31343.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400

May 26,
2015

Rand
Paul
12%

WMUR/UNH (http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2015_spring_gopprim050615.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 293

April 24 Jeb
May 3,
Bush
2015
15%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/new-hampshire-poll-ayotte-opens-up-6-point-lead-walkerothers-lead-clinton)


April
2122,
Margin of error: 4%
2015
Sample size: 666

Jeb
Bush
18%

Marco Rubio
11%, Ted
Cruz 10%,
Chris
Christie 5%,
Ben Carson
Scott
4%, Carly
Rand Paul
Walker
Fiorina 3%,
15%
16%
Mike
Huckabee
3%, Rick
Santorum
1%,
Undecided
15%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_41515.pdf)


Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 358

Scott
April
Walker
913, 2015
24%

Donald
Trump 12%,
Marco Rubio
9%, Ben
Carson 5%,
Carly Fiorina
5%, Mike
Huckabee
5%, Chris
Christie 4%,
Ted Cruz 4%,
Unsure 9%

Ted
Cruz
14%

Jeb Bush
10%, Chris
Rand Paul Christie 8%,
Marco Rubio
12%
8%, Ben
Carson 7%,

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

54 od 87

Mike
Huckabee
7%, Rick
Perry 4%,
Undecided
7%

Reach Communications (http://www.nh1.com/files/2016%20Prez%20Pulse%20Poll%204.9.15%20%20REPORT.pdf)


Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 1,064

Scott
April 89,
Walker
2015
22.7%

Jeb
Bush
16.5%

March
2225,
2015

Chris
Christie 10%,
Ted Cruz 9%,
Mike
Huckabee
7%, Ben
Carson 4%,
Marco Rubio
4%, Rick
Perry 2%,
Rick
Santorum
Scott
Rand Paul 2%, John R.
Walker
13%
Bolton 1%,
15%
Bobby Jindal
1%, John
Kasich 1%,
Carly Fiorina
<1%,
Lindsey
Graham
<1%, George
Pataki <1%,
Other 5%,
Undecided
10%

FPU/Boston Herald (http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/blog_posts/Franklin_Pierce_Herald_GOP_Poll.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 429

Ted Cruz
8.9%, Donald
Trump 8%,
Ben Carson
7%, Marco
Rubio 7%,
Rand Paul Chris
14.9%
Christie
5.8%, Mike
Huckabee
5.5%, Carly
Fiorina 1.9%,
Rick Perry
1.6%

Jeb
Bush
15%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-new-hampshire-primary-political-poll/)


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 683

NBC News/Marist (http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files


/new_hampshire_february_2015_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_news-marist_poll.pdf)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 381

March
1819,
2015

Scott
Walker
19%

Jeb
Bush
18%

Chris
Christie
10%

Jeb
February
Bush
310, 2015
18%

Chris
Christie
13%, Ben
Carson 7%,
Mike
Huckabee
7%, Ted Cruz
Scott
6%, Marco
Rand Paul
Walker
Rubio 6%,
14%
15%
Lindsey
Graham 1%,
Rick Perry
1%, Rick
Santorum
1%,
Undecided
13%

January 31 Jeb
February Bush
5, 2015
16%

Chris
Christie 10%,
Ben Carson
6%, Mike
Huckabee
6%, Marco
Rubio 5%,
Ted Cruz 3%,
Bobby Jindal
3%, Donald
Trump 3%,
John Kasich
2%, Rick
Santorum
2%, Carly
Fiorina 1%
Rick Perry
1%, Mike
Pence 0%,
Someone

Purple Strategies (http://images.businessweek.com/cms/2015-02-07/sunday-rev.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400

Rand Paul
10%, Marco
Rubio 7%,
Ben Carson
6%, Ted Cruz
6%, Carly
Fiorina 4%,
Mike
Huckabee
4%, Rick
Santorum
1%,
Undecided
16%

Rand
Paul
13%

Scott
Walker
12%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

55 od 87

else 1%,
None of the
above 2%,
Not sure 14%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/nh-poll-walkers-23-leads-crowded-gop-field-clintondominates-with-44/)


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 608

Scott
February
Walker
23, 2015
23%

Jeb
Bush
16%

Chris
Christie
12%

Jeb
Bush
14.4%

Ben Carson
8.2%, Chris
Christie 7%,
Mike
Huckabee
6.8%, Marco
Rubio 5.4%,
Rand Paul Ted Cruz
8.3%
3.3%, Rick
Perry 2.7%,
George
Pataki 2.2%,
Carly Fiorina
1.7%,
Someone
else 18.8%

Reach Communications (http://www.nh1.com/news/nh1-pulse-poll-walker-surges-to-top-with-romney-s-exit-bush-second/)


Scott
February
Walker
23, 2015
21.2%

Margin of error: 3.08%


Sample size: 1,012

UNH/WMUR (http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2015_winter_gopprim020515.pdf)
January 22 Jeb
February Bush
3, 2015
17%

Margin of error: 5.3%


Sample size: 348

Reach Communications (http://www.nh1.com/files


/NH1%20News%202016%20GOP%20Presidential%20Primary%20Survey%201.21.15%20REPORT.pdf)
January
21, 2015

Margin of error: 3.4%


Sample size: 827

Rand Paul
11%, Marco
Rubio 8%,
Ted Cruz 6%,
Mike
Huckabee
6%, Rick
Santorum
3%, Rick
Perry 2%,
Mike Pence
0%, Unsure
14%

Scott
Chris
Walker Christie
12%
9%

Mitt
Jeb
Romney Bush
29%
11%

Chris
Christie
8%

Mike
Huckabee
9%, Rand
Paul 9%, Ben
Carson 8%,
Marco Rubio
5%, Ted Cruz
4%, Rick
Perry 2%,
Rick
Santorum
2%, Donald
Trump 2%,
John Bolton
1%, Bobby
Jindal 1%,
John Kasich
1%, George
Pataki 1%,
Carly Fiorina
0%, Peter
King 0%,
Someone
else 1%,
Don't know
yet 15%
Scott Walker
8%, Ben
Carson 7%,
Rand Paul
7%, Mike
Huckabee
5%, Ted Cruz
4%, Marco
Rubio 3%,
Someone
else 18%

Polls in 2014

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

56 od 87

Poll source

Date

1st

Mitt Romney
30%

2nd

Rand Paul
11%

3rd

Chris Christie
9%

Jeb Bush
14%

Ben Carson 9%, Mike


Huckabee 8%, Paul Ryan
7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Bobby
Jindal 4%, Rick Perry 3%,
Someone else 1%, None of
the above 4%, Not sure
13%

Chris Christie
11%

Mike Huckabee 11%, Ted


Cruz 10%, Rand Paul 10%,
Marco Rubio 7%, Paul
Ryan 7%, Rick Perry 3%,
Someone else/Not sure
11%

Purple Insights (http://www.businessweek.com/pdfs/bloomberg-saint-anselm-purpleNH-survey-Q1-to-Q9-11-2014.pdf)


Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 407

November 1218,
2014
Chris Christie
16%

Rand Paul
16%

Public Policy Polling (http://images.politico.com/global/2014/11


/13/newhampshiregopresults.html)
Margin of error: 3.66%
Sample size: 673

November 13, 2014

Jeb Bush
15%

Ben Carson
15%

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


14.7%
10.4%

Mike Huckabee 9.9%,


Rand Paul 7.9%, Marco
Rubio 7.4%, Rick Perry
4.7%, Rick Santorum
3.1%, Bobby Jindal 2.6%,
Other 22%

Mitt Romney
29%

Jeb Bush
11%

Ted Cruz 10%, Mike


Huckabee 7%, Chris
Christie 6%, Marco Rubio
5%, Rick Perry 3%, Paul
Ryan 3%, Jon Huntsman,
Jr. 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%,
Rick Santorum 2%, Rob
Portman <1%, Other 9%

Jeb Bush
15%

Rand Paul 7%, Ted Cruz


6%, Paul Ryan 6%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Marco Rubio
Chris Christie Mike Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Rick
12%
9%
Perry 2%, Rick Santorum
2%, John Kasich <1%, Rob
Portman <1%, Other 1%,
Undecided 28%

New England College (http://www.nec.edu/wp-content/uploads/NEC-Poll-Results10.31-11.1-2014.pdf)


Margin of error: 3.66%
Sample size: 717

October 31
November 1, 2014

Jeb Bush
17.3%

UMass Amherst (http://www.umass.edu/poll/pdfs/20141020_Toplines.pdf)


Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 191

October 1015, 2014

WMUR/UNH (https://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications
/gsp2014_fall_primary100914.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.9%
Sample size: 275

September 29
October 5, 2014

Rand Paul
11%

CNN/ORC (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/09/15
/cnn.orc.new.hampshire.poll.top.pdf)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 383

Paul Ryan
10%

Rand Paul
15%

Jeb Bush
10%

July 713, 2014

Rand Paul
14%

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


13%
10%

Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio


7%, Paul Ryan 7%, Scott
Walker 6%, Rick Perry 5%,
Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick
Santorum 3%, Undecided
22%

Rand Paul
14%

Jeb Bush
11%

Mike Huckabee 8%, Marco


Rubio 8%, Ted Cruz 5%,
Bobby Jindal 5%, Paul
Ryan 5%, Scott Walker 3%,
Rick Perry 2%, Rick
Santorum 1%, Rob
Portman 1%, John Kasich
<1%, Other 3%, Undecided
15%

Jeb Bush
8.35%

Ted Cruz 7.88%, Jon


Huntsman 7.16%, Marco
Rubio 4.53%, Mike
Huckabee 4.3%, Scott
Walker 3.82%, Bobby
Jindal 3.34%, Paul Ryan
2.86%, Rick Perry 1.67%,
Rick Santorum 0.95%,
Undecided 32.93%

Rand Paul
7.83%

Jeb Bush 6.76%, Jon


Huntsman 5.34%, Marco
Rubio 4.27%, Ted Cruz
3.56%, Bobby Jindal 3.2%,
Scott Walker 3.2%, Mike
Huckabee 2.49%, Rick
Santorum 2.49%, Rick
Perry 1.07%, Paul Ryan
1.07%, Undecided
25.27%

Paul Ryan
13%

Chris Christie 12%, Jeb


Bush 7%, Ted Cruz 7%,
Donald Trump 5%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Scott Walker
3%, Marco Rubio 2%, Rick
Perry 1%, Rick Santorum
1%, Rob Portman <1%,
Other 3%, Undecided
15%

WMUR/UNH (http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications
/gsp2014_summer_primary071014.pdf)
Margin of error: 6.2%
Sample size: 251

June 19 July 1,
2014

Chris Christie
19%

Chris Christie
11.22%

Rand Paul
10.98%

Suffolk University/Boston Herald (https://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC


/6_19_2014_marginals.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 419

June 1418, 2014

Mitt Romney
24.2%

Chris Christie
9.25%

WMUR/UNH (http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications
/gsp2014_spring_primary041814.pdf)
Margin of error: 7.2%
Sample size: 187

Chris Christie 9%, Mike


Huckabee 9%, Rick Perry
7%, Marco Rubio 7%,
Scott Walker 7%, Ted Cruz
6%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick
Santorum 3%, Mike Pence
0%, Other 3%, None/No
one 4%, No opinion 7%

September 811,
2014

NBC News/Marist (http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files


/nbc_news_marist_poll_2016_new_hampshire_annotated_questionnaire_july_2014_0.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 544

Other
Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson
6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Mike
Huckabee 5%, Paul Ryan
5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick
Perry 2%, Someone else
1%, None of the above 3%,
Not sure 11%

April 19, 2014

Rand Paul
15%

Kelly Ayotte
13%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

57 od 87

February 27 March Rand Paul


5, 2014
12.21%

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


11.5%
9.39%

Paul Ryan 9.15%, Jon


Huntsman, Jr. 8.22%, Scott
Walker 6.57%, Marco
Rubio 5.63%, Mike
Huckabee 5.4%, Ted Cruz
4.93%, Scott Brown 4.69%,
Bobby Jindal 4.23%, Rick
Santorum 2.35%,
Undecided 15.73%

Jeb Bush
January 2930, 2014
16%

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


15%
12%

Rand Paul 12%, Mike


Huckabee 11%, Marco
Rubio 8%, Scott Walker
7%, Rick Santorum 3%,
Undecided 16%

Suffolk University/Boston Herald (http://bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/blog_posts


/Feb-MarchPoll.pdf)
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 426

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research


/new-hampshire-republicans-the-senate-the-presidency-chris-christi-background-checksand-more/)
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 498

January 2126, 2014

Rand Paul
16%

Kelly Ayotte
13%

Scott Brown
11%

Chris Christie 9%, Marco


Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 6%,
Donald Trump 4%, Jeb
Bush 3%, Ted Cruz 3%,
Rick Perry 2%, Scott
Walker 2%, Peter King
<1%, Rob Portman <1%,
Other 6%, Undecided
18%

January 2123, 2014

Mitt Romney
25%

Rand Paul
18%

Chris Christie
17%

Jeb Bush 13%, Ted Cruz


7%, Bobby Jindal 5%,
Other 4%, None of the
above 2%, Undecided 9%

WMUR/UNH (http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications
/gsp2014_winter_primary012914.pdf)
Margin of error: 6.2%
Sample size: 246

Purple Strategies (http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads


/Jan2014NHPoll_Final.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 535

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014


/PPP_Release_NH_116.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 528

Chris Christie
24%

Jeb Bush
12%

Rand Paul
12%

Mike Huckabee 11%, Ted


Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 8%,
Paul Ryan 4%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Scott Walker
3%, Someone else/Not sure
13%

Chris Christie
28%

Jeb Bush
14%

Rand Paul
14%

Ted Cruz 10%, Paul Ryan


9%, Marco Rubio 8%,
Bobby Jindal 3%, Scott
Walker 3%, Someone
else/Not sure 10%

January 912, 2014

Polls in 2013

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

58 od 87

Poll source

Date

1st

WMUR/UNH (http://cola.unh.edu/sites
/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications
/gsp2013_fall_primary102213.pdf)

Margin of error: 4.4%


Sample size: 491

Chris Christie
16%

Paul Ryan
9%

Jeb Bush 8%, Scott Brown 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick
Santorum 4%, Scott Walker 2%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich <1%, Peter
King <1%, Rob Portman <1%, Other 3%, Unsure 21%

September 1316,
2013

Rand Paul
20%

Chris Christie
19%

Jeb Bush
14%

Kelly Ayotte 12%, Ted Cruz 10%, Marco Rubio 7%, Paul Ryan 7%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone else/Not sure 6%

July 1829, 2013

Chris Christie
21%

Rand Paul
16%

Jeb Bush
10%

Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rick Perry 4%, Rick
Santorum 4%, Scott Walker 2%, Bobby Jindal <1%, John Kasich <1%,
Rob Portman <1%, Other 3%, Unsure 20%

July, 2013

Rand Paul
19%

Chris Christie
17.5%

Marco Rubio
13%

Paul Ryan 9.5%, Kelly Ayotte 8.6%, Rick Santorum 5.5%, Bobby Jindal
2.5%, Rick Perry 2.1%, Scott Walker 1.8%, Unsure 20%

May 25, 2013

Marco Rubio
17%

Jeb Bush
16%

Rand Paul
15%

Chris Christie 12%, Paul Ryan 12%, Jon Huntsman 6%, Rick
Santorum 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Unsure 16%

April 1921, 2013

Rand Paul
28%

Marco Rubio
25%

Chris Christie
14%

Jeb Bush 7%, Paul Ryan 7%, Rick Santorum 4%, Susana Martinez 3%,
Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 11%

April 49, 2013

Rand Paul
15%

Marco Rubio
15%

Chris Christie
11%

Paul Ryan 11%, Kelly Ayotte 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 5%,
Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Ted Cruz 2%, Rob Portman 1%,
Scott Walker 1%, John Thune 0%, Someone Else 0%, Undecided 23%

January 30
February 5, 2013

Chris Christie
14%

Marco Rubio
12%

Paul Ryan
11%

Kelly Ayotte 10%, Rand Paul 8%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 8%, Jeb Bush
5%, Rick Santorum 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Ted Cruz
1%, John Thune 1%, Rob Portman 0%, Someone Else 2%, Undecided
20%

Margin of error: 6.9%


Sample size: 200
New England College (http://nhjournal.com
/2013/07/21/clinton-out-front-republicanfield-wide-open/)
Margin of error: 5.42%
Sample size: 326
New England College (http://www.nec.edu
/news/2016-nh-primary-poll-crowdedgop-but-clear-leader-among-dems)
Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 340
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_NH_042513.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 409
WMUR/UNH (http://www.unh.edu/surveycenter/news/pdf
/gsp2013_spring_2016primary042513.pdf)
Margin of error: 7.5%
Sample size: 171

Margin of error: 7%
Sample size: 212

Other

Rand Paul
17%

WMUR/UNH (http://www.unh.edu/surveycenter/news/pdf
/gsp2013_summer_2016primary080613.pdf)

WMUR/UNH (http://www.unh.edu/surveycenter/news/pdf
/gsp2013_winter_primary021413.pdf)

3rd

October 716, 2013


Margin of error: 6.4%
Sample size: 236
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_NH_918.pdf)

2nd

New Jersey
Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/NM-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

June 7, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


80.39%
13.40%

Ted Cruz
6.21%

May 13, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


70%
15%

Ted Cruz
11%

Undecided 5%

April 18, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


52%
24%

Ted Cruz
18%

Someone Else 4%, Don't Know 2%

February 615, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


38%
11%

Ted Cruz
10%

John Kasich 8%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly
Fiorina 2%, Someone Else 2%, Don't Know 11%

November 30
December 6, 2015

Donald Trump Chris Christie


30%
14%

Marco Rubio
13%

Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 4%, Jeb Bush 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich
2%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham
0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Don't know 19%

November 915,
2015

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


31%
18%

Ben Carson
11%

Chris Christie 9%, Ted Cruz 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, John Kasich
2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham
1%, George Pataki 0%, other 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know/Refused 5%

Monmouth University[202]
Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 301
Rutgers-Eagleton[203]
Margin of error: 6.9%
Sample size: 244
Rutgers-Eagleton[204]
Margin of error: 7.0%
Sample size: 227
Rutgers-Eagleton
(http://eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu
/rutgers-eagleton-christie-ratings2016-dec2015/)
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 230
Fairleigh Dickinson University
(http://view2.fdu.edu/publicmind
/2015/151117/)
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 307

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

59 od 87

New Mexico
Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com June 7, 2016
/P16/NM-R)

1st

2nd

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


70.69%
13.29%

3rd
John Kasich
7.57%

Other
Ben Carson 3.65%, Jeb Bush 3.36%, Carly Fiorina 1.44%

Albuquerque Journal[205]
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 403

February 1618,
2016

Ted Cruz
25%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


24%
19%

Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Undecided 17%

New York
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
April 19, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

60 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/NY-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

April 19, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


59.21%
24.68%

Ted Cruz
14.53%

April 15 17, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


55%
21%

Ted Cruz
18%

Undecided 5%

April 13 15, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


54%
21%

John Kasich
19%

Undecided 6%

April 11 14, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


49%
23%

Ted Cruz
14%

Undecided 14%

April 13, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


57%
22%

Ted Cruz
20%

April 10 13, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


54%
25%

Ted Cruz
16%

Undecided 5%

April 6 11, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


50%
27%

Ted Cruz
17%

Other 6%

April 6 11, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


55%
20%

Ted Cruz
19%

Undecided 6%

April 7 10, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


51%
25%

Ted Cruz
20%

Undecided 4%

April 6 10, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


54%
21%

Ted Cruz
18%

Undecided 5%, Other 1%

April 5 10, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


60%
17%

Ted Cruz
14%

Undecided 7%, Refused 2%

April 6 7, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


52%
23%

Ted Cruz
19%

Undecided 6%

April 6 7, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


56%
22%

John Kasich
17%

Undecided 4%, Other 1%

April 4 7, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


54%
22%

Ted Cruz
15%

Undecided 6%, Other 1%

April 56, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


56%
24%

Ted Cruz
20%

April 3 5, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


52%
25%

Ted Cruz
17%

Undecided 6%

March 29-April 1,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


52%
21%

John Kasich
20%

Other/Undecided 7%

March 22 29, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


56%
20%

John Kasich
19%

Undecided 4%

Emerson College[206]
Margin of error: 5.11%
Sample size: 361
CBS News/YouGov[207]
Margin of error: 5.9%
Sample size: 705
Optimus[208]
Margin of error: 0.822%
Sample size: 14201
Gravis Marketing/One America News
Network[209]
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 481
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[210]
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 313
Siena College[211]
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 469
Quinnipiac University[212]
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 550
Public Policy Polling[213]
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 483
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[214]
Margin of error: 6.1%
Sample size: 259
Baruch College/New York 1[215]
Margin of error: 5.8%
Sample size: 324
Liberty Research[216]
Margin of error: 3.0%
Sample size: 6041
Emerson College[217]
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 321
Fox News[218]
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 602
Gravis Marketing/One America
News[219]
Margin of error: 3.3%
Sample size: 857
Monmouth University[220]
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 302
CBS News/YouGov[221]
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 657
Quinnipiac University[222]
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 457

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

61 od 87

North Carolina
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 15, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

62 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/NC-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 15, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40.23%
36.76%

John Kasich
12.67%

Marco Rubio 7.73%, Ben Carson 0.96%, Jeb Bush 0.34%, Mike
Huckabee 0.27%, Rand Paul 0.24%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina
0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.06%, Jim Gilmore 0.02%

March 1113, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


44%
33%

John Kasich
11%

Marco Rubio 7%, Undecided 5%

March 910, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


48%
28%

John Kasich
12%

Marco Rubio 8%, Other 1%, No Preference 1%, Undecided 2%

March 57, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


32%
26%

Marco Rubio
11%

John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Jeb Bush 2%,
Rand Paul 1%, Other 1%, No Preference 6%

March 47, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


41%
27%

Marco Rubio
14%

John Kasich 11%, Other 4%, Undecided 2%

February 1519,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


27.8%
19.1%

Marco Rubio
15.9%

Ben Carson 10%, John Kasich 6.8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Other 1.1%,
Undecided 14.6%

February 1416,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36%
18%

Marco Rubio
18%

Ben Carson 10%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Other 1%, No
Preference 1%, Undecided 4%

February 1416,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


29%
19%

Marco Rubio
16%

John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Undecided 9%

January 30
Margin of error: 4.5% Sample size: 477 February 4, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


26%
22%

Marco Rubio
20%

Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand
Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum <1%,
Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 4%, Don't Know 15%

January 1819, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


27%
23%

Marco Rubio
10%

Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 2%,
John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%,
No Preference 11%, Other 2%, Refused 4%

January 1819, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
16%

Marco Rubio
11%

Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Chris Christie 4%,
Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%,
Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 4%

December 57, 2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
16%

Marco
Rubio/Ben
Carson 14%

Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 4%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%,
Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsay Graham 1%

October 29
November 2, 2015

Ben Carson
31%

October 2325,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


31%
23%

Marco Rubio
11%

Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Mike Huckabee 5%, John
Kasich 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim
Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%,
Undecided 1%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


26%
21%

Carly Fiorina
12%

Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Jeb Bush 5%,
John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Bobby Jindal
1%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Rand
Paul 0%, Undecided 2%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


21.5%
20.9%

Carly Fiorina
9.9%

Marco Rubio 7.4%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ted Cruz 6.2%, Mike Huckabee 4.1%,
Rand Paul 2.3%, John Kasich 2.1%, Scott Walker 1.6%, Chris Christie
1.6%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham, 0.2%, Bobby Jindal 0%,
George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0.6%, Undecided 13.2%,
Refused 0.6%

Jeb Bush
13%

Ted Cruz 10%, Marco Rubio 9%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%,
Scott Walker 6%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 2%,
Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%,
George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 3%

Public Policy Polling[228]


Margin of error: 3.6% Sample size: 749
High Point University/SurveyUSA[229]
Margin of error: 3.3% Sample size: 734
Civitas[230]
Margin of error: 4.38% Sample size:
500
WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA[231]
Margin of error: 3.8% Sample size: 688
Elon University[232]
Margin of error: 3.62% Sample size:
733
SurveyUSA/
Time Warner Cable News[233]
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample size: 437
Public Policy Polling[234]
Margin of error: 4% Sample size: 597
High Point University[235]

Civitas Institute[236]
Margin of error: 4.38% Sample size:
500
Public Policy Polling[237]
Margin of error: 4.7% Sample size: 433
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/main/2015/12/trump-getting-strongerin-nc-islamophobia-helps-fuel-thatstrength.html)
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 537
Elon University (http://elon.edu/images
/e-web/elonpoll
/11_5_15_ElonPollEXEC.pdf)
Margin of error: 3.0%
Sample size: 466
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_NC_102715.pdf)

Marco
Donald Trump
Rubio/Ted
19%
Cruz 9.7%

Margin of error 4.8%


Sample size: 425
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_92915.pdf) September 2427,
2015
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 576
Elon University (http://www.elon.edu
/docs/e-web/elonpoll
/092415_ElonPollExecSumm.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.31%
Sample size: 516

September 1721,
2015

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_81915.pdf) August 1216, 2015 Donald Trump Ben Carson
24%
14%
Margin of error: 4.5%

Jeb Bush 4.65%, Carly Fiorina 3.4%, Mike Huckabee 2.7%, Rand Paul
1.9%, Chris Christie 1.8%, John Kasich 1.3%, Lindsay Graham 1.1%,
Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided
12.2%, Refused 0.9%, Don't Know 0.7%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

63 od 87

Sample size: 406


Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage
(http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content
/uploads/2015/08/NC-PresPrim-8.4.15.pdf)

August 23, 2015

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


30.4%
18.8%

Ben Carson
11.9%

Ted Cruz 6.1%, Marco Rubio 5.3%, Scott Walker 5.3%, Mike Huckabee
5.1%, Carly Fiorina 2.6%, John Kasich 2.2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris
Christie 1.8%, Bobby Jindal 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham
0.7%, Rick Perry 0.4%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 1.1%,
Undecided 3.9%

July 26, 2015

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


16%
12%

Scott Walker
12%

Mike Huckabee 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rand Paul
7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Florina 4%, Rick Perry 2%,
Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Kasich
0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 4%

May 2831, 2015

Jeb Bush
19%

Rand Paul
12%

Marco Rubio
12%

Scott Walker 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson
9%, Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Not Sure 5%

Marco Rubio
16%

Jeb Bush
15%

Rand Paul
14%

Scott Walker 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Chris
Christie 8%, Rick Perry 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Other/Undecided 10%

April 25, 2015

Jeb Bush
19%

Scott Walker
16%

Ted Cruz
11%

Mike Huckabee 11%, Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Chris Christie
7%, Rand Paul 6%, Rick Perry 2%, Undecided 7%

March 2023, 2015

Scott Walker
29%

Jeb Bush
16%

Mike
Huckabee
14%

Ben Carson 13%, Rand Paul 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Rick Santorum 3%,
Other/Undecided 10%

Scott Walker
24%

Jeb Bush
17%

Mike
Huckabee
15%

Ben Carson 12%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 5%,
Ted Cruz 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Undecided 8%

January 2931, 2015

Mitt Romney
16%

Jeb Bush
14%

Ben Carson
14%

Scott Walker 14%, Mike Huckabee 13%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rand Paul
6%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Undecided 9%

January 2122, 2015

Mitt Romney
18%

Jeb Bush
17%

Chris Christie
11%

Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Ted Cruz 5%,
Scott Walker 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Mike Pence 0%, Undecided 15%,
Refused 1%

December 47, 2014

Ben Carson
19%

Jeb Bush
15%

Chris Christie Mike Huckabee 14%, Paul Ryan 11%, Rick Perry 7%, Ted Cruz 5%,
14%
Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Someone else/Not sure 7%

Mike
Huckabee
17.5%

Jeb Bush
11%

Chris Christie
7%

Rick Perry 5.5%, Paul Ryan 5.5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rand Paul 3.5%,
Scott Walker 3.5%, Ted Cruz 3%, Bobby Jindal 1.5%, John Kasich 0.5%,
Jon Huntsman, Jr. 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 32%, Refused
3.5%, Other 2%

Mitt Romney
38.76%

Mike
Huckabee
13.95%

Jeb Bush
10.08%

Chris Christie 6.2%, Scott Walker 3.88%, Rand Paul 3.1%, Rick Perry
2.33%, Marco Rubio 2.33%, Paul Ryan 2.33%, Ted Cruz 1.55%, Jon
Huntsman, Jr. 0.78%, Bobby Jindal 0%, John Kasich 0%, Rick Santorum
0%, Undecided 11.63%, Refused 3.1%

July 2829, 2014

Jeb Bush
16%

Chris Christie
9%

Rand Paul
9%

Marco Rubio 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick
Santorum 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Undecided 22%, Won't vote in
Republican primary 11%, Other 1%, Refused 1%

May 911, 2014

Jeb Bush
17%

Mike
Huckabee
17%

Chris Christie
12%

Ted Cruz 12%, Rand Paul 12%, Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott
Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Someone else/Not sure 11%

Margin of error: 4.4%


Sample size: 486
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_70815.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.8%
Sample size: 288
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_60415.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.9%
Sample size: 277
SurveyUSA (http://www.surveyusa.com
/client
/PollReport.aspx?g=37947658-74f5-4d1f9a86-583360e56616)
April 2227, 2015
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 333
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_41015.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 351
Civitas Institute (http://www.nccivitas.org
/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/GOP-pollPR-xtabs-3-31-15.pdf)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 400
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_30415.pdf) February 2426,
2015
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 389
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_20415.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400
Meeting Street Research (http://cprnc.org
/wp/wp-content/uploads/2015/02
/NC-Memo-Part-2-FEDERAL-v2-1.pdf)
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: 262
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_121114.pdf)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 390

Suffolk University
(http://www.suffolk.edu/documents
/SUPRC/8_20_2014_marginals.pdf)
August 1619, 2014
Margin of error: 8%
Sample size: 129

Civitas Institute (http://www.nccivitas.org


/2014/gop-white-house-poll-2016/)
Margin of error: 5.3%
Sample size: 336
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_514.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

64 od 87

Sample size: 394


Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_429.pdf)
April 2628, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
19%

Ted Cruz
17%

Jeb Bush
15%

Rand Paul 15%, Chris Christie 9%, Paul Ryan 6%, Marco Rubio 5%,
Bobby Jindal 4%, Cliven Bundy 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 6%

April 1415, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
21%

Jeb Bush
19%

Rand Paul
15%

Chris Christie 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Marco Rubio 6%, John Kasich 3%,
Scott Walker 2%, Undecided 11%

April 36, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
22%

Jeb Bush
18%

Chris Christie
12%

Ted Cruz 12%, Rand Paul 9%, Paul Ryan 9%, Scott Walker 7%, Marco
Rubio 5%, Bobby Jindal 2% Someone Else/Undecided 6%

March 69, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
19%

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


15%
14%

Jeb Bush 12%, Rand Paul 12%, Scott Walker 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Paul
Ryan 4%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%

February 69, 2014

Mike
Huckabee
20%

Jeb Bush
15%

Rand Paul
14%

Chris Christie 11%, Ted Cruz 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%,
Scott Walker 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 9%

January 912, 2014

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


17%
14%

Rand Paul
14%

Ted Cruz 11%, Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Bobby Jindal 5%,
Rick Santorum 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%

December 58, 2013

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


19%
15%

Rand Paul
13%

Ted Cruz 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 7%, Rick Santorum 5%,
Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 11%

November 811,
2013

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


20%
16%

Ted Cruz
12%

Rand Paul 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 7%, Bobby Jindal 6%,
Rick Santorum 2%, Scott Walker 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%

Margin of error: 3.7%


Sample size: 694
Magellan Strategies
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com
/docs/2014
/Magellan_North_Carolina_0414.pdf)
Margin of error: 6%
Sample size: 300
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_410.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 314
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_312.pdf)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 392
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_212.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 305
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_115.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 575
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_NC_1212.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 529
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_NC_1113.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 498

Ohio
Winner
John Kasich
Primary date
March 15, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

65 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/OH-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 15, 2016

John Kasich
46.95%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35.87%
13.31%

Marco Rubio 2.34%, Ben Carson 0.72%, Jeb Bush 0.27%, Mike Huckabee
0.25%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.07%

March 1213, 2016

John Kasich
44%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
12%

Marco Rubio 2%, Undecided 4%

March 1113, 2016

John Kasich
40%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35%
15%

Marco Rubio 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 4%

March 813, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


38%
38%

March 911, 2016

John Kasich
33%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
27%

Marco Rubio 5%, No Preference 2%

March 410, 2016

John Kasich
39%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
19%

Marco Rubio 6%

March 58, 2016

John Kasich
34%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


29%
19%

Marco Rubio 7%, Undecided 5%, Other 3%, None of the above 2%

March 27, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


38%
32%

Ted Cruz
16%

Marco Rubio 9%, Undecided 5%

March 46, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


38%
35%

Ted Cruz
15%

Marco Rubio 5%, Undecided 5%

March 26, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


41%
35%

Ted Cruz
15%

Marco Rubio 7%

February 1620,
2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


31%
26%

Ted Cruz
21%

Marco Rubio 13%, Ben Carson 5%, Someone else 0%, DK/NA 5%

February 1120,
2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


31%
29%

Ted Cruz
11%

Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Don't Know 8%

September 25
October 5, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


23%
18%

John Kasich
13%

Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 10%, Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul
3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki
0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else
0%, Would not vote 2%, DK/NA 6%

August 718, 2015

John Kasich
27%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


21%
7%

Marco Rubio 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Mike
Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris
Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Don't
know 11%

June 415, 2015

John Kasich
19%

Jeb Bush
9%

Scott Walker
8%

Marco Rubio 7%, Rand Paul 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Ted
Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Rick Perry 2%, Rick
Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Donald Trump 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%,
Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 17%

June 47, 2015

John Kasich
19%

Ben Carson
13%

Scott Walker
13%

Jeb Bush 12%, Marco Rubio 12%, Rand Paul 9%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Ted
Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Someone Else/Not Sure 8%

John Kasich
20%

Ted Cruz
9%

Scott Walker 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie
Mike Huckbee
5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%,
9%
Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15%

John Kasich
22%

Scott Walker
10%

Ted Cruz
9%

Mike Huckabee 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%,
Marco Rubio 6%, Rick Perry 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%,
Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 17%

John Kasich
22%

Ted Cruz
11%

Jeb Bush
9%

Ben Carson 9%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Chris
Christie 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Lindsey
Graham 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15%

ARG[238]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size:
400
Monmouth University[239]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample
size: 503
Quinnipiac University[240]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample
size: 721

Ted Cruz
16%

Marco Rubio 3%, Undecided 4%

CBS News/YouGov[241]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample
size: 798
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[242]
Margin of error: 4.1% Sample
size: 564
Fox News[243]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample
size: 806
Quinnipiac University[244]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample
size: 685
Public Policy Polling[245]
Margin of error: 3.9%
Sample size: 638
CNN/ORC[48]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size:
359
Quinnipiac University[246]
Margin of error: 3.6%
Sample size: 759
Baldwin Wallace University[247]
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 440
Quinnipiac University[248]
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 433
Quinnipiac University[249]
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 371
Quinnipiac University[250]
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 413
Public Policy Polling[251]
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 411
Quinnipiac University
(http://www.quinnipiac.edu/newsand-events/quinnipiac-universitypoll/2016-presidential-swing-statepolls/releasedetail?ReleaseID=2182)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 404

March 1728, 2015

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

66 od 87

Quinnipiac University
(http://www.quinnipiac.edu/newsand-events/quinnipiac-universitypoll/2016-presidential-swing-statepolls/releasedetail?ReleaseID=2131)

John Kasich
11%

Scott Walker
10%

Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Mike Huckabee
5%, Chris Christie 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%,
Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 18%

John Kasich
14%

Scott Walker
11%

Jeb Bush
10%

Rand Paul 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris
Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick
Santorum 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 20%

Mike
Huckabee
17%

Rand Paul
15%

Jeb Bush
13%

Chris Christie 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, John Kasich 10%, Marco Rubio 5%,
Scott Walker 4%, Undecided 11%

Chris Christie Rand Paul


17%
17%

Jeb Bush
10%

Marco Rubio 9%, John Kasich 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Bobby Jindal
4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Someone Else/Undecided 17%

January 22
February 1, 2015

Margin of error: 5.3%


Sample size: 337
Magellan Strategies
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com
/docs/2014
/Magellan_Ohio_0414.pdf)

Mitt Romney
15%

April 1415, 2014

Margin of error: 6%
Sample size: 300
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_OH_822.pdf)
Aug. 1619, 2013
Margin of error: 5.2%
Sample size: 357

Oklahoma
Winner
Ted Cruz
Primary date
March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

67 od 87

Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com March 1, 2016
/P16/OK-R)

1st
Ted Cruz
34.37%

2nd

3rd

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


28.32%
26.01%

Other
Ben Carson 6.22%, John Kasich 3.59%, Jeb Bush 0.45%, Rand Paul 0.36%, Mike
Huckabee 0.28%, Carly Fiorina 0.13%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Rick Santorum
0.08%, Lindsey Graham 0.05%

SurveyMonkey[1]
Margin of error: ?% Sample
size: 636

February 2229,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


34%
19%

Marco Rubio
19%

Ben Carson 14%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 8%

February 2528,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35%
23%

Marco Rubio
22%

John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Other 1%, Undecided 4%

February 2325,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


34%
21%

Ted Cruz
18%

Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Undecided 13%

February 2223,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


29%
21%

Ted Cruz
20%

Ben Carson 6%, John Kasich 5%, Other 2%, Undecided 18%

February 69, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


30.4%
25.4%

Marco Rubio
21.0%

Ben Carson 5.6%, Jeb Bush 4.6%, John Kasich 2.9%, Carly Fiorina 1.5%, Chris
Christie 1.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.0%, Undecided 7.7%

January 1719, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35.1%
25%

Marco Rubio
9.6%

Ben Carson 7.8%, Jeb Bush 4.4%, Mike Huckabee 4.4%, Chris Christie 3.1%,
Rand Paul 2.2%, Carly Fiorina 1.3%, Other 2.2%, Undecided 4.8%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


27.1%
18.3%

Ben Carson
17.5%

Marco Rubio 16.3%, Mike Huckabee 4.3%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Jeb Bush 2.2%,
Rand Paul 2.2%, John Kasich 0.5%, Other 2.5%, Undecided 6.7%

Monmouth University[252]
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 403
SoonerPoll[253]
Margin of error: 4.21%
Sample size: 540
The Oklahoman[254]
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 400
SoonerPoll[255]
Margin of error: 4.81%
Sample size: 414
SoonerPoll[256]
Margin of error: 4.21%
Sample size: 541

SoonerPoll
(http://ftpcontent.worldnow.com
/griffin/NEWS9/PDF/1212
November 1215,
/SoonerPoll.pdf)
2015
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 389
The Oklahoman
(http://newsok.com/article
/5455817)
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 500
Opinion Savvy/Insider
Advantage
(http://opinionsavvy.com
/wp-content/uploads/2015/08
/OK-Pres-Prim-8.4.15.pdf)

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


19%
9%

Ben Carson
25%

August 2, 2015

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


35.8%
13.6%

Ben Carson
10.1%

Ted Cruz 7.3%, Mike Huckabee 6.8%, Scott Walker 5.8%, Rand Paul 3.4%, Chris
Christie 3.3%, Carly Fiorina 3%,Marco Rubio 2.6%, John Kasich 2.3%, Rick
Perry 1.6%, Bobby Jindal 1.2%, Rick Santorum 1.1%, Lindsey Graham 0.4%,
George Pataki 0%, Someone else 0.7%, Undecided 1.1%

Jan. 30 Feb 1,
2014

Ted Cruz
19%

Chris Christie
11%

Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Rick Santorum 5%, Scott
Walker 4%, Undecided 19%

Margin of error: 4.8%


Sample size: 402
Harper Polling
(http://www.harperpolling.com
/polls/oklahoma-primarypoll-lankford-leads-by-36-)

Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich
2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%,
Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 27%

October 1922,
2015

Rand Paul
15%

Margin of error: 3.91%


Sample size: 627

Oregon
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
May 17, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

68 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/OR-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

May 17, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


64.51%
16.50%

John Kasich
15.83%

May 69, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


45%
14%

John Kasich
14%

Undecided 19%, Wouldn't Vote 7%

April 2627, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


43%
26%

John Kasich
17%

Undecided 13%

Donald Trump Scott Walker


18%
12%

Jeb Bush 11%

Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, John
Kasich 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick
Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Other 2%, DK 12%

Mike
Huckabee
21%

Jeb Bush
15%

Rand Paul 15%, Chris Christie 12%, Marco Rubio 4%, Paul Ryan 3%, Scott
Walker 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone else/Not sure 10%

DHM Research/Oregon Public


Broadcasting/Fox 12[257]
Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 324
Hoffman Research[258]
Margin of error: 4.16%
Sample size: 555

DHM Research
(http://res.cloudinary.com/bdy4ger4
/image/upload/v1438903153
/Primary_Survey_July 2227, 2015
_August_qngitf.pdf)
Margin of error: 7.7%
Sample size: 169
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_OR_530.pdf)
May 2227, 2014
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 375

Ted Cruz
16%

Pennsylvania
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
April 26, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

69 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/PA-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

April 26, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


56.71%
21.66%

John Kasich
19.36%

Ben Carson 0.93%, Marco Rubio 0.75%, Jeb Bush 0.60%

April 2224, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


48%
28%

John Kasich
19%

Undecided 5%

April 2224, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


51%
25%

John Kasich
22%

Undecided 3%

April 2124, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


50%
23%

John Kasich
21%

Undecided 6%

April 2022, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


49%
26%

John Kasich
22%

Undecided 3%

April 1820, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


45%
27%

John Kasich
24%

Other 3%, Undecided 3%

April 1118, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40%
26%

John Kasich
24%

Undecided 10%

April 1315, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


46%
26%

John Kasich
23%

Undecided 4%

April 1012, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


44%
28%

John Kasich
23%

Undecided 6%

April 712, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


41%
26%

Ted Cruz
23%

Other 3%, Undecided 8%

April 47, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


48%
22%

Ted Cruz
20%

Other 1%, Not Sure 8%

April 16, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35%
28%

John Kasich
27%

Other/Neither 5%, Not Sure 5%

March 30-April 4,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


39%
30%

John Kasich
24%

Undecided 7%

March 29-April 1,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


47%
29%

John Kasich
22%

Other/Undecided 2%

March 1420, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


33%
30%

Ted Cruz
20%

Undecided 17%

March 12, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


36%
19%

Ted Cruz
17%

Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 10%, Undecided 8%

February 1321,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


22%
16%

John Kasich
15%

Ted Cruz 12%, Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Don't know 25%

February 1116,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


41%
15%

Ted Cruz
15%

John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Undecided 9%

Fox 29/Opinion Savvy[259]


Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 1050
Public Policy Polling[260]
Margin of error: 3.4%
Sample size: 826
ARG[261]
Margin of error: 5
Sample size: 400
CBS News/YouGov[262]
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 934
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist
College[263]
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 571
Franklin & Marshall College[264]
Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 549
CBS News/YouGov[265]
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 837
Monmouth University[266]
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 303
Morning Call/Muhlenberg College[267]
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 422
Fox News[268]
Margin of error: 3.5%
Sample size: 802
Muhlenberg College[269]
Margin of error: 6%
Sample size: 360
Quinnipiac University[270]
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 578
CBS News/YouGov[221]
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 729
Franklin & Marshall
College[271]
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 312
Harper Polling[272]
Margin of error: 5.22%
Sample size: 353
Franklin & Marshall
College[273]
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 371
Robert Morris University[274]
Margin of error: ?%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

70 od 87

Sample size: 177


Franklin & Marshall
College[275]
January 1823, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


24%
14%

Marco Rubio
11%

Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 5%, John Kasich 3%, Carly
Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 1%,
Don't know 26%

October 1925,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


23%
22%

Marco Rubio
13%

John Kasich 6%, Ted Cruz 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Jeb Bush 3%, Carly
Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick
Santorum 1%, Lindsey Graham <0%, George Pataki <0%, Don't know
20%

October 811, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


24%
23%

Ted Cruz
9%

Carly Fiorina 9%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 6%,
Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gilmore
1%, Rand Paul 1%, George Pataki 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Lindsey
Graham 0%, Undecided 4%

September 25
October 5, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


23%
17%

Marco Rubio
12%

Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike
Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rand Paul 1%,
Bobby Jindal 1%, George Pataki 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Would not vote 1%, Someone else 0%, DK/NA 12%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


18%
18%

Jeb Bush
9%

Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Chris Christie 4%,
Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%,
Others 2%, Undecided 17%, Refused 1%

August 718, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


24%
13%

Marco Rubio
10%

Carly Fiorina 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Rand
Paul 5%, Rick Santorum 4%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris
Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%,
Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Don't know 9%

June 415, 2015

Marco Rubio
12%

Rand Paul
11%

Jeb Bush
10%

Ben Carson 10%, Scott Walker 9%, Rick Santorum 7%, Chris Christie
6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Ted Cruz 5%, Donald Trump 4%, Carly Fiorina
1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Bobby Jindal
0%, Someone else 2%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 13%

May 2124, 2015

Scott Walker
17%

Ben Carson
12%

Chris Christie Rick Santorum 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio
12%
9%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rand Paul 6%, Someone else/Not sure 6%

Scott Walker
14%

Jeb Bush
9%

Ben Carson
9%

Scott Walker
14%

Ben Carson
9%

Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Mike
Rick Santorum Huckabee 6%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%,
9%
Lindsey Graham 1%, Someone else 0%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided
20%

Ben Carson
11%

Jeb Bush
10%

Ted Cruz
10%

Mitt Romney
12%

Jeb Bush
10%

Mike Huckabee 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Rick Santorum 6%, Scott Walker
Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%,
10%
John Kasich 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%,
Undecided 21%

Margin of error: 5.3%


Sample size: 342

Jeb Bush
12%

Mike
Chris Christie
Huckabee
11%
10%

Ben Carson 8%, Rick Santorum 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Scott Walker 6%,
Marco Rubio 4%, John Kasich 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%,
Rick Perry 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 22%

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/PPP_Release_122925.pdf)

Ben Carson
18%

Jeb Bush
14%

Mitt Romney
14%

Chris Christie 9%, Ted Cruz 9%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Scott Walker 8%,
Rand Paul 7%, Rick Santorum 6%, Someone else/Not sure 6%

Ben Carson
19%

Jeb Bush
18%

Chris Christie
12%

Ted Cruz 10%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Scott Walker 9%, Rand Paul 8%,
Rick Santorum 8%, Someone else/Not sure 7%

Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 276
Franklin & Marshall
College[276]
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 231
Public Policy Polling[277]
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 479
Quinnipiac University[278]
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 427

Mercyhurst (http://www.mercyhurst.edu
/sites/default/files/uploads
/%3Cem%3EEdit%20Simple%3C
/em%3E%20MCAP%20Polls%20
September 21
/fall_2015_poll_1_final_reportdeb.pdf) October 1, 2015
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 483
Quinnipiac University
(http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images
/polling/ps/ps08202015_Sdeg82k.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 443
Quinnipiac University
(http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images
/polling/ps/ps06182015_Sk32gth.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 413
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_52815.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 334

Quinnipiac University
(http://www.quinnipiac.edu/newsand-events/quinnipiac-universitypoll/2016-presidential-swing-statepolls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2182)

March 1728, 2015

Margin of error: 4.7%


Sample size: 442

Quinnipiac University
(http://www.quinnipiac.edu/newsand-events/quinnipiac-universitypoll/2016-presidential-swing-statepolls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2131)

January 22
February 1, 2015

Rick Santorum 9%, Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%,
Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 3%, John Kasich 2%,
Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0% Someone else 0%, Wouldn't vote
4% Undecided 18%

Marco Rubio 9%, Scott Walker 9%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Rand Paul 7%,
Chris Christie 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kasich 2%,
Lindsey Graham 1%, Someone else 2%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided
19%

January 1518, 2015


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 592
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_PA_605.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.4%
Sample size: 333
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013

May 30 June 1,
2014

Mike
Chris Christie
Huckabee
23%
14%

Rand Paul
12%

Jeb Bush 10%, Ted Cruz 10%, Rick Santorum 8%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul
Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Someone else/Not sure 9%

November 2225,
2013

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


26%
16%

Rand Paul
14%

Jeb Bush 10%, Rick Santorum 8%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 5%,
Bobby Jindal 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 9%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

71 od 87

/PARepublicanPresidentResults1113.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 491
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_PA_313.pdf)
March 810, 2013
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 373

Chris Christie Rand Paul


20%
17%

Marco Rubio
17%

Jeb Bush 10%, Rick Santorum 10%, Mike Huckabee 9%, Paul Ryan 6%,
Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Perry 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 6%

Rhode Island
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
April 26, 2016
Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com April 26, 2016
/P16/RI-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump John Kasich


62.92%
24.01%

Ted Cruz
10.29%

Marco Rubio 0.61%

April 2324, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


58%
21%

Ted Cruz
10%

Undecided 11%

April 2224, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


61%
23%

Ted Cruz
13%

Undecided 2%

April 1921, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


38%
25%

Ted Cruz
14%

Undecided 17%, Other 6%

February 2223,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


43%
25%

John Kasich
14%

Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 5%

February 1720,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


41%
14%

John Kasich
12%

Ted Cruz 8%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 13%

Gravis Marketing[25]
Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 566
Public Policy Polling[279]
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 511
Brown University[280]
Margin of error: 7.0%
Sample size: 164
Brown University[281]
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 206
Brown University[282]
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 204

South Carolina
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
February 20, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

72 od 87

Poll source
Primary results (http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/SC-R)
Opinion Savvy/
Augusta Chronicle[283]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample size: 780

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

February 20, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


32.51%
22.48%

Ted Cruz
22.33%

Jeb Bush 7.84%, John Kasich 7.61%, Ben


Carson 7.23%

February 1819,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


26.9%
24.1%

Ted Cruz
18.8%

Jeb Bush 10.6%, Ben Carson 8.2%, John


Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 3.9%

February 18, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33.51%
18.96%

Marco Rubio
18.07%

Jeb Bush 11.56%, John Kasich 8.49%, Ben


Carson 5.22%, Undecided 4.19%

February 1718,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


32%
19%

Marco Rubio
18%

Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson


6%, Refused 2%, Undecided 7%

February 1718,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


34%
22%

John Kasich
14%

Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson


4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%

February 1618,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36%
19%

Marco Rubio
18%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson


6%

February 1418,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


28%
19%

Marco Rubio
15%

Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson


6%, Undecided 13%

February 1617,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


33%
20%

John Kasich
15%

Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson


3%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%

February 1617,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


29%
17%

Marco Rubio
15%

Jeb Bush 14%, John Kasich 13%, Ben Carson


8%, Undecided 5%

February 1517,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


28%
23%

Marco Rubio
15%

Jeb Bush 13%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich


9%, Undecided 5%

February 1517,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


32%
19%

Marco Rubio
15%

Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich


6%, Other 1%, Undecided 8%

February 1516,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33%
20%

Marco Rubio
19%

John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson


5%, Other 1%, Undecided 4%

February 1416,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


33%
16%

Ted Cruz
14%

John Kasich 14%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson


3%, Other 2%, Undecided 8%

February 1416,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35%
19%

Marco Rubio
17%

John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson


7%, Undecided 5%

February 1316,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36%
17%

Marco Rubio
15%

Jeb Bush 13%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich


7%, Undecided 3%

February 1415,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


35%
18%

Marco Rubio
18%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson


7%, Undecided 6%

February 15, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


33.57%
15.54%

Marco Rubio
14.83%

Jeb Bush 14.54%, John Kasich 7.98%, Ben


Carson 6.55%, Undecided 7.03%

February 1015,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
22%

Marco Rubio
14%

Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 6%, John Kasich


4%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Someone Else 1%,
Undecided 1%, No Opinion 3%

February 1213,
2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


35%
15%

Marco Rubio
14%

Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson


2%, Other 2%, Undecided 10%

February 1113,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


37%
23%

Marco Rubio
19%

Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson


6%

February 1112,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


34.5%
15.5%

Jeb Bush
13%

Marco Rubio 12.5%, John Kasich 8.5%, Ben


Carson 5%, Undecided 11%

South Carolina
House GOP[284]
Margin of error: 2.0% Sample size: 3500
National Research[285]
Margin of error: ?% Sample size: 500
ARG[286]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample size: 401
Emerson College[287]
Margin of error: 4.7% Sample size: 418
Clemson University[288]
Margin of error: 3.0% Sample size: 650
ARG[289]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample size: 400
Harper Polling[290]
Margin of error: 4% Sample size: 599
NBC News/Wall Street
Journal/Marist College[291]
Margin of error: 3.6% Sample size: 722
Fox News[292]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample size: 759
Emerson College[293]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample size: 315
ARG[294]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample size: 400
Monmouth University[295]
Margin of error: 4.9% Sample size: 400
Bloomberg/Selzer[296]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample size: 502
Public Policy Polling[297]
Margin of error: 3.3% Sample size: 897
South Carolina
House GOP[298]
Margin of error: 2.4% Sample size: 1700
CNN/ORC[299]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size: 404
ARG[300]
Margin of error: 5.0% Sample size: 400
Gravis Marketing/
One America News[301]
Margin of error: 3% Sample size: 1281
South Carolina
House GOP[302]
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 1200

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

73 od 87

CBS News/YouGov[303]
Margin of error: 5.2% Sample size: 744
Opinion Savvy/
Augusta Chronicle[304]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample size: 779

February 1012,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


42%
20%

Marco Rubio
15%

John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ben Carson


6%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%, No preference 1%

February 1011,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36.3%
19.6%

Marco Rubio
14.6%

Jeb Bush 10.9%, John Kasich 8.7%, Ben


Carson 4.7%, Undecided 5.2%

January 1723, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


36%
20%

Marco Rubio
14%

Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Mike


Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul
1%, John Kasich 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other
0%, Undecided 6%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


January 1821, 2016
40%
21%

Marco Rubio
13%

Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul


3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%,
Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick
Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No
Preference 0%

NBC/WSJ/Marist[94]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample size: 718
CBS/YouGov[305]
Margin of error: 5.3% Sample size: 804

January 15, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


32%
18%

Jeb Bush
13%

Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Chris


Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike
Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul
2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 3%

December 1617,
2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


27%
27%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Others 5%,


Undecided 11%

Morris News/Opinion Savvy[306]


Margin of error: 3.7% Sample size: 683
Associated Industries of Florida (http://www.capitalnewyork.com
/sites/default/files/SouthCarolina_Dec2015.pdf)
Margin of error: 3.9%
Sample size: 600

December 1417,
2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
23%

Marco Rubio
12%

Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul


4%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%,
Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%,
Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Santorum 0%,
George Pataki 0%,Jim Gilmore 0%, No
preference 1%

December 16, 2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


28.3%
21.1%

Marco Rubio
11.6%

Jeb Bush 9.6%, Ben Carson 9.5%, Chris


Christie 5.5%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Rand Paul
2.6%, Mike Huckabee 2.1%, Lindsey Graham
1.9%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum
0.5%, George Pataki 0.2%, Undecided 1.3%

November 30
December 7, 2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


24%
16%

Ben Carson
14%

Marco Rubio 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Mike


Huckabee 2%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Carly
Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris Christie
1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 0%,
George Pataki 0%

Marco
Rubio/Ted
Cruz
14%

Jeb Bush 5%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsay


Graham 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina
1%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%,
Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, None
of the Above 1%, Don't Know 5%

Marco Rubio
16%

Ted Cruz 13%, Jeb Bush 5%, Lindsey


Graham 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike
Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris
Christie 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum
1%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim
Gilmore 0%

Ted Cruz
15%

Marco Rubio 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly


Fiorina 5%, John Kasich 3%, Lindsey
Graham 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rand Paul
1%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%,
Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George
Pataki 0%, Undecided 3%

Ted Cruz
8%

Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina


3%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Mike Huckabee
2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Chris
Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick
Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George
Pataki 0%, No Preference 5%

Ted Cruz
8%

Carly Fiorina 6%, Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio


5%, Lindsey Graham 3%, Rand Paul 1%,
Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John
Kasich 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum
0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0% ,
undecided/DK 15%

Marco Rubio
9%

Carly Fiorina 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz


5%, Lindsey Graham 5%, Rand Paul 4%,
Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John
Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore
*%, George Pataki *% Bobby Jindal *%,
None 1%, No opinion 4%

Carly Fiorina
11.1%

Ted Cruz 8.1%, Marco Rubio 8%, Jeb Bush


5.9%, John Kasich 3.5%, Mike Huckabee
3.1%, Lindsey Graham 1.5%, Chris Christie
1.4%, Rand Paul 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.5%,
George Pataki 0.3% Bobby Jindal 0.3%,
Unsure 9.9%

CBS News/YouGov (http://fr.scribd.com/doc/293729705


/CBS-News-December-2015-Battleground-Tracker-South-Carolina)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 1469
Opinion Savvy/Augusta Chronicle (http://opinionsavvy.com
/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/SC-GOP-PP-12.17.15.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 536
Winthrop University (http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll
/default.aspx?id=9802)
Margin of error: 3.4%
Sample size: 828
Fox News (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/12
/09/fox-news-poll-south-carolina-primary-races/)
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 437

Donald Trump Ben Carson


December 58, 2015
35%
15%

CBS News/YouGov (http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-trumpretakes-lead-cruz-surges-in-ia-rubio-second-in-nh/)


Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: ?

November 1519,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


35%
19%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015


/PPP_Release_SC_111015.pdf)
Margin of error: 3.5%
Sample size: 787

November 78,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


25%
21%

CBS News/YouGov (http://www.scribd.com/doc/286948576


/CBS-News-Battleground-Tracker-South-Carolina-October-25-2015)
Margin of error: 3.4%
Sample size: 843
Clemson-Palmetto (http://newsstand.clemson.edu/mediarelations
/clemson-palmetto-poll-finds-south-carolinians-interestedbut-largely-undecided-on-presidential-candidates/)
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 600

October 1523,
2015

October 1323,
2015

CNN/ORC (http://edition.cnn.com/2015/10/14/politics/cnn-orcpoll-full-results-toplines-south-carolina-nevada-republicans
/index.html)
October 310, 2015
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 521

Donald Trump Ben Carson


40%
23%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


23%
19%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


36%
18%

Gravis Marketing (http://www.realclearpolitics.com


/docs/Gravis_SC_Sept_25_27_2015.pdf)
Margin of error: 3.6%
Sample size: 762

October 1, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


29.1%
16.4%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

74 od 87

CBS News/YouGov (https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net


/cumulus_uploads/document/j03a6pduqk
/SouthCarolina_Release_20150913.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.5%
Sample size: 1002

September 310,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


36%
21%

Ted Cruz
6%

Lindsey Graham 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, John


Kasich 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly
Fiorina 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Scott Walker
3%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%,
Rick Santorum 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick
Perry 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, No preference 5%

Ted Cruz
6%

Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, John Kasich


4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Lindsey Graham 3%,
Mike Huckabee 3%, Scott Walker 3%, Rand
Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Rick Perry 1%,
Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, George
Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%

Jeb Bush
9%

Carly Fiorina 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz


5%, Lindsey Graham 4%, Scott Walker 4%,
John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand
Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum
1%, Rick Perry 0%, George Pataki 0%,
Bobby Jindal 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%,
Undecided 11%

Ben Carson
9.9%

Mike Huckabee 8.5%, Lindsey Graham 6.5%,


Scott Walker 5.8%, Ted Cruz 4.3%, Chris
Christie 4.1%, John Kasich 3.1%, Marco
Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Rand Paul
1.7%, Bobby Jindal 0.7%, Rick Perry 0.6%,
Rick Santorum 0.1%, George Pataki 0%,
Someone else 3.1%, Undecided 2.5%

Public Policy Polling (http://www.thestate.com/news/politicsgovernment/politics-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article34403052.html)


Margin of error: 3.6%
Sample size: 764
Monmouth University (http://www.monmouth.edu/assets
/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994
/32212254995/30064771087/79e36e02d83c-4fb8-83c2-4c131bdf0a1a.pdf)

September 36,
2015

August 2023, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


37%
21%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


30%
15%

Margin of error: 4.6%


Sample size: 453
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage (http://opinionsavvy.com
/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/SC-Pres-Prim-8.4.15.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 509

August 3, 2015

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


31.3%
13.9%

July 2930, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


34%
10.9%

Jeb Bush
10.5%

Scott Walker 10.3%, Marco Rubio 6%, Mike


Huckabee 5.5%, Lindsey Graham 4.9%, Ted
Cruz 3.4%, John Kasich 3.3%, Chris Christie
2.5%, Rick Perry 2.5%, Carly Fiorina 2.4%,
Rick Santorum 1.3%, Rand Paul 1%, Bobby
Jindal 0.9%, George Pataki 0.7%

May 31 June 8,
2015

Lindsey
Graham
14%

Jeb Bush
11%

Scott Walker 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Mike


Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie
5%, Rand Paul 5%, Donald Trump 2%, Carly
Fiorina 1%, Don't know/No
Opinion/Refused 16%, Someone else 2%

Gravis Marketing (http://fitsnews.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08


/South-Carolina-Polling-August-2-20152-1.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.0%
Sample size: 609
Morning Consult (http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads
/2015/06/150502_crosstabs_mc_SC_v1_AD.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.0%
Sample size: 389

Ben Carson
12%

April 412, 2015

Scott Walker
13.6%

Jeb Bush
12.7%

Ted Cruz
8.1%

Lindsey Graham 7.6%, Rand Paul 6.2%,


Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4.9%, Mike
Huckabee 4.9%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick
Perry 1.9%, Donald Trump 1.9%, Bobby
Jindal 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, John
Bolton 0.2%, Other 1.4%, Undecided 25.1%

March 2627, 2015

Scott Walker
17%

Jeb Bush
16%

Ted Cruz
13%

Lindsey Graham 9%, Mike Huckabee 7%,


Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand
Paul 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina
2%, Undecided 18%

February 2425,
2015

Jeb Bush
19%

Scott Walker
17%

Lindsey
Graham
12%

Mike Huckabee 10%, Chris Christie 8%,


Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz
2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 2%,
Undecided 16%

February 1215,
2015

Jeb Bush
19%

Scott Walker
18%

Ben Carson
13%

Lindsey Graham 13%, Mike Huckabee 12%,


Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz
3%, Rick Perry 3%, Other/Undecided 6%

Jeb Bush
15%

Scott Walker
12%

Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Rand


Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Perry 4%,
Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 3%, Ted
Cruz 1%, Undecided 11%

Mitt Romney
20%

Jeb Bush
16%

Scott Walker
9%

Ted Cruz 8%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Rand Paul


7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%,
Rick Perry 4%, Rick Santorum 4%,
Undecided 12%

Jeb Bush
18%

Mike
Huckabee
11%

Scott Walker
11%

Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Chris


Christie 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Rick Perry 5%,
Rick Santorum 4%, Undecided 17%

May 2229, 2014

Jeb Bush
22%

Chris Christie
10%

Ted Cruz
9%

Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby


Jindal 3%, Undecided/Don't know 48%

March 67, 2014

Jeb Bush
22%

Mike
Huckabee
19%

Chris Christie
12%

Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Marco Rubio


6%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick Santorum 2%,
Undecided 19%

Winthrop University (http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll


/default.aspx?id=9804)
Margin of error: 3.2%
Sample size: 956
Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-marketresearch/south-carolina-political-polling-ted-cruz-bounce/)
Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 1,371
Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-marketresearch/current-south-carolina-polling-republican-primary-polling2016/)
Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 792
Public Policy Polling (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_SC_21815.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 525
NBC News/Marist (http://newscms.nbcnews.com/sites/newscms/files
/south_carolina_february_2015_annotated_questionnaire_nbc_newsmarist_poll.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 450

Lindsey
February 310, 2015 Graham
17%

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-marketresearch/poll-romney-leads-palmetto-state-voters-bush-leadsromney-less-field/)


January 2122, 2015
Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 831
Clemson University (http://newsstand.clemson.edu/mediarelations
/palmetto-poll-shows-voter-support-for-incumbents-in-s-c/)
Margin of error: 6%
Sample size: 400
Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-marketresearch/telephone-survey-latest-sc-political-poll/)
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 735

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

75 od 87

Gravis Marketing (http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-marketresearch/south-carolina-public-opinion-poll-us-senate-presidentialprimary-republican/)


Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 601

November 30
December 2, 2013

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


16.6%
16%

Mike
Huckabee
15.8%

Ted Cruz 11.1%, Rand Paul 9.7%, Marco


Rubio 7.2%, Rick Santorum 2.8%, Scott
Walker 2.3%, Undecided 18.5%

October 2728,
2013

Chris Christie Ted Cruz


19%
17%

Rand Paul
13%

Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 12%, Bobby


Jindal 6%, Not sure 21%

Harper Polling (http://www.conservativeintel.com/1030conservative-intel-poll-of-scsen-and-fits-primary-2016/#)


Margin of error: 5.03%
Sample size: 379

South Dakota
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
June 7, 2016
Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com June 7, 2016
/P16/SD-R)

1st

2nd

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


67.06%
16.99%

3rd
John Kasich
15.95%

Tennessee
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016
Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/TN-R)

Date
March 1, 2016

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38.94%
24.71%

Marco Rubio
21.18%

Ben Carson 7.59%, John Kasich 5.29%, Jeb Bush 1.12%, Mike Huckabee
0.28%, Rand Paul 0.27%, Chris Christie 0.15%, Carly Fiorina 0.08%, Rick
Santorum 0.08%, Jim Gilmore 0.03%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%, George Pataki
0.02%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


48%
18%

Ted Cruz
15%

Ben Carson 10%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 4%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40%
22%

Marco Rubio
19%

Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


29%
25%

Ted Cruz
14%

Marco Rubio 12%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Undecided 7%, Other 4%,
Wouldn't Vote 1%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


35.3%
14.5%

Jeb Bush
11.7%

Mike Huckabee 6.5%, Ted Cruz 6.2%, Scott Walker 5.8%, John Kasich 3.3%,
Rand Paul 3%, Marco Rubio 2.8%, Chris Christie 1.7%, Carly Fiorina 1.7%,
Bobby Jindal 1.4%, Rick Santorum 0.7%, George Pataki 0.3%, Lindsey
Graham 0.2%, Rick Perry 0.2%, Someone else 1.3%, Undecided 3.5%

SurveyMonkey[1]
February 2229,
Margin of error: ?% Sample size:
2016
772
NBC News/Wall Street
Journal/Marist[307]
Margin of error: 3.8%
Sample size: 665

February 2225,
2016

Vanderbilt/PSRA
(http://www.vanderbilt.edu
/csdi/fall2015pollslidefinalfinal.pdf) November 1123,
2015
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 495
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage
(http://opinionsavvy.com/2015/08
/06/republican-presidentialprimary-state-11-tennessee/)
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 440

August 23, 2015

Texas
Winner
Ted Cruz
Primary date
March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

76 od 87

Poll source
Primary results (http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/TX-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 1, 2016

Ted Cruz
43.76%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


26.75%
17.74%

John Kasich 4.25%, Ben Carson 4.16%, Jeb Bush 1.25%,


Rand Paul 0.28%, Mike Huckabee 0.22%, Chris Christie
0.12%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Lindsey
Graham 0.06%

February 2229,
2016

Ted Cruz
33%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


31%
19%

Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 4%

February 28, 2016

Ted Cruz
36.2%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


25.3%
19.2%

John Kasich 8.5%, Ben Carson 7.9%, Undecided 2.8%

February 2628,
2016

Ted Cruz
33%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


32%
17%

John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Undecided 5%

February 2628,
2016

Ted Cruz
35%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


32%
16%

John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 4%

February 2226,
2016

Ted Cruz
42%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


31%
19%

John Kasich 4%, Ben Carson 4%

February 2224,
2016

Ted Cruz
38%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


23%
21%

Ben Carson 6%, John Kasich 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 6%

February 2123,
2016

Ted Cruz
29%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


28%
25%

John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%

February 1823,
2016

Ted Cruz
39%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


26%
16%

Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 6%

February 22, 2016

Ted Cruz
33.24%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


24.83%
14.76%

John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 5.79%, Undecided 13.38%

February 2122,
2016

Ted Cruz
32%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


32%
17%

John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Other 2%, Undecided 5%

February 1922,
2016

Ted Cruz
38%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


26%
13%

John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 2%, Not Sure 7%

February 1222,
2016

Ted Cruz
35%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


20%
8%

Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, John Kasich 4%, Undecided
19%, Refused 2%

February 1219,
2016

Ted Cruz
37%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


29%
15%

Jeb Bush 6%, John Kasich 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul
2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Elizabeth Gray
1%

January 2526, 2016

Ted Cruz
30.27%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


25.27%
11.99%

Jeb Bush 8.19%, Ben Carson 5.29%, Chris Christie 3.3%,


John Kasich 2.6%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Mike Huckabee
1.4%, Rand Paul 0.5%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, Jim Gilmore
0.1%, Undecided 8.49%

January 1821, 2016

Ted Cruz
45%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


30%
8%

Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul
2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%,
Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, No preference 1%

October 30
November 8, 2015

Ted Cruz
27%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


27%
13%

Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul
4%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum
1%, John Kasich 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%,
Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No opinion 5%, Other
2%, Undecided 10%

October 2324,
2015

Ben Carson
22.93%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


22.17%
14.27%

Jeb Bush 12.65%, Marco Rubio 6.57%, Carly Fiorina 4.57%,


Mike Huckabee 3.14%, Chris Christie 2.47%, Rand Paul
1.33%, Undecided 9.90%

SurveyMonkey[1]
Margin of error: ?% Sample size: 613
Fox News/Opinion Savvy[308]
Margin of error: 3.7% Sample size: 712
ARG[309]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size: 400
Emerson College[310]
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 449
CBS/YouGov[63]
Margin of error: 5.6% Sample size: 796
Monmouth University[311]
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 456
Emerson College[312]
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 446
NBC News/Wall Street
Journal/Marist[307]
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 537
KTVT-CBS 11/
Dixie Strategies[313]
Margin of error: 3.64%
Sample size: 725
TEGNA/SurveyUSA[314]
Margin of error: 3.9%
Sample size: 645
Austin American-Statesman[315]
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 620
University of Houston[316]
Margin of error: 4.8%
Sample size: 415
University of Texas/
Texas Tribune[317]
Margin of error: 4.21%
Sample size: 526
KTVT-CBS 11/
Dixie Strategies[318]
Margin of error: 3.1%
Sample size: 1001
CBS/YouGov[319]
Margin of error: 4.4%
Sample size: 984
UT/Texas Tribune (http://static.texastribune.org
/media/documents/ut-tt-1115-summary-1.pdf/)
Margin of error: 4.21%
Sample size: 542
CBS-DFW (http://dfw.cbslocal.com/2015/10
/27/carson-trump-lead-gop-in-ktvt-cbs-11-dixiestrategies-poll/)

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

77 od 87

Margin of error: 3.02%


Sample size: 1051
Texas Lyceum (http://www.texaslyceum.org
/Resources/Documents
/TEXAS%20LYCEUM%20POLL
/2015%20Texas%20Lyceum%20Poll%20Results.pdf) September 821,
2015
Margin of error: 6.01%
Sample size: 231

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


21%
16%

Ben Carson
12%

Jeb Bush 10%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Marco Rubio 3%, Mike
Huckabee 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Rand Paul 1%, John Kasich
1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki
1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Chris Christie 0%, Jim Gilmore
0%, Scott Walker 0%, No opinion 5%

August 20, 2015

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


24%
16%

Ben Carson
12%

Jeb Bush 9%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Rick
Perry 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Scott Walker 4%,
Other/Unsure 16%

August 23, 2015

Ted Cruz
20%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


19.4%
16.9%

Ben Carson 10.5%, Scott Walker 6.9%, Mike Huckabee


3.9%, John Kasich 3.7%, Bobby Jindal 2.5%, Marco Rubio
2.4%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Carly Fiorina 2.1%,
Chris Christie 1.5%, Lindsey Graham 0.9%, George Pataki
0.3%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, Other 2%, Undecided 2.6%

June 514, 2015

Ted Cruz
20%

Rick Perry
12%

Scott Walker
10%

Marco Rubio 8%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Rand Paul
6%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum
2%, Donald Trump 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%,
John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, George Pataki 0%,
No opinion 15%

Ted Cruz
February 615, 2015
20%

Scott Walker
19%

Jeb Bush
9%

Ben Carson 9%, Rick Perry 8%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Rand
Paul 4%, Marco Rubio 4%, Sarah Palin 3%, Chris Christie
2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%,
John Bolton 0%, Carly Fiorina 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%,
Undecided 13%

October 1019,
2014

Ted Cruz
27%

Rick Perry
14%

Ben Carson
10%

Jeb Bush 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Rand Paul 7%, Paul Ryan
4%, Chris Christie 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%,
Scott Walker 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Kasich 0%,
Undecided 11%

May 30 June 8,
2014

Ted Cruz
33%

Rand Paul
9%

Mike
Huckabee
8%

Jeb Bush 7%, Rick Perry 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan
6%, Scott Walker 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%,
Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 13%

April 1013, 2014

Ted Cruz
25%

Jeb Bush
14%

Mike
Huckabee
10%

Rand Paul 10%, Rick Perry 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Paul
Ryan 5%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Marco Rubio 4%,
Other/Undecided 12%

February 717, 2014

Ted Cruz
28%

Rand Paul
10%

Rick Perry
10%

Jeb Bush 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Marco Rubio
6%, Scott Walker 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Rick Santorum 4%,
Undecided 12%

November 14,
2013

Ted Cruz
32%

Jeb Bush
13%

Chris Christie
13%

Rand Paul 10%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Paul
Ryan 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Someone
Else/Undecided 10%

June 28 July 1,
2013

Ted Cruz
27%

Jeb Bush
15%

Chris Christie
11%

Rand Paul 11%, Paul Ryan 9%, Rick Perry 7%, Marco Rubio
6%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone
Else/Undecided 8%

May 31 June 9,
2013

Ted Cruz
25%

Rand Paul
13%

Marco Rubio
11%

Rick Perry 10%, Chris Christie 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Rick
Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Don't Know 21%

Jan. 2427, 2013

Marco Rubio
21%

Mike
Huckabee
14%

Rand Paul
13%

Jeb Bush 11%, Paul Ryan 11%, Chris Christie 9%, Bobby
Jindal 4%, Rick Perry 4%, Susana Martinez 2%, Someone
Else/Undecided 10%

Gravis Marketing (http://www.mysanantonio.com


/news/politics/article/Trump-pushes-Cruz-outof-lead-in-Texas-poll-6455215.php)
Margin of error: 3%
Sample size: 976
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage
(http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads
/2015/08/TX-Pres-Prim-8.4.15.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 504
UoT/Texas Tribune (http://s3.amazonaws.com
/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/ut-tt0615-summary1.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.75%
Sample size: 504
UoT/Texas Tribune (http://s3.amazonaws.com
/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/UT-TTFeb15-survey-1.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.19%
Sample size: 547
UoT/Texas Tribune (http://s3.amazonaws.com
/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/uttt-oct14summary-2.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.14%
Sample size: 560
UoT/Texas Tribune (http://s3.amazonaws.com
/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/utttjun2014-summary-all.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.37%
Sample size: 504
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_TX_417.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.7%
Sample size: 294
UoT/Texas Tribune (http://s3.amazonaws.com
/static.texastribune.org/media/documents/utttpoll201402-1summary.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.21%
Sample size: 543
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013
/PPP_Release_TX_1107.pdf)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 388
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_TX_703.pdf)
Margin of error: 5.5%
Sample size: 318
UoT/Texas Tribune (http://www.texastribune.org
/2013/06/17/uttt-poll-texans-favor-cruz-over-perrypresident/)
Margin of error: 5.27%
Sample size: 492
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_TX_013113.pdf)
Margin of error: 4.9%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

78 od 87

Sample size: 400

Utah
Winner
Ted Cruz
Primary date
March 22, 2016
Poll source

Date

Caucus results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com March 22, 2016
/P16/UT-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Ted Cruz
69.17%

John Kasich
16.81%

Donald Trump
14.03%

March 1719, 2016

Ted Cruz
53%

John Kasich
29%

Donald Trump
Other 2%, Undecided 5%
11%

March 815, 2016

Ted Cruz
42%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


21%
17%

February 1015,
2016

Marco Rubio
24%

Ted Cruz
22%

January 613, 2016

Ted Cruz
18%

Donald Trump Ben Carson


17%
15%

Marco Rubio 15%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie
2%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Undecided 16%

December 814,
2015

Ted Cruz
20%

Ben Carson
18%

Donald Trump 12%, Other/Don't know ?%

Ben Carson
23%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


15%
12%

Other/Don't know ?%

Jeb Bush
22%

Scott Walker
11%

Marco Rubio
9%

Donald Trump 8%, Other/Dont know ?%

Jeb Bush
14%

Scott Walker
12%

Rand Paul
12%

Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Lindsey Graham 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%,
Other/Don't know 50%

Y2 Analytics[320]
Margin of error: 4.38%
Sample size: 500
Dan Jones and Associates[321]
Margin of error: 7%
Sample size: 215

John Kasich 13%, Undecided 7%

Dan Jones and Associates[322]


Margin of error: 3.92%
Sample size: 625

Donald Trump
Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 4%, Other 2%, Undecided 11%
18%

Salt Lake
Tribune/SurveyUSA[323]
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 989
Dan Jones and Associates[324]
Margin of error: 3.93%
Sample size: 622

Dan Jones and Associates


(http://utahpolicy.com/index.php
/features/today-at-utah-policy
September 817,
/7050)
2015
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 604
Dan Jones and Associates
(http://fox13now.com/2015/08
/11/donald-trump-trails-behindjeb-bush-in-utah-polls/)
July 1421, 2015

Marco Rubio
18%

Margin of error: ?
Sample size: ?
Dan Jones & Associates
(http://utahpolicy.com/index.php
/features/today-at-utah-policy
/5104-bush-clintonare-frontrunners-for-2016March 35, 2015
nomination-among-utahns)
Margin of error: 4.86%
Sample size: 406

Vermont
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016
Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com March 1, 2016
/P16/VT-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Donald Trump John Kasich


32.34%
30.01%

Marco Rubio
19.08%

Ted Cruz 9.61%, Ben Carson 4.13%, Jeb Bush 1.79%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Chris
Christie 0.58%, Carly Fiorina 0.34%, Rick Santorum 0.27%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


32.4%
16.9%

Ted Cruz
10.5%

John Kasich 10.0%, Jeb Bush 7.7%, Ben Carson 3.1%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Carly
Fiorina 1.0%, Rick Santorum 0.6%, Someone else 3.3%, Not sure/Don't know
12.1%

Castleton University/Vermont
Public Radio[325]
Margin of error: 9.01%
Sample size: 118

February 317, 2016

Other

Virginia
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

79 od 87

March 1, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

80 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/VA-R)

Date

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

March 1, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


34.80%
31.98%

Ted Cruz
16.69%

John Kasich 9.54%, Ben Carson 5.87%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Rand Paul 0.28%,
Mike Huckabee 0.14%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Jim
Gilmore 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, Rick Santorum 0.04%

February 2229,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


36%
26%

Ted Cruz
13%

Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 8%

February 2226,
Margin of error: 8.6% Sample size:
2016
481

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


40%
27%

Ted Cruz
22%

John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Undecided 1%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


41%
27%

Ted Cruz
14%

John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 4%

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


38%
15%

Marco Rubio
13%

John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 19%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


28%
22%

Ted Cruz
19%

Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly
Fiorina 2%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 6%

SurveyMonkey[1]
Margin of error: ?% Sample size:
848
CBS/YouGov[326]

Monmouth University[327]
February 2224,
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample size:
2016
421
Roanoke College[328]
February 1624,
Margin of error: 4.5% Sample size:
2016
466
Christopher Newport University[329]
Margin of error: 5.6%
Sample size: 368

February 314, 2016

University of Mary Washington


(https://www.umw.edu/news/wpcontent/uploads/sites/7/2015
/11/UMW-VA-Survey-2015_Topline- November 49,
Day-One.pdf)
2015

Ben Carson
29%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


24%
11%

Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie
4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Don't know 2%

Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 333
Christopher Newport University
(http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf
/oct%2012%202015%20reportfinal.pdf)

September 29
October 8, 2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


23%
17%

Marco Rubio
14%

Carly Fiorina 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike
Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby
Jindal <1%, George Pataki <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%,
Someone else 1%, Undecided 5%

Donald Trump Jeb Bush


27.9%
14.8%

Scott Walker
10.1%

Ben Carson 8%, Carly Fiorina 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.4%, Rand Paul 5.1%, Marco
Rubio 3.5%, John Kasich 3.2%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Mike
Huckabee 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, George Pataki
0.7%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1.8%, Undecided 3.2%

Margin of error: 5.1%


Sample size: 412
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage
(http://opinionsavvy.com/2015/08
/06/republican-presidential-primarystate-12-virginia)
August 23, 2015
Margin of error: 4.1%
Sample size: 504
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_VA_71615.pdf)
July 1315, 2015

Jeb Bush
18%

Donald Trump Scott Walker


14%
14%

Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%,
Ted Cruz 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry
2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum
1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else/Not sure 3%

April 1324, 2015

Jeb Bush
17%

Marco Rubio
16%

Chris Christie
10%

Rand Paul 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike
Huckabee 6%, Donald Trump 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John
Kasich <1%, Rick Perry <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Someone else <1%,
Undecided 7%

Christopher Newport University


(http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf
/feb%2012%202015%20report.pdf) January 30
February 10, 2015
Margin of error: 3.6%
Sample size: 794

Jeb Bush
21%

Scott Walker
16%

Chris Christie
10%

Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul
Ryan 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Pence 1%,
Rick Perry 1%, Rob Portman 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone else 1%,
Undecided 4%

Margin of error: 4.4%


Sample size: 502
Christopher Newport University
(http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf
/april%2027%202015%20report.pdf)
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: ?

Christopher Newport University


(http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf
/feb-2014_2016presidential_final.pdf)

February 2328,
2014

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


19%
18%

Mike
Huckabee
13%

Paul Ryan 13%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 4%, Scott Walker
3%, Undecided 13%

September 2529,
2013

Chris Christie Jeb Bush


20%
10%

Rand Paul
10%

Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, None 14%, Don't know 19%

Margin of error: 5.3%


Sample size: 338
University of Mary Washington
(http://www.umw.edu/news/files
/2013/10/2013-1003-UMW-VASurvey-Fall-2013_ElectionTopline.pdf)
Margin of error: ?
Sample size: ?

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

81 od 87

Washington
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
May 24, 2016
Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/WA-R)

Date
May 10, 2016

Townhall/Gravis Insights
(http://gravismarketing.com/pollingand-market-research/washingtonstate-pool-paul-leads-gop-fieldmurray-leads-mcmorris-rodgersMay 1819, 2015
right-to-work-up-45-to-33/)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


75.82%
10.48%

John Kasich
9.81%

Ben Carson 3.89%

Rand Paul
13.2%

Scott Walker
12.4%

Jeb Bush
11.5%

Marco Rubio 11.3%, Ben Carson 7.6%, Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 5%,
Mike Huckabee 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Unsure 23%

Scott Walker
18%

Marco Rubio
15%

Mike
Huckabee
13%

Ted Cruz 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 10%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul
5%, Rick Perry 3%, Someone else/Not sure 7%

Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 523
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_WA_52115.pdf)
May 1417, 2015
Margin of error: 5.1%
Sample size: 372

West Virginia
Winner
Donald Trump
Primary date
May 10, 2016
Poll source

Date

Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com May 10, 2016
/P16/WV-R)

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


77.01%
8.98%

John Kasich
6.74%

Ben Carson 2.17%, Marco Rubio 1.43%, Jeb Bush 1.14%, Rand Paul 0.89%,
Mike Huckabee 0.87%, Chris Christie 0.36%, Carly Fiorina 0.33%

April 22 May 2,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


57%
25%

John Kasich
14%

Undecided 4%

April 29 May 1,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


61%
22%

John Kasich
14%

Undecided 3%

February 1116,
2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


40%
20%

Marco Rubio
15%

Ben Carson 10%, John Kasich 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina <1%, Chris
Christie <1%, Not Sure 4%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


29%
8%

Ben Carson
7%

Jeb Bush 7%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Scott Walker 2%, Carly Fiorina
2%, John Kasich 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Undecided 32%

Scott Walker
13%

Ben Carson 8%, Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Marco Rubio
4%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 11%

R.L. Repass &


Partners/MetroNews[330]
Margin of error: 4%
Sample size: 228
Public Policy Polling[331]
Margin of error: 4.2%
Sample size: 549
Metro News[332]
Margin of error: ?%
Sample size: 159

Orion Strategies
(http://www.prnewswire.com
/news-releases/trump-leadsrepublican-field-and-clintonin-west-virginia-accordingAugust 25, 2015
to-new-orion-strategiesstatewide-poll-300133726.html)
Margin of error: 4.9%
Sample size: 406
Harper Polling
(http://harperpolling.com
/docs/default-source/defaultdocument-library/hp-15-04wv-gov-gop-toplines.pdf)

April 911, 2015

Jeb Bush
23%

Mike
Huckabee
20%

Margin of error: 6.3%


Sample size: 242

Wisconsin
Winner
Ted Cruz
Primary date
April 5, 2016

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

82 od 87

Poll source
Primary results
(http://www.thegreenpapers.com
/P16/WI-R)

Date

1st

2nd

April 5, 2016

Ted Cruz
48.20%

April 13, 2016

Donald Trump Ted Cruz


42%
32%

March 30 - April 3,
2016

3rd

Donald Trump John Kasich


35.02%
14.10%

Other
Marco Rubio 0.96%, Ben Carson 0.51%, Jeb Bush 0.28%, Rand Paul 0.23%,
Mike Huckabee 0.13%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.07%, Rick
Santorum 0.05%, Jim Gilmore 0.02%

ARG[333]
Margin of error: 5% Sample size:
400

John Kasich
23%

Undecided 3%

Ted Cruz
40%

Donald Trump John Kasich


35%
21%

Undecided 4%

March 29-April 1,
2016

Ted Cruz
43%

Donald Trump John Kasich


37%
18%

Other/Don't Know 2%

March 2830, 2016

Ted Cruz
42%

Donald Trump John Kasich


32%
19%

Other 1%, Don't Know 5%

March 2830, 2016

Ted Cruz
38%

Donald Trump John Kasich


31%
18%

Undecided 13%

March 2829, 2016

Ted Cruz
38%

Donald Trump John Kasich


37%
17%

Undecided 9%

March 2428, 2016

Ted Cruz
39.6%

Donald Trump John Kasich


30.4%
21.4%

Someone Else 0.3%, Undecided 7.7%

March 2024, 2016

Donald Trump John Kasich


29.4%
27.1%

March 2022, 2016

Ted Cruz
36%

Donald Trump John Kasich


35%
19%

Undecided 10%

March 1920, 2016

Ted Cruz
36.2%

Donald Trump John Kasich


31.4%
20.8%

Undecided 11.6%

February 1821,
2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


30%
20%

Ted Cruz
19%

Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Undecided 10%

January 2124, 2016

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


24%
18%

Ted Cruz
16%

Ben Carson 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Jeb
Bush 2%, John Kasich 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%,
Undecided 17%

Emerson College[334]
Margin of error: 4.1% Sample
size: 549
CBS News/YouGov[221]
Margin of error: 5.7% Sample
size: 675
Fox Business News[335]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample
size: 742
Loras College[336]
Margin of error: 4.8% Sample
size: 416
Public Policy Polling[337]
Margin of error: 3.5% Sample
size: 768
Marquette University[338]
Margin of error: 5.8% Sample
size: 471
Optimus[339]
Margin of error: 1.1% Sample
size: 6182

Ted Cruz
25%

Undecided 18.6%

Emerson College[340]
Margin of error: 4.6% Sample
size: 439
Basswood Research/
Washington Free Beacon[341]
Margin of error: 4.4% Sample
size: 500
Marquette University[342]
Margin of error: 7.5% Sample
size: 297
Marquette University[343]
Margin of error: 6.5% Sample
size: 313

Marquette University
(https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2015
/11/19/new-marquette-law-schoolpoll-finds-carson-trump-and-rubioatop-tight-wisconsin-gop-primary- November 1215,
2015
race/)

Ben Carson
22%

Donald Trump Marco Rubio


19%
19%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul
1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%, George Pataki <0.5%, Jim Gilmore
<0.5%, Someone else 0.6%, Undecided 9.8%

Margin of error: 6.6%


Sample size: 326
Marquette University
(https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wpcontent/uploads/2015/09
/MLSP30ToplinesFinal.pdf)

September 2428,
2015

Donald Trump Ben Carson


20.1%
16.2%

Margin of error: 6.5%


Sample size: 321
Marquette University
(https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2015
/08/20/marquette-law-schoolpoll-finds-walker-clinton-leadingScott Walker
August 1316, 2015
primary-fields-among-wisconsin25%
voters/)

Ben Carson
13%

Marco Rubio
14.4%

Carly Fiorina 10.8%, Jeb Bush 6.6%, Ted Cruz 5.1%, Rand Paul 4.5%, Mike
Huckabee 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.1%, John Kasich 2.8%, Rick Santorum 1.2%,
Bobby Jindal 0.5%, George Pataki 0.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.2%, Someone else
0.6%, Undecided 9.8%

Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Mike
Donald Trump Huckabee 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick
Perry 1%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George
9%
Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%

Margin of error: 6.6%

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

83 od 87

Sample size: 334


Marquette University
(https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2015
/04/16/marquette-law-schoolpoll-finds-walker-job-approvalApril 710, 2015
down/)

Scott Walker
40%

Rand Paul
10.3%

Jeb Bush
7.9%

Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 5.8%, Mike Huckabee 5.1%, Ben Carson 5%,
Marco Rubio 3.8%, Bobby Jindal 2.3%, Rick Santorum 1.9%, Carly Fiorina
0.5%, Rick Perry 0.5%, Someone else 1.7%, Don't know 8.9%

Scott Walker
53%

Ben Carson
12%

Jeb Bush
8%

Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Ted
Cruz 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Undecided 5%

Paul Ryan
25%

Scott Walker
21%

Chris Christie
8%

Mike Huckabee 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Marco Rubio
6%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone else/Not sure 8%

Scott Walker
37%

Rand Paul
12%

Ted Cruz
9%

Mike Huckabee 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 4%, John
Kasich 1%, Undecided 12%

Scott Walker
28.9%

Paul Ryan
24.6%

Marco Rubio
9.3%

Chris Christie 8.6%, Rand Paul 8.4%, Ted Cruz 4.3%, Jeb Bush 2.4%,
Someone else 4.2%, Don't know 8.9%

Paul Ryan
27%

Scott Walker
14%

Chris Christie
12%

Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 8%, Bobby Jindal
3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Someone else/Not sure 5%

Paul Ryan
33%

Chris Christie
14%

Jeb Bush
11%

Rand Paul 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rick Santorum 6%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Someone else/Not sure 5%

Scott Walker
37%

Chris Christie
13%

Jeb Bush
11%

Ted Cruz 10%, Rand Paul 10%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby
Jindal 2%, Someone else/Not sure 3%

Paul Ryan
47%

Scott Walker
38%

Paul Ryan
27.1%

Marco Rubio
21.2%

Scott Walker
16.1%

Chris Christie 10.6%, Rand Paul 6.9%, Jeb Bush 4.6%, Bobby Jindal 0.8%,
Someone Else 1.6%, Don't Know 10.5%

Paul Ryan
35%

Marco Rubio
22%

Chris Christie
10%

Rand Paul 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Susana
Martinez 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 8%

Scott Walker
33%

Marco Rubio
27%

Chris Christie
10%

Mike Huckabee 7%, Rand Paul 6%, Jeb Bush 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Susana
Martinez 2%, Rick Perry 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 8%

Margin of error: 5.6%


Sample size: 319
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2015
/PPP_Release_WI_31015.pdf)
March 68, 2015
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 461
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2014
/PPP_Release_WI_424.pdf)
April 1720, 2014
Margin of error: 4.3%
Sample size: 522
Magellan Strategies
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com
/docs/2014
/Magellan_Wisconsin_0414.pdf)

April 1415, 2014

Margin of error: ?
Sample size: ?
Marquette University Law School
(https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2013
/10/29/marquette-law-schoolpoll-shows-walker-in-tightOctober 2127,
race-with-burke-for-wisconsin2013
governor-in-2014/)
Margin of error: 5%
Sample size: 337

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2013
September 1316,
/PPP_Release_WI_919.pdf)
2013
Margin of error: 4.6%
Sample size: 447

Marquette University Law School


(https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2013
/05/14/marquette-law-schoolpoll-looks-at-2016-presidentialcandidates-state-budget-issuesMay 69, 2013
and-background-checks-for-guns/)

Not sure 15%

Margin of error: 5.8%


Sample size: 302
Public Policy Polling
(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
February 2124,
/PPP_Release_FL_011713.pdf)
2013
Margin of error: 3.8%
Sample size: 679

Wyoming

6.12.2016 23:24

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primarie... https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Statewide_opinion_polling_...

84 od 87

Poll source
Convention results
(http://www.nytimes.com/elections
/results/wyoming)

Date
March 12, 2016

Public Policy Polling


(http://www.publicpolicypolling.com
/pdf/2011
/PPP_Release_WY_724.pdf)
July 1921, 2013

1st

2nd

3rd

Other

Ted Cruz
66.3%

Marco Rubio
19.5%

Donald Trump
John Kasich 0.0%, Uncommitted 7.0%, Other 0.0%
7.2%

Rand Paul
19%

Chris Christie
14%

Jeb Bush
13%

Paul Ryan 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby
Jindal 3%, Susana Martinez 1%, Other/Undecided 18%

Paul Ryan
15%

Rand Paul
12%

Jeb Bush
10%

Chris Christie 10%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 5%, Rick Santorum 3%,
Bobby Jindal 2%, Scott Walker 1%, Undecided 33%

Margin of error: 3.5%


Sample size: 780
Harper Polling
(http://conservativeintel.com
/liz-cheney-vs-mikeenzi-conservative-intel-poll-forwysen)

July 1718, 2013

Margin of error: 4.77%


Sample size: 422

See also
General election polling
Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election by demographics, 2016
Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016
Democratic primary polling
Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2016 presidential primaries
Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
Republican primary polling
Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2016 presidential primaries

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259. "Pennsylvania Republican Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Retrieved 26 April
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265. "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Pennsylvania" (PDF). YouGov. Retrieved 18 April
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266. "PENNSYLVANIA: TRUMP UP BY 16" (PDF). Monmouth University. Retrieved 15 April
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267. "Muhlenberg College mid-April GOP Primary Poll". Muhlenberg College. Retrieved 18 April
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270. "Trump Leads In Pennsylvania As Clinton Edges Sanders, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds;
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282. "Statewide Presidential primary poll: Trump strong, Clinton rising". Taubman Center for
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283. "South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Retrieved
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286. "South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary". ARG. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
287. "EMERSON POLL: TRUMP EXTENDS HIS LEAD IN SOUTH CAROLINA; RUBIO PASSES
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288. "2016 Clemson University Palmetto Poll: The Republican Primary". Clemson University
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291. "Donald Trump's Lead Slashed in South Carolina: Poll". NBC/Marist College. Retrieved
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293. "Trump poised to win South Carolina. Cruz and Rubio battle for second place. Evangelicals
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296. "Bloomberg Politics South Carolina Poll". Selzer and Company. Retrieved February 18, 2016.
297. "FIRST ON BUZZ:After debate, Trump still tops SC GOP presidential race". PPP. Retrieved
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298. "South Carolina House Republican Caucus". South Carolina House GOP. Retrieved
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299. "CNN/ORC Poll". ORC International. Retrieved February 17, 2016.
300. "South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary". ARG. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
301. "South Carolina Polling Results". One America News Network. Retrieved February 16, 2016.
302. "South Carolina House Republican Caucus". South Carolina House GOP. Retrieved
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303. "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerSouth Carolina". YouGov. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
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305. "CBS News Battleground 2016 Tracker South Carolina" (PDF). YouGov. Retrieved 25 January
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310. "EMERSON POLL : CRUZ CLINGS TO NARROW LEAD IN TEXAS; TRUMP ROMPS IN
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311. "TEXAS: CRUZ, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. Retrieved
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312. "ALL EYES ON TEXAS: CRUZ BY A NOSE OVER TRUMP, RUBIO IN THE HUNT;
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314. "Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22696" (PDF). SurveyUSA. Retrieved 25 February 2016.
315. "Cruz, Clinton still lead in Texas". Texas Pulse Poll. Retrieved 26 February 2016.
316. "Houston Public Media/UH Center for Public Policy Super Tuesday Republican Primary
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317. "UT/TT Poll: Cruz Leads Trump in Texas; Rubio Lags Behind". University of Texas/Texas
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318. "Cruz Now Leads Trump Among GOP Candidates In Latest KTVT-CBS 11 / Dixie Strategies
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319. "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Texas" (PDF). YouGov. Retrieved 25 January 2016.
320. "Poll: Cruz Tops Among Utah Voters" (PDF). Y2 Analitycs. Retrieved 21 March 2016.
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322. "Poll: Cruz, Sanders Tops Among Utah Voters". Dan Jones and Associates. Retrieved
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323. "Poll:4-way tie among GOP presidential candidates in Utah". Retrieved 18 January 2016.
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326. "Poll: Donald Trump leads in Virginia, Georgia; Ted Cruz hanging on in Texas". YouGov.
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327. "VIRGINIA: TRUMP, CLINTON LEAD PRIMARIES" (PDF). Monmouth University. Retrieved
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328. "RC Poll: Clinton, Trump hold leads in Virginia primary elections; Cruz, Rubio in tight battle for
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329. "Trump leads GOP field, with Rubio and Cruz next;Clinton leads Sanders among Virginia
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336. "Loras College Poll finds Cruz tops Trump, Clinton leads Sanders, tight race for state supreme
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338. "Marquette Law School Poll March 24-28, 2016" (PDF). Marquette Law School. Retrieved
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339. "Wisconsin Republican Presidential Primary". Optimus. Retrieved 30 March 2016.
340. "EMERSON POLL: WISCONSIN PRIMARY INPLAY FOR BOTH PARTIES; CRUZ LEADS
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