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A slice is selected.
The contained value is compared with the costs.
If the net value is positive, the pit can be expanded. If negative,
the pit contracts.
The final pit position (pit limit) is where the net value of the slice is
zero.
Net value is the amount of money remaining after production costs are
deducted from revenues to be obtained from the block or slice.
Production costs for blocks will vary depending upon position in the pit,
especially depth, even without consideration of changes in stripping ratio.
As the pit deepens, the in-pit haul road lengthens, thereby increasing
haulage costs for each block of material moved. This cost variation should
be considered in the pit planning process. Commonly, once a basic
production cost is estimated, the increased cost due to depth is accounted
for simply by adding a percentage amount to the basic cost for each deeper
bench. This is a shortcut that could be improved upon, provided costs are
estimated using itemized techniques described in this course. Haulage costs
can be readily adjusted for increased haul distance once bench height and
in-pit haul road gradient are determined or assumed. The Sherpa Cost
Estimating Software for Surface Mines (see Software onCostMine.com)
handles this adjustment quite easily.
Development decisions
Cost and economic analyses are fundamental to the decision-making
process for broad issues such as whether or not to develop or expand a
mine, and to more specific issues such as what mining method to use or
whether to access by shaft or ramp. Hence, the cost estimate may be based
on exploration data and early assumptions or on well-verified operational
data.
Acquisition decisions
Knowledge of mining costs, and an expectation of profit, while not the only
considerations important to acquisition decision-making, are certainly
Financing
A cost estimate is required in virtually all cases before project financing can
be obtained, whether it be debt or equity financing obtained from bankers,
institutional investors, individual investors, stock funds, or internal corporate
funds. The cost estimate is an integral and important aspect of an economic
analysis prepared for the purpose of obtaining financing. Unfortunately, the
cost estimate sometimes receives inadequate attention during the process
of financial analysis. Indeed, many people operating in this arena,
particularly those outside the mining industry, are unfamiliar with the
nuances of cost estimating and fail to realize the impact that seemingly
insignificant details can have on the ultimate viability of their investment.
Hence, the analyses tend to focus on financial and risk aspects, while the
technical details and reliability of the cost estimate are paid only minor
attention. It is, of course, the responsibility of mining professionals to assure
that the reliability of the cost estimate is adequate for the purpose intended.
Others
Mandated technical reports
Canada, the U.S., Australia, Chile, Peru, South Africa and other countries
with significant equity markets for mining stocks are now requiring the
preparation and reporting of cost estimates in conjunction with technical
reports to be made available to potential investors. The best known of these
requirements is the Canadian National Instrument (NI) 43-101 report.
Legal
Cost estimates are commonly required for a variety of purposes where legal
issues are involved, such as appraisals, where the cost estimate may be
important in application of income or cost appraisal methods; mining claim
validity cases where rights are held on the basis of "discovery;" lawsuits
involving royalty or takings issues; taxation, whereby taxes may be levied
on property value determined by potential income analysis; and other
purposes.
Mineral leasing
Both lessor and lessee need reliable estimates of costs for effective
negotiations of lease terms.
Equipment selection
Life cycle costing is an estimating procedure specific to equipment
selection decision-making. The procedure utilizes many of the principles
described in this class.
Appraisals
A cost estimate is an important step in a mineral property appraisal using
the income method of the cost method of appraisal.
Contract negotiations
The contractor and contractee both need a good handle on estimated costs
for successful negotiations.
_____________________________________________________________________________
Estimating Costs for Mining Prefeasibility Studies
Part 1 - Introduction to Cost Estimating
Standards and Terminology
Introduction
Before starting any cost estimating project, a decision must be made
regarding what method to use for the estimate. This decision involves three
major considerations, as follows.
These considerations are interrelated in that both the time devoted to the
estimate and the amount of background information available should be
adequate to fulfill the purpose for which the estimate is intended.
To help make this decision we may look to outside sources for guidance.
When we do so, we find that considerable efforts have and are being made
to achieve global consistency in setting standards for terminology and
studies concerning the amount of mineral resources and reserves available
in a deposit and the potential economic viability of exploitation thereof. Most
of these efforts are focused on studies done for the purpose of raising
money for exploration or development purposes through established stock
exchanges. The purpose of the efforts is to assure the quality and
consistency of information provided to potential investors. The primary
focus of these efforts at standardization is in the reporting of resource and
reserve amounts. An estimate of mining costs is a necessary corollary to
scoping study
order of magnitude
screening
rule-of-Thumb
feasibility
prefeasibility
preliminary feasibility
final feasibility
bankable
top down
bottom up
concept study
budget
detailed
semi-detailed
factored
pre-study
conceptual
definitive
[...], your third level study may be called definitive, detailed, bankable,
feasibility or the final feasibility study and they are supposed to mean the
same thing.
The following organizations and government agencies are known to be
addressing this issue:
Class 5 estimate
Class 4 estimate
Class 3 estimate
End usage: to support full project funding request, first of the project phase
control estimates, project budget, may be the last estimate required
Estimating methodology: more deterministic methods than stochastic
methods, involve high degree of unit cost line items, factoring and other
stochastic methods may be used for less significant areas
Alternate estimate names/terms: budget, scope, sanction, semi-detailed,
authorization, preliminary control, concept study, development, basic
engineering phase estimate, target estimate
Class 2 estimate
Class 1 estimate
vendor/contractor
Figura 2
Figura 3
Figura 4
Method Application
The types of feasibility studies for which each of these methods is generally
appropriate can be depicted graphically as shown in Figure 4 (right).
In some cases the size of the mine is dictated by the size of the market for a
given commodity. This is especially true for an industrial mineral serving a
local market. In such cases, the production rate is largely determined by
company requirements based on market objectives. In other cases, the
production rate may be determined by the amount of material needed to
feed an existing processing plant, such as limestone to feed a cement plant.
For metals and other commodities for which there is a large market that is
insensitive to the amount of production from the proposed mine, the
question becomes one of practicality and internal economic analysis. In the
absence of external constraints, the proposed production rate is commonly
an optimum rate based on maximization of an economic parameter such as
net present value or rate of return. Typically, the optimum rate may be
constrained by practical considerations such as working area availability and
the ability to advance a shaft and underground development at the desired
rate. Furthermore, to find the optimum rate requires the completion of
multiple economic analyses based on multiple cost estimates for a range of
possible production rates followed by economic (DCF) analyses for each.
Time constraints placed upon the evaluator, as well as the limited amount of
information available for early prefeasibility studies, usually preclude such
complete analyses, although with software packages like Sherpa and Apex
(see Software on CostMine.com), multiple analyses can be accomplished
very quickly and efficiently.
Hence, because of the lack of alternatives, the evaluator typically is left to
his own experiences and knowledge of existing mines to select a reasonable
production rate upon which to base the initial cost estimate. An oft-quoted
effort to address this problem was made by H.K. Taylor, then mine valuation
superintendent for Placer Development Limited (Taylor (1977) and Taylor
(1986)). Mr. Taylor examined a number of actual and planned projects for a
wide range of ore body shapes and sizes and noted an empirical relationship
between the expected ore tonnage and the life of the mine.
He coined the term Taylors Rule for this relationship, which stated
mathematically says:
Life in years = 0.20 (expected tonnes)0.25
Assuming 350 days as a working year, the rule says:
Tonnes per day = 0.014 (expected tonnes)0.75
Taylor considered the relationship valid for all types of operations, including
surface and underground mines, except for very deep, flat mines, where
outputs depend on the hoisting capacities of deep shafts and the achievable
rates of radial or lateral development. Nor did he consider it applicable to
steeply dipping tabular or massive deposits worked towards great depths,
nor to erratically mineralized but dense multi-vein systems whose working
lives depend upon exploration success as the mines age.
The relationship, while commonly used, has always carried the stigma of a
small sample population (presumably 30 mines) and the lack of
acknowledgement of exactly what types and sizes of mines were included in
the sampling. McSpadden and Schaap (1984), Lasserre (1985) and Long and
Singer (2001) tested the relationship with results similar to Taylors. These
later studies confirmed the relationships between expected tonnes and life
of operations, but offered slightly differing proportional elasticities. The later
studies have never become as widely known nor accepted as Taylors Rule in
its initial form.
A more recent study by a U.S. Geological Survey evaluator, Keith R. Long
(Long (2009)) appears to offer a more thorough analysis of the relationship.
Long examined data for 342 open pit mines and 197 underground mines,
many of which have undertaken at least one significant expansion in
capacity corresponding to an expansion of reserves. Individual data points
for the study were defined as a capacity and its corresponding reserve for a
newly opened mine or an expansion thereof, resulting in a total number of
data points exceeding 1200. Long found two separate population groups,
one including open pit and block cave mines together and one for
underground mines excluding block cave mines. Long confirmed a
relationship between mine capacity and reserves, but with differing
proportionality exponents. According to Longs study, the following
relationships hold.
Introduction
As practiced here, itemized cost estimating is an equipment-based
procedure, in that particular emphasis is placed on determining equipment
productivity and utilization from first principles. These determinations are
then extended to create listings of equipment, labor and supply
requirements. Current unit prices for supplies, wages and salaries,
equipment, and equipment operation cost per hour are then applied to the
lists to complete the estimate. Commonly, certain less significant costs,
The itemized method is in fact the basis for virtually all the other methods
discussed in this course. So, even if you never plan to use this method, but
will use some of the other shortcut methods described in Part 7: Other Cost
Estimating Methods, you need to understand how this method works so you
are aware of the pitfalls of using a less-detailed shortcut method.
Estimating Costs for an Open Pit Mine
Example
To illustrate concepts described in the text, an example estimate of costs for
a theoretical open pit mine will be completed step by step as each concept
is described. We begin with a brief description of the theoretical deposit to
be mined.
Project Description
A copper porphyry deposit has been partially drilled out and a preliminary
resource estimate has been completed. Location, geometry and resource
data have been provided to us in the form of plan maps and cross sections.
Resource and waste amounts for a pit with slopes of 45 degrees have been
estimated based on limited drilling and outcrop data. Ore grades are
variable and ore boundaries are irregular. A potential waste dump site and
mill site have been identified. Ore and waste material consist of granodiorite
. Estimated resource and waste amounts are:
100,000,000 tonnes Resource (ore)
230,000,000 tonnes Waste
Our Assignment:
Provide an estimate of mining costs (capital and operating) at an
appropriate level of detail to be utilized in an economic analysis (DCF) to
determine if the property shows potential profitability sufficient to warrant
further expenditure of moneys for additional drilling.
Some analysts balk at providing even this much detail, but a credible
estimate cannot be prepared, even at the most rudimentary level, without
first determining or assuming the above details. If you dont have at least a
rough idea of the location and geometry of your ore body, or where you are
going to dump your ore and waste, you probably arent ready to begin an
estimate of costs.
Example step 1:
A pit cross-section should be prepared based on whatever information is
available regarding the geometry of the ore body. This may only be based
on limited drilling or projection of outcrop information, or it may be based on
detailed mine planning including pit optimization analysis. For starters, a pit
wall slope of 45 may be assumed. The objective here is to gain an idea of
pit depth in order to determine pit haul road distance. It is assumed that an
actual resource estimate has been completed at an appropriate level of
detail prior to this point.
is dictated by the depth to the top of the ore body, and the size of the
working area required to begin ore production. The significance of the
starter pit to the evaluator is that it represents work that must be
accomplished and costs that must be incurred before production begins.
Hence, its cost must be covered by initial mine financing rather than
through operating revenue. The starter pit is sometimes ignored in
preliminary analyses, because from a total cost perspective, it makes little
difference whether the material is moved before the start of production or
during the mine operating phase. It is mainly through the financial analysis,
especially discounted cash flow analysis, that the timing of this waste
production becomes significant.
A generalized layout plan should be plotted on a topo map, showing the
location of the pit, the waste dump area, and the ore stockpile or mill
location (Figure 3, above left). The objective for making this plot for our
purposes is mainly to determine haulage distances and gradients.
If detailed pit planning work has been accomplished, this information should
be utilized.
Begin by dividing the haul roads into segments with obvious grade
differences. Number the segments in sequence and determine the gradients
of each by determining the elevation gain or loss for each segment divided
by its length, expressed as a percentage. Commonly, a minimum of two
segments, and rarely more than six segments, are required to express
haulage gradients in sufficient detail for purposes of determining haulage
productivity and costs.
For an initial estimate, the approximate center of mass of the ore and waste
zones can be used as the starting point for haulage.
Example step 3:
The distances for each road segment are measured from the generalized
mine plan map shown in Example step 1. The gradient percentage is
determined by dividing the elevation change for a segment by the length of
the segment. The distances and gradients for each segment are listed
below. The in-pit haul road gradients are specified by design to be on
gradients of 10%.
a power shovel:
cable
hydraulic backhoe
Power shovels
Power shovels are best suited for larger operations, in hard rock conditions
where good breakout strength is required, and mobility is of lesser
significance. In recent years, the hydraulic shovel has supplanted the
traditional cable shovel in many applications, but where greater breakout
strength is required in large operations, the cable shovel proves superior in
many cases. Good underfoot conditions are required for shovel operations,
which dictate hard rock conditions. Power shovels are more capital intensive
than wheel loaders, so long depreciation periods are necessary, requiring an
appropriate mine life to make them economically viable.
Electric powered cable shovels are generally preferred over diesel-electric
powered cable shovels because they are more energy efficient and easier to
control and maintain, even though the trailing electric cable can be a
hindrance. Diesel-electric shovels are likely to be found in more remote
areas of a pit.
Wheel loaders
Wheel loaders are commonly employed where mobility and versatility are
important. They are an excellent tool for excavating irregular or spotty ore
zones where the machine must make frequent moves within the pit or pits,
and care must be taken to avoid mixing ore and waste material. They can be
used as a primary hauler for distances up to about 200 meters.
Draglines
Bucketwheel excavators
Bucketwheel excavators were originally developed for relatively easy
digging materials such as overburden removal in the lignite brown coalfields
of Germany and in gravel, sand, loam and clays. Newer generations have
improved capabilities for more difficult digging materials, such as shales,
black coal, limestone, and tar sands. They are continuous excavators most
commonly used in conjunction with conveyor transport systems.
Bucketwheel excavatorshave not been well accepted by North American
mines.
Swell
Swell is a metric that describes the fact that a volume of rock expands when
it is blasted or excavated. It is commonly expressed in one of three ways, as
follows.
travel full;
dump the bucket; and
travel empty.
The cycle time for hydraulic front shovels, backhoes and cable shovels
comprises the total time required to:
in
in
later
Loader specifications:
Rated bucket capacity = 15 yd3 (11.475 m3)
Flywheel power = 800 hp
Dump height clearance = 14 ft 11 in. (4557 mm)
Please note: formula results may differ slightly from the stated values
because of spreadsheet rounding!
Determine number of loader cycles per hour
Caterpillar states that a typical loading cycle time for the 992G is about 0.53
minutes. Hence, the unadjusted number of cycles in a 60 minute hour would
be:
Unadjusted cycles per hour = 60 minutes / 0.53 minutes = 113.21
Please note: formula results may differ slightly from the stated values
because of spreadsheet rounding!
Determine the unadjusted hourly production capability
Loading cycle time (Cat Handbook) = 0.49 min
Unadjusted cycles per hour = 60 minutes / 0.49 minutes = 122.45
Rated bucket capacity (volume) = 22.2 yd3 (17.0 m3)
Rated bucket capacity (weight) = bucket capacity loose material
density
Rated bucket capacity (weight) = 17.0 m3 1.92 tonnes per m3 = 32.66
tonnes per load
Bucket fill factor = 0.95 (Caterpillar Handbook pg 12-79)
Actual bucket capacity = 31.03 tonnes (adjusted for fill factor)
Unadjusted productivity per hour = 122.45 cycles per hour 31.03
tonnes per cycle
Unadjusted productivity per hour = 3,799.72 tonnes per hour
Hauling Equipment
The most common choices for hauling equipment include:
conveyors;
rigid frame rear dump trucks;
scrapers;
bottom dump trucks; and
articulated rear-dump trucks.
Conveyors can be cost effective for long-term, high volume haulage where
limited flexibility is acceptable. They are capital intensive, but have
comparatively low operating costs. Usually crushing is required before
material can be conveyed (Figure 1, below).
Rigid frame rear dump trucks are the workhorse of mine haulage. These are
the most commonly used haulage machines at mines today (Figure 2,
below).
Scrapers combine the excavating function with the hauling function. They
are more commonly used for construction earth moving rather than mining
(Figure 3, below).
Bottom dump trucks, sometimes referred to as belly dumps, require a
comparatively low capital investment and can be effective where long hauls
are involved. Highway-legal models are the machine of choice if the haulage
includes a public road segment (Figure 4, below).
Articulated rear-dump trucks are smaller than rigid frame, but they are more
maneuverable and generally favored for hauling under adverse conditions
such as uneven ground or tight curves (Figure 5, below).
In-situ rock density, swell factor, and haul road profile were discussed in the
previous section.
When the travel times for all the road segments have been determined,
they should be added together to determine the total travel time loaded,
and the total return travel time empty.
So now we have the total cycle time required for a truck to position itself to
load, travel to the dump point, dump, return, and position itself for loading
again. Four questions remain to be answered to complete the truck analysis.
3. Determine how much material one truck can haul in each cycle.
To determine how much material one truck can haul in each cycle, we
reference manufacturers' literature to determine the target payload in tons
for which the truck is designed. We then determine the loose density of the
material to be hauled by multiplying its bank density by the expected swell
factor. The volume of the target payload is then calculated to assure that it
does not exceed the volume of the truck bed. If it does, the payload per haul
is limited by the volume of material the truck can hold. If not, the design
payload for the truck is usually used as its capacity for purposes of
preliminary analysis. Manufacturers commonly list a struck capacity and a
heaped capacity for their trucks. The struck capacity adjusted by a fill factor
is commonly used for preliminary estimates. Application of a fill factor
provides a means for the estimator to account for the fact that the
excavator does not provide a perfectly full load with each cycle.
4. Determine the amount of material one truck can haul in one hour.
The amount of material one truck can haul in one hour is the number of
cycles that can be completed in one hour, multiplied by the anticipated
amount per load, adjusted by an "efficiency factor." The efficiency factor is
applied in recognition of the fact that the truck is not always operated with
100% efficiency, i.e. the driver may stop occasionally for a restroom break, a
conversation with his supervisor, a traffic delay, etc. Commonly an 83%
efficiency factor is applied for preliminary estimates of routine production
work. This is sometimes called the "50 minute hour."
An "availability" factor should also be applied, on the assumption that each
truck may be out of service from time to time for mechanical reasons.
5. Determine the number of trucks required and the number of hours the
trucks will operate.
Once the adjusted hourly production per truck is determined, the number of
trucks required to achieve the desired production level per shift is
determined, and the total number of hours the trucks will operate per shift.
The numbers should be reviewed to assure that the planned fleet is
practical, manageable, and appropriate for the situation. To be avoided is a
very large number of small trucks or a very small number of large trucks.
Whether or not to include spare trucks in the equipment fleet is a judgment
call based on a number of factors, such as the need to assure uninterrupted
haulage, the breakdown history of the fleet, capital availability, etc. Adding
spares to the fleet will of course add to capital costs, but it has no effect on
estimated operating costs because the estimate assumes that no operating
costs are involved when a truck is idle.
Three critical pieces of information are carried forward from this haulage
analysis:
These three items are the basis for determining the capital cost for haulage
equipment, the number of hauler operators required, and the cost per day
for haulage equipment operation, as well as such seemingly extraneous
factors as the width of the haul road, the size of the mechanical shop, the
number of mechanics required, and even the number of supervisory
personnel required.
To determine the travel times, we need first to determine the speed at which
the truck will travel over each of the haul road segments listed in Step 3
above, once fully loaded from the loading point to the dumping point, and
once empty in the opposite direction. For this information we refer to the
speed and retarder curves for the 777D hauler in the Caterpillar
Performance Handbook (undated) (Chapter 9). See above explanation of
how to read the curves. The three factors needed to determine speed from
the curves are machine weight loaded, machine weight empty and total
resistance. The formula for calculating travel time from speed is:
60 D /S = T
where:
D = distance
S = speed
T = time
For this example, speeds were capped off at 50km/h for safety reasons.
We now know the truck travel time for the haul. Remaining to be determined
are the maneuver times at the stockpile and at the excavator, and the
loading time.
Typical maneuver times in the load area are 0.6-0.8 minutes. Typical
maneuver and dump times at the dump point are 1.0-1.2 minutes.
Loading time is determined by the excavator productivity as calculated
above. We have estimated actual bucket capacity for the 992G excavator to
be 19.83 tonnes. With a 90 tonne target payload for our truck, this means
that the loader must make 4.54 passes to fill the truck (90 tonnes / 19.83
tonnes). A well known rule of thumb says that for a good excavator to truck
match, the number of passes should be 3 to 5. As noted above, the typical
loading cycle time for the 992G is about 0.53 minutes. Therefore, the
loading time for one truck is 2.4 minutes.
Truck cycle time (ore haul)
We now have all the data we need to add up our full truck cycle time, as
follows.
maneuver at the loading site: 0.7 minutes
load: 2.4 minutes
travel loaded to the ore storage pile: 17.35 minutes
maneuver and dump: 1.1 minutes
travel empty to the ore excavator: 8.38 minutes
total truck cycle time: 29.93 minutes
Number of trucks needed for ore haul
Our target daily ore production is 20,000 tonnes. Each truck carries 90
tonnes and takes 29.9 minutes to complete one haul cycle, but we still need
to account for a 90% availability factor and an 83% efficiency factor. Hence,
the amount of ore each truck can haul in two 10-hr shifts is:
90 tonnes 1200 minutes 0.9 0.83 / 29.93 minutes
truck productivity per truck per day = 2,695.5 tonnes
number of trucks needed for ore haul = 20,000 tonnes / 2,695.5 tonnes =
7.4 trucks (round to 8 trucks)
Amount of time the trucks must operate in one day for ore haulage
This information will be used in our estimate of operating costs, which will
be on a per hour basis. Well ignore the efficiency factor in this calculation,
on the assumption that at least the engine will be idling or some maneuver
is taking place during the down time. Well include the availability factor,
however, on the assumption that the truck is not operating when it is not
available. The total operating hours for the truck haul will be
7.4 trucks 20 hrs per day 0.9 availability factor = 133.2 hours
(Notice that we used our original number of trucks (7.4) rather than 8 to
estimate operating hours properly)
Examination of the Waiting Time the Trucks Impose on the Ore Excavator
This calculation accounts for the fact that the excavator loads a round of
trucks faster than the time it takes for the round of trucks to complete a full
cycle, requiring the excavator to sit at idle for an amount of time, waiting for
trucks. This increases the required daily operating time for the excavator.
Time between loadings for one truck (T1) = (29.93 2.41) = 27.52 min
Number of trucks excavator must load during T1 = (8-1) = 7
Time excavator spends actually loading during T1 = (7 2.41) = 16.87 min
Time excavator spends idle between successive loadings of any specific
truck = (27.52 16.87) = 10.65 min
Time excavator spends idle for each truck = (10.65/7) = 1.52 min
Excavator time needed per truck including idle time 2.41 + 1.52 = 3.93 min
Total time loader must be available per day (unadj) ((20,000/90) 3.93)/60
= 14.56 hr
Total time loader must be available per day adjusted for availability and
efficiency = 14.56/(0.83 0.90) = 19.49 hr = 19.5 hours
Example of Haul Truck Selection and Productivity (Waste Haulage)
We have determined what size of truck to use for ore haulage, the number
of trucks needed and the number of hours per day total that the trucks must
operate. Now we will do the same for waste haulage. The procedure will be
identical except the haul profile is different, resulting in a change in travel
times, and the waste haul trucks are being loaded by a front shovel rather
than a wheel loader, so the loading time might be different as well. We will
begin by testing the Cat 777D model, as with the ore haul analysis, because
a matched ore and waste haul fleet is a desirable operating advantage.
number of trucks needed for waste haul = 40,000 tonnes / 5,722 tonnes =
6.99 trucks (round to 8 trucks)
Total hours per day the waste haul trucks will operate
7 trucks 20 hrs per day 0.9 availability factor = 126 hours
(Notice that we used our original number of trucks (7) rather than 8 to
estimate operating hours properly)
Haul truck fleet
We see from the above calculations that we will need 8 ninety tonne trucks
(similar to Cat 777D) for ore haul operating a total of 133.2 hours per day,
and 8 ninety tonne trucks for waste haul operating a total of 126 hours per
day.
Examination of the Waiting Time the Trucks Impose on the Waste Excavator
This calculation accounts for the fact that the excavator loads a round of
trucks faster than the time it takes for the round of trucks to complete a full
cycle, requiring the excavator to sit at idle for an amount of time, waiting for
trucks. This increases the required daily operating time for the excavator.
Time between loadings for one truck (T1) = (14.1 1.42) = 12.68 min
Number of trucks excavator must load during T1 = (8-1) = 7
Time excavator spends actually loading during T1 = (7 1.42) = 9.94 min
Change Level
Height of
face
Granite, Gneiss
Quartzite
Limestone (medium-thickly
stratified)
Shale (medium-hard
to soft)
25
10 12
12 14
15 18
35
12 14
14 16
16 18
45
13 15
14 19
18 22
55
14 16
15 21
19 24
80
16 20
16 25
20 28
100
16 22
20 28
20 30
120
16 25
20 29
20 32
Table 1: Material type and distance between blastholes (ft.) - adapted and
abbreviated from Church 1981 p. 11-47
Once an appropriate drill pattern has been selected, the footage of drilling
required per day can be determined from Table 2 (left), which outlines the
volume of rock blasted per foot of blasthole.
Table 2: Volume of rock per lineal foot of blasthole (cubic yards)
Spacing
Burden
10
12
14
16
18
20
25
30
40
10
3.70
4.44
5.19
5.93
6.67
7.41
9.26
11.11
14.81
12
4.44
5.33
6.22
7.11
8.00
8.89
11.11
13.33
17.78
14
5.19
6.22
7.26
8.30
9.33
10.37
12.96
15.56
20.74
16
5.93
7.11
8.30
9.48
10.67
11.85
14.81
17.78
23.70
18
6.67
8.00
9.33
10.67
12.00
13.33
16.67
20.00
26.67
20
7.41
8.89
10.37
11.85
13.33
14.81
18.52
22.22
29.63
25
9.26
11.11
12.96
14.81
16.67
18.52
23.15
27.78
37.04
30
11.11
13.33
15.56
17.78
20.00
22.22
27.78
33.33
44.44
40
14.81
17.78
20.74
23.70
26.67
29.63
37.04
44.44
59.26
Table 2: Volume of rock per lineal foot of blasthole (cubic yards) - adapted
and abbreviated from Church (1981) p. 11-44
average hourly drilling rates for rotary drills using tricone bits
based on 67% drilling efficiency:
average hourly drilling rates for rotary drills using drag bits of
fishtail or finger type based on 67% drilling efficiency:
size, number and hours of operation for the drills can be determined as
above.
You have covered the following points in Part 3: Itemized Cost Estimation:
Equipment.
road maintainers;
bulk powder trucks;
dozers;
service trucks;
pumps;
water tank trucks;
lighting; and
pickup trucks.
Lighting plants
Lighting plants are needed only if the mine is
scheduled to operate at night. These are usually
diesel generator driven portable light towers
stationed at strategic locations, around the mine,
especially at the excavation sites, and the ore
stockpile and waste dump sites.
Service trucks
One or more fuel and lube trucks are needed to
service the mobile equipment fleet, typically once
per shift. The truck(s) are equipped with a fuel tank
and fuel delivery system, multiple lube tanks with a
compressor and lube delivery system, and a lube
salvage system. One or more mechanic's field service trucks, with welding
equipment and a hydraulic crane, are needed to facilitate maintenance and
field repair of the mobile fleet. The number of service trucks needed
depends upon the number of mobile equipment units in use.
Pumps
Reliable
pumping
requirements
are
typically
unavailable at the time of prefeasibility analysis.
Rainfall accumulation can be determined from
climate data and pit area, but groundwater
accumulation may not be available. Some pumping
should be assumed in all cases. Centrifugal pumps
are typically used for open pit mine applications. One
or more pumps capable of pumping an estimated amount of water against a
head at least as high as the pit depth in the first several years of operation,
plus the friction head, should be selected.
Water trucks
Pickup Trucks
Pickup trucks are ubiquitous at mining operations.
Typically they are full size, to ton, 4-wheel-drive
vehicles. Their number and hours of usage can vary
considerably from mine to mine.
Dozers
Well assume we need one dozer per excavator (2) plus two additional for
other work. Two will operate ten 50 minute hours each per shift, and two will
operate six 50 minute hours each per shift. Consulting the Cost
Calculator(website) we find that we have cost data available for a 350 hp
dozer with a 14.8 ft. (4.5 m) blade. This is a reasonable size and type for our
project. Hence, our estimate will include the following:
Four 350 hp dozers operating a total of 64 hours per day (32 hours per shift)
Bulk Trucks
Consulting the Cost Model Section of Mining Cost Service(website) we find a
model designed around a production level of 20,000 tonnes ore per day with
a 2:1 stripping ratio. We note that this model includes one bulk truck
capable of loading 450 kg of explosives per minute. We will do the same for
our project.
Lighting Plants
We see by the 20,000 tonne per day Cost Model in Mining Cost Service that
four 16 kW plants should be adequate for our project.
Service Trucks
The Cost Model in Mining Cost Service lists 5 service trucks needed for a
mine the size of ours. Well assume 2 fuel/lube trucks, 2 mechanics field
trucks, and 1 tire service truck. The Cost Calculator lists such units having
82 hp service system power and 33,000 lb (14,969 kg) gvw.
Pumps
Since we are given no information about the amount water inflow that will
require pumping for this mine, we are left to making a reasonable pump
selection based on our own judgment. The Cost Calculator contains cost
data for a number of pump sizes and a variety of heads vs. volume. A
reasonable choice is the 65 hp diesel centrifugal pump capable of pumping
800 gpm against a 150 ft. head.
Water Truck
Task: Road Dust Control
Pickup Trucks
The Cost Model Section of Mining Cost Service suggests that a mine the size
of ours would utilize 14 ton, 4 wheel drive pickup trucks.
Example of Equipment Summary
The table below summarizes our mobile equipment needs based on the
above analyses.
Table 3: Equipment summary
Units
Required
1
Equipment
Wheel Loader
Specifications
800 hp, 15 yd3 (11.5 m3) bucket
Front Shovel
18
Haul Trucks
Rotary Blasthole
Drill
6 in. (15.2 cm) hole diameter, 52.7 m hole depth, approx 27,000
kg pulldown
Road Maintainer
Dozers
350 hp
Bulk Explosives
Truck
Lighting Plants
16 kw
Fuel/Lube Truck
Mechanic's Truck
Centrifugal Pump
Water Truck
14
Pickup Trucks
fuel;
lubricants;
electricity;
drill bits;
drill steel;
explosives;
primers;
detonation cord;
repair parts;
tires; and
assays.
Fuel
Fuel requirements for individual units are based on the units power rating
and its power factor, which is the average percentage of full power at which
the unit operates throughout its operating hours. Typically, diesel engines
will consume about 0.020.04 gal (0.070.15 liters) of fuel per hp utilized. If
the Equipment Cost Calculator (website) is referenced, the actual fuel
consumption need not be calculated because the Calculator provides the
fuel cost per hour for each vehicle. Power, power factor, and the fuel price
have all been considered.
Lubricants
Crankcase oil needs are roughly proportional to the size of the engine.
Additional lubricants are needed for other mechanical parts. The amount
varies with the equipment size, complexity and amount of usage. Lubricant
consumption can be difficult to predict, but the Equipment Cost Calculator
provides hourly lubricant costs for all the equipment units in its database, so
there is no need to estimate actual consumption. If a consumption figure is
desired, it can be back calculated from the Cost Calculator lubricant cost,
knowing the price of the lubricants used by the calculator.
Electricity
Mining companies pay a monthly power bill primarily consisting of:
Stage
HP
KW
Power Factor
Jaw crusher
125
168
0.8
134
Cone crusher
400
536
0.8
429
Vibrating grizzly
40
54
0.8
43
Total
565
758
606
Charge/Consumption
Calculation
Customer charge
Demand charge
Amount
$250
$3.50 606 kW =
$2,121
Energy consumed
200 hr 606 kW =
121,200 kWh
Energy charge
$ 0.04 121,200 =
$4,848
$7,219
This allows the evaluator to manipulate the charge in a variety of ways, such
as to distribute it among each of several power consuming units. It makes it
easier to make minor changes to the estimated electric power usage
without going through the complete rate schedule calculation with each
change. The rate is reasonably accurate as long as the demand total is fairly
close to that used in the monthly bill calculation.
Explosives
A broad range of explosive types is available for production blasting. The
choice depends on rock characteristics, water conditions, loading
preference, etc. Descriptions of the various types can be found in Church
(1981) and other references. The explosive of choice for most large scale
mining operations is an ammonium nitrate, fuel oil mix (ANFO), which is
desirable because of its relatively low cost, ease of loading, and safety.
The volume of ANFO required per day can be
estimated from the volume of drill holes required per
day. ANFO is sold on a weight basis, so the volume
must be converted to weight by multiplying the
volume by the density of ANFO. Typically, blastholes are not loaded
completely to the collar, leaving room for stemming. The amount of hole left
for stemming is usually about equal to the amount of subdrilling included.
ANFO density varies from about 0.8 (50 lb/ft3 = 801 kg/m3) to 0.9 (60 lb/ft3
= 961 kg/m3). The lower density results when the material is poured into
the hole, the higher density when it is air injected.
A simpler method for determining daily explosive consumption is to utilize
the powder factor if one is known. The powder factor is the pounds or
kilograms of explosive required per ton or tonne of rock blasted. The powder
factor will probably be known for an existing operation, but in the absence
of on-site data, you will need to assume a factor based on judgment or
experience. Powder factors for surface mines typically range from 0.25 to
0.5 kg per metric ton (0.5 to 1.0 lb per short ton) and usually higher for
underground mines.
Primers
At least one primer or booster is required per blasthole. If you know the
number of blastholes required per day, this is a simple calculation. The
number may have been determined previously in a mine plan, blast
analysis, or drilling analysis. If not, then a number should be assumed based
on rough estimating.
Detonation cord
Detonation cord (e.g. Primacord) is commonly used to initiate the blast.
Typically, detonation cord is inserted the length of each drill hole and it also
forms a circuit tying the holes together. If a blasthole pattern has been
designed, the amount of detonation cord required can be determined from
that. In the absence of such detail, a reasonable estimation can be made by
equating the length of detonation cord required per day to the total length
of blasthole drilling required per day, plus a factor for connectors between
holes.
Repair parts
The cost of repair parts per hour or day of operation can be a difficult value
to estimate with confidence. After all, if you anticipate having to repair
something you institute a maintenance program to prevent having to do so.
Hence, the amount and cost of repair parts depends on the diligence of the
maintenance program and other factors such as the working conditions, the
operators care, and the complexity of the equipment.
Tires
Tire life depends heavily on the diligence of the tire maintenance program,
the attention paid to haul road grooming, and working conditions.
The tire life estimates in Table 3 (below) are suggested by TEREX
Corporation.
Job Conditions
Favourable
Average
Unfavourable
Wheel Tractors
4,000 hr.
3,000 hr.
2,500 hr.
Graders
4,500 hr.
2,250 hr.
1,000 hr.
Wheel Loaders
4,000 hr.
3,250 hr.
1,750 hr.
4,000 hr.
3,250 hr.
2,250 hr.
8,000 hr.
5,000 hr.
3,500 hr.
Assays
Assays of course are not really supply items, but they are a daily cost of
mine operation so should be considered in the estimate. Typically, one
sample will be assayed from the cuttings for some or all of the blastholes, as
well as from face samples taken for a variety of reasons. A good preliminary
Fuel
We will be referencing the Equipment Cost Calculator fuel cost per hour for
each unit of equipment, so we do not need to estimate the total fuel usage.
If we need to know the total fuel usage, we can back calculate the amount
by dividing the Cost Calculator cost/hr by the fuel price.
Lubricants
We will be referencing the Cost Calculator lubricant cost per hour for each
unit of equipment, so we do not need to estimate the total lubricant usage.
If we need to know the total lubricant usage, we can back calculate the
amount by dividing the Cost Calculator cost/hr by the lubricant price.
Electric power
All of our equipment is diesel powered or uses diesel generated power, so
our project wont be subject to significant charges for electricity. We will
include a small allowance to cover the cost of electricity used for HVAC and
lighting in buildings.
Drill bits
Drill steel
Explosives
Primers
Detonation cord
Length of detonation cord required per day = length of blasthole drilling per
day + 20% for circuit = 786 m 1.20 = 943 m
Repair parts
The cost of repair parts per hour of operation will be determined by
referencing the Equipment Cost Calculator when we accumulate the
equipment operating costs.
Tires
The cost of tires per hour of operation will be determined by referencing the
Cost Calculator when we accumulate the equipment operating costs.
Assays
Number of assays required per day = number of blastholes drilled per day +
an allowance for other purposes = 26 + 5 = 31 assays per day.
supply items
working capital
contingency
salvage
sustaining capital
first fill
hourly personnel:
equipment operators,
blasters,
mechanics, and
laborers & maintenance;
salaried personnel:
manager,
superintendent,
foreman,
engineer,
geologist,
supervisor,
technician, and
accountant;
clerks;
human resources personnel; and
secretaries.
Equipment
Number
Wheel loader
19.5
Front shovel
18.0
16.7
15.8
Blasthole Drills
17.2
Dozers
20.0
Dozers
12.0
Road Maintainer
10.0
Water Truck
10.0
Role
32
Drillers
Dozer operators
Role
Hours
Mechanics
Blasters
Laborers/Maintenance/Helper
s
46
103
Salaried personnel
Role
Manager
0.5
Superintendent
Foreman
Chief Engineer
Engineer
Chief Geologist
Geologist
Shift Supervisor
Technician
Accountant
Clerk
HR Personnel Manager
HR Personnel Staff
Security/Safety Manager
Security/Safety Staff
34.5
Change
office;
mechanical shop;
warehouse;
The cost of a fuel storage facility capable of storing sufficient fuel for 10 to
30 days of mine operation should be included in the estimate. The amount
of storage capacity needed can be estimated by summing the total amount
of fuel required by each unit of equipment for 10 to 30 days of operation.
Equipment manufacturers generally provide fuel consumption data for their
equipment. The Caterpillar Performance Handbook(website) provides low,
medium and high consumption rates for most of their equipment. Table 1
(right) shows the range of medium level rates for the smallest to the largest
of their models.
Table 1: Fuel consumption
Equipment
Liter
U.S. Gallon
Dozers
11-113
3-30
Motor Graders
13-60
3.5-16
Excavators
5-204
1.5-54
Front Shovels
71-204
19-54
Haul Trucks
30.3-228
8-60.5
Articulated Trucks
15-32.5
4-8.5
Wheel Loaders
4-144
1-38
Warehouse
The Mining Cost Service Cost Model recommends a warehouse size of 905
m2 for a mine of this size.
Explosive storage facility
Mining Cost Service recommends an explosive storage facility of 130 m2 for
a mine of this size.
Fuel storage and dispensing facility
Provide fuel storage for 10 to 30 days of consumption.
The largest double wall steel fuel tank listed in Mining Cost Service is a
15,000 gallon tank. We will assume three of these are needed. MCS also
provides the capital cost for a 50 gpm (189 lpm) fuel pump. We will assume
this is adequate for our project. An allowance will be added in the cost
summary for installation and for dike construction.
Haul road construction may involve any or all of the following tasks:
surveying;
clearing and grubbing;
drilling and blasting;
cutting and filling;
grading of subgrade;
compaction;
placement of surfacing material (usually crushed rock);
construction of ditches;
construction of bridges or drainiage crossings;
grading of running surface;
placement of berm material; and
watering for dust control and to aid compaction.
Costs per kilometer for all these tasks can be estimated using equipmentbased productivity techniques similar to those described in previous lessons;
but usually this approach is far too time consuming for most feasibility
studies, particularly at the prefeasibility level. A more common approach is
to utilize reliable pre-calculated costs per meter or kilometer of road from
published references.
The Cost Models in Mining Cost Service (website) contain summary road
construction costs that can be applied to other estimates.
Benefits
Benefits as defined here refers to the moneys and amenities that a mine
provides its employees in addition to base wages and salaries. From the
perspective of cost to the mine, they are commonly referred to as burden."
Benefits can be broadly divided into two categories: mandated and
voluntary. Mandated benefits are those the mine is required by law to
provide. Voluntary benefits are those the mine pays voluntarily in addition to
the mandated benefits. Below are listings of mandated benefits for US
mines and Canadian mines respectively, along with approximate amounts.
Mandated benefits in other countries are many and varied.
Mandatory Employment Taxes and BenefitsUS Mines (from Mining Cost
Service)
Withholding (income) taxes are deducted from the employees wages and
paid to the federal government by the employer. They are fully paid by the
employee, so need not be considered in cost estimating.
Medicare Tax:
Employers and employees each pay 1.45% of total wages. Provides funding
for medical benefits for retirees.
Provides state funding for payment of medical and other expenses for
workers injured on the job. Rates vary by state, by industry, and by industry
depending on the claim record for that industry. Underground coal mining
carries the highest rates within the mining industry, ranging from about $20
per $100 of payroll to as high as $80 per $100 payroll. Surface non-coal
mines carry the lowest rates within the mining industry, typically less than
$10 per $100 of payroll.
Mandatory Employment Taxes and BenefitsCanadian Mines (from Mining
Cost Service)
Withholding (income) taxes are deducted from the employees wages and
paid to the federal government by the employer. They are fully paid by the
employee, so need not be considered in cost estimating.
Employment Insurance:
Provides funding to pay medical and other expenses for employees injured
on the job. Rates vary by industry and province, typically between $1.70 per
$100 payroll to $8.00 per $100 payroll on maximum assessable earnings
ranging from $49,000 to $104,000 per year for 2012.
Pension Plans:
Supply item
Amount
Unit price
$2,692 ea
6 in. 10 ft.
$630 ea
ANFO
$48 / 100 lb
Primers
1 lb
$4.56 ea
Detonation cord
50 grain
$225 / 1,000 ft
Assays/sample prep
$25 ea
Fuel/lube/tires
Unit costs available from Mining Cost Service, but we will use the
hourly costs provided by the Equipment Cost Calculator
Hourly personnel
23.14
23.14
22.00
Drillers
23.05
Dozer operators
23.14
23.14
23.14
Mechanics
Blasters
23.14
Labourers/maintenance/helpers
18.68
Salaried personnel
Manager
$143,000
Superintendent
119,000
Foreman
87,900
Chief engineer
105,100
Engineer
70,400
Chief geologist
92,600
Geologist
67,600
Shift supervisor
63,000
Technician
50,100
Accountant
74,600
Clerk
41,400
HR personnel manager
101,000
HR personnel
48,000
Security/safety coordinator
84,000
Security/safety staff
50,000
* (Mechanics' wages will be included in equipment operating cost as provided by the Equipment Cost
Calculator.)
Adapted from U.S. Metal and Industrial Mineral Mine Salaries, Wages and Benefits, 2010 Survey Results) (U.S. average for surface
mines) (www.CostMine.com)
Preproduction stripping
The preproduction stripping cost per tonne will be assumed to be the same
as the operating cost per tonne of material mined estimated for the mining
operation (determined to be $2.50/tonne).
Example mine
20,000 tonne per day ore
40,000 tonne per day waste
Date of costs: September 2011
Equipment purchase
Item
Specifications
Units
required
Units
Cost/unit
($)
Extended
cost ($)
Wheel loader
800 hp,
15yd3 bucket
ea
1,752,000
1,752,000
Front shovel
1550 hp,
22.2yd3bucket
ea
4,516,000
4,516,000
Haul trucks
938 hp
(9699kw), 90
ton, rigid frame
18
ea
1,002,000
18,036,000
6 in hole diam,
52.7 m hole
depth, approx
27,000 kg
pulldown, 500
hp
ea
777,350
2,332,050
Road maintainer
14.7 ft blade,
270 hp
ea
453,000
453,000
Dozers
14.8 ft (4.5 m)
blade, 350 hp
ea
836,100
3,344,400
Bulk explosives
truck
459 kg/min
ea
82,600
82,600
Lighting plants
16 kw
ea
22,045
88,180
Fuel/lube truck
ea
80,750
161,500
Mechanic's truck
ea
67,750
135,500
ea
159,500
159,500
Centrifugal pump
ea
26,350
26,350
Water truck
26,498 liter
ea
630,000
630,000
Pickup trucks
14
ea
26,000
364,000
Total equipment
capital cost
Capital
cost ($)
32,081,080
Units
required
Units
Cost/unit
($)
Extended
cost ($)
Preproduction
stripping
30,000,000
tonne
2.50
75,000,000
Road construction
7,983
meters
1,000
7,983,000
Total
preproduction
development costs
Capital
cost ($)
82,983,000
Units
required
Units
Cost/unit
($)
Extended
cost ($)
Office building
325
m2
1,175
381,875
Dry
574
m2
1,469
843,206
Mechanical shop
1,010
m2
842
850,420
Warehouse
905
m2
440
398,200
Explosive storage
facility
130
m2
800
104,000
Fuel
storage/dispensing
facility
110,000
110,000
Capital
cost ($)
Total buildings
and structures
2,687,701
Subtotal
117,751,781
11,775,178
Extended
cost ($)
End of project
reclamation
5,000,000
Sustaining capital
15,000,000
Working capital
Total other capital
costs
60
days
150,000
9,000,000
29,000,000
Subtotal
158,526,959
Contingency (10%)
15,852,696
174,379,655
Working capital
Working capital is an important accounting metric that measures a
companys ability to meet its short term liabilities. It is defined as follows:
working capital = short term assets short term liabilities
Financial managers monitor working capital closely to assure that a
company is always in a position to meet its short term liabilities, most
notably, near term payroll and accounts receivable. At the time of startup
for a mine, we begin incurring short term liabilities immediately, but as far
as the mines accounts are concerned, it has no short term assets with
which to meet short term liabilities unless provision is made in our capital
funding to assure a positive working capital metric. In our engineering
economic analysis we make this provision by adding an appropriate amount
of money to our capital requirements. Typically this amount is determined
by estimating the amount of operating expenses that will be incurred before
adequate revenue becomes available from the sale of our product to cover
the full operating expenses.
As you can see, at mine startup assurance of a positive working capital
metric is not just good financial management, it is a necessity. Workers must
be paid and supplies must be purchased for a period of time before our first
product is produced and sent to market. If adequate working capital is not
available, the wait for that first check from the smelter will be a stressful
wait indeed. Hence, we try to estimate the amount of time it will take from
startup to receipt of that first check, commonly 60 to 120 days is used for
the estimate, and then multiply that number of days times our previously
estimated operating expenses per day to determine the amount of working
capital to include.
This begs the question then, what happens to this fund through the life of
the mine? Theoretically, in simplistic terms, at the end of the mines life
operating expenses will cease before revenue stops coming in from the sale
of our last days products. In other words, working capital is recovered at the
end of the mines life. Hence, in our life of mine cash flow summary, we list
working capital as a capital liability at the beginning of the life, and a capital
asset at the end. Its net effect on our economic analysis is to add to the
initial amount of money that must be financed from some source, possibly
incurring some interest expense thereby, and also to reduce the NPV of our
project because of the time value of the money involved.
Initial working capital requirements are commonly underestimated. Consider
the learning curve involved in ramping the mine up to full production, the
difficulties that might arise in moving our first shipment through rail or port
terminals, the unexpected transportation delays that might occur because
of weather conditions or border crossings, and finally the technical and
business complications that might show up when working the first shipment
of our ore through a new smelter, while in the meantime, the mines
employees and suppliers all expect to be paid on time.
Contingency
Contingency is a capital cost item defined by the Association for the
Advancement of Cost Engineering (AACE) as
[...] an amount added to an estimate to allow for items, conditions, or
events for which the state, occurrence, or effect is uncertain and that
experience shows will likely result, in aggregate, in additional costs
Referred to here are happenings such as unexpected increases in unit prices
for needed materials, inclement weather conditions that add to costs,
increased drilling and blasting costs because rock hardness exceeds
expectations, water inflow exceeding expectations thereby increasing
pumping costs, and a myriad of other potential unforeseen circumstances.
The contingency amounts may be based on sophisticated risk studies such
as Monte Carlo analysis, or simply on personal judgment. The amount may
be added as a single capital cost item, usually a percentage of total capital
costs, or as individual amounts attached to various cost centers. By applying
individual amounts to various cost centers, the contingency percentages
can vary as appropriate for the individual cost items, and the percentages
can be reduced or eliminated as the project progresses and more
information becomes available, or the involved activity is completed
For purposes of engineering economic analysis, the contingency amount is
assumed to be spent whether or not it is actually needed. It is not recovered
at the end of the mine life in the way that working capital is recovered.
Contingency amounts should be stated clearly and openly for all to see.
Others may have their own opinions of what the contingency percentages
should be, and if they are not aware that an amount has been included
somewhere in in the cost estimate, they may attempt to add their own idea
of an amount after the fact, thereby doubling up on an existing amount.
Contingency percentages of 5% to 20% are typical. Estimators tend to feel
safer by erring on the high side when estimating contingencies rather than
the low side. This is easy to understand, but care should be taken to avoid
overestimating a contingency, because the amounts involved can become
very large very quickly, and can easily destroy the economics of a
potentially viable project.
Salvage
We can assume that on the last day of the last year in the life of a mine, a
fully functional equipment fleet will be at work. The day after that last day,
the fleet will no longer be needed, yet it certainly has some value that
should be accounted for. While the condition and value of the equipment are
difficult to predict from the vantage point of a prefeasibility study, a rough
value can be guessed by taking a percentage of the purchase price of the
fleet that we have determined for the initial capital investment. Typically, a
bottom line percentage of at least 15% is assumed for the salvage value of
the mobile equipment fleet at the end of the mine life. This value would be
entered as a revenue item in the year after mine closure. The value can be
refined by estimating the resale value of the equipment based on its
expected life compared to its hours of use during mining. Other equipment,
especially processing equipment, may retain salvage or resale value as well.
Sustaining capital
Sustaining capital, sometimes called recurring capital," refers to capital
infusions during the life of a mine for items that have a beneficial life
greater than one year, and are beyond the amount estimated for routine
operating costs. The most obvious sustaining capital item is the cost of
replacing worn out equipment. Other items might include adding a lift to a
tailings dam, extension of a haul road to reach distant ores, stripping of
overburden for a pit push back, and addition of equipment for operational
changes such as added haul trucks for a longer haul. Reclamation work
completed during the life of the mine may fall into this category as well.
Sustaining capital cost amounts are inserted into the life of mine cost table
in the appropriate years. They are sometimes reported as a total amount in
a capital cost summary without regard to the year of the event, but any
reviewer of such a cost summary should be aware that an item reported as
sustaining capital or recurring capital is not an upfront cost. He or she
should be looking for a life of mine cost table to see when the monies will be
needed.
First fill
The concept of first fill is closely related to that of working capital." First
fill refers to the cost of stocking the warehouse with spare parts, rock bolts,
timber sets, electrical wiring, piping, drill bits and steel; the cost of the initial
filling of the fuel storage tanks; the cost of an initial supply of explosives,
etc. For processing, the first fill might comprise the cost of an initial supply
of reagents, grinding mill balls and liners. It is generally not considered an
effective use an estimators time to itemize all these materials for a
prefeasibility study. Instead, short cut methods are used to come up with a
total first fill cost amount, such as multiplying the estimated daily operating
cost amount for materials and supplies by an appropriate number of days.
Care should be taken to avoid double accounting of first fill costs and
working capital cost, because in part, they may be considered to cover the
same items. First fill costs are treated as an up front capital cost item to be
recovered at the end of the project life in much the same way working
capital is treated.
Summary
This completes our discussion of itemized cost estimating and our example
estimate. We have gone to considerable detail in some areas, while we have
seriously shortcutted some others. All in all, we have come up with a
reasonable estimate for use in a prefeasibility or preliminary study. Keep in
mind, all we have estimated is the actual mining costs. Following are a
number of additional cost items that may have to be considered if we were
to carry this estimate on to a complete feasibility study.
Cost Indexes ... | Scaling Factors ... | Price Data and Sensitivity ... |
Cost Indexes
You will cover the following points in Part 6: Useful Techniques.
Cost Indexes
Cost indexes are dimensionless numbers used to track the pace of inflation
or deflation in the cost of certain items or groups of items. They are
commonly expressed as a number representing the cost of an item in a
particular year relative to the cost of the item in a base year, which is
usually represented by an index of 100. In other words if the cost index for
an item in a particular year is 160, the cost of the item in that year is 60%
greater than the cost of the item in the base year.
Because the indexes for all the years for a certain item are all expressed
relative to the same base year, they can also be expressed in ratios of the
indexes for any one year to that of any other year. This relationship allows
us to adjust outdated cost information to the present, or to any other time
for which an index is known.
Example:
If a haul truck cost $1,700,000 in 2006, what would be its estimated cost in
2011?
Sept 2011 = 2006 cost (Sept 2011 cost index) / (2006 cost index)
From the Mining Cost Service Cost Index section, the appropriate cost
indexes for machinery and equipment are:
2006 cost index = 175.4
Sept 2011 cost index = 199.8
therefore:
Sept 2011 cost = $1,700,000 (199.8 / 175.4)
Sept 2011 cost = $1,700,000 1.14
Sept 2011 cost = $1,938,000
Adjusting for inflation by the use of cost indexes is a common practice in
estimating costs at the pre-feasibility level. If the cost for a particular item is
well documented from a year or two ago, it is usually safe to adjust that cost
to the present using cost indexes. The practice is less safe at more
advanced feasibility levels, where greater accuracy is required.
There are times when the raw data for a cost estimate is gathered over a
lengthy time period of perhaps several months. These individual cost items
should be adjusted to a common timeframe and expressed as the cost for
the items, all in the same specific month, representing the date of analysis.
Cost indexes are used for:
The length of time for which it is safe to adjust cost data using cost indexes
is a matter of personal judgment or company policy because in time,
technological, design or market changes creep in to render the index
relationships invalid for some items and for some purposes. When the U.S.
Scaling Factors
Scaling factors aid in estimating capital costs for an item, a processing
facility, or a mine based on the known or estimated cost for a similar item,
processing facility, or mine of a different size, usually in terms of production
capacity. The factors allow us to go beyond the over-simplified assumption
that if plant A has twice the production capacity of plant B, it should cost
twice as much to construct. The concept of economy of scale tells us that
while plant A should cost more to construct than plant B, its cost should be
something less than twice the cost of plant B. In other words, the scaling
factors define the economy of scale. The relationship is usually expressed as
follows.
where:
CA = capital cost of plant A
TA = daily production capacity of plant A
CB = capital cost of plant B
TB = daily production capacity of plant B
x = scale factor
In the absence of reliable statistical data, the scale factor (x) is usually
assumed to be 0.6. This has become such a well-accepted factor in the
mining industry that the above relationship has become known as "the six
tenths rule," a rather presumptuous title for a concept that hasn't had an
empirical test, in the published literature at least, for decades. Published
literature for the chemical, manufacturing, and construction industries
contains empirically derived values for x that differ from 0.6 for specific
types of facilities. Not so for the mining industry. The industry is badly in
need of research to refine the "six tenths rule."
The relationship for scaling operating costs is even more tenuous than for
capital costs, and is rarely used. The equation for operating costs is usually
expressed as:
where:
DA = operating cost per day for mill A
TA = daily capacity of mill A
DB = operating cost per day for mill B
TB = daily capacity of mill B
x = scale factor
Equipment
Manufacturers
Cat, Komatsu
Wheel Loaders
Cat, JoyGlobal
Hydraulic Shovels
Highwall Miners
Cat
Surface Drills
Cable Shovels
Cat, JoyGlobal
Draglines
Cat, JoyGlobal
Shearers
Cat, JoyGlobal
Underground Drills
Continuous Miners
Roof Bolting
First and foremost, respect the fact that your contact has limited time
to spend on your request. Your contact will probably be a sales
representative who is under considerable pressure to make sales for the
company and would much rather be spending his or her time on an
imminently potential sales opportunity.
Educate yourself as much as possible about the items for which you
are seeking information. All the companies have websites that provide
details of their products, as well as contact information. Your contact will be
much more amenable towards cooperation if you present yourself as well
informed.
If your project may actually present a future sales opportunity for your
contact, play this up big time. Point out that by modeling your proposed
project around your contacts equipment, you are setting the stage for later
more detailed planning and possible purchases. Be careful about overstating
this case, however. To be avoided is encouraging so much enthusiasm that
your contact flies to meet you thinking a sale may be imminent.
Sensitivity Analysis
Introduction
The search for a quick and easy method for estimating mining costs seems
to be an eternal quest among evaluators. Several methods have been
proposed over the years, all with distinct problems and pitfalls, and some
advantages for some users. The approach in developing these systems has
generally been to utilize an itemized method to create a basis for the
system, and then provide an interface that the user can use to access and
adapt the system for a specific project, without actually going through the
exercise of completing an itemized estimate. This sounds ideal, but as we
shall see, these methods are no substitute for completing a properly done
itemized estimate. With the exception of the software methods described in
Part 7: Cost Estimating Software, none of these methods are suitable for
anything but in-house studies at the very earliest stages of examining the
economics of a potential project. They are not suitable for 43-101 or JORC
studies, and generally should not be used for much beyond intra-office
discussions. The following methods will be described in the sections that
follow.
parametric methods:
that trucks of any horsepower within the range can be obtained. Such an
assumption can lead to erroneous cost estimates. In this authors opinion,
the graph or formula, when applied to unit pricing such as for equipment
prices, creates a barrier between the user and the base data. If prices for
several sizes of trucks are known, the appropriate prices should be
referenced directly by the estimator, rather than calculating them from a
formula or reading them from a graph created from the prices.
In order for a parametric system to be useful, three conditions must be met:
1. the database behind the system must be extensive and thoroughly and
carefully prepared;
2. the database and parametric relationships must be prepared by persons
with expertise and experience in cost estimating and in the operational
subject matter; and
3. the system must be maintained over the years by people with
appropriate expertise to keep the system current relative to changing
technology and economics.
Parametric systems are used extensively in the chemical, manufacturing,
and construction industries, where considerable data is available and a
sizable market exists to warrant the development and maintenance of the
system. To bring home the relative significance of market sizes, consider the
number of new houses one sees being constructed compared to the number
of new mines being built, and consider the relative amount of statistics
available from this work to develop such a system, and the number of
people involved in building, appraising and financing all that construction
who are willing to pay for the system once developed. Limited systems
developed for the mining industry have met the first two of the above
criteria, but not the third. To this authors knowledge, no comprehensive
parametric systems are presently being maintained and updated for the
mining industry in North America. I will summarize briefly the following three
systems that have achieved prominence in the industry in recent decades,
but which have all become dated because of lack of current support.
was updated and considerably expanded upon ten years later in a chapter in
the second edition of the SME Mining Engineering Handbook (OHara and
Suboleski (1992)). Anyone wishing to use any aspect of the system should
avail themselves of the 1992 article. The system as ultimately presented in
1992 consists of two distinct types of graphable mathematical relationships.
The first type relates the required amounts or sizes of certain key elements
utilized by a mine to some technical parameter of a mine, such as the
number of personnel required related to the production rate of a mine. The
second type relates the cost of a particular cost center to some technical
aspect of the mine, such as the capital cost of a maintenance shop related
to the mines production rate. We will discuss both these types of formulae,
but as we shall see, the first type has continued usability, while the formulae
of the second type are now obsolete and should not be relied upon.
While this author cannot vouch for the reliability of any of OHara and
Suboleskis 1992 formulae, some that do not involve costs are of interest.
For example, the following is a graphical depiction of a series of formulae
relating the total mine crew to the mine production rate for various stoping
methods (after OHara and Suboleski (1992)).
Figure 1: Underground mine crew for various stoping methods and ore
widths
Figure 1: Underground mine crew for various stoping methods and ore
widths
Q = 1900 T0.8
5) capacity of a compressed air plant (C) in cfm for large underground mines
using large blastholes in wide stopes with diesel-powered mechanized
equipment for loading:
C = 130 T0.5
Many more formulae of this type are presented in the 1992 article, along
with background explanations.
Numerous formulae of the second type relating costs to some technical
parameter of the operation are included in the article as well. For example,
following is a graphical depiction of the cost of preparing stopes as a
function of daily mine production for a variety of stoping methods (from
OHara and Suboleski (1992)).
Figure 1: Underground mine crew for various stoping methods and ore
widths
Figure 2: Cost preparing stopes for mining 125 days of ore
To the best of this authors knowledge, the system has languished since
publication of the 1992 article. Occasional use is made of the system by
applying cost indexes, but the time is long past when an indexed cost from
that era can be considered reliable. The following statement from the article
fixes the age of the cost data:
"The cost formulas for mining projects described in this segment are based
on actual costs of mine projects completed since 1980, which have been
escalated by statistical indices to the equivalent costs for the third quarter
of 1988."
Hence, the cost data behind these curves is now 25 or more years old. While
the system was easy to use, it had a sound basis, it was comprehensive,
and it was easily computerized, the cost data is now obsolete and the
system is not being supported at this time. Consequently, its use is not
recommended.
Mular system
This system, developed by A. L. Mular, Professor of Mineral Process
Engineering, University of British Columbia, was originally published in 1982
in a CIM handbook titled Mining and Mineral Processing Equipment Costs
and Preliminary Capital Cost Estimations (Mular (1982)). Sixteen years later,
Richard Poulin, Associate Professor, Department of Mining and Metallurgy,
Universite Laval, teamed up with Dr. Mular to update and expand the
system with the support of a number of professional organization and
corporate sponsors. This later work was published in 1998 as CIM Special
Volume 47, CAPCOSTS, A Handbook for Estimating Mining and Mineral
Processing Equipment Costs and Capital Expenditures and Aiding Mineral
Project Evaluations. This volume is a monumental effort to bring together a
large amount of costing methodology and data under one cover. In addition
to the Mular System described here, the handbook includes explanations
and rules of thumb for several shortcut procedures for cost and economic
analysis. The volume should be on the shelf of anyone involved in
evaluating and estimating costs for mining or milling projects.
The actual Mular System confines itself to providing capital cost data,
mainly for processing equipment, but also for mining equipment. The capital
cost data is presented in the form of graphs, tables, and equations of the
following form:
Cost = A(X)b
where:
X is a suitable parameter such as motor horsepower, and A and b are
statistically derived constants.
Below is an example graph and equation from the system depicting the
capital cost of a rotary disk filter as a function of disk area (Figure 3, below
left). The capital cost of a front end loader as a function of its flywheel
horsepower is depicted in the graph and equation in Figure 4 (below right).
Figure 3: Capital cost of a rotary disk filter as a function of disk area (Mular
system)
drilling equipment
excavating and loading equipment
haulage equipment
ventilation and cooling equipment
power generation stations
crushers and pulverizers
grinding mills
classifiers and screens
ore storage equipment
conveyors
feeders
motors
heating units
blowers
pumps
dust collection equipment
gravity/centrifugal separators
flotation cells
electrostatic separators
magnetic separators
continuous centrifuges
dryers
filters
thickeners
mixers/blenders
pelletizers
tanks
electrowinning cells
The cost data in the system was collected over a period of years prior to
1998 and updated to a common base using inflation factors. Hence, the
data is 15 or more years old, and, so far as this author knows, has not been
maintained or updated in that time period. Fifteen years is beyond the age
that cost data can be reliably updated using indexes. Therefore, the cost
data in the system should only be referenced as a last resort.
Table 1 (below left) is a screen from the 1988 spreadsheets. One for
estimating the operating cost for cut and fill stoping, and one for capital
costs for cut and fill stope preparation. Notice that for the operating cost
estimate, costs are determined for labor operating costs, supplies operating
costs, and equipment operating costs; and for the capital cost estimate,
costs are determined for the cost of labor, supplies, and the capital cost of
the equipment. A method is provided to adjust the costs for stope width.
Itemized proportions are provided for each of the costs to allow for
application of appropriate inflation indexes if necessary. Similar screens
were provided for an impressive array of cost items covering surface mining,
underground mining, and mineral processing. A complete index for the
system is shown in Table 2 (below right).
Change Level
mine and your proposed mine are two different entities, and their costs may
not be at all similar, even though the two operations might appear to be
much the same. Seemingly minor differences in stripping ratios, production
rates, or haul distances can have profound effects on costs for surface
mines, as can differences in vein width, rock characteristics, or water
production for underground mines. Even a difference in such an obscure
requirement as the amount of cement that must be added to cemented
sand fill can change the cost picture dramatically for a cut and fill mine,
especially with cement selling for in excess of $100/tonne as it has in recent
years.
The biggest problem in using actual costs from another mine, and the
main reason this author persists in putting the word actual in quotes, is
that unless you have full access to that mines accounts, which you never
do, you really dont know what is included in the costs and what is not,
because there is no industry standard for reporting these costs. For
instance, do cash costs include amortization of pre-stripping expenses,
royalties, state and local taxes, exploration, research and development, or
the cost of pilot projects? What costs are reported at the corporate level as
opposed to the project level? Also, accountants have a different way of
tracking costs than engineering estimators. This author has seen countless
instances where estimators from large companies, with decades of cost
experience from their own operating mines in their records, will turn to
outside sources such as InfoMine for cost data rather than to their own
operating records, because their own company records are not in a format
that lends itself to estimating costs for new projects.
Cost Models
(See Summary for main points)
For the reasons listed above and other reasons, a well-prepared published
cost model, such as those published in Mining Cost Service (website) can be
more reliable and useful to the estimator than actual costs from another
mine. Here, the costs are generated using itemized estimating techniques
with the operating parameters clearly laid out in a manner useful to the
estimator. Lists are provided to show what is included in the model, and just
as important, what is not included. Each model includes a listing of:
equipment requirements;
personnel requirements;
daily requirements for consumable items such as fuel;
unit costs for wages, salaries, and supplies;
operating parameters such as haul distances and production rates;
and
summaries of Capital and Operating Costs.
Surface mine models are provided with production rates ranging from 250
tonnes per day to 80,000 tonnes per day, with stripping ratios of 1:1, 2:1,
4:1, and 8:1 for each production rate. If you are lucky, your selected
production rate and stripping ratio may match one of the models exactly. If
not, some interpolation may be in order. Underground mine models range
from a production rate of 200 tonnes per day to 45,000 tonnes per day, and
include cut and fill, shrinkage, end slice, vertical crater retreat, sublevel
longhole, room and pillar, sublevel caving and block caving.
Summary results for one of the Mining Cost Service surface mine models are
shown in Figures 1 and 2 (below).
With the minimum items entered, Sherpa will assume reasonable values for
all remaining items to produce a quick first pass look at costs. To produce a
more definitive estimate, however, the items listed below can be entered
and controlled by the user if desired. Sherpa will assume reasonable default
values for all items not entered by the user.
Sherpa will automatically determine number, size and type requirements for
equipment based on the listed input items (see below) using standard
techniques of productivity analysis. The user can change these numbers and
types if desired.
Costs in dollars per tonne or ton ore, dollars per day, and dollars per
year for all supply items, all hourly personnel, all salaried personnel, and for
equipment operation.
A typical Sherpa data entry screen is shown in Figure 1 (left) and a typical
results screen is shown in Figure 2 (right). Sherpa for Underground Mines
and Sherpa for Reclamation Bonds are similar to Sherpa for Surface Mines
but of course with parameters appropriate for the operations under
consideration.
This information will help determine the nature and amount of ground
support required, drilling and blasting, excavating and hauling requirements
and productivity for stoping and for development work.
Based on information provided in in the preceding steps, if you are using
Sherpa, the software will proceed to make all further assumptions and
calculations to complete the estimate if desired.
Now, having read through this list of details that should be covered in a wellprepared cost estimate for an underground mine, you can understand why I
recommend turning to a software package like Sherpa for Underground
Mines to handle much of the detail work for you. Another way to reduce the
amount of effort expended on detail is to turn to the cost models found in
Mining Cost Service (website), here you will find models for complete mines,
as well as for specific aspects of mining, such as driving drifts, raises,
inclines and declines, and sinking shafts.
Step
Measure
Step
1
Step
2
Prepare material balance in sufficient detail to estimate amount of material passing through each
piece of major equipment (seek advice of a metallurgist)
Step
3
Compute comminution power requirements using Bond Work Index (seek advice of a metallurgist)
Step
4
Select equipment types and sizes, including electric motors and pumps (seek advice of a
metallurgist)
Step
5
Estimate the capital costs for individual equipment items (CostMine's Equipment Cost Calculator
is a good reference for this step)
Step
6
Apply cost factors to estimate the cost of installation, instrumentation, buildings, etc. (see Mular)
Step
7
Sum costs to determine total capital costs (Don't forget to include a "first fill" amount for reagents,
grinding media, etc.)
Useful references are AME's Cost Estimation Handbook, 1993 and CostMine's Mining Cost Service and
Equipment Cost Calculator
Step
Measure
Step
1
Determine equipment operating costs utilizing equipment list from capital cost estimate (good
reference: CostMine's Equipment Cost Calculator)
Step
2
Determine electric power requirements (Sum up motor kw requirements throughout plant. Utilize
Bond Work Index calculation results for comminution.)
Step
3
Determine requirements for reagents, grinding media, fuel, and other materials and supplies.
Step
4
Step
5
Step
6