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Waroqu Faculty of Economics and Management, UMons, 17 Place Waroqu, 7000 Mons, Belgium
Grantham Institute, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), Tower 3, Clements Inn Passage, London, UK
a r t i c l e i n f o
a b s t r a c t
Article history:
Received 5 May 2013
Received in revised form
23 January 2014
Accepted 23 January 2014
Available online 3 February 2014
Evaluating and understanding the interplay of barriers to the diffusion of energy efciency measures is
highly relevant because, if policies are effective in overcoming these barriers, CO2 emissions can be
decreased at low cost. The study aims to understand how managers make decisions to invest in energy
efciency, how perceived barriers affect these decisions and how policy can overcome these barriers. We
apply neo-classical economic theory as well as insights from transaction cost economics and behavioural
economics to understand why hurdle rates, even when omitted costs and risk are taken into account, are
higher than the weighted average cost of capital. We nd that internal capital budgeting rules and the
effort of studying technical feasibility and protability are relevant to understanding the efciency gap.
The results indicate that the voluntary agreement and the emission trading scheme are complementary,
addressing different barriers in different contexts.
2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords:
Barriers
Efciency gap
Energy efciency
Emission trading
Hurdle rate
Voluntary agreement
134
Furthermore, there is no reason to believe that capital markets systematically misallocate capital in ways that discriminate against energy conservation investments. (Sutherland, 1996) They conclude
that policy intervention is only justied when there are neoclassical market failures, such as negative externalities and asymmetric information.
The neo-classical stance has claried the debate by arguing that
indirect but unavoidable costs or risks related to the diffusion of
technology cannot be seen as economic barriers to energy efciency. However, following Sorrell et al. (2004), we consider costeffectiveness from different perspectives, including insights from
transaction cost economics and behavioural economics.
Transaction cost economics stresses the importance of routines,
rules of thumb and satiscing heuristics rather than maximising
heuristics in order to reduce the cost of making complex decisions
(Williamson, 1988, 2002). Transaction cost economics also emphasises that policy intervention and different institutional structures may lower transaction costs. Corporate cultures exhibit a rich
diversity of forms and show large variations in performance.
Managers struggle with the complicated challenge of getting the
most out of the resources they deploy. Dealing with problems of
agency, moral hazard, imperfect information and design of incentives is at the heart of modern management. These difculties
affect all aspects of the rm including capital structure, investment
budgeting, operational control, strategic positioning as well as investment decisions related to energy efciency. This contrasts with
the assumption of the neo-classical stance that under competitive
market conditions rms can be expected to rationally maximise
their value and nd a governance structure such that organisational
barriers to protable investments are negligible. DeCanio (1998)
nds statistical evidence of organisational and bureaucratic barriers among 1400 US rms participating in an efcient lighting
programme. Several other qualitative studies focused on organisational barriers to energy efciency in rms (DeCanio, 1993; Sola
and Xavier, 2007; Zilahy, 2004).
Behavioural economics departs from the assumption of rational
agents, pointing at systematic biases in human decision-making
(Kahneman and Tversky, 2000). Behavioural biases further increase the scope of barriers to energy efciency and highlight
barriers that could not be apparent in a neo-classical approach
based on a rational actor model (Sorrell et al. 2004; Weber, 1997).
Barriers are discussed according to the taxonomy developed by
Sorrell et al. (2004) (see also Fleiter et al. 2011; Schleich, 2009;
Schleich and Gruber, 2006). This taxonomy has been chosen
because it is particularly appropriate for our approach to different
theoretical frameworks, since each barrier can be considered according to neo-classical economics, transaction cost economics and
behavioural economics.
1. Hidden costs: companies may not invest in energy efciency
because there are costs that are hidden to the researcher, but not
hidden to the company. Managers may not include these costs in
protability calculations because they are difcult to quantify.
Certain hidden costs such as search costs, purchasing and procurement costs can be considered as barriers in the sense that
they may be avoidable under an alternative organisational
structure or policy. For example, the cost of information gathering, which may be seen as a hidden cost justifying the
apparent efciency gap in a neo-classical economic framework
(Jaffe et al. 2004 p.84), may be reduced by subcontracting with a
specialised audit bureau or by adopting a policy imposing energy efciency labelling.
2. Risk and uncertainty: a high discount rate in protability calculations may be a rational way of compensating for technical
risk, regulatory uncertainty or energy price uncertainty.
3.
4.
5.
6.
135
136
Table 1
Characterisation of plants interviewed according to international scope, turnover and emission allocation.
Value added per Range of yearly
Fuel
Part of MNC Not part of
allocated emissions
MNC (number plant 2011
(number
per plant (t CO2)
(million V)
of plants)
of plants)
% CO2 emissions
from decalcination
7e25
One case of 1.5
10,000e80,000
2
Other
construction
materials
Cement
4
& Lime
7e30
30,000e70,000
25e50
Bricks
a
b
c
Natural gas
2 Natural gas
1 petroleum
coke
400,000- 1,500,000 Coal/Lignite/
Above 60%
waste/biomass
Belgian production
Belgian net
2009e2011 compared exports 2011 as %
to 2006e2008a
of productiona
Cement
10%
Lime
10%b
15%
n.a.
Cement 5%
Lime positivec
Table 2
Relative importance of motivations that triggered (or will trigger) energy efciency measures. Effects are obtained by OLS of Y a b1Dummygas only heat source b2Dummyfuture
project b3Dummycompany-wide obs.*,**,*** denote signicance at the 10%, 5% and 1% level. Observations include 31 completed projects, 19 potential future projects and 11
company-wide observations (N 61). The differences of motivations between these categories are captured by b2 and b3.
Economic reasons
Increasing energy prices
Result of in-house R&D
Replace obsolete equipment/production expansion
Technology applied has become cheaper
Policy
Voluntary agreements
Expected gains or cost savings from Emission Trading Scheme
Avoid risk induced by future ETS (unknown prices, cap,
proportion of free allocations)
Mentality change induced by Emission Trading Scheme
Comply with legal obligations (e.g. environmental licence)
Management
Commitment by top management to an environmental policy
Environmental image building towards clients
Implementation of environmental management system
(targets, procedures, evaluation...)
External pressures (from NGO, media, local community...)
Rank
Mean
score (Y)
Standard dev.
Score (sY)
Effect only
gas vs mixed
fuels (b1)
Effect future
projects vs completed
projects (b2)
1
5
9
12
2.5
1.3
0.8
0.5
(0.7)
(1.3)
(1.2)
(0.8)
0.4**
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.0
4
6
7
1.4
1.1
0.9
(1.2)
(1.1)
(1.0)
0.3
1.1***
0.7***
0.6*
0.6**
0.6*
8
13
0.8
0.5
(0.8)
(0.8)
0.7***
0.3
0.3
0.4*
2
3
9
1.6
1.5
0.8
(1.0)
(1.0)
(0.9)
0.7***
0.4
0.4
11
0.5
(0.9)
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.0
Effect company-wide
obs vs completed
project (b3)
0.3
0.5
0.8**
1.1***
0.6
1.0***
0.8**
0.6**
1.3***
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.6*
137
Solar panels lie on the roof and you are virtually sure about it: at
that time it will be paid back... Even if you throw everything out of
that hall, the solar panels will stay on the roof and continue to
produce electricity and make money. Nobody will be bothered by
them. But when you make a new investment in efciency and X
years later you want to introduce a big modernisation, then youve
lost your heat recycling system... And then you get to what most of
the companies say: if you make the investment, we prefer a
payback time of 2 or 3 years, because thats the horizon that I can
foresee. But if you then think about 5, 6 or 7 years payback time,
nobody does that... The market changes so fast that we dont know
what we will be doing in 5 years time.
Table 3
Relative importance of barriers that explain why the energy efciency measures were not implemented earlier or are not yet implemented. Effects are obtained by OLS of
Y a b1Dummygas only heat source b2Dummyfuture project b3Dummycompany-wide obs.*,**,*** denote signicance at the 10%, 5% and 1% level. Observations include 31 completed
projects, 19 potential future projects and 11 company-wide observations (N 61). The differences of barriers between these categories are captured by b2 and b3.
Rank
Information
Technical feasibility wasnt studied before
Protability wasnt studied before
Lack of reliable information about the measure
Capital availability
Other (non-energy-related) investments receive (d) prior nancing
Difculties in nding (internal or external) nancing for investments
During former investments, strict capital budgeting for a given project
squeezed out the energy-efcient option.
Risk and uncertainty
Low demand risk: efciency investments entail xed costs that may
be cost-inefcient when there is overcapacity during economic
downturns.
Risk of production disruptions, hassle, inconvenience
We waited (are waiting) to see if the application of the technology
by other companies/plants turned (turns) out to be reliable
and protable
Incentives
Individuals/departments were (are) not accountable for
energy/emissions (or could (can) not benet from
energy/emission savings).
Conicts of interests within the company
Organisation
Lack of management time
Need for training of employees or engagement of specically skilled
employees (e.g. energy auditor)
Insufcient integration of energy/emissions into operating,
maintenance or purchasing procedures
Energy manager lacks inuence
Technology lock-in
Technique was/is incompatible with other elements of the plant
Effect only
gas vs mixed
fuels (b1)
Effect future
projects vs completed
projects (b2)
Effect company-wide
obs vs completed
project (b3)
Mean
all obs (Y)
Standard
dev. All
obs (sY)
3
5
6
1.2
0.9
0.8
(1.2)
(1.0)
(0.9)
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.9**
0.2
0.1
1
4
9
1.5
1.2
0.6
(1.1)
(1.2)
(0.9)
0.0
0.2*
0.5**
0.8***
0.6*
0.6**
1.1***
0.7
0.1
1.2
(1.2)
0.5
1.2***
1.1***
8
11
0.7
0.6
(1.0)
(0.9)
0.5**
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1
1.1***
15
0.2
(0.6)
0.0
0.0
0.7***
14
0.3
(0.6)
0.0
0.1
7
12
0.8
0.6
(0.9)
(0.9)
0.0
0.2
13
0.4
(0.6)
0.3*
0.2
0.6***
16
0.1
(0.4)
0.2**
0.1
0.1
10
0.6
(1.0)
0.3
0.3
0.5*
0.5
0.0
1.3***
1***
0.3
0.9***
0.5
0.6*
138
Why?
Because these are very small gains. And because our kilns
consume 80% of our energy, while their consumption over their
lifetime is not linear. Their specic energy consumption increases
over time.
Imperfect information increases the uncertainty over future
gains and thus the risk prole of efciency projects. However, Lack
of reliable information to be able to estimate feasibility/protability (score 0.84) ranked 6th, lower than the fact that the option
simply had not been studied before. The technological feasibility
hasnt been studied before ranked 3rd (score 1.2) and the profitability hadnt been studied before ranked 5th (score 0.85). This
indicates that organisational barriers are at play.
One explanation for not studying investment opportunities may
be Lack of management time which was perceived as a moderately important barrier (rank 7, score 0.78).
Of course you need people that look after it, who pull the project
forward and who foster the project, defend it and go for it. So why
[didnt we invest] earlier. At the end of the day, it is capacity .
Lack of managerial time?
not enforceable, its transparency is increased by an intense interaction between the staff of the purchasing company and the
subcontractor.
In principle you go to different kiln builders, you start tendering
according to capacity, temperature etc., and then you see specic
energy consumption in these offers. And then you see big differences. So you start talking: how do you get this result, how do you
get that result? And then you see that one of them has a more
advanced technological concept.
Many of the managers interviewed had high levels of technical
knowledge. So contractual energy performance, combined with
theoretical insights from the design, limits the scope for unobservable efciency delivered by the subcontractor. However, in one
case, that of an entirely new plant, energy efciency was unclear.
Do you know how much energy your new bricks will need?
No, we know our consumption in the past, but what it will be, we
dont know at all. There are certain agreements, certain guarantees
that the deliverer needs to honour, but it ends there as a matter of
fact.
In the third case, the subcontractor does the designing, and
energy efciency is not contractually xed. In this case, energy efciency can be deduced indirectly from technical specications
and/or be based on condence.
Split incentives within the company, between different departments or persons, entail barriers that are perceived as unimportant by managers. Conicts of interests within the company,
Individuals/departments are not accountable for energy and
energy manager lacks inuence were the 3 barriers with the
lowest importance among all barriers in the questionnaire. Since
energy is part of the core business of the plant, plant managers
were highly involved in studying energy-saving opportunities.
3.5. Capital budgeting
For all projects where a payback time or IRR was calculated, 65%
had a payback time of 3 years or lower. The 3-year payback time to
get the green light for an investment is recognised as a typical rule
of thumb for non-compulsory investments by all the companies.
These very low payback times are also reported by other authors.
DeCanio (1998) nds a median payback time of 3.1 years for
lighting-efciency investments in 1400 US rms. Anderson and
Newell (2004) nd a typical payback time threshold of one to
two years for 39,920 audited energy efciency projects in 9034
small and medium US enterprises. The managers of 800 European
manufacturing plants reported a mean payback time for projects
they considered but failed to adopt of 3 years and 10 months (3
years in ceramics plants and 4 years for cement plants) (Anderson
et al., 2011). A payback time of 3 years for an investment with
constant yearly maintenance costs and energy gains lasting 10
years corresponds to an IRR of 31% (or 33% for an installation lasting
20 years, the tendency to underestimate gains in the long run is a
disadvantage of IRR compared to NPV). This is much higher than
the real WACC.
A rst candidate for such stringent payback times would be
hidden costs or risk (costs and risks that are hidden to the
researcher but not to the manager). However, as argued above,
hidden costs and risk are unlikely to justify a doubling or tripling of
the payback time, which would be a cost-effective payback time. No
single interviewee mentioned hidden costs or risk as a justication
for low payback times.
139
140
COVENANT
B3_TECHNIC_NOT_STUDIED
Component 2 (20.4%)
B7_TIME_MANAGEMENT
B5_PROFIT_NOT_STUDIED
B6_RELIABLE_INFO
GAS_ONLY
FUTURE
B4_DIFFICULT_RAISE_FUNDS
ETS_MENTALITY_CHANGE
B1_OTHER_INVEST_PRIORITY
B2_DEMAND_RISK
ETS_UNCERTAINTY
ETS_GAIN_LOSS
Component 1 (25.2%)
141
142
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