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Market Outlook
Indian markets are expected to open negative taking cues from global
markets. The F&O expiry today is expected to keep the markets
volatile for the day.
Todays Highlights
Nikkei Japan PMI Manufacturing
30000
8600
28000
Key Developments
BSE (RHS)
Sensex
Nifty
Close Previous
26,052 25,961
8,033.3 8,002.3
23-Nov
21-Nov
17-Nov
15-Nov
10-Nov
24000
8-Nov
7800
4-Nov
26000
2-Nov
8200
30-Oct
US markets ended on a mixed note although the Dow and S&P 500
reached new record closing highs in a light trading day
32000
9000
27-Oct
Markets Yesterday
Domestic markets ended in the positive territory after strong
earnings from an engineering, construction giant with bypoll reports
suggesting people's support for PM's initiative on demonetisation
NSE (LHS)
Institutional Activity
FII (| cr)
DII (| cr)
CY14
99,525
-30,570
CY15
16,340
66,249
YTD CY16
18,610
21,674
Shanghai
3,244
4.9%
Kospi
1,972
-2.2%
Dow Jones
19,083
4.8%
U.K.
6,818
-2.9%
Nasdaq
5,381
2.3%
BSE
26,052
-7.2%
France
4,529
-0.2%
NSE
8,033
-7.6%
1,486.9 Vedanta
Ltd
5.2%
942.1
3.8%
480.5
2.1%
115.0
1.0%
812.3
0.8%
125.1
0.6%
3,128.6
0.2%
453.1
-0.1%
Indusind
Bank
1,065.0
HDFC
Bank
1,184.8
-0.6%
-1.1%
NTPC
Sun
Pharma
TCS
ACC
Hero
Moto
Coal India
Wipro
ITC
Bharti
Airtel
216.8
4.8%
159.9
3.7%
701.3
1.7%
2,156.4
1.0%
1,302.8
0.8%
3,013.5
0.5%
304.1
0.2%
448.9
-0.3%
224.7
-0.6%
300.6
-1.1%
Hindalco
IDEA
HUL
Ultratech
RIL
Tata
power
HCL Tech
173.7
4.3%
72.9
2.7%
831.7
1.4%
3,452.2
0.9%
1,009.0
0.8%
69.3
0.5%
763.5
0.2%
Kotak
Bank
766.2
Bank of
Baroda
162.1
Power
Grid
181.7
-0.4%
-0.7%
-1.1%
Cairn
India
IDFC
241.1
4.1%
56.7
2.6%
Tata
Motors
471.5
ICICI
Bank
265.0
ONGC
SBI
PNB
GAIL
Maruti
HDFC Ltd
1.4%
0.9%
279.9
0.7%
258.7
0.5%
137.5
0.1%
412.4
-0.5%
4,880.9
-1.1%
1,226.9
-1.8%
Tata Steel
L&T
392.7
3.9%
1,357.3
2.1%
Ambuja
Cement
198.1
United
Spirits
1,897.8
Infosys
Cipla
Bajaj
Auto
Yes Bank
BPCL
M&M
1.3%
0.8%
920.3
0.7%
552.8
0.4%
2,600.4
0.0%
1,125.3
-0.6%
633.9
-1.1%
1,191.8
-2.2%
Markets Today
Close Previous Change (%) MTD(%)
Commodities
Gold (|/10 gm)
Silver (|/kg)
Crude ($/barrel)
Copper ($/tonne)
Currency
USD/INR
EUR/USD
USD/YEN
ADRs
HDFC Bank
ICICI Bank
Tata Motors
Infosys
Dr Reddys Labs
YTD(%)
29,391
40,831
48.9
NA
29,409
41,033
49.0
NA
-0.1
-0.5
0.0
NA
-2.2
-2.8
1.3
18.3
17.6
23.8
31.3
21.6
68.57
1.05
112.68
68.26
1.06
112.52
0.5
-0.2
0.1
-2.6
-4.1
-7.0
-3.5
-3.0
6.7
62.9
7.7
33.5
14.1
45.6
62.7
7.8
34.0
14.1
45.0
0.3
-0.6
-1.4
0.5
1.3
-13.7
NA
-16.0
-11.4
-3.4
1.7
NA
15.3
-16.1
-2.9
KEY ECONOMICINDICATORS
0
16-Nov
22-Nov
23-Nov
NSE Cash
200000.00
0.00
16-Nov
536,505
400000.00
496,383
600000.00
17-Nov
18-Nov
21-Nov
22-Nov
23-Nov
NSE Derivative
Change
% Change
Volume
Auto
19650.34
19577.05
73.29
0.37
1705000
Banks
21246.51
21236.45
10.06
0.05
5942000
11792.74
11901.39
-108.65
(0.91)
66926000
Capital Goods
13669.18
13494.12
175.06
1.30
7000000
Consumer Durables
10942.43
10805.75
136.68
1.26
322000
8304.6
8368.14
-63.54
(0.76)
1023000
17870.57
18140.06
-269.49
(1.49)
1830000
Healthcare
21-Nov
Close
FMCG
18-Nov
BSE Cash
Sectoral Index
Sector
17-Nov
2,499
18,595
10000
2,307
18,360
20000
2,549
19,467
4.00%
6.50%
6.00%
4.31%
-0.3bln $
22.88bln $
363.82bln $
7.90%
7.30%
31.22bln $
-0.70%
-0.30%
-24.8bln $
8.34bln $
5.75%
5.58%
3.57%
2.48%
569,746
4.00%
6.25%
5.75%
4.20%
-0.3bln $
22.51bln $
365.75bln $
7.10%
7.60%
33.67bln $
0.70%
0.90%
-23.8bln $
10.16bln $
4.34%
6.18%
3.39%
2.67%
2,412
17,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
October
Q2
October
w/e
Q1
12M
October
Septmber
September
Q2
October
October
October
October
October
346,127
30000
621,194
Prior Values
2,660
18,262
Latest
455,723
Period
4,303
26,143
IT
11396.98
11501.95
-104.97
(0.91)
1254000
Metals
10243.72
10011.48
232.24
2.32
7245000
Mid Cap
10993.02
11070.76
-77.74
(0.70)
64406000
11735.39
11717.29
18.1
0.15
2718000
Power
1948.42
1929.56
18.86
0.98
12274000
PSU
7653.76
7612.79
40.97
0.54
18702000
Real Estate
1251.61
1210.28
41.33
3.41
8188000
PSU
Metals
Power
Oil & Gas
Banks
Healthcare
FMCG
IT
Capital Goods
Auto
Mid Cap
BSE Small Cap
Consumer
Real Estate
-27.0
-2.2
-2.9
-3.9
-4.1
-5.9
-7.6
-7.7
-10.0
-10.6
-11.7
-12.5
-13.4
-16.8
-22.0
-22.0
-17.0
-12.0
(%)
-7.0
-2.0
Company/
News
Industry
Zee
Zee Entertainment has announced acquisition
Entertainment of
General
Entertainment
Television
Broadcasting undertaking - Reliances TV
business, which comprises two entertainment
channels (Big Magic, Big Ganga) and four
other TV licenses
View
Enterprise valuations are pegged at | 298.4
crore (6x FY16, 4x annualised FY17E
EV/sales), bit on higher side as these
companies are currently loss making. The
company has accumulated losses of | 650
crore and would benefit from tax benefits
from the same. Zee is also likely to gain on
two counts - entry into comedy genre with
Big Magic and also regional expansion into
UP, Bihar with Big Ganga. We also believe
Zee is better equipped to monetise the ad
growth opportunity given its strong bouquet
pricing
Impact
3.0
SBI
Amid
higher
liquidity,
owing
to
demonetisation, SBI has slashed rates on bulk
deposits (deposits between | 1 crore and | 10
crore) by 125 to 190 bps across maturities. For
bulk deposits till one year, rates have been
revised to 4% or below while rates for deposits
with maturity above 1-3 years have been
revised at 4.25%
State-run City and Industrial Development Corporation (Cidco), the nodal agency for the Navi Mumbai airport project,
has extended the date for submission of request for proposal (RFP) to January 9 from November 7. This was done to
facilitate Hiranandani Developers and Zurich Airport, which are together bidding for the project, to submit their RFP.
The Hiranandani-Zurich consortium was denied permission to bid earlier by the government on security grounds. The
security clearance was given by Ministry of Home Affairs this year
The government has appointed Yudhvir Singh Malik as the Chairman of National Highways Authority of India (NHAI).
Malik was earlier posted as special secretary in Niti Aayog. The outgoing chairman Raghav Chandra has been moved to
the National Commission for Scheduled Tribes as secretary
As per media sources, IOC plans to invest $5.5 billion for expansion of its smallest refinery to 300000 bpd, which is also
co-owned by Iran
NBCC has entered into an MOU with Rosinformexport, a Russian company and Department for international
development, India for development of sustainable smart cities, integrated railway stations and with green building
technologies in India
NBCC has entered into an MoU with Indian Telephone Industries (ITI) to jointly carry out feasibility study for developing
30 acre land parcel of ITI at Electronics City, Bangalore
As per media a sources, Tata Steel is planning to commission its 55000 tonnes per annum ferro chrome plant at
Gopalpur in Odisha on November 30, 2016. Though the work on the ferrochrome plant, built at a cost of | 542 crore,
has been completed for some time, its commissioning had been delayed due to last minute hitches over power
connection and agitation by some land losers over higher compensation and jobs in the project
Lupin has received tentative approval for HIV drug Abacavir Sulphate and Lamivudine tablets from USFDA to market
generic version of ViiV Healthcare company's Epzicom tablets. Epzicom tablets had the US sales of US$426 million
Infosys has invested | 31.6 crore in Stellaris Venture Partners, an India based early stage venture fund. The investment
is expected to complete by December 15, 2016
UltraTech Cement plans to issue non convertible debentures of | 400 crore on a private placement basis at interest rate
of 6.99% per annum
As per media sources, the Petroleum Minister has informed Rajya Sabha that currently there is no proposal for the
acquisition of GSPC by ONGC
As part of the bureaucratic reshuffle, the government has shifted coal secretary Anil Swarup to the Ministry of Human
Resources Development (HRD) as Secretary, School Education and Literacy. He will be replaced by Susheel Kumar
who is at present serving as Secretary, Department of Border Management in the Home Ministry
As per media sources, Rio Tinto have offloaded the UK aluminium business (Alcan Aluminium) to the UK based
commodity group SIMEC. The deal, wherein the operating smelter, hydroelectric facilities and associated land were
sold off fetched ~$555.8 million for Rio Tinto
Sensex Chart
Technical Outlook
We
said,
"Strength
above
Monday
positive...Else, subdued/volatile ... " The index
opened 170 points higher but failing to take out
Monday's high, it turned subdued/volatile, but
settled 91 points or 0.3% higher. All sectors
ended flat to positive. The realty, metal,
pharma and small cap indices added 1.5-3.5%
while the A/D ratio remained positive 3:1.
The action formed a Hammer-like pattern with
a small Bear Body and larger Lower Shadow,
which suggested support on dips intra-day.
The real test, however, was whether the index
would take out Monday's high as marked.
Overnight
cues
are
negative.
Hence,
weakness/close below the candle's low can
open up negative option for the November
expiry today, otherwise not.
Pivot Points
Index/Stocks
SENSEX
NIFTY
ACC
AXIS BANK
HDFC BANK
SBI
HDFC
MARUTI SUZUKI
TATA MOTORS
M&M
BAJAJ AUTO
TCS
INFOSYS
CIPLA
ONGC
RELIANCE
BHARTI AIRTEL
DLF
S1
26035.80
8026.90
1300.75
478.95
1176.25
258.30
1202.95
4845.55
470.55
1177.10
2602.00
2152.60
919.40
552.95
279.50
1007.65
297.05
116.40
S2
25972.50
8006.40
1290.70
475.60
1171.85
256.90
1195.30
4803.45
467.25
1167.45
2584.85
2143.65
916.80
549.90
278.15
1004.95
294.45
115.00
R1
26162.50
8067.95
1320.85
485.65
1187.20
261.10
1227.95
4888.05
477.20
1196.80
2636.35
2170.45
924.60
559.10
282.25
1013.15
301.60
119.15
R2
26231.10
8090.45
1331.00
490.00
1192.65
263.95
1240.45
4909.30
481.60
1206.65
2661.35
2184.30
929.00
563.05
284.35
1017.20
303.90
121.55
Trend
+ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
-ve
+ve
-ve
-ve
+ve
-ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
+ve
-ve
+ve
36
28
49
12
54
17
43
13
11
60.0
40.0
33
20.0
0.0
Put
Call
20.0
7960-7915
8040-8080
40.0
60.0
Short Term
Down
8300
7750
8300
8293
8313
Advances / Declines
Advances
1922
1259
BSE
NSE
Declines
665
348
Unchanged
166
72
29
52
Intraday
Range bound
0
0
1
14
15
Nifty 50
Trend
Trend Reversal
Support
Resistance
20 Days EMA
200 days EMA
Results/Events Calendar
07
Monday
Eclerx Services
Shree Cement
GSK Consumer
Markit Eurozone Retail PMI
Pitti Laminations
14
28
Tuesday
22
Monday
16
November
Tuesday
29
Monday
23
November
Tuesday
30
November
06
Monday
Tuesday
07
December
Tuesday
US Trade Balance
Eurozone GDP SA YoY
0
0
0
Event
Country
Markit US Manufacturing PMUS
Markit Eurozone ManufacturEU
Markit Eurozone Services PMEU
Nikkei Japan PMI Mfg
JN
Date
Event
25-Nov Markit US Services PMI
25-Nov GDP YoY
November
Wednesday
Balkrishna Industries
Japan Industrial Prod MoM
0
0
0
December
Wednesday
November
Wednesday
Solar Industries
Markit Eurozone Mfg PMI
Markit US Mfg PMI
0
0
December
November
Wednesday
L&T
IRB Infrastructures Ltd
0
0
0
November
November
Wednesday
HPCL
AIA Engineering
GAIL, Concor
Vardhaman Textiles
0
November
Timken India
Cox & Kings
Oil India
Mahanagar Gas
0
05
15
Monday
Sobha Limited
Japan Trade Balance
0
0
0
09
November
November
Aurobindo Pharma
Heidelberg Cement
Kalpataru Power
0
0
21
08
November
10
November
Thursday
17
November
Thursday
Petronet LNG
US CPI YoY
0
0
0
24
Thursday
December
Thursday
08
Friday
18
December
Thursday
25
Saturday
19
Friday
November
Saturday
India cements
Siyaram
0
0
0
November
Friday
26
November
03
December
10
December
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
December
Friday
US Unemployement Rate
0
0
0
0
09
November
November
Bata
UK GDP YoY
0
0
0
02
12
November
NHPC
NBCC
0
0
0
November
01
11
December
Friday
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
Saturday
0
0
0
0
0
Bulk Deals
Period
Nov P
Nov P
Nov P
Nov P
Country Period
US
Nov P
UK
3Q P
Actual Expected
53.90
53.50 Company
53.70
53.30 BSE*
54.10
52.90 Hpl Electric & Power Ltd
51.10
-NSE*
Expected
54.80
2.30%
Previous Apcotexind
54.80
2.30%
Client Name
Ltd
0063
Recent Releases
Date
23 November 2016
Report
23 November 2016
23 November 2016
23 November 2016
22 November 2016
Type
No. of
shares Price (|)
Sell
770341
77.71
200,000
307.0
Opening Bell
Daily Calls
Daily Derivative
Frequency
Time
frame
Avg. Returns
objective
Location
on ICICIdirect.com
Pre-market open
Daily
1 Day
Market Page,
Trading PageScroller & iCLICK-2-GAIN
Pre-market open
Daily
1 Day
2-3 %
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page
Pre-market open
Daily
1 Day
2-3 %
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page
Daily
1 2 Days
1 - 2%
Daily
1 Days
1 - 2%
Daily
1 2 Days
1 - 2%
Intraday Recommendation
BTST Calls
Margin Calls
Derivative Calls
Derivative
Strategies
Weekly & Monthly recommendations
Weekly Calls
Weekly Technicals
Weekly Derivatives
Market Trends
Global Derivatives
Monthly Technicals
Identifying Out-performers/Under-performers
vis a vis index along with positional
recommendation on Stocks/Nifty.
Covers stocks, which are likely to show
significant upward movement in the next 15
days due to change in trader sentiment.
Detailed Company
Report
Equity Model
Portfolio
High Dividend
Yield Stocks
Weekly
1-7 days
5%
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page,
iCLICK-2-GAIN
& iClick-2-Invest
Weekly
1-7 days
4 5%
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page
Weekly
1-7 days
4 5%
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page
Monthly
30 days
Trading Page
Monthly
30 days
Trading Page
Monthly
30 days
10%
Research page-We
Recommend, Trading Page,
iClick-2-Invest
Not regularly
recommended
3 months
20%
Fortnightly
Monthly
When published
Quarterly
3 months
> 1 year
15 20%
Pankaj Pandey
Head Research
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC
Andheri (East)
Mumbai 400 093
research@icicidirect.com
pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com
Disclaimer
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Pankaj Pandey Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the
subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.