Sei sulla pagina 1di 17

Chapter 4 Outline

Estimating a Firms Cost of Capital


Value, Cash Flows, and Discount Rates

Estimating a Firms Cost of


Capital

Defining a Firms WACC


Estimating the WACC

Fall 2016

Evaluate the Firms Capital Structure Weights


The Cost of Debt
The Cost of Preferred Equity
The Cost of Common Equity

WACC: Putting It All Together


2

Matching Cash Flows & Discount Rates

Equity Valuation
1.

2.

3.

Introduction

Project or Firm Valuation


(Debt + Equity Claims)

Estimate the amount and


timing of cash flows
(Chapter 2)

Equity free cash flow


(EFCF)

Project (firm) free cash


flow (PFCF)

Estimate a riskappropriate discount rate


(Chapters 4-5)

Equity required rate of


return

Combine the debt and


equity discount rate
(WACC)

Discount the cash flows


(Chapter 2)

Calculate the present


value of EFCFs using
equity discount rate to
estimate value of equity
invested.

Chapter 4 considers discount rate determination and the cost of capital for
the firm as a whole.

The firms weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the weighted


average of the expected after-tax rates of return of its sources of
invested capital.
Invested capital = interest bearing debt and equity
Excludes non-interest bearing liabilities (e.g., A/P, leases, pension
liabilities, etc.)

Calculate the present


value of PFCFs using
WACC to estimate value
of the project (firm).
3

Enterprise Value = equity + interest bearing liabilities

WACC is the discount rate that should be used to discount the firms
expected free cash flows to estimate firm value.
It can be viewed as its opportunity cost of capital.

What is the Overall Cost of Capital for a Firm?

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

Average of the estimated required rates of return for the firms interestbearing debt (kd), preferred stock (kp), and common equity (ke). The
weights (ws) used for each source of funds are equal to the
proportions in which funds are raised.

Debt

Assets
(Firm)

WACC kd 1- T wd k p wp ke we

Preferred Equity
Common Equity

Cost of debt financing is adjusted downward to reflect the interest taxshield.

Sum of weights wd + wp + we = 1

WACC kd 1- T wd k p wp ke we
5

Using the WACC

Finding the WACC

A firm is a collection of projects

With no consideration of non-operating assets or


marketable securities:

Estimate capital structure and determine the weights of each


component: wd, wp, we.

Firm Value0 =
t=1

E Firm Free Cash Flow t

1+ WACC

Step 1

Step 2
Estimate the opportunity cost of each of the sources of financing:
kd, kp, ke, and adjust for the effects of taxes where appropriate.

Step 3
Calculate WACC by computing a weighted average of the
estimated after-tax costs of capital sources used by the firm

Using WACC to calculate Firm Value

Sales
COGS
Depreciation
EBIT
Taxes
NOPAT
+ Depreciation
CAPEX
DWC
PFCF / FFCF

$ 3,000,000
$ (1,800,000)
$ (500,000)
$ 700,000
$ (140,000)
$ 560,000
$ 500,000
$ (500,000)
$
$ 560,000

Debt
Equity
Tax Rate

40%
60%
20%

Equity FCF Components


k
5.0%
14.0%

WACC = 0.4(0.05)(1-0.2) + 0.6(0.14)


= 10.0%

Equity Firm Creditor


=
FCF
FCF Cash Flows
Creditor
Cash Flows

Interest
Interest
Principal New Debt Issue
+
Expense Tax Savings Payments
Proceeds

After-Tax Interest Expense

Firm Value

$560, 000
$5, 600, 000
0.10

Net Debt Proceeds


(Change in Principal)

Substituting into top equation:


Equity
FCF

Firm Interest
Interest
Principal New Debt Issue
+
+
FCF Expense Tax Savings Payments
Proceeds

Debt: 0.4($5,600,000) = $2,240,000


Equity: 0.6($5,600,000) = $3,360,000
9

10

Using Equity Cash Flows to Value the


Equity of a Firm

Total Cash Flows vs. Equity Cash Flows

The value of a firms/projects equity, VE,


equals the present value of the free cash
flows that stockholders are expected to
receive from the firm, discounted by the
firms/projects cost of equity.

Debt

Assets
(Firm)

Ve

Common Equity

n or

t 0

Equity FCFt
(1 ke ) t

where:
Equity FCFt is the Free Cash Flow to
Equity in period t.
ke is the cost of equity
11

The free cash flows to equity are


calculated as follows:
Net Revenue
- Operating Expenses
= Earnings Before Interest, Taxes,
Dep & Amort (EBITDA)
- Depreciation and Amortization
= Operating Profit (EBIT)
- Interest Expense
= Earnings Before Tax
(1 - Tax Rate)
= Net Income
+ Depreciation and Amortization
- Capital Expenditures
- Additions to Working Capital
- Cash Used to Repay Debt
+ Proceeds from New Debt Issues
= Equity Free Cash Flow
12

Computing Equity FCF from Firm FCF

Equity Valuation

Sales
COGS
Interest
Depreciation
EBT
Taxes
NOPAT
+ Depreciation
CAPEX
DWC
Equity FCF

Equity

Firm Interest
Interest
Principal New Debt Issue
=
+
+
FCF
FCF Expense Tax Savings Payments
Proceeds

PFCF/FFCF:
$560,000

Equity
FCF

40% debt = 0.4($5,600,000) = $2,240,000


Interest Expense = $2,240,000(0.05) = $112,000
Tax Savings = $112,000(0.2) = $22,400

= $560, 000 - $112, 000 + $22, 400 - $0 + $0 = $470, 400


Tax Shield

$ 3,000,000
$ (1,800,000)
$ (112,000)
$ (500,000)
$ 588,000
$ (117,600)
$ 470,400
$ 500,000
$ (500,000)
$
$ 470,400

Debt
Equity
Tax Rate

Equity Value =

40%
60%
20%

k
5.0%
14.0%

$470, 400
= $3,360, 000
0.14

13

14

Benefits of Debt:
An Illustration of the Tax Benefit

Debt in capital structure


Equity in capital structure
Cost of debt
EBIT
Interest
Earnings before taxes
Taxes
Net income
Dividends
Interest
Payments to securityholders

All-Equity Firm Value

$0
$1,000

$200
$800

$400
$600

$600
$400

7%

8%

9%

10%

$100
0
100
35
$65

$100
16
84
29
$55

$100
36
64
22
$42

$100
60
40
14
$26

$65
0
$65

$55
16
$71

$42
36
$78

$26
60
$86

Sales
COGS
Depreciation
EBIT
Taxes
NOPAT
+ Depreciation
CAPEX
DWC
PFCF / FFCF

15

$ 3,000,000
$ (1,800,000)
$ (500,000)
$ 700,000
$ (140,000)
$ 560,000
$ 500,000
$ (500,000)
$
$ 560,000

Debt
Equity
Tax Rate

40%
60%
20%

k
5.0%
14.0%

0.4(0.05) + 0.6(0.14) = 0.104

Firm Value =

$560, 000
= $5,384, 615
0.104

Vs.
$5, 600, 000 on slide 9
16

WACC Weight Estimation: Theory

WACC Weight Estimation: Practice

WACC is cost of capital today


Use market values to find weights
Book value applies to time of issue

Use market-based opportunity costs

In practice market prices are used for common stock

Book value is used for preferred stock and debt (unless


market data is available)
Book value close to market value

Costs should reflect the current required rates of return,


rather than historical rates.

Ease of attaining book value


A weighted average cost of debt can be estimated from the
yield curve

Use forward-looking weights and tax rates


WACC assumes constant capital structure (D/(D+E))
If this does not exist (i.e. LBO) analyst should apply
Adjusted Present Value (APV) model (Chapter 10)
17

18

Estimating Rates of Return

Cost of Debt Capital kd

Cost of Debt (kd)

Yield to maturity (YTM) on publicly-traded bonds or the


risk-free rate plus a default spread given actual (or projected)
debt rating

Risk-free rate plus default spread given actual (or projected) debt
rating

Cost of Preferred Equity (kp)

If debt is not publicly-traded, analyst should estimate kd using the


YTM on a portfolio of bonds with similar credit ratings and maturity.
Reuters provides average spreads to Treasury data that is updated
daily and cross-categorized by both default rating (Moodys, S&P,
Fitch) and years to maturity

Preferred generally pays a constant dividend every period


(perpetuity), so we take the perpetuity formula, rearrange
and solve for kp

Use yield to maturity (YTM) on publicly-traded bonds

For debt with default risk, the expected cash flows must reflect the
probability of default (Pb) and the recovery rate (Re) on the debt in the
event of default.

Cost of Debt Capital is after-tax: kd (1T)

Cost of Common Equity (ke)


CAPM methods or DCF (dividend) approach
19

20

Example of Expected YTM

Coupon
14%
Principal
$1,000.00
Price
$829.41
Recovery rate
50%

Example of Expected YTM

Bond Rating Caa/CCC


10 Year Treasury Yield
5.02%

Treasury Rate + Spread


= 0.0502 + 0.1255 = .1757

Year Promised CF
0
$ (829.41)
1
$140.00
2
$140.00
3
$140.00
4
$140.00
5
$140.00
6
$140.00
7
$140.00
8
$140.00
9
$140.00
10
$1,140.00
YTM
17.76% IRR

YTM = 0.1776 which is


Consistent
Can also use CAPM
with d

21

22

Average Cumulative Default Rates (1993-2000)

Example: $1,000 face one year to maturity selling for $985 and paying 9%
annually
Promised

B o n d P ric e =

In te re s t + P a ym e n t
1 + Y T M

985 =

90 + 1000
1 + Y T M

YTM =

90 + 1000
- 1 = 0 .1 0 6 6
985

Suppose theres a 15% probability of default (Pb) and a 75% recovery rate
(Re):
B o n d P ric e =

985 =

In te re s t + P a ym e n t 1 - P b + In te re s t + P a ym e n t P b R e
1 + k d

9 0 + 1 0 0 0 1 - 0 .1 5 + 9 0 + 1 0 0 0 0 .1 5 0 .7 5
1 + k d

k d = 0 .0 6 5 1

AverageCumulativeDefaultRates

Promised vs. Expected Return Rates

35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
Investment
Grade

10%
5%
0%

Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year Year
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Investment
0.05
Grade

0.17

0.35

0.60

0.84

1.08

1.28

1.47

1.62

1.73

Speculative
3.69
Grade

8.39

12.8

16.8

20.3

23.6

26.4

29.0

31.2

32.8

Speculative
Grade

Promised
Close
Expected, or
YTM kd

Expected
23

24

Cost of Preferred Equity (kp)

Calculating kp

The cost of straight (nonconvertible) preferred stock can be calculated:

Preferred
Preferred Dividend, Div p
Stock =
Required Return, k p
Price, Pp

ProLogis is a Denver, Colorado-based real estate investment trust (REIT)


that operates a global network of industrial properties. Its common equity
is traded on the NYSE under the ticker PLD. Its market capitalization
was approximately $14.6B.
The company also has Series C, F, G preferred equity outstanding. The
F and G series are publicly-traded on the NYSE.

Using the preferred dividend and observed price of preferred stock, we


can infer required rate of return:

kp =

Div p
Pp

Series
C
F
G

These are Promised dividends so kp


is biased upwards

Liquidation
Preference
Shares
$50.00
2,000,000
$25.00
5,000,000
$25.00
5,000,000

Value
Dividends
$100,000,000
$4.27
$125,000,000 $1.6875
$125,000,000 $1.6875

Closing Price

$50.00
$24.14
$23.90

kps
8.54%
6.99%
7.06%

When no closing price, use Liquidation Preference


25

26

Cost of Common Equity (ke)

Traditional CAPM: Risk Classes

ke is the rate of return investors expect from investing in the firms


stock

Most difficult to estimate


Common shareholders are the residual claimants of the firms
earnings

Contributes to the risk of a


diversified portfolio

changes in interest rates and


energy prices that influence
almost all stocks

No promised or pre-specified return based on a contract

Returns are based on cash distributions


Dividends and cash proceeds from selling stock

Unsystematic Risk

Systematic Risk

Estimation Approaches:
Variants of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

Stocks that are very sensitive to


these sources of risk should have
high required rates of return,
since these stocks contribute more
to the variability of diversified
portfolios.
Cannot be diversified away

Discounted cash flow (dividend) approach


27

Does not contribute to the risk of


a diversified portfolio
random firm-specific events
such as lawsuits, product
defects and innovations.

These sources of risk should have


almost no effect on required
rates of return because they
contribute very little to the overall
variability of diversified
portfolios.
Can be diversified away
28

Traditional CAPM

Beta for Apple

e = 0.822, krf = 3%, (km - krf )=0.05

Can also use CAPM for kd with d

k e = 0.03 + 0.822 0.05 = 0.071

Risk-adjusted return CAPM takes into account beta, the risk free
rate, and the expected return on the market. It is also the equation for
the Security Market Line:
Market Rate of
Return of All Assets

k e k rf e k m k rf
Risk Free
Rate of Return

Expected Market
Stock Beta
Risk Premium
(Firms
Systematic Risk)

krf

29

30

Estimating e

Choosing krf

In the U.S. the risk-free rate of interest can be estimated by using a


U.S. Treasury Rate

Long-term (10-20 year)

Intermediate-term

Short-term

Firms historical or predicted e


Estimated by regressing the firms excess stock returns on the
excess returns of a market portfolio
Use the same risk free rate duration in the CAPM equation!

It should be consistent with the market risk premium assumption, and


ideally matches the useful economic life of the asset to be valued.

ke k rf t e k m k rf t t
Firms excess returns

Markets excess returns

Analysts typically estimate e using historical returns


We must ensure this accurately reflects the relationship between
risk and return in the future
31

32

Unlevering and Levering s:


Overview

Estimating e

e is an estimate subject to random error

Common fix: Use an average of e estimates for similar companies

The Equity we estimate from a regression analysis reflects both business


and financial risk (see the following two slides).

es vary by industry and capital structure (next 2 slides)

Steps for estimating e


1.

Find a set of comparable firms and their e s

2.

Un-lever the e s

3.

Re-lever the average unlevered e

33

34

Unlevering and Levering s:


Overview

Issues with e and valuation

In the simplest case we have no taxes

Assets = Debt + Equity A = D + E

Portfolio with weights D/(D+E) and E/(D+E)


n

portfolio wi i
i 1

35

D
E
f
d
e
DE
DE

We want to compare firms returns based on their assets

We observe e but it includes the effect of financing choices (D and E)


36

Unleverling Beta With No Taxes

Unlevering Beta With No Taxes

Debt

If there was no debt: A = E and f = eUnlevered

For a levered firm with no taxes:

f eUNlevered

Assets
(Firm)

Equity

eLevered 1

D
E
d
eLevered
DE
DE

Based on Eq. (1),


p. 116

D UNlevered D
- d
e
E
E

Based on Eq. (2),


p. 116

Often we assume debt is riskless and d = 0

eLevered 1 eUNlevered 1 a
E
E

f
d
e
DE
DE
37

How do Taxes Affect Things?

What is the Tax effect?

Debt Tax Shield: D*T

D E - TC D
T D
f
UA C TC D
DE
DE

Levered
= 1+
Assume TC D = 0 and plug into e

eLevered 1 1- TC

D
a
E

D
D UNlevered

UA 1 1- TC e
E
E

38

Debt

From Slide 38:


Assets
(Firm)

Equity

See Eq.
(5), p. 117

39

D E - TC D
T D
UA C TC D
DE
DE

40

Levering/Unlevering Betas: Two Cases

When debt level (D) is constant, d = 0

Levered
e

1 1- TC eUNlevered
E

When D/E ratio is constant why does tax shield drop out?

eUNlevered

Eq. (5), p. 117

Note On Beta With Constant D/E Ratio

eLevered

1 1- TC
E

D E - TC D
T D
UA C TC D
DE
DE

Substitute f for T D
Since later is perfectly
correlated with firm
C

D E - TC D
T D
f
UA C f
DE
DE

When D/E ratio is constant

Tax shield is perfectly correlated with firm value

Levered
e

D
D
1 eUNlevered - d
E
E

eUNlevered

Eq. (6), p. 118

f 1D

E
D
1
E

eLevered d

TC D TC D
1 UA
DE DE

eLevered 1 eUNlevered - d
E
E

f UA
i.e., go back to
Slide 38

41

42

Estimating e for Pfizer

Debt = 0.30, Assume D/E constant:

Estimating e for Pfizer


D

eLevered 1 eUNlevered - d
E
E

From
Slide 42

Use Pfizers D/E ratio and the average UA


Levered
Debt/Equity
Unlevered
Company Name
Equity Betas Capitalization Equity Betas
Abbott Laboratories
0.7200
10.73%
0.6793
Johnson & Johnson
0.5800
6.88%
0.5620
Merck
0.8100
15.00%
0.7435
Pfizer
0.7100
17.86%
0.6479
Average
12.62%
0.6582

eLevered 1 ua - d
E

1 0.1786 0.6582 - 0.1786 0.3 0.7221

Four independent estimates of a


Should we give more weight to Pfizer in average?
43

44

Time Frame for Measurement of e

A Note On the Market Risk Premium (km krf)

Typically at least 3 years is used to capture statistically


significant return experience.

Market Risk Premium

A longer time frame (5 years) smooths out irregularities in the


market, which may be present over shorter periods of time.

A shorter period (2 years) may be more appropriate for


companies in dynamic, high growth industries or for recently
restructured companies.

The discount rate must reflect the opportunity cost of capital,


which is in turn determined by the rate of return associated with
investing in other risky investments.
If one believes that the market will generate high returns over the
next 10 years, then the required rate of return on a firms stock will
also be quite high.
Market risk premium forecasts can be as low as 3%.
5% is commonly used in practice these days.

45

46

Historical Estimates of km

Average Return?

Historical Stock and Bond Returns: Summary Statistics for 1926-2008

Large Company Stocks


Small Company Stocks
Long-term Corporate Bonds
Long-Term Government Bonds
Intermediate-Term Government Bonds
Treasury Bills
Inflation

Mean
Geometric Arithmetic
9.8%
11.8%
11.9%
16.5%
6.1%
6.4%
5.7%
6.1%
5.4%
5.5%
3.5%
3.6%
3.0%
3.1%

Standard
Deviation
20.2%
32.3%
8.3%
9.7%
5.6%
3.1%
4.1%

Historical data suggest that the risk premium for the market portfolio has averaged 6% 8% per year over the past 75 years. There is good reason to believe that looking forward
the market risk premium will not be this high.
47

2 years ago you bought stock for $100

After one year its value was $50

Today its value is $100

What is your average return (r) over the last two years?
Geometric Mean

Arithmetic Mean

1 r 1- 0.51 1
r 1- 0.5 1 1 -1
2

r0

-0.5 1
2
r 0.25
r

Which one is right?


48

Trouble with CAPM

Trouble with CAPM

Relationship between the beta estimates of stocks and their future rates
of return?

Firm characteristics provide much better predictions of future returns


than do betas.

The CAPM SML and decile portfolios with the smallest decile (10) cut in half

market capitalization and book-to-market ratios

Proposed modifications of CAPM i.e. size premium

Ibbotson Associates, divides firms into discrete groups based on the


total market value of their equity

ke krf e km - krf

Large-cap
Mid-Cap
Low-Cap
Micro-Cap

Size
Premium
0.00%
1.12%
1.85%
3.81%

Equity Value
e > 7.687B
1.912B < e < 7.687B
514M < e < 1.912B
e < 514M

49

50

Factor Models

Fama-French Three Factor Model

Another approach to estimate ke is through the use of multifactor risk


models that capture the risk of investments with multiple betas and
factor risk premiums.

Most widely used form of APT


The equity risk premium of the CAPM
A size risk premium: return on small cap portfolio minus return on
large cap portfolio

Risk factors:
Macroeconomic variables: changes in interest rates, inflation, or
GDP

A risk premium related to the relative value of the firm when


compared to its book value (historical cost-based value)

Factor portfolios

Equity Risk Small-Big


High-Low
ke krf b
s
h

Premium
Premium

Premium

Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)

ke krf 1 R1 - krf 2 R2 - krf ... n Rn - krf

Fact: Small Firms and Value firms perform


better than Big firms and Growth firms

High Book to Market Value


Low Book to Market Value
(i.e.,Value Growth)

51

52

Fama-French

Apple and Fama-French

Apple analysis

Excess Return over CAPM of Book-to-Market Portfolios, 19262005

Coefficients
b
s
h

Recall CAPM:

Page 125

Coefficient
Estimates

0.9718
0.1482
-0.5795
Risk premium =
+ Risk free rate =
=Cost of equity

Risk
Premia

5.00%
3.23%
4.08%

Product
4.86%
0.48%
-2.36%
2.97%
3.00%
5.97%

ke 0.03 0.82 0.05 7.1%

CAPM predicts higher return for Growth firms like Apple


53

54

What this means

CAPM vs. Fama-French

Assume we know that next year a stock will be worth $110

Value Today
CAPM 10%
$ 100.00

FF Growth 8%
$ 101.85

Apple
IBM
Merck & Co
Pepsico
Pfizer
Wal Mart

FF Value 12%
$ 98.21

CAPM underestimates price of Growth firm


Actual return is lower so prices should be higher

Fama-French Coefficients
b
s
h
0.9716
0.1586 (0.5859)
0.6801
(0.0017) (0.5720)
0.7705
(1.0911) (0.0308)
0.4957
(0.4501) (0.0300)
0.9404
(1.1152) (0.3177)
0.1597
0.2979 (0.2502)

FF Cost CAPM
of Equity Beta
5.98%
0.82
3.84%
0.49
3.20%
0.52
3.90%
0.37
5.40%
0.78
5.78%
0.35

CAPM
Cost
of Equity Difference
7.10%
1.12%
5.43%
1.59%
5.58%
2.38%
4.83%
0.93%
6.88%
1.48%
4.74%
-1.04%

CAPM overestimates price of Value firm


Generally similar but some exceptions

Actual return is higher so should be priced lower

55

56

Historical Returns

DCF or Imputed Rate of Return

Limitations of cost of equity ke estimates based on historical returns

Historical security returns are highly variable


Large errors
Market conditions are changing

Instead of using the DCF model to determine the value of an


investment, the method takes observed values and estimated cash
flows and estimates the internal rate of return, or the implied cost of
equity capital
Forward Looking

Tax rates change on dividends

Stock Price0

Participation in market drives down risk premium

t 1

Globalization reduces risk premium

Dividend Year t

1 ke

Historical returns exhibit survivor bias


How many markets have 75 years of continuous history? Will
we be so lucky going forward?
57

58

Gordon Growth Model

If dividends grow at a constant rate g and g < ke then

Stock Price0 =

Dividend Year 0 1+ g Dividend Year 1


=
ke - g
ke - g
ke =

Single Period Growth Example

Dividend Year 1
+g
Stock Price0

Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is involved in natural gas


transmission and energy production. The most recent dividend is
$3.12 / share and the most recent price was $70.91. Analysts estimate
3.92% growth.

ke =

$3.12 1+ 0.0392
+ 0.0392 = 8.5%
$70.91

Typically we observe the most recent dividend (DividendYear 0) and


current stock price (Stock Price0) and estimate growth (g)

59

60

Three-stage Growth Model

Three-stage Example

Allow different growth rates in different periods


5

Stock Price0 =

Dividend Year 0 1+ g1-5

1+ ke
5
t-5
10
Dividend Year 0 1+ g5 1+ g 6-10
+
t
t=6
1+ ke
Dividend Year 0 1+ g5 5 1+ g 6-10 5 1+ g >10
+

t=1

Rushmore Electronics

ke - g >10

Current share price $24 with dividends of $2.20/share

Analysts project 14% growth in near term, Rushmore has experienced


10% growth over last 10 years, economy will grow at 6.5%
5

24 =

2.2 1+ 0.14

1+ ke
5
t-5
2.2 1+ 0.14 1+ 0.10
+
t
t=6
1+ ke
2.2 1+ 0.14 5 1+ 0.10 5 1+ 0.065
+

t=1

ke = 20.38%

10

1+ ke

10

Time periods based on Ibbotsons practice

ke - 0.065

1+ k e

10

61

62

Implied Market Risk-Premia

Overconfidence and ke

We can use the same idea of a forward looking model for MRP:

Dividend Year 0 1+ g

Equity Risk Premium =


+ g - krf
Market Cap

ke =

Managers are optimistic about g what happens?

DividendYear0 = average dividend for market, g = long term dividend


growth for all stocks in market, Market Cap = value of all equities

Dividend Year 0 1+ g
+g
Stock Price0

ke increases as a function of optimism so cost of equity and capital are


conservative
If Duke overestimated growth at 6% rather than 3.2%, ke increases
from 9.4% to 12.37%

63

64

What do we do?

Calculating the WACC

Capital Structure

Champion Energy Example:

Use market value weights for capital structure

Cost of Equity
CAPM
3-Factor Fama-French
Discounted cash flow (3-stage)
Average

6.25%
7.25%
8.55%
7.35%

Yield on a long-term bond in the estimation of the market risk


premium, as well as in calculating the excess market returns that
are used in the estimation of beta

Source
of Capital

Capital
Structure

After-tax
Cost

Weighted

Use multiple methods for estimating ke

Debt

20%

3.94%

0.788%

The focus of our analysis should be forward-looking; but should


not ignore historical data.

Equity

80%

7.35%

5.880%

If a change is expected, target weights should replace current


weights

Cost of Capital Best Practices

65

WACC =

Cost of Debt 5.25%

6.668%

66

Potrebbero piacerti anche