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Study #2149
November 1-4, 2016
1,072 contacts weighted by age and sex
POLL QUESTIONS
Yes
No
Not sure
Continue
Terminate
How likely is it you will vote in the November general election for president, U.S. Senate and other officeswill you
definitely vote, probably vote, might or might not vote, or probably not vote, or have you already cast a ballot in early
voting?
34
66
-
Already voted
Definitely vote
Probably vote
Might or might not vote
Probably not vote
Refused/not sure
Continue
Collect age, sex, race, county, and education data, then
Terminate
(If definitely vote, ask:) If the general election were held today, and the candidates for U.S. Senate were [Patty
Judge for the Democrats] and [Chuck Grassley for the Republicans], for whom would you vote[Patty
Judge/Chuck Grassley] or for someone else? (Alternate candidate names every other interview.)
(If already voted, ask:) In the election for U.S. Senator, for whom did you vote[Patty Judge for the
Democrats/Chuck Grassley for the Republicans], or for someone else? (Rotate candidate names.)
(If already voted and not sure, ask:) Do you just not want to tell, or do you not remember?
(If definitely vote and not sure or would not vote, ask:) Toward which do you lean?
First choice
Lean
32
54
4
5
5
1
2
2
4
1
Patty Judge
Chuck Grassley
Other/would not vote (VOL)
Not sure/dont remember
Dont want to tell
***Total***
33
56
2
4
6
Nov-16
Oct-16
n=800
n=642
Patty
Judge
Chuck
Grassley
33
36
56
53
Other/would
not vote (VOL)
_______________
SELZER & COMPANY
PAGE 1
2
2
Not sure/
dont remember
4
6
Dont want
to tell
6
3
(If definitely vote, ask:) If the general election were held today, and the candidates were [Hillary Clinton for the
Democrats], [Donald Trump for the Republicans], [Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party], and [Jill Stein for
the Green Party], for whom would you vote? (Rotate candidate names in brackets.)
(If already voted, ask:) In the election for president, for whom did you vote[Hillary Clinton for the Democrats],
[Donald Trump for the Republicans], [Gary Johnson for the Libertarian Party], or [Jill Stein for the Green
Party]? (Rotate candidate names in brackets.)
(If already voted and not sure, ask:) Do you just not want to tell, or do you not remember?
(If definitely vote and not sure or would not vote, ask:) Toward which do you lean?
First choice
Lean
39
45
6
1
2
3
5
1
2
1
-
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Other/would not vote (VOL)
Not sure/Dont remember
Dont want to tell
***Total***
39
46
6
1
2
1
5
Nov-16
Oct-16
n=800
n=642
Hillary
Clinton
Donald
Trump
39
39
46
43
Gary
Johnson
6
6
Other/would
not vote
(VOL)
Jill
Stein
1
2
Not sure/
dont
remember
2
2
Dont want
to tell
1
5
5
2
In the last month or so, have you become more or less confident that [NAME FROM LIST] would be a successful
president if elected? (Rotate.)
More
Less No change
confident confident (VOL)
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
28
39
55
46
14
10
Not
sure
3
4
(If definitely vote, ask: will you vote. If already voted, ask: did you vote.) In this election, (will/did) you vote
a straight ticketthat is, mark the box next to one party for all races where that applies? (If yes, ask:) For which
party (will/did) you vote a straight ticketDemocrat, Republican, Libertarian, or the New Independent Party Iowa?
18
18
4
53
7
Democrat
Republican
Libertarian
New Independent Party Iowa
Not voting straight ticket
Not sure
Compared to past presidential elections, do you find yourself having more or fewer political conversations with
people you know who support a different candidate from the one you support?
52
28
17
3
More
Fewer
No change (VOL)
Not sure
_______________
SELZER & COMPANY
PAGE 2
What is your view of your choices for president representing two major parties this cycle[Donald Trump] and
[Hillary Clinton]: (Rotate candidates. Read items and do not rotate answer options.)
28
40
20
5
7
Not
Sure
34
21
40
52
23
23
41
20
35
Now, Im going to mention some concerns that political opponents have expressed about Hillary Clinton. For each,
please tell me if this is something that bothers you a lot, a little, or not at all. (Rotate.)
Bothers
A lot
Bothers Bothers
A little Not at all
Not
Sure
46
22
30
40
21
36
42
21
34
_______________
SELZER & COMPANY
PAGE 3