IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll

The IBD/TIPP poll a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market
Intelligence (TIPP) has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.
The latest results for the IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll will be released each morning by 6
a.m. ET.
Also look for daily videos with analysis of the latest results on our Facebook page and on Investors.com.
About IBD/TIPP Poll

Day 17 Results: Nov. 4

Trump And Clinton Remain Deadlocked Amid New Clinton Scandal Revelations: IBD/TIPP Poll

OVERALL
Region
Northeast
Midwest
South
West

Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Not sure

44.4% 43.9% 3.7%
1.7% 1.5% 4.8%
48%
44%
43%
44%

37%
49%
47%
38%

4%
2%
3%
6%

3%
1%
1%
2%

1%
0%
1%
4%

6%
3%
5%
7%

49%
42%

36%
50%

6%
3%

2%
2%

2%
1%

4%
3%

Age
18-44
45-64

65+

43%

48%

1%

0%

1%

6%

37%
51%

50%
39%

5%
3%

2%
2%

1%
2%

6%
4%

36%
75%

53%
15%

4%
5%

2%
0%

2%
0%

4%
5%

53%
49%
48%
40%

34%
42%
44%
50%

3%
2%
4%
5%

7%
2%
0%
1%

0%
2%
1%
2%

3%
2%
3%
3%

35%
43%
48%

55%
47%
39%

3%
3%
4%

1%
1%
2%

1%
1%
2%

5%
6%
5%

89%
3%
36%

5%
90%
41%

2%
3%
8%

1%
1%
4%

1%
1%
3%

3%
2%
8%

16%
51%
92%

75%
34%
2%

2%
8%
1%

1%
0%
3%

2%
2%
1%

4%
5%
2%

44%
46%

47%
41%

3%
4%

1%
3%

2%
2%

3%
5%

57%
42%
36%

29%
46%
53%

3%
5%
2%

3%
1%
1%

1%
2%
2%

6%
4%
6%

40%
46%

47%
43%

4%
4%

2%
2%

3%
1%

4%
5%

31%
41%

58%
48%

5%
2%

2%
2%

2%
2%

3%
4%

84%
58%

8%
29%

3%
8%

0%
0%

0%
0%

6%
5%

59%
45%

31%
45%

3%
2%

2%
2%

1%
2%

4%
4%

Gender
Male
Female

Race
White
Black/Hispanic

Income
Under 30K
30K-50K
50-75K
75K+

Education
High School
Some College
College Degree or more

Party
Democrats
Republicans
Ind./Other

Ideology
Conservative
Moderate
Liberal

Investor
Yes
No

Area Type
Urban
Suburban
Rural

Parental Status
Parents
Non-Parents

White
White men
White women

Black/Hispanic
Black
Hispanic

Women
Single women
Married women

Household
Description
Upper/Upper Middle
Middle
Working
Lower

54%
41%
42%
50%

39%
47%
46%
24%

5%
4%
2%
9%

0%
1%
3%
7%

1%
2%
1%
0%

2%
5%
5%
10%

36%
38%
44%
67%

55%
54%
40%
22%

3%
3%
4%
5%

1%
0%
4%
1%

1%
1%
2%
2%

4%
4%
7%
3%

51%
43%

38%
45%

5%
4%

2%
2%

1%
2%

3%
5%

Religion
Protestant
Catholic
Other
None

Union Household
Yes
No

Two-candidate question
OVERALL

Clinton
45.0%

Trump
43.8%

Other Not sure

4.4% 6.8%

Intensity of Support

Strong

Moderate

Clinton
Trump

63%
67%

37%
32%

Zeitgeist (Likely To Win)

Clinton

Trump

Too Close

Overall
Democrats
Republicans
Independents

45%
78%
14%
40%

25%
4%
50%
24%

24%
14%
31%
28%

Results based on survey of 898 likely voters conducted from 10/30 - 11/3. Margin of error: +/- 3.3
percentage points. Party identification breakdown:(Unweighted) 285 Democrats/318 Republicans/280
Independents; (Weighted) 325/297/245. Results in table above are based on weighted sample. IBD's polling
partner TechnoMetrica uses "traditional" telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection
for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a
Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample.
PRIOR RESULTS (PDF): Nov. 3 | Nov. 2 | Nov. 1 | Oct. 31 | Oct. 30 | Oct. 29 | Oct. 28 | Oct. 27 | Oct.
26 | Oct. 25 | Oct. 24 |Oct. 23 | Oct. 22 | Oct. 21 | Oct. 20 | Oct. 19
About IBD/TIPP The IBD/TIPP poll is a collaboration between Investor's Business Daily and
TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence. Each month, the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index is the earliest take
on consumer confidence and predicts with good reliability monthly changes in sentiment in well-known polls
by The Conference Board and the University of Michigan. Both the IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index and
IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll are national surveys based on randomly selected live interviews
via cellphone and landlines. For more information, go to www.tipponline.com.
To license the IBD/TIPP Poll, please contact: IBDlicensing@investors.com. For media inquiries, contact Terry
Jones (terry.jones@investors.com) or Matthew Galgani (matt.galgani@investors.com) or call (310) 4486800.