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Chapter 19
ABSTRACT
In the field delineation phase, the uncertainty in hydrocarbon reservoir
descriptions is large. In order to quickly examine the impact of this uncertainty
on production performance, it is necessary to evaluate a large number of
descriptions in relation to possible production methods (well spacing, injection
rate, etc.). The method of using coarse scaled-up models was first proposed by
Ballin et al. Unlike other methods (connectivity analysis, tracer simulations), it
considers parameters such as thermodynamic behavior of the fluids, well
management, etc.
This paper presents a detailed review of scaling-up issues, along with
applications of the coarse scaling-up method to various water-injection
cases, as well as to a depletion case of an oil reservoir in the presence of
aquifer coning.
The need for correct scaling-up of wellbore and near-wellbore parameters
is emphasized and is far more important than correct scaling-up far from
wells. I present methods to accurately represent fluid volumes in coarse
models. I propose simple methods to scale-up the relative permeabilities,
and methods to efficiently correct for numerical artifacts.
I obtained good results for water injection. The coarse scaling-up method
allows the performance of sensitivity analyses on model parameters in a
much lower computer time than comprehensive simulations. Models representing extreme behaviors can be easily distinguished.
For the depletion of an oil reservoir in the presence of aquifer coning,
however, the method is not as promising. It is my opinion that further
research is required for scaling-up close to the wells.
277
278
Lemouzy
INTRODUCTION
The Need for Fast Evaluation of Multiple
Geostatistical Realizations
During the delineation phase of reservoir development, when only a few wells have been drilled, a lot of
uncertainty remains in the reservoir description. The
sources of uncertainty include the
Geometry of the reservoir, which affects the calculation of hydrocarbon volume in place;
Amount of reservoir facies (which can be
expressed as a net:gross ratio N:G), which similarly affects the calculation of volume in place;
Dimensions of geological bodies (i.e., channels,
lobes) and their internal heterogeneities, which
control reservoir connectivity, and thus the
recovery; and
Petrophysical characteristics of the facies.
The major problem is to estimate the oil in place, the
expected production profiles, and the uncertainties of
these estimations. If the economic value of the expected
production profiles is below the acceptable threshold
of the operator, further development will be canceled
or postponed. When the uncertainty is too large, additional data will be required (seismic, drilling) until a
reasonable degree of certainty is reached, allowing for
development. Determining the uncertainty is certainly
more critical offshore than onshore.
To estimate the uncertainty, two approaches are
possible:
One can determine scenarios (e.g., minimum,
mode, maximum, or proven, probable, possible,
etc.) for each factor participating in oil in place
or in production profile computations (e.g.,
reservoir top depth map, porosity, N:G ratio)
and combine them to obtain scenarios for the
studied value. This approach can go from simple
products of scenario values to more sophisticated
Monte Carlo computations, but it neglects possible
interaction between factors.
From a few wells, geological analysis can provide
very realistic reservoir geological models. This
knowledge can be expressed in terms of geostatistical parameters, used to build up very detailed
reservoir models in lithofacies or petrophysics.
The overall uncertainty is determined by the
examination of the production behavior of a large
number of realizations, allowing uncertainty to
interact between petrophysics, geometry, etc. The
issue studied in the present paper is the evaluation of the production behavior of a large number
of realizations.
Previous Works
Gurillot and Morelon (1992) proposed a simplified
flow simulator to sort several realizations. They used a
single pressure field calculated once, and they computed
SCALING-UP METHODS
General
Scaling-up must be performed considering the
actual operation of a reservoir simulator. First, the
simulator processes data describing the reservoir
(such as geometrical, petrophysical, pressure-volumetemperature (PVT) relationships), considered as properties attributed to homogeneous grid blocks. The
output of this preprocessing or initialization phase is a
network composed of nodes (to which are attributed
some grid-block data such as pore volume, pressure,
and saturation) and links (to which a transmissivity is
attributed). Flow equations are then solved for this
network. This is not unfamiliar for people who used
Evaluation of Multiple Geostatistical Models Using Scaling-Up with Coarse Grids: A Practical Study
TIJ =
Q
J I
(1)
The potentials are averaged by considering an arithmetic average of fine block potentials weighted by pore
volume (V ). This is obtained assuming that total compressibility is constant over fine blocks. Detailed derivation and discussion are presented in Appendix A.
Permeability
I determined directly scaled-up transmissivity,
rather than scaling-up block permeability and computing the transmissivity afterward. This approach
was proposed by Gomez-Hernandez and Journel
(1990), who scaled-up interblock permeabilities. As
the geometry of their model was regular, the geometric
term within transmissivity (the ratio S:L, S being the
surface of the interface between two blocks, and L the
distance between block centers) was constant; therefore,
scaling-up either interblock permeability or transmissivity was equivalent.
An explanation of the interest of direct scaling-up of
transmissivities may be found in Romeu and Noetinger
(1995). They investigated how to determine numerically
the equivalent permeability of a block consisting of several sub-blocks with permeabilities obeying a spatially
correlated distribution. They showed that the accuracy
of a numerical determination depends on the ratio of
the size of the sub-block to the variogram range, and on
the numerical method used. The larger the sub-block
size, the larger the error in the equivalent numerical
permeability. They demonstrated that a special finitedifference (FD) method, termed direct, consisting of
using permeability directly within the transmissivity
term in place of the harmonic average of adjacent block
permeabilities, yields equivalent numerical permeability closer to the value that would be obtained with an
exact numerical method.
Computing directly scaled-up transmissivity is an
application of this direct method. Scaling-up implies
that the ratio of block size to variogram range will be
much larger in the coarse model, leading to large
errors when using traditional FD methods. Determining transmissivity directly reduces the error.
The scaled-up transmissivities are computed by
solving numerically on the fine grid the steady-state
single-phase flow problem for the model composed of
the fine blocks belonging to the coarse block under
consideration and to the existing neighboring coarse
279
Vii i
Vii
(2)
Initialization
Initialization of flow models consists of computing,
for each block, its initial saturation and pressure, and
attributing functions of pressure (PVT) or saturation
(relative permeability (Kr) and capillary pressure (Pc)).
This requires the knowledge of the gravity center depths
of blocks. In current use of FD numerical simulators, this
gravity center depth is calculated from the geometrical
description of the block, assuming the block is homogeneous. Thus, the gravity center coincides with the geometric center of the block. When the coarse block is
made of sub-blocks of different properties, these two
points are not identical. When density of fluid is constant, the calculation detailed in Appendix B leads to
Z Vi i = Vi i Zi
(3)
V S0 iVi S0 i
B (P )
B0 P
0 i
()
(4)
280
Lemouzy
Q
b w
(5)
Evaluation of Multiple Geostatistical Models Using Scaling-Up with Coarse Grids: A Practical Study
Kr =
x K Ki
i i r
1
xi K i
(6)
(7)
281
282
Lemouzy
grouped into 5 5 to give a coarse block, a satisfactory pseudo-Kr is obtained from 1-D fine simulation with an aggregation ratio of 5:1.
For a favorable mobility ratio, the best aggregation ratio for floods in the direction of a diagonal
to the grid is half the actual aggregation ratio. For
a 4 4 grouping of fine blocks, a pseudo-Kr from
1-D fine simulation with an aggregation ratio of
2:1 is efficient to reproduce the results of the fine
2-D model on the coarse 2-D model.
Proportions
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
0.15
0.10
0.20
0.20
0.10
Variogram
Range (m)
100
50
50
200
200
41
8/~5:1
10/~4:1
51
10/~5:1
13/~4:1
20
4/~5:1
5/~4:1
41,820
320/~130:1
650/~64:1
Evaluation of Multiple Geostatistical Models Using Scaling-Up with Coarse Grids: A Practical Study
283
Facies
1
2
3
4
3000
300
25
1
Kv/Kh
Porosity
Swi
Sor
Krwmax
0.1
0.01
0.001
0.00001
0.30
0.26
0.06
0.022
0.15
0.30
0.35
0.45
0.20
0.17
0.18
0.15
0.40
0.20
0.15
0.11
Grid
Fine
Coarse 1
Coarse 2
20
5/4:1
5/4:1
25
5/5:1
5/5:1
20
2/10:1
4/5:1
10,000
50/200:1
100/100:1
ANALYSIS OF COMPARISON
TESTS BETWEEN FINE AND
COARSE SIMULATIONS
General
To test the value of scaling-up to rank multiple realizations, a comparison between simulated productions
results (termed X) of fine and scaled-up models is performed. This yields the error X:
X = X f Xu
X is composed of two parts: its mean is the systematic error of using scaled-up models, and is
meaningless with respect to ranking. The important
part of X is its standard deviation, which gives the
magnitude of random-like fluctuations around the
mean: in the event of this standard deviation being
null, one would obtain a perfect ranking of X, even if
X were far from being null. As the value of X in
itself is not sufficient to compare the ranking capability for different production results Xi, I propose to
look at:
1i =
( ) and
(X )
X i
i
f
i
2
( )
(X )
X i
i
f
284
Lemouzy
25
25
P3
I2
20
20
P1
P1
15
15
I3
I1
Fine Grid
Fine Grid
10
Coarse Grid
Coarse Grid
10
P6
P4
P5
P2
I4
P7
P2
12
16
20
12
16
20
Grid
Wells
CG1
CG1
CG1
CG2
CG1
1
2
3
3
3
Correction of Kr
Shape
E. P.*
1:1
5:1
5:1
5:1
5:1
1
1
1
1
2
Evaluation of Multiple Geostatistical Models Using Scaling-Up with Coarse Grids: A Practical Study
285
Grid
Wells
Kr Shape
Saturation
Initialization
Gravity
Correction
w1
w2
w3
w4
w5
w6
CG1
CG1
CG1
CG1
CG2
CG1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1:1
5:1
2:1
2:1
2:1
2:1
1
1
2
1
1
1
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
Grid
Wells
d1
d2
d3
CG2
CG2
CG2
1
2
1
Gravity Correction
No
No
Yes
286
Lemouzy
w1
0.93
0.45
0.93
0.93
0.45
0.55
0.71
0.87
0.41
0.87
0.87
0.43
0.31
0.63
5.3
13.5
4.2
6.1
1.4
5.3
6.0
33.8
63.2
30.0
33.9
62.7
69.2
48.8
0.95
0.47
0.95
0.95
0.48
0.57
0.73
0.91
0.46
0.91
0.91
0.51
0.33
0.67
3.9
13.7
3.9
4.5
1.4
3.9
5.2
28.0
66.3
28.0
28.0
65.1
57.5
45.5
0.95
0.47
0.95
0.95
0.28
0.58
0.70
0.90
0.45
0.90
0.93
0.40
0.32
0.65
2.5
11.8
2.6
2.7
1.3
2.5
3.9
22.5
63.7
25.6
22.1
78.8
50.8
43.9
0.94
0.58
0.93
0.94
0.57
0.74
0.78
0.90
0.53
0.91
0.90
0.57
0.63
0.74
2.7
12.8
2.3
3.1
1.3
2.7
4.1
24.7
64.3
21.9
24.6
68.4
55.2
43.2
w6
0.95
0.51
0.95
0.95
0.50
0.55
0.74
0.92
0.49
0.92
0.92
0.50
0.37
0.68
3.1
10.5
2.6
3.6
1.1
3.1
4.0
24.2
54.2
21.7
24.2
54.7
50.9
38.3
w1
w2
Fw = 5%
w3
w4
0.63
0.63
0.65
0.05
0.09
0.02
0.64
0.63
0.65
0.23
0.27
0.15
0.08
0.04
0.10
0.51
0.49
0.52
0.36
0.36
0.35
0.76
0.78
0.77
0.12
0.03
0.22
0.76
0.78
0.77
0.09
0.07
0.11
0.11
0.05
0.20
0.64
0.64
0.65
0.41
0.39
0.45
12.8
36.5
18.0
746
0.3
0.4
13.1
38.4
18.0
16.8
40.8
62.3
51.3
5.8
6.2
15.3
37.1
18.2
143
26.5
20.5
46.2
70.8
42.1
2460
106
226
47.3
70.5
42.1
84.9
88.7
80.6
235
84.3 186
53.6
83.4
48.2
488
83.9 104
0.64
0.01
0.64
0.20
0.06
0.51
0.34
0.79
0.24
0.79
0.02
0.10
0.67
0.43
23.3
0.3
24.5
35.3
5.7
23.8
18.8
67.9
189
68.8
60.8
157
79.2
104
w5
w6
0.76
0.04
0.76
0.08
0.08
0.69
0.40
0.71
0.00
0.71
0.05
0.05
0.64
0.36
15.1
0.3
15.7
39.4
5.9
15.3
15.3
49.6
109
51.2
75.1
90.9
56.2
72.1
0.71
0.11
0.71
0.02
0.07
0.61
0.37
0.79
0.07
0.80
0.02
0.17
0.70
0.42
18.9
0.5
18.9
48.6
9.8
19.6
19.4
72.3
186
72.3
114
168
83.6
116
Mean
0.81
0.27
0.81
0.55
0.24
0.58
0.84
0.29
0.84
0.49
0.29
0.52
12.1
69.1
12.4
22.3
7.8
12.5
42.6
306
42.6
55.8
112
63.2
Evaluation of Multiple Geostatistical Models Using Scaling-Up with Coarse Grids: A Practical Study
287
1 (%)
2 (%)
Data
w1
Np
Qo
Gp
GOR
Wp
Fw
Recov.
Mean
Np
Qo
Gp
GOR
Wp
Fw
Recov.
Mean
Np
Qo
Gp
GOR
Wp
Fw
Recov.
Mean
Np
Qo
Gp
GOR
Wp
Fw
Recov.
Mean
0.98
0.28
0.96
0.28
0.68
0.50
0.56
0.61
0.97
0.38
0.94
0.41
0.77
0.72
0.61
0.69
9.2
33.5
8.4
27.3
64.7
38.0
9.3
27.2
19.4
82.4
24.8
91.8
56.0
73.8
47.7
56.6
w2
2000 Days
w3
0.99
0.98
0.07
0.44
0.96
0.93
0.65
0.17
0.74
0.66
0.49
0.24
0.76
0.60
0.67
0.57
0.98
0.97
0.38
0.55
0.95
0.92
0.64
0.38
0.78
0.75
0.70
0.62
0.70
0.59
0.73
0.68
5.0
6.2
37.6
41.6
5.9
7.7
20.9
30.1
43.1
55.0
31.6
38.4
5.1
6.4
21.3
26.5
12.5
15.6
100
80.8
19.3
26.9
74.2 128
55.8
58.2
75.7
88.8
38.0
47.7
53.6
63.7
w4
w5
w1
w2
0.98
0.25
0.96
0.31
0.84
0.49
0.65
0.64
0.97
0.36
0.94
0.42
0.86
0.72
0.61
0.70
6.1
37.4
6.0
24.5
43.9
30.6
6.3
22.1
16.1
85.5
21.6
95.6
45.1
76.8
46.3
55.3
0.98
0.75
0.96
0.67
0.88
0.90
0.79
0.85
0.98
0.77
0.96
0.70
0.90
0.87
0.79
0.85
4.2
23.1
5.8
18.9
23.9
15.4
4.5
13.7
13.0
49.0
19.0
62.8
39.0
38.7
41.3
37.5
0.93
0.97
0.80
0.91
0.73
0.44
0.74
0.79
0.85
0.86
0.73
0.89
0.77
0.84
0.70
0.81
7.6
6.3
10.7
7.8
157
102
9.9
43.0
40.2
23.5
56.3
41.4
139
120
69.4
69.9
0.95
0.96
0.90
0.94
0.24
0.11
0.89
0.71
0.90
0.85
0.80
0.90
0.57
0.63
0.89
0.79
5.1
6.4
6.8
5.0
87.6
97.3
6.2
30.6
32.1
24.9
38.3
29.5
92.4
99.9
45.3
51.8
500 Days
w3
w4
0.92
0.95
0.82
0.92
0.17
0.37
0.82
0.71
0.84
0.79
0.76
0.82
0.49
0.60
0.83
0.73
6.9
8.5
8.9
5.8
89.3
88.4
8.5
30.9
41.7
27.9
48.4
31.9
94.5
94.5
62.3
57.3
0.93
0.95
0.84
0.90
0.50
0.61
0.83
0.80
0.87
0.81
0.74
0.86
0.60
0.71
0.83
0.77
6.3
7.2
8.1
6.0
71.1
74.5
7.7
25.8
39.4
26.1
47.9
37.5
80.0
76.2
55.7
51.8
w5
0.95
0.96
0.87
0.92
0.16
0.08
0.86
0.68
0.91
0.88
0.80
0.87
0.46
0.60
0.85
0.77
6.2
6.7
8.1
6.8
89.4
93.4
7.5
31.1
36.1
23.8
44.9
35.0
94.6
99.3
52.1
55.1
Mean
0.96
0.66
0.90
0.67
0.56
0.42
0.75
0.92
0.66
0.85
0.69
0.70
0.70
0.74
6.3
20.8
7.7
15.3
72.5
61.0
7.1
26.6
52.4
34.7
62.7
75.4
84.4
50.6
288
Lemouzy
0.22
0.00
0.29
0.00
0.19
0.00
0.02
0.10
0.23
0.20
0.26
0.40
0.13
0.27
0.09
0.23
77.8
100
72.3
100
94.2
100
77.8
88.9
97.5
100
95.8
100
99.6
100
102
99.2
0.57
0.28
0.63
0.12
0.47
0.13
0.36
0.37
0.55
0.15
0.65
0.20
0.51
0.13
0.34
0.36
29.5
83.3
8.6
64.5
34.0
171
29.4
60.1
102
82.5
70.5
96.6
68.2
113
114
92.4
Mean
0.45
0.13
0.52
0.07
0.40
0.06
0.25
0.45
0.20
0.51
0.27
0.38
0.18
0.27
47.9
89.8
30.0
74.9
54.2
133
47.8
101
93.7
79.0
98.0
81.1
106
110
Computer Time
100
0.24
1.19
0.40
0.79
2.62
1:38
COMPARISON OF
COMPUTATIONAL COSTS
The mean performances for case C1, compared to a
mean computer time of 100 for the comprehensive
simulation, are shown in Table 11.
Evaluation of Multiple Geostatistical Models Using Scaling-Up with Coarse Grids: A Practical Study
289
CONCLUSIONS
For waterflood cases, I have successfully used
scaling-up to rank multiple geostatistical realizations.
290
Lemouzy
Vc t n + 1 n
m1Lt2,
V c t n + 1 n
m3/m3/Pa
= total compressibility,
K
= permeability, L2, m2
Kr
= relative permeability, adimensional
n1:n2 = aggregation ratio, n 1 fine blocks grouped
into n2 coarse blocks
P
= pressure, mL1t2, Pa
Pc
= capillary pressure, mL1t2, Pa
q
= flow rate, L3t1, m3/s
S
= saturation, L3/L3
t
= time, t, s
V
= volume, L3, m2
= scaled-up or averaged property X
X
x
= proportion, adimensional
Z
= depth, L, m
= porosity, L3/L3
= potential, mL1t2, Pa
)=
= fine
= index
= oil
= scaled-up
= water
qi
(A1)
i I
n +1
Vi i cit i
i B
in
(A2)
Vi
(A3)
Vii
(A4)
i B
and
V =
i B
Vii
(A5)
i B
Subscripts
f
i
o
u
w
)=
NOMENCLATURE
ct
i B
(A6)
i B
Tables
Np
Wp
Gp
Qo
Fw
GOR
Recov.
Swi
Sor
APPENDIX
Appendix A: Computation of Average Potential
In the transient regime of single-phase flow, the
discretized equation of conservation of volume (assuming that the density of the fluid is constant) is written
as follows for either fine or coarse blocks:
Vii cit
(A7)
i B
Vii cit i
(A8)
i B
Evaluation of Multiple Geostatistical Models Using Scaling-Up with Coarse Grids: A Practical Study
( )
Pc = Pc Z
(B1)
V = iVi i
(C3)
V gZ = iVi i gZ
291
( )
Pc = Pc Z
(2) Compute Pci for each fine block (C1), and the corresponding water saturation S iw from the
drainage Pc curve.
(3) Average water saturation for the coarse block:
Sw =
(B2)
Vi i Swi
Vi i
(C4)
And finally
Z=
iVi i Zi
iVi i
(B3)
Vi i Zi
Z=
Vi i
(B4)
( )
Pci = Pc Z + g( w o ) Z Zi
(C1)
Pci iVi =
Pc =
iVi
iVi (Z Zi )
Pc (Z ) + g( w o )
iVi
Pcmin g( w o ) Z ztop
and
Pcmax g( w o ) Z zbot
where ztop and zbot are the depths of the uppermost and
lowermost fine blocks, respectively, inside the coarse
block. This results in an scaled-up drainage Pc curve
with a range of negative Pc values.
This method may be applied to homogeneous blocks
to initialize their saturation according to the capillary
vertical profile, and to cases of pure gravity segregation
when the capillary transition zone has a negligible thickness (the drainage Pc curve is then defined by
Pc 0 Sw = Sw min ; Pc < 0 Sw = Sw max ).
(C2)
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The author would like to thank the managements of
292
Lemouzy
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