Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
October 2014
Disclaimer
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements that are subject to the
usual risk factors and uncertainties associated with the oil and gas exploration and
production business.
Whilst Tullow believes the expectations reflected herein to be reasonable in light of
the information available to them at this time, the actual outcome may be materially
different owing to factors beyond the Groups control or within the Groups control
where, for example, the Group decides on a change of plan or strategy.
The Group undertakes no obligation to revise any such forward-looking statements to
reflect any changes in the Groups expectations or any change in circumstances,
events or the Groups plans and strategy. Accordingly no reliance may be placed on
the figures contained in such forward looking statements.
Slide 2
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
East Africa
Corporate
Slide 4
High Margin
Production
Cash flow
Exploration
and
Appraisal
Monetisation
Options &
Portfolio
Management
Selective
Development
Surplus Cash
Additional
Exploration, Cash
Distribution
Costs &
Dividends
Material cash flow generation and development upside from West Africa
New oil province potential in East Africa delivering significant future resource growth
Strong balance sheet provides foundations to deliver long term value to shareholders
Slide 5
KENYA
South Lokichar Basin
Basin development
targeting over 200,000
bopd gross production.
West Africa
non-operated oil production
45
45
40
40
35
35
30
30
kboepd
kboepd
UGANDA
Lake Albert Rift Basin
25
20
GHANA
TEN development
On track for first oil
in mid-2016; FPSO
gross capacity of
80,000 bopd.
25
20
15
15
Mauritania
10
10
Congo (Brazz)
Cte d'Ivoire
Eq Guinea
Gabon
0
2013
Slide 6
1H 2014
2014
2015
2013
1H 2014
2014
2015
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Funding Strategy
Financing Initiatives
High
Margin
Production
Cash flow
Exploration
and Appraisal
Fully Funded
Monetisation
Options &
Portfolio
Management
Selective
Development
Debt facilities
Costs &
Dividends
Commercial Bank
Facilities
$3.5bn RBL
$750m RCF ~$500m
EFF
LC Facility
Debt Capital
Markets
Surplus
Cash
Additional
Exploration,
Cash Distribution
Operating Cash
Flow
~$0.9bn in 1H14
Portfolio
Management
$2.9bn
Uganda farmdown
Solid cash flow and well funded balance sheet to execute strategy
Slide 9
1H 2013
$1,265m
$1,347m
$673m
$764m
Administrative Expenses
($120m)
($89m)
Loss on disposal
($115m)
($402m)
($176m)
$36m
$500m
($95m)
$313m
(8.3c)
32.2c
4.0p
4.0p
$1,048m
$804m
$905m
$1,016m
$2,802m
$1,729m
Sales revenue
Gross profit
Operating profit
(Loss)/profit after tax
Capital investment2
Cash generated from operations3
Net debt4
Comments
Unchanged from 1H 2013 after adjusting for Bangladesh
asset sale and Gabon production deferral
Unchanged
300
2
84
43
27*
55
200
313
100
226
0
107
115
95
Tax
Loss on
disposal
1H 2014
53
-100
1H 2013
Slide 11
Price
Volume
Operating
costs
Net Finance
$m
2,000
(1H 2013:$1,030m*)
Net loan draw down $944m
(1H 2013:$901m)
$944m
1,500
$219m
$161m
$37m
$1,196m
1,000
$728m
500
(1H 2013:$177m)
Cash Inflow
Operating Cash flow
Acquisitions
Slide 12
Cash Outflow
Net loan draw down
Tax
Capex
Key metrics
$mm
Commitment size
Maturity
$mm
RBL
3,500
Dec 2019
Corporate Facility
750
Apr 2017
Debt outstanding
6% Senior Notes
650
Nov 2020
RBL Facilities
6% Senior Notes
650
Apr 2022
EFF 1
~500
Dec 2017
Corporate Facility
EFF
30 June 2014
Senior Notes
$mm
4,000
RBL 2
3,500
3,000
411
1,632
281
1,300
Total debt
3,213
Net debt
2,802
Facility headroom
2,300*
2,000
Corporate
Facility
750
1,000
EFF1
500
1,633
Senior
Notes
650
Senior
Notes
650
281
0
2017
(1)
(2)
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Tullow has access to ~$6.0bn of committed debt facilities with current headroom of $2.3bn* and no near term maturities
Slide 13
$720m
2013
$220m
$910m
$2,100m
$1,160m
$209m
$681m
$1,800m
2012
$756m
$378m
$776m
$1,870m
$101m
Europe,
S. America
& Asia
$310m
South & East
Africa
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
$million
Expl
App
Notes:
i) 2013 Capital Expenditure excludes the Spring acquisition expenditure
ii) 2013 and 2014 Exploration expenditure is net of Norwegian tax refund
iii) 2011 Capital Expenditure excludes the Nuon and Ghana EO acquisition expenditure.
Slide 14
1H 2014
$1,048m
Dev
$637m
West &
North Africa
Highlights
Financial performance
Strong Revenue and Cash Flow generation from core West African production
Portfolio management
Sale of non-core European and Asian assets and ongoing TEN farm-down
Slide 15
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Commercial
Discovery
Technical
Discovery
Dry Hole
EAST AFRICA
Exploration
Ewoi-1
Emong-1
Amosing-1
Shimela-1
Gardim-1
Etom-1
Twiga-2A
Etuko-2
Agete-2E
Fregate-1
Tapendar-1
Langlitinden-1
Gotama-1
Ngamia-2
Waraga-3
Rii-2
Ngamia-3
Amosing-2A
WEST AFRICA
Exploration
Igongo-1
Appraisal
J-24 LM3
OMOC-601
NORTH ATLANTIC
Exploration
Hanssen-1
Vincent-1
Lupus-1
Heimdalsh
Appraisal
Butch East
Butch SW
Slide 17
Ekunyuk-1
Appraisal
NETHERLANDS - 1 well
Seismic Key
Vincent (E11-1)
Acquisition
Processing/
Re-processing
MAURITANIA - 2 wells
Fregate-1 Tapendar-1
Drilling Key
8,666 sq km 3D
3,520 sq km 3D PSTM
4,000 sq km
3D PSTM
950 km 2D PSTM
1,950 km 2D
Offshore
950 km 2D
2,500 sq km 3D PSDM
Onshore
2,000 sq km 3D PSDM
UGANDA - 2 wells
150 km 2D PSTM
Waraga-3 Rii-2
106 sq km 3D
GUYANA
ETHIOPIA - 2 wells
Shimela-1 Gardim-1
200 sq km 3D PSTM
951 km 2D PSTM
KENYA - 11 wells
1,920 sq km 3D PSTM
Amosing-1
Ewoi-1
Etom-1
Ngamia-3
SURINAME
1,285 sq km
3D PSTM
GHANA - 1 well
J-24 LM3
1,730 sq km 3D
1,730 sq km
3D PSTM
Twiga-2 & ST
Ngamia-2
Ekunyuk
Amosing-2A
Emong-1
Agete-2E
Etuko-2 & DST
822 km 2D
416 sq km 3D
822 km
2D PSTM
225 sq km
3D PSTM
NAMIBIA
1,036 km 2D
URUGUAY
1,822 sq km
3D PSTM
GABON - 2 wells
OMOC-601 Igongo-1
3,779 sq km 3D
1,500 sq km 3D PSTM
500 km 2D PSTM
Slide 18
Exploration Business
Development
Slide 19
Frontier
1
Exploration Business
Development
6
1
Guyanas Margin
Core
4
10%
Slide 20
25%
65%
Ghana
Liberia, Sierra Leone
Guyana
Suriname
Gabon
Namibia
Guinea
Netherlands
Uganda
Norway
Ethiopia
Mauritania
Kenya
Madagascar
Past Present
Less complex
Slide 21
100%
-20%
-40%
Low Value Gas
-60%
-80%
-100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Slide 22
$600M
Slide 23
$1,000M
800
700
Potential Kick in
Creaming Curve
3 core campaigns
< $3.3/boe
600
500
400
300
Guyanas Margin
- Flat-lined at Zaedyus. Suriname kick?
North
Atlantic
Margin
200
3 frontier campaigns
> $3.3/boe
100
Guyanas Margin
$0 -10
South
Atlantic
Margin
Slide 24
$200
Central
Atlantic
Margin
$400
$600
Retired
Campaigns
$800
$1,000
E&A Investment
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
700
600
Jobi East-1,
Gunya-A
Jobi-3/4/5
Wisting-1
Nigiri-2
500
400
Enyenra-2A, 3A
Jobi-1, Rii-1
300
Tweneboa-1, 2
Owo-1
200
Mahogany-1,
Hyedua-1
100
East Africa
Atlantic Margins
Mahogany-2 & 3
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Slide 25
E&A Highlights
Good progress year to date
Successful Exploration & Appraisal outcomes in first half of 2014, continuing to add value to portfolio
Campaign approach
Campaign approach hedges annual variability, phases risk & focuses delivery
Shift of emphasis
Investment in successful onshore campaigns and lower complexity offshore wells to maximise value
Slide 26
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
West Africa
non-operated oil production
45
45
40
40
35
35
30
30
kboepd
kboepd
25
20
25
20
15
15
Mauritania
10
10
Congo (Brazz)
Cte d'Ivoire
Eq Guinea
Gabon
0
2013
Slide 28
1H 2014
2014
2015
2013
1H 2014
2014
2015
2H 2014 ANNUALISED
2,000
1,600
1,400
1,200
$m
1,000
Equatorial Guinea
Mauritania
Cte d'Ivoire
Congo (Brazz)
Eq Guinea
Gabon
Ghana
800
600
400
Cte dIvoire
200
FY 2011
FY 2012
FY 2013
1H 2014
Gabon
Tchatamba - Marin and South infill; 4 of 6 wells remaining.
Onal - Maroc Nord Development drilling: in progress with three rigs.
Echira infill; Infill well program consisting of 2 wells completed Q2 2014.
Key producing
areas
250
TEN being developed (80:20 oil:gas)
TEN Upside (45:55 oil:gas)
kboepd *
200
150
in Q4 2014
- Production to be increased to FPSO capacity in
100
Jubilee to be developed
Jubilee Upside
MTA
50
2014
2018
2022
2026
2030
2034 2036
JUBILEE OIL
TEN OIL
- $4.9bn budget
- c.30% project completed; c.50% by year end
GAS
Slide 30
TEN
Oil optimisation
Gas compression
Work
completed
Work
in progress
Work
outstanding
Run down
improvements
Cooling
optimisation
Run down
improvements
Cooling
modifications
Pumps and
exchangers
Debottlenecking
Slide 31
Upgrading
power
capacity
Scale unit
by-pass
Water injection
CAPACITY
POTENTIAL
Rewheeling
Dehydration
optimisation
Oil
125 kbopd
135 kbopd
140 kbopd
Gas
160 mmscfd
170 mmscd
180 mmscfd
Mid-2016 start up
10 wells on stream at start up; 7 drilled to date
Plateau production reached by end 2016
c.$4 billion capex spent by First Oil
Post start up
Drill and complete remaining 14 wells by 2018
Initiate export of gas by mid-2017
Focus on delivering upside resources
TEN Gross Development Capex
US$bn
1.6
1.4
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
-
Slide 32
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
ACTIVITY
Q2
General Milestones
Q3
2014
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
2015
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
2016
Q4
Q1
Q3
Q4
EHS-DSC
EHS-OSC
Q2
10 Wells Complete
FPSO Construction
Subsea Engineering
All Major POs Placed - URF
Subsea Procurement
Umbilicals Loaded Out
Subsea Fabrication
Umbilicals / Risers Complete
Subsea Installation
FPSO Installation
FPSO On Station
First Oil
Operations
Early Drilling
FPSO Engineering
FPSO Procurement
Commissioning
Production Add
Current Plans
Future Opportunities
40,000
35,000
boepd
30,000
21 production licences
Over 800 active wells
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
2006
Slide 34
2010
2014
2018
2022
2025
14,000
boepd
12,000
10,000
Operator decisions
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2006
2010
Profile at 2006
2014
Production Add
2018
Current Plans
2022
2025
Future Opportunities
2010
2014
2018
2022
2025
c.55
161%
0.57
Wells
per Year
Reserve
Replacement
Average payback
per well
(last 4 years)
(years)
US$ 000
-40,000
-60,000
-80,000
-100,000
-120,000
Slide 35
Slide 36
Regional geology points to turbidite sands deposited by an ancient delta of the Niger River
Potential scale of opportunity on a par with Ghana
Fatala selected for drilling; 373 mmbo (gross unrisked mean), 974 mmbo (P10), CoS 20%
Further prospects & leads identified; total gross mean risked resources > 350mmbo
Slide 37
Slide 38
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
400
Countries
Slide 41
Licences
10+
Years experience
Kenya - Lokichar
90,000
2.3 Bbo
1 to 5 Bbo
Sq Km
Acreage
Discovered
Resources (Gross)
2043
2042
2041
2040
2040
2039
2038
2037
2036
2035
2034
2033
2032
2031
2030
2030
2029
2028
2027
2026
2025
2024
2023
2020
2022
2019
2018
2021
200
2020
Slide 42
Spud date
Sept 2014
4Q 2014
4Q 2014
1H 2015
1H 2015
Nyanza Trough
2H 2015
2H 2015
2H 2015
Slide 45
Since 2004
50
40
Total well costs (US$ million)*
30
20
10
Ngamia-1
2342m
Paipai
4255m
Twiga-1
3250m
Etuko-1
3100m
Ekales-1
2554m
Agete-1
1930m
Amosing-1
2351m
Ewoi-1
1911m
Twiga-2
2101m
Emong-1
1394m
Slide 47
Slide 48
Drilling
4Q 2014
4Q 2014
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
EA2 Buliisa
Kingfisher
2014
2015
2016
EA1 Buliisa
Kaiso Tonya
Kaiso Tonya
Buliisa
Kingfisher
FID
Uganda
Energy Africa
purchase
Kenya
3D Seismic
Tullow Farm-in
FEED
FDP
Discoveries
Sth. Lokichar
AOI Signed
Milestones
FID
South Lokichar
250
worked
200
200
150
100
50
Area 1
Area 2
Kingfisher
2043
2042
2041
2040
2039
2038
2037
2040
2036
2035
2034
2033
2032
2030
2031
2030
2029
2028
2027
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2020
2021
2020
2019
2018
Reduction in
Facilities Capex
9%
Reduction in
Well & Pad
Costs
16%
c.$8bn
Reduction in
Well & Pad
Numbers
programme in 2013/14
Capex reduced from c.$11bn to c.$8bn
- Tullows c.$6/bbl competitive with benchmarks
Further Capex reductions targeted
60% of life of project Capex pre first oil
- Tullows share $1.6 bn at current equity
Current Capex
Estimate
45
40
35
30
US$ real/boe
Capex reductions
25
20
Lake Albert Jan 2013
15
Lake Albert Jun 2014
10
5
0
Source Woodmac
Slide 52
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Slide 54
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Non-operated E&A lacks success after Zaedyus-1, turns to de-risked oil plays and new
attractive lower geo-pressured prospects on Eastern Slope
Regional campaign shifts to operated Suriname venture & to lower-cost shallower plays in
proven oil basin
Slide 56
Guyanas Margin
Significant oil charge proven by
Zaedyus-1 (72 m pay)
Industry interest continues to
ramp-up
Commanding acreage spread
with play diversity
Equity being managed to mitigate
exposures
Goliathberg operated prospect in
Suriname; 287 mmbo (gross
unrisked mean), 788 mmbo
(P10), CoS 20%
Further prospects & leads
identified with gross mean risked
resources > 716 mmbo
Slide 57
OVERVIEW PRESENTATION
Country
Block
Prospect/Well
Interest
Gross Mean
Net Mean
Spud Date
Arouwe
Sputnik-1
35%
206
72
Imminent
In addition to our planned exploration wells, Tullows exploratory appraisal drilling in Gabon has a very good track record of replacing reserves and sustaining production.
We expect these exploration wells to add to the success of the 2013 appraisal programme.
Mauritania
C-10
Kibaro/Lamina
59.15% (op)
67 / 85
39 / 52
2H 2015
The Mauritania exploration programme continues with the drilling of Kibaro or Lamina on the shelf area of Block C-10 in 2015.
Ghana
DW Tano
Wawa-2A
49.95% (op)
28
13
2H 2015
Guinea
Guinea Offshore
Fatala
40% (op)
373
149
1H 2015
3D seismic acquired, processed & interpreted over deep water turbiditic Fatala and Sylli prospects. Fatala is estimated to spud between late 2014 and mid 2015, with significant followup prospectivity identified. Once the current issues regarding the licence that were detailed in March 2014 have been resolved a more specific spud date will be confirmed.
Slide 59
Country
Block
Prospect/Well
Interest
Gross Mean
Net Mean
Spud Date
21
11
Completed
53
26
Q4 2014-2015
35
17
1H 2015
50
25
Q4 2014
53
26
1H 2015
Amosing-2/2A
13
Completed
Kodos
74
37
In progress
55
27
Q4 2014
40
20
In progress
118
59
1H 2015
Dyepa
54
27
1H 2015
Ngamia appraisal
70
35
On-going
Amosing appraisal
30
15
Q4 2014 - Q1 2015
Ekales appraisal
50% (op)
Tausi
Engomo (formally Kiboko)
10BA
Kenya
50% (op)
Ekosowan
10BB
50% (op)
12A
Lead 12A-1
65% (op)
41
21
1H 2015
12B
Ahero Lead A
50% (op)
44
22
2H 2015
With over 120 leads and prospects across multiple basins there is significant prospectivity and follow-up potential in this pioneering campaign that has the potential to open up a
significant new oil province in East Africa.
Madagascar
Block 3111
Berenty
100%* (op)
84
2D seismic acquired, processed & interpreted - further seismic being shot in 2014 with Berenty well planned to spud 1H 2015.
*- Tullow has agreed to farm-out 35% to OMV, subject to various approvals being obtained.
Slide 60
84
1H 2015
Country
Block
Prospect/Well
Interest
Gross Mean
Net Mean
Spud Date
PL 494
Heimdalsh
15%
140
21
Completed
PL 591
Zumba
80% (op)
254
203
1H 2015
PL 642
Hagar
20%
491
98
1H 2015
PL537
20%
97
19
1H 2015
PL537
20%
147
29
1H 2015
PL626
Rovarkula
30%
36
11
1H 2015
Norway
Our exploration inventory and campaigns in Norway will continue to be built up through the years ahead, far beyond this current 18 month programme. Tullows exciting Barents Sea
frontier acreage provides transformational new exploration opportunities for opening and extending new plays particularly after the Wisting light oil discovery in 2013. Our Norwegian
Sea and northern North Sea acreage has multiple proven and new plays and prospects close to existing infrastructure for quick monetisation.
Block 31
Spari
30%
246
74
1H 2015
Block 47
Goliathberg-Voltzberg South
100% (op)
287
287
2H 2015
Suriname
3D seismic acquired, processed & interpreted over deep water turbiditic Goliathberg and other prospects in Block 47 with farm-down ongoing, and shallow water turbiditic leads and
prospects in Block 31.
Slide 61