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S&P Capital IQ
HOLD
Recommendation
S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst A. Zino-CFA
Price
12-Mo. Target Price
$51.82 (as of Sep 09, 2016 4:00 PM ET) $56.00
Report Currency
USD
Investment Style
Large-Cap Value
UPDATE: PLEASE SEE THE ANALYST'S LATEST RESEARCH NOTE IN THE COMPANY NEWS SECTION
Summary The largest U.S. wireless carrier, Verizon, also offers wireline and broadband
services primarily in the northeastern U.S.
Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)
52-Wk Range
$56.95 42.20
Trailing 12-Month EPS
$3.54
Trailing 12-Month P/E
14.6
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago
$18,503
3.86
4.00
13.4
4,076.3
Market Capitalization(B)
Yield (%)
Dividend Rate/Share
Institutional Ownership (%)
Price Performance
Share Price
Beta
S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%)
S&P Quality Ranking
0.31
2
B
Relative Strength
Down
Volume
No Change
Above Avg.
STARS
Below Avg.
LOW
MEDIUM
HIGH
55
Volume(Mil.)
$211.234
4.46
$2.31
65
50
45
40
Revenue/Earnings Data
35
1067
120
80
40
0
5 3
3Q
--33,158
31,586
30,279
29,007
4Q
--34,254
33,192
31,065
30,045
Year
--131,620
127,079
120,550
115,846
E0.95
E0.91
1.32
-0.54
1.76
-1.48
E4.00
E3.86
4.37
2.42
4.00
0.31
1
OND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SON
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst A. Zino-CFA on Jul 26, 2016 11:24 AM, when the stock traded at $54.98.
Highlights
Investment Rationale/Risk
Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: Late
October. EPS Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating
Earnings; historical GAAP earnings are as reported in Company
reports.
Dividend Data
Amount
($)
0.565
0.565
0.565
0.578
Date
Decl.
Ex-Div.
Date
Stk. of
Record
Dec 3
Mar 4
Jun 2
Sep 1
Jan 6
Apr 6
Jul 6
Oct 5
Jan 8
Apr 8
Jul 8
Oct 7
Payment
Date
Feb 1
May 2
Aug 1
Nov 1
'16
'16
'16
'16
Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.
This document is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek
independent financial advice regarding the suitability and/or appropriateness of making an investment or implementing the investment strategies discussed in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.
Investors should note that income from such investments, if any, may fluctuate and that the value of such investments may rise or fall. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than they originally invested. Investors should seek advice concerning any
impact this investment may have on their personal tax position from their own tax advisor. Please note the publication date of this document. It may contain specific information that is no longer current and should not be used to make an investment decision.
Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
Corporate Information
CORPORATE OVERVIEW. As of December 2015, Verizon Communications (VZ) provided wireline service as
well as wireless services to approximately 112.1 million retail connections nationwide (106.5 million total
retail postpaid), and broadband services.
Investor Contact
K. Tarrant (908-559-6029)
MARKET PROFILE. Verizon Wireless added 4.5 million retail post-paid connections during the full-year of
2015 and, together with peer AT&T, has a dominant share of the wireless market. Strong wireless rivalry
has raised the level of competition, in our view, with new unlimited service plans and data-equipped devices gaining significant appeal in a highly penetrated market. During 2015, Verizon Wireless had a 0.96%
postpaid churn rate, which marked an 8 basis point improvement from 2014. For full-year 2015, wireless operating income margin was 32.7% and segment EBITDA margin was 42.5%, compared with 30.5% and
40.2%, respectively, in 2014. As of December 2015, 79% of Verizon Wireless's retail post-paid customers
had a 4G device. We expect data revenues to increase as this percentage grows.
Office
1095 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY
10036.
Verizon also serves the Internet market through its wireline broadband offerings and has increased the
speed of its connectivity in what we view as an effort to upgrade DSL subscribers. However, the traditional
DSL customer base began to decline in 2010, hurt by the effects of the economy and new, faster fiber offerings gaining traction.
COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE. VZ's wireline segment competes for broadband and telephony customers
against cable companies Cablevision and Comcast. VZ's wireline business saw connections totaling 7 million for FiOS internet and 5.8 million for FiOS video at the end of 2015, representing year-over-year increases of 6.3% and 3.2%, respectively. FiOS internet penetration (subscribers as a percentage of potential subscribers) was 41.8% at the end of 2015, compared with 41.1% at the end of 2014. FiOS video penetration
was 35.3% in 2015 compared with 35.8% in 2014. At year-end 2015, more than 70% of consumer FiOS internet customers subscribed to data speeds of 50 megabits per second or higher. In addition, customer interest continues to grow for Custom TV.
CORPORATE STRATEGY. On July 25, 2016, VZ announced plans to acquire Yahoos operating business for
$4.83 billion in cash, which is expected to close in the first quarter of 2017. YHOO assets include content
(i.e. finance, news, sports) and digital advertising technology. We believe the deal enhances VZs value
proposition and scale within the mobile media space, as we note over 1 billion monthly active users (600
billion mobile) and attractive brands. We think greater focus on digital advertising/acquiring content will
be a long term positive as it will help diversify VZ's revenue from the more commoditized, utility-oriented
wireless/wireline subscriber business.
In July 2015, VZ completed its acquisition of AOL for $50 per share in cash, or $4.4 billion total. We believe
the transaction will help expand the company into two key areas: mobile and video. We like AOL's digital
content brands, which includes the Huffington Post, AOL.com, TechCrunch and Engadget, among others.
In addition, the combination of VZ and AOL should provide greater scale in the advertising space, where
we see significant growth potential in the coming years. We believe the acquisition also fits in with VZ's
over-the-top strategy and the consumer shift towards this arena.
In February 2014, Verizon completed the purchase of Vodafone's 45% stake in Verizon Wireless for $130
billion.
In January 2009, Verizon Wireless acquired Alltel for $28 billion ($22 billion of debt). Alltel had 13 million
CDMA subscribers and generated nearly $8 billion in 2007 service revenues (39% EBITDA margin). In January 2010, VZ said it exceeded $600 million in expense synergies in 2009, and it achieved its goal for $1 billion in 2010; at mid-year 2010, VZ divested certain former Alltel properties, which modestly reduced second-half 2010 revenues. We believe Verizon Wireless will actively market its new 4G network and the features of its smartphones, taking advantage of the strong efficiency of the business.
FINANCIAL TRENDS. In 2015, Verizon invested approximately $28 billion in spectrum licenses and capital
for future network capacity, in addition to the more than $4 billion acquisition of AOL Inc. in June. In 2015,
VZ also reduced its leverage ratio in an effort to reduce debt by 2018-2019 to levels seen before acquiring
the wireless stake from Vodafone. VZ returned more than $13.5 billion to shareholders in the form of dividends and share repurchases last year.
Cash flows from operating activities totaled $38.9 billion in 2015, compared with $30.6 billion in 2014. Cash
flows in 2015 included a non-recurring $2.4 billion related to the monetization of tower assets. Excluding
the tower transaction, free cash flow totaled $18.8 billion in 2015. Capital expenditures totaled $17.8 billion,
rising 3.4% from the prior year. VZ's operating income margin was 25.1% for 2015 while non-GAAP EBITDA
margin was 37.3%. Adjusted consolidated EBITDA margin (non-GAAP) for 2015 was 35.4 percent, an expansion of 130 basis points from 2014.
Telephone
212-395-1000.
Fax
212-571-1897.
Website
http://www.verizon.com
Officers
Chrmn & CEO
L.C. McAdam
COO & EVP
J.G. Stratton
EVP & CFO
F.J. Shammo
Board Members
S. L. Archambeau
R. L. Carrion
M. F. Keeth
L. C. McAdam
C. Otis, Jr.
K. A. Tesija
G. G. Weaver
Domicile
Delaware
Founded
1983
Employees
177,700
Stockholders
602,700
M. T. Bertolini
M. L. Healey
K. Kley
D. T. Nicolaisen
R. E. Slater
G. D. Wasson
LOWEST
HIGHEST
$49.30 Analysis of the stock's current worth, based on S&P Capital IQ's
proprietary quantitative model suggests that VZ is slightly
overvalued by $2.52 or 4.9%.
Price/Sales
Price/Pretax Income
P/E Ratio
Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M)
2015
1.44
6.70
10.58
4,093.0
2014
1.47
12.20
19.35
3,981.0
2013
1.17
4.82
12.28
2,874.0
2012
1.07
12.51
NM
2,862.0
80
LOWEST = 1
Volatility
Technical
Evaluation
HIGHEST = 100
LOW
BEARISH
AVERAGE
HIGH
Insider Activity
UNFAVORABLE
NEUTRAL
1 Year
3 Years
5 Years
9 Years
3.57
85.76
4.45
NM
4.39
60.12
4.39
8.27
13.58
86.30
124.48
10.23
82.02
64.69
6.73
72.67
40.61
5.77
62.57
27.02
FAVORABLE
For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide
Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Dec. 31
Per Share Data (U.S. $)
Tangible Book Value
Cash Flow
Earnings
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings
Dividends
Payout Ratio
Prices:High
Prices:Low
P/E Ratio:High
P/E Ratio:Low
2015
NM
8.28
4.37
NA
2.21
51%
50.86
38.06
12
9
2014
NM
6.57
2.42
NA
2.14
88%
53.66
45.09
22
19
2013
NM
9.78
4.00
NA
2.08
52%
54.31
41.50
14
10
2012
NM
6.06
0.31
NA
2.02
NM
48.77
36.80
NM
NM
2011
NM
9.40
0.85
NA
1.96
NM
40.25
32.28
47
38
2010
NM
6.69
0.90
NA
1.91
NM
36.00
25.99
40
29
2009
NM
7.10
1.29
NA
1.85
144%
34.76
26.10
27
20
2008
NM
7.37
2.26
NA
1.75
77%
44.32
23.07
20
10
2007
NM
6.85
1.90
NA
1.65
88%
46.24
35.60
25
19
2006
NM
1.87
1.87
NA
1.62
86%
38.95
30.04
21
16
131,620
16,017
NA
NA
34.9%
17,879
NA
127,079
16,533
NA
NA
21.7%
9,625
NA
120,550
16,606
NA
NA
19.6%
11,497
NA
115,846
16,460
NA
NA
NM
875
NA
110,875
16,496
NA
NA
2.72%
2,404
NA
106,565
16,405
NA
NA
19.4%
2,549
NA
107,808
16,532
NA
NA
10.5%
3,651
NA
97,354
14,565
NA
NA
20.9%
6,428
NA
93,469
14,377
NA
NA
27.4%
5,510
NA
88,144
14,545
NA
NA
21.9%
5,480
NA
230,508
89,947
17,191
126,825
3.7
110,536
Nil
12,298
7.6
9.6
NM
21.9
90.0
Nil
10.0
220,865
88,956
16,604
188,583
11.9
89,658
Nil
38,836
9.5
16.0
31.9
36.0
69.8
Nil
30.2
209,575
88,642
16,175
137,020
4.7
47,618
Nil
33,157
0.8
9.3
2.5
14.9
59.0
Nil
41.0
215,626
88,434
16,244
139,126
4.6
50,303
Nil
35,970
2.2
9.0
6.5
14.6
58.3
Nil
41.7
211,655
87,711
16,458
139,706
5.8
45,252
Nil
38,569
2.4
8.6
6.4
16.3
54.0
Nil
46.0
228,518
91,466
17,047
145,523
4.6
55,051
Nil
41,606
3.4
9.4
8.8
15.8
57.0
Nil
43.0
215,605
86,546
17,238
137,633
9.4
46,959
Nil
41,706
6.6
10.5
13.9
19.7
53.0
Nil
47.0
213,994
85,294
17,538
125,856
8.6
28,203
Nil
50,581
5.9
9.5
11.1
18.6
35.8
Nil
64.2
204,109
82,356
17,101
121,788
5.9
28,646
Nil
48,535
6.2
9.8
12.4
17.2
37.1
Nil
62.9
Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.
Industry Performance
S&P 1500
Sector
Sub-Industry
90%
70%
50%
% Change
30%
10%
-10%
-30%
-50%
-70%
-90%
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Sub-Industry : Integrated Telecommunication Services Peer Group*: Regional Bell Operating Companies (RBOC's)
Peer Group
Stock
Symbol
Stk.Mkt.
Cap.
(Mil. $)
Recent
Stock
Price($)
VZ
211,234
51.82
56.95/42.20
0.31
4.5
15
49.30
80
13.6
81.2
T
BCE
BT
CHA
CHU
CHT
DTEGY
NTT
ORAN
TLK
SCMWY
TEF
TELNY
TLSYY
244,296
40,596
51,565
40,725
28,234
27,454
75,896
90,956
40,187
30,001
25,171
62,998
26,139
46,495
39.71
46.71
25.87
50.32
11.79
35.39
16.51
44.65
15.11
60.57
48.62
10.75
17.41
19.00
43.89/31.85
49.03/35.96
37.69/24.36
55.85/42.23
15.00/9.89
38.47/29.31
18.93/15.22
49.67/33.83
18.32/14.41
69.29/34.09
55.67/45.49
13.53/8.34
20.70/13.71
22.04/17.84
0.39
0.38
1.22
0.38
0.36
0.35
0.98
0.16
1.20
0.54
0.43
1.60
1.32
0.72
4.8
4.5
3.6
2.2
2.0
3.8
3.6
1.9
3.4
1.6
3.9
5.9
4.5
6.1
17
20
12
13
37
21
12
14
8
23
18
31
18
11
41.50
41.50
19.00
NA
NA
NA
14.00
47.60
NA
65.10
44.60
7.90
NA
NA
B+
B+
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
NR
87
77
30
15
12
71
27
65
25
70
12
22
26
85
9.1
12.7
13.6
6.1
3.8
18.5
5.1
8.5
6.2
22.8
11.7
0.6
5.2
14.2
48.2
40.9
44.8
17.5
14.8
NA
47.7
23.3
44.1
21.2
53.5
53.8
45.7
44.1
Verizon Communications
AT&T Inc
BCE Inc
BT Group plc ADS
China Telecom ADS
China Unicom (Hong Kong)ADS
Chunghwa Telecom ADR
Deutsche Telekom ADS
Nippon Tel & Tel ADR
Orange ADS
P.T. Telekomunikasi ADR
Swisscom AG ADR
Telefonica S.A. ADS
Telenor ASA ADS
Telstra Corp ADR
52
Week
High/Low($)
Beta
Yield
(%)
P/E
Ratio
NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.
Fair
Value
Calc.($)
S&P Return on
Quality IQ
Revenue
Ranking %ile
(%)
LTD to
Cap
(%)
technology. We believe the deal enhances VZ's value proposition and scale
within the mobile media space, as we note over 1B monthly active users (600M
mobile) and attractive brands. We think greater focus on digital
advertising/acquiring content will be a long term positive as it will help diversify
VZ's revenue from the more commoditized, utility-oriented wireless/wireline
subscriber business. /A. Zino-CFA
July 25, 2016
09:35 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL MAINTAINS HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC. (VZ 56.10***): VZ plans to acquire Yahoo's
(YHOO 39***) operating business for $4.83B in cash, seen closing in Q1 '17. YHOO
assets include content (i.e. finance, news, sports) and digital advertising
technology. We believe the deal enhances VZ's value proposition and scale
within the mobile media space, as we note over 1B monthly active users (600M
mobile) and attractive brands. We think greater focus on digital
advertising/acquiring content will be a long term positive as it will help diversify
VZ's revenue from the more commoditized, utility-oriented wireless/wireline
subscriber business. /A. Zino-CFA
July 25, 2016
10:21 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF YAHOO
INC. (YHOO 38.80***): As anticipated by many, Verizon (VZ 56 ***) announces the
proposed purchase of Yahoo's core operations for $4.8 billion in cash. The sale
does not include YHOO's stakes in Alibaba (BABA 84 ****) and Yahoo Japan,
cash and convertible notes, and non-core patents. We see closing by March '17,
and the remaining company would change its name and become a registered
publicly traded investment company. YHOO intends to return "substantially all of
its net cash to shareholders." We now see the focus shifting to YHOO"s valuable
interests in BABA and Yahoo Japan. /S. Kessler
Buy/Hold
Hold
Weak Hold
BH
WH
Sell
S
No Opinion
HOLD
VZ Trend
1000
1000
1000
2014
2015
2016
Buy
Buy/Hold
Hold
Weak Hold
Sell
No Opinion
Total
% of Total
16
10
71
0
0
3
100
5
3
23
0
0
1
32
8
3
22
0
0
0
33
2015
2017
4.5
4
3.5
3
2015
Fiscal Years
2017
2016
2017 vs. 2016
Q3'17
Q3'16
Q3'17 vs. Q3'16
2016
Avg Est.
4.02
3.90
3%
High Est.
4.19
3.99
5%
Low Est.
3.69
3.76
-2%
# of Est.
28
27
4%
Est. P/E
12.9
13.3
-3%
1.02
1.00
2%
1.06
1.02
4%
0.98
0.97
1%
4
22
-82%
50.8
51.8
-2%
A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Capital IQ organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have
changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensus estimates is not intended to predict actual results and should
not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.
Relevant benchmarks:
In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in
Asia, the relevant benchmarks are the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50
Index, respectively.
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North America
24.6%
48.0%
27.4%
100%
Europe
17.8%
57.8%
24.4%
100%
Asia
30.0%
45.0%
25.0%
100%
Global
23.7%
49.6%
26.7%
100%
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compensation from this company during the past twelve months.
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indicator of future performance.
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