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TOPLINE RESULTS
Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now?
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Foreign
Policy
6
4
The
environment
9
8
Terrorism
16
18
Immigration
8
7
Health
care
15
13
Education
8
9
No
answer
1
Other
5
5
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Strongly approve
31
32
Somewhat approve
22
19
Somewhat disapprove
10
12
Strongly disapprove
37
36
No answer
1
Republican
29
31
Democrat
35
36
Independent
35
33
No answer
1
1
As of today, do you lean more to the Republican Party or more to the Democratic Party? [AMONG IND OR DONT KNOW FOR
PARTY]
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Republican
Party
35
36
Democratic
Party
31
30
Neither
31
31
No answer
3
3
What are the chances that you will vote in the general election for President in November?
10/10
Already voted
4
Absolutely
certain I will
vote
82
Large chance
I will vote
8
50-50 chance I
will vote
Small chance I
will vote
No answer
1
Did you happen to watch the debate between the candidates for president that was held on Sunday, October 9th or not?
I did not watch the debate
and havent followed
coverage in the news
10/10
69
24
9/26 - 9/27
74
18
From what you have heard and read, who do you think won or did the best job in the debate? [AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED
OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
10/10
44
34
Neither of them
21
No answer
1
9/26 - 9/27
52
21
26
After Sunday nights presidential debate, has your opinion of Hillary Clinton changed for the better, worse, or not changed?
[AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Not changed
59
56
No answer
1
1
After Sunday nights presidential debate, has your opinion of Donald Trump changed for the better, worse, or not changed?
[AMONG THOSE WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]
10/10
9/26 - 9/27
Not changed
48
60
No answer
1
1
If Hillary Clinton is elected president, which best describes your feelings about what she would do in office? [AMONG THOSE
WHO WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]
10/10
Excited
9
Optimistic
34
Concerned
24
Scared
32
No answer
1
If Donald Trump is elected president, which best describes your feelings about what he would do in office? [AMONG THOSE WHO
WATCHED OR FOLLOWED COVERAGE]
10/10
Excited
13
Optimistic
23
Concerned
19
Scared
44
No answer
1
METHODOLOGY
NBC News|SurveyMonkey Second Debate Reaction Poll was conducted online on October 10, 2016 immediately following the debate among a
national sample of 3,834 adults aged 18 and over who are likely to vote. Respondents for this survey were selected from the nearly three million
people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Data for this week has been weighted for age, race, sex, education, region, and
voter registration status using the Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Population Survey to reflect the demographic composition
of the United States. An additional smoothing parameter for ideology based on previous Election Tracking interviews is included. The smoothing
parameter was derived from aggregated data on ideology by region collected from previous weeks (May 1-June 26) of the Weekly Election Tracking
poll.
Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling error
can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error, including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and
measurement error.
To assess the variability in the estimates and account for design effects, we create a bootstrap confidence interval to produce an error estimate.
The bootstrap confidence interval for this survey is plus or minus 2.5 percentage point for likely voters.
To calculate the bootstrap confidence interval we use the weighted data to generate 5000 independent samples and calculate the 95% confidence
intervals for the weighted average. When analyzing the survey results and their accuracy, this error estimate should be taken into consideration in
much the same way that analysis of probability polls takes into account the margin of sampling error.
Group
Total LVs
Unweighted N
3,834
Plus or minus
2.5
Republican LVs
Democrat LVs
Independent LVs
1,149
1,281
1,371
4.7
4.1
4.2
Male LVs
Female LVs
1,964
1,870
2.9
3.1
18-29 LVs
30-44 LVs
45-64 LVs
65+ LVs
401
755
1,850
828
7.6
5.3
3.7
5.2
White LVs
Black LVs
Hispanic LVs
Other LVs
3,103
268
195
268
2.8
8.5
11.5
9.1