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Technology Forecast: Augmented reality
Issue 1, 2016
Increased
digitization means
the information
demands of
workers in the
field are rising
and starting to
match those of
deskbound
workers.
1
DHL successfully tests Augmented Reality
application in warehouse, news release, January 26,
2015,
http://www.dhl.com/en/press/releases/releases_2015/l
ogistics/dhl_successfully_tests_augmented_reality_ap
plication_in_warehouse.html, accessed January 11,
2016.
2
Mark Solomon and Toby Gooley, State of Logistics
Report: U.S. business logistics costs hit $1.45 trillion
in 2014, up 3.1 percent from 2013, CSCMPs Supply
Chain Quarterly, June 24, 2015,
http://www.supplychainquarterly.com/news/20150624state-of-logistics-report-us-business-logistics-costs-hit145-trillion-in-2014-up-31-percent-from-2013/,
accessed January 11, 2016.
Figure 1: For a long time, the human experience of using technology has been siloed
across the digital world and the physical world, moving back and forth between
them. Now, many emerging technologies are setting the stage for the silos to break.
In particular, AR is driving the fusion of the human experience across the digital and
physical worlds by overlaying digital information on top of the physical world.
3
John Gaudiosi, Heres why NFL teams are training in
virtual reality, Fortune, August 10, 2015,
http://fortune.com/2015/08/10/strivr-virtual-reality-nfl/,
accessed January 11, 2016.
Table 1: The key characteristics of the various emerging technologies that blend the
physical and digital worlds
Feature
Augmented
reality (AR)
Mixed reality
(MR)
Virtual
reality (VR)
Extended
reality (ER)
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes and No
Yes
See-through capability
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
Time horizon of
enterprise adoption
2 to 4 years
3 to 7 years
2 to 4 years
Already in
use
Smartglasses: A force
driving augmented reality
AR has been around for a few decades. Its
evolution started with the invention of the
head-mounted display by Ivan
Sutherland and Danny Cohen as an
academic research project in 1968.5 After
many efforts to expand the concept of VR,
the idea of AR was suggested in 1990. By
1992, Louis Rosenberg at the US Air
Forces Armstrong Laboratory (later
merged into the Air Force Research
Laboratory) developed the first
immersive AR system, using digital
4
John Gaudiosi, How this company is using virtual
reality to teach football, Fortune, May 22, 2015,
http://fortune.com/2015/05/22/eon-sports-vr-football/,
accessed January 11, 2016.
5
Ivan E. Sutherland, A head-mounted three
dimensional display, Fall Joint Computer Conference,
1968, http://design.osu.edu/carlson/history/PDFs/p757sutherland.pdf, accessed January 11, 2016.
Challenges to adoption
While many solutions are on the market
and innovation is significant, many
barriers limit enterprise adoption. (See
Table 2.) Most people have not had their
aha moment with AR, says the AREAs
Perey. Getting them to that moment
without creating hype or expectations
that the technology cannot meet is a
serious issue that the AREA is working to
address.
8
Eric Johnson, Boeing Says Augmented Reality Can
Make Workers Better, Faster, Re/code, June 8, 2015,
http://recode.net/2015/06/08/boeing-says-augmented-
reality-can-make-workers-better-faster/, accessed
January 11, 2016.
9
Vlad Savov, Microsoft announces windows
holographic with HoloLens headset, The Verge,
January 21, 2015.
http://www.theverge.com/2015/1/21/7867593/microsoftannounces-windows-holographic, accessed on January
11, 2016.
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The largest
barriers are
technical and
encompass the
performance of
the smartglasses,
their size,
weight, power
requirements,
and so on.
4.
5.
6.
11
Figure 2: Four technology areas that will shape the future of augmented reality
Vinod Baya
Director, Center for Technology
and Innovation
+1 (408) 817 5714
vinod.baya@pwc.com
Chris Curran
Chief Technologist
+1 (214) 754 5055
christopher.b.curran@pwc.com
PwC refers to the US member firm or one of its subsidiaries or affiliates, and may sometimes refer to the PwC network. Each member
firm is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details.
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