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Trading Tactics
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The whole idea of full time trading is to identify repeatable events and be consistent in
profits while minimizing the loss.
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Somesure
traders
might
argue that some indicators work really well for them,
only
shot
tips..!
Ask the question: How consistently do they work for you?, because a flip of a coin can
work 50 % of the time.
BOLD STATEMENT: Most the time, traditional technical analysis does not work.
It makes sense, however there are enough big boys who are highly capitalized enough to
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Most traders have never heard of this little known idea of trading the price, instead of
trading the indicators
The truth is that Price Action is far superior to any indicator available in the marketplace.
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Understanding Candles
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only sure shot tips..!
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Bulls Win
Bears Win
High
High &
Close
High
High &
Open
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High
Close
Open
Openwww.dailyniftytips.in
&Close
Open
Low
Low
Low &
Open
Low &
Close
Low
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Reversal Bars
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Wide Range Bars (WRBs)
Candlestick interpretations
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Wide Range Bar
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Topping Tail
Bottoming Tail
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Once you place capital in the market, emotions get involved resulting in a
state of denial of the actual signals that are occurring. If you choose to
ignore the signals, you choose to ignore valid information, not subjective
indicators.
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If you still choose to ignore the information,
perhaps the problem is YOU, not your analysis!
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So Price first makes its move. Then the indicator will react and calculate its value according
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to price
actions
only
sure
shotmove.
tips..!
Price moves again, then the indicator takes what price did and calculates a new move. Do
you see something wrong with this analogy?
The indicator is always following price. It never leads price, and its always behind price. It
only moves after price has moved. In essence indicators are always late.
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How can a trader actually be successful using lagging indicators to trade? The answer is
they cant. They are always late to enter, late to exit and get whipsawed around.
One thing is true, indicators never lead price. Price leads and the indicators follow. Here is
a novel idea- why not trade using the price?
Lets see what price does and trade off the PRICE ACTION itself.
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Occurs when the Real Body for a price bar is larger than the Real Body for the
previous bar
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Bullish
Bearish
Engulfing
Engulfing
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Occurs when the Real Body for a price bar retraces more than 50% but less than
100% into the Real Body for the previous bar
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Bullish
50%
50%
Bearish
Piercing
Piercing
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Occurs when the next bar opening for price action completely gaps over/under
the Real Body for the previous bar
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Bear Trap
Bull Trap
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Bullish
Reversal
Topping Tail
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Bearish
Bottoming Tail
Reversal
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Down-Up-Down
Up-Down-Up
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Natural pullback
Down
Up
Up
Down
Natural pullback
Down
Up
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Price Action can only be described as: The interpretation of the daily price movement as to
the continuation of the trend or lack thereof.
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In other
words
watch
how the price moves and you can deduce where price will go. This is
only
sure
shot
tips..!
very simple to understand and implement in day-trading.
If Price action behaves in a way that is an uptrend, then we can make decisions based on
that analysis.
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If price action is trading in a range then we can deduce certain factors from this behavior.
If we can learn to trade the price and its action without relying on indicators, then we as
traders are on the leading side of the trades, and not the lagging.
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TARGET
Price
Action
STOP
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RISK
REWARD
ENTRY
ENTRY
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REWARD
RISK
TARGET
STOP
LONG Entry
Up trend
Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Short Entry
Down trend
Lower Highs & Lower Lows
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Price action can show us where price will be in the very near future by looking at a test or
re-test of the highs and lows.
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Indicators
thetips..!
most part do not provide this info.
only
surefor
shot
What indicator can predict a trade based on a false breakout that has just occurred?
Indicators can get you into a position on the wrong side because it has no way of predicting
false breakouts.
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How do we know the parameters of any indicator or correct? How about the moving
average? Are the 20 period and 200 periods the correct parameters to use?
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How do we know the parameters of any indicator or correct? How about the moving
average? Are the 20 period and 200 periods the correct parameters to use?
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We dont,
wetips..!
will never be right because of the changing nature of the markets.
only
sureand
shot
But if we took a look at price action and recognized a pattern of 2 or 3 consecutive higher
highs and higher lows, wouldnt that demonstrate strength in the market regardless of
where that technical indicator was plotted?
Hence, regardless of market volatility, or economic conditions, price action will outperform
technical analysis indicators.
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Scaling
In
Scaling
Out
Scaling
In
Scaling
Out
All-InAtOnce
AllOut-AtOnce
All-InAtOnce
AllOut-AtOnce
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4
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2
only sure shot tips..!
Minor
Phases
3
4
Minor
Phases
Down Trend
1
1
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3
Up Trend
Minor
Phases
2
4
2
1
Minor
Phases
Expansion of movements
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Up Trend
Up Trend
breakdown
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Down Trend
Down Trend
breakout
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Sideways Price Action
Breakout
Breakdown
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The more price action tests the trend line and continues higher, the more traders perceive
this trend line as support.
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Focus on relationship of price action and rate of decrease in price (i.e., slope of trend line)
The more price action tests the trend line and continues lower, the more traders are
recognizing the trend line and using it as resistance.
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The more price action tests the trend line and continues higher, the more traders perceive
this trend line as support.
Range bound
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Consolidation
Congestion
RANGE
CONSOLIDATION
CONGESTION
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2
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2
Price
Action
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2
2
2
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ENTRY
Major Up Trend
Higher Highs
Higher Lows
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Use technical analysis for
BUY signals
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Use technical analysis for
for SHORT signals
3
1
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Lack
of volume
to support potential breakout
points
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Short signals
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Buy Signals
Buying
Signal
Short
Signal
Parallel
2
1
action
A
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Flags
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SHORT
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200 MA
Parallel
20 MA
1
3
B
Flags
Higher
Timeframe
Downtrend
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Pivots are helpful in determining each point of reference to construct Fibonacci grid.
Look for support and resistance areas, at retracement levels, to assess the
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Retracements provide valuable information for how significant the potential
ability of moves continuing.