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Market drivers

PRC

POSITIVE
ECONOMIC
OUTLOOK

USA
INDIA

2035 WORLD
ECONOMIES

AAGR to 2035

PROPENSITY
TO TRAVEL
people in
emerging economies

people in
advanced economies

of the worlds population


will live
in cities in 2035

of the emerging
economies
population took
a trip in 2016

of the emerging
economies
population will
take a trip in 2035

Traffic forecast
Aviation Megacities

2016

WORLD RPK
TRAFFIC

since 2001

2035

PASSENGER
TRAFFIC
growth p.a.
2015-2035

world traffic
has always outperformed
world economic growth

Domestic
PRC
will be the biggest
traffic flow within
the next 10 years.

Traffic to more
than double in
next 20 years

New deliveries
MARKET VALUE
NEW DELIVERIES

required over
the next 20 years

passenger

freighter

SINGLE-AISLE

TWIN-AISLE
AIRCRAFT
FLEET
VLA

2016 > 2035

2035 Aviation Mega-Cities

Filton

Moscow

Airbus Global
Presence Today

Hamburg

55 today

in 20 years
Aviation
Mega-Cities

Copenhagen
Heathrow

Daily Passengers:
Long-Haul traffic
to/ from/via Mega-Cities

Wichita

Frankfurt

Toulouse

Washington
Atlanta

Beijing

Madrid

Mobile

Customer support centres (6)

Seoul
Tunis

Miami

Training centres (14)

New Delhi

Satair Group Material and Logistics centres (10)

Mexico city
Hong Kong

Dubai

M&E centres (9)

Bangkok

Bangalore

Sepang

of long-haul traffic
on routes to/from/via
93 cities

Aviation Mega-cities

Singapore

of World GDP
in 2035

Jakarta

>50 000 daily long-haul passengers


>20 000 daily long-haul passengers
>10 000 daily long-haul passengers

SA = Single Aisle aircraft (e.g. A320 Family)


TA = Twin Aisle Aircraft (e.g. A330, A350 XWB)
VLA = Very Large Aircraft (e.g. A380)

Buenos Aires

MRO = Maintenance Repair & Overhaul


New Pilots = New pilots required
New Techs = New technicians required
Delivery numbers rounded to the nearest ten

NORTH AMERICA

LATIN AMERICA

EUROPE

AFRICA

CIS

MIDDLE EAST

ASIA PACIFIC

New deliveries by segment

New deliveries by segment

New deliveries by segment

New deliveries by segment

New deliveries by segment

New deliveries by segment

New deliveries by segment

SA

TA

VLA

SA

TA

4,730 1,000 90

2,030 520

Services demand forecast

VLA

SA

TA

VLA

SA

TA

VLA

4,990 1,410 180

760

Services demand forecast

Services demand forecast

Services demand forecast

MRO VALUE

MRO VALUE

MRO VALUE

NEW PILOTS

NEW PILOTS

NEW TECHS

NEW TECHS

$314bn
73,600
64,400

$126bn
44,400
42,500

20

TA

VLA

TA

VLA

SA

TA

VLA

Services demand forecast

Services demand forecast

Services demand forecast

MRO VALUE

MRO VALUE

MRO VALUE

NEW PILOTS

NEW PILOTS

NEW PILOTS

NEW PILOTS

NEW TECHS

NEW TECHS

NEW TECHS

NEW TECHS

111,600
107,000

$76bn

21,700
22,200

1,000 190
$103bn
30,800
33,500

30

SA

9,070 3,690 700

$382bn

10

SA

1,020 450

230

950

$184bn
48,100
53,400

MRO VALUE

$646bn

NEW PILOTS

232,000

NEW TECHS

217,700

Go to the GMF Web page

market.forecast@airbus.com

#AGMF
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