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The
payout
policy
refers
to
the
way
cash
is
being
distributed
to
shareholders.
The
cash
to
be
distributed
comes
from
the
free
cash
flow.
The
way
to
compute
FCF
is
as
follows:
We
start
with
the
Earnings
Before
Interest
and
Taxes
(EBIT)
which
is
also
called
the
operating
profit.
The
EBIT
is
just
above
the
interest
expenses
in
the
income
statement.
From
the
EBIT
we
have
to
deduct
the
taxes.
The
effective
tax
rate
used
to
compute
the
Net
Operating
Profit
After
Taxes
(NOPAT)
is
simply
given
by
the
amount
of
taxes
paid
by
the
company
divided
by
the
companys
Earnings
Before
Tax
in
absolute
value.
To
the
NOPAT
we
add
back
the
depreciations
and
amortizations
(D&A),
since
they
are
not
actual
cash
flows.
Depreciation
and
amortization
cost
reflects
the
wear
and
tear
of
the
companys
Property,
Plant
and
Equipment
(PP&E)
and
is
only
an
accounting
measure,
the
company
doesnt
pay
out
any
money
to
cover
this
expense.
The
amounts
are
easily
found
in
the
companys
financial
statements.
When
forecasting,
it
is
straightforward
to
compute
the
D&A
if
the
company
follows
a
clearly
defined
investment
scenario.
Next,
we
deduct
the
Capital
Expenditures
(CapEx).
Finally,
we
have
to
adjust
the
cash
flows
to
the
changes
in
working
capital.
Working
capital
is
defined
as
the
difference
between
current
assets
and
current
liabilities
The
formula
for
calculating
the
free
cash
flow
(FCF)
is
then:
FCF = +
Net Incr. in Working Capital
With
= (1 )
Free
cash
flow
may
be
used
to
remunerate
the
external
fund
providers,
shareholders
and
lenders.
The
basic
way
to
remunerate
shareholders
is
to
pay
them
dividends.
When
markets
are
perfect
the
payment
of
the
dividend
leads
to
a
drop
of
the
market
price
of
the
share
by
the
exact
amount
of
the
dividend.
An
alternative
way
is
to
buy
backs
its
outstanding
shares
on
the
market.
The
firm
may
rely
on
a
simple
open
market
repurchase,
or
a
tender
offer
which
may
or
may
not
succeed-
or
an
auction.
The
buy-back
may
also
be
targeted
towards
specific
shareholders.
The
buy-back
leads
to
a
decrease
in
the
number
of
outstanding
sahres.
The
impact
of
an
open
market
repurchase
on
the
stock
price
is
supposed
to
be
equal
to
zero.
The
total
market
value
of
assets
of
the
firm
indeed
decreases,
as
cash
is
used
to
buy
outstanding
shares.
But
the
magnitude
of
this
drop
is
exactly
compensated
by
the
decrease
in
the
number
of
shares.