Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
249
December 2005
Pipe Diameter
50 mm
50 150 mm
150 mm
Mode of Failure
Catastrophic rupture
Signicant leakage
Catastrophic rupture
Signicant leakage
Catastrophic rupture
Signicant leakage
Leak Frequency
(per Section Hour)
(per Meter Year)
9
1 10
8.8 107
8
1 10
8.8 106
10
3 10
2.6 107
9
6 10
5.3 106
10
1 10
8.8 108
9
3 10
2.6 106
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Category
Design fault
Equipment fault
Operational fault
Procedural fault
Causation Factor
Corrosion/erosion
Mechanical defect
Material defect
Other
Incorrectly tted
Improper operation
Dropped/impact
Left open/opened
Other
Noncompliance
Decient procedure
Other
(based on the data in Figure 2), whereas the traditional onshore values refer to a minimum hole size
of 5 mm (a judgment).
2. The largest holes are much more frequent. For hole
diameters 100 mm, the new offshore values are
more than an order of magnitude higher than the
traditional onshore values.
In many QRAs, the results are dominated by these
large hole sizes. Thus, if the new frequencies are substituted directly into a QRA with no further modication, large changes in the risks can be expected. Although the changes are sensitive to the equipment
types and modeling techniques, typically they involve
increases of around an order of magnitude in calculated risk.
1.5. Implications of the Different Frequencies
The differences in leak frequencies between the
onshore and offshore data sets could be interpreted in
two entirely different ways:
1. Both sets could be considered valid, with the difference arising from genuinely higher leak frequencies
in the offshore industry.
252
December 2005
Instances
321
277
920
76
89
267
495
36
237
81
231
323
34
Category Totals
321
1362
1116
588
253
Available Norwegian data [13] are suitable for validating the approach but, because of lack of equipment
populations, it does not give generic frequencies per
equipment item. The Norwegian hydrocarbon leak and
ignition probability (HCLIP) database is currently being
constructed and will eventually provide suitable Norwegian data.
DNVs method of obtaining leak frequencies from
HCRD has three main steps:
1. Grouping data for different types and sizes of equipment, where there is insufcient experience to show
signicant differences between them.
2. Fitting analytical leak frequency functions to the
data, to obtain a smooth variation of leak frequency
with equipment and hole size.
3. Splitting the leak frequencies into different leak scenarios, to promote compatibility with different approaches to outow modeling in the QRA.
The leak frequency functions and leak scenarios are
described in more detail below.
2.2. Leak Frequency Functions
A leak frequency function is an analytical representation of the variation of leak frequency with equipment and hole size. The DNV leak frequency function
has been chosen to meet the following general principles:
There should be a smooth variation of leak fre-
December 2005
1. Zero pressure leaks, where the actual pressure inside the equipment is 0.01 barg. This may be
because the equipment has a normal operating pressure of zero (such as open drains) or because the
equipment has been depressurized for maintenance.
2. Limited leaks, where the equipment is under pressure but the outow is much less than that from a
leak at the operating pressure controlled only by
ESD and blowdown. This may be because the leak
is isolated locally by human intervention (such as
closing an inadvertently opened valve) or by a restriction in the ow from the system inventory (such
as leaks of uid accumulated between pump shaft
seals).
3. Full leaks, where the outow is consistent with or
greater than a leak at the operating pressure controlled by ESD and blowdown. This includes:
ESD isolated leaks, presumed to be controlled by
255
Table 4. Frequencies of full leaks (per equipment item year) for process equipment.
Equipment Type
Steel pipes (2 in.), 1 m length
Steel pipes (6 in.), 1 m length
Steel pipes (18 in.), 1 m length
Flanged joints (2 in.)
Flanged joints (6 in.)
Flanged joints (18 in.)
Manual valves (2 in.)
Manual valves (6 in.)
Manual valves (18 in.)
Actuated valves (6 in.) (nonpipeline)
Instrument (0.5 in.)
Process vessel
Centrifugal pump
Reciprocating pump
Centrifugal compressor
Reciprocating compressor
Heat exchanger (h/c in shell)
Heat exchanger (h/c in tube)
Heat exchanger (plate)
Heat exchanger (air cooled)
Filter
December 2005
1. Center for Chemical Process Safety (CCPS), Guidelines for chemical process quantitative risk analysis
Process Safety Progress (Vol.24, No.4)
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8. S.H. Bush, Reliability of piping in light water reactors, Proc Symp on Application of Reliability Technology to Nuclear Power Plants, IAEA-SM-218/11,
International Atomic Energy Agency, 1978.
9. The Hon. Lord Cullen, The public inquiry into the
Piper Alpha disaster, Department of Energy, London, UK, 1990.
10. Health and Safety Executive (HSE), Offshore hydrocarbon release statistics 2001, HID Statistics Report, HSR 2001 002, HSE, Bootle, UK, 2002.
11. J.R. Spouge, A guide to quantitative risk assessment
for offshore installations, CMPT 99/100a, Centre for
Marine and Petroleum Technology, UK, www.
mtd.org.uk
12. Det Norske Veritas (DNV), Offshore QRA standardised hydrocarbon Leak frequencies, DNV
Report 2004-0869 to Statoil ASA and Norsk Hydro, 2004.
13. Petroleum Safety Authority (PSA), Trends in risk
levelsNorwegian continental shelf, Phase 3, PSA,
Norway, 2003.
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